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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Surgical treatment of hilar cholangiocarcinoma: retrospective analysis

BJS Open. 2023 May 5;7(3):zrad024. doi: 10.1093/bjsopen/zrad024.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Achieving a better prognosis for patients and reducing the risk of complications are primary considerations in surgical decisions for hilar cholangiocarcinoma.

METHODS: A retrospective analysis of the authors’ clinical practice outcomes in the surgical management of patients with hilar cholangiocarcinoma following the planned-hepatectomy surgical treatment programme between 2009 and 2018.

RESULTS: Some 473 patients were included, of whom 127 (26.8 per cent) underwent bile duct tumour resection alone, 44 (9.3 per cent) underwent bile duct tumour resection combined with restrictive hepatectomy, and 302 (63.8 per cent) underwent bile duct tumour resection combined with extensive hepatectomy. R0 resection was achieved in 82.2 per cent and the postoperative complication rate was similar between the different operations. The 5-year survival rates after surgery were 37.0, 37.3, and 28.4 per cent in the bile duct tumour resection alone, restrictive hepatectomy, and extensive hepatectomy groups respectively, with no statistically significant differences. As TNM staging progressed, the 1-5-year cumulative survival rate for the patients in the three groups showed a significant downward trend.

CONCLUSION: In the setting of a high-volume centre, a planned-hepatectomy surgical treatment programme helps to strike a better balance between achieving radical tumour resection for hilar cholangiocarcinoma and reasonable control of the extent of surgical damage.

PMID:37194459 | DOI:10.1093/bjsopen/zrad024

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Novel application to evaluate endometrial blood flow using transvaginal superb microvascular imaging: A preliminary study describing physiological changes from ovulation to mid-luteal phase

Acta Obstet Gynecol Scand. 2023 May 16. doi: 10.1111/aogs.14585. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: We aimed to describe physiological changes in endometrial blood flow (minute arterioles running through the endometrium) from ovulation to the mid-luteal phase using superb microvascular imaging.

MATERIAL AND METHODS: The study involved 17 women (median age, 32.5 years; first to third interquartile range, 29.8-40.0 years) with regular menstrual cycles who were managed in our institute from 2020 to 2021. The uterus was delineated at the sagittal section using transvaginal ultrasonography incorporated with superb microvascular imaging. For each participant, a total of 28 cycles were observed; 17 cycles observed within one day of ovulation and the implantation period, 5-7 days (D5-7) after ovulation in the same cycle, and nine cycles in which only ovulation was observed, and two cycles in which only D5-7 was observed. Therefore, 26 and 19 images at ovulation and D5-7, respectively, were acquired. Endometrial blood flow was evaluated by depth of the vascular signal in the endometrium and categorized as follows: signals only in the basal layer of the endometrium (grade 1), reaching up to half the endometrium (grade 2), and covering the whole endometrium (grade 3). Changes in the grade of endometrial blood flow from ovulation to D5-7 after ovulation, and the relationship between the grade of endometrial blood flow and the endometrial thickness on ovulation and D5-7 after ovulation, were analyzed. Statistical significance was set at p < 0.05.

RESULTS: The endometrial blood flow from ovulation to D5-7 after ovulation during the same menstrual period showed a downgrade in 14 of 17 cycles (82.3%) and no change in the remaining three cycles (17.6%), indicating a decrease in the endometrial blood flow from ovulation to D5-7 after ovulation (p = 0.001). There were differences between the grade of endometrial blood flow and median endometrial thickness on ovulation (grade 1: 5.9 mm, grade 2: 9.1 mm, and grade 3: 11.2 mm); however, no differences in the endometrial thickness were found between the grades on D5-7 after ovulation.

CONCLUSIONS: In the normal menstrual cycle, endometrial blood flow decreased from ovulation to the mid-luteal phase, and the endometrial thickness in the ovulatory phase was related to the endometrial perfusion.

PMID:37194424 | DOI:10.1111/aogs.14585

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Oncology pharmacy practice in the United States: Results of a comprehensive, nationwide survey

J Oncol Pharm Pract. 2023 May 16:10781552231174858. doi: 10.1177/10781552231174858. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

This study was designed to describe the landscape of oncology pharmacy practice at patient facing institutional healthcare organizations throughout the United States. Methods: The Hematology/Oncology Pharmacy Association (HOPA) Practice Outcomes and Professional Benchmarking Committee conducted a multi-organization, voluntary survey of HOPA members between March 2021 and January 2022. Four overarching domains were targeted: institutional description, job function, staffing, and training/certification. Data were evaluated using descriptive statistics. Results: A total of 68 responses were analyzed including 59% and 41% who self-identified their organization as academic and community centers, respectively. The median number of infusion chairs and annual infusion visits were 49 (interquartile range (IQR): 32-92) and 23,500 (IQR: 8300-300,000), respectively. Pharmacy departments reported to a business leader, physician leader, and nursing leader 57%, 24%, and 10% of the time, respectively. The median oncology pharmacy full-time equivalents was 16 (IQR: 5-60). At academic centers, 50% (IQR: 26-60) of inpatient and 30% (IQR: 21-38) of ambulatory pharmacist FTEs were dedicated to clinical activities. At community centers, 45% (IQR: 26-65) of inpatient and 50% (IQR: 42-58) of ambulatory pharmacist FTEs were dedicated to clinical activities. As many as 18% and 65% of organizations required or encouraged certification for oncology pharmacists, respectively. The median number of Board-Certified Oncology Pharmacists was 4 (IQR: 2-15). Conclusion: As the number of patients with cancer rises, the oncology workforce must grow to support this expanding population. These results describe the practice landscape of oncology pharmacy at US healthcare institutions to serve as a foundation for future research evaluating metrics and benchmarks.

PMID:37194276 | DOI:10.1177/10781552231174858

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Simulating contact networks for livestock disease epidemiology: a systematic review

J R Soc Interface. 2023 May;20(202):20220890. doi: 10.1098/rsif.2022.0890. Epub 2023 May 17.

ABSTRACT

Contact structure among livestock populations influences the transmission of infectious agents among them. Models simulating realistic contact networks therefore have important applications for generating insights relevant to livestock diseases. This systematic review identifies and compares such models, their applications, data sources and how their validity was assessed. From 52 publications, 37 models were identified comprising seven model frameworks. These included mathematical models (n = 8; including generalized random graphs, scale-free, Watts-Strogatz and spatial models), agent-based models (n = 8), radiation models (n = 1) (collectively, considered ‘mechanistic’), gravity models (n = 4), exponential random graph models (n = 9), other forms of statistical model (n = 6) (statistical) and random forests (n = 1) (machine learning). Overall, nearly half of the models were used as inputs for network-based epidemiological models. In all models, edges represented livestock movements, sometimes alongside other forms of contact. Statistical models were often applied to infer factors associated with network formation (n = 12). Mechanistic models were commonly applied to assess the interaction between network structure and disease dissemination (n = 6). Mechanistic, statistical and machine learning models were all applied to generate networks given limited data (n = 13). There was considerable variation in the approaches used for model validation. Finally, we discuss the relative strengths and weaknesses of model frameworks in different use cases.

PMID:37194271 | DOI:10.1098/rsif.2022.0890

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The Two-Margin Problem in Insurance Markets

Rev Econ Stat. 2023 Mar;105(2):237-257. doi: 10.1162/rest_a_01070. Epub 2021 Jul 9.

ABSTRACT

Insurance markets often feature consumer sorting along both an extensive margin (whether to buy) and an intensive margin (which plan to buy). We present a new graphical theoretical framework that extends a workhorse model to incorporate both selection margins simultaneously. A key insight from our framework is that policies aimed at addressing one margin of selection often involve an economically meaningful trade-off on the other margin in terms of prices, enrollment, and welfare. Using data from Massachusetts, we illustrate these trade-offs in an empirical sufficient statistics approach that is tightly linked to the graphical framework we develop.

PMID:37193577 | PMC:PMC10181796 | DOI:10.1162/rest_a_01070

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Health Provider’s Feedback on Physical Activity Surveillance Using Wearable Device-Smartphone Application for Adults with Metabolic Syndrome; a 12-Week Randomized Control Study

Diabetes Metab Syndr Obes. 2023 May 10;16:1357-1366. doi: 10.2147/DMSO.S406065. eCollection 2023.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Research on whether wearable device interventions can effectively prevent metabolic syndrome remains insufficient. This study aimed to evaluate the effect of feedback on clinical indicators in patients with metabolic syndrome on activities measured using wearable devices, such as smartphone apps.

METHODS: Patients with metabolic syndrome were recruited and prescribed to live for 12 weeks using a wrist-wearable device (B.BAND, B Life Inc., Korea). A block randomization method was used to distribute participants between the intervention (n=35) and control groups (n=32). In the intervention group, an experienced study coordinator provided feedback on physical activity to individuals through telephonic counseling every other week.

RESULTS: The mean number of steps in the control group was 8892.86 (4473.53), and those in the intervention group was 10,129.31 (4224.11). After 12 weeks, metabolic syndrome was resolved. Notably, there were statistically significant differences in the metabolic composition among the participants who completed the intervention. The mean number of metabolic disorder components per person remained at 3 in the control group, and decreased from 4 to 3 in the intervention group. Additionally, waist circumference, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, and triglyceride levels were significantly reduced, while HDL-cholesterol levels were significantly increased in the intervention group.

CONCLUSION: Overall, 12 weeks of telephonic counseling intervention using wearable device-based physical activity confirmation improved the damaged metabolic components of patients with metabolic syndrome. Telephonic intervention can help increase physical activity and reduce waist circumference, which is a typical clinical indicator of metabolic syndrome.

PMID:37193576 | PMC:PMC10183188 | DOI:10.2147/DMSO.S406065

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Quantifying the Impact of Hydrological Connectivity on Salt Marsh Vegetation in the Liao River Delta Wetland

Wetlands (Wilmington). 2023;43(5):45. doi: 10.1007/s13157-023-01693-4. Epub 2023 May 3.

ABSTRACT

Salt marshes play a critical role in ecological functioning and have significant economic value. Hydrological elements are considered to be one of the major contributors to salt marsh degradation. However, how hydrological connectivity affects salt marshes remains poorly investigated at fine scales. This paper used spatial analysis and statistical methods to investigate the impact of hydrological connectivity on the spatial and temporal distribution characteristics of salt marsh vegetation in two natural succession areas of the Liao River Delta wetland in 2020 and 2021 by selecting vegetation area, NDVI, tidal creeks area, distance to tidal creeks, and the Index of Connectivity, using 1 m Gaofen-2 data and 0.2 m aerial topographic data. The study found that the area and growth status of vegetation and the overall connectivity in 2021 were better than that in 2020, while the west bank of the Liao River was better than that on the east bank. Phragmites australis showed a round island distribution pattern primarily at the end of tidal creeks. The differences between different hydrological connectivity and vegetation area were significant in 2021. The vegetation area was the largest under poor and moderate connectivity. We also found that within a distance range of 0-6 m from tidal creeks, the vegetation area increased with increasing distance, but beyond 6 m, the vegetation area decreased with increasing distance. Our results showed that poor and moderate connectivity conditions were more suitable for vegetation growth. The threshold value of 6 m can provide an important reference for wetland vegetation restoration in the Liao River Delta wetland.

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s13157-023-01693-4.

PMID:37193562 | PMC:PMC10154185 | DOI:10.1007/s13157-023-01693-4

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Performance of CURB-65 and ISARIC 4C mortality scores for hospitalized patients with confirmed COVID-19 infection in Saudi Arabia

Inform Med Unlocked. 2023;39:101269. doi: 10.1016/j.imu.2023.101269. Epub 2023 May 9.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic continues with new waves that could persist with the arrival of new SARS-CoV-2 variants. Therefore, the availability of validated and effective triage tools is the cornerstone for proper clinical management. Thus, this study aimed to assess the validity of the ISARIC-4C score as a triage tool for hospitalized COVID-19 patients in Saudi Arabia and to compare its performance with the CURB-65 score.

MATERIAL AND METHODS: This retrospective observational cohort study was conducted between March 2020 and May 2021 at KFHU, Saudi Arabia, using 542 confirmed COVID-19 patient data on the variables relevant to the application of the ISARIC-4C mortality score and the CURB-65 score. Chi-square and t-tests were employed to study the significance of the CURB-65 score and the ISARIC-4C score variables considering the ICU requirements and the mortality of COVID-19 hospitalized patients. In addition, logistic regression was used to predict the variables related to COVID-19 mortality. In addition, the diagnostic accuracy of both scores was validated by calculating sensitivities, specificities, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, and Youden’s J indices (YJI).

RESULTS: ROC analysis showed an AUC value of 0.834 [95% CI; 0.800-0.865]) for the CURB-65 score and 0.809 [95% CI; 0.773-0.841]) for the ISARIC-4C score. The sensitivity for CURB-65 and ISARIC-4C is 75% and 85.71%, respectively, while the specificity was 82.31% and 62.66%, respectively. The difference between AUCs was 0.025 (95% [CI; -0.0203-0.0704], p = 0.2795).

CONCLUSION: Study results support external validation of the ISARIC-4C score in predicting the mortality risk of hospitalized COVID-19 patients in Saudi Arabia. In addition, the CURB-65 and ISARIC-4C scores showed comparable performance with good consistent discrimination and are suitable for clinical utility as triage tools for hospitalized COVID-19 patients.

PMID:37193544 | PMC:PMC10167802 | DOI:10.1016/j.imu.2023.101269

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Patient-Reported Outcomes of Kinematic vs Mechanical Alignment in Total Knee Arthroplasty: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials

Arthroplast Today. 2023 Apr 25;21:101127. doi: 10.1016/j.artd.2023.101127. eCollection 2023 Jun.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Total knee arthroplasty (TKA) is an effective treatment method for severe osteoarthritis of the knee. Poor alignment of a knee replacement has been associated with suboptimal clinical results. Traditionally, mechanical alignment (MA) has been considered the gold standard. In light of reports of decreased satisfaction with TKA, a new technique called kinematic alignment (KA) has been developed. The purpose of this study is to (1) review the results of KA and MA for TKA in randomized controlled trials based on the Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Arthritis Index score, the Oxford Knee Score, and the Knee Society Scores, (2) perform a meta-analyses of the randomized controlled trials with baseline and follow-up values of these parameters, and (3) discuss other shortcomings of this literature from the perspective of study design and execution.

METHODS: Two independent reviewers performed a systematic review of the English literature using the Embase, Scopus, and PubMed databases searching for randomized controlled trials of MA vs KA in TKA. Of the initial 481 published reports, 6 studies were included in the final review for meta-analysis. The individual studies were then analyzed to evaluate for risks of bias and inconsistencies of methodology.

RESULTS: A majority of studies demonstrated low risk of bias. All studies had fundamental technical issues by utilizing different techniques to achieve KA vs MA. There was no significant difference between KA and MA in these studies.

CONCLUSIONS: There is no significant difference in any outcomes measured between KA and MA in TKA. Both statistical and methodological factors diminish the value of these conclusions.

PMID:37193540 | PMC:PMC10182176 | DOI:10.1016/j.artd.2023.101127

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The Role of Constraint in Revision Total Knee Replacement for Instability: Full Component Revision Vs Isolated Polyethylene Exchange in Selected Patients

Arthroplast Today. 2023 Apr 25;21:101134. doi: 10.1016/j.artd.2023.101134. eCollection 2023 Jun.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Instability is a common indication for revision after total knee arthroplasty. Replacement of multiple components is the current standard, but isolated polyethylene liner exchange (IPE) may present a less-morbid alternative. This study aims to determine (1) whether IPE results in similar rerevision frequency to component revision in select patients with symptomatic instability and (2) the effect of increasing constraint on the outcome.

METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed 117 patients revised for symptomatic total knee arthroplasty instability from January 2016 to December 2017. The component revision (60 patients) or IPE (57 patients) cohorts were further stratified based on whether constraint was increased or not. The primary objective was to compare rerevision rates 2 years after component revision vs IPE. The secondary objectives consisted of evaluating reasons for rerevision, preoperative and postoperative patient-reported outcome measures, and range of motion.

RESULTS: The rerevision rate was 18%, with no statistical difference between component and IPE cohorts. Cases where level of constraint increased due to revision, a significantly lower rate of rerevision was detected (9 of 77) (12%) than in cases where constraint did not increase (12 of 39) (31%) (P=0.012). This association was also noted in the component revision cohort but not in the IPE cohort (P=0.011).

CONCLUSIONS: Rerevision occurred at similar frequencies 2 years after IPE or component revision for total knee arthroplasty instability. For component revision, increased constraint was associated with significantly fewer rerevisions.

PMID:37193537 | PMC:PMC10182170 | DOI:10.1016/j.artd.2023.101134