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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Real-world comparative outcomes of darolutamide- versus abiraterone-based triplet therapy for metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer: a retrospective cohort study

Ther Adv Urol. 2026 Jul 3;18:17562872261463076. doi: 10.1177/17562872261463076. eCollection 2026 Jan-Dec.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Triplet therapy with androgen deprivation therapy (ADT), docetaxel, and androgen receptor pathway inhibitors (ARPIs), either darolutamide or abiraterone, is one of the standard treatments for metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer (mHSPC); however, no randomized trial has directly compared both ARPIs within this regimen. Given practical and financial constraints, a head-to-head randomized trial directly comparing these ARPIs may be unlikely.

OBJECTIVE: To compare the real-world effectiveness of darolutamide- versus abiraterone-based triplet therapy in patients with mHSPC.

DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study using a multinational electronic health record network.

METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study using the TriNetX research network. Patients with mHSPC treated with darolutamide- or abiraterone-based triplet therapy were identified and balanced using propensity-score matching. The primary outcome was overall survival (OS), and the secondary outcome was time to next treatment (TTNT), defined by treatment switch. Prespecified subgroup analyses focused on age, cardiometabolic comorbidities, and polypharmacy-related medication use.

RESULTS: Among 1607 eligible patients, 1252 were included after propensity score matching (626 per group). Darolutamide-based triplet therapy was associated with longer OS compared with abiraterone (hazard ratio (HR) 0.42). A favorable difference in TTNT was also observed (HR 0.66). These associations were consistent across clinically relevant subgroups, including patients aged ⩾65 years and those with ischemic heart disease or diabetes mellitus. In polypharmacy-enriched subgroups, darolutamide-based therapy was consistently associated with more favorable OS and TTNT.

CONCLUSION: In this large real-world analysis, darolutamide-based triplet therapy was associated with longer OS and TTNT compared with abiraterone-based triplet therapy in patients with mHSPC, particularly among older individuals and those with comorbidities. These findings are hypothesis-generating, suggesting that ARPI selection within triplet therapy may have clinically relevant implications, supporting the need for prospective studies.

PMID:42405379 | PMC:PMC13332278 | DOI:10.1177/17562872261463076

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Energy solutions of singular SPDEs on Hilbert spaces with applications to domains with boundary conditions

Stoch Partial Differ Equ. 2026;14(2):1015-1061. doi: 10.1007/s40072-026-00424-0. Epub 2026 Apr 4.

ABSTRACT

In this paper we extend the theory of energy solutions for singular SPDEs, focusing on equations driven by highly irregular noise with bilinear nonlinearities, including scaling critical examples. By introducing Gelfand triples and leveraging infinite-dimensional analysis in Hilbert spaces together with an integration by parts formula under the invariant measure, we largely eliminate the need for Fourier series and chaos expansions. This approach broadens the applicability of energy solutions to a wider class of SPDEs, offering a unified treatment of various domains and boundary conditions. Our examples are motivated by recent work on scaling limits of interacting particle systems.

PMID:42405359 | PMC:PMC13328241 | DOI:10.1007/s40072-026-00424-0

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Comparable Outcomes After Total Knee Arthroplasty in Medicaid and Commercially Insured Patients at a High-Volume Institution

HSS J. 2026 Jul 2:15563316261456312. doi: 10.1177/15563316261456312. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Reported data remains mixed on the extent to which insurer status as a surrogate for socioeconomic status (SES) affects perioperative outcomes in patients undergoing total knee arthroplasty (TKA).

PURPOSE: This study evaluated postoperative outcomes utilizing insurance status as a surrogate for SES.

METHODS: This study retrospectively reviewed 8961 patients undergoing primary TKA at a single institution. Patients were grouped by insurance: Medicaid or non-Medicare commercial insurance. The primary outcome measure was revision surgery within 5 years of the index TKA. Time-to-event outcomes including reoperation, readmission, manipulation under anesthesia (MUA), and patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) were analyzed.

RESULTS: Kaplan-Meier survival curves revealed greater time to revision survival probability in patients with Medicaid compared to patients with commercial insurance. No statistically significant differences were observed between groups for reoperation-free survival, readmission-free survival, or MUA-free survival. At both 1-year and 2-year postoperative follow-up, commercially insured patients had statistically significantly higher Knee Injury and Osteoarthritis Outcome Score Jr (KOOS Jr) scores compared with Medicaid patients. However, the absolute differences in KOOS JR scores at these time points did not exceed the previously established minimal clinically important difference.

CONCLUSION: Despite having increased comorbidities and higher body mass index, Medicaid patients treated at this high-volume institution had improved revision-free survival and no difference in rates of reoperation or readmission, while achieving similar PROMs during the first 2 years following TKA.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level III, Prognostic study.

PMID:42405356 | PMC:PMC13328111 | DOI:10.1177/15563316261456312

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Phenotypic Detection of Extended-Spectrum β-Lactamase and Antimicrobial Resistance Patterns in Multidrug-Resistant Uropathogenic Enterobacterales at a Tertiary-Care Hospital in Bangladesh

Infect Drug Resist. 2026 Jun 30;19:615697. doi: 10.2147/IDR.S615697. eCollection 2026.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Urinary tract infections (UTIs) are common bacterial infections worldwide, and increasing multidrug resistance (MDR) and extended-spectrum β-lactamase (ESBL) production among uropathogenic Enterobacterales have increasingly limited empirical and targeted treatment options, particularly in low- and middle-income countries.

METHODS: This laboratory-based cross-sectional study was conducted at Bangladesh Medical University, Dhaka, Bangladesh. Eligible MDR uropathogenic Enterobacterales isolates from routine diagnostic urine specimens were collected and tested after Institutional Review Board approval on 13 July 2025. Urine specimens were obtained as part of standard hospital diagnostic procedures from patients with suspected UTI. A total of 122 MDR isolates were included. Bacterial identification was performed using conventional biochemical methods. Antimicrobial susceptibility testing was performed by Kirby-Bauer disk diffusion following CLSI 2024 guidelines, and phenotypic ESBL production was detected by the double-disc synergy test. MDR classification was based on the complete routine antimicrobial susceptibility testing record, including amikacin and gentamicin. Descriptive statistics and exact binomial 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated.

RESULTS: Among these 122 MDR isolates, Escherichia coli was predominant (81/122, 66.4%), followed by Klebsiella spp. (38/122, 31.1%) and Proteus spp. (3/122, 2.5%). Resistance was highest to nalidixic acid (122/122, 100.0%), ceftazidime (117/122, 95.9%), ceftriaxone (116/122, 95.1%), cefepime (113/122, 92.6%), ciprofloxacin (106/122, 86.9%), and meropenem (27/122, 22.1%). Phenotypic ESBL production was identified in 59/122 isolates (48.4%; 95% CI: 39.2-57.6%). DDST-positive isolates showed descriptively higher cephalosporin resistance than DDST-negative isolates, while ciprofloxacin resistance was similarly high in both groups. In this dataset, meropenem resistance was observed only among DDST-negative isolates.

CONCLUSION: Among MDR uropathogenic Enterobacterales from a single tertiary-care hospital in Bangladesh, ciprofloxacin and cephalosporin resistance and phenotypic ESBL production were high. Findings support routine ESBL screening, local susceptibility surveillance, and antimicrobial stewardship, but should be interpreted within the study’s MDR-only, single-center scope.

PMID:42405313 | PMC:PMC13332782 | DOI:10.2147/IDR.S615697

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Data-driven estimation of core body temperature during physical activity under heat exposure: A systematic review and standardized evaluation

Build Environ. 2026 Jun 1;297:None. doi: 10.1016/j.buildenv.2026.114591.

ABSTRACT

Accurate, real-time estimation of core body temperature (CBT) during physical activity is essential for monitoring heat strain and mitigating the risk of heat-related illness under hot environmental conditions. Although numerous data-driven algorithms using wearable sensors have been proposed, their practical reliability remains unclear due to substantial methodological heterogeneity and the absence of standardized evaluation. This study combined a systematic review with a standardized quantitative benchmark. A total of 38 studies employing non-invasive inputs for CBT estimation were identified. Of these, 14 eligible models, including Kalman filter-based methods, statistical models, and machine-learning approaches, were re-implemented and evaluated under identical preprocessing and evaluation settings using two independent datasets: Dataset 1 (treadmill walking, n = 16 ) and Dataset 2 (cycling, n = 13 ). The benchmark revealed notable differences between originally reported performance and reproduced performance under standardized conditions. For the widely used heart-rate-based extended Kalman filter, the root mean square error (RMSE) increased from typically reported values of 0.21-0.41 C to 0.41 C on Dataset 1 and 0.66 C on Dataset 2. Incorporating skin temperature improved tracking accuracy in some configurations, but performance gains were highly dependent on measurement site and dataset. Sensitivity for detecting elevated CBT ( 38.0 C) varied markedly across methods, particularly for the cycling protocol. In conclusion, no single CBT estimation approach consistently outperformed others across all settings. Heart-rate-only models provided a stable baseline under limited sensing conditions, whereas multimodal approaches offered conditional benefits in more controlled scenarios. This work establishes a standardized benchmark framework to support fair comparison, method selection, and future development of (wearable) CBT estimation technologies.

PMID:42405303 | PMC:PMC13328076 | DOI:10.1016/j.buildenv.2026.114591

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Meta-analysis of Randomized Trials in Emergency and Acute Orthopedic Trauma Comparing Aspirin and Low-Molecular-Weight Heparin for Thromboprophylaxis

Orthop Rev (Pavia). 2026 Jul 1;18:163922. doi: 10.52965/001c.163922. eCollection 2026.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Venous thromboembolism remains an important complication after acute orthopedic trauma. Low molecular weight heparin has historically been the conventional pharmacologic standard for thromboprophylaxis, while aspirin has gained increasing clinical interest as a practical alternative. This systematic review and meta-analysis evaluated randomized controlled trial evidence comparing aspirin with low molecular weight heparin after acute orthopedic trauma.

METHODS: PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science were systematically searched from database inception through March 21, 2026. Randomized controlled trials comparing aspirin with low molecular weight heparin in adults with acute orthopedic trauma requiring thromboprophylaxis were included. Primary outcomes were all cause mortality, bleeding complications, and infection related complications. Quantitative synthesis was performed where appropriate using pooled risk ratios with 95% confidence intervals under a random effects model. Venous thromboembolic outcomes were synthesized qualitatively because of heterogeneous endpoint definitions.

RESULTS: Four publications representing two independent randomized orthopedic trauma trial programs involving 12,540 participants were included. Meta analysis showed no statistically significant differences between aspirin and low molecular weight heparin for all cause mortality (risk ratio 1.02, 95% confidence interval 0.69 to 1.53), bleeding complications (risk ratio 0.96, 95% confidence interval 0.88 to 1.05), or infection related complications (risk ratio 1.05, 95% confidence interval 0.80 to 1.37). No statistical heterogeneity was observed across pooled outcomes.

CONCLUSION: Aspirin did not demonstrate statistically significant differences from low molecular weight heparin in mortality or major safety outcomes within the currently available randomized orthopedic trauma evidence. However, comparative venous thromboembolic efficacy remains uncertain because thromboembolic outcomes could not be validly pooled. Further trauma specific randomized studies with standardized outcome reporting are needed.

PMID:42405299 | PMC:PMC13331335 | DOI:10.52965/001c.163922

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Population attributable fraction of cardiovascular disease, coronary heart disease, and stroke associated with insufficient non-occupational physical activity in Iranian adults: findings from the STEPS 2021 survey

J Diabetes Metab Disord. 2026 Jul 2;25(2):182. doi: 10.1007/s40200-026-01992-7. eCollection 2026 Dec.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Insufficient physical activity (IPA) is a well-established cardiovascular risk factor. Iran has one of the highest cardiovascular disease (CVD) burdens in the Middle East and North Africa region. This study estimated prevalence-based, scenario-driven population-attributable fractions (PAFs) of prevalent CVD, coronary heart disease (CHD), and stroke statistically associated with insufficient non-occupational physical activity among Iranian adults aged ≥ 40 years under a counterfactual model of sufficient physical activity.

METHODS: We analyzed data from 16,552 adults aged ≥ 40 years from the nationally representative Iran STEPS 2021 survey. IPA was defined as < 600 MET-minutes/week of non-occupational physical activity. PAFs were estimated using Miettinen’s formula combining the prevalence of IPA among cases with sex-specific relative risks from a prospective meta-analysis after transformation to reflect IPA versus sufficient activity. Analyses incorporated sampling weights and complex survey design; 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated via bootstrap.

RESULTS: Weighted prevalence was 11.48% (95% CI: 10.95, 12.04) for CVD, 10.43% (95% CI: 9.91, 10.96) for CHD, and 2.17% (95% CI: 1.94, 2.43) for stroke. Under a counterfactual scenario of sufficient activity, the estimated PAF was 19.2% (95% CI: 15.1, 23.2) for CVD, 15.9% (95% CI: 11.2, 20.5) for CHD, and 17.1% (95% CI: 11.5, 22.5) for stroke. Higher fractions were observed among women (25.2% for CVD) and adults aged ≥ 60 years (19.7% for CVD).

CONCLUSIONS: These scenario-driven estimates suggest that a substantial proportion of prevalent CVD would be statistically associated with IPA under a counterfactual model. Due to the cross-sectional design, reverse causation is likely and may upwardly bias estimates. Findings highlight women and older adults as priority subgroups for physical activity promotion. The PAF estimates should be interpreted as policy-oriented scenario measures rather than direct causal effects.

TRIAL REGISTRATION: Not applicable.

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s40200-026-01992-7.

PMID:42405266 | PMC:PMC13328525 | DOI:10.1007/s40200-026-01992-7

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Prenatal corticosteroid use improves the severity and complications of necrotizing enterocolitis in preterm infants: a retrospective multicenter clinical study in China

PeerJ. 2026 Jul 1;14:e21454. doi: 10.7717/peerj.21454. eCollection 2026.

ABSTRACT

Our study is a retrospective multicenter observational cohort study to investigate effect of the use of antenatal corticosteroids (ACS) in preterm infants on the severity of necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC) and its associated complications. We collected clinical data from 443 preterm infants with gestational age (GA) of less than 37 weeks who were diagnosed with NEC in four hospitals across various provinces in China, covering the period from June 2020 to June 2024. According to whether they received a full course of prenatal corticosteroid treatment in the week before delivery, infants were divided into the exposed group and the unexposed group. A total of 213 preterm infants (48.08%) had received ACS therapy. When compared to the non-exposed group, the severity of NEC in the exposed group demonstrated a statistically significant difference (p = 0.005). Comparative analysis revealed that ethnicity, chorioamnionitis, antenatal steroid use, antenatal antibiotic use, premature rupture of membranes, gestational age, age at onset, respiratory support mode at onset, presence of intracranial hemorrhage before onset, postnatal occurrence of hemodynamically significant patent ductus arteriosus (hsPDA), absolute white blood cell count at onset, absolute platelet count at onset, and serum creatinine (SCr) levels during NEC (all p < 0.05) were identified as risk factors influencing NEC severity. In the univariate regression analysis, ACS therapy was identified as a significant protective factor against the occurrence of hsPDA (OR = 0.612, CI [0.385-0.974]), bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD) (OR = 0.611, CI [0.377-0.989]), and the need for surgical intervention (OR = 0.609, CI [0.384-0.967]). After adjusting for multiple confounding factors, ACS still demonstrated a protective effect against NEC severity (OR = 0.401, CI [0.257-0.672]), while chorioamnionitis (OR = 3.586, CI [1.571-8.185]), invasive respiratory support prior to onset (OR = 3.045, CI [1.464-6.330]), prenatal antibiotic use (OR = 3.752, CI [1.700-8.277]), and partially hydrolyzed formula feeding (OR = 3.500, CI [1.372-8.945]) were identified as significant risk factors for NEC severity. Therefore, ACS can reduce the severity of NEC and lower the incidence of hsPDA, BPD, and the necessity for surgical in preterm infants.

PMID:42405258 | PMC:PMC13332717 | DOI:10.7717/peerj.21454

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

mappestRisk: an R package for modelling and mapping risk of crop pest development based on their thermal biology

PeerJ. 2026 Jul 2;14:e21428. doi: 10.7717/peerj.21428. eCollection 2026.

ABSTRACT

Under ongoing global warming and recent crop pest invasions, there is an urgent need to fill the gap between experimental research on pest thermal biology and applied forecasting tools that inform pest-management policies. The R package mappestRisk provides an accessible, open-source workflow that enables researchers, particularly those working in experimental pest biology, to forecast pest risk based on collected data on the thermal response of pest development rates. Built upon recent advances in open-source software development in the R environment, mappestRisk offers an accessible pipeline that spans from fitting performance curves for development rates data to generating broad-scale pest risk maps. Starting with user-provided temperature-dependent life-history dataset, the package fits nonlinear regression models and visualizes their thermal performance curves, with Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) scores and bootstrapped uncertainty ribbons. This allows users to select the most appropriate model based on biological, ecological and statistical criteria. The package then calculates thermal boundaries around the optimal region of the selected curve. These boundaries are used to extract climatic data for a user-defined spatial region or country and to map the number of months per year with optimal temperatures for pest development. The output consists of static or interactive raster maps that provide valuable insights for pest risk based on the known thermal biology of the target pest. This workflow contributes to making pest forecasts open, reproducible and accessible to the scientific community, while also providing relevant information for policy-making institutions and plant-protection organizations involved in crop-pest management.

PMID:42405255 | PMC:PMC13333130 | DOI:10.7717/peerj.21428

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Are Tonkean macaques able to make intuitive statistical inferences?

PeerJ. 2026 Jun 30;14:e21377. doi: 10.7717/peerj.21377. eCollection 2026.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: In a changing environment, making predictions about probabilistic events from few observational facts has ecological relevance for many species. Recent research has shown that preverbal infants, great apes, and capuchins (Sapajus spp.) were able to use proportions to predict the nature of a single item randomly sampled from two populations. However, studies involving macaques (Macaca fascicularis and M. mulatta) brought contradictory results about whether macaques relied on proportions or other choice heuristics to make intuitive inferences. To provide additional information on the evolutionary origins of this skill and overcome methodological concerns from previous studies, we assessed the ability of Tonkean macaques (M. tonkeana) to consider proportions in intuitive statistical inferences.

METHODS: In a series of eight experimental conditions, 10 Tonkean macaques had to choose which of two jars, that differed in their relative distributions of a preferred and non-preferred food item, conferred a greater chance of obtaining one preferred item. During each test, the experimenter hid in their hands an item drawn pseudo-randomly from each of the two jars for the subject to make its choice.

RESULTS: Our results highlighted both between and within individual variations in their decisional framework. According to experimental conditions, while few individuals relied on proportions to make statistical inferences, most individuals relied on quantities of preferred items or other heuristics to predict the drawing outcome. Altogether, our results brought some evidence that the ability to perform intuitive statistical inferences may be shared amongst primates, but that the underlying high cognitive demands of this capacity may motivate the use of simpler heuristics in some animals’ everyday decisions.

PMID:42405252 | PMC:PMC13330748 | DOI:10.7717/peerj.21377