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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Demographics and clinical profile of patients with ocular Calotropis poisoning in India

Indian J Ophthalmol. 2021 Sep;69(9):2417-2420. doi: 10.4103/ijo.IJO_3434_20.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: To describe the clinical profile of patients with ocular Calotropis poisoning presenting to a multitier ophthalmology hospital network in India.

METHODS: This cross-sectional hospital-based study included 2,047,360 new patients presenting between August 2010 and March 2020. Patients with a clinical diagnosis of Calotropis poisoning in at least one eye were included. The data were collected using an electronic medical record system. Descriptive statistics using mean ± standard deviation and median with inter-quartile range (IQR) were used to elucidate the demographic data. Chi-square test was done for univariate analysis.

RESULTS: Overall, 362 (0.018%) new patients were diagnosed with ocular Calotropis poisoning during the study period. The mean age of the patients was 44.10 ± 18.61 years. The incidence rates were 0.013% in children and 0.018% in adults. Males were 57.46% and 87.29% had unilateral affliction. A significant number of patients presented from the rural geography (59.67%) and were from the higher socioeconomic class (72.65%). About a fourth of the patients were homemakers (23.48%) followed by agriculture workers (18.23%). Of the 408 affected eyes, 49.26% had mild visual impairment (<20/70) followed by moderate visual impairment (>20/70 to ≤ 20/200) in 23.28%. The most common clinical signs were conjunctival congestion (61.03%), descemet membrane folds (57.35%), stromal edema (30.39%), and corneal epithelial defect (24.51%).

CONCLUSION: Calotropis poisoning in individuals seeking eye care in India is very rare. It is commonly unilateral and occurs more in the rural geography. It is common in middle-aged males and may affect vision due to involvement of the cornea.

PMID:34427234 | DOI:10.4103/ijo.IJO_3434_20

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Outcomes of 25-gauge pars plana vitrectomy for cytomegalovirus retinitis-related retinal detachment

Indian J Ophthalmol. 2021 Sep;69(9):2361-2366. doi: 10.4103/ijo.IJO_3539_20.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: The purpose of this study is to evaluate the anatomical and functional outcomes of 25-gauge (G) pars plana vitrectomy (PPV) in patients with cytomegalovirus retinitis (CMVR)-related rhegmatogenous retinal detachment (RRD).

METHODS: Single-center retrospective consecutive case series of patients who underwent 25-G PPV for CMVR-related RRD repair with a minimum follow-up of 3 months. Complete anatomic success was defined as the complete attachment of retina including the periphery. Best-corrected visual acuity (BCVA) of ≥20/400 was defined as functional success.

RESULTS: Sixteen eyes of 15 patients were included in the study. Eleven patients were human immunodeficiency virus positive, three patients had hematological malignancies, and one patient suffered from dyskeratosis congenita. The mean follow-up was 20.5 ± 17.4 months (range 3-60 months). Complete anatomical success was seen in 15 eyes (93.75%). One eye had a residual inferior detachment with attached macula. Silicone oil was used as tamponade in 15 eyes and C3F8 gas in one eye. The mean change in BCVA was statistically significant, preoperative LogMAR BCVA was 2.05 ± 0.94 while the final follow-up postoperative LogMAR BCVA was 1.03 ± 0.61 (P < 0.001). Thirteen eyes (81.25%) had final BCVA ≥20/400.

CONCLUSION: Microincision vitrectomy surgery can achieve excellent retinal reattachment rates in post-CMVR RRDs without significant intraoperative and postoperative complications. The visual outcome varies depending on the status of the optic disc and macula. Majority of the patients maintained functional vision.

PMID:34427223 | DOI:10.4103/ijo.IJO_3539_20

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Segmented retinal analysis in pituitary adenoma with chiasmal compression: A prospective comparative study

Indian J Ophthalmol. 2021 Sep;69(9):2378-2384. doi: 10.4103/ijo.IJO_2086_20.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: The aim of this study was to determine the alteration in ganglion cell complex and its relationship with retinal nerve fiber layer (RNFL) thickness as measured by spectral-domain optical coherence tomography (OCT) in pituitary adenoma cases and also its correlation with visual field (VF).

METHODS: This is a prospective comparative study wherein detailed neuro-ophthalmic examination including perimetry, RNFL and ganglion cell layer inner plexiform layer (GCL-IPL) thickness were measured preoperatively in the cases of pituitary adenoma with chiasmal compression with visual symptoms and field changes who were planned for neuro-surgical intervention. These parameters were repeated 1 year after the surgery. GCL-IPL, RNFL parameters were compared with controls and were correlated with VF mean deviation (MD). The diagnostic power of GCL-IPL was tested using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Healthy age and sex-matched controls without any ocular and systemic abnormality were taken for comparison.

RESULTS: Twenty-four patients qualified the inclusion criteria. A significant thinning of GCL-IPL (P = 0.002) and RNFL (P = 0.039) was noticed in the pituitary adenoma group. GCL-IPL (r = 0.780 P < 0.001) and RNFL (r = 0.669, P < 0.001) were significantly correlated with the MD. The ROC curve values of GCL-IPL were 0.859 (95% confidence interval 0.744% to 0.973) and of RNFL were 0.731 (95% confidence interval 0.585-0.877). The diagnostic ability of GCL-IPL was more as compared to the RNFL analysis, although it was statistically insignificant (P = 0.122).

CONCLUSION: GCL-IPL measurements on the OCT are a sensitive tool to detect early anterior visual pathway changes in chiasmal compression for pituitary adenoma patients.

PMID:34427226 | DOI:10.4103/ijo.IJO_2086_20

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Association between winter cold spells and acute myocardial infarction in Lithuania 2000-2015

Sci Rep. 2021 Aug 23;11(1):17062. doi: 10.1038/s41598-021-96366-9.

ABSTRACT

Acute myocardial infarction (AMI) is a major public health problem. Cold winter weather increases the risk of AMI, but factors influencing susceptibility are poorly known. We conducted an individual-level case-crossover study of the associations between winter cold spells and the risk of AMI, with special focus on survival at 28 days and effect modification by age and sex. All 16,071 adult cases of AMI among the residents of the city of Kaunas in Lithuania in 2000-2015 were included in the study. Cold weather was statistically defined using the 5th percentile of frequency distribution of daily mean temperatures over the winter months. According to conditional logistic regression controlling for time-varying and time-invariant confounders, each additional cold spell day during the week preceding AMI increased the risk of AMI by 5% (95% CI 1-9%). For nonfatal and fatal cases, the risk increase per each additional cold spell day was 5% (95% CI 1-9%) and 6% (95% CI – 2-13%), respectively. The effect estimate was greater for men (OR 1.07, 95% CI 1.02-1.12) than for women (OR 1.02, 95% CI 0.97-1.08), but there was no evidence of effect modification by age. Evidence on factors increasing susceptibility is critical for targeted cold weather planning.

PMID:34426618 | DOI:10.1038/s41598-021-96366-9

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Baseline clinical characteristics of predicted structural and pain progressors in the IMI-APPROACH knee OA cohort

RMD Open. 2021 Aug;7(3):e001759. doi: 10.1136/rmdopen-2021-001759.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To describe the relations between baseline clinical characteristics of the Applied Public-Private Research enabling OsteoArthritis Clinical Headway (IMI-APPROACH) participants and their predicted probabilities for knee osteoarthritis (OA) structural (S) progression and/or pain (P) progression.

METHODS: Baseline clinical characteristics of the IMI-APPROACH participants were used for this study. Radiographs were evaluated according to Kellgren and Lawrence (K&L grade) and Knee Image Digital Analysis. Knee Injury and Osteoarthritis Outcome Score (KOOS) and Numeric Rating Scale (NRS) were used to evaluate pain. Predicted progression scores for each individual were determined using machine learning models. Pearson correlation coefficients were used to evaluate correlations between scores for predicted progression and baseline characteristics. T-tests and χ2 tests were used to evaluate differences between participants with high versus low progression scores.

RESULTS: Participants with high S progressions score were found to have statistically significantly less structural damage compared with participants with low S progression scores (minimum Joint Space Width, minJSW 3.56 mm vs 1.63 mm; p<0.001, K&L grade; p=0.028). Participants with high P progression scores had statistically significantly more pain compared with participants with low P progression scores (KOOS pain 51.71 vs 82.11; p<0.001, NRS pain 6.7 vs 2.4; p<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS: The baseline minJSW of the IMI-APPROACH participants contradicts the idea that the (predicted) course of knee OA follows a pattern of inertia, where patients who have progressed previously are more likely to display further progression. In contrast, for pain progressors the pattern of inertia seems valid, since participants with high P score already have more pain at baseline compared with participants with a low P score.

PMID:34426541 | DOI:10.1136/rmdopen-2021-001759

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Quantifying changes over 1 year in motor and cognitive skill after transient ischemic attack (TIA) using robotics

Sci Rep. 2021 Aug 23;11(1):17011. doi: 10.1038/s41598-021-96177-y.

ABSTRACT

Recent work has highlighted that people who have had TIA may have abnormal motor and cognitive function. We aimed to quantify deficits in a cohort of individuals who had TIA and measured changes in their abilities to perform behavioural tasks over 1 year of follow-up using the Kinarm Exoskeleton robot. We additionally considered performance and change over time in an active control cohort of migraineurs. Individuals who had TIA or migraine completed 8 behavioural tasks that assessed cognition as well as motor and sensory functionality in the arm. Participants in the TIA cohort were assessed at 2, 6, 12, and 52 weeks after symptom resolution. Migraineurs were assessed at 2 and 52 weeks after symptom resolution. We measured overall performance on each task using an aggregate metric called Task Score and quantified any significant change in performance including the potential influence of learning. We recruited 48 individuals to the TIA cohort and 28 individuals to the migraine cohort. Individuals in both groups displayed impairments on robotic tasks within 2 weeks of symptom cessation and also at approximately 1 year after symptom cessation, most commonly in tests of cognitive-motor integration. Up to 51.3% of people in the TIA cohort demonstrated an impairment on a given task within 2-weeks of symptom resolution, and up to 27.3% had an impairment after 1 year. In the migraine group, these numbers were 37.5% and 31.6%, respectively. We identified that up to 18% of participants in the TIA group, and up to 10% in the migraine group, displayed impairments that persisted for up to 1 year after symptom resolution. Finally, we determined that a subset of both cohorts (25-30%) experienced statistically significant deteriorations in performance after 1 year. People who have experienced transient neurological symptoms, such as those that arise from TIA or migraine, may continue to experience lasting neurological impairments. Most individuals had relatively stable task performance over time, with some impairments persisting for up to 1 year. However, some individuals demonstrated substantial changes in performance, which highlights the heterogeneity of these neurological disorders. These findings demonstrate the need to consider factors that contribute to lasting neurological impairment, approaches that could be developed to alleviate the lasting effects of TIA or migraine, and the need to consider individual neurological status, even following transient neurological symptoms.

PMID:34426586 | DOI:10.1038/s41598-021-96177-y

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Delivery preferences for psychological intervention in cardiac rehabilitation: a pilot discrete choice experiment

Open Heart. 2021 Aug;8(2):e001747. doi: 10.1136/openhrt-2021-001747.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Cardiac rehabilitation (CR) is a programme of care offered to people who recently experienced a cardiac event. There is a growing focus on home-based formats of CR and a lack of evidence on preferences for psychological care in CR. This pilot study aimed to investigate preferences for delivery attributes of a psychological therapy intervention in CR patients with symptoms of anxiety and/or depression.

METHODS: A discrete choice experiment (DCE) was conducted and recruited participants from a feasibility trial. Participants were asked to choose between two hypothetical interventions, described using five attributes; intervention type (home or centre-based), information provided, therapy manual format, cost to the National Health Service (NHS) and waiting time. A separate opt-out was included. A conditional logit using maximum likelihood estimation was used to analyse preferences. The NHS cost was used to estimate willingness to pay for aspects of the intervention delivery.

RESULTS: 35 responses were received (39% response rate). Results indicated that participants would prefer to receive any form of therapy compared with no therapy. Statistically significant results were limited, but included participants being keen to avoid not receiving information prior to therapy (β=-0.270; p=0.03) and preferring a lower cost to the NHS (β=-0.001; p=0.00). No significant results were identified for the type of psychological intervention, format of therapy/exercises and programme start time. Coefficients indicated preferences were stronger for home-based therapy compared with centre-based, but this was not significant.

CONCLUSIONS: The pilot study demonstrates the feasibility of a DCE in this group, it identifies potential attributes and levels, and estimates the sample sizes needed for a full study. Preliminary evidence indicated that sampled participants tended to prefer home-based psychological therapy in CR and wanted to receive information before initiating therapy. Results are limited due to the pilot design and further research is needed.

PMID:34426529 | DOI:10.1136/openhrt-2021-001747

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Development of a machine learning-based real-time location system to streamline acute endovascular intervention in acute stroke: a proof-of-concept study

J Neurointerv Surg. 2021 Aug 23:neurintsurg-2021-017858. doi: 10.1136/neurintsurg-2021-017858. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Delivery of acute stroke endovascular intervention can be challenging because it requires complex coordination of patient and staff across many different locations. In this proof-of-concept paper we (a) examine whether WiFi fingerprinting is a feasible machine learning (ML)-based real-time location system (RTLS) technology that can provide accurate real-time location information within a hospital setting, and (b) hypothesize its potential application in streamlining acute stroke endovascular intervention.

METHODS: We conducted our study in a comprehensive stroke care unit in Melbourne, Australia that offers a 24-hour mechanical thrombectomy service. ML algorithms including K-nearest neighbors, decision tree, random forest, support vector machine and ensemble models were trained and tested on a public WiFi dataset and the study hospital WiFi dataset. The hospital dataset was collected using the WiFi explorer software (version 3.0.2) on a MacBook Pro (AirPort Extreme, Broadcom BCM43x×1.0). Data analysis was implemented in the Python programming environment using the scikit-learn package. The primary statistical measure for algorithm performance was the accuracy of location prediction.

RESULTS: ML-based WiFi fingerprinting can accurately predict the different hospital zones relevant in the acute endovascular intervention workflow such as emergency department, CT room and angiography suite. The most accurate algorithms were random forest and support vector machine, both of which were 98% accurate. The algorithms remain robust when new data points, which were distinct from the training dataset, were tested.

CONCLUSIONS: ML-based RTLS technology using WiFi fingerprinting has the potential to streamline delivery of acute stroke endovascular intervention by efficiently tracking patient and staff movement during stroke calls.

PMID:34426539 | DOI:10.1136/neurintsurg-2021-017858

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Improving the aseptic transfer procedures in hospital pharmacies. Part B: evaluation of disinfection methods for materials with a non-sterile surface

Eur J Hosp Pharm. 2021 Sep;28(5):271-275. doi: 10.1136/ejhpharm-2018-001673. Epub 2019 Aug 24.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To improve the disinfection methods for materials with a non-sterile surface to be used in aseptic handling.

METHODS: The surface bioburden on ampoules (A) and injection vials (IV) is determined by contact plates and total immersion. The occurrence of spore-forming bacteria is determined by strain colouring and matrix-assisted laser desorption ionisation-time of flight mass spectrometry. The disinfection procedures of non-sterile materials in 10 hospital pharmacies are judged by observing.

RESULTS: After wiping according to local disinfection methods, the mean surface bioburden determined by contact plates in 10 hospital pharmacies is 0.36 (plastic A), 0.50 (glass A) and 0.29 colony-forming unit (cfu) (IV). The observers found great differences in accuracy of wiping and degree of wetting the sterile gauzes.After improved wiping with commercially available alcohol impregnated sterile wipes and a two-towel technique (one-step TT disinfection), the mean surface bioburden determined by contact plates is 0.03 (plastic A), 0.2 (glass A) and 0.13 cfu (IV). Further improvement can be reached by submerging A and IV in ethanol 70% followed by improved wiping (two-step TT disinfection), but still micro-organisms will remain (mean surface bioburden determined by total immersion is 0 (plastic A) and 0.3 cfu (IV); glass A not determined). Two-step TT disinfection is more labour intensive. Spilling of alcohol is another disadvantage. However, we presume one-step TT disinfection is effective enough in daily practice. Routine surface bioburden determinations have to prove this.The effectiveness of the combination of spray and wipe is not examined because we observed a quick disappearance of alcohols from vertical as well as horizontal surfaces, which shortens the contact time to far below the advised 2 min.Spore-forming bacteria disappear as quickly as other micro-organisms during disinfection by alcohols.

CONCLUSION: Local disinfection procedures can be improved. Complete removal of micro-organisms from materials with a non-sterile surface, even after two-step TT disinfection, is impossible. Routine surface bioburden determinations have to prove if one-step TT disinfection is effective enough.

PMID:34426480 | DOI:10.1136/ejhpharm-2018-001673

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Intensity and frequency of extreme novel epidemics

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2021 Aug 31;118(35):e2105482118. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2105482118.

ABSTRACT

Observational knowledge of the epidemic intensity, defined as the number of deaths divided by global population and epidemic duration, and of the rate of emergence of infectious disease outbreaks is necessary to test theory and models and to inform public health risk assessment by quantifying the probability of extreme pandemics such as COVID-19. Despite its significance, assembling and analyzing a comprehensive global historical record spanning a variety of diseases remains an unexplored task. A global dataset of historical epidemics from 1600 to present is here compiled and examined using novel statistical methods to estimate the yearly probability of occurrence of extreme epidemics. Historical observations covering four orders of magnitude of epidemic intensity follow a common probability distribution with a slowly decaying power-law tail (generalized Pareto distribution, asymptotic exponent = -0.71). The yearly number of epidemics varies ninefold and shows systematic trends. Yearly occurrence probabilities of extreme epidemics, Py, vary widely: Py of an event with the intensity of the “Spanish influenza” (1918 to 1920) varies between 0.27 and 1.9% from 1600 to present, while its mean recurrence time today is 400 y (95% CI: 332 to 489 y). The slow decay of probability with epidemic intensity implies that extreme epidemics are relatively likely, a property previously undetected due to short observational records and stationary analysis methods. Using recent estimates of the rate of increase in disease emergence from zoonotic reservoirs associated with environmental change, we estimate that the yearly probability of occurrence of extreme epidemics can increase up to threefold in the coming decades.

PMID:34426498 | DOI:10.1073/pnas.2105482118