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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Determinants of continuing mental health service use among older persons diagnosed with depressive disorders in general hospitals: latent class analysis and GEE

BMC Health Serv Res. 2022 Jul 11;22(1):899. doi: 10.1186/s12913-022-08250-5.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Prevalence of depression in older persons was a leading cause of disability. This group has the lowest access to service and retention in care compared to other age groups. This study aimed to explore continuing mental health service use and examined the predictive power of the mental health service delivery system and individual factors on mental health service use among older persons diagnosed with depressive disorders.

METHODS: We employed an analytic cross-sectional study design of individual and organizational variables in 12 general hospitals selected using multi-stratified sampling. There were 3 clusters comprising community hospitals, advanced and standard hospitals, and university hospitals. Participants in each group were 150 persons selected by purposive sampling. We included older persons with a first or recurring diagnosis of a depressive disorder in the last 6 to 12 months of the data collection date. Data at the individual level included socio-demographic characteristics, Charlson Comorbidity Index, Attitude toward Depression and its treatment, and perceived social support. Data at the organizational level had hospital level, nurse competency, nurse-patient ratio, and appointment reminders. Descriptive statistics, Pearson chi-square test, latent class analysis (LCA), and marginal logistic regression model using generalized estimating equation (GEE) were used to analyze the data.

RESULTS: The continuing mental health service use among older persons diagnosed with depressive disorders was 54%. The latent class analysis of four variables in the mental health services delivery organization yielded distinct and interpretable findings in two groups: high and low resource organization. The marginal logistic multivariable regression model using GEE found that organizational group and attitude toward depression and its treatment were significantly associated with mental health service use (p-value = 0.046; p-value = 0.003).

CONCLUSIONS: The findings suggest that improving continuing mental health services use in older persons diagnosed with depressive disorders should emphasize specialty resources of the mental health services delivery system and attitude toward depression and its treatment.

PMID:35818042 | DOI:10.1186/s12913-022-08250-5

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Bayesian network meta-analysis methods for combining individual participant data and aggregate data from single arm trials and randomised controlled trials

BMC Med Res Methodol. 2022 Jul 11;22(1):186. doi: 10.1186/s12874-022-01657-y.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Increasingly in network meta-analysis (NMA), there is a need to incorporate non-randomised evidence to estimate relative treatment effects, and in particular in cases with limited randomised evidence, sometimes resulting in disconnected networks of treatments. When combining different sources of data, complex NMA methods are required to address issues associated with participant selection bias, incorporating single-arm trials (SATs), and synthesising a mixture of individual participant data (IPD) and aggregate data (AD). We develop NMA methods which synthesise data from SATs and randomised controlled trials (RCTs), using a mixture of IPD and AD, for a dichotomous outcome.

METHODS: We propose methods under both contrast-based (CB) and arm-based (AB) parametrisations, and extend the methods to allow for both within- and across-trial adjustments for covariate effects. To illustrate the methods, we use an applied example investigating the effectiveness of biologic disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drugs for rheumatoid arthritis (RA). We applied the methods to a dataset obtained from a literature review consisting of 14 RCTs and an artificial dataset consisting of IPD from two SATs and AD from 12 RCTs, where the artificial dataset was created by removing the control arms from the only two trials assessing tocilizumab in the original dataset.

RESULTS: Without adjustment for covariates, the CB method with independent baseline response parameters (CBunadjInd) underestimated the effectiveness of tocilizumab when applied to the artificial dataset compared to the original dataset, albeit with significant overlap in posterior distributions for treatment effect parameters. The CB method with exchangeable baseline response parameters produced effectiveness estimates in agreement with CBunadjInd, when the predicted baseline response estimates were similar to the observed baseline response. After adjustment for RA duration, there was a reduction in across-trial heterogeneity in baseline response but little change in treatment effect estimates.

CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest incorporating SATs in NMA may be useful in some situations where a treatment is disconnected from a network of comparator treatments, due to a lack of comparative evidence, to estimate relative treatment effects. The reliability of effect estimates based on data from SATs may depend on adjustment for covariate effects, although further research is required to understand this in more detail.

PMID:35818035 | DOI:10.1186/s12874-022-01657-y

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Favorable outcome in PLA2R positive HBV-associated membranous nephropathy

BMC Nephrol. 2022 Jul 11;23(1):246. doi: 10.1186/s12882-022-02871-y.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Over half of the patients with hepatitis B virus associated membranous nephropathy (HBV-MN) were found to be phospholipase A2 receptor (PLA2R) positive. Whether MN is really secondary to hepatitis B or just coincidence of hepatitis and PLA2R positive idiopathic MN (IMN) remains controversial.

METHODS: We retrospectively studied seven PLA2R positive HBV-MN patients with complete data in Huashan Hospital from 2009 to 2016 and compared them with PLA2R positive idiopathic MN patients.

RESULTS: Proteinuria and renal function of these 7 HBV-MN patients were similar to that of IMN patients. However, 5 of them were female and half showed hypocomplementemia, while in IMN group only 32.4% were female and 20% had hypocomplementemia, and the level of hematuria was 94.5/μL in HBV-MN patients and 64.9 /μL in IMN patients, though there was no statistically significant difference. Renal biopsies revealed significantly increased mesangial eletron-deposits in HBV-MN patients. All 7 patients received antiviral therapy, and one patient received immunosuppresants due to severe nephrotic syndrome with acute myocardial infarction and elevated serum creatinine. Compared with IMN group, the prevalence of remission without immunosuppressive therapy of HBV-MN patients was higher (85.7% vs. 43.7%), while the percentage of patients receiving immunosuppresants was lower (14.3% vs. 47.9%) (P=0.048).

CONCLUSION: Compared with IMN patients, PLA2R positive HBV-MN patients had a more favorable prognosis after antiviral therapy, indicating a secondary form of MN. For these patients, antiviral treatment is recommended and long observation time should be provided before use of immunosuppressive treatment.

PMID:35818032 | DOI:10.1186/s12882-022-02871-y

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Is age at menopause decreasing? – The consequences of not completing the generational cohort

BMC Med Res Methodol. 2022 Jul 11;22(1):187. doi: 10.1186/s12874-022-01658-x.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Due to contradictory results in current research, whether age at menopause is increasing or decreasing in Western countries remains an open question, yet worth studying as later ages at menopause are likely to be related to an increased risk of breast cancer. Using data from breast cancer screening programs to study the temporal trend of age at menopause is difficult since especially younger women in the same generational cohort have often not yet reached menopause. Deleting these younger women in a breast cancer risk analyses may bias the results. The aim of this study is therefore to recover missing menopause ages as a covariate by comparing methods for handling missing data. Additionally, the study makes a contribution to understanding the evolution of age at menopause for several generations born in Portugal between 1920 and 1970.

METHODS: Data from a breast cancer screening program in Portugal including 278,282 women aged 45-69 and collected between 1990 and 2010 are used to compare two approaches of imputing age at menopause: (i) a multiple imputation methodology based on a truncated distribution but ignoring the mechanism of missingness; (ii) a copula-based multiple imputation method that simultaneously handles the age at menopause and the missing mechanism. The linear predictors considered in both cases have a semiparametric additive structure accommodating linear and non-linear effects defined via splines or Markov random fields smoothers in the case of spatial variables.

RESULTS: Both imputation methods unveiled an increasing trend of age at menopause when viewed as a function of the birth year for the youngest generation. This trend is hidden if we model only women with an observed age at menopause.

CONCLUSION: When studying age at menopause, missing ages must be recovered with an adequate procedure for incomplete data. Imputing these missing ages avoids excluding the younger generation cohort of the screening program in breast cancer risk analyses and hence reduces the bias stemming from this exclusion. In addition, imputing the not yet observed ages of menopause for mostly younger women is also crucial when studying the time trend of age at menopause otherwise the analysis will be biased.

PMID:35818026 | DOI:10.1186/s12874-022-01658-x

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Factor structure, measurement invariance, and concurrent validity of the Patient Health Questionnaire-9 and the Generalized Anxiety Disorder scale-7 in a Norwegian psychiatric outpatient sample

BMC Psychiatry. 2022 Jul 11;22(1):461. doi: 10.1186/s12888-022-04101-z.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to test factor structure, measurement invariance, and concurrent validity of the nine item Patient Health Questionnaire-9 (PHQ-9) and the seven item Generalized Anxiety Disorder scale-7 (GAD-7) in a heterogeneous outpatient sample.

METHOD: Outpatients completed the PHQ-9, GAD-7, and the Working Social Adjustment Scale (WSAS) before starting treatment. Study design was cross-sectional, with convenience sampling. The total sample consisted of 831 participants (61% women).

RESULTS: Both PHQ-9 and GAD-7 demonstrated better fit statistics with two-factor and bifactor solutions consisting of a cognitive and somatic factor. Omega hierarchical was .78 for PHQ-9 and .81 for GAD-7. Both instruments achieved scalar invariance across gender, diagnosis, and comorbidity. However, the somatic factors demonstrated poor discriminant validity. These factors are not well separatable and risks being too similar if used together. The general factors of both instruments were most associated with functional impairment, although PHQ-9 demonstrated a stronger association with WSAS (γ = .74, r2 = .62) than GAD-7 (γ = .54, r2 = .32). Using latent mean difference, women and patients with comorbidity had significantly higher scores of both depression and anxiety.

CONCLUSION: This study shows that the PHQ-9 and GAD-7 may be used as one-dimensional instruments in clinical settings. Tests for measurement invariance supported that both measures are understood and interpreted comparably across gender and diagnostic subgroups.

PMID:35818021 | DOI:10.1186/s12888-022-04101-z

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Predictors of reported alcohol intake during the first and second waves of the COVID-19 pandemic in Canada among middle-aged and older adults: results from the Canadian Longitudinal Study on Aging (CLSA)

Can J Public Health. 2022 Jul 11. doi: 10.17269/s41997-022-00661-5. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To examine proportions and predictors of change in alcohol intake and binge drinking during the first 2 waves of the COVID-19 pandemic among middle-aged and older participants in the Canadian Longitudinal Study on Aging (CLSA) COVID-19 Questionnaire Study.

METHODS: A total of 28,559 (67.2% of the potential sample) CLSA participants consented to the study with 24,114 completing the exit survey (fall 2020). Descriptive statistics and logistic regressions to examine predictors of change (increase or decrease) in alcohol intake and binge drinking were performed.

RESULTS: Among alcohol users, 26.3% reported a change in alcohol consumption during the first 10 months of the pandemic. Similar percentages increased (13.0%) or decreased (13.3%) consumption. In our mutually adjusted logistic regression model, odds of change in alcohol intake were greater for younger age, higher income, current cannabis smoker, positive screen for depression, anxiety, and loneliness. The magnitude of all associations for decreased intake was less than that of increased intake, and the directions were opposite for male sex and age. Predictors of current binge drinking (27.9% of alcohol users) included male sex, younger age, higher education and income, cannabis use, depression, and anxiety.

CONCLUSION: Factors predictive of potentially worrisome alcohol use (i.e. increased intake, binge drinking) included younger age, sex, greater education and income, living alone, cannabis use, and worse mental health. Some of these factors were also associated with decreased intake, but the magnitudes of associations were smaller. This information may help direct screening efforts and interventions towards individuals at risk for problematic alcohol intake during the pandemic.

PMID:35818014 | DOI:10.17269/s41997-022-00661-5

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

From Mendel to quantitative genetics in the genome era: the scientific legacy of W. G. Hill

Nat Genet. 2022 Jul 11. doi: 10.1038/s41588-022-01103-1. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

The quantitative geneticist W. G. (‘Bill’) Hill, awardee of the 2018 Darwin Medal of the Royal Society and the 2019 Mendel Medal of the Genetics Society (United Kingdom), died on 17 December 2021 at the age of 81 years. Here, we pay tribute to his multiple key scientific contributions, which span population and evolutionary genetics, animal and plant breeding and human genetics. We discuss his theoretical research on the role of linkage disequilibrium (LD) and mutational variance in the response to selection, the origin of the widely used LD metric r2 in genomic association studies, the genetic architecture of complex traits, the quantification of the variation in realized relationships given a pedigree relationship and much more. We demonstrate that basic theoretical research in quantitative and statistical genetics has led to profound insights into the genetics and evolution of complex traits and made predictions that were subsequently empirically validated, often decades later.

PMID:35817969 | DOI:10.1038/s41588-022-01103-1

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Phage defence by deaminase-mediated depletion of deoxynucleotides in bacteria

Nat Microbiol. 2022 Jul 11. doi: 10.1038/s41564-022-01162-4. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Vibrio cholerae biotype El Tor is perpetuating the longest cholera pandemic in recorded history. The genomic islands VSP-1 and VSP-2 distinguish El Tor from previous pandemic V. cholerae strains. Using a co-occurrence analysis of VSP genes in >200,000 bacterial genomes we built gene networks to infer biological functions encoded in these islands. This revealed that dncV, a component of the cyclic-oligonucleotide-based anti-phage signalling system (CBASS) anti-phage defence system, co-occurs with an uncharacterized gene vc0175 that we rename avcD for anti-viral cytodine deaminase. We show that AvcD is a deoxycytidylate deaminase and that its activity is post-translationally inhibited by a non-coding RNA named AvcI. AvcID and bacterial homologues protect bacterial populations against phage invasion by depleting free deoxycytidine nucleotides during infection, thereby decreasing phage replication. Homologues of avcD exist in all three domains of life, and bacterial AvcID defends against phage infection by combining traits of two eukaryotic innate viral immunity proteins, APOBEC and SAMHD1.

PMID:35817890 | DOI:10.1038/s41564-022-01162-4

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Obesity and “obesity-related” cancers: are there body mass index cut-points?

Int J Obes (Lond). 2022 Jul 11. doi: 10.1038/s41366-022-01178-0. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Despite compelling links between excess body weight and cancer, body mass index (BMI) cut-points, or thresholds above which cancer incidence increased, have not been identified. The objective of this study was to determine if BMI cut-points exist for 14 obesity-related cancers.

SUBJECTS/METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study, patients 18-75 years old were included if they had ≥2 clinical encounters with BMI measurements in the electronic health record (EHR) at a single academic medical center from 2008 to 2018. Patients who were pregnant, had a history of cancer, or had undergone bariatric surgery were excluded. Adjusted logistic regression was performed to identify cancers that were associated with increasing BMI. For those cancers, BMI cut-points were calculated using adjusted quantile regression for cancer incidence at 80% sensitivity. Logistic and quantile regression models were adjusted for age, sex, race/ethnicity, and smoking status.

RESULTS: A total of 7079 cancer patients (mean age 58.5 years, mean BMI 30.5 kg/m2) and 270,441 non-cancer patients (mean age 43.8 years, mean BMI 28.8 kg/m2) were included in the study. In adjusted logistic regression analyses, statistically significant associations were identified between increasing BMI and the incidence of kidney, thyroid, and uterine cancer. BMI cut-points were identified for kidney (26.3 kg/m2) and uterine (26.9 kg/m2) cancer.

CONCLUSIONS: BMI cut-points that accurately predicted development kidney and uterine cancer occurred in the overweight category. Analysis of multi-institutional EHR data may help determine if these relationships are generalizable to other health care settings. If they are, incorporation of BMI into the screening algorithms for these cancers may be warranted.

PMID:35817851 | DOI:10.1038/s41366-022-01178-0

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Variation in human 3D trunk shape and its functional implications in hominin evolution

Sci Rep. 2022 Jul 11;12(1):11762. doi: 10.1038/s41598-022-15344-x.

ABSTRACT

This study investigates the contribution of external trunk morphology and posture to running performance in an evolutionary framework. It has been proposed that the evolution from primitive to derived features of torso shape involved changes from a mediolaterally wider into a narrower, and antero-posteriorly deeper into a shallower, more lightly built external trunk configuration, possibly in relation to habitat-related changes in locomotor and running behaviour. In this context we produced experimental data to address the hypothesis that medio-laterally narrow and antero-posteriorly shallow torso morphologies favour endurance running capacities. We used 3D geometric morphometrics to relate external 3D trunk shape of trained, young male volunteers (N = 27) to variation in running velocities during different workloads determined at 45-50%, 70% and 85% of heart rate reserve (HRR) and maximum velocity. Below 85% HRR no relationship existed between torso shape and running velocity. However, at 85% HRR and, more clearly, at maximum velocity, we found highly statistically significant relations between external torso shape and running performance. Among all trained subjects those with a relatively narrow, flat torso, a small thoracic kyphosis and a more pronounced lumbar lordosis achieved significantly higher running velocities. These results support the hypothesis that external trunk morphology relates to running performance. Low thoracic kyphosis with a flatter ribcage may affect positively respiratory biomechanics, while increased lordosis affects trunk posture and may be beneficial for lower limb biomechanics related to leg return. Assuming that running workload at 45-50% HRR occurs within aerobic metabolism, our results may imply that external torso shape is unrelated to the evolution of endurance running performance.

PMID:35817835 | DOI:10.1038/s41598-022-15344-x