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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Identifying causal relationships of cancer treatment and long-term health effects among 5-year survivors of childhood cancer in Southern Sweden

Commun Med (Lond). 2022 Mar 2;2:21. doi: 10.1038/s43856-022-00081-z. eCollection 2022.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Survivors of childhood cancer can develop adverse health events later in life. Infrequent occurrences and scarcity of structured information result in analytical and statistical challenges. Alternative statistical approaches are required to investigate the basis of late effects in smaller data sets.

METHODS: Here we describe sex-specific health care use, mortality and causal associations between primary diagnosis, treatment and outcomes in a small cohort (n = 2315) of 5-year survivors of childhood cancer (n = 2129) in southern Sweden and a control group (n = 11,882; age-, sex- and region-matched from the general population). We developed a constraint-based method for causal inference based on Bayesian estimation of distributions, and used it to investigate health care use and causal associations between diagnoses, treatments and outcomes. Mortality was analyzed by the Kaplan-Meier method.

RESULTS: Our results confirm a significantly higher health care usage and premature mortality among childhood cancer survivors as compared to controls. The developed method for causal inference identifies 98 significant associations (p < 0.0001) where most are well known (n = 73; 74.5%). Hitherto undescribed associations are identified (n = 5; 5.1%). These were between use of alkylating agents and eye conditions, topoisomerase inhibitors and viral infections; pituitary surgery and intestinal infections; and cervical cancer and endometritis. We discuss study-related biases (n = 20; 20.4%) and limitations.

CONCLUSIONS: The findings contribute to a broader understanding of the consequences of cancer treatment. The study shows relevance for small data sets and causal inference, and presents the method as a complement to traditional statistical approaches.

PMID:35603279 | PMC:PMC9053221 | DOI:10.1038/s43856-022-00081-z

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Nationwide increases in anti-SARS-CoV-2 IgG antibodies between October 2020 and March 2021 in the unvaccinated Czech population

Commun Med (Lond). 2022 Mar 1;2:19. doi: 10.1038/s43856-022-00080-0. eCollection 2022.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The aim of the nationwide prospective seroconversion (PROSECO) study was to investigate the dynamics of anti-SARS-CoV-2 IgG antibodies in the Czech population. Here we report on baseline prevalence from that study.

METHODS: The study included the first 30,054 persons who provided a blood sample between October 2020 and March 2021. Seroprevalence was compared between calendar periods, previous RT-PCR results and other factors.

RESULTS: The data show a large increase in seropositivity over time, from 28% in October/November 2020 to 43% in December 2020/January 2021 to 51% in February/March 2021. These trends were consistent with government data on cumulative viral antigenic prevalence in the population captured by PCR testing – although the seroprevalence rates established in this study were considerably higher. There were only minor differences in seropositivity between sexes, age groups and BMI categories, and results were similar between test providing laboratories. Seropositivity was substantially higher among persons with history of symptoms (76% vs. 34%). At least one third of all seropositive participants had no history of symptoms, and 28% of participants with antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 never underwent PCR testing.

CONCLUSIONS: Our data confirm the rapidly increasing prevalence in the Czech population during the rising pandemic wave prior to the beginning of vaccination. The difference between our results on seroprevalence and PCR testing suggests that antibody response provides a better marker of past infection than the routine testing program.

PMID:35603283 | PMC:PMC9053194 | DOI:10.1038/s43856-022-00080-0

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Estimating the COVID-19 infection fatality ratio accounting for seroreversion using statistical modelling

Commun Med (Lond). 2022 May 19;2:54. doi: 10.1038/s43856-022-00106-7. eCollection 2022.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The infection fatality ratio (IFR) is a key statistic for estimating the burden of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and has been continuously debated throughout the COVID-19 pandemic. The age-specific IFR can be quantified using antibody surveys to estimate total infections, but requires consideration of delay-distributions from time from infection to seroconversion, time to death, and time to seroreversion (i.e. antibody waning) alongside serologic test sensitivity and specificity. Previous IFR estimates have not fully propagated uncertainty or accounted for these potential biases, particularly seroreversion.

METHODS: We built a Bayesian statistical model that incorporates these factors and applied this model to simulated data and 10 serologic studies from different countries.

RESULTS: We demonstrate that seroreversion becomes a crucial factor as time accrues but is less important during first-wave, short-term dynamics. We additionally show that disaggregating surveys by regions with higher versus lower disease burden can inform serologic test specificity estimates. The overall IFR in each setting was estimated at 0.49-2.53%.

CONCLUSION: We developed a robust statistical framework to account for full uncertainties in the parameters determining IFR. We provide code for others to apply these methods to further datasets and future epidemics.

PMID:35603270 | PMC:PMC9120146 | DOI:10.1038/s43856-022-00106-7

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Spatio-temporal variations and contextual factors of the supply of Airbnb in Rome. An initial investigation

Lett Spat Resour Sci. 2022 May 17:1-17. doi: 10.1007/s12076-022-00302-y. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

This paper offers an analysis of the supply of Airbnb accommodation in Rome, one of the main tourist destinations in the world, the third-largest city in Europe, by the number of Airbnb listings. The aim is to focus on the recent spatial trend of Airbnb listings, including the period of the COVID-19 pandemic, and highlight the main housing and socioeconomic characteristics of the neighbourhoods associated with a strong presence of Airbnb listings. The study is developed with quantitative methods and spatial regression (spatial lag and spatial error using OLS as a benchmark), based on data collected from the Inside Airbnb and Tomslee websites. In the period 2014-2019, the listing trend in Rome has been increasing in absolute numbers. After the start of the pandemic, the trend became negative, and the decline of Airbnb offerings is more substantial for shared accommodation. Airbnb supply is related to the distance from the city centre, the average income of the area, empty apartments, singles and the share of foreign residents coming from high-income countries. A signal of spatial diffusion of Airbnb listings emerges in the coastal area, even if they are increasingly concentrated in the historic centre, where there is a monoculture of short-term renting.

PMID:35603260 | PMC:PMC9112640 | DOI:10.1007/s12076-022-00302-y

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Health care-associated infections, including device-associated infections, and antimicrobial resistance in Iran: The national update for 2018

J Prev Med Hyg. 2022 Jan 31;62(4):E943-E949. doi: 10.15167/2421-4248/jpmh2021.62.4.1801. eCollection 2021 Dec.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Surveillance of health care-associated infections (HAIs) is an essential part of an efficient healthcare system. This study is an update on incidence and mortality rates of HAIs in Iran in 2018.

METHODS: Almost all hospitals across the country (940 hospitals) entered the data of HAIs and denominators to the Iranian Nosocomial Infections Surveillance (INIS) software. Statistics were derived from INIS.

RESULTS: From 9,607,213 hospitalized patients, 127,953 suffered from HAI, 15.65% of whom died. The incidence rate of HAI was calculated as 4.2 per 1000 patient-days. Considering relative frequencies among HAIs, Pneumonia (29.1%) and UTIs (25.6%) were the most common types of infection. Ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP) was the most frequent device-associated infection (DAI) 25.66 per 1000 ventilator-days, and had the highest mortality rate (43.08%). Incidence density of other DAIs was 5.43 for catheter-associated UTI and 2.86 for catheter-associated BSI per 1000 device-days. Medical ICUs had the highest incidence and percentage of deaths (15.35% and 37.63%, respectively). The most causative organisms were Escherichia coli, Acinetobacter baumannii, and Klebsiella pneumonia. The rate of methicillin-resistance Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA), vancomycin-resistant Enterococcus (VRE), and Klebsiella pneumoniae carbapenemase (KPC)-producing bacteria was about 49%, 57%, and 58% respectively.

CONCLUSION: This study provided an overview of HAIs in Iran and indicated that HAIs required special attention both in detection/reporting and in infection control measures. Future studies could be done on adherence rate of DAIs’ preventive bundles, interventions via multimodal strategies, evaluating the effect of training, and effect of antibiotic stewardship programs.

PMID:35603257 | PMC:PMC9104666 | DOI:10.15167/2421-4248/jpmh2021.62.4.1801

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The relationship between demographic factors and levels of self-care against coronavirus in pregnant women referred to maternity wards

J Prev Med Hyg. 2022 Jan 31;62(4):E904-E908. doi: 10.15167/2421-4248/jpmh2021.62.4.2176. eCollection 2021 Dec.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The adverse effects of coronavirus infection on pregnant women and their infants are not apparent. The best strategies to deal with this disease is avoiding the infection and preventing its transmission.

PURPOSE: the present study aimed to investigate the relationship between demographic factors and levels of self-care against coronavirus in pregnant women referred to maternity wards of Kerman, southeast Iran.

METHOD: The present descriptive study was conducted on 200 pregnant women who referred to maternity wards in Kerman in 2020 and met the inclusion criteria. The required information was collected using demographic and obstetric questionnaires and a self-care checklist.

FINDINGS: The mean age of the participants was 28.89 ± 7.07. Iranian and Afghan citizens comprised 82 and 18% of the participants, respectively. The highest level of self-care measures against coronavirus in pregnant women was attributed to the use of face masks (74%), and the lowest was warning the personnel to wear masks (28%). There was a statistically significant relationship between the nationality of the participants and warning the personnel to wear facemasks (r = 0.183; p = 0.02), having a sick spouse (r=0.149;P = 0.039), and having a sick child (r = 0.191; p = 0.043), and between the husbands’ job and the patients’ demand for a private room (r = 0.173; p = 0.013). There was an inverse relationship between mothers’ age and warning the personnel about paying attention to their hygiene (r = -0.145; p = 0.04).

CONCLUSIONS: The results indicated that most pregnant women in the present study were active in self-care against coronavirus. Using face masks was more widely followed than other self-care measures; moreover, there was a relationship between personal characteristics and self-care levels.

PMID:35603249 | PMC:PMC9104661 | DOI:10.15167/2421-4248/jpmh2021.62.4.2176

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

A study on parental awareness of feeding practices in children in the age-group 12-24 months

J Prev Med Hyg. 2022 Jan 31;62(4):E909-E917. doi: 10.15167/2421-4248/jpmh2021.62.4.2287. eCollection 2021 Dec.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Nutrition plays an integral part in growth and development of a child. Age-appropriate feeding is known to improve the child’s well-being and reduce the risk of specific diseases. The present study aimed to assess the awareness of parents regarding breastfeeding and complementary feeding practices.

METHODOLOGY: This health-based prospective observational study was conducted in a tertiary care hospital enrolling 95 parents with children in the age group 1-2 years. The data was analyzed using SPSS version 26 and Microsoft excel.

RESULTS: In the present study, the prevalence of exclusive breastfeeding was 73.68%. Eighty-six (90.53%) parents initiated complementary feeds at 6 months. However, only 45.26% of children were consuming adequate quantity of complementary foods. The association of child’s calorie consumption with maternal age and occupation was found to be statistically significant.

CONCLUSION: Adequate nutrition during childhood and infancy is a key factor influencing growth and development. In the present study, the overall breastfeeding and complimentary feeding practices were satisfactory. However, the quantity of complementary feeding was inadequate. Counselling the mothers on appropriate breastfeeding and complementary feeding practices during antenatal and postnatal visits may have a positive impact on infant feeding practices.

PMID:35603241 | PMC:PMC9104673 | DOI:10.15167/2421-4248/jpmh2021.62.4.2287

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Correlation between retinal oxygen saturation and the haemodynamic parameters of the ophthalmic artery in healthy subjects

Acta Ophthalmol. 2022 May 22. doi: 10.1111/aos.15189. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: The aim of the study was to obtain the values of oxygen saturation in retinal vessels and ophthalmic blood flow parameters in a healthy Caucasian population and assess whether the oximetry parameters are affected by the flow rate or the vascular resistance.

METHODS: The spectrophotometric retinal oximetry and colour Doppler imaging (CDI) of retinal vessels were successfully performed with 52 healthy subjects (average age 29.7 ± 5.6 years). The retinal oximeter simultaneously measures the wavelength difference of haemoglobin oxygen saturation in retinal arterioles and venules. The arteriolar and venular saturation in both eyes was measured. The peak systolic (PSV) end diastolic (EDV) velocities, resistive (RI) and pulsatility (PI) indices were obtained for both eyes using CDI in the ophthalmic artery. A paired t-test and two sample t-tests were used for statistical analyses. The correlation was assessed using the Pearson coefficient correlation.

RESULTS: The mean oxygen saturation level was 96.9 ± 3.0% for the retinal arterioles and 65.0 ± 5.1% for the retinal venules. The A-V difference was 31.8 ± 4.6%. The mean of the measured haemodynamic parameters was PSV 46.6 ± 9.4 cm/s, EDV 12.0 ± 3.5 cm/s, PI 1.68 ± 0.38 and RI 0.74 ± 0.05. No significant difference in oxygen saturation and haemodynamic parameters was found between the left and the right eyes or the dominant and non-dominant eye. The oximetry and ultrasound values were sex independent. The Pearson correlation coefficient demonstrated a significant yet weak negative correlation between A-V difference and RI (r = -0.321, p = 0.020).

CONCLUSIONS: A negative correlation between A-V difference and resistance index was observed, suggesting that reduced oxygen consumption may reflect the increased vascular tone of the ophthalmic vessels, which is likely determined by autoregulatory mechanisms.

PMID:35599335 | DOI:10.1111/aos.15189

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Effect of NaOCl and EDTA irrigating solutions on the cyclic fatigue resistance of EdgeTaper Platinum instruments

BMC Oral Health. 2022 May 22;22(1):195. doi: 10.1186/s12903-022-02215-0.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: To compare the solution on the cyclic fatigue resistance of EdgeTaper Platinum (ETP) instruments with that of ProTaper Gold (PTG) in the presence of ethylenediaminetetraacetic acid (EDTA) or sodium hypochlorite (NaOCl) irrigating solutions.

METHODS: Sixty PTG and 60 ETP instruments with the same size (#25) and taper (8%) were tested under 17% EDTA, 5.25% NaOCl, or distilled water (n = 20 each). Cyclic fatigue was tested using artificial canals that were milled in stainless steel blocks using a laser micromachining technique. The canals had a curvature angle of 60 and a curvature radius of 5 mm. The center of maximum curvature was set at 5 mm from the instrument tip. The block of artificial canals was stabilized inside a container that was filled with one of the tested solutions. The temperature was fixed at 37 °C with a tolerance limit of 1 °C. The number of cycles to fracture (NCF) was calculated and the fractured surfaces were examined using a scanning electron microscope. All statistical analyses were performed using SPSS software Version 20 (IBM-SPSS Inc., Chicago, IL) at a confidence level of 95%.

RESULTS: ETP showed higher NCF than PTG in any of the tested solutions (P < 0.05). Within each group, NaOCl drastically decreased the NCF compared to water and EDTA (P < 0.05) and changing the solution from distilled water to EDTA did not affect the fatigue resistance (P > 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS: ETP showed improved cyclic fatigue performance compared to PTG in all tested irrigating solutions. EDTA can be used in combination with NiTi instruments during canal instrumentation without compromising the cyclic fatigue resistance of PTG and ETP instruments. However, NaOCl drastically decreased the NCF.

PMID:35599316 | DOI:10.1186/s12903-022-02215-0

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Gut microbiota predicts body fat change following a low-energy diet: a PREVIEW intervention study

Genome Med. 2022 May 23;14(1):54. doi: 10.1186/s13073-022-01053-7.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Low-energy diets (LEDs) comprise commercially formulated food products that provide between 800 and 1200 kcal/day (3.3-5 MJ/day) to aid body weight loss. Recent small-scale studies suggest that LEDs are associated with marked changes in the gut microbiota that may modify the effect of the LED on host metabolism and weight loss. We investigated how the gut microbiota changed during 8 weeks of total meal replacement LED and determined their associations with host response in a sub-analysis of 211 overweight adults with pre-diabetes participating in the large multicentre PREVIEW (PREVention of diabetes through lifestyle intervention and population studies In Europe and around the World) clinical trial.

METHODS: Microbial community composition was analysed by Illumina sequencing of the hypervariable V3-V4 regions of the 16S ribosomal RNA (rRNA) gene. Butyrate production capacity was estimated by qPCR targeting the butyryl-CoA:acetate CoA-transferase gene. Bioinformatics and statistical analyses, such as comparison of alpha and beta diversity measures, correlative and differential abundances analysis, were undertaken on the 16S rRNA gene sequences of 211 paired (pre- and post-LED) samples as well as their integration with the clinical, biomedical and dietary datasets for predictive modelling.

RESULTS: The overall composition of the gut microbiota changed markedly and consistently from pre- to post-LED (P = 0.001), along with increased richness and diversity (both P < 0.001). Following the intervention, the relative abundance of several genera previously associated with metabolic improvements (e.g., Akkermansia and Christensenellaceae R-7 group) was significantly increased (P < 0.001), while flagellated Pseudobutyrivibrio, acetogenic Blautia and Bifidobacterium spp. were decreased (all P < 0.001). Butyrate production capacity was reduced (P < 0.001). The changes in microbiota composition and predicted functions were significantly associated with body weight loss (P < 0.05). Baseline gut microbiota features were able to explain ~25% of variation in total body fat change (post-pre-LED).

CONCLUSIONS: The gut microbiota and individual taxa were significantly influenced by the LED intervention and correlated with changes in total body fat and body weight in individuals with overweight and pre-diabetes. Despite inter-individual variation, the baseline gut microbiota was a strong predictor of total body fat change during the energy restriction period.

TRIAL REGISTRATION: The PREVIEW trial was prospectively registered at ClinicalTrials.gov ( NCT01777893 ) on January 29, 2013.

PMID:35599315 | DOI:10.1186/s13073-022-01053-7