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Nevin Manimala Statistics

MELD-Na Accurately Predicts 6-Month Mortality in Patients With Decompensated Cirrhosis: Potential Trigger for Hospice Referral

J Clin Gastroenterol. 2021 Nov 22. doi: 10.1097/MCG.0000000000001642. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

GOAL: The goal of this study was to determine the accuracy of Model of End-stage Liver Disease-Sodium (MELD-Na) in predicting 6-month mortality for patients listed for liver transplantation on the United Network of Organ Sharing (UNOS) waitlist.

BACKGROUND: End-stage liver disease patients underutilize hospice services despite significant morbidity and mortality associated with advanced liver disease. A well-known barrier to hospice referral is clinician uncertainty in identifying patients with an expected survival of <6 months, a requirement for a referral.

METHODS: Retrospective cross-sectional analysis was performed from UNOS data spanning February 27, 2002, to September 30, 2019. Inclusion criteria of patients aged 18 years and above, diagnosis of cirrhosis, liver transplant eligible, and listed in the UNOS database. Exclusion criteria included fulminant hepatic failure, prior history of liver transplantation, diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma, receipt of liver transplant in <180 days, or removal from waiting list <180 days for a reason other than death.

MEASUREMENT: Mortality by 180 days.

RESULTS: Of the 93,157 patients that met inclusion criteria, MELD-Na was calculated for all patients with sodium, total bilirubin, international normalized ratio, and creatinine available (N=79,611). The c-statistic with 95% confidence interval for MELD-Na for the predicted 6-month mortality was 0.83 (0.827-0.835). Mean MELD-Na of 28.2 was associated with ≤50% 6-month survival.

CONCLUSION: MELD-Na is an objective, quick measure that can aid providers in identifying patients with increased 6-month mortality in time-constrained settings, and a score of 28 can trigger the discussion for hospice as a means of improving value-based health care.

PMID:34802021 | DOI:10.1097/MCG.0000000000001642

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Conceptual Issues in Acute and Transient Psychotic Disorders

Psychopathology. 2021 Nov 19:1-6. doi: 10.1159/000520087. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Short-lived psychotic disorders as currently listed under “acute and transient psychotic disorder,” ICD-11 Classification of Mental, Behavioural, and Neurodevelopmental Disorders, and “brief psychotic disorder,” Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders (DSM-5), constitute a point of divergence in the classification of psychotic disorders between the 2 diagnostic systems, which reveals the lack of knowledge about these conditions. Whether this is due to conceptual shortcomings inherent to the categories themselves and which spill over onto research or reflects a mismatch between the diagnostic criteria used and research techniques needs clarification. This study aimed to examine conceptual issues involved in the development of the above categories and shows that little continuity exists between earlier nosological concepts such as bouffée délirante, cycloid psychosis, and reactive psychosis and modern descriptive categories used to classify short-lived psychotic disorders. It seems likely that shortcomings in terms of symptom completeness, specificity, and heterogeneity, in addition to changes in definition and diagnostic criteria in successive DSM and ICD versions, have hampered empirical research, making it difficult to enhance the understanding of these conditions and achieve a closer concordance between the 2 classificatory systems.

PMID:34802004 | DOI:10.1159/000520087

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Risk of Postoperative Renal Failure in Radical Nephrectomy and Nephroureterectomy: A Validated Risk Prediction Model

Urol Int. 2021 Nov 19:1-8. doi: 10.1159/000519480. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: The study aimed to construct and validate a risk prediction model for incidence of postoperative renal failure (PORF) following radical nephrectomy and nephroureterectomy.

METHODS: The American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS-NSQIP) database years 2005-2014 were used for the derivation cohort. A stepwise multivariate logistic regression analysis was conducted, and the final model was validated with an independent cohort from the ACS-NSQIP database years 2015-2017.

RESULTS: In cohort of 14,519 patients, 296 (2.0%) developed PORF. The final 9-factor model included age, gender, diabetes, hypertension, BMI, preoperative creatinine, hematocrit, platelet count, and surgical approach. Model receiver-operator curve analysis provided a C-statistic of 0.79 (0.77, 0.82; p < 0.001), and overall calibration testing R2 was 0.99. Model performance in the validation cohort provided a C-statistic of 0.79 (0.76, 0.81; p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION: PORF is a known risk factor for chronic kidney disease and cardiovascular morbidity, and is a common occurrence after unilateral kidney removal. The authors propose a robust and validated risk prediction model to aid in identification of high-risk patients and optimization of perioperative care.

PMID:34802009 | DOI:10.1159/000519480

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Timing of postoperative radiation therapy and survival in resected salivary gland cancers: Long-term results from a single institution

Oral Oncol. 2021 Nov 18;123:105626. doi: 10.1016/j.oraloncology.2021.105626. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Timely administration of postoperative radiation therapy (PORT) impacts oncologic outcomes in resected squamous cell carcinomas of the head and neck. Salivary gland cancers (SGCs) are uncommon, and timing of PORT has not been extensively explored. We aimed to determine if the interval between surgery and PORT impacts outcomes in SGCs.

MATERIALS AND METHODS: This is a retrospective study of patients with SGCs who underwent curative intent surgical resection followed by adjuvant PORT. Locoregional recurrence free survival (LRFS), disease free survival (DFS), and overall survival (OS) were estimated using the Kaplan Meier method. A multivariate analysis explored the association between demographics, tumor characteristics, and PORT timing with oncologic outcomes using a stepwise Cox proportional hazards model.

RESULTS: 180 eligible patients were identified. The median time to PORT start was 61 (range 8-121) days. 169 (93.5%) of patients received neutron radiation. With a median follow up of 8.2 years in surviving patients, the 10-year OS and LRFS estimates were 61% and 53%. In a multivariate analysis, nodal involvement, histologic grade, and age at diagnosis were associated with OS, while nodal involvement, tumor size, and age at diagnosis were associated with LRFS and DFS. Time to PORT start or completion was not statistically associated with survival outcomes.

CONCLUSION: SGC patients who underwent surgery in our tertiary institution received PORT within a median of 61 days after surgery. With long term follow up, PORT timing in this retrospective series was not associated with worse oncologic outcomes, and support timely administration of PORT.

PMID:34801976 | DOI:10.1016/j.oraloncology.2021.105626

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Az időskori szédülés életminőségre kifejtett hatása

Orv Hetil. 2021 Nov 21;162(47):1891-1896. doi: 10.1556/650.2021.32271.

ABSTRACT

Összefoglaló. Bevezetés: A szédülés időskorban gyakori panasz, amely jelentősen befolyásolja az életminőséget. Háttere sok esetben multifaktoriális, egyes esetekben azonban jól meghatározott ok kimutatható. Célkitűzés: Kutatásunk célja az időskori szédülő populáció panaszainak, valamint életminőségének felmérése volt. Anyag és módszer: Kutatásunkba 36 (13 férfi, 23 nőbeteg, átlagéletkor ± SD, 72,78 év ± 4,6), Otoneurológiai Ambulanciánkon szédülés miatt vizsgált, 65 év feletti beteget vontunk be. Ők az általunk összeállított, panaszokkal és rizikófaktorokkal kapcsolatos kérdőív mellett a Dizziness Handicap Inventory-t is kitöltötték. Az utóbbi alapján meghatározható volt az életminőség-romlás, illetve annak mértéke. A statisztikai elemzést az IBM SPSS V24 szoftver segítségével végeztük, Mann-Whitney U-teszt és khi-négyzet-próba alapján. Minden esetben p<0,05 értéket tekintettünk szignifikáns különbségnek. Eredmények: A leggyakoribb diagnózisként a Ménière-betegséget, valamint a centrális vestibularis eltéréseket detektáltuk. A betegek visszajelzése alapján a szédülés volt a legdominánsabb tünet, amely a leggyakrabban órákig, illetve napokig tartott, és fele arányban volt forgó jellegű. Emellett a fülzúgás, a halláscsökkenés, valamint a vegetatív tünetek is dominánsak voltak. A leggyakoribb társbetegségek közül gyakoriságuk miatt kiemelendők a mozgásszervi, illetve szemészeti eltérések, a hypertonia, valamint a pszichiátriai betegségek. A betegek 77,8%-a jelzett valamilyen mértékű életminőség-romlást, és kiemelendő, hogy 30%-uk a súlyos kategóriába esett. A Dizziness Handicap Inventory kérdőívek alapján a fizikális, funkcionális, valamint emocionális részpontszámok hasonló értéket mutattak. Következtetés: Az időskori szédülés lényeges a beteg romló életminősége szempontjából. A társuló komorbiditások mellett a háttérben álló vestibularis eltérések kizárása, illetve diagnosztizálása fontos feladat. Ennek függvényében tervezhető a terápia, amely kapcsán a kísérő tünetekre is fontos hangsúlyt fektetni. Így az érintett betegek életminősége javítható. Orv Hetil. 2021; 162(47): 1891-1896.

INTRODUCTION: Vertigo is a common complaint in elderly, which has significant influence on the patients’ quality of life. In many cases its background is complex, although, in some cases specific diagnosis can be made.

OBJECTIVE: Our study aimed to analyze the symptoms and quality of life of old-age vertiginous population.

MATERIAL AND METHOD: 36 patients (13 males, 23 females, mean age ± SD, 72.78 years ± 4.6) over 65 years, examined due to vertigo at our Neurotologic Department, were enrolled. A questionnaire including questions regarding the symptoms, risk factors, along with the Dizziness Handicap Inventory was used. Statistical analysis was carried out using IBM SPSS V24 software. Mann-Whitney U and chi square tests were used. Statistical significance was defined as p<0.05.

RESULTS: Ménière’s disease and central vestibular disorders were found as the most frequent diagnoses. Vertigo was the most tormenting symptom, which usually lasted for hours or days, and was defined as rotatory in 50%. Tinnitus, hearing loss and vegetative symptoms were also dominant. The most frequent comorbidities were musculoskeletal disorders, hypertension, ophthalmological diseases and psychiatric disorders. 77.8% of the patients have reported worsened quality of life, of which 30% was detected as severe. Based on the Dizziness Handicap Inventory, physical, functional and emotional scores showed similar results.

CONCLUSION: Vertigo in elderly is important due to its influence on patients’ quality of life. Besides comorbidities, the diagnosis of vestibular pathologies is of great importance. Therefore, therapy planning is possible, and patients’ quality of life can be improved. Orv Hetil. 2021; 162(47): 1891-1896.

PMID:34801982 | DOI:10.1556/650.2021.32271

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Identifying joint-specific gait mechanisms causing impaired gait in alkaptonuria patients

Gait Posture. 2021 Oct 27;91:312-317. doi: 10.1016/j.gaitpost.2021.10.034. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Alkaptonuria is a rare genetic disease that leads to structural joint damage and impaired movement function. Previous research indicates that alkaptonuria affects gait, however the detailed mechanisms are unknown.

RESEARCH QUESTION: What are the joint-specific gait mechanisms which contribute to impaired gait in alkaptonuria patients?

METHODS: The gait of 36 alkaptonuria patients were compared to those of 21 unimpaired controls. The AKU patients were split into three age groups (young 16-29 years, n = 9, middle 30-49 years, n = 16 and old 50 + years, n = 11), and the kinematic and kinetic gait profiles were compared to speed-matched controls using a spm1d two-sample t-test.

RESULTS: The young AKU group showed significant differences in the sagittal plane of the knee joint compared to speed-matched controls. The middle group showed deviations in the knee and hip joints. The old group showed significant differences in multiple joints and planes and exhibited gait mechanisms which may be compensation strategies.

SIGNIFICANCE: This study is the first to identify and describe joint-specific mechanisms during gait in alkaptonuria patients. Gait deviations were evident even in young AKU patients, including a 16-year-old, much earlier than previously thought. The knee joint is an important focus of future research and potential interventions as deviations were found across all three AKU age groups.

PMID:34800924 | DOI:10.1016/j.gaitpost.2021.10.034

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The role of tricuspite annular plane systolic excursion as a marker of hypovolemia in healthy blood donor volunteers

Am J Emerg Med. 2021 Oct 23;51:320-324. doi: 10.1016/j.ajem.2021.10.028. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

AIM: The aim of this study is to compare the diameter of the inferior vena cava with tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (TAPSE) measurement in order to determine the volume loss before and after blood donation in healthy volunteers.

METHODS: This Institutional Review Board-approved single center, prospective, cross-sectional study included 60 healthy blood donors donating in a tertiary care hospital’s blood bank. After obtaining written consent, systolic, diastolic, and mean arterial blood pressures along with pulse rate of the donors were measured in sitting and supine positions by the attending physician, then, inferior vena cava (IVC) and TAPSE measurements were made before and after blood donation.

RESULTS: Statistically significant differences was found between standing systolic blood pressure and pulse rate, lying systolic blood pressure and pulse rate, IVC and TAPSE values before and after blood donation (p < 0.05). There was no difference between the other variables before and after blood donation.

CONCLUSION: Our study revealed that, low IVC and TAPSE values correlated in determining blood loss after blood donation. TAPSE may be useful to predict blood loss in early stages of hypovolemic shock.

PMID:34800904 | DOI:10.1016/j.ajem.2021.10.028

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Estimation of stature and body weight from static and dynamic footprints – Forensic implications and validity of non-colouring cream method

Forensic Sci Int. 2021 Nov 14;330:111105. doi: 10.1016/j.forsciint.2021.111105. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

In the present study, the metric properties of dynamic footprints were analysed using non-colouring method in relation with body parameters and compared with static footprint measurements. The results of the study provide a better understanding of the relationship between static and dynamic footprints, which may be useful for biological profiling that allows more accurate identification. Stature, body weight, five length and two width parameters of dynamic (walking) footprints of young Slovak adults (65 females and 68 males) were analysed. Pearson correlation coefficients were calculated and equations for prediction of stature and body weight by linear regression analysis and multiple regression analysis were developed. Intersex differences were confirmed for all parameters and bilateral for some. Statistically significant differences were found in all measurements (p-value>0.05), except for the width of the standing and walking footprint in the mixed group. A positive correlation was found between the selected footprint diameters with stature (max – r = 0.82) and body weight (max – r = 0.70). Stature could be calculated with an accuracy of up to 4.40 cm and body weight with an accuracy of up to 9.56 kg. The results of the present study show that selected measurements of dynamic footprints correlate with stature and body weight. These results could be used in biological profiling in the medical and forensic fields.

PMID:34800909 | DOI:10.1016/j.forsciint.2021.111105

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The impacts of the Free Semester program on students’ exam nervousness

Econ Hum Biol. 2021 Nov 8;44:101079. doi: 10.1016/j.ehb.2021.101079. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

I examine the impacts of the Free Semester (FS) program, which is an exam-free semester for middle school students in South Korea, on students’ level of exam nervousness. I use a difference-in-differences approach that exploits the variation in FS-implementation across middle schools to estimate these impacts. I find that the FS program has statistically significant impacts on relieving exam nervousness during the semester in which it is run. In contrast, I find no statistically significant average medium-run impacts of the program. My subgroup analyses suggest that the reduction in exam nervousness during the FS is driven largely by high-achieving students.

PMID:34800899 | DOI:10.1016/j.ehb.2021.101079

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The protective effects of quercetin nano-emulsion on intestinal mucositis induced by 5-fluorouracil in mice

Biochem Biophys Res Commun. 2021 Nov 11;585:75-81. doi: 10.1016/j.bbrc.2021.11.005. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Intestinal mucositis is one of chemotherapeutics’ most common adverse effects, such as 5-fluorouracil (5-FU). Quercetin (QRC), a naturally occurring flavonoid, has approved antioxidant and anti-inflammatory properties. Thus, in this article, the preventive and curative effects of emulsion and nano-emulsion formulations of QRC were investigated in a model of 5-FU-induced intestinal mucositis using biochemical, histopathological, and molecular approaches.

METHOD: Thirty-six mice were divided into six different groups: Control (normal saline), 5-FU (a single dose of 5-FU 300 mg/kg), pre-treatment groups (pre-QRC, and pre-QRC-nano, receiving QRC 5 mg/kg emulsion and nano-emulsion before the induction of mucositis, respectively), and post-treatment groups (post-QRC, and post-QRC-nano, receiving QRC 5 mg/kg emulsion and nano-emulsion after the induction of mucositis, respectively).

FINDING: The administration of quercetin emulsion and nano-emulsion could significantly alleviate the oxidant-antioxidant balance of mice serum samples and reverse the destructive histopathologic changes induced by 5-FU in the intestine tissue. Nevertheless, although the expression of both pro-inflammatory genes, NF-κB and HIF-1α, was decreased when quercetin was administered to mice, this reduction was not statistically significant.

CONCLUSION: The administration of quercetin emulsion and nano-emulsion formulations could ameliorate the oxidative damage induced by chemotherapeutics, such as the 5-FU. Therefore, if confirmed in further studies, it could be used in clinical settings as a preventive and curative agent to decrease such catastrophic adverse events in chemotherapy patients.

PMID:34800883 | DOI:10.1016/j.bbrc.2021.11.005