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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Nowcasting COVID-19 incidence indicators during the Italian first outbreak

Stat Med. 2021 May 6. doi: 10.1002/sim.9004. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

A novel parametric regression model is proposed to fit incidence data typically collected during epidemics. The proposal is motivated by real-time monitoring and short-term forecasting of the main epidemiological indicators within the first outbreak of COVID-19 in Italy. Accurate short-term predictions, including the potential effect of exogenous or external variables are provided. This ensures to accurately predict important characteristics of the epidemic (e.g., peak time and height), allowing for a better allocation of health resources over time. Parameter estimation is carried out in a maximum likelihood framework. All computational details required to reproduce the approach and replicate the results are provided.

PMID:33955571 | DOI:10.1002/sim.9004

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The effect of equal fluoride concentrations in silver diamine fluoride and potassium fluoride on demineralized dentin during pH-cycling: chemical data

Eur J Oral Sci. 2021 May 6:e12789. doi: 10.1111/eos.12789. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

The actual contribution of silver in silver diamine fluoride (SDF) towards the anti-demineralizing effect is unclear. This study compared the effects of single applications of three concentrations of fluoride (4.1%, 1.025%, 0.26% F ) in the form of SDF and potassium fluoride (KF) on demineralized dentin in a 15-day non-microbial pH-cycling model. Calcium loss and uptake in de- and remineralization buffers were analyzed daily. Fluoride release in both buffers was analyzed on days 1, 2, 3, and 8. The net calcium results of de- and remineralization cycles revealed dose-response protection without significant differences between equal fluoride concentrations of SDF and KF. In the demineralization cycles, all fluoride treatments, except KF 0.26% F , significantly inhibited demineralization, with KF 4.1% F being the most effective. In the remineralization cycles, remineralization was enhanced in all fluoride concentration groups in a dose-response manner with no difference between similar fluoride concentrations of SDF and KF. Daily fluoride effects were constant throughout the experiment. Fluoride analysis revealed statistically significant differences in fluoride release between the treatments on day 1 that diminished on days 2 and 3. The non-microbial model showed no differences between SDF and KF in inhibiting demineralization and enhancing remineralization of dentin lesions.

PMID:33955578 | DOI:10.1111/eos.12789

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Alterations of coagulation and fibrinolysis in patients with blunt splenic injury after splenic artery embolization

J Clin Lab Anal. 2021 May 6:e23801. doi: 10.1002/jcla.23801. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Thrombotic complications following splenectomy have been documented. However, there has been sparse literature regarding thrombotic complications following splenic artery embolization (SAE).The objective of this study was to determine changes in coagulation and fibrinolysis and assess the thrombotic risk after SAE in patients with blunt splenic injury (BSI).

METHODS: This study included 38 BSI patients who were hemodynamically stable on admission. SAE was performed if the splenic injury was classed as grade III or greater and had no requirement of immediate surgery. Platelet (PLT), fibrinogen (FIB), D-dimers (D-D), fibrinogen/fibrin degradation products (FDP), antithrombin III (AT III), prothrombin time (PT), activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT), thrombin time (TT), hemoglobin (Hb), and hematocrit (Hct) were measured before SAE procedures and then 1d, 3d, and 7d after SAE.

RESULTS: The technical success rate of SAE and the splenic salvage rate were 100%. There was no mortality. Compared with pre-SAE values, the levels of PLT, FIB, D-D, and FDP increased significantly at 3 days and 7 days after SAE (p < 0.05). However, AT III, PT, APTT, TT, Hb, and Hct showed no statistically significant difference at 1d, 3d, and 7d after SAE (p > 0.05).

CONCLUSION: Alterations in PLT and hemostatic parameters might contribute to the increased risk of thrombotic complications in BSI patients undergoing SAE. Thromboembolism following SAE should be considered and thrombotic prophylaxis should be recommended.

PMID:33955612 | DOI:10.1002/jcla.23801

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Effects of nocturnal wearing of dentures on the quality of sleep and oral-health-related quality in edentate elders with untreated sleep apnea: a randomized cross-over trial

Sleep. 2021 May 6:zsab101. doi: 10.1093/sleep/zsab101. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

STUDY OBJECTIVES: This study aims to assess whether the nocturnal wear of dentures has an effect on the quality of sleep and oral-health-related quality of life of the edentulous elderly with untreated sleep apnea.

METHODS: A single-blind randomized cross-over design with two sequences and two periods was used. Participants (n = 77) were randomly assigned either to sequence 1 (nocturnal wear followed by nocturnal nonwear of the denture for 30-30 days) or sequence 2 (nocturnal nonwear followed by nocturnal wear of denture for 30-30 days). The primary sleep outcome was the quality of sleep, assessed through sleep fragmentation measured as Apnea-Hypopnea Index (AHI) and respiratory arousal from portable polysomnography. Secondary outcomes were daytime sleepiness, sleep quality (Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index, PSQI) and oral-health-related quality of life measured by validated questionnaires.

RESULTS: The mean paired difference in AHI scores for the period of wearing versus not wearing dentures at night was small 1.0 event per hour (p = 0.50; 95% confidence interval (CI) = -2.0 to 4.1). The mean respiratory arousal index was higher when wearing dentures at night than when not wearing dentures at night, with a mean paired difference of 2.3 events per hour (p = 0.05; 95% CI = 0.0 to 4.6). No difference in sleepiness and PSQI were noted. Wearing dentures at night resulted in a statistically significantly higher mean score of psychological discomfort when compared to not wearing dentures at night.

CONCLUSIONS: The results provide some support to usual practice guidelines to remove dentures at night in edentulous elders suffering from sleep apnea.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT01868295.

PMID:33955479 | DOI:10.1093/sleep/zsab101

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Does knowing about the long-term health effects of alcohol matter? Evidence from a university sample in Lebanon

East Mediterr Health J. 2021 Apr 27;27(4):336-343. doi: 10.26719/emhj.20.113.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Research linking awareness of health effects of alcohol and harmful alcohol drinking status is limited.

AIMS: To investigate the association between awareness of long-term alcohol effects and alcohol use disorders.

METHODS: University students aged 18-25 years (n = 1155) completed a self-filled survey. Participants were asked if they knew that alcohol causes: (1) problems in the liver; (2) cancers of the mouth, throat, oesophagus and breast; (3) damage to the heart; and (4) weakening of the immune system. Multinomial regression analyses were conducted to assess the association between awareness of long-term alcohol effects and alcohol drinking status, including Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, 5th Edition (DSM-5) alcohol use disorders.

RESULTS: One third (32.8%) were past-year drinkers and 18% screened positive for DSM-5 alcohol use disorders. Compared to past-year drinkers with no alcohol use disorders, non-past-year ever drinkers were twice as likely to know about the link between alcohol and cancers of the mouth, throat, oesophagus and breast. Past-year drinkers with an alcohol use disorders were less likely to know about this association. Non-past-year ever drinkers (vs past-year drinkers with no alcohol use disorders) were also 2.6 times more likely to know the alcohol liver risks.

CONCLUSIONS: There is a strong inverse relationship between awareness of the effects of alcohol and harmful consumption among young people, providing preliminary support for the protective nature of knowledge on alcohol drinking status. Efforts to increase public awareness of the long-term health effects of alcohol may be useful in reducing alcohol-related harm.

PMID:33955529 | DOI:10.26719/emhj.20.113

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Genomic profiles and clinical outcomes in primary versus secondary metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer

Prostate. 2021 May 6. doi: 10.1002/pros.24135. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Clinical outcomes may differ among patients presenting with primary (de novo) metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer (mHSPC) versus secondary (metachronous) mHSPC occurring after local therapy. It is unknown what molecular features distinguish these potentially distinct presentations.

METHODS: A single-center retrospective study of mHSPC patients classified as primary mHSPC (n = 121) or secondary mHSPC (n = 106). A targeted set of genes was analyzed: BRCA2, PTEN, RB1, TP53, SPOP, CDK12, any two out of PTEN/RB1/TP53 alterations, and homologous recombination deficiency mutations. TP53 mutations were categorized as loss-of-function (LOF) versus dominant-negative (DN). The impacts of genetic features on progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were assessed using univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression.

RESULTS: Median PFS was 15 and 30 months for men with primary and secondary mHSPC, respectively (hazard ratio: 0.57, 95% confidence interval: 0.41-0.78; p < .01). OS did not show a significant difference between groups. There were more men with Gleason 8-10 disease in the primary versus secondary mHSPC groups (83% vs. 68%; p < .01). In univariate and multivariate analyses, TP53 DN mutations showed a statistically significant association with OS for the entire mHSPC population. Conversely, SPOP mutations were associated with improved OS. Additionally, TP53 mutations (DN and LOF) were associated with worse OS for secondary mHSPC. A combination of PTEN/RB1/TP53 mutations was associated with worse OS and PFS for secondary mHSPC, while no genomic alteration affected outcomes for primary mHSPC.

CONCLUSIONS: TP53 DN mutations, but not all TP53 alterations, were the strongest predictor of negative outcomes in men with mHSPC, while SPOP mutations were associated with improved outcomes. In subgroup analyses, specific alterations were prognostic of outcomes in secondary, but not primary, mHSPC.

PMID:33955569 | DOI:10.1002/pros.24135

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A Systems Approach to Front-End Redesign With Rapid Triage Implementation

Adv Emerg Nurs J. 2021 Jan-Mar 01;43(1):79-85. doi: 10.1097/TME.0000000000000335.

ABSTRACT

The most common site for hospital sentinel events due to care delays, secondary to waiting and/or inefficient processes, occurs in the emergency department (ED). Decreasing patient length of stay in an ED is a key initiative for many hospitals in order to maximize both quality and efficiency. The purpose of this practice improvement project was to (1) standardize front-end processes across a 6-hospital health system, (2) move non-sorting-related clinical questions out of triage, and (3) improve door-to-triage and door-to-provider times. The project occurred within a 6-hospital East Coast health system. This was a continuous quality improvement initiative utilizing the Donabedian theoretical model, plus the DMAIC method, for process improvement. A system-wide performance work team was formed including ED leaders and staff; site-specific implementation teams were also formed. Rapid triage implementation was effective in producing statistically significant improvement in door-to-triage, door-to-provider, and ED length of stay for discharged patients at 3 of the 6 sites. Further performance improvement projects in this area are needed to better understand the generalizability of this process in other EDs. Furthermore, from a leadership perspective, additional investigation is needed into the cost savings as well as shared labor opportunities that may exist when policies and processes are standardized across a system’s service line.

PMID:33952880 | DOI:10.1097/TME.0000000000000335

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An Exploratory Study of a 3-Minute Mindfulness Intervention on Compassion Fatigue in Nurses

Holist Nurs Pract. 2020 Sep-Oct 01;34(5):274-281. doi: 10.1097/HNP.0000000000000402.

ABSTRACT

This study shows that breathing mindfully for 3 minutes over a period of 4 weeks, positively affects compassion fatigue in nurses. A nonrandomized, pre/postintervention study was conducted using a 3-minute attentional breathing intervention. Thirty-two nurses participated over 4 weeks. The intervention demonstrated statistically significant reductions in compassion fatigue measures.

PMID:33953010 | DOI:10.1097/HNP.0000000000000402

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Frequency of interleukin-6 rs1800795 (-174G/C) and rs1800797 (-597G/A) polymorphisms in COVID-19 patients in Turkey who develop macrophage activation syndrome

Jpn J Infect Dis. 2021 Apr 30. doi: 10.7883/yoken.JJID.2021.046. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) has infected over 100 million people since it appeared in Wuhan, China just 1 year ago. This study aimed to evaluate the relationship between interleukin-6 (IL-6)gene polymorphisms -174G/C and -597G/A and COVID-19 course. The study included a total of 70 patients aged 18-45 years who were hospitalized in our hospital and diagnosed with COVID-19 in Turkey between March and November 2020. Of these, 40 patients required intensive care admission due to macrophage activation syndrome (MAS) and 30 patients did not develop MAS or acute respiratory distress syndrome. The frequency of IL-6-174G/C -and 597G/A polymorphisms was determined. There were statistically significant differences between the groups in terms of -174G/C allele and genotype frequency and comparison with Hardy-Weinberg distribution (χ2=10.029, df=1, p=0.002 and χ2=9.998, df=1, p=0.002, respectively). The frequency of the GG genotype was significantly higher in the MAS group compared to the non-MAS group (p=0.002). The G allele was also significantly more frequent in the MAS group compared to the non-MAS group (p=0.032). Analysis of the -174G/C polymorphism in patients with MAS showed that the G allele may be a risk factor for increased serum IL-6 levels and progression to MAS.

PMID:33952771 | DOI:10.7883/yoken.JJID.2021.046

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Impact of Anticoagulation Therapy on the Risk of Pulmonary Embolism and Bleeding Events in Patients with Isolated Distal Deep-Vein Thrombosis

Int Heart J. 2021 May 1. doi: 10.1536/ihj.20-726. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

The efficacy of anticoagulation for isolated distal DVT (id-DVT) is still uncertain and controversial. The aim of this study was to elucidate the risk of pulmonary embolism (PE) from id-DVT and to investigate the need for anticoagulants.We identified hospitalized patients with id-DVT diagnosed by lower-extremity ultrasonography (LEUS) from January 2013 to December 2013 in our institute. The exclusion criteria were the simultaneous detection of PE, a history of PE and/or DVT, and administration of anticoagulants before DVT detection. We retrospectively investigated the patient characteristics, treatments, occurrence of PE, and bleeding events between the groups with and without anticoagulation.A total of 151 patients met the criteria. The median (IQR) age was 74 (67, 80) years old, and there were 60 (39.7%) men. The median (IQR) observation period was 571 (160, 721) days. Significant differences in patient characteristics were observed for hypertension, operation time, consultation with experts, and follow-up LEUS. During the observation period, only one patient in the no-anticoagulation group who had traumatic cerebral hemorrhaging and was bedridden developed PE (non-massive type). However, there was no statistically significant difference in the occurrence of PE between the groups (log-rank P = 0.569). Bleeding episodes were observed in 9 of 151 (6.0%) patients, and all patients with bleeding events were taking anticoagulants (log-rank P < 0.001).The present retrospective single center study suggests that anticoagulation for id-DVT in inpatients with various backgrounds has a low efficacy to prevent the occurrence of PE and may increase bleeding events.

PMID:33952809 | DOI:10.1536/ihj.20-726