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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Clinical findings of acute acquired comitant esotropia in young patients

Jpn J Ophthalmol. 2021 Oct 16. doi: 10.1007/s10384-021-00879-9. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: This study aimed to identify the characteristics of acute acquired comitant esotropia (AACE) in young patients from a single institution; and clarify their relationship with the excess use of digital devices.

STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective, observational.

METHODS: We extracted the clinical charts of patients aged between 5 and 35 years who presented at the Hamamatsu University Hospital with AACE symptoms from January 1, 2015 to December 31, 2018. The age of onset, angle of deviation, refractive errors, history of near work, including excess smartphone use, and treatment modality were retrieved. Patients were divided into three groups: CHILD (aged 5-12 years), JUNIOR (aged 13-17 years), and ADULT (aged 18-35 years) and statistically analyzed with Kruskal-Wallis test.

RESULTS: Forty-one patients were retrieved, with a mean age at onset of 15.8 (5-28) years; eight in the CHILD group, 23 in the JUNIOR group, and 10 in the ADULT group. Refractive errors and age of patients were correlated, but were not significantly different among groups. The mean angle of deviation at distance was 28.0 ± 12.8 prism diopters (PD) and 28.6 ± 17.2 PD at near. The CHILD group showed the largest near-distant dissociation. History of excessive near work was found in all groups.

CONCLUSION: AACE was most commonly found in the JUNIOR group, especially those aged 15-16 years. AACE may encompass multiple diseases; using common diagnostic criteria and asking common questions regarding digital device usage is necessary to clarify the influence of digital device usage, and a multicenter prospective study is recommended.

PMID:34655005 | DOI:10.1007/s10384-021-00879-9

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

COVID-19 Related Racial Discrimination in Small Asian Communities: A Cross Sectional Study

J Immigr Minor Health. 2021 Oct 16. doi: 10.1007/s10903-021-01295-4. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Since the outbreak of COVID-19, there has been a surge of discrimination against Asians across the globe. However, there is a knowledge gap of COVID-19 related racial discrimination against Asians in smaller Asian populations. A total of 221 adults living in Florida completed an online survey between June-July 2020. Adjusted logistic regression assessed associations between sociodemographic factors and experienced discrimination, hypervigilance of safety, nervousness in public, and anticipated discrimination. Statistical analyses were performed using SPSS. Asian respondents were more likely than non-Asians to experience discrimination during COVID-19 (AOR = 12.58; 95% CI 4.74, 33.38; p ≤ 0.001). Asians were more likely to anticipate discrimination after the pandemic ends (AOR = 4.35, 95% CI 1.33, 14.17; p < 0.05). We found that Asians in smaller Asian populations suffer from a disproportionate level of discrimination due to COVID-19, relative to non-Asians. Our findings support previous research that racial discrimination exists on a continuum of violence and can have severe negative health consequences.

PMID:34654994 | DOI:10.1007/s10903-021-01295-4

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The Impact of Contact Structure and Mixing on Control Measures and Disease-Induced Herd Immunity in Epidemic Models: A Mean-Field Model Perspective

Bull Math Biol. 2021 Oct 15;83(11):117. doi: 10.1007/s11538-021-00947-8.

ABSTRACT

The contact structure of a population plays an important role in transmission of infection. Many ‘structured models’ capture aspects of the contact pattern through an underlying network or a mixing matrix. An important observation in unstructured models of a disease that confers immunity is that once a fraction [Formula: see text] has been infected, the residual susceptible population can no longer sustain an epidemic. A recent observation of some structured models is that this threshold can be crossed with a smaller fraction of infected individuals, because the disease acts like a targeted vaccine, preferentially immunising higher-risk individuals who play a greater role in transmission. Therefore, a limited ‘first wave’ may leave behind a residual population that cannot support a second wave once interventions are lifted. In this paper, we set out to investigate this more systematically. While networks offer a flexible framework to model contact patterns explicitly, they suffer from several shortcomings: (i) high-fidelity network models require a large amount of data which can be difficult to harvest, and (ii) very few, if any, theoretical contact network models offer the flexibility to tune different contact network properties within the same framework. Therefore, we opt to systematically analyse a number of well-known mean-field models. These are computationally efficient and provide good flexibility in varying contact network properties such as heterogeneity in the number contacts, clustering and household structure or differentiating between local and global contacts. In particular, we consider the question of herd immunity under several scenarios. When modelling interventions as changes in transmission rates, we confirm that in networks with significant degree heterogeneity, the first wave of the epidemic confers herd immunity with significantly fewer infections than equivalent models with less or no degree heterogeneity. However, if modelling the intervention as a change in the contact network, then this effect may become much more subtle. Indeed, modifying the structure disproportionately can shield highly connected nodes from becoming infected during the first wave and therefore make the second wave more substantial. We strengthen this finding by using an age-structured compartmental model parameterised with real data and comparing lockdown periods implemented either as a global scaling of the mixing matrix or age-specific structural changes. Overall, we find that results regarding (disease-induced) herd immunity levels are strongly dependent on the model, the duration of the lockdown and how the lockdown is implemented in the model.

PMID:34654959 | DOI:10.1007/s11538-021-00947-8

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Determining groundwater quality using indices and multivariate statistical techniques: a study of Tosham block, Haryana, India

Environ Geochem Health. 2021 Oct 15. doi: 10.1007/s10653-021-01120-9. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Water is the most important component for human survival and often the most misused one. The present study deals with the assessment of groundwater quality of Tosham block, Bhiwani District, Haryana, India, and its nearby villages. A total of 23 samples were collected from different groundwater sources and were analysed for 16 different physico-chemical parameters. Correlation coefficients were calculated to identify highly correlated and interrelated water quality parameters. It provides an excellent tool for the prediction of parameter values within the reasonable rank of exactness. A strong correlation was observed between total hardness, magnesium and total dissolved solids, especially between total dissolved solids and electrical conductivity. The obtained results were compared with Indian Standard Drinking water specifications IS: 10500-2012. Concentration of total hardness, iron and chloride was found above the permissible limit in all the samples. Multivariate statistical techniques, namely cluster analysis and principal component analysis, were used to find the relationship between studied parameters. Water quality index (WQI) was also calculated. The WQI of groundwater samples ranged from 125 to 556. The water quality index revealed that out of 23 samples, 13 were found to have poor water quality and 6 samples were of very poor water quality. High value of WQI was found mainly from total dissolved solids, electrical conductivity, total hardness, Mg, Cl and Fe. Groundwater analysis of the studied water samples indicated that there is a need to treat the water before its use for drinking and other domestic activities. Necessary precautions should be taken to prevent the groundwater from being contaminated.

PMID:34654979 | DOI:10.1007/s10653-021-01120-9

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Quantifying uncertainty in spikes estimated from calcium imaging data

Biostatistics. 2021 Oct 16:kxab034. doi: 10.1093/biostatistics/kxab034. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

In recent years, a number of methods have been proposed to estimate the times at which a neuron spikes on the basis of calcium imaging data. However, quantifying the uncertainty associated with these estimated spikes remains an open problem. We consider a simple and well-studied model for calcium imaging data, which states that calcium decays exponentially in the absence of a spike, and instantaneously increases when a spike occurs. We wish to test the null hypothesis that the neuron did not spike-i.e., that there was no increase in calcium-at a particular timepoint at which a spike was estimated. In this setting, classical hypothesis tests lead to inflated Type I error, because the spike was estimated on the same data used for testing. To overcome this problem, we propose a selective inference approach. We describe an efficient algorithm to compute finite-sample $p$-values that control selective Type I error, and confidence intervals with correct selective coverage, for spikes estimated using a recent proposal from the literature. We apply our proposal in simulation and on calcium imaging data from the $texttt{spikefinder}$ challenge.

PMID:34654923 | DOI:10.1093/biostatistics/kxab034

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Coblation supraglottoplasty: a ten-year experience in a tertiary referral hospital

Eur Arch Otorhinolaryngol. 2021 Oct 16. doi: 10.1007/s00405-021-07130-8. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: The present study aims to review the outcomes of coblation supraglottoplasty performed for children with different types of laryngomalacia, and we discuss the factors affecting these outcomes.

METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed the medical records of laryngomalacia patients admitted to the Otorhinolaryngology Department, Mansoura University, from 2010 to 2020. We examined the patient’s demography, symptoms, comorbidities, type of laryngomalacia, oxygen saturation, and final outcomes.

RESULTS: Our study included 235 patients; 122 patients responded to medical therapy, while 113 underwent surgical management. There is a significant relation between the types and therapy they underwent (p ≤ 0.001). Larger percentage within type I underwent medical therapy. There is a statistically significant difference between the studied groups regarding age at surgery. On pairwise comparison, patients with type II had the lowest age significantly at the surgery when compared with each other individual group (p ≤ 0.001). On multivariate regression analysis, the presence of comorbid congenital heart disease, neurological comorbidities significantly increased the risk of failure of surgical intervention by 17.32 and 5.803 folds, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS: Coblation supraglottoplasty is effective and safe to treat severe laryngomalacia. Different morphological types of laryngomalacia require slight surgical variations of coblation supraglottoplasty. The presence of comorbid congenital heart disease, neurological comorbidities significantly increased the risk of failure of surgical intervention.

PMID:34654950 | DOI:10.1007/s00405-021-07130-8

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The class imbalance problem

Nat Methods. 2021 Oct 15. doi: 10.1038/s41592-021-01302-4. Online ahead of print.

NO ABSTRACT

PMID:34654918 | DOI:10.1038/s41592-021-01302-4

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Non-inferiority of liquid thyroxine in comparison to tablets formulation in the treatment of children with congenital hypothyroidism

J Pediatr Endocrinol Metab. 2021 Oct 18. doi: 10.1515/jpem-2021-0458. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: The aim of the current prospective randomized control study was to assess efficacy, safety, and non-inferiority of a new liquid L-thyroxine formulation dissolved in glycerol and water (T4® drops, produced by a Greek pharmaceutical Company, Uni-Pharma, Athens, Greece) in comparison to the standard Tablets form (T4® tablets, Uni-Pharma, Athens, Greece) in the substitutive treatment of children with congenital hypothyroidism (CH).

METHODS: Thirty-nine children with CH, aged 3-12 years old, were enrolled in the study, after parental Informed Consent has been obtained, while three patients were lost from follow-up. At baseline, all participants had normal thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) and Free T4 values. Patients were randomly subdivided according to the assigned treatment in Group A (n=17)-Tablet Form and Group B (n=19)-Liquid Form. TSH and Free T4 levels were evaluated at 0, 2, 4, and 6 months.

RESULTS: TSH values showed a statistically significant difference (p=0.017) between groups only at six months (Group A having higher TSH levels than Group B, albeit within the normal range), while Free T4 levels had no statistical difference throughout the six month study period and were always within the normal range. Moreover, dose adjustments were more frequent in Group A (p=0.038) during the six months. Liquid L-thyroxine substitutive treatment exhibited no statistically significant adverse effects in comparison to the widely used tablets.

CONCLUSIONS: Levothyroxine (LT4) as liquid solution formulation is safe and noninferior to the widely used L-thyroxine Tablets, with less need for dose adjustment, and can therefore be safely used in the treatment of children with CH.

PMID:34653328 | DOI:10.1515/jpem-2021-0458

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Discrete-space continuous-time models of marine mammal exposure to Navy sonar

Ecol Appl. 2021 Oct 15:e02475. doi: 10.1002/eap.2475. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Assessing the patterns of wildlife attendance to specific areas is relevant across many fundamental and applied ecological studies, particularly when animals are at risk of being exposed to stressors within or outside the boundaries of those areas. Marine mammals are increasingly being exposed to human activities that may cause behavioral and physiological changes, including military exercises using active sonars. Assessment of the population-level consequences of anthropogenic disturbance requires robust and efficient tools to quantify the levels of aggregate exposure for individuals in a population over biologically relevant time frames. We propose a discrete-space, continuous-time approach to estimate individual transition rates across the boundaries of an area of interest, informed by telemetry data collected with uncertainty. The approach allows inferring the effect of stressors on transition rates, the progressive return to baseline movement patterns, and any difference among individuals. We apply the modeling framework to telemetry data from Blainville’s beaked whale (Mesoplodon densirostris) tagged in the Bahamas at the Atlantic Undersea Test and Evaluation Center (AUTEC), an area used by the U.S. Navy for fleet readiness training. We show that transition rates changed as a result of exposure to sonar exercises in the area, reflecting an avoidance response. Our approach supports the assessment of the aggregate exposure of individuals to sonar and the resulting population-level consequences. The approach has potential applications across many applied and fundamental problems where telemetry data are used to characterize animal occurrence within specific areas.

PMID:34653299 | DOI:10.1002/eap.2475

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Clinical analysis of 2152 cases of abnormal uterine bleeding treated by NovaSure endometrial ablation

Int J Gynaecol Obstet. 2021 Oct 15. doi: 10.1002/ijgo.13983. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the efficiency, postoperative hysterectomy rate, and influencing factors for therapeutic effect of NovaSure endometrial ablation procedure in abnormal uterine bleeding (AUB) .

METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 2152 patients from department of Gynecology, the Third Xiangya Hospital, CSU from October 2010 to December 2018.

RESULTS: From the first year to the eighth year after operation, annual effective rate was above 95.24%, and the differences were not statistically significant. There are statistically significant differences between the effective and the ineffective group with regard to age, intrauterine polyps, total length of the uterus, systemic coagulation disorder, and preoperative hemoglobin. A multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that the risk factors associated with systemic coagulation disorders (P=0.027) and long total uterine length (P=0.003) affected NovaSure efficacy in the treatment of AUB. By December 2019, the postoperative hysterectomy rate was 1.86% (40/2152) and the complication rate was 1.67% (36/2152).

CONCLUSION: NovaSure is a reliable treatment for AUB and serious medical complications due to its simple operation, low amount of bleeding, quick postoperative recovery, and safe and effective short-term and long-term efficacy. However, it should be carefully selected for patients with a total uterus length exceeding 10 cm.

PMID:34653258 | DOI:10.1002/ijgo.13983