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Nevin Manimala Statistics

An intercomparison study of ELISAs for the detection of porcine reproductive and respiratory syndrome virus – evaluating six conditionally dependent tests

PLoS One. 2022 Jan 25;17(1):e0262944. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0262944. eCollection 2022.

ABSTRACT

Latent class analysis is a widely used statistical method for evaluating diagnostic tests without any gold standard. It requires the results of at least two tests applied to the same individuals. Based on the resulting response patterns, the method estimates the test accuracy and the unknown disease status for all individuals in the sample. An important assumption is the conditional independence of the tests. If tests with the same biological principle are used, the assumption is not fulfilled, which may lead to biased results. In a recent publication, we developed a method that considers the dependencies in the latent class model and estimates all parameters using frequentist methods. Here, we evaluate the practicability of the method by applying it to the results of six ELISA tests for antibodies against the porcine reproductive and respiratory syndrome (PRRS) virus in pigs that generally follow the same biological principle. First, we present different methods of identifying suitable starting values for the algorithm and apply these to the dataset and a vaccinated subgroup. We present the calculated values of the test accuracies, the estimated proportion of antibody-positive animals and the dependency structure for both datasets. Different starting values led to matching results for the entire dataset. For the vaccinated subgroup, the results were more dependent on the selected starting values. All six ELISA tests are well suited to detect antibodies against PRRS virus, whereas none of the tests had the best values for sensitivity and specificity simultaneously. The results thus show that the method used is able to determine the parameter values of conditionally dependent tests with suitable starting values. The choice of test should be based on the general fit-for-purpose concept and the population under study.

PMID:35077518 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0262944

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Is subject-specific musculoskeletal modelling worth the extra effort or is generic modelling worth the shortcut?

PLoS One. 2022 Jan 25;17(1):e0262936. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0262936. eCollection 2022.

ABSTRACT

The majority of musculoskeletal modelling studies investigating healthy populations use generic models linearly scaled to roughly match an individual’s anthropometry. Generic models disregard the considerable variation in musculoskeletal geometry and tissue properties between individuals. This study investigated the physiological implications of personalizing musculoskeletal model geometry (body segment mass, inertia, joint center, and maximum isometric muscle force). Nine healthy athletes performed ten repetitions of 15 meter sprints at 75-95% of their maximum sprinting speed and ten repetitions of unanticipated sidestep cut trials with a 4.5-5.5 m/s approach running speed. Structural magnetic resonance imaging was collected on the lower extremities, from which subject-specific musculoskeletal models were developed. A one-dimensional statistical parametric mapping paired t-test was used to compare generic and subject-specific musculoskeletal models for: lower-limb kinematics, kinetics, torque matching, as well as hamstrings, adductors, and quadriceps muscle activations and fiber dynamics. Percentage change of geometric parameters between generic and subject-specific models were determined. Compared to generic models, subject-specific models showed significantly lower ankle dorsi/plantar flexion angle during sprinting and several significantly different net joint moments during sprint and cut tasks. Additionally, subject-specific models demonstrated better torque matching, more physiologically plausible fiber lengths, higher fiber velocities, lower muscle forces, and lower simulated activations in a subset of investigated muscles and motor tasks. Furthermore, subject-specific models identified between-limb differences that were not identified with generic models. Use of subject-specific modeling, even in healthy populations, may result in more physiologically plausible muscle fiber mechanics. Implementing subject-specific models may be especially beneficial when investigating populations with substantial geometric between-limb differences, or unilateral musculoskeletal pathologies, as these are not captured by a generic model.

PMID:35077508 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0262936

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Non-communicable diseases (NCDs) and vulnerability to COVID-19: The case of adult patients with hypertension or diabetes mellitus in Gamo, Gofa, and South Omo zones in Southern Ethiopia

PLoS One. 2022 Jan 25;17(1):e0262642. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0262642. eCollection 2022.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: A growing body of evidence demonstrating that individuals with Non-Communicable Disease (NCD) are more likely to have severe forms of COVID-19 and subsequent mortality. Hence, our study aimed to assess the knowledge of vulnerability and preventive practices towards COVID-19 among patients with hypertension or diabetes in Southern Ethiopia.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the knowledge and preventive practices towards COVID-19 among patients with hypertension or diabetes mellitus in three zones of Southern Ethiopia, 2020.

METHODS: A community-based cross-sectional study design was used with a multi-stage random sampling technique to select 682 patients with hypertension or diabetes mellitus from 10th -17th July 2020 at the three zones of Southern Ethiopia. Logistic regression analysis with a 95% confidence interval was fitted to identify independent predictors of knowledge and preventive practices towards COVID-19. The adjusted odds ratio (AOR) was used to determine the magnitude of the association between the outcome and independent variables. P-value <0.05 is considered statistically significant.

RESULTS: The Multi-dimensional knowledge (MDK) analysis of COVID-19 revealed that 63% of study subjects had good knowledge about COVID-19. The overall preventive practice towards COVID -19 was 26.4%. Monthly income (AOR = 1.42; 95% CI: 1.04, 1.94) significantly predicted knowledge towards COVID-19. Ninety-five percent of the study subjects knew that the COVID-19 virus spreads via respiratory droplets of infected individuals. One hundred and ten (16.2%) of study subjects correctly responded to the questions that state whether people with the COVID-19 virus who do not have a fever can infect the other. Knowledge about COVID-19 (AOR = 1.47; 95% CI: 1.03, 2.1) became the independent predictor of preventive practice.

CONCLUSIONS: In this study, the knowledge of the respondents towards the COVID-19 pandemic was good. But the preventive practice was very low. There was a significant gap between knowledge and preventive practices towards the COVID-19 pandemic among the study subjects. Monthly income was significantly associated with knowledge of COVID-19. Knowledge of COVID-19 was found to be an independent predictor of preventive practice towards COVID-19. Community mobilization and improving COVID-19- related knowledge and practice are urgently recommended for those patients with hypertension or diabetes mellitus.

PMID:35077488 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0262642

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy among medical and health science students attending Wolkite University in Ethiopia

PLoS One. 2022 Jan 25;17(1):e0263081. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0263081. eCollection 2022.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Medical and health science students are among the frontline health care workers who are at high risk of acquiring COVID-19 infection during their clinical attachments and future career. As health care providers, they are expected to promote and administer the COVID-19 vaccine and counsel vaccine-hesitant patients. It is, therefore, imperative to assess COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy among medical and health science students. Thus, this study aimed to assess COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy and its associated factors among medical and health science students of Wolkite University.

METHOD: An institutional-based cross-sectional study design was conducted among 420 medical and health science students attending Wolkite University from March 1 to 30, 2021. Simple random sampling technique was used to select study participants. Self-administered and structured questionnaires were used to collect data. Data were entered into Epi-Data version 4.2.0 and exported to SPSS version 23 software package for further analysis. Bivariable and multivariable analysis was used to identify associated factors. P values <0.05 result were considered as a statistically significant association.

RESULTS: The level of COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy was 41.2% (95% CI; 35.2%-50.4%). Student age ≤23 years were 1.9 times more likely vaccine hesitant [aOR = 1.94, 95% CI; 1.14-3.28], being female were 1.7 times more likely vaccine hesitant [aOR = 1.76, 95% CI; 1.14-2.72], resided in rural area were 1.6 times more likely vaccine hesitant [aOR = 1.63, 95% CI; 1.06-2.49], source of information from social media were 2.7 times more likely vaccine hesitant [aOR = 2.68, 95% CI; 1.58-4.54], and good practice to COVID-19 mitigation measures were 47% less likely vaccine hesitant [aOR = 0.53, 95% CI; 0.34-0.83] compared to their counterpart.

CONCLUSIONS: COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy is found to be high. Therefore, students are advised to receive COVID-19 vaccine information from government lead mass media (i.e. television and radio), increase awareness and adherence to COVID-19 mitigation measures is recommended.

PMID:35077504 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0263081

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Prevention of suicidal behavior in older people: A systematic review of reviews

PLoS One. 2022 Jan 25;17(1):e0262889. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0262889. eCollection 2022.

ABSTRACT

Older people have the highest rates of suicide, yet the evidence base on effective suicide preventions in late-life is limited. This systematic review of reviews aims to synthesize data from existing reviews on the prevention and/or reduction of suicide behavior in late-life and evidence for effectiveness of interventions. A systematic database search was conducted in eight electronic databases from inception to 4/2020 for reviews targeting interventions among adults ≥ 60 to prevent and/or reduce suicide, suicide attempt, self-harm and suicidal ideation. Four high quality reviews were included and interventions categorized as pharmacological (antidepressant use: 239 RCTs, seven observational studies) and behavioral (physical activity: three observational studies, and multifaceted primary-care-based collaborative care for depression screening and management: four RCTs). The 2009 antidepressant use review found significant risk reduction for suicide attempt/self-harm (OR = 0.06, 95% CI 0.01-0.58) and suicide ideation (OR = 0.39, 95% CI 0.18-0.78) versus placebo. The 2015 review found an increased risk of attempts with antidepressants versus no treatment (RR = 1.18, 95% CI 1.10-1.27) and no statistically significant change in suicides versus no treatment (RR = 1.06, 95% CI 0.68-1.66) or ideation versus placebo (OR = 0.52, 95% CI 0.14-1.94). Protective effects were found for physical activity on ideation in 2 out of 3 studies when comparing active versus inactive older people. Collaborative care demonstrated significantly less attempts/ideation (OR = 0.80, 95% CI 0.68-0.94) in intervention group versus usual care. The results of this review of reviews find the evidence inconclusive towards use of antidepressants for the prevention of suicidal behavior in older people, thus monitoring is required prior to start, dosage change or cessation of antidepressants. Evidence to date supports physical activity and collaborative management for reduction of suicide ideation, but additional trials are required for a meta-analysis. To build on these findings, continued high-quality research is warranted to evaluate the effectiveness of interventions in late life.

PMID:35077476 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0262889

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The hot hand in the wild

PLoS One. 2022 Jan 25;17(1):e0261890. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0261890. eCollection 2022.

ABSTRACT

Streaks of success have always fascinated people and a lot of research has been conducted to identify whether the “hot hand” effect is real. While sports have provided an appropriate platform for studying this phenomenon, the majority of existing literature examines scenarios in a vacuum with results that might or might not be applicable in the wild. In this study, we build on the existing literature and develop an appropriate framework to quantify the extent to which success can come in streaks-beyond the stroke of chance-in a natural environment. Considering in-game basketball game situations, our analysis provides statistical evidence that individual players do indeed exhibit the hot hand in varying degrees, that is, individual players can consistently get in a streak of successful shots beyond random chance. However, as a whole, the average player exhibits shooting regression, that is, after consecutive makes he tends to perform below expectations. Even though our results are based on a sports setting, we believe that our study provides a path towards thinking of the hot hand beyond a laboratory-like, controlled environment. This is crucial if we want to use similar results to enhance our decision making and better understand short and long term outcomes of repeated decisions.

PMID:35077477 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0261890

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Representation of women at American Psychiatric Association annual meetings over 10 years (between 2009 and 2019)

PLoS One. 2022 Jan 25;17(1):e0261058. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0261058. eCollection 2022.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Sex disparity is a major societal issue. The aim of this paper was to describe changes in the representation of women among speakers of the American Psychiatric Association (APA) annual meeting over 10 years, between 2009 and 2019 and to compare them to changes in the proportion of women among American psychiatrists.

METHODS: Data were collected from the programs of the APA annual meetings of 2009 and 2019, and from the Association of American Medical Colleges. Descriptive and comparative statistical analyses were performed.

RESULTS: There were 1,138 distinct speakers at the 2009 conference and 1,784 at the 2019 conference. The number of distinct female speakers increased from 413 (36.3%) to 813 (45.6%). The proportion of female speakers at the meetings was almost equivalent to the proportion of women in the American psychiatrists’ workforce. The number of female chairs increased from 158 (39.6%) to 322 (46.4%). There were 38 female speakers in child and adolescent psychiatry in 2009 (51.4% of 74 speakers) and 74 in 2019 (51.0% of 155 speakers).

CONCLUSIONS: The representation of women at the APA annual meetings increased between 2009 and 2019. At the same time, the growth in the percentage of women in the American psychiatrists’ workforce was slower. The APA appears to promote female representation during its annual meetings.

PMID:35077466 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0261058

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Second-order asymmetric convolution network for breast cancer histopathology image classification

J Biophotonics. 2022 Jan 25:e202100370. doi: 10.1002/jbio.202100370. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Recently, convolutional neural networks (CNNs) have been widely utilized for breast cancer histopathology image classification. Besides, research works have also convinced that deep high-order statistic models obviously outperform corresponding first-order counterparts in vision tasks. Inspired by this, we attempt to explore global deep high-order statistics to distinguish breast cancer histopathology images. To further boost the classification performance, we also integrate asymmetric convolution into the second-order network and propose a novel second-order asymmetric convolution network (SoACNet). SoACNet adopts a series of asymmetric convolution blocks to replace each stand square-kernel convolutional layer of the backbone architecture, followed by a global covariance pooling to compute second-order statistics of deep features, leading to a more robust representation of histopathology images. Extensive experiments on the public BreakHis dataset demonstrate the effectiveness of SoACNet for breast cancer histopathology image classification, which achieves competitive performance with the state-of-the-arts. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.

PMID:35076187 | DOI:10.1002/jbio.202100370

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The differences in distant metastatic patterns and their corresponding survival between thyroid cancer subtypes

Head Neck. 2022 Jan 25. doi: 10.1002/hed.26987. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: This study aimed to systematically elucidate the metastatic patterns and their corresponding survival of each thyroid cancer subtype at time of diagnosis.

METHODS: We accessed the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database from 2010 to 2018 to search for primary thyroid cancers with DM at presentation (M1).

RESULTS: We included 2787 M1 thyroid cancers for statistical analyses and the incidence of DM at presentation was 2.4%. Lung was the most common metastatic site for anaplastic thyroid carcinoma (ATC), poorly differentiated thyroid carcinoma (PDTC), papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC), and oncocytic (Hurthle) cell carcinoma (HCC) whereas bone is the favorable disseminated site of follicular thyroid carcinoma (FTC) and medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC). Patients with multi-organ metastases had the worst survival whereas bone metastases were associated with a favorable outcome (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION: There are significant differences in DM patterns of thyroid cancer subtypes and their corresponding survival.

PMID:35076146 | DOI:10.1002/hed.26987

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Estimating longitudinal depressive symptoms from smartphone data in a transdiagnostic cohort

Brain Behav. 2022 Jan 25:e02077. doi: 10.1002/brb3.2077. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Passive measures collected using smartphones have been suggested to represent efficient proxies for depression severity, but the performance of such measures across diagnoses has not been studied.

METHODS: We enrolled a cohort of 45 individuals (11 with major depressive disorder, 11 with bipolar disorder, 11 with schizophrenia or schizoaffective disorder, and 12 individuals with no axis I psychiatric disorder). During the 8-week study period, participants were evaluated with a rater-administered Montgomery-Åsberg Depression Rating Scale (MADRS) biweekly, completed self-report PHQ-8 measures weekly on their smartphone, and consented to collection of smartphone-based GPS and accelerometer data in order to learn about their behaviors. We utilized linear mixed models to predict depression severity on the basis of phone-based PHQ-8 and passive measures.

RESULTS: Among the 45 individuals, 38 (84%) completed the 8-week study. The average root-mean-squared error (RMSE) in predicting the MADRS score (scale 0-60) was 4.72 using passive data alone, 4.27 using self-report measures alone, and 4.30 using both.

CONCLUSIONS: While passive measures did not improve MADRS score prediction in our cross-disorder study, they may capture behavioral phenotypes that cannot be measured objectively, granularly, or over long-term via self-report.

PMID:35076166 | DOI:10.1002/brb3.2077