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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Predictors of futile recanalization in patients undergoing endovascular treatment in the DIRECT-MT trial

J Neurointerv Surg. 2021 Sep 2:neurintsurg-2021-017765. doi: 10.1136/neurintsurg-2021-017765. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Futile recanalization-when patients have a successful recanalization but fail to achieve a satisfactory functional outcome- is a common phenomenon of endovascular treatment of acute ischemic stroke (AIS). The present study aimed to identify the predictors of futile recanalization in AIS patients who received endovascular treatment.

METHODS: This is a post-hoc analysis of the DIRECT-MT trial. Demographics, clinical characteristics, acute stroke workflow interval times, biochemical parameters, and imaging characteristics were compared between futile and meaningful recanalization groups. Multivariate analysis was performed to identify the predictors of futile recanalization.

RESULTS: Futile recanalization was observed in 277 patients. In multivariable logistic regression analysis, older age (p<0.001), higher baseline systolic blood pressure (SBP) (p=0.032), incomplete reperfusion defined by extended Thrombolysis In Cerebral Infarction (eTICI) grades (p=0.020), and larger final infarct volume (FIV) (p<0.001) were independent predictors of futile recanalization.

CONCLUSIONS: Old age, high baseline SBP, incomplete reperfusion defined by eTICI, and large FIV were independent predictors of futile recanalization after endovascular therapy for AIS.

PMID:34475255 | DOI:10.1136/neurintsurg-2021-017765

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The neural basis for violations of Weber’s law in self-motion perception

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2021 Sep 7;118(36):e2025061118. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2025061118.

ABSTRACT

A prevailing view is that Weber’s law constitutes a fundamental principle of perception. This widely accepted psychophysical law states that the minimal change in a given stimulus that can be perceived increases proportionally with amplitude and has been observed across systems and species in hundreds of studies. Importantly, however, Weber’s law is actually an oversimplification. Notably, there exist violations of Weber’s law that have been consistently observed across sensory modalities. Specifically, perceptual performance is better than that predicted from Weber’s law for the higher stimulus amplitudes commonly found in natural sensory stimuli. To date, the neural mechanisms mediating such violations of Weber’s law in the form of improved perceptual performance remain unknown. Here, we recorded from vestibular thalamocortical neurons in rhesus monkeys during self-motion stimulation. Strikingly, we found that neural discrimination thresholds initially increased but saturated for higher stimulus amplitudes, thereby causing the improved neural discrimination performance required to explain perception. Theory predicts that stimulus-dependent neural variability and/or response nonlinearities will determine discrimination threshold values. Using computational methods, we thus investigated the mechanisms mediating this improved performance. We found that the structure of neural variability, which initially increased but saturated for higher amplitudes, caused improved discrimination performance rather than response nonlinearities. Taken together, our results reveal the neural basis for violations of Weber’s law and further provide insight as to how variability contributes to the adaptive encoding of natural stimuli with continually varying statistics.

PMID:34475203 | DOI:10.1073/pnas.2025061118

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

90Y radioembolization in the treatment of neuroendocrine neoplasms: Results of an international multicenter retrospective study

J Nucl Med. 2021 Sep 2:jnumed.121.262561. doi: 10.2967/jnumed.121.262561. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

In neuroendocrine neoplasms (NEN), the presence of distant metastases has a severe impact on survival leading to a relevant decrease of the 5-year survival rate. Here, 90Y radioembolization (RE) might be an important treatment option, however, data to support clinical benefits for RE are scarce. Therefore, the purpose of this study was to analyze the use of RE in NEN patients with hepatic metastases in an international, multi-center retrospective analysis and assess the potential role of RE in a multimodal treatment concept. Methods: 297 angiographic evaluations in NEN patients prior to RE were analyzed. Baseline characteristics and parameters derived from imaging evaluation and RE were analyzed. Tumor response was assessed using RECIST 1.1 and survival data were collected. Mean overall survival (OS) between different groups was compared using Kaplan Meier curves and the log rank test. p<0.05 indicated statistical significance. Results: After RE, disease control rate according to RECIST 1.1 was 83.5% after three and 50.9% after twelve months. OS in the entire population was 38.9±33.0 months. High tumor grade (p<0.006) and high tumor burden (P = 0.001) were both associated with a significant decrease of OS. The presence of extrahepatic metastases (P = 0.335) and the type of metastatic vascularization pattern (P = 0.460) had no influence on OS. Patients who received RE as second-line therapy had a slightly longer but not statistically significant OS than patients who had RE in a salvage setting (44.8 vs. 30.6 months, P = 0.078). Hepatic and global progression-free survival after RE was significantly decreased in heavily pretreated patients than patients with second-line therapy (P = 0.011 and P = 0.010, respectively). Conclusion: RE could be an important alternative to peptide receptor radionuclide therapy as second-line treatment in patients with progressive liver-dominant disease pretreated with somatostatin analogs.

PMID:34475236 | DOI:10.2967/jnumed.121.262561

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Patient participation in Delphi surveys to develop core outcome sets: systematic review

BMJ Open. 2021 Sep 2;11(9):e051066. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2021-051066.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To describe the design and conduct of core outcome set (COS) studies that have included patients as participants, exploring how study characteristics might impact their response rates.

DESIGN: Systematic review of COS studies published between 2015 and 2019 that included more than one patient, carer or representative as participants (hereafter referred to as patients for brevity) in scoring outcomes in a Delphi.

RESULTS: There were variations in the design and conduct of COS studies that included patients in the Delphi process, including differing: scoring and feedback systems, approaches to recruiting patients, length of time between rounds, use of reminders, incentives, patient and public involvement, and piloting. Minimal reporting of participant characteristics and a lack of translation of Delphi surveys into local languages were found. Additionally, there were indications that studies that recruited patients through treatment centres had higher round two response rates than studies recruiting through patient organisations.

CONCLUSIONS: Variability was striking in how COS Delphi surveys were designed and conducted to include patient participants and other stakeholders. Future research is needed to explore what motivates patients to take part in COS studies and what factors influence COS developer recruitment strategies. Improved reporting would increase knowledge of how methods affect patient participation in COS Delphi studies.

PMID:34475183 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2021-051066

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Association of cardiometabolic risk factors with hospitalisation or death due to COVID-19: population-based cohort study in Sweden (SCAPIS)

BMJ Open. 2021 Sep 2;11(9):e051359. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2021-051359.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To assess the association of cardiometabolic risk factors with hospitalisation or death due to COVID-19 in the general population.

DESIGN, SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Swedish population-based cohort including 29 955 participants.

EXPOSURES: Cardiometabolic risk factors assessed between 2014 and 2018.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Hospitalisation or death due to COVID-19, as registered in nationwide registers from 31 January 2020 through 12 September 2020. Associations of cardiometabolic risk factors with the outcome were assessed using logistic regression adjusted for age, sex, birthplace and education.

RESULTS: Mean (SD) age was 61.2 (4.5) and 51.5% were women. 69 participants experienced hospitalisation or death due to COVID-19. Examples of statistically significant associations between baseline factors and subsequent hospitalisation or death due to COVID-19 included overweight (adjusted OR (aOR) vs normal weight 2.73 (95% CI 1.25 to 5.94)), obesity (aOR vs normal weight 4.09 (95% CI 1.82 to 9.18)), pre-diabetes (aOR vs normoglycaemia 2.56 (95% CI 1.44 to 4.55)), diabetes (aOR vs normoglycaemia 3.96 (95% CI 2.13 to 7.36)), sedentary time (aOR per hour/day increase 1.10 (95% CI 1.02 to 1.17)), grade 2 hypertension (aOR vs normotension 2.44 (95% CI 1.10 to 5.44)) and high density lipoprotein cholesterol (aOR per mmol/L increase 0.33 (95% CI 0.17 to 0.65)). Statistically significant associations were not observed for grade 1 hypertension (aOR vs normotension 1.03 (95% CI 0.55 to 1.96)), current smoking (aOR 0.56 (95% CI 0.24 to 1.30)), total cholesterol (aOR per mmol/L increase 0.90 (95% CI 0.71 to 1.13)), low density lipoprotein cholesterol (aOR per mmol/L increase 0.90 (95% CI 0.69 to 1.15)) and coronary artery calcium score (aOR per 10 units increase 1.00 (95% CI 0.99 to 1.01)).

CONCLUSIONS: In a large population-based sample from the general population, several cardiometabolic risk factors were associated with hospitalisation or death due to COVID-19.

PMID:34475186 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2021-051359

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COVID-19 hinterland: surveilling the self-reported impacts of the pandemic on diabetes management in the USA (cross-sectional results of the iNPHORM study)

BMJ Open. 2021 Sep 2;11(9):e049782. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2021-049782.

ABSTRACT

MAIN OBJECTIVE: To determine how and to what extent COVID-19 has affected real-world, self-reported glycaemic management in Americans with type 1 or type 2 diabetes taking insulin and/or secretagogues, with or without infection.

DESIGN: A cross-sectional substudy using data from the Investigating Novel Predictions of Hypoglycemia Occurrence using Real-world Models panel survey.

SETTING: USA.

PARTICIPANTS: Americans 18-90 years old with type 1 or 2 diabetes taking insulin and/or secretagogues were conveniently sampled from a probability-based internet panel.

PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURE: A structured, COVID-19-specific questionnaire was administered to assess the impact of the pandemic (irrespective of infection) on socioeconomic, behavioural/clinical and psychosocial aspects of glycaemic management.

RESULTS: Data from 667 respondents (type 1 diabetes: 18%; type 2 diabetes: 82%) were analysed. Almost 25% reported A1c values ≥8.1%. Rates of severe and non-severe hypoglycaemia were 0.68 (95% CI 0.5 to 0.96) and 2.75 (95% CI 2.4 to 3.1) events per person-month, respectively. Ten respondents reported a confirmed or probable COVID-19 diagnosis. Because of the pandemic, 24% of respondents experienced difficulties affording housing; 28% struggled to maintain sufficient food to avoid hypoglycaemia; and 19% and 17% reported challenges accessing diabetes therapies and testing strips, respectively. Over one-quarter reported issues retrieving antihyperglycaemics from the pharmacy and over one-third reported challenges consulting with diabetes providers. The pandemic contributed to therapeutic non-adherence (14%), drug rationing (17%) and reduced monitoring (16%). Many struggled to keep track, and in control, of hypoglycaemia (12%-15%) and lacked social support to help manage their risk (19%). Nearly half reported decreased physical activity. Few statistically significant differences were observed by diabetes type.

CONCLUSIONS: COVID-19 was found to cause substantial self-reported deficiencies in glycaemic management. Study results signal the need for decisive action to restabilise routine diabetes care in the USA.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT04219514.

PMID:34475174 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2021-049782

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Systems thinking and complexity science methods and the policy process in non-communicable disease prevention: a systematic scoping review protocol

BMJ Open. 2021 Sep 2;11(9):e049878. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2021-049878.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Given the complex causal origins of many non-communicable diseases (NCDs), and the complex landscapes in which policies designed to tackle them are made and unfold, the need for systems thinking and complexity science (STCS) in developing effective policy solutions has been emphasised. While numerous methods informed by STCS have been applied to the policy process in NCD prevention, these applications have not been systematically catalogued. The aim of this scoping review is to identify existing applications of methods informed by STCS to the policy process for NCD prevention, documenting which domains of the policy process they have been applied to.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS: A systematic scoping review methodology will be used.

IDENTIFICATION: We will search Medline, SCOPUS, Embase and Web of Science using search terms combining STCS, NCD prevention and the policy process. All records published in English will be eligible for inclusion, regardless of study design.

SELECTION: We will screen titles and abstracts and extract data according to published guidelines for scoping reviews. In order to determine the quality of the included studies, we will use the approach developed by Dixon-Woods et al, excluding studies identified as fatally flawed, and determining the credibility and contribution of included studies.

SYNTHESIS: We will identify relevant studies, summarising key data from each study and mapping applications of methods informed by STCS to different parts of the policy process. Review findings will provide a useful reference for policy-makers, outlining which domains of the policy process different methods have been applied to.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: Formal ethical approval is not required, as the study does not involve primary data collection. The findings of this study will be disseminated through a peer-reviewed publication, presentations and summaries for key stakeholders.

PMID:34475176 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2021-049878

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Analysing effects of financial support for regional suicide prevention programmes on methods of suicide completion in Japan between 2009 and 2018 using governmental statistical data

BMJ Open. 2021 Sep 2;11(9):e049538. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2021-049538.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To explore the mechanisms of reduction of suicide mortality in Japan (from 25.7 to 16.5 per 100 000 population) between 2009 and 2018, the present study determined the effects of execution amounts of regional suicide prevention programmes (Emergency Fund to Enhance Community-Based Suicide Countermeasure: EFECBSC) on gender-specific trends of suicide mortality by disaggregated methods.

DESIGN AND SETTING: Stepwise multiple regression analysis was used to determine the effects of execution amounts of 10 subdivisions of execution amounts of financial support for regional suicide prevention programmes (EFECBSC) on suicide methods and gender disaggregated suicide mortalities in Japan between 2009 and 2018 using the statistical data obtained from national governmental database.

RESULTS: The suicide mortalities by the most common/frequent suicide methods, hanging, charcoal burning and jumping were significantly decreased between 2009 and 2018. Male hanging suicide was decreased by prefectural enlightenment, municipal development programmes, but female hanging suicide was decreased by municipal personal consultation programmes. Municipal development and enlightenment programmes decreased male and female charcoal-burning suicide mortalities, respectively. Jumping suicide was decreased by prefectural telephone consultation programmes but was unexpectedly increased by municipal personal consultation and enlightenment programmes.

CONCLUSIONS: This study revealed the contribution of ECEFBSC on reduction of suicide mortalities, especially hanging, charcoal-burning and jumping suicides, via enhancement of regional suicide prevention programmes in Japan; however, notably, the ‘means substitution’ from parts of hanging and charcoal burning to jumping is probably generated by EFECBSC. Therefore, these findings provide important aspects for planning evidence-based and cost-effective regional suicide prevention programmes.

PMID:34475170 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2021-049538

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Egocentric social network characteristics and cardiovascular risk among patients with hypertension or diabetes in western Kenya: a cross-sectional analysis from the BIGPIC trial

BMJ Open. 2021 Sep 2;11(9):e049610. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2021-049610.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Management of cardiovascular disease (CVD) is an urgent challenge in low-income and middle-income countries, and interventions may require appraisal of patients’ social networks to guide implementation. The purpose of this study is to determine whether egocentric social network characteristics (SNCs) of patients with chronic disease in western Kenya are associated with overall CVD risk and individual CVD risk factors.

DESIGN: Cross-sectional analysis of enrollment data (2017-2018) from the Bridging Income Generation with GrouP Integrated Care trial. Non-overlapping trust-only, health advice-only and multiplex (trust and health advice) egocentric social networks were elicited for each participant, and SNCs representing social cohesion were calculated.

SETTING: 24 communities across four counties in western Kenya.

PARTICIPANTS: Participants (n=2890) were ≥35 years old with diabetes (fasting glucose ≥7 mmol/L) or hypertension.

PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOMES: We hypothesised that SNCs would be associated with CVD risk status (QRISK3 score). Secondary outcomes were individual CVD risk factors.

RESULTS: Among the 2890 participants, 2020 (70%) were women, and mean (SD) age was 60.7 (12.1) years. Forty-four per cent of participants had elevated QRISK3 score (≥10%). No relationship was observed between QRISK3 level and SNCs. In unadjusted comparisons, participants with any individuals in their trust network were more likely to report a good than a poor diet (41% vs 21%). SNCs for the trust and multiplex networks accounted for a substantial fraction of variation in measures of dietary quality and physical activity (statistically significant via likelihood ratio test, adjusted for false discovery rate).

CONCLUSION: SNCs indicative of social cohesion appear to be associated with individual behavioural CVD risk factors, although not with overall CVD risk score. Understanding how SNCs of patients with chronic diseases relate to modifiable CVD risk factors could help inform network-based interventions.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT02501746; https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT02501746.

PMID:34475172 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2021-049610

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Prognostic value of derived neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (dNLR) in patients with non-small cell lung cancer receiving immune checkpoint inhibitors: a meta-analysis

BMJ Open. 2021 Sep 2;11(9):e049123. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2021-049123.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Derived neutrophil-to-lymphocytes ratio (dNLR) has recently been reported as a novel potential biomarker associated with prognosis of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). However, evidence for the prognostic utility of dNLR in patients with NSCLC treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) remains inconsistent. The objective of this work was to evaluate the association between pretreatment dNLR and prognosis of patients with NSCLC treated with ICIs.

DESIGN: This study followed the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines.

DATA SOURCES: PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science and the Cochrane Library were searched for eligible studies up to 16 October 2020. ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA: (1) Human subjects receiving ICIs therapy and who had been diagnosed with NSCLC; (2) the baseline values of dNLR were obtained; (3) the objective of the study was to investigate the relationships between dNLR and overall survival (OS) or progression-free survival (PFS) in NSCLC and (4) HR and 95% CI were displayed in the original article or could be extracted from Kaplan-Meier curves.

DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS: Two investigators extracted data independently. Data synthesis was performed via systematic review and meta-analysis of eligible cohort studies. Meta-analysis was performed with Cochran’s Q test and I2 statistics. Publication bias of studies was assessed by Begg’s test and Egger’s test. We used V.12.0 of the Stata statistical software.

RESULTS: This analysis included eight studies (2456 cases) on the prognostic utility of dNLR in ICI therapy for NSCLC. The results indicate that higher dNLR significantly predicted poor OS (HR=1.65, 95% CI 1.46 to 1.88; p<0.001) and PFS (HR=1.38, 95% CI 1.23 to 1.55; p<0.001). Subgroup analyses of OS-related studies indicated that there were similar results in stratifications by ethnicity, sample size, type of HR and dNLR cut-off value. As for PFS-related studies, subgroup analyses showed no significant difference in Asian populations. Publication biases were not detected using Begg’s test and Egger’s linear regression test.

CONCLUSIONS: This meta-analysis indicated that elevated pretreatment dNLR may be a negative prognostic predictor for patients with NSCLC treated with ICIs. More large-sample and higher-quality studies are warranted to support our findings.

PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER: CRD42021214034.

PMID:34475167 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2021-049123