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Nevin Manimala Statistics

A propensity score-matched analysis of mortality in solid organ transplant patients with COVID-19 compared to non-solid organ transplant patients

PLoS One. 2021 Mar 3;16(3):e0247251. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0247251. eCollection 2021.

ABSTRACT

In the context of COVID-19 pandemic, we aimed to analyze the epidemiology, clinical characteristics, risk factors for mortality and impact of COVID-19 on outcomes of solid organ transplant (SOT) recipients compared to a cohort of non transplant patients, evaluating if transplantation could be considered a risk factor for mortality. From March to May 2020, 261 hospitalized patients with COVID-19 pneumonia were evaluated, including 41 SOT recipients. Of these, thirty-two were kidney recipients, 4 liver, 3 heart and 2 combined kidney-liver transplants. Median time from transplantation to COVID-19 diagnosis was 6 years. Thirteen SOT recipients (32%) required Intensive Care Unit (ICU) admission and 5 patients died (12%). Using a propensity score match analysis, we found no significant differences between SOT recipients and non-transplant patients. Older age (OR 1.142; 95% [CI 1.08-1.197]) higher levels of C-reactive protein (OR 3.068; 95% [CI 1.22-7.71]) and levels of serum creatinine on admission (OR 3.048 95% [CI 1.22-7.57]) were associated with higher mortality. The clinical outcomes of SARS-CoV-2 infection in our cohort of SOT recipients appear to be similar to that observed in the non-transplant population. Older age, higher levels of C-reactive protein and serum creatinine were associated with higher mortality, whereas SOT was not associated with worse outcomes.

PMID:33657157 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0247251

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Social factors associated with reversing frailty progression in community-dwelling late-stage elderly people: An observational study

PLoS One. 2021 Mar 3;16(3):e0247296. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0247296. eCollection 2021.

ABSTRACT

Frailty is considered to be a complex concept based mainly on physical vulnerability, but also vulnerabilities in mental/psychological and social aspects. Frailty can be reversible with appropriate intervention; however, factors that are important in recovering from frailty have not been clarified. The aim of the present study was to identify factors that help an individual reverse frailty progression and characteristics of individuals that have recovered from frailty. Community-dwelling people aged ≥75 years who responded to the Kihon Checklist (KCL) were enrolled in the study. The KCL consists of 25 yes/no questions in 7 areas: daily-life related activities, motor functions, nutritional status, oral functions, homebound, cognitive functions, and depressed mood. The number of social activities, degree of trust in the community, degree of interaction with neighbors, and subjective age were also evaluated. Frailty was assessed based on the number of checked items: 0-3 for robust, 4-7 for pre-frailty, and ≥8 for frailty. A total of 5050 participants were included for statistical analysis. At the time of the baseline survey in 2016, 18.7% (n = 942) of respondents had frailty, and the follow-up survey showed that the recovery rate from frailty within 2 years (median 24 months) was 31.8% (n = 300). Multiple logistic regression analysis showed that exercise-based social participation (odds ratio [OR] 2.0, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.2-3.4; P<0.01) and self-rated health (OR 1.2, CI 1.0-1.5; P = 0.02) were related to reversing frailty progression. Principal component analysis indicated that the main factors constituting the first principal component (contribution rate, 18.3%) included items related to social capital, such as interaction with neighbors, trust in the community, and number of social participation activities. Our results demonstrate that exercise-based social participation and high self-rated health have associations with reversing frailty progression. Individuals that recovered from frailty are characterized by high individual-level social capital components (i.e., trust in community, interaction with neighbors, and social participation).

PMID:33657160 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0247296

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A systematic review and meta-analysis for association of Helicobacter pylori colonization and celiac disease

PLoS One. 2021 Mar 3;16(3):e0241156. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0241156. eCollection 2021.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Based on some previous observational studies, there is a theory that suggests a potential relationship between Helicobacter pylori (H. pylori) colonization and celiac disease (CeD); however, the type of this relationship is still controversial. Therefore, we aimed to conduct a systematic review and meta-analysis to explore all related primary studies to find any possible association between CeD and human H. pylori colonization.

DATA SOURCES: Studies were systematically searched and collected from four databases and different types of gray literature to cover all available evidence. After screening, the quality and risk of bias assessment of the selected articles were evaluated.

SYNTHESIS METHODS: Meta-analysis calculated pooled odds ratio (OR) on the extracted data. Furthermore, heterogeneity, sensitivity, subgroups, and publication bias analyses were assessed.

RESULTS: Twenty-six studies were included in this systematic review, with a total of 6001 cases and 135512 control people. The results of meta-analysis on 26 studies showed a significant and negative association between H. pylori colonization and CeD (pooled OR = 0.56; 95% CI = 0.45-0.70; P < 0.001), with no publication bias (P = 0.825). The L’Abbé plots also showed a trend of having more H. pylori colonization in the control group. Among subgroups, ORs were notably different only when the data were stratified by continents or risk of bias; however, subgroup analysis could not determine the source of heterogeneity.

CONCLUSIONS: According to the meta-analysis, this negative association might imply a mild protective role of H. pylori against celiac disease. Although this negative association is not strong, it is statistically significant and should be further considered. Further investigations in both molecular and clinic fields with proper methodology and more detailed information are needed to discover more evidence and underlying mechanisms to clear the interactive aspects of H. pylori colonization in CeD patients.

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION NUMBER (PROSPERO): CRD42020167730 https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?RecordID=167730.

PMID:33657108 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0241156

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Identification of skill in an online game: The case of Fantasy Premier League

PLoS One. 2021 Mar 3;16(3):e0246698. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0246698. eCollection 2021.

ABSTRACT

In all competitions where results are based upon an individual’s performance the question of whether the outcome is a consequence of skill or luck arises. We explore this question through an analysis of a large dataset of approximately one million contestants playing Fantasy Premier League, an online fantasy sport where managers choose players from the English football (soccer) league. We show that managers’ ranks over multiple seasons are correlated and we analyse the actions taken by managers to increase their likelihood of success. The prime factors in determining a manager’s success are found to be long-term planning and consistently good decision-making in the face of the noisy contests upon which this game is based. Similarities between managers’ decisions over time that result in the emergence of ‘template’ teams, suggesting a form of herding dynamics taking place within the game, are also observed. Taken together, these findings indicate common strategic considerations and consensus among successful managers on crucial decision points over an extended temporal period.

PMID:33657110 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0246698

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Early versus deferred anti-SARS-CoV-2 convalescent plasma in patients admitted for COVID-19: A randomized phase II clinical trial

PLoS Med. 2021 Mar 3;18(3):e1003415. doi: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1003415. eCollection 2021 Mar.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Convalescent plasma (CP), despite limited evidence on its efficacy, is being widely used as a compassionate therapy for hospitalized patients with COVID-19. We aimed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of early CP therapy in COVID-19 progression.

METHODS AND FINDINGS: The study was an open-label, single-center randomized clinical trial performed in an academic medical center in Santiago, Chile, from May 10, 2020, to July 18, 2020, with final follow-up until August 17, 2020. The trial included patients hospitalized within the first 7 days of COVID-19 symptom onset, presenting risk factors for illness progression and not on mechanical ventilation. The intervention consisted of immediate CP (early plasma group) versus no CP unless developing prespecified criteria of deterioration (deferred plasma group). Additional standard treatment was allowed in both arms. The primary outcome was a composite of mechanical ventilation, hospitalization for >14 days, or death. The key secondary outcomes included time to respiratory failure, days of mechanical ventilation, hospital length of stay, mortality at 30 days, and SARS-CoV-2 real-time PCR clearance rate. Of 58 randomized patients (mean age, 65.8 years; 50% male), 57 (98.3%) completed the trial. A total of 13 (43.3%) participants from the deferred group received plasma based on clinical aggravation. We failed to find benefit in the primary outcome (32.1% versus 33.3%, odds ratio [OR] 0.95, 95% CI 0.32-2.84, p > 0.999) in the early versus deferred CP group. The in-hospital mortality rate was 17.9% versus 6.7% (OR 3.04, 95% CI 0.54-17.17 p = 0.246), mechanical ventilation 17.9% versus 6.7% (OR 3.04, 95% CI 0.54-17.17, p = 0.246), and prolonged hospitalization 21.4% versus 30.0% (OR 0.64, 95% CI, 0.19-2.10, p = 0.554) in the early versus deferred CP group, respectively. The viral clearance rate on day 3 (26% versus 8%, p = 0.204) and day 7 (38% versus 19%, p = 0.374) did not differ between groups. Two patients experienced serious adverse events within 6 hours after plasma transfusion. The main limitation of this study is the lack of statistical power to detect a smaller but clinically relevant therapeutic effect of CP, as well as not having confirmed neutralizing antibodies in donor before plasma infusion.

CONCLUSIONS: In the present study, we failed to find evidence of benefit in mortality, length of hospitalization, or mechanical ventilation requirement by immediate addition of CP therapy in the early stages of COVID-19 compared to its use only in case of patient deterioration.

TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT04375098.

PMID:33657114 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pmed.1003415

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Predicting major bleeding among hospitalized patients using oral anticoagulants for atrial fibrillation after discharge

PLoS One. 2021 Mar 3;16(3):e0246691. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0246691. eCollection 2021.

ABSTRACT

AIM: Real-world predictors of major bleeding (MB) have been well-studied among warfarin users, but not among all direct oral anticoagulant (DOAC) users diagnosed with atrial fibrillation (AF). Thus, our goal was to build a predictive model of MB for new users of all oral anticoagulants (OAC) with AF.

METHODS: We identified patients hospitalized for any cause and discharged alive in the community from 2011 to 2017 with a primary or secondary diagnosis of AF in Quebec’s RAMQ and Med-Echo administrative databases. Cohort entry occurred at the first OAC claim. Patients were categorized according to OAC type. Outcomes were incident MB, gastrointestinal bleeding (GIB), non-GI extracranial bleeding (NGIB) and intracranial bleeding within 1 year of follow-up. Covariates included age, sex, co-morbidities (within 3 years before cohort entry) and medication use (within 2 weeks before cohort entry). We used logistic-LASSO and adaptive logistic-LASSO regressions to identify MB predictors among OAC users. Discrimination and calibration were assessed for each model and a global model was selected. Subgroup analyses were performed for MB subtypes and OAC types.

RESULTS: Our cohort consisted of 14,741 warfarin, 3,722 dabigatran, 6,722 rivaroxaban and 11,196 apixaban users aged 70-86 years old. The important MB predictors were age, prior MB and liver disease with ORs ranging from 1.37-1.64. The final model had a c-statistic of 0.63 (95% CI 0.60-0.65) with adequate calibration. The GIB and NGIB models had similar c-statistics of 0.65 (95% CI 0.63-0.66) and 0.67 (95% CI 0.64-0.70), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS: MB and MB subtype predictors were similar among DOAC and warfarin users. The predictors selected by our models and their discriminative potential are concordant with published data. Thus, these models can be useful tools for future pharmacoepidemiologic studies involving older oral anticoagulant users with AF.

PMID:33657116 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0246691

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Potential linkage between Toxoplasma gondii infection and physical education scores of college students

PLoS One. 2021 Mar 3;16(3):e0241653. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0241653. eCollection 2021.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Toxoplasma gondii is a worldwide protozoan parasite that could infect virtually all warm-blooded animals, including humans. Our study aimed to investigate the prevalence of T. gondii infection in college students at Anhui province, China and to assess risk factors for T. gondii infection in college students. Moreover, growing studies demonstrated the association between T. gondii infection and host behavioral changes. We also studied the linkage between T. gondii and physical education (PE) scores of college students.

METHODS: A total of 2704 serum samples of medical school students attending physical education lessons were collected from September 2017 to September 2019 and evaluated for T. gondii IgG antibodies using an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). Questionnaires and statistical analysis were used to determine the risk factors for T. gondii infection. We also analysed PE scores of T. gondii -infected students and T. gondii-uninfected students.

RESULTS: The overall seroprevalence of T. gondii was 11.5%. The main risk factors related to T. gondii infection in college students were cat in the household and gardening or agriculture activity. Furthermore, in the basketball group and the soccer group, scores of T. gondii seropositive students were significantly higher than those of seronegative students, while in other sports there was no difference between scores of T. gondii-infected students and T. gondii uninfected students.

CONCLUSION: This is the first report of T. gondii seroprevalence in college students in Anhui province, China.

PMID:33657102 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0241653

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When personality gets under the skin: Need for uniqueness and body modifications

PLoS One. 2021 Mar 3;16(3):e0245158. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0245158. eCollection 2021.

ABSTRACT

Do individuals modify their bodies in order to be unique? The present study sought to investigate need for uniqueness (NfU) subcomponents as possible motives for modifying one’s body. To this end, the study obtained information from 312 participants about their NfU (using the German NfU-G global scale and three sub-scales) and their body modifications (tattoos, piercings, and extreme body modifications such as tongue splitting). By analyzing the three subcomponents of NfU, the study was able to investigate the differential relationship of the sub-scales with the outcome measures, which facilitated a fine-grained understanding of the NfU-body-modification relationship. The study found that tattooed, pierced, and extreme-body-modified individuals had higher NfU-G scores than individuals without body modifications. Moreover, it seemed that individuals with tattoos took a social component into consideration while lacking concern regarding others’ reaction toward their tattoos, although not wanting to cause affront. Pierced and extreme-body-modified individuals, contrarily, tended to display a propensity to actively flout rules and not worry about others’ opinions on their modifications. However, although statistically significant, the effect size (d) for the NfU-G differences in the tattooed and pierced participants’ mean scores was small to medium in all three subcomponents. The extreme-body-modified group presented medium and medium to large effects. Further, the study observed that the number of body modifications increased with an increasing NfU in tattooed and pierced individuals. These findings demonstrated multifaceted interrelations between the NfU, its subcomponents, and the three kinds of body modifications investigated in the present study.

PMID:33657106 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0245158

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The Association of Spirituality with Anxiety and Depression in Stroke Survivor-Caregiver Dyads: An Actor-Partner Interdependence Model

J Cardiovasc Nurs. 2021 Feb 28. doi: 10.1097/JCN.0000000000000798. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Although several authors have analyzed the effects of spirituality on stroke survivors’ physical functioning and on their own caregiver’s outcomes, such as quality of life, only few authors have explored the interaction between spirituality and anxiety and depression using a dyadic approach.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to analyze the influence of spirituality in the stroke survivor-caregiver dyad and specifically on anxiety and depression in both parties.

METHODS: A total of 217 stroke survivor-caregiver dyads were enrolled at discharge from several rehabilitation hospitals in central and southern Italy. The actor-partner interdependence model was used to analyze the dyadic data. To verify the differences in the effects between survivors and caregivers, comparisons were made between the χ2 values of the model in which actor and partner effects were constrained to be equal.

RESULTS: The average age of stroke survivors and their caregivers at baseline was 71.2 and 52.7 years, respectively. Among the stroke survivors, there were slightly more men than women, whereas 65% of the caregivers were women. Most stroke survivors had had an ischemic stroke. Four statistically significant actor effects were identified. Higher survivors’ and caregivers’ spirituality was associated with higher survivor and caregiver anxiety. The only significant partner effect that was identified was the association between stroke survivor spirituality and caregiver depression.

CONCLUSIONS: This study highlights the importance of studying spirituality in the population with stroke. Spirituality seems to play an important protective role in both stroke survivors’ and caregivers’ depression but not in anxiety.

PMID:33657064 | DOI:10.1097/JCN.0000000000000798

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How Frequent Is Switching From an Initial Stimulant Family to the Alternative One in the Clinical Setting? A Pilot Study of 49 Consecutively Referred Medication-Naive Adults With Attention-Deficit/Hyperactivity Disorder

J Clin Psychopharmacol. 2021 Feb 27. doi: 10.1097/JCP.0000000000001374. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE/BACKGROUND: This study aimed to evaluate the frequency of needing to switch the initial treatment of a stimulant to the alternative family in newly referred, medication-naive adults with attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) initiating treatment with stimulants.

METHODS/PROCEDURES: Subjects were 49 unmedicated adults (18-45 years old) with Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Disorders (Fifth Edition) ADHD who initiated treatment with a stimulant. Before the clinical assessment with an expert clinician, participants completed the Adult Self-Report, Behavior Rating Inventory of Executive Function-Adult Version, Emotional Dysregulation Subscale of the Barkley Current Behavior Scale-Self-report, and Mind Wandering Questionnaire. The rate of switching was examined using information from the electronic medical record for up to three clinical follow-up visits. Comparisons were made between those who did and did not need to switch on baseline demographic and clinical characteristics.

FINDINGS/RESULTS: Sixty-seven percent of ADHD patients were initially prescribed a methylphenidate product, and 33%, an amphetamine product. Forty-one percent of ADHD patients needed to switch from their initially prescribed stimulant family within 90 days of initiating treatment because of poor tolerability. Whereas the rate of switching was significantly higher in those initially prescribed methylphenidate, the rate of patients who required changes in formulation (long- to short-acting and vice versa) or additional antianxiety or antidepressant treatment (“strugglers”) was higher in those taking amphetamine. Switchers were more impaired on the Adult Self-Report Intrusive scale, whereas nonswitchers were more impaired on the Behavior Rating Inventory of Executive Function Inhibit and Task Monitor scales. However, these findings were small and of unclear clinical significance.

IMPLICATIONS/CONCLUSIONS: Forty-one percent of medication-naive adults with ADHD initiating stimulant treatment required a switch from the initially prescribed stimulant family to the alternative one because of poor tolerability. Switching could not be adequately predicted by baseline demographic or clinical characteristics. These findings call for improved efforts to help identify predictors of response to stimulant treatment in adults with ADHD to avoid unnecessary delays in identifying a safe and effective treatment for these patients.

PMID:33657069 | DOI:10.1097/JCP.0000000000001374