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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The power of sample size calculations

Eur J Endocrinol. 2024 Oct 29;191(5):E5-E9. doi: 10.1093/ejendo/lvae129.

ABSTRACT

Researchers frequently come across sample size calculations in the scientific literature they read, in projects undertaken by their peers, and likely within their own work. However, despite its ubiquity, calculating a sample size is often perceived as a hurdle and not fully understood. This paper provides a brief overview of sample size estimation to guide readers, researchers, and reviewers through its fundamentals.

PMID:39471402 | DOI:10.1093/ejendo/lvae129

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Interest in the Use of Herbal Supplements to Close the Treatment Gap for Hazardous Alcohol Use Among Men Who Have Sex With Men: Secondary Analysis of a Cross-Sectional Study

JMIR Form Res. 2024 Oct 29;8:e60370. doi: 10.2196/60370.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Hazardous alcohol consumption is highly prevalent for men who have sex with men (MSM). The 4 treatments currently approved by the Food and Drug Administration for alcohol use are reaching an alarmingly low percentage of people who would benefit from a reduction in their alcohol use. There is increasing interest in alternative methods of treatment, such as herbal supplements, to address hazardous drinking. However, research on the acceptability of alternative pharmacotherapies among MSM remains limited.

OBJECTIVE: We examined the prevalence and correlates of expressing interest in using herbal supplements for alcohol treatment among MSM with hazardous alcohol consumption.

METHODS: We conducted a secondary data analysis from a cross-sectional study of MSM who use alcohol, conducted from March 2015 to July 2017 in San Francisco, California, to assess the overall prevalence of interest in using herbal supplements to help reduce alcohol consumption. Associations between expressing interest in herbal supplements and demographic, social, and clinical characteristics were examined using bivariate and multivariable logistic regression models.

RESULTS: One-third (66/200, 33%) of the participants expressed interest in an herbal supplement for reducing alcohol consumption. In the multivariable analyses, weekly binge drinking (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 2.85, 95% CI 1.17-6.93), interest in abstaining from alcohol use (aOR 5.04, 95% CI 1.46-17.40), higher severity of alcohol dependence score (aOR 1.22, 95% CI 1.04-1.41), and interest in naltrexone (aOR 3.22, 95% CI 2.12-4.91) were independently associated with higher odds of being interested in using an herbal supplement to reduce alcohol consumption, adjusting for age, race or ethnicity, and education.

CONCLUSIONS: We found that MSM who have hazardous drinking habits, more severe alcohol dependence, and interest in pharmacotherapy were more likely to express interest in using an herbal supplement for reducing alcohol consumption. To our knowledge, this is the first study that has evaluated correlates of interest in herbal supplements for alcohol use among MSM. As researchers implement novel alcohol treatment studies, they should focus on recruitment efforts among MSM with a motivation to reduce their alcohol use patterns.

PMID:39471379 | DOI:10.2196/60370

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Initial Evaluation of Acceptability, Engagement, and Effectiveness of the MO App to Provide Tailored and Comprehensive Support for Smoking Cessation: Development and Usability Study

JMIR Mhealth Uhealth. 2024 Oct 29;12:e55239. doi: 10.2196/55239.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Despite the growing availability of smoking cessation apps, low engagement and cessation rates have remained a significant challenge. To address this issue, we used a user-centered design to iteratively develop a mobile app (MO) to provide comprehensive, tailored, and evidence-based content to support smokers in their quitting journey.

OBJECTIVE: This study examined the acceptability, use, and preliminary efficacy of the MO app for smoking cessation. Specifically, we sought to understand smokers’ preferred features, engagement, and satisfaction with MO; identify concerns in using the app and ways to improve the app; and evaluate its smoking cessation outcomes.

METHODS: Through 3 cohorts, we recruited 10, 12, and 85 adult smokers who attempted to quit smoking to pilot-test the MO app between December 2019 and July 2022. Participants were instructed to complete a baseline survey, interact with the app for 6 weeks, and fill in a postsurvey at week 6. Participants in cohort 3 completed an additional postsurvey at week 12. Participants’ app use was tracked and analyzed. The primary outcome measures were participants’ 7-day point prevalence abstinence at 6 and 12 weeks.

RESULTS: Participants reported high levels of satisfaction with the MO app across all 3 cohorts, rating it between 4.40 and 4.76 on a scale of 5 for acceptability. Users engaged with app activities for an average of 89 to 159 times over 35 days. The most liked features of the app included “quit plan,” “tracking,” “reminders and notifications,” “MOtalks,” and “motivational quotes.” The 7-day point prevalence abstinence rate of the modified intention to treat population in cohort 3 was 58% at 6 weeks and 52% at 12 weeks. Those who interacted more frequently with app features and engaged with more diverse activities were more likely to maintain abstinence at weeks 6 and 12. For each additional time logged into the app, the odds of staying abstinent at week 12 increased by 5% (odds ratio [OR] 1.05, 95% CI 1.01-1.08). Participants who earned >5000 points during app use also had higher odds of quitting at both 6 weeks (OR 3.12, 95% CI 1.25-7.75) and 12 weeks (OR 4.65, 95% CI 1.83-11.76), compared with those who earned <5000 points.

CONCLUSIONS: Our study demonstrated that MO is a feasible mobile phone app with high acceptability and usability and can effectively deliver smoking cessation support to individuals who want to quit. Implications for developing and evaluating mobile phone apps for smoking cessation are discussed.

PMID:39471372 | DOI:10.2196/55239

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Short-Term Outcomes of a Healthy Relationship Intervention for the Prevention of Sexual Harassment and Sexual Assault in the US Military: Pilot Pretest-Postest Study

JMIR Form Res. 2024 Oct 29;8:e64412. doi: 10.2196/64412.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Sexual harassment (SH) and sexual assault (SA) are serious public health problems among US service members. Few SH and SA prevention interventions have been developed exclusively for the military. Code of Respect (X-CoRe) is an innovative web-based, multilevel, SA and SH intervention designed exclusively for the active-duty Air Force. The program’s goal is to increase Airmen’s knowledge and skills to build and maintain respectful relationships, ultimately reducing SH and SA and enhancing Airmen’s overall well-being and mission readiness.

OBJECTIVE: This pilot study aimed to assess the short-term psychosocial impact (eg, knowledge, attitudes, and self-efficacy) of the web-based component of X-CoRe on a sample of junior enlisted and midlevel Airmen.

METHODS: Airmen from a military installation located in the Northeastern United States were recruited to complete the 10 web-based modules in X-CoRe (9/15, 60% male; 7/15, 54% aged 30-35 years). Participants were given pretests and posttests to measure short-term psychosocial outcomes associated with SH and SA. Descriptive statistics and paired 2-tailed t tests were conducted to assess differences from preintervention to postintervention time points.

RESULTS: After completing X-CoRe, participants had a significantly greater understanding of active consent (P=.04), confidence in their healthy relationship skills (P=.045), and confidence to intervene as bystanders (P=.01). Although not statistically significant (P>.05), mean scores in attitudes about SH, couple violence, and cyberbullying; perceptions of sexual misconduct as part of military life; and relationship skills self-efficacy with a romantic partner and friend also improved.

CONCLUSIONS: The findings from this study demonstrate X-CoRe’s effectiveness in improving critical determinants of SH and SA, making it a promising intervention for SH and SA prevention. More rigorous research is needed to determine X-CoRe’s impact on SH and SA victimization and the long-term impact on associated psychosocial determinants.

PMID:39471370 | DOI:10.2196/64412

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Digital Phenotypes of Mobile Keyboard Backspace Rates and Their Associations With Symptoms of Mood Disorder: Algorithm Development and Validation

J Med Internet Res. 2024 Oct 29;26:e51269. doi: 10.2196/51269.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Passive sensing through smartphone keyboard data can be used to identify and monitor symptoms of mood disorders with low participant burden. Behavioral phenotyping based on mobile keystroke data can aid in clinical decision-making and provide insights into the individual symptoms of mood disorders.

OBJECTIVE: This study aims to derive digital phenotypes based on smartphone keyboard backspace use among 128 community adults across 2948 observations using a Bayesian mixture model.

METHODS: Eligible study participants completed a virtual screening visit where all eligible participants were instructed to download the custom-built BiAffect smartphone keyboard (University of Illinois). The BiAffect keyboard unobtrusively captures keystroke dynamics. All eligible and consenting participants were instructed to use this keyboard exclusively for up to 4 weeks of the study in real life, and participants’ compliance was checked at the 2 follow-up visits at week 2 and week 4. As part of the research protocol, every study participant underwent evaluations by a study psychiatrist during each visit.

RESULTS: We found that derived phenotypes were associated with not only the diagnoses and severity of depression and mania but also specific individual symptoms. Using a linear mixed-effects model with random intercepts accounting for the nested data structure from daily data, the backspace rates on the continuous scale did not differ between participants in the healthy control and in the mood disorders groups (P=.11). The 3-class model had mean backspace rates of 0.112, 0.180, and 0.268, respectively, with a SD of 0.048. In total, 3 classes, respectively, were estimated to comprise 37.5% (n=47), 54.4% (n=72), and 8.1% (n=9) of the sample. We grouped individuals into Low, Medium, and High backspace rate groups. Individuals with unipolar mood disorder were predominantly in the Medium group (n=54), with some in the Low group (n=27) and a few in the High group (n=6). The Medium group, compared with the Low group, had significantly higher ratings of depression (b=2.32, P=.008). The High group was not associated with ratings of depression with (P=.88) or without (P=.27) adjustment for medication and diagnoses. The High group, compared with the Low group, was associated with both nonzero ratings (b=1.91, P=.02) and higher ratings of mania (b=1.46, P<.001). The High group, compared with the Low group, showed significantly higher odds of elevated mood (P=.03), motor activity (P=.04), and irritability (P<.05).

CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrates the promise of mobile typing kinematics in mood disorder research and practice. Monitoring a single mobile typing kinematic feature, that is, backspace rates, through passive sensing imposes a low burden on the participants. Based on real-life keystroke data, our derived digital phenotypes from this single feature can be useful for researchers and practitioners to distinguish between individuals with and those without mood disorder symptoms.

PMID:39471368 | DOI:10.2196/51269

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Effects of HIV Self-Testing on Testing Promotion and Risk Behavior Reduction Among Transgender Women in China: Randomized Controlled Trial

J Med Internet Res. 2024 Oct 29;26:e58591. doi: 10.2196/58591.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: To date, no randomized controlled trials have specifically addressed behavior changes after HIV self-testing (HIVST) among transgender women.

OBJECTIVE: This study aims to evaluate the effects of HIVST on changes in HIV testing behavior, frequency of condomless sex, and partner numbers among transgender women in China.

METHODS: Participants were recruited from 2 Chinese cities using both online and offline methods. Transgender women were randomly assigned to receive an HIVST intervention. Data from the previous 3 months were collected at baseline, 3 months, and 6 months. The primary outcome was the mean change in the number of HIV tests among transgender women during the 6-month follow-up. An intention-to-treat analysis was conducted. The statistical analysis used analysis of covariance and linear mixed-effects models.

RESULTS: From February to June 2021, and 255 transgender women were recruited, of which only 36.5% (93/255) had a steady job, and 27.1% (69/255) earned less than US $414.9 of income per month. They were randomly assigned to the intervention (n=127) and control (n=128) groups. At 6 months, the mean number of HIV tests was 2.14 (95% CI 1.80-2.48) in the intervention group and 1.19 (95% CI 0.99-1.40) in the control group (P<.001), with increases of 0.84 (95% CI 0.54-1.14) and 0.11 (95% CI -0.19-0.41) over 6 months, respectively. The net increase was 0.73 (95% CI 0.31-1.15; P<.001), with a similar adjusted result. No significant differences in the frequency of condomless sex or partner numbers were observed between the 2 groups.

CONCLUSIONS: HIVST is an effective strategy for enhancing regular HIV testing behavior among transgender women in China. This strategy should be combined with measures to address the financial vulnerability of the transgender women community to reduce subsequent risk behaviors, including condomless sex.

TRIAL REGISTRATION: Chinese Clinical Trial Registry ChiCTR2000039766; https://www.chictr.org.cn/showproj.html?proj=61402.

PMID:39471367 | DOI:10.2196/58591

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Referral Pattern and Comanagement of Patients With Keratoconus in West Africa: A Survey-Based Study of Optometrists in Ghana and Nigeria

Eye Contact Lens. 2024 Oct 29. doi: 10.1097/ICL.0000000000001139. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the referral and management patterns of patients with keratoconus among primary eye care practitioners in Ghana and Nigeria.

METHODS: A questionnaire adapted from previous studies was modified and created using Google Forms. The online survey was distributed to prospective participants using e-mails and other social media platforms. Data were analyzed using the Statistical Product and Service Solutions software (version 25.0; IBM Corp, Armonk, NY; Released 2017).

RESULTS: One hundred and sixty-nine optometrists responded to the survey (61.54% from Nigeria and 38.46% from Ghana). Most (88.6%) practiced without corneal topographers. Most respondents (77.7%, n=136) reported not fitting rigid gas-permeable (RGP) contact lenses in a year and 68% were willing to refer for contact lens fitting to another practitioner. The major barriers to RGP fitting were lack of experience (44.4%, n=72), cost to practice (15.4%, n=25), and other reasons (12.4%), whereas 27.8% (n=45) preferred not to answer. Seventy-six percent of respondents (n=133) were willing to fit RGPs if the respondents received the training to do so. About half of the respondents (53.8%) reported progression of cornea signs as the reason for referral to an ophthalmologist. Half of the respondents (n=51.4%) did not have a cornea surgeon in the area the respondents practiced, and 76.3% reported not comanaging patients at all with ophthalmologists.

CONCLUSION: This study highlights the current standard of care of patients with keratoconus in West Africa. The findings from this study suggest that clinical guidelines and further training of eye care practitioners in West Africa are needed to better manage patients with keratoconus.

PMID:39471349 | DOI:10.1097/ICL.0000000000001139

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Patient Information Leaflet Feedback on Delusional Infestation

Clin Exp Dermatol. 2024 Oct 29:llae471. doi: 10.1093/ced/llae471. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Delusional parasitosis, also known as Ekbom syndrome, is a poorly understood condition often surrounded by misinformation. Patients and their families frequently encounter skepticism regarding their experiences. This research aimed to create a patient information leaflet (PIL) with a patient centred approach and to gather feedback on its usefulness for sharing information and validating their experiences.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate patient feedback on a newly developed PIL designed for individuals with delusional parasitosis, assessing its perceived usefulness and impact.

METHODS: A survey was administered to 18 patients before their appointments, incorporating the new PIL. The survey included questions on the leaflet’s clarity, usefulness, ability to validate patient experiences and other pointers, measured on a 10-point Likert scale (0 = No answer, 1 = Strongly Disagree, 10 = Strongly Agree). Data was analysed using descriptive statistics and factor analysis. Additionally, the final question allowed for written feedback, which was examined through thematic analysis.

RESULTS: The survey results revealed that the majority of patients were satisfied with the new PIL. Specifically, 94% agreed or strongly agreed that the leaflet was logical and easy to follow, 72% found it useful for understanding their condition, and 89% felt it validated their experiences. Mean scores for these concepts were 8.83, 7.61, and 7.78, respectively. Thematic analysis of written feedback highlighted themes of improved understanding but uncertainty around acknowledgement of experiences.

CONCLUSION: This new patient-centered PIL for delusional parasitosis was well-received, indicating its potential as a valuable tool for patients and their support networks. By addressing the specific needs and experiences of patients, the leaflet can improve communication and reduce the stigma associated with the condition. Future research should explore long-term impacts and the effectiveness of similar resources in other patient populations.

PMID:39471340 | DOI:10.1093/ced/llae471

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MegaLMM improves genomic predictions in new environments using environmental covariates

Genetics. 2024 Oct 29:iyae171. doi: 10.1093/genetics/iyae171. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Multi-environment trials (METs) are crucial for identifying varieties that perform well across a target population of environments (TPE). However, METs are typically too small to sufficiently represent all relevant environment-types, and face challenges from changing environment-types due to climate change. Statistical methods that enable prediction of variety performance for new environments beyond the METs are needed. We recently developed MegaLMM, a statistical model that can leverage hundreds of trials to significantly improve genetic value prediction accuracy within METs. Here, we extend MegaLMM to enable genomic prediction in new environments by learning regressions of latent factor loadings on Environmental Covariates (ECs) across trials. We evaluated the extended MegaLMM using the maize Genome-To-Fields dataset, consisting of 4402 varieties cultivated in 195 trials with 87.1% of phenotypic values missing, and demonstrated its high accuracy in genomic prediction under various breeding scenarios. Furthermore, we showcased MegaLMM’s superiority over univariate GBLUP in predicting trait performance of experimental genotypes in new environments. Finally, we explored the use of higher-dimensional quantitative ECs and discussed when and how detailed environmental data can be leveraged for genomic prediction from METs. We propose that MegaLMM can be applied to plant breeding of diverse crops and different fields of genetics where large-scale linear mixed models are utilized.

PMID:39471330 | DOI:10.1093/genetics/iyae171

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Canadian Surveillance Metrics and History of the COVID-19 Pandemic: Update of Epidemiological Assessment

JMIR Public Health Surveill. 2024 Oct 29. doi: 10.2196/53218. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: This study provides an update to the status of the COVID-19 pandemic in Canada building upon our initial analysis conducted in 2020 by incorporating an additional two years of data.

OBJECTIVE: First, we aim to summarize the status of the pandemic in Canada when the World Health Organization (WHO) declared the end of the public health emergency for the COVID-19 pandemic on May 5, 2023. Second, we use dynamic and genomic surveillance methods to describe the history of the pandemic in Canada and situate the window of the WHO declaration within the broader history. Third, we aim to provide historical context for the course of the pandemic in Canada.

METHODS: This longitudinal study analyzed trends in traditional surveillance data and dynamic panel estimates for COVID-19 transmissions and deaths in Canada from June 2020 to May 2023. We also used sequenced SARS-CoV-2 variants from the Global Initiative on Sharing All Influenza Data (GISAID) to identify the appearance and duration of variants of concern. For these sequences, we used Nextclade nomenclature to collect clade designations and Pangolin nomenclature for lineage designations of SARS-CoV-2. We used t-tests of dynamic panel regression coefficients to measure the persistence of COVID-19 transmissions around the WHO declaration. Finally, we conducted a one-sided t-test for whether provincial and territorial weekly speed was greater than an outbreak threshold of ten. We ran the test iteratively with six months of data across the sample period.

RESULTS: Canada’s speed remained below the outbreak threshold for eight months by the time of the WHO declaration ending the COVID-19 emergency of international concern. Acceleration and jerk were also low and stable. While the 1-day persistence coefficient remained statistically significant and positive (1.074, P-value <.001), the 7-day coefficient was negative and small in magnitude (-0.080, P-value .02). Furthermore, shift parameters for either of the two most recent weeks around May 5, 2023, were negligible (0.003 and 0.018, respectively, with P-values of .75 and .31), meaning the clustering effect of new COVID-19 cases had remained stable in the two weeks around the WHO declaration. From December of 2021 onward, Omicron was the predominant variant of concern in sequenced viral samples. The rolling t-test of speed equal to ten became entirely insignificant from mid-October 2022 onward.

CONCLUSIONS: While COVID-19 continues to circulate in Canada, the rate of transmission remained well below the threshold of an outbreak for eight months ahead of the WHO declaration. Both standard and enhanced surveillance metrics confirm that the pandemic had largely ended in Canada by the time of the WHO declaration. These results can inform future public health interventions and strategies in Canada, as well as contribute to the global understanding of the trajectory of the COVID-19 pandemic.

PMID:39471286 | DOI:10.2196/53218