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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Procedural Prescription Denials and Risk of Acute Care Utilization and Spending Among Medicaid Patients

JAMA Netw Open. 2025 Jan 2;8(1):e2457300. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2024.57300.

ABSTRACT

IMPORTANCE: Rising prescription medication costs under Medicaid have led to increased procedural prescription denials by health plans. The effect of unresolved denials on chronic condition exacerbation and subsequent acute care utilization remains unclear.

OBJECTIVE: To examine whether procedural prescription denials are associated with increased net spending through downstream acute care utilization among Medicaid patients not obtaining prescribed medication following a denial.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This cross-sectional study used Medicaid claims data from 2022 to 2023 for patients at inpatient, outpatient, and pharmacy sites of care across 2 states (Virginia and Washington) and 2 independent health plans. Patients with at least 1 prescription denial in the study period (January 1 through July 31, 2023) were matched to those without denials in a given medication class, based on demographics, health plan data, chronic condition history, and health care utilization. Rates of and spending for physiologically related acute care visits in the 60 days following a medication fill or denial were compared for the study period.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: The main outcomes were all-cause acute care utilization and total medical spending (in 2023 US dollars per member per year [PMPY]) for principal diagnoses physiologically related to each medication class, in the 60 days following a medication fill or denial. Sensitivity analyses were performed to check for spurious associations or unmeasured confounders.

RESULTS: The 19 725 patients in this study had a median age of 41 (IQR, 29-55) years, and most (60.7%) were female. Patients had a mean (SD) of 3.3 (16.1) comorbidities, 1.0 (2.6) all-cause acute care visits, and 5.6 (7.8) primary care visits during the baseline period. Patients experiencing specific procedural prescription denials had a higher risk of physiologically related emergency department visits and hospitalizations compared with those without a denial in the subsequent 60 days (adjusted odds ratio, 1.40 [95% CI, 1.03-1.88] minimum vs 1.75 [95% CI, 1.39-2.20] maximum for exposure and control groups across the 7 medication classes with significant differences). Denials in 6 medication classes were associated with net total medical spending increases, ranging from $624 (95% CI, $435-$813) to $3016 (95% CI, $1483-$4550) in additional expense PMPY after accounting for both prescription and medical costs attributed to denials.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: The findings of this cross-sectional study suggest that although procedural prescription denials aimed to curb immediate drug costs, some denials prompted heightened acute care utilization and costs that outweighed the short-term prescription budget savings. Health plans should incorporate this potential unintended consequence when shaping prescription coverage policies. Future research should systematically review all medication classes across plans nationally.

PMID:39883462 | DOI:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2024.57300

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Are unions friends or foes of high-performance work systems?

J Appl Psychol. 2025 Jan 30. doi: 10.1037/apl0001266. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Do unions facilitate or hamper the effectiveness of high-performance work systems (HPWS)? Despite the long-standing interest among labor and human resource scholars on this matter, relevant studies are limited and dated. This research investigates whether and how the interplay between HPWS and unions affects both organizational performance and employee well-being outcomes. The authors argue while unions may attenuate the HPWS effects on organizational performance due to decreased performance climate, the overall impacts of unions are likely beneficial, as they facilitate cooperative climate that contributes to organizational performance and enhances employee well-being, which positively affects longer term organizational outcomes. Analyzing longitudinal data with 934 observations from 287 South Korean firms, the authors show that unions indeed facilitate the positive effects of HPWS on organizational performance and employee well-being, mediated by enhanced cooperative climate. They did not find statistically meaningful evidence that unions mitigate HPWS’ effects on performance climate and subsequent organizational performance. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA, all rights reserved).

PMID:39883423 | DOI:10.1037/apl0001266

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Learning too much from too little: False face stereotypes emerge from a few exemplars and persist via insufficient sampling

J Pers Soc Psychol. 2025 Jan;128(1):61-81. doi: 10.1037/pspa0000422.

ABSTRACT

Face stereotypes are prevalent, consequential, yet oftentimes inaccurate. How do false first impressions arise and persist despite counter-evidence? Building on the overgeneralization hypothesis, we propose a domain-general cognitive mechanism: insufficient statistical learning, or Insta-learn. This mechanism posits that humans are quick statistical learners but insufficient samplers. Humans extract statistical regularities from very few exemplars in their immediate context and prematurely decide to stop sampling, creating and perpetuating locally accurate-but globally inaccurate-impressions. Six experiments (N = 1,565) tested this hypothesis using novel pairs of computer-generated faces and social behaviors by fixing the population-level statistics of face-behavior associations to zero (i.e., no relationship). The initial sample contained either 11, five, or three examples with either a positive, zero, or negative linear relationship between facial features and social behaviors. The sampling procedure contained a free-sampling condition in which participants were free to decide when to stop viewing more examples and a fixed-sampling condition in which participants were forced to view all stimuli before making decisions. Consistent with the Insta-learn mechanism, participants learned novel face stereotypes quickly, with as few as three examples, and did not sample enough when they were given the freedom to do so. This domain-general cognitive mechanism provides one plausible origin of false face stereotypes, demonstrating negative consequences when people learn too much from too little. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA, all rights reserved).

PMID:39883402 | DOI:10.1037/pspa0000422

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Willingness to Use Long-Acting Injectable Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis among Adolescent Girls and Young Women in Kampala, Uganda

AIDS Behav. 2025 Jan 30. doi: 10.1007/s10461-025-04616-y. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) has proven to be a powerful tool in preventing HIV infection. There is limited information about the factors associated with willingness to use different PrEP modalities among adolescent girls and young women (AGYW) in Africa. We assessed willingness to use long-acting injectable PrEP (LAI-PrEP) among 14-24-year-old AGYW at high risk of HIV in Uganda, and associated factors determined using multivariable complementary log-log regression. Of the 285 participants, 69.8% of participants showed willingness to use LAI-PrEP despite only 3.9% having knowledge about it before enrolment. Report of recent transactional sex was high (92.6%). Participants that were divorced/separated (aOR = 1.74, 95% CI 1.03-2.92) and those with multiple sexual partners (aOR = 2.11, 95% CI 1.46-3.06) compared to those with one partner were more likely to be willing to use LAI-PrEP while those that were screened as heavy episodic drinkers (consuming 6 or more drinks on an occasion as per the AUDIT tool) were less likely to be willing to use LAI-PrEP (aOR = 0.61, 95% CI 0.42-0.87). LAI PrEP has shown efficacy in clinical trials; the product is approved for use by the Government of Uganda (MoH) and should be expedited for use by AGYW engaged in paid sex and those with multiple sexual partnerships. As it becomes available, we recommend PrEP education and counseling to increase awareness of LAI PrEP as an alternative HIV prevention method.

PMID:39883369 | DOI:10.1007/s10461-025-04616-y

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The impact of a secondary, rare, non-pathogenic PKD1 variant on disease progression in autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease

J Nephrol. 2025 Jan 30. doi: 10.1007/s40620-025-02211-x. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) is caused primarily by pathogenic variants in the PKD1 and PKD2 genes. Although the type of ADPKD variant can influence disease severity, rare, hypomorphic PKD1 variants have also been reported to modify disease severity or cause biallelic ADPKD. This study examines whether rare, additional, potentially protein-altering, non-pathogenic PKD1 variants contribute to ADPKD phenotypic outcomes.

METHODS: We investigated the prevalence of rare, additional, potentially protein-altering PKD1 variants in patients with PKD1-associated ADPKD. The association between rare, additional, potentially protein-altering variants and phenotypic outcomes, including progression to kidney failure, age at onset of hypertension and urological events, height-adjusted total kidney volume, and predicting renal outcomes in PKD (PROPKD) score, were examined.

RESULTS: Rare, additional, potentially protein-altering variants were detected in 6% of the 932 ADPKD patients in the study. The presence of rare, additional, potentially protein-altering variants was associated with 4 years earlier progression to kidney failure (hazard ratio (HR): 1.66; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.18-2.34; P = 0.003), with in-trans rare, additional, potentially protein-altering variants (n = 13/894) showing a greater risk of kidney failure (HR: 1.83; 95% CI 1.00-3.33; P = 0.049). We did not detect statistically significant differences between rare, additional, potentially protein-altering variants and other phenotypic outcomes compared to those without rare, additional, potentially protein-altering variants.

CONCLUSIONS: In patients with PKD1-associated ADPKD, our findings suggest that rare, additional, potentially protein-altering variants in PKD1 may influence disease severity. These findings have potential clinical implications in counselling and treating patients with rare, additional, potentially protein-altering variants, but further investigation of such variants in larger, longitudinal cohorts with detailed, standardised phenotype data is required.

PMID:39883360 | DOI:10.1007/s40620-025-02211-x

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Effect of Botulinum toxin on non-motor symptoms in adult-onset idiopathic focal/segmental dystonia

Neurol Sci. 2025 Jan 30. doi: 10.1007/s10072-025-08020-1. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Non-motor symptoms, including depression, anxiety, sleep disturbances, pain and cognitive dysfunction, are a much more important predictor of quality of life than the severity of dystonia.

OBJECTIVES: To assess the effect of Botulinum toxin on non-motor symptoms and quality of life in patients with adult-onset idiopathic focal dystonia.

METHODS: Patients aged > 18 years diagnosed with idiopathic focal dystonia were recruited in this longitudinal cohort study. The severity of dystonia, non-motor symptoms, and quality of life were evaluated using the BFMDRS, DNMSQuest, and EQ-5D at baseline and 1 and 3 months after botulinum toxin.

RESULTS: 65 patients were recruited with a median age of 59 years. Blepharospasm was the most common phenomenology. 49.2% of patients had depression at baseline assessed using the Beck Depression Inventory (BDI). There was a significant negative correlation between baseline BFMDRS, DNMSQuest, BDI, and HAM-A scores and quality of life, but there was no relation with the type of focal dystonia. The mean percentage improvement in the BFMDRS-M, BFMDRS-D, DNMSQuest, BDI, HAM-A and EQ-5D was 25%, 52%, 16%,20%,23% and 23%, respectively, at one month. There was no statistically significant correlation between percentage change in motor scores compared to depression and quality of life scores at one month.

CONCLUSION: Botulinum toxin improved motor and non-motor scores and quality of life at 1 and 3 months after botulinum toxin therapy. The motor scores did not correlate with depression and DNMSQUEST scores but showed a weak positive correlation with anxiety scores.

PMID:39883352 | DOI:10.1007/s10072-025-08020-1

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Evolution of Human Pair Bonds as a Consequence of Male-Biased Mating Sex Ratios?

Bull Math Biol. 2025 Jan 30;87(3):37. doi: 10.1007/s11538-025-01414-4.

ABSTRACT

Compared to our closest primate relatives, human life history involves greater longevity, which includes a distinctive postmenopausal life stage. Given mammalian reproductive physiology in which females build a finite stock of cells that can become oocytes early in life, which then continuously deplete mostly through cell death while males produce new sperm throughout adulthood, the postmenopausal stage makes the sex ratio in the fertile pool, called the adult sex ratio (ASR), male biased. Additionally, this affects a more fine-grained ratio, the operational sex ratio (OSR), defined as the ratio of males to females currently able to conceive. Here, we construct an ODE model in which males compete for paternities using either a multiple-mating or mate-guarding strategy. Our focus is on investigating the differences of strategy choice between populations with varying life histories, which include a distinct post-fertile stage for adult females. By simulating the system, we determine the dominant strategy and its dependence on various parameter combinations. Our results show that an increase in OSR and ASR correlates well with a change in the dominant strategy from multiple mating to guarding.

PMID:39883339 | DOI:10.1007/s11538-025-01414-4

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Correlation between parathyroid adenoma volume and perioperative outcomes in primary hyperparathyroidism: Does the size matter?

Updates Surg. 2025 Jan 30. doi: 10.1007/s13304-025-02086-4. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Primary hyperparathyroidism (PHPT) due to a parathyroid adenoma stands as one of the most prevalent endocrinological disorders, with focused parathyroidectomy being the established therapeutic strategy.

AIM: This study aims to investigate whether the volume of the pathological gland influences perioperative outcomes and postoperative morbidity.

METHODS: A retrospective analysis was conducted on data from 141 patients who underwent focused parathyroidectomy for PHPT at the University Hospital of Basel between 2007 and 2022.

RESULTS: A total of 141 patients underwent surgery, with a mean age of 57.2 years and prevalence of women (64.5%).The volume of the lesion was divided into three groups (low < 1 ml, middle 1-1.99 ml, large > 2 ml) based on pathological specimen analysis. Preoperative calcium and parathyroid hormone (PTH) values were significantly higher in the large volume group compared to the low volume group (p < 0.05), while phosphate and vitamin D values were significantly lower (p < 0.05). A comparison of adenoma volume in symptomatic patients with asymptomatic patients revealed no statistically significant difference (p = 0.845) and the volume of the gland of any group did not influence the length of the operation (p = 0.173) and the perioperative morbidity (p = 0.108).

CONCLUSION: Compared to a volume of less than 1 ml, a parathyroid gland volume greater than 2 ml was associated with higher preoperative PTH and calcium levels and lower phosphate and vitamin D levels. The volume of the parathyroid gland does not seem to impact the clinical manifestations, or the incidence of perioperative complications.

PMID:39883321 | DOI:10.1007/s13304-025-02086-4

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Effectiveness and Safety in Patients with Non-Valvular Atrial Fibrillation Who Switched from Warfarin to Direct Oral Anticoagulants in Medicare Population

Adv Ther. 2025 Jan 30. doi: 10.1007/s12325-024-03099-y. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Atrial fibrillation (AF), a common heart rhythm abnormality, is linked to a higher risk of stroke. Traditionally, warfarin has been the primary anticoagulation treatment for reducing the stroke risk. The new standard of treatment by direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) offers greater benefits including improved efficacy and fewer adverse effects with reduced monitoring. This study aims to evaluate the risk of stroke/systemic embolism (SE) and major bleeding (MB) among patients with AF who switched from warfarin to DOACs.

METHODS: This study utilized Medicare data to conduct a retrospective analysis of patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) who switched from warfarin to DOACs between January 1, 2012, and December 31, 2019. Patients with NVAF aged 65 and older who switched from warfarin and had continuous health plan enrollment were included. Descriptive statistics, propensity score matching (PSM), and Cox proportional hazard (PH) models were utilized to compare the outcomes and assess risks of SE and MB across the DOAC cohorts.

RESULTS: Among 1,843,495 patients with NVAF on warfarin, 171,700 switched to DOACs within 90 days of discontinuation (apixaban: 90,850; rivaroxaban: 67,698; dabigatran: 12,900). The mean follow-up period across DOAC cohorts ranged from 552 to 628 days. After PSM, apixaban showed significantly lower rates of stroke/SE compared to dabigatran (2.99% vs. 3.98%, p < 0.0001) and rivaroxaban (3.08% vs. 3.80%, p < 0.0001). MB rates were also lower with apixaban versus dabigatran (4.29% vs. 5.57%, p < 0.0001) and rivaroxaban (4.07% vs. 6.35%, p < 0.0001). Cox PH models confirmed these findings, with apixaban demonstrating lower risks of stroke/SE [hazard ratio (HR) 0.83, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.72-0.96 vs. dabigatran; HR 0.91, 95% CI 0.85-0.96 vs. rivaroxaban] and MB (HR 0.79, 95% CI 0.71-0.89 vs. dabigatran; HR 0.68, 95% CI 0.65-0.72 vs. rivaroxaban).

CONCLUSION: The risk of stroke/SE and MB varies significantly among patients with NVAF switching from warfarin to different DOACs, with apixaban presenting the lowest risk compared to dabigatran and rivaroxaban.

PMID:39883308 | DOI:10.1007/s12325-024-03099-y

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The role of granulocyte-macrophage colony-stimulating factor in female assisted reproductive technology treatment: a systematic review and meta-analysis

J Assist Reprod Genet. 2025 Jan 30. doi: 10.1007/s10815-024-03374-5. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

The objective of this study is to explore the impact of the use of granulocyte-macrophage colony-stimulating factor (GM-CSF) in female undergoing assisted reproductive technology (ART) on reproductive outcomes. A literature search was performed using electronic databases (PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science, CNKI, Wanfang data, Geen Medical, and Cochrane Library). Risk ratio (RR), odds ratio (OR), and mean difference (MD) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) for various outcomes were presented. The publication bias and heterogeneity were determined using funnel plot symmetry and I2 test separately. The combined results of the RCT studies did not reveal statistical differences between the GM-CSF group and the control group for any outcome indicators. However, our pooling of results showed that after meta-analysis of non-RCT studies, GM-CSF had a positive effect on implantation rate (OR 1.90; 95% CI 1.11-3.24), clinical pregnancy rate (OR 1.54; 95% CI 1.21-1.95), live birth rate (OR 1.43; 95% CI 1.04-1.98), and available embryo rate (OR 1.27; 95% CI 1.10-1.46). In conclusion, these results suggest that for a subset of women undergoing ART, GM-CSF may favorably affect CPR, LBR, IR, and available embryo rate (AER). TRIAL REGISTRATION: PROSPERO registration number CRD42022322778.

PMID:39883302 | DOI:10.1007/s10815-024-03374-5