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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Electronic Family History Screening Tool for Detection of Inherited Cancer Risk: A Prospective Pilot Study

Am J Med Qual. 2021 Jun 10. doi: 10.1097/01.JMQ.0000735504.65700.25. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Family history screening to identify individuals at increased risk for hereditary cancers could be a powerful strategy to prevent cancer but is used inconsistently in primary care. The objective was to improve identification of women with at-risk family histories using a point-of-care family history screening tool administered on an electronic tablet device during well-woman appointments. A total of 288 women were invited to participate and 136 women (47.2%) completed the electronic family history screening tool. Significantly more women were identified and referred to the genetics department with the electronic family history screening tool than the standard-of-care paper questionnaire (11.8% versus 0.8%, P < 0.001). There were no statistically significant differences in the proportion of referred women who were evaluated by the genetic counselors, and no pathogenic variants were found with either family history screening method. Implementing innovative self-reporting tools may improve inherited cancer risk detection.

PMID:34117164 | DOI:10.1097/01.JMQ.0000735504.65700.25

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Phase II clinical trial using anti-CD3 × anti-HER2 bispecific antibody armed activated T cells (HER2 BATs) consolidation therapy for HER2 negative (0-2+) metastatic breast cancer

J Immunother Cancer. 2021 Jun;9(6):e002194. doi: 10.1136/jitc-2020-002194.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Metastatic human epidermal growth receptor II (HER2) negative breast cancer remains incurable. Our phase I study showed that anti-CD3 × anti-HER2 bispecific antibody armed activated T cells (HER2 BATs) may be effective against HER2-tumors. This phase II trial evaluates the efficacy and immune responses of HER2 BATs given to patients with metastatic HER2-estrogen and/or progesterone receptor positive (HR+) and triple negative breast cancer (TNBC) as immune consolidation after chemotherapy. The primary objective of this study was to increase the traditional median time to progression after failure of first-line therapy of 2-4 months with the secondary endpoints of increasing overall survival (OS) and immune responses.

METHODS: HER2- metastatic breast cancer (MBC) patients received 3 weekly infusions of HER2 BATs and a boost after 12 weeks.

RESULTS: This phase II study included 24 HER2-HR+ and 8 TNBC patients who received a mean of 3.75 and 2.4 lines of prior chemotherapy, respectively. Eight of 32 evaluable patients were stable at 4 months after the first infusion. There were no dose limiting toxicities. Tumor markers decreased in 13 of 23 (56.5%) patients who had tumor markers. The median OS was 13.1 (95% CI 8.6 to 17.4), 15.2 (95% CI 8.6 to 19.8), and 12.3 (95% CI 2.1 to 17.8) months for the entire group, HER2-HR+, and TNBC patients, respectively. Median OS for patients with chemotherapy-sensitive and chemotherapy-resistant disease after chemotherapy was 14.6 (9.6-21.8) and 8.6 (3.3-17.3) months, respectively. There were statistically significant increases in interferon-γ immunospots, Th1 cytokines, Th2 cytokines, and chemokines after HER2 BATs infusions.

CONCLUSIONS: In heavily pretreated HER2-patients, immune consolidation with HER2 BATs after chemotherapy appears to increase the proportion of patients who were stable at 4 months and the median OS for both groups as well as increased adaptive and innate antitumor responses. Future studies combining HER2 BATs with checkpoint inhibitors or other immunomodulators may improve clinical outcomes.

PMID:34117114 | DOI:10.1136/jitc-2020-002194

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Effect of Genetic Polymorphism of the CYP2D6 Gene on the Efficacy and Safety of Fluvoxamine in Major Depressive Disorder

Am J Ther. 2021 Jun 2. doi: 10.1097/MJT.0000000000001388. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have shown that cytochrome P450 2D6 (CYP2D6) is involved in the metabolism of fluvoxamine, the activity of which is highly dependent, inter alia, on the polymorphism of the gene encoding it. The objective of our study was to investigate the effect of 1846G>A polymorphism of the CYP2D6 gene on the efficacy and safety of fluvoxamine, using findings on CYP2D6 enzymatic activity and on CYP2D6 expression level in patients with depressive disorders comorbid with alcohol use disorder.

STUDY QUESTION: Efficacy and safety of fluvoxamine depend on the polymorphism of CYP2D6 gene in patients with major depressive disorder.

STUDY DESIGN: Our study enrolled 96 male patients with depressive disorders comorbid with alcohol use disorder. Patients were examined on days 1, 9, and 16 of fluvoxamine therapy.

MEASURES AND OUTCOMES: Treatment efficacy was evaluated using the validated psychometric scales. Therapy safety was assessed using the UKU Side-Effect Rating Scale. For genotyping and estimation of the microRNA (miRNA) plasma levels, we performed the real-time polymerase chain reaction. The activity of CYP2D6 was evaluated using the HPLC-MS/MS method by the content of the endogenous substrate of given isoenzyme and its metabolite in urine (6-hydroxy-1,2,3,4-tetrahydro-β-carboline/pinoline ratio).

RESULTS: Our study revealed the statistically significant results for the treatment efficacy evaluation [the Hamilton Depression Rating Scale scores at the end of the treatment course: (GG) 2.0 (1.0-4.0) and (GA) 5.0 (4.0-7.0), P < 0.001]. Analysis of the results of the pharmacotranscriptomic part of the study did not show the statistically significant difference in the hsa-miR-370-3p plasma levels in patients with different genotypes: (GG) 26.9 (15.0-32.2), (GA) 31.8 (22.7-33.7), P = 0.247. In addition, we evaluated the relationship between the CYP2D6 enzymatic activity (as evaluated by 6-hydroxy-1,2,3,4-tetrahydro-β-carboline/pinoline ratio measurement) and the hsa-miR-370-3p plasma concentration: rs = -0.243, P = 0.017.

CONCLUSIONS: The effect of genetic polymorphism of the CYP2D6 gene on the efficacy and safety profiles of fluvoxamine was demonstrated in a group of 96 patients with depressive disorders comorbid with alcohol use disorder.

PMID:34117140 | DOI:10.1097/MJT.0000000000001388

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Chronic Disease, Allergies, and Increased Years of Running Are Risk Factors Predicting Gradual Onset Running-Related Injuries in Ultramarathon Runners-SAFER XIX Study in 29 585 Race Entrants

Clin J Sport Med. 2021 Jun 9. doi: 10.1097/JSM.0000000000000949. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To identify risk factors that predict gradual onset running-related injuries (GORRIs) in ultramarathon runners entering a mass community-based event.

DESIGN: Descriptive cross-sectional study.

SETTING: Two Oceans 56 km ultramarathon 2012 to 2015.

PARTICIPANTS: Race entrants (n = 42 003) completed a compulsory pre-race medical history questionnaire; 29 585 (70.4%) of entrants consented.

DEPENDENT/OUTCOME VARIABLE: A history of GORRIs in the past 12 months among race entrants.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: In a multi-variate model, runner demographics, training variables (years of recreational running, weekly running distance, training running speed), history of chronic disease (composite score), and history of allergies were included as factors predicting GORRIs. Prevalence (%) and prevalence ratios (PR, 95% CIs) are reported.

RESULTS: The lifetime prevalence of GORRIs in ultramarathon runners was 24.4%. Independent factors predicting GORRIs were: higher chronic disease composite score (PR = 2.05 times increase risk for every 2 additional chronic diseases; P < 0.0001), history of allergies (PR = 1.66; P < 0.0001), increased years of recreational running (PR = 1.07 times increased risk for every 5 year increase in running; P < 0.0001), lower average weekly running distance (PR = 0.98 times decreased risk for every 15 km increase weekly running distance; P < 0.0001), and slower average training running speed (PR = 0.96 times decreased risk for every km/h increase in training running speed; P < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS: Novel risk factors predicting GORRIs are increased number of chronic diseases and a history of allergies. These factors, together with training variables (years of recreational running, weekly running distance, and training running speed) can be targeted to develop and implement injury prevention, treatment, and rehabilitation interventions in ultramarathon runners.

PMID:34117154 | DOI:10.1097/JSM.0000000000000949

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Reliability and Validity of the Patient Activation Measure in Kidney Disease: Results of Rasch Analysis

Clin J Am Soc Nephrol. 2021 Jun;16(6):880-888. doi: 10.2215/CJN.19611220. Epub 2021 Jun 11.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Despite the increasing prioritization of the promotion of patient activation in nephrology, its applicability to people with CKD is not well established. Before the Patient Activation Measure is universally adopted for use in CKD, it is important to critically evaluate this measure. The aim of this study was to describe the psychometric properties of the Patient Activation Measure in CKD.

DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS: A survey containing the 13-item Patient Activation Measure was completed by 942 patients with CKD, not treated with dialysis. Data quality was assessed by mean, item response, missing values, floor and ceiling effects, internal consistency (Cronbach’s alpha and average interitem correlation), and item-rest correlations. Rasch modeling was used to assess item performance and scaling (item statistics, person and item reliability, rating scale diagnostics, factorial test of residuals, and differential item functioning).

RESULTS: The item response was high, with a small number of missing values (<1%). Floor effect was small (range 1%-5%), but the ceiling effect was above 15% for nine items (range 15%-38%). The Patient Activation Measure demonstrated good internal consistency overall (Cronbach α=0.925, and average interitem correlation 0.502). The difficulty of the Patient Activation Measure items ranged from -0.90 to 0.86. Differential item functioning was found for disease type (item 3) and age (item 12). The person separation index was 9.48 and item separation index was 3.21.

CONCLUSIONS: The 13-item Patient Activation Measure appears to be a suitably reliable and valid instrument for assessing patient activation in CKD. In the absence of a kidney-specific instrument, our results support the 13-item Patient Activation Measure as a promising measure to assess activation in those with CKD, although consideration for several items is warranted. The high ceiling effect may be a problem when using the 13-item Patient Activation Measure to measure changes over time.

PMID:34117081 | DOI:10.2215/CJN.19611220

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Overweight and Obesity and Progression of ADPKD

Clin J Am Soc Nephrol. 2021 Jun;16(6):908-915. doi: 10.2215/CJN.16871020. Epub 2021 Jun 11.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: On the basis of earlier observations, we evaluated the association between overweight and obesity and rapid progression of autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease in participants in the Tolvaptan Efficacy and Safety in Management of Autosomal Dominant Polycystic Kidney Disease and Its Outcomes (TEMPO) 3:4 trial. More importantly, we also determined whether efficacy of tolvaptan was attenuated in individuals with baseline overweight or obesity.

DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS: A total of 1312 study participants with relatively early-stage autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (mean eGFR 78±22 ml/min per 1.73 m2) who were at high risk of rapid progression were categorized by body mass index (BMI; calculated using nonkidney weight) as normal weight (18.5-24.9 kg/m2; n=670), overweight (25.0-29.9 kg/m2; n=429), or obese (≥30 kg/m2; n=213). Linear and multinomial logistic regression models were used to determine the association of baseline overweight and obesity with change in total kidney volume (TKV) over the 3-year study period.

RESULTS: In fully adjusted models, higher BMI was associated with greater annual percent change in TKV (difference of 1.20 [95% confidence interval (95% CI), 0.85 to 1.55] per five-unit higher BMI). Overweight and obesity were associated with higher odds of annual percent change in TKV of ≥7% versus <5% (overweight: odds ratio, 2.04 [95% CI, 1.45 to 2.87]; obese: odds ratio, 4.31 [95% CI, 2.83 to 6.57] versus normal weight). eGFR decline did not differ according to BMI (fully adjusted difference in decline of -0.95 [95% CI, -2.32 to 0.40] ml/min per 1.73 m2 per year per five-unit higher BMI). The three-way interaction (treatment×time×BMI group) was not statistically significant in linear mixed models with an outcome of TKV (log-transformed estimated coefficient comparing the treatment effect for overweight versus normal weight: 0.56% [95% CI, -0.70% to 1.84%] per year; P=0.38; obese versus normal weight: 0.07% [95% CI, -1.47% to 1.63%] per year; P=0.93) or eGFR (estimated coefficient comparing overweight versus normal weight: -0.07 [95% CI, -0.95 to 0.82] ml/min per 1.73 m2 per year; P=0.88; obese versus normal weight: 0.22 [95% CI, -0.93 to 1.36] ml/min per 1.73 m2 per year; P=0.71).

CONCLUSIONS: Overweight and particularly obesity are strongly and independently associated with kidney growth, but not eGFR slope, in the TEMPO 3:4 trial, and tolvaptan efficacy is irrespective of BMI categorization.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRY NAME AND REGISTRATION NUMBER: Tolvaptan Efficacy and Safety in Management of Autosomal Dominant Polycystic Kidney Disease and Its Outcomes (TEMPO) 3:4, NCT00428948.

PMID:34117082 | DOI:10.2215/CJN.16871020

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Severe Acute Kidney Injury and Mortality in Extremely Low Gestational Age Neonates

Clin J Am Soc Nephrol. 2021 Jun;16(6):862-869. doi: 10.2215/CJN.18841220. Epub 2021 Jun 11.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: AKI is associated with poor short- and long-term outcomes. Questions remain about the frequency and timing of AKI, and whether AKI is a cause of death in extremely low gestational age neonates.

DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS: The Recombinant Erythropoietin for Protection of Infant Kidney Disease Study examines the kidney outcomes of extremely low gestational age neonates enrolled in the Preterm Epo Neuroprotection study, a randomized, placebo-controlled trial of recombinant human erythropoietin. We included 900 of 941 patients enrolled in Preterm Epo Neuroprotection. Baseline characteristics were compared by primary exposure (severe AKI versus none/stage 1 AKI) using unadjusted logistic regression models. Cox regression models estimated the relationship between severe AKI and death after adjustment for potential confounders. Time-dependent AKI was modeled as a binary outcome and a categorical variable by stage of AKI. We fit Cox models using time-dependent AKI status lagged by <7 days before death. Landmark analyses examined the relationship of death with development of severe AKI.

RESULTS: Severe AKI occurred in 168 of 900 (19%, 95% confidence interval, 17% to 20%) neonates, and stage 3 AKI occurred in 60 (7%, 95% confidence interval, 5% to 8%). Stage 3 AKI occurring 7 days before death (hazard ratio, 3.88; 95% confidence interval, 1.26 to 11.96), intraventricular hemorrhage (hazard ratio, 2.01; 95% confidence interval, 1.01 to 3.99) and sepsis (hazard ratio, 2.85; 95% confidence interval, 1.12 to 7.22) were all independently associated with death. Severe AKI occurring 7 days before death (hazard ratio, 2.21; 95% confidence interval, 0.92 to 5.26) was associated with death but not statistically significant. In a landmark analysis, after adjusting for potential confounders, late (after day 14 and before day 28) severe AKI was strongly associated with higher hazard of death (hazard ratio, 4.57; 95% confidence interval, 1.82 to 11.5).

CONCLUSIONS: Severe AKI occurs frequently in extremely low gestational age neonates. Stage 3 AKI is associated with mortality, and this association is present 7 days before death.

PMID:34117080 | DOI:10.2215/CJN.18841220

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Diet and physical activity in pregnancy to prevent gestational diabetes: a protocol for an individual participant data (IPD) meta-analysis on the differential effects of interventions with economic evaluation

BMJ Open. 2021 Jun 11;11(6):e048119. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2020-048119.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Mothers with gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) are at increased risk of pregnancy-related complications and developing type 2 diabetes after delivery. Diet and physical activity-based interventions may prevent GDM, but variations in populations, interventions and outcomes in primary trials have limited the translation of available evidence into practice. We plan to undertake an individual participant data (IPD) meta-analysis of randomised trials to assess the differential effects and cost-effectiveness of diet and physical activity-based interventions in preventing GDM and its complications.

METHODS: The International Weight Management in Pregnancy Collaborative Network database is a living repository of IPD from randomised trials on diet and physical activity in pregnancy identified through a systematic literature search. We shall update our existing search on MEDLINE, Embase, BIOSIS, LILACS, Pascal, Science Citation Index, Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, Database of Abstracts of Reviews of Effects and Health Technology Assessment Database without language restriction to identify relevant trials until March 2021. Primary researchers will be invited to join the Network and share their IPD. Trials including women with GDM at baseline will be excluded. We shall perform a one and two stage random-effect meta-analysis for each intervention type (all interventions, diet-based, physical activity-based and mixed approach) to obtain summary intervention effects on GDM with 95% CIs and summary treatment-covariate interactions. Heterogeneity will be summarised using I2 and tau2 statistics with 95% prediction intervals. Publication and availability bias will be assessed by examining small study effects. Study quality of included trials will be assessed by the Cochrane Risk of Bias tool, and the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluations approach will be used to grade the evidence in the results. A model-based economic analysis will be carried out to assess the cost-effectiveness of interventions to prevent GDM and its complications compared with usual care.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: Ethics approval is not required. The study is registered on the International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews (CRD42020212884). Results will be submitted for publication in peer-reviewed journals.

PMID:34117047 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2020-048119

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Development of a predictive risk model for all-cause mortality in patients with diabetes in Hong Kong

BMJ Open Diabetes Res Care. 2021 Jun;9(1):e001950. doi: 10.1136/bmjdrc-2020-001950.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Patients with diabetes mellitus are risk of premature death. In this study, we developed a machine learning-driven predictive risk model for all-cause mortality among patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus using multiparametric approach with data from different domains.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: This study used territory-wide data of patients with type 2 diabetes attending public hospitals or their associated ambulatory/outpatient facilities in Hong Kong between January 1, 2009 and December 31, 2009. The primary outcome is all-cause mortality. The association of risk variables and all-cause mortality was assessed using Cox proportional hazards models. Machine and deep learning approaches were used to improve overall survival prediction and were evaluated with fivefold cross validation method.

RESULTS: A total of 273 678 patients (mean age: 65.4±12.7 years, male: 48.2%, median follow-up: 142 (IQR=106-142) months) were included, with 91 155 deaths occurring on follow-up (33.3%; annualized mortality rate: 3.4%/year; 2.7 million patient-years). Multivariate Cox regression found the following significant predictors of all-cause mortality: age, male gender, baseline comorbidities, anemia, mean values of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, high-density lipoprotein-cholesterol, total cholesterol, triglyceride, HbA1c and fasting blood glucose (FBG), measures of variability of both HbA1c and FBG. The above parameters were incorporated into a score-based predictive risk model that had a c-statistic of 0.73 (95% CI 0.66 to 0.77), which was improved to 0.86 (0.81 to 0.90) and 0.87 (0.84 to 0.91) using random survival forests and deep survival learning models, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS: A multiparametric model incorporating variables from different domains predicted all-cause mortality accurately in type 2 diabetes mellitus. The predictive and modeling capabilities of machine/deep learning survival analysis achieved more accurate predictions.

PMID:34117050 | DOI:10.1136/bmjdrc-2020-001950

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Effect of meteorological factors and air pollutants on fractures: a nationwide population-based ecological study

BMJ Open. 2021 Jun 11;11(6):e047000. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2020-047000.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To determine the association of meteorological factors and air pollutants (MFAPs) with fracture and to estimate the effect size/time lag.

DESIGN: This is a nationwide population-based ecological study from 2008 to 2017.

SETTING: Eight large metropolitan areas in Korea.

PARTICIPANTS: Of 8 093 820 patients with fractures reported in the Korea National Health Insurance database, 2 129 955 were analysed after the data set containing patient data (age, sex and site of fractures) were merged with MFAPs. Data on meteorological factors were obtained from the National Climate Data Center of the Korea Meteorological Administration. Additionally, data on air pollutants (atmospheric particulate matter ≤2.5 µm in diameter (PM2.5), PM10, ozone, nitrogen dioxide, sulfur dioxide and carbon monoxide) were obtained from the Air Korea database.

PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: We hypothesised that there would be an association between MFAPs and the incidence of fracture. A generalised additive model was used while factoring in the non-linear relationship between MFAPs and fractures as well as a time lag ≤7 days. Multivariate analysis was performed. Backward elimination with an Akaike information criterion was used to fit the multivariate model.

RESULTS: Overall, in eight urban areas, 2 129 955 patients with fractures were finally analysed. These included 370 344, 187 370, 173 100, 140 358, 246 775, 6501, 228 346, 57 183 and 719 978 patients with hip, knee, shoulder, elbow, wrist, hand, ankle, foot and spine fractures, respectively. Various MFAPs (average temperature, daily rain, wind speed, daily snow and PM2.5) showed significant association with fractures, with positive correlations at time lags 7, 5-7, 5-7, 3-7 and 6-7 days, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS: Various MFAPs could affect the occurrence of fractures. The average temperature, daily rain, wind speed, daily snow and PM2.5 were most closely associated with fracture. Thus, improved public awareness on these MFAPs is required for clinical prevention and management of fractures.

PMID:34117046 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2020-047000