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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Using geographically weighted regression analysis to cluster under-nutrition and its predictors among under-five children in Ethiopia: Evidence from demographic and health survey

PLoS One. 2021 May 21;16(5):e0248156. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0248156. eCollection 2021.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Malnutrition among under-five children is a common public health problem and it is one of the main cause for the mortality of under-five children in developing countries, including Ethiopia. Therefore, lack of evidence about geographic heterogeneity and predictors of under-nutrition hinders for evidence-based decision-making process for the prevention and control programs of under-nutrition in Ethiopia. Thus, this study aimed to address this gap.

METHODS: The data were obtained from the Ethiopian Demographic and Health Survey (EDHS) 2016. A total of 9,384 under-five children nested in 645 clusters were included with a stratified two-stage cluster sampling. ArcGIS version 10.5 software was used for global, local and ordinary least square analysis and mapping. The spatial autocorrelation (Global Moran’s I) statistic was held in order to assess the pattern of wasting, stunting, and underweight whether it was dispersed, clustered, or randomly distributed. In addition, a Bernoulli model was used to analyze the purely spatial cluster detection of under-nutrition indicators through SaTScan version 9.6 software. Geographically weighted regression (GWR) version 4.0 software was used to model spatial relationships in the GWR analysis. Finally, a statistical decision was made at p-value<0.05 with 95%CI for ordinary least square analysis and geographically weighted regression.

MAIN FINDINGS: Childhood under-nutrition showed geographical variations at zonal levels in Ethiopia. Accordingly, Somali region (Afder, Gode, Korahe, Warder Zones), Afar region (Zone 2), Tigray region (Southern Zone), and Amhara region (Waghmira Zones) for wasting, Amhara region (West Gojam, Awi, South Gondar, and Waghmira Zones) for stunting and Amhara region (South Wollo, North Wollo, Awi, South Gondar, and Waghmira zones), Afar region (Zone 2), Tigray region (Eastern Zone, North Western Zone, Central Zone, Southern Zone, and Mekele Special Zones), and Benshangul region (Metekel and Assosa Zones) for underweight were detected as hot spot (high risk) regions. In GWR analysis, had unimproved toilet facility for stunting, wasting and underweight, father had primary education for stunting and wasting, father had secondary education for stunting and underweight, mothers age 35-49 years for wasting and underweight, having female children for stunting, having children eight and above for wasting, and mother had primary education for underweight were significant predictors at (p<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS: Our study showed that the spatial distribution of under-nutrition was clustered and high-risk areas were identified in all forms of under-nutrition indicators. Predictors of under-nutrition were identified in all forms of under-nutrition indicators. Thus, geographic-based nutritional interventions mainly mobilizing additional resources could be held to reduce the burden of childhood under-nutrition in hot spot areas. In addition, improving sanitation and hygiene practice, improving the life style of the community, and promotion of parent education in the identified hot spot zones for under-nutrition should be more emphasized.

PMID:34019545 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0248156

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

3D free-hand ultrasound to register anatomical landmarks at the pelvis and localize the hip joint center in lean and obese individuals

Sci Rep. 2021 May 20;11(1):10650. doi: 10.1038/s41598-021-89763-7.

ABSTRACT

3D free-hand ultrasound (3DFUS) is becoming increasingly popular to assist clinical gait analysis because it is cost- and time-efficient and does not expose participants to radiation. The aim of this study was to evaluate its reliability in localizing the anterior superior iliac spine (ASIS) at the pelvis and the hip joint centers (HJC). Additionally, we evaluated its accuracy to get a rough estimation of the potential to use of 3DFUS to segment bony surface. This could offer potential to register medical images to motion capture data in future. To evaluate reliability, a test-retest study was conducted in 16 lean and 19 obese individuals. The locations of the ASIS were determined by manual marker placement (MMP), an instrumented pointer technique (IPT), and with 3DFUS. The HJC location was also determined with 3DFUS. To quantify reliability, intraclass correlation coefficients (ICCs), the standard error of measurement (SEm), among other statistical parameters, were calculated for the identified locations between the test and retest. To assess accuracy, the surface of a human plastic pelvic phantom was segmented with 3DFUS in a distilled water bath in 27 trials and compared to a 3D laser scan of the pelvis. Regarding reliability, the MMP, but especially the IPT showed high reliability in lean (SEm: 2-3 mm) and reduced reliability in obese individuals (SEm: 6-15 mm). Compared to MMP and IPT, 3DFUS presented lower reliability in the lean group (SEm: 2-4 mm vs. 2-8 mm, respectively) but slightly better values in the obese group (SEm: 7-11 mm vs. 6-16 mm, respectively). Correlations between test-retest reliability and torso body fat mass (% of body mass) indicated a moderate to strong relationship for MMP and IPT but only a weak correlation for the 3DFUS approach. The water-bath experiments indicated an acceptable level of 3.5 (1.7) mm of accuracy for 3DFUS in segmenting bone surface. Despite some difficulties with single trials, our data give further rise to the idea that 3DFUS could serve as a promising tool in future to inform marker placement and hip joint center location, especially in groups with higher amount of body fat.

PMID:34017023 | DOI:10.1038/s41598-021-89763-7

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Impact of daily high dose oral vitamin D therapy on the inflammatory markers in patients with COVID 19 disease

Sci Rep. 2021 May 20;11(1):10641. doi: 10.1038/s41598-021-90189-4.

ABSTRACT

COVID 19 is known to cause immune dysregulation and vitamin D is a known immunomodulator. This study aims to objectively investigate the impact of Pulse D therapy in reducing the inflammatory markers of COVID-19. Consented COVID-19 patients with hypovitaminosis D were evaluated for inflammatory markers (N/L ratio, CRP, LDH, IL6, Ferritin) along with vitamin D on 0th day and 9th/11th day as per their respective BMI category. Subjects were randomised into VD and NVD groups. VD group received Pulse D therapy (targeted daily supplementation of 60,000 IUs of vitamin D for 8 or 10 days depending upon their BMI) in addition to the standard treatment. NVD group received standard treatment alone. Differences in the variables between the two groups were analysed for statistical significance. Eighty seven out of one hundred and thirty subjects have completed the study (VD:44, NVD:43). Vitamin D level has increased from 16 ± 6 ng/ml to 89 ± 32 ng/ml after Pulse D therapy in VD group and highly significant (p < 0.01) reduction of all the measured inflammatory markers was noted. Reduction of markers in NVD group was insignificant (p > 0.05). The difference in the reduction of markers between the groups (NVD vs VD) was highly significant (p < 0.01). Therapeutic improvement in vitamin D to 80-100 ng/ml has significantly reduced the inflammatory markers associated with COVID-19 without any side effects. Hence, adjunctive Pulse D therapy can be added safely to the existing treatment protocols of COVID-19 for improved outcomes.

PMID:34017029 | DOI:10.1038/s41598-021-90189-4

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Event generation and statistical sampling for physics with deep generative models and a density information buffer

Nat Commun. 2021 May 20;12(1):2985. doi: 10.1038/s41467-021-22616-z.

ABSTRACT

Simulating nature and in particular processes in particle physics require expensive computations and sometimes would take much longer than scientists can afford. Here, we explore ways to a solution for this problem by investigating recent advances in generative modeling and present a study for the generation of events from a physical process with deep generative models. The simulation of physical processes requires not only the production of physical events, but to also ensure that these events occur with the correct frequencies. We investigate the feasibility of learning the event generation and the frequency of occurrence with several generative machine learning models to produce events like Monte Carlo generators. We study three processes: a simple two-body decay, the processes e+e → Z → l+l and [Formula: see text] including the decay of the top quarks and a simulation of the detector response. By buffering density information of encoded Monte Carlo events given the encoder of a Variational Autoencoder we are able to construct a prior for the sampling of new events from the decoder that yields distributions that are in very good agreement with real Monte Carlo events and are generated several orders of magnitude faster. Applications of this work include generic density estimation and sampling, targeted event generation via a principal component analysis of encoded ground truth data, anomaly detection and more efficient importance sampling, e.g., for the phase space integration of matrix elements in quantum field theories.

PMID:34016982 | DOI:10.1038/s41467-021-22616-z

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Multiscale influenza forecasting

Nat Commun. 2021 May 20;12(1):2991. doi: 10.1038/s41467-021-23234-5.

ABSTRACT

Influenza forecasting in the United States (US) is complex and challenging due to spatial and temporal variability, nested geographic scales of interest, and heterogeneous surveillance participation. Here we present Dante, a multiscale influenza forecasting model that learns rather than prescribes spatial, temporal, and surveillance data structure and generates coherent forecasts across state, regional, and national scales. We retrospectively compare Dante’s short-term and seasonal forecasts for previous flu seasons to the Dynamic Bayesian Model (DBM), a leading competitor. Dante outperformed DBM for nearly all spatial units, flu seasons, geographic scales, and forecasting targets. Dante’s sharper and more accurate forecasts also suggest greater public health utility. Dante placed 1st in the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s prospective 2018/19 FluSight challenge in both the national and regional competition and the state competition. The methodology underpinning Dante can be used in other seasonal disease forecasting contexts having nested geographic scales of interest.

PMID:34016992 | DOI:10.1038/s41467-021-23234-5

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Analysing wideband absorbance immittance in normal and ears with otitis media with effusion using machine learning

Sci Rep. 2021 May 20;11(1):10643. doi: 10.1038/s41598-021-89588-4.

ABSTRACT

Wideband Absorbance Immittance (WAI) has been available for more than a decade, however its clinical use still faces the challenges of limited understanding and poor interpretation of WAI results. This study aimed to develop Machine Learning (ML) tools to identify the WAI absorbance characteristics across different frequency-pressure regions in the normal middle ear and ears with otitis media with effusion (OME) to enable diagnosis of middle ear conditions automatically. Data analysis included pre-processing of the WAI data, statistical analysis and classification model development, and key regions extraction from the 2D frequency-pressure WAI images. The experimental results show that ML tools appear to hold great potential for the automated diagnosis of middle ear diseases from WAI data. The identified key regions in the WAI provide guidance to practitioners to better understand and interpret WAI data and offer the prospect of quick and accurate diagnostic decisions.

PMID:34017019 | DOI:10.1038/s41598-021-89588-4

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Emergency general surgery: Impact of hospital and surgeon admission case volume on mortality

J Trauma Acute Care Surg. 2021 Jun 1;90(6):996-1002. doi: 10.1097/TA.0000000000003128.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Emergency general surgery (EGS) is a high-volume and high-risk surgical service. Interhospital variation in EGS outcomes exists, but there is disagreement in the literature as to whether hospital admission volume affects in-hospital mortality. Scotland collects high-quality data on all admitted patients, whether managed operatively or nonoperatively. Our aim was to determine the relationship between hospital admission volume and in-hospital mortality of EGS patients in Scotland. Second, to investigate whether surgeon admission volume affects mortality.

METHODS: This national population-level cohort study included EGS patients aged 16 years and older, who were admitted to a Scottish hospital between 2014 and 2018 (inclusive). A logistic regression model was created, with in-hospital mortality as the dependent variable, and admission volume of hospital per year as a continuous covariate of interest, adjusted for age, sex, comorbidity, deprivation, surgeon admission volume, surgeon operative rate, transfer status, diagnosis, and operation category.

RESULTS: There were 376,076 admissions to 25 hospitals, which met our inclusion criteria. The EGS hospital admission rate per year had no effect on in-hospital mortality (odds ratio [OR], 1.000; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.000-1.000). Higher average surgeon monthly admission volume increased the odds of in-hospital mortality (>35 admissions: OR, 1.139; 95% CI, 1.038-1.250; 25-35 admissions: OR, 1.091; 95% CI, 1.004-1.185; <25 admissions was the referent).

CONCLUSION: In Scotland, in contrast to other settings, EGS hospital admission volume did not influence in-hospital mortality. The finding of an association between individual surgeons’ case volume and in-hospital mortality warrants further investigation.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Care management, Level IV.

PMID:34016923 | DOI:10.1097/TA.0000000000003128

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

P-selectin antibody treatment after blunt thoracic trauma prevents early pulmonary arterial thrombosis without changes in viscoelastic measurements of coagulation

J Trauma Acute Care Surg. 2021 Jun 1;90(6):1032-1039. doi: 10.1097/TA.0000000000003162.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Previously, in a murine model of blunt thoracic trauma, we provided evidence of primary pulmonary thrombosis associated with increased expression of the cell adhesion molecule, P-selectin. In this study, mice are treated with P-selectin blocking antibody after injury to investigate the clinical viability of this antibody for the prevention of pulmonary thrombosis. In addition, viscoelastic testing is performed to investigate if P-selectin inhibition has a detrimental impact on normal hemostasis.

METHODS: A murine model of thoracic trauma was used. Mice were divided into sham control and experimental injury groups. Thirty minutes after trauma, mice were treated with the following: P-selectin blocking antibody, isotype control antibody, low-dose heparin, high-dose heparin, or normal saline. At 90 minutes, whole blood was collected for characterization of coagulation by viscoelastic coagulation monitor (VCM Vet; Entegrion, Durham, NC). Mean clotting time, clot formation time, clot kinetics (α angle), and maximum clot firmness were compared between each treatment group.

RESULTS: Mice that received P-selectin antibody 30 minutes after blunt thoracic trauma had four- to fivefold less (p < 0.001) arterial fibrin accumulation than those that received the isotype control. In both sham and trauma groups, compared with vehicle (normal saline) alone, no statistical difference was noted in any coagulation parameters after injection with P-selectin antibody, isotype control, or low-dose heparin. In addition, blinded histopathological evaluation yielded no difference in hemorrhage scores between injured mice treated with P-selectin blocking antibody and those treated with isotype antibody control.

CONCLUSION: This study supports the clinical use of P-selectin blocking antibody for the prevention of pulmonary thrombosis by confirming its efficacy when given after a blunt thoracic trauma. In addition, we demonstrated that the administration of P-selectin antibody does not adversely affect systemic coagulation as measured by viscoelastic testing, suggesting that P-selectin antibody can be safely given during the acute posttraumatic period.

PMID:34016926 | DOI:10.1097/TA.0000000000003162

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Evaluation of gait outcomes for individuals with established unilateral transfemoral amputation following the provision of microprocessor controlled knees in the context of a clinical service

Prosthet Orthot Int. 2021 May 18. doi: 10.1097/PXR.0000000000000016. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Microprocessor controlled knees (MPKs) have been shown to improve gait outcomes for individuals with unilateral transfemoral amputation (TFA); however, previous studies have limitations, which may affect their applicability.

OBJECTIVES: To compare gait outcomes between non-MPK and MPK conditions within a large and diverse cohort of established TFAs in the pragmatic context of an operational clinical service and to identify any demographic variables that correlate with changes in gait outcomes.

STUDY DESIGN: This is a retrospective cohort study.

METHODS: Full-body three-dimensional motion capture and a portable breath gas analyser were used to evaluate gait-specific outcomes both pre-MPK and 6 months post-MPK provisions in TFAs (n = 32). The primary outcome measure was gait profile score, along with the following secondary outcome measures: walking velocity, step length, step length symmetry ratio, step time symmetry ratio, vertical ground reaction force symmetry index, base of support, center of mass deviation, and oxygen cost of walking.

RESULTS: Data showed statistically significant improvement in gait profile score from 11.2° ± 2.2° to 10.1° ± 2.1° (p < 0.01) between non-MPK and MPK conditions. Other outcomes which showed significant improvement were walking velocity (p < 0.01), step length (p < 0.01), vertical ground reaction force symmetry index (p < 0.01), and center of mass deviation (p < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS: MPK provision offered significant gait improvements to this cohort of TFAs in an operational clinical setting. There still remains a large gap in gait outcomes between this cohort and those of healthy unimpaired adults. Improvements in socket design, prosthetic foot design, and physiotherapy intervention could further reduce this gap.

PMID:34016870 | DOI:10.1097/PXR.0000000000000016

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Comparison of patient-reported and functional outcomes following transition from mechanical to microprocessor knee in the low-activity user with a unilateral transfemoral amputation

Prosthet Orthot Int. 2021 May 18. doi: 10.1097/PXR.0000000000000017. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The Scottish Specialist Prosthetics Service has provided microprocessor knees (MPKs) through the National Health Service since 2014, predominantly to high-activity transfemoral amputations (TFAs). Benefits of MPKs to the lower-activity TFA are less established in the literature.

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to compare patient-reported and functional measures in low-activity TFAs transitioning from a mechanical knee to a MPK.

STUDY DESIGN: This is a retrospective cohort analysis of low-activity individuals with a unilateral TFA provided with an MPK.

METHODS: Patient-reported measures were recorded in routine clinical care before and 6 months after MPK provision. These included HR-QoL (EQ-5D-5L Health Index), Activities Balance Confidence score, Prosthetic Limb User Survey of Mobility, falls frequency, use of walking aids, and Socket Comfort Score. Functional measures included the two-minute walk test (2MWT), L-test, and Amputee Mobility Predictor score, and three-dimensional gait analysis was used to generate a Gait Profile Score (GPS). The primary outcomes were HR-QoL and GPS.

RESULTS: Forty-five participants fulfilled the inclusion criteria. Thirty-one had pre-MPK and post-MPK measures, of which 15 had three-dimensional gait analysis. The mean age (n = 31) was 60 years (SD 11), and 68% were male. HR-QoL and GPS did not significantly improve with MPK provision (p = 0.014 and p = 0.019); Amputee Mobility Predictor score, L-Test, 2MWT, falls, and Activities Balance Confidence score showed a significant improvement with MPK provision (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS: Although no statistically significant change in the primary outcomes was measured, there were sufficient data to support MPK provision in low-activity prosthetic users with participants demonstrating improvements in balance, 2MWT, falls frequency, and confidence.

PMID:34016872 | DOI:10.1097/PXR.0000000000000017