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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Evaluation and Forecasting Analysis of the Association of Conditional Cash Transfer With Child Mortality in Latin America, 2000-2030

JAMA Netw Open. 2023 Jul 3;6(7):e2323489. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.23489.

ABSTRACT

IMPORTANCE: Latin America has implemented the world’s largest and most consolidated conditional cash transfer (CCT) programs during the last 2 decades. As a consequence of the COVID-19 pandemic, poverty rates have markedly increased, and a large number of newly low-income individuals, especially children, have been left unprotected.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the association of CCT programs with child health in Latin American countries during the last 2 decades and forecast child mortality trends up to 2030 according to CCT alternative implementation options.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This cohort study used a multicountry, longitudinal, ecological design with multivariable negative binomial regression models, which were adjusted for all relevant demographic, socioeconomic, and health care variables, integrating the retrospective impact evaluations from January 1, 2000, to December 31, 2019, with dynamic microsimulation models to forecast potential child mortality scenarios up to 2030. The study cohort included 4882 municipalities from Brazil, Ecuador, and Mexico with adequate quality of civil registration and vital statistics according to a validated multidimensional criterion. Data analysis was performed from September 2022 to February 2023.

EXPOSURE: Conditional cash transfer coverage of the target (lowest-income) population categorized into 4 levels: low (0%-29.9%), intermediate (30.0%-69.9%), high (70.0%-99.9%), and consolidated (≥100%).

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: The main outcomes were mortality rates for those younger than 5 years and hospitalization rates (per 1000 live births), overall and by poverty-related causes (diarrheal, malnutrition, tuberculosis, malaria, lower respiratory tract infections, and HIV/AIDS), and the mortality rates for those younger than 5 years by age groups, namely, neonatal (0-28 days), postneonatal (28 days to 1 year), infant (<1 year), and toddler (1-4 years).

RESULTS: The retrospective analysis included 4882 municipalities. During the study period of January 1, 2000, to December 31, 2019, mortality in Brazil, Ecuador, and Mexico decreased by 7.8% in children and 6.5% in infants, and an increase in coverage of CCT programs of 76.8% was observed in these Latin American countries. Conditional cash transfer programs were associated with significant reductions of mortality rates in those younger than 5 years (rate ratio [RR], 0.76; 95% CI, 0.75-0.76), having prevented 738 919 (95% CI, 695 641-782 104) child deaths during this period. The association of highest coverage of CCT programs was stronger with poverty-related diseases, such as malnutrition (RR, 0.33; 95% CI, 0.31-0.35), diarrhea (RR, 0.41; 95% CI, 0.40-0.43), lower respiratory tract infections (RR, 0.66, 95% CI, 0.65-0.68), malaria (RR, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.63-0.93), tuberculosis (RR, 0.62; 95% CI, 0.48-0.79), and HIV/AIDS (RR, 0.32; 95% CI, 0.28-0.37). Several sensitivity and triangulation analyses confirmed the robustness of the results. Considering a scenario of moderate economic crisis, a mitigation strategy that will increase the coverage of CCTs to protect those newly in poverty could reduce the mortality rate for those younger than 5 years by up to 17% (RR, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.80-0.85) and prevent 153 601 (95% CI, 127 441-180 600) child deaths by 2030 in Brazil, Ecuador, and Mexico.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: The results of this cohort study suggest that the expansion of CCT programs could strongly reduce childhood hospitalization and mortality in Latin America and should be considered an effective strategy to mitigate the health impact of the current global economic crisis in low- and middle-income countries.

PMID:37450301 | DOI:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.23489

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Lifestyle Enrichment in Later Life and Its Association With Dementia Risk

JAMA Netw Open. 2023 Jul 3;6(7):e2323690. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.23690.

ABSTRACT

IMPORTANCE: Lifestyles enriched with socially and mentally stimulating activities in older age may help build cognitive reserve and reduce dementia risk.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the association of leisure activities and social networks with dementia risk among older individuals.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This longitudinal prospective cohort study used population-based data from the ASPREE Longitudinal Study of Older Persons (ALSOP) for March 1, 2010, to November 30, 2020. Community-dwelling individuals in Australia aged 70 years or older who were generally healthy and without major cognitive impairment at enrollment were recruited to the ALSOP study between March 1, 2010, and December 31, 2014. Data were analyzed from December 1, 2022, to March 31, 2023.

EXPOSURES: A total of 19 measures of leisure activities and social networks assessed at baseline were classified using exploratory factor analysis.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Dementia was adjudicated by an international expert panel according to Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders (Fourth Edition) criteria. Cox proportional hazards regression examined dementia risk over 10 years, adjusting for education, socioeconomic status, and a range of health-related factors.

RESULTS: This study included 10 318 participants. Their median age was 73.8 (IQR, 71.6-77.2) years at baseline, more than half (52.6%) were women, and most self-identified as White (98.0%). In adusted analyses, more frequent engagement in adult literacy activities (eg, writing letters or journaling, using a computer, and taking education classes) and in active mental activities (eg, playing games, cards, or chess and doing crosswords or puzzles) was associated with an 11.0% (adjusted hazard ratio [AHR], 0.89 [95% CI, 0.85-0.93]) and a 9.0% (AHR, 0.91 [95% CI, 0.87-0.95]) lower risk of dementia, respectively. To a lesser extent, engagement in creative artistic activities (craftwork, woodwork, or metalwork and painting or drawing) (AHR, 0.93 [95% CI, 0.88-0.99]) and in passive mental activities (reading books, newspapers, or magazines; watching television; and listening to music or the radio) (AHR, 0.93 [95% CI, 0.86-0.99]) was also associated with reduced dementia risk. In contrast, interpersonal networks, social activities, and external outings were not associated with dementia risk in this sample.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: These results suggest that engagement in adult literacy, creative art, and active and passive mental activities may help reduce dementia risk in late life. In addition, these findings may guide policies for geriatric care and interventions targeting dementia prevention for older adults.

PMID:37450299 | DOI:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.23690

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Clonal diversity and zoonotic potential of MDR Escherichia coli isolated from poultry at different age intervals

Br Poult Sci. 2023 Jul 14. doi: 10.1080/00071668.2023.2236038. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

1. A pool of 480 E. coli isolates of poultry (broilers and ducks) representing different time intervals (0, 10, 20 and 30 days) was selected for ribotyping and used to determine polymorphism of 16-23S ribosomal RNA intergenic space. All the isolates were multidrug-resistant (MDR).2. Out of these, 10 isolates were tested for MLST (MultiLocus Sequence Typing) among which novel allelic combinations and therefore new sequence types were identified in seven isolates.3. This work showed the changes in E. coli strains structure at farm level and individual bird level in host species raised on organised farms with similar parental lineage and environmental housing. The statistical results showed that the structure of variation is very different by farm, supporting a strong effect of location, which confirms the temporal clustering.4. There were significant differences between E. coli strains in chickens and ducks, indicating host specificity of the E. coli strains.5. Some of the pathogenic E. coli strains found using MLST belonged to ST735, ST2796 and a pandemic clone ST752 of ST10 clonal complex. The results strongly suggested the clonal expansion and establishment of specific MDR clones that have zoonotic relevance.

PMID:37450277 | DOI:10.1080/00071668.2023.2236038

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Myomectomy in adult women of reproductive age: a propensity score-matched study for pregnancy rates

Arch Gynecol Obstet. 2023 Jul 14. doi: 10.1007/s00404-023-07135-0. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: To study whether it is better to perform or not a myomectomy, in terms of surgical and reproductive outcomes in patients of advanced reproductive age, by an observational prospective study in university-affiliated and Community Hospitals.

MATERIALS AND METHODS: 40 years and older patients affected by non-submucous symptomatic uterine fibroids and desiring future fertility were enrolled and treated by laparoscopic intracapsular myomectomy by (LIM) or by open laparotomy (OIM), or by a non-surgical management as control group, while attempting to conceive. The primary outcome measures were fibroid characteristics, pre- and post-surgical parameters, pregnancy achievement; the secondary outcome measures were the spontaneous or ART pregnancy outcomes, eventual week of abortion and type of delivery. Propensity scores have been calculated with logistic regression for binary and continuous variables.

RESULTS: 202 patients completed the study: 112 operated by LIM, 40 by OIM and 50 patients as control group. Patients undergoing OIM have a worse surgical outcome than LIM. No difference was seen in pregnancy either after myomectomy or control group during follow-up. In the LIM group, there were 44 pregnancies (39.2%), and in the OIM group, there were 9 (22.5%) and 16 in the control group (32%). The weeks of delivery were statistically greater for the control group versus the surgical groups, with no difference in Apgar score between the 3 groups.

CONCLUSION: Patients aged over 40 years did not show substantial differences in reproductive outcome, whether operated or not. Myomectomy in over 40-year-old patients has no detrimental effect on future pregnancy rates and over when compared to expectant management.

PMID:37450263 | DOI:10.1007/s00404-023-07135-0

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

A standardised communication tool reduces radiation exposure associated with intraoperative fluoroscopy

Ir J Med Sci. 2023 Jul 14. doi: 10.1007/s11845-023-03442-2. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The widespread use of intraoperative fluoroscopy in orthopaedic procedures has revolutionised surgical practice. However, there are risks associated with using ionising radiation. Efforts to reduce radiation exposure include low-dose imaging protocols and lead protective equipment. Current communication during fluoroscopic procedures can be inefficient and lead to excessive radiation exposure for patients and staff.

AIMS: This study aims to implement a communication tool with standardised commands to reduce radiation exposure in an Irish orthopaedic department.

METHODS: Radiation exposure was evaluated using dose-area product (DAP) measured in uGy/m2. A control group was recorded before implementing the communication tool. Training sessions were conducted and posters of the standardised commands were displayed. Feedback was collected from surgeons and radiographers via surveys. Statistical analysis was performed to compare pre- and post-intervention groups.

RESULTS: A total of 673 surgical cases were included over 6 months. The post-intervention group showed a mean reduction in radiation exposure from 59.8 to 36.4 uGy/m2 (p < 0.011). Subset analyses revealed reduced radiation exposure for ORIF of the distal radius, ankle, humerus, and phalanges. Surgeons and radiographers recognised the need for improved communication and expressed willingness to learn the new tool.

CONCLUSIONS: Implementation of a standardised communication tool effectively reduced patient and staff radiation exposure. It was also believed to have a positive effect on theatre staff morale. Incorporating a universal language tool into training programmes could be beneficial. Surgeons and radiographers provided several suggestions to improve the effectiveness and implementation of this tool into other units.

PMID:37450259 | DOI:10.1007/s11845-023-03442-2

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Pilot study of the implementation of G8 screening tool, Cognitive screening assessment and Chemotherapy Toxicity assessment in older adults with cancer in a Tertiary University Hospital in Ireland

Ir J Med Sci. 2023 Jul 14. doi: 10.1007/s11845-023-03446-y. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA) is recommended by international guidelines prior to initiation of systemic anti-cancer treatment (SACT). In practice, CGA is limited by time constraints, lack of resources and expert interpretation.

AIMS: The primary objective of this pilot study was to establish the prevalence of frailty (assessed by G8), cognitive impairment (assessed by Mini-Cog), and risk of chemotherapy toxicity (assessed by CARG Chemo-Toxicity Calculator) among patients (pts) ≥65 years commencing SACT. We selected these three screening tools due to the ease of conducting them in a busy outpatient setting. In addition, they have been validated to predict frailty and risk of toxicity from SACT among older adults with cancer.

METHODS: Eligible participants were identified from medical oncology clinics. Assessments were conducted in an outpatient setting by treating physicians. Pt records were reviewed to gather demographic and cancer details. Statistical analyses were conducted using SPSS statistical software.

RESULTS: Sixty-three participants were enrolled. The mean age of participants was 73yrs (range=65-88). Thirty-three (52.4%) were female and 30 (47.6%) were male. The majority (n=38, 60.3%) had metastatic cancer. The mean G8 score was 11.9 (range=6-19). Eighty-three percent had a G8 score ≤14. Mini-Cog was positive in 13 pts (21%). The mean CARG score was 7.5 (range=0-16), and 80% had a risk of at least 50% grade ≥3 toxicity. Of these, 48 (76.2%) received chemotherapy and 15 (23.8%) received non-cytotoxic SACT. In multi-variate analyses, age, cancer type, treatment type, and disease stage did not impact G8, Mini-Cog, or CARG scores.

CONCLUSIONS: Our study has several limitations but suggests that the majority of older adults with cancer would qualify for formal CGA assessment. The risk of high-grade toxicity from SACT is substantial in this cohort. Chronological age was not found to negatively impact pts’ frailty, cognition, or risk of toxicity.

PMID:37450258 | DOI:10.1007/s11845-023-03446-y

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

A Cross-Sectional Study of the Social Work Environment and Black Registered Nurses’ Sleep

J Racial Ethn Health Disparities. 2023 Jul 14. doi: 10.1007/s40615-023-01717-z. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Workplace experiences may place Black nurses at higher risk for poor sleep and adverse health outcomes. This study aimed to identify poor sleep prevalence and associations of workplace discrimination and workplace social capital with sleep.

METHODOLOGY: Descriptive statistics and multiple linear regression with exploratory analyses were conducted of cross sectional survey data from US Black nurses.

RESULTS: On average, 63 respondents reported sleeping 6.15 h, 45 min less daily than 6.9 h reported nationally for nurses. Ninety-percent of respondents reported poor sleep quality. While no direct significance was found, respondents reporting sleep quality changes had lower workplace social capital and higher workplace discrimination.

CONCLUSION: Black nurses may have higher prevalence of poor sleep than the larger nursing workforce. A potential relationship between decreased sleep quality and negative perceptions of the work environment may exist. Organizations should examine sleep and potential occupational health inequities among Black nurses when considering worker health.

PMID:37450253 | DOI:10.1007/s40615-023-01717-z

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Comparing youth with and without type 1 diabetes on perceived parenting and peer functioning: a propensity weighting approach

J Behav Med. 2023 Jul 14. doi: 10.1007/s10865-023-00435-5. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

The premise of this study was to gain more insight into whether type 1 diabetes (T1D) can impact how youth perceive parents and peers. To address limitations of previous observational studies comparing youth with T1D to control youth, propensity weighting was used to mimic a randomized controlled trial. A total of 558 youth with T1D and 426 control youth (14-26y) completed questionnaires on parental responsiveness, psychological control, overprotection, friend support, extreme peer orientation, and a host of background and psychological functioning variables. The groups were statistically weighted to become as comparable as possible except for disease status. The analysis plan and hypotheses were preregistered on the open science framework. Youth with T1D perceived their mothers to be more overprotective, perceived fewer friend support, and were less extremely oriented toward peers than control youth. There were no group differences for paternal overprotection and paternal and maternal responsiveness and psychological control. Mothers of youth with T1D seem at risk to practice overprotective parenting and clinicians could play an important role in making mothers aware of this risk. However, the absence of group differences for the maladaptive parenting dimension of psychological control and adaptive dimension of responsiveness are reassuring and testify to the resilient nature of youth with T1D and their families. Additionally, there is accumulating evidence that T1D could interfere with engaging in supportive friendships.

PMID:37450207 | DOI:10.1007/s10865-023-00435-5

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Decreased Arsenic Disposition and Alteration of its Metabolic Profile in mice Coexposed to Fluoride

Biol Trace Elem Res. 2023 Jul 14. doi: 10.1007/s12011-023-03764-3. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Inorganic arsenic (iAs) and fluoride (iF) are ubiquitous elements whose coexistence is frequent in several regions of the world due to the natural contamination of water sources destined for human consumption. It has been reported that coexposure to these two elements in water can cause toxic effects on health, which are controversial since antagonistic and synergistic effects have been reported. However, there is little information on the possible toxicological interaction between concurrent exposure to iAs and iF on the iAs metabolism profile.The goal of this study was to determine the effect of iF exposure on iAs methylation patterns in the urine and the tissues of female mice of the C57BL/6 strain, which were divided into four groups and exposed daily for 10 days through drinking water as follows: purified water (control); arsenite 1 mg/L, fluoride 50 mg/L and arsenite & fluoride 1:50 mg/L.To characterize the iAs methylation pattern in concomitant iF exposure, iAs and its methylated metabolites (MAs and DMAs) were quantified in the tissues and the urine of mice was exposed to iAs alone or in combination. Our results showed a statistically significant decrease in the arsenic species concentrations and altered relative proportions of arsenic species in tissues and urine in the As-iF coexposure group compared to the iAs-exposed group. These findings show that iF exposure decreases arsenic disposition and alters methylation capacity.Nevertheless, additional studies are required to elucidate the mechanisms involved in the iAs-iF interaction through iF exposure affecting iAs disposition and metabolism.

PMID:37450204 | DOI:10.1007/s12011-023-03764-3

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Application of Statistical Methods for Central Statistical Monitoring and Implementations on the German Multiple Sclerosis Registry

Ther Innov Regul Sci. 2023 Jul 14. doi: 10.1007/s43441-023-00550-0. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Monitoring of clinical trials is a fundamental process required by regulatory agencies. It assures the compliance of a center to the required regulations and the trial protocol. Traditionally, monitoring teams relied on extensive on-site visits and source data verification. However, this is costly, and the outcome is limited. Thus, central statistical monitoring (CSM) is an additional approach recently embraced by the International Council for Harmonisation (ICH) to detect problematic or erroneous data by using visualizations and statistical control measures. Existing implementations have been primarily focused on detecting inlier and outlier data. Other approaches include principal component analysis and distribution of the data. Here we focus on the utilization of comparisons of centers to the Grand mean for different model types and assumptions for common data types, such as binomial, ordinal, and continuous response variables. We implement the usage of multiple comparisons of single centers to the Grand mean of all centers. This approach is also available for various non-normal data types that are abundant in clinical trials. Further, using confidence intervals, an assessment of equivalence to the Grand mean can be applied. In a Monte Carlo simulation study, the applied statistical approaches have been investigated for their ability to control type I error and the assessment of their respective power for balanced and unbalanced designs which are common in registry data and clinical trials. Data from the German Multiple Sclerosis Registry (GMSR) including proportions of missing data, adverse events and disease severity scores were used to verify the results on Real-World-Data (RWD).

PMID:37450198 | DOI:10.1007/s43441-023-00550-0