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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Wellness Influencer Responses to COVID-19 Vaccines on Social Media: A Longitudinal Observational Study

J Med Internet Res. 2024 Nov 27;26:e56651. doi: 10.2196/56651.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Online wellness influencers (individuals dispensing unregulated health and wellness advice over social media) may have incentives to oppose traditional medical authorities. Their messaging may decrease the overall effectiveness of public health campaigns during global health crises like the COVID-19 pandemic.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to probe how wellness influencers respond to a public health campaign; we examined how a sample of wellness influencers on Twitter (rebranded as X in 2023) identified before the COVID-19 pandemic on Twitter took stances on the COVID-19 vaccine during 2020-2022. We evaluated the prevalence of provaccination messaging among wellness influencers compared with a control group, as well as the rhetorical strategies these influencers used when supporting or opposing vaccination.

METHODS: Following a longitudinal design, wellness influencer accounts were identified on Twitter from a random sample of tweets posted in 2019. Accounts were identified using a combination of topic modeling and hand-annotation for adherence to influencer criteria. Their tweets from 2020-2022 containing vaccine keywords were collected and labeled as pro- or antivaccination stances using a language model. We compared their stances to a control group of noninfluencer accounts that discussed similar health topics before the pandemic using a generalized linear model with mixed effects and a nearest-neighbors classifier. We also used topic modeling to locate key themes in influencer’s pro- and antivaccine messages.

RESULTS: Wellness influencers (n=161) had lower rates of provaccination stances in their on-topic tweets (20%, 614/3045) compared with controls (n=242 accounts, with 42% or 3201/7584 provaccination tweets). Using a generalized linear model of tweet stance with mixed effects to model tweets from the same account, the main effect of the group was significant (β1=-2.2668, SE=0.2940; P<.001). Covariate analysis suggests an association between antivaccination tweets and accounts representing individuals (β=-0.9591, SE=0.2917; P=.001) but not social network position. A complementary modeling exercise of stance within user accounts showed a significant difference in the proportion of antivaccination users by group (χ21[N=321]=36.1, P<.001). While nearly half of the influencer accounts were labeled by a K-nearest neighbor classifier as predominantly antivaccination (48%, 58/120), only 16% of control accounts were labeled this way (33/201). Topic modeling of influencer tweets showed that the most prevalent antivaccination themes were protecting children, guarding against government overreach, and the corruption of the pharmaceutical industry. Provaccination messaging tended to encourage followers to take action or emphasize the efficacy of the vaccine.

CONCLUSIONS: Wellness influencers showed higher rates of vaccine opposition compared with other accounts that participated in health discourse before the pandemic. This pattern supports the theory that unregulated wellness influencers have incentives to resist messaging from establishment authorities such as public health agencies.

PMID:39602782 | DOI:10.2196/56651

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Field experimental mode-pairing quantum key distribution with intensity fluctuations

Opt Lett. 2024 Dec 1;49(23):6609-6612. doi: 10.1364/OL.538457.

ABSTRACT

The mode-pairing quantum key distribution (MP-QKD) protocol, which can achieve high key rates over long distances without phase locking, is a potential candidate for implementing intercity QKD. However, achieving precise control of the light source intensity in a field MP-QKD experiment is an exceedingly challenging task. In this Letter, we study the decoy-state MP-QKD protocol with light source intensity fluctuations. Furthermore, we propose a statistical analysis method based on the T-distribution to calculate confidence intervals of intensity fluctuations. Finally, in the field MP-QKD experiments, considering intensity fluctuations and the finite size effect, we obtain secure key rates of 1.03 × 10-6 bit/pair and 3.64 × 10-6 bit/pair for the symmetric (195.8 km) and asymmetric (127.7 km) cases, respectively.

PMID:39602706 | DOI:10.1364/OL.538457

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Improving data sampling with rapid statistical convergence in digital Fourier microscopy analysis

Appl Opt. 2024 Dec 1;63(34):8760-8770. doi: 10.1364/AO.537840.

ABSTRACT

Soft matter research often involves studying correlation functions such as the intermediate scattering function. Wave scattering experiments or digital Fourier microscopy are usually used to obtain this function, generating large amounts of data that must be analyzed to obtain reliable information. However, this process can be time-consuming and requires an optimized data analysis procedure to minimize calculations while ensuring statistical validity. To address this issue, we have developed an algorithm that uses an efficient sampling technique to reduce the number of calculations needed for fast statistical convergence in digital Fourier microscopy. Our algorithm provides information equivalent to traditional analysis but in a much shorter time frame, up to 2 orders of magnitude faster.

PMID:39602682 | DOI:10.1364/AO.537840

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Temporal Dynamics of Plasma Neurofilament Light in Blood Donors With Preclinical Multiple Sclerosis

Neurol Neuroimmunol Neuroinflamm. 2025 Jan;12(1):e200335. doi: 10.1212/NXI.0000000000200335. Epub 2024 Nov 27.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a CNS disease, characterized by demyelination, inflammation, and neurodegeneration. Recent advances in technology allow measurement of the axonal damage marker neurofilament light chain in peripheral blood. Two studies have shown that patients with MS have elevated neurofilament light levels before their first symptom, but longitudinal studies are lacking. We aimed to investigate the intraindividual neurofilament light dynamics during the presymptomatic phase of MS.

METHODS: The Danish Blood Donor Study (DBDS) has stored plasma samples from blood donors for more than 10 years. We identified DBDS participants, who had subsequently been diagnosed with MS, and included all samples donated before their first demyelinating symptom (median 5.00 samples per case). As controls, we included 2 healthy donors per case. Plasma levels of neurofilament light were measured and compared with quality-of-life data. We used a Bayesian approach to derive estimates for the percentage of cases with presymptomatic increased neurofilament light levels.

RESULTS: We observed that 12 (17%, 95% CI 9%-28%) of 69 presymptomatic MS donors had intermittently increased neurofilament light levels preclinically. Increased levels were present up to 9 years before clinical onset, also in primary progressive MS. Healthy donors and presymptomatic MS donors with and without increased neurofilament light levels reported equally high physical and mental well-being. Model-based estimates suggested that 55% of cases (95% credible interval [28%-87%]) had experienced increased presymptomatic neurofilament light levels.

DISCUSSION: Patients with MS periodically sustain axonal injury up to 9 years before clinical onset, even in primary progressive disease. This most likely represents asymptomatic disease activity. Some or even all patients are affected by this intermittent axonal injury, prompting the need for further studies of the presymptomatic phase in relation to prognosis and as a therapeutic window of opportunity.

PMID:39602675 | DOI:10.1212/NXI.0000000000200335

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Uncovering Surgical Dynamics and Trends in Early Breast Cancer Stage at Diagnosis: Key Insights From a Two-Decade Argentine Database Analysis

JCO Glob Oncol. 2024 Nov;10:e2400123. doi: 10.1200/GO.24.00123. Epub 2024 Nov 27.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Breast cancer remains a major public health challenge worldwide, and understanding the trends and changes in breast cancer diagnosis and treatment over time is crucial for improving patient outcomes and guiding public health strategies. The Argentine Society of Mastology has maintained a comprehensive Breast Cancer Registry that provides valuable data for analyzing these trends.

MATERIALS AND METHODS: This retrospective analysis of the Breast Cancer Registry database evaluated changes in stages at the time of surgery, patterns of surgical care, and factors associated with higher stage diagnoses in patients with breast cancer in Argentina from January 2000 to December 2019.

RESULTS: Overall, 13,239 patients met the inclusion criteria. Significant differences were observed in the axillary procedure performed, with sentinel lymph node biopsy increasing from 14.9% (2000-2004) to 69.5% (2015-2019; P < .001). A higher proportion of in situ carcinoma was detected in the last 5-year period compared with the first (11.3% v 9.4%; P = .01) and fewer patients were stage III (17.1% v 14.2%). In multivariate analysis, postmenopausal status (odds ratio [OR], 0.72 [95% CI, 0.64 to 0.80]; P < .001), health coverage (social health insurance OR, 0.53 [95% CI, 0.46 to 0.61]; P < .001 and private insurance OR, 0.36 [95% CI, 0.31 to 0.42]; P < .001), tumor grade (grade 3 OR, 2.97 [95% CI, 2.54 to 3.47]; P < .001), and phenotype (hormone receptor-positive [HR+]/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 [HER2]+ OR, 1.36 [95% CI, 1.10 to 1.70]; P = .005; HR-/HER2+ OR, 2.14 [95% CI, 1.62 to 2.83]; P < .001; HR-/HER2- OR, 1.40 [95% CI, 1.19 to 1.66]; P < .001) were associated with the risk of diagnosis at stages II-III.

CONCLUSION: Significant advances in the patterns of surgical care were identified. Numerous clinical and pathologic factors correlated with higher stage at diagnosis. However, multivariate analysis failed to show a noteworthy reduction in stage at diagnosis. This observation underscores the imperative to persistently strive to improve breast cancer care in Argentina.

PMID:39602672 | DOI:10.1200/GO.24.00123

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Diet and cognition in older people in Mexico City

Gac Med Mex. 2024;160(3):265-273. doi: 10.24875/GMM.M24000895.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Specific dietary compounds are essential for cognitive health.

OBJECTIVE: To examine differences in the consumption of macronutrients and inorganic nutrients between people with a higher and lower risk of cognitive impairment.

MATERIAL AND METHODS: Cross-sectional analysis of the 3Ollin study. Minimal Mental State Examination determined cognitive status. Two groups were obtained from the median of the score: higher and lower risk of cognitive deterioration. Diet was assessed using two 24-hour recalls. Descriptive statistics and comparison analysis of medians using Mann-Whitney U and Spearman correlation analysis were performed between nutrients and MMSE scores. The results were considered statistically significant when p ≤ 0.05.

RESULTS: Data from 425 people were analyzed; the median age was 71 years (P25-P75 = 65-77). In the group with a lower risk of cognitive impairment, a higher consumption of calories, protein, carbohydrates, fiber, folate, phosphorus, ascorbic acid, vitamin E, alpha-tocopherol, vitamin B6, vitamin B12, zinc, selenium, and lycopene were observed. Also, a greater consumption of fruits and vegetables (p < 0.005).

CONCLUSIONS: There are significant differences in diet between groups at risk for cognitive impairment.

PMID:39602619 | DOI:10.24875/GMM.M24000895

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Index of functional impairment in older people: analysis by ethnicity

Gac Med Mex. 2024;160(3):301-307. doi: 10.24875/GMM.M24000898.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Aging in Mexico is heterogeneous considering the ethnic diversity and social inequality that prevails. The condition of ethnicity allows us to delve deeper into the social and health inequalities that do not allow for healthy aging.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this article is to compare the levels of functionality of older people by ethnicity and its associated factors in Mexico.

MATERIAL AND METHODS: People aged 60 years and over were selected from the 2020 Census sample, grouping according to their ethnic status (Indigenous, Afro-Mexican and non-Indigenous and non-afro Mexican). As a dependent variable, the Functional Impairment Index (IDF) was constructed with principal components analysis, using the battery of disability questions; Generalized linear models were performed to analyse the factors associated by ethnicity status.

RESULTS: Indigenous older people have higher IDF values, followed by Afro-Mexican. Indigenous women and those who live in rural areas have higher values of functional impairment.

CONCLUSIONS: It is necessary to address the needs of the older Indigenous and Afro-Mexican population who face an old age with greater social disadvantage and functional deterioration.

PMID:39602617 | DOI:10.24875/GMM.M24000898

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The cascade of access to the public health system in older Mexican adults and associated factors

Gac Med Mex. 2024;160(3):247-257. doi: 10.24875/GMM.24000074.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Information about access to the public health system for elders is lacking in Mexico.

OBJECTIVE: Develop a cascade of access to the public health system in Mexican older adults and identify factors that could promote or hinder it.

MATERIAL AND METHODS: A cross-sectional analysis using data from the 2018, 2021, and 2022 National Health and Nutrition Survey rounds. A cascade of access to the public health system was constructed. Multivariate regression models were performed to identify related factors.

RESULTS: 43.33%, 40.85%, and 43.79% of older adults had access to the public health system in 2018, 2021, and 2022, respectively. In 2018, frailty increased 2.419 times the probability of having access. While, being married or in union, being literate, and living in an urban residency increased access in 2021 and 2022.

CONCLUSIONS: There are persistently low levels of public healthcare access among older Mexican adults. Frailty elders had more probability of having access in 2018. Seguro Popular might have promoted access by overcoming organizational obstacles from the public system and surpassing sociodemographic barriers. After its elimination, sociodemographic variables became more relevant in promoting or reducing access.

PMID:39602615 | DOI:10.24875/GMM.24000074

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Hospital discharges for hip fracture in older adults, Mexico 2013-2022

Gac Med Mex. 2024;160(3):313-321. doi: 10.24875/GMM.M24000899.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The most common traumatic injury among older individuals worldwide is hip fracture. Higher incidence after 70 years old and women (80-85%). Hospital discharges in Mexico have little evidence.

OBJECTIVE: Describe hospital discharges from hip fractures in the Mexican public health system from 2013 to 2022.

MATERIAL AND METHODS: A descriptive study using open data on hospital discharges from the Mexican public health system from 2013-2022, available by the General Direction of Health Information of the Secretary of Health, focused on discharge reports for hip fractures in people aged ≥ 60 years and any sex. The study describes individual variables, hospital discharge, and the federal entities where health care was provided.

RESULTS: Between 2013 and 2022, there have been 230,060 (2.11%) discharges due to hip fractures in people aged ≥ 60 years within the Mexican public health system; the highest concentration in patients with ≥ 80 years old and women (69.2%). The Mexican Social Security Institute reported the highest number of discharges (n = 126,093), with the highest percentage due to improvement (93.7%).

CONCLUSIONS: Hip fracture is a problem that requires more significant care resources in Mexico.

PMID:39602614 | DOI:10.24875/GMM.M24000899

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Characteristics and health conditions in older people who work in Mexico. A comparative analysis between cohorts and sex

Gac Med Mex. 2024;160(3):322-329. doi: 10.24875/GMM.M240009322.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The study of the work and health of older adults is limited but relevant considering that the living and health conditions in which they age are not the best in Mexico, given the job insecurity that does not access to decent contributory pensions.

OBJECTIVE: To analyse the differences in the sociodemographic, labour and health conditions characteristics of two cohorts of older people aged 65 to 74 years who are employed in the labour market.

MATERIAL AND METHODS: Analysis of the National Study of Health and Aging in Mexico for 2001 and 2021 of sociodemographic and work characteristics and health conditions by cohort and sex. Logistic regression models, whose dependent variable was the birth cohort, were estimated.

RESULTS: 1,115 people from 2001 and 1,189 from 2021 between 65 and 74 years old who worked the week before the study were included. By sex and cohort, findings are presented.

CONCLUSIONS: Although the schooling of older people in the most recent cohort has increased, women face more precarious working conditions and a higher prevalence of disability.

PMID:39602612 | DOI:10.24875/GMM.M240009322