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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Innovative Multidimensional Quantitative Benefit-Risk Model for Effective Decision Making in Research and Development for Biopharmaceutical Industry

Ther Innov Regul Sci. 2026 Feb 21. doi: 10.1007/s43441-025-00894-9. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Medicinal products have benefits and risks that must be carefully balanced to inform decision making. The structured benefit-risk (BR) framework is a powerful approach not only to standardize a holistic BR assessment, but also to incorporate the patient perspective and guide the decisions and discussions of sponsors and regulatory agencies throughout the continuum of drug development. Structured BR assessment has been usually conducted using a qualitative approach during the late development stage. The use of quantitative models that can be applied throughout the drug development process may provide more objective BR information to support scientific recommendations to optimize and inform decisions for critical external and internal development opportunities. A new Multidimensional Benefit-Risk Integrated Evaluation (MBRIE) quantitative model was developed using key attributes of the structured BR assessment. Each attribute was evaluated by assigning a rating score ranging from 1 to 3 (low), 4-6 (medium), 7-10 (high). Also, two dimensions for comparative purposes were considered: standard of care (SOC) and probability of development success (PODS) (likelihood or favorability for development success). Graphical outputs were used to visualize and compare the ranking scores for each of the attributes across the two dimensions. This analysis implements a structured quantitative BR assessment approach earlier in drug development and through the drug lifecycle. The MBRIE model may be an innovative tool to facilitate solutions by fostering a collaborative culture that points to the true objective to improve patient outcomes.

PMID:41723330 | DOI:10.1007/s43441-025-00894-9

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AI-based imputation of anti-Müllerian hormone enables robust prediction of oocyte retrieval during controlled ovarian stimulation

J Assist Reprod Genet. 2026 Feb 21. doi: 10.1007/s10815-026-03833-1. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: This study addressed the practical challenge of missing data in assisted reproductive technology by evaluating the reliability of predicting oocyte yield when anti-Müllerian hormone (AMH) values are unavailable. We examined the ability of AI-based models to recover missing biomarker data and maintain predictive accuracy despite data limitations.

METHOD: We conducted a retrospective analysis using data from 27,435 IVF cycles across multiple centers from 2018 to 2023. Various machine learning models were compared to serve as internal imputation models to fill data gaps and predict oocyte retrieval. We validated the models across a range of missingness rates (0% to 90%) using bootstrapping to ensure statistical robustness and evaluate generalizability across different clinical environments.

RESULTS: The best-performing model using actual AMH achieved an AUC of 0.838. Despite the relatively low explained variance in AMH recovery (R2 ≈ 0.2), the imputed values captured enough clinical information to serve as reliable predictive proxies. The model’s performance remained above an illustrative benchmark of 0.80 AUC until the missing rate reached 35.5%. SHAP analysis confirmed that the AI model effectively used age and other clinical variables to compensate for missing AMH data.

CONCLUSIONS: AI-based imputation offers a practical solution for clinical infertility care, where missing data is caused by documentation issues or repeat-cycle workflows. This approach bridges the gap between ideal laboratory records and realistic data limitations, ensuring that data-driven decision support remains accessible even in the presence of incomplete records.

PMID:41723323 | DOI:10.1007/s10815-026-03833-1

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Spatial Characterization of Trace Metal Concentrations and Biomarkers of Exposure in Feral Pigeons (Columba livia) from a Highly Industrialized Metropolis in Mexico

Biol Trace Elem Res. 2026 Feb 21. doi: 10.1007/s12011-026-05030-8. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

This study examined the geographical distribution of cadmium (Cd), copper (Cu), mercury (Hg), and lead (Pb) in the Monterrey Metropolitan Area (MMA), Mexico, using feral pigeons (Columba livia) as bioindicators. Trace metals were quantified in tail feathers collected from 74 individuals in nine municipalities using Anodic Stripping Voltammetry (ASV). Copper showed the highest concentrations (maximum mean 21.3 µg/g), followed by Pb (5.2 µg/g), Hg (0.7 µg/g), and Cd, which was detected in a few samples (< 0.6 µg/g). A consistent center-to-periphery gradient was observed for Cu, Hg, and Pb. Cluster analysis identified four spatially distinct groupings based on bioaccumulation, with the highest concentrations occurring in central municipalities characterized by higher human population density, suggesting heterogeneous exposure and increased combined risk from trace metals in more urbanized areas. Leukocyte frequencies varied across municipalities, suggesting site-specific physiological responses associated with differences in trace metal concentrations. Genotoxicity biomarkers showed spatial trends similar to trace metal levels, although differences were not statistically significant, indicating limited genotoxic effects at the observed exposure levels. The concordant spatial patterns between environmental and biological indicators highlight trace metal exposure as a relevant risk in the MMA and support the use of feral pigeons as effective bioindicators of trace metal pollution, with implications for human health in industrial and highly urbanized areas.

PMID:41723310 | DOI:10.1007/s12011-026-05030-8

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Artificial intelligence-generated marathon training programs: reliable tools in exercise prescription for athletic performance?

Br Med Bull. 2026 Jan 2;157(1):ldag010. doi: 10.1093/bmb/ldag010.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Marathon running has evolved into a global phenomenon, with rising participation across age and experience groups. Training for a marathon requires adherence to well-established principles involving pacing, training volume, and periodization. With the increasing integration of artificial intelligence (AI) into healthcare and fitness, it remains unclear whether AI can reliably prescribe evidence-based training programs for such demanding endurance events.

SOURCES OF DATA: We conducted a descriptive study using outputs from leading AI models: Claude 3.5 Sonnet, Claude 3.5 Haiku (Free), ChatGPT 4.0 (o-model), ChatGPT 0.1, ChatGPT 4 (free), Gemini 2.0 Flash, Gemini 2.0 Flash Thinking, and DeepSeek R1. Each was prompted to generate a 6-month marathon training plan tailored to three athlete levels: Beginner, Intermediate, and Advanced. Outputs were compared with peer-reviewed literature on the determinants of marathon training.

AREAS OF AGREEMENT: Most AI systems identified key training components: weekly mileage progression, tapering, and intensity distribution (>80% at low intensity), which aligns with current endurance training theory.

AREAS OF CONTROVERSY: AI responses varied in accuracy and completeness. Some engines omitted key details (e.g. weekly mileage), failed to differentiate clearly between athlete levels (intermediate and advanced have been merged as if they were the same level), or offered inconsistent pacing data, especially for advanced runners. This descriptive analysis evaluated qualitative adherence to evidence-based training principles rather than quantitative outcomes requiring statistical inference.

GROWING POINTS: AI demonstrates strong potential in accessible, structured training content. When properly prompted, outputs often align with contemporary training principles, though significant limitations regarding personalization and professional oversight necessitate further validation before clinical implementation.

AREAS TIMELY FOR DEVELOPING RESEARCH: Future studies should evaluate the real-world outcomes of AI-generated programs in randomized trials including the integration of personal physiological data. Inizio moduloFine modulo.

PMID:41722095 | DOI:10.1093/bmb/ldag010

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Comparison of Azvudine and Nirmatrelvir-Ritonavir in Hospitalised Patients With COVID-19: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Rev Med Virol. 2026 Mar;36(2):e70114. doi: 10.1002/rmv.70114.

ABSTRACT

Azvudine is a nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor (NRTI) and belongs to the family of 2′, 3′-dideoxynucleoside (ddNs) that can mimic natural nucleosides and block viral DNA or RNA chain synthesis and prevent viral replication. Since the beginning of the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) pandemic, Azvudine has been used to treat patients with COVID-19. Therefore, the objective of this meta-analysis study was to compare Azvudine and Nirmatrelvir-Ritonavir in hospitalised patients. The global online databases were used to identify relevant studies published between January 2019 and October 2024. The quality of all articles was determined using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS) checklist. In this study, heterogeneity assay was assessed using the Cochran’s Q-test and the I2 index, and STATA software version.14 (StataCorp) was used for statistical analysis. Egger’s test, Begg’s test, and funnel plot were performed to estimate of the publication bias, and the impact of each study on the overall estimate was assessed using sensitivity analysis. In this study, 19 studies were included in this meta-analysis. The results of the meta-analysis showed that the relative risk of death in the Azvudine treatment group compared with the Nirmatrelvir-Ritonavir treatment group was 0.64 (95% CI: 0. 44, 0. 93). These results suggest that treatment with Azvudine may provide significant clinical benefit in patients hospitalised with COVID-19.

PMID:41722060 | DOI:10.1002/rmv.70114

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A comparison of the suitability of items generated by 4 large language models for pathology continuing certification

Am J Clin Pathol. 2026 Jan 5;165(2):aqaf153. doi: 10.1093/ajcp/aqaf153.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the ability of 4 artificial intelligence large language models (LLMs) to create items that align with the item writing standards of the American Board of Pathology (ABPath) for continuing certification.

METHODS: An informatics item writing application was developed and used with prompts based on the ABPath item writing standards. Uniform prompts were used for the LLMs evaluated, with the content of the items generated tailored to the expertise of the reviewing subject matter experts (SMEs). The SMEs were blinded to the identity of the LLM that generated each item. The 14 SMEs graded 4 written items and 4 practical items, with 1 item from each set of 4 generated from each of the LLMs. The 19 questions used for grading concentrated on item anatomy (ie, item structure), accuracy, relevance, and level of item difficulty.

RESULTS: The overall scores for the 4 LLMs for the written items were as follows: Claude, 229 of 266 (86.1%); ChatGPT, 212 of 266 (79.7%); Llama, 175 of 266 (65.8%); and Titan, 162 of 266 (60.9%). The overall scores for the 4 LLMs for the practical items were as follows: Claude, 247 of 266 (92.9%); ChatGPT, 216 of 266 (81.2%); Llama, 175 of 266 (65.8%); and Titan, 151 of 266 (56.8%). Statistically significant differences existed between the LLMs.

CONCLUSIONS: We observed significant differences in the ability of the 4 LLMs evaluated to draft items consistent with the ABPath guidelines based on SME scoring. It is important to assess the various LLMs available to determine which model best meets the needs of the user for the proposed task and not to assume equivalence.

PMID:41722024 | DOI:10.1093/ajcp/aqaf153

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Venetoclax Plus Rituximab for Relapse/Refractory Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia: A Systematic Review and Network Meta-analysis of Treatments Available in Brazil

Oncol Ther. 2026 Feb 21. doi: 10.1007/s40487-026-00418-x. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Venetoclax represents a significant advancement in target anticancer therapy in the management of relapsed/refractory chronic lymphocytic leukemia (RR-CLL). This study aims to compare the efficacy and safety of the venetoclax + rituximab (VenR) regimen with other therapies approved in Brazil.

METHODS: A systematic review and network meta-analysis (NMA) was conducted to evaluate the efficacy and safety of treatments approved in Brazil for RR-CLL. Comprehensive literature searches were performed to identify randomized controlled trials. Risk of bias and certainty of evidence for each outcome were assessed across the included studies. The NMA was conducted using a frequentist framework. The primary efficacy outcomes were progression-free survival, overall survival, overall response rate, and time to next therapy. Safety was assessed on the basis of the incidence of serious adverse events.

RESULTS: A total of 24 publications related to 12 trials were identified and included. VenR was associated with better survival outcomes when compared with standard regimens such as rituximab (HR 0.16; 95% CI 0.03-0.74) and physician choice (HR 0.17; 95% CI 0.04-0.81). In terms of progression-free survival, VenR achieved HR < 0.20, supported by narrow confidence intervals, when compared to treatments such as bendamustine plus rituximab, ofatumumab and physician choice, in addition to significantly favorable results compared to ibrutinib and acalabrutinib. Approximately half of the studies presented a low risk of bias, and the certainty of evidence assessed using the GRADE-NMA approach resulted in very low certainty of evidence, mainly due to risk of bias, intransitivity, and imprecision.

CONCLUSION: This NMA provides valuable evidence to support rational therapeutic choices for RR-CLL in Brazil, highlighting VenR and Bruton tyrosine kinase inhibitors as leading treatment options across diverse clinical scenarios.

PMID:41722016 | DOI:10.1007/s40487-026-00418-x

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Patient reported outcomes improve following lower limb prosthesis and socket and replacement

J Patient Rep Outcomes. 2026 Feb 21. doi: 10.1186/s41687-026-01021-4. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Prosthetic sockets are fundamental in stabilizing the residual limb and providing a secure attachment for the prosthesis, therefore aiding in achieving a more natural and efficient walking motion. Patients who are fit with a prosthesis report increased mobility which correlates to increased quality of life and satisfaction. While timely receipt of an initial prosthesis following amputation improves patient outcomes, the impact of the socket or prosthesis being replaced is less documented. The purpose of this analysis was to assess the change in outcomes resulting from socket and prosthesis replacements.

METHODOLOGY: This study included patients within a national database from a national privately owned provider of prosthetic care. Inclusion criteria consisted of adults with a unilateral, lower limb amputation that received either a replacement socket or prosthesis. Data were collected during routine clinical care with questionnaires about quality of life and satisfaction (Prosthesis Evaluation Questionnaire-Well Being), and mobility (Prosthesis Limb Users Survey of Mobility). Statistical analyses consisted of Student’s t-tests and estimated marginal means to determine significant changes within each group. Hours worn was collected as a secondary variable.

RESULTS: A total of 19,185 longitudinal outcomes were included in the final analysis and divided into four groups based on amputation level and socket or prosthesis replacement status (above knee socket replacement n = 2,515, below knee socket replacement n = 7,746, above knee replacement prosthesis n = 1,717, and below knee replacement prosthesis n = 7,207). Quality of life, satisfaction, and mobility improved significantly across all groups (p < 0.01), with hours worn increasing after socket replacement in both groups (p < 0.01) but not in the prosthesis replacement groups. Individuals with vascular disease or diabetes had reduced mobility compared to other etiologies. Older age negatively impacted mobility.

CONCLUSIONS: On average, patients with lower limb amputation receiving an above-knee or below-knee socket replacement or prosthesis replacement can expect an improvement in their mobility and well-being.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE: The findings highlight the clinical relevance of prosthetic socket and prosthesis replacements by demonstrating significant improvements in quality of life, satisfaction, and mobility for patients with lower limb amputations. This evidence supports the importance of socket and prosthesis replacements in enhancing patient outcomes and informs evidence-based clinical practices. By addressing gaps in the literature, this research provides valuable insights that can guide prosthetists and physicians in optimizing care. Overall, these results underscore the long-term benefits of replacements, advocating for prioritizing resources and support for prosthetic care to improve health outcomes and quality of life for individuals with an amputation.

PMID:41722013 | DOI:10.1186/s41687-026-01021-4

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Evaluation of serum Cytokeratin 5 and p63 as non-invasive biomarkers for the diagnosis and staging of cervical cancer: a case-control study

Clin Transl Oncol. 2026 Feb 21. doi: 10.1007/s12094-026-04238-3. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Cervical cancer continues to be a major worldwide health concern. Diagnostic methods are limited, and therefore, more specific, non-invasive serum biomarkers are required for greater efficacy in detecting and monitoring the disease.

OBJECTIVE: This research aims to investigate the diagnostic and prognostic utility of serum Cytokeratin 5 (CK5) and p63 as biomarkers for cervical cancer.

MATERIAL AND METHODS: A case-control study was conducted with 50 women with newly diagnosed, histologically confirmed cervical cancer and 50 age-matched healthy controls. Serum levels of CK5 and p63 were quantified using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA).

RESULTS: Serum levels of both CK5 (286 ± 94 vs. 77.5 ± 28.2 ng/L, p < 0.001) and p63 (35.1 ± 10.6 vs. 7.5 ± 3.2 ng/mL, p < 0.001) were significantly elevated in cervical cancer patients compared to controls. ROC analysis revealed excellent diagnostic accuracy, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.96 for CK5 and 0.97 for p63 both biomarkers being statistically significantly more in advanced-stage than in early-stage of the disease on p = 0.002 and p < 0.0001, respectively, and independent predictors of advanced disease in multivariate analysis.

CONCLUSION: Serum CK5 and p63 had an excellent diagnostic efficiency for cervical cancer and correlated with disease progression, positioning them as promising non-invasive biomarkers for diagnosis and staging.

PMID:41722012 | DOI:10.1007/s12094-026-04238-3

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Retinal Arterial Vasospasm in Retinal Vein Occlusion and Its Association with Aqueous Humor Endothelin-1

Ophthalmol Ther. 2026 Feb 21. doi: 10.1007/s40123-026-01330-3. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: To determine the incidence, clinical characteristics, and spatial associations of retinal arterial vasospasm in retinal vein occlusion (RVO), and to explore its relationship with aqueous humor endothelin-1 (ET-1) concentration.

METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included 58 eyes with RVO that underwent wide-field fluorescein angiography (FA) within 1 month of presentation. In addition, aqueous humor samples were prospectively collected from a subset of 18 treatment-naïve RVO eyes. Arterial vasospasm was defined as a focal narrowing of the arterial lumen on early-phase FA. Cotton wool spots (CWS) and retinal hemorrhage were evaluated using color fundus photography and electronic medical records. Topographic concordance was assessed using quadrant-based, horizontal, and vertical hemifield classifications. Aqueous humor samples were analyzed for ET-1 concentration using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA).

RESULTS: Arterial vasospasm was identified in 21 eyes (36.2%), including six eyes with central RVO and 15 eyes with branch RVO. Vasospasm was most commonly observed in the superotemporal quadrant and predominantly on second-order arteriolar branches (78.6%). CWS were more frequent in eyes with vasospasm compared with those without (81.0% vs. 54.1%; p = 0.050). Significant spatial concordance between vasospasm and CWS was observed in the vertical hemifield (p = 0.049), with no concordance observed with retinal hemorrhage location or severity. Exploratory aqueous humor analysis showed higher ET-1 concentrations in eyes with vasospasm (8.37 ± 4.59 vs. 5.74 ± 1.88 pg/mL), although statistical interpretation was limited by the sample size.

CONCLUSION: Retinal arterial vasospasm is a relatively common but under-recognized feature of RVO. Its association with CWS and higher ET-1 levels suggests localized arterial endothelial dysfunction. Vasospasm may represent an arterial component of RVO pathophysiology and warrants further investigation.

PMID:41722008 | DOI:10.1007/s40123-026-01330-3