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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Lessons learned from Taiwan’s response to the COVID-19 pandemic: successes, challenges, and implications for future pandemics

Eur J Public Health. 2024 Nov 20:ckae185. doi: 10.1093/eurpub/ckae185. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

This study aims to provide an investigation of the containment and mitigation strategies encompassing the entirety of the pandemic in Taiwan. This descriptive, observational study used COVID-19 data from Taiwan, Japan, and South Korea, and analysed news releases from the Taiwanese health authority. Statistics provided evidence of outbreak severity through infection and mortality rates, while qualitative results from the document review offered insights on the actions taken by the government chronologically from 2 February 2020 to 31 December 2022. All three countries experienced significant infection peaks in 2022. Taiwan had two distinct peaks, one in late May and another in October. South Korea had a single, high peak in late March, while Japan experienced multiple smaller waves, the biggest wave in August. Similarly, weekly mortality rates peaked in 2022 for all three countries after a surge in their infected cases, with Taiwan (5.15/100 000) and South Korea (4.69/100 000) having higher rates than Japan (1.65/100 000). Results from qualitative analysis showed that Taiwan’s early containment measures might have delayed the epidemic curve, allowing time for better preparation and proactive responses. However, the lack of a clear transition plan and the vulnerability of the elderly population contributed to higher mortality and infection rates. Despite ongoing challenges, Taiwan avoided nationwide lockdowns and relied on targeted restrictions to control transmission of the virus. Results of this article offer the narratives, reflections, and experiences from the case of Taiwan which may potentially present promising opportunities for impact in other settings and for future pandemics.

PMID:39566089 | DOI:10.1093/eurpub/ckae185

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The role of vitamin D metabolism in regulating bone turnover in adolescents with perinatally-acquired HIV in southern Africa: a cross-sectional study in Zimbabwe and Zambia

J Bone Miner Res. 2024 Nov 20:zjae190. doi: 10.1093/jbmr/zjae190. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Vitamin D dysregulation can occur in people living with HIV, disrupting calcium homeostasis and bone turnover. We aimed to investigate the potential mechanisms by which vitamin D regulates bone turnover in adolescents living with perinatally-acquired HIV (ALWH) in southern Africa. A pre-planned secondary analysis was performed of baseline data from the VITALITY trial [PACTR20200989766029] which enrolled ALWH (11-19 years) taking antiretroviral therapy for ≥6 months, and recorded socio-demographic, clinical and dietary data. After over-night fasting, vitamin D metabolites [25(OH)D, 1,25(OH)2D, 24,25(OH)2D], intact parathyroid hormone (PTH) and bone turnover markers (BTMs) [CTX and P1NP] were measured. Tandem Mass Spectrometry measured vitamin D metabolites, whilst intact PTH and BTMs were analysed by electrochemiluminescence immunoassay. Stratified by 25(OH)D [<75 vs ≥75 nmol/L], associations between standardized concentrations (β = standard deviations) of vitamin D metabolites, intact PTH and BTMs were assessed using structural equations modelling (SEM) adjusted for age, sex and country (Zimbabwe/Zambia). Among the 842 ALWH enrolled, the median dietary calcium intake was 100 mg [IQR:55-145]. The SEM showed PTH was positively associated [β 0.21, 95%CI: 0.1,0.32] with 1,25(OH)2D, only when 25(OH)D was <75 nmol/L vs ≥75 nmol/L [β 0.23, 95%CI: -0.13,0.59], with evidence of an interaction [β -0.11, 95%CI: -0.20,-0.02]. A positive relationship between 25(OH)D and 24,25(OH)2D was seen irrespective of 25(OH)D concentration. 24,25(OH)2D was inversely related to BTMs, particularly when 25(OH)D was <75 nmol/L [CTX: β -0.15, 95%CI: -0.24,-0.06, and P1NP: β -0.14, 95%CI: -0.22,-0.06]. There was interaction between dietary calcium and 25(OH)D on PTH [β -0.15, 95% CI: -0.22,-0.07] suggesting an interaction between low 25(OH)D and low dietary calcium which increases PTH. In conclusion, associations between 25(OH)D, PTH, 1,25(OH)2D and BTMs in ALWH appear dependent upon 25(OH)D concentrations <75 nmol/L and calcium intake. A novel, potentially causal pathway between 25(OH)D, 24,25(OH)2D and BTMs was seen. Findings enhance understanding of vitamin D metabolism in people living with HIV.

PMID:39566074 | DOI:10.1093/jbmr/zjae190

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The presentation and treatment of Dupuytren’s disease in Dutch general practitioner care

Fam Pract. 2024 Nov 20:cmae065. doi: 10.1093/fampra/cmae065. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: When research and management of Dupuytren’s disease (DD) shift from symptom relief to preventing contractures, general practitioner (GP) care may become more central to treatment. However, the presentation and course of DD in GP care are underexplored and this has been recognized as a knowledge gap that hinders effective treatment decisions. This study is the first to map the trajectory of DD patients in GP care.

METHODS: Using electronic health records from Dutch general practices in a regional research network, we conducted a registration-based cohort study in a dynamic population. Descriptive statistics detailed patient demographics, number of contacts, and symptoms per contact. The time and number of contacts before diagnosis were also analysed. Sankey diagrams illustrated the relationship between management options and symptoms.

RESULTS: Over a 16-year period, 84% of patients with a DD diagnosis had visited their GP for this reason, with 73% only having one GP contact. The diagnosis was made at first contact for 93% of patients. Initial contacts often reported a lump (57.3%), but this symptom was less frequent in subsequent visits. ‘Daily life impairment’ increased after the first contact. The most common management options were referral to secondary care (37.7%) and watchful waiting (35.1%).

CONCLUSION: The diagnosis and management of DD in GP care are in line with the current guidelines. Less than half of the DD patients were referred to secondary care during follow-up. This may give room for preventive treatment that limits progression. Future studies should focus on the accuracy of diagnosis and the feasibility of effective treatments in GP care.

PMID:39566072 | DOI:10.1093/fampra/cmae065

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Real-world effectiveness and prognostic factors of durvalumab plus chemotherapy in a multicentric cohort with advanced biliary tract cancer

Oncologist. 2024 Nov 20:oyae306. doi: 10.1093/oncolo/oyae306. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Biliary tract cancer (BTC) is an aggressive biliary tract cancer, arising from the bile ducts and gallbladder, with a poor prognosis. The TOPAZ-1 trial of durvalumab plus first-line chemotherapy (gemcitabine plus cisplatin) showed improved survival vs chemotherapy alone. This real-world study aimed to confirm the effectiveness of this regimen.

METHODS: This retrospective, multicenter study included patients with advanced BTC treated with first-line durvalumab plus platinum chemotherapy at the Linkou, Taoyuan, and Tucheng branches of Chang Gung Memorial Hospital as well as at Taipei Veterans General Hospital between August 2021 and June 2023.

RESULTS: Among the 45 patients with advanced biliary tree cancer treated with durvalumab plus cisplatin and gemcitabine as first-line treatment, the objective response rate was 31.1% (14 partial responses). An additional 40% (18 patients) had stable disease. The median progression-free survival was 5.6 months (95%CI, 4.4-6.9) and median overall survival was 15.8 months (95%CI, 7.9-23.8). Responders had significantly longer survival than non-responders (15.8 vs 3.3 months). Although higher durvalumab doses (1000-1500 mg) appeared to have improved efficacy compared to lower doses (<1000 mg), the difference was not statistically significant. On multivariate analysis, poor ECOG performance status (≥2) and a high neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio were independent prognostic factors for shorter overall survival.

CONCLUSION: This real-world study demonstrated the comparable efficacy of durvalumab plus chemotherapy to the TOPAZ-1 trial for patients with advanced BTC and identified prognostic factors. There was a trend toward improved efficacy with higher durvalumab dosing (1000-1500 mg) vs lower dosing, though further research is needed to confirm this relationship.

PMID:39566070 | DOI:10.1093/oncolo/oyae306

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Temporary Telemedicine Policy and Chronic Disease Management in South Korea: Retrospective Analysis Using National Claims Data

JMIR Public Health Surveill. 2024 Nov 20;10:e59138. doi: 10.2196/59138.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Since its introduction, telemedicine for patients with chronic diseases has been studied in various clinical settings. However, there is limited evidence of the effectiveness and medical safety of the nationwide adoption of telemedicine.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to analyze the effects of telemedicine on chronic diseases during the COVID-19 pandemic under a temporary telemedicine policy in South Korea using national claims data.

METHODS: Health insurance claims data were extracted over 2 years: 1 year before (from February 24, 2019, to February 23, 2020) and 1 year after the policy was implemented (from February 24, 2020, to February 23, 2021). We included all patients who used telemedicine at least once in the first year after the policy was implemented and compared them with a control group of patients who never used telemedicine. The comparison focused on health care use; the medication possession ratio (MPR); and admission rates to general wards (GWs), emergency departments (EDs), and intensive care units (ICUs) using difference-in-differences analysis. A total of 4 chronic diseases were targeted: hypertension, diabetes mellitus (DM), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), and common mental disorders.

RESULTS: A total of 1,773,454 patients with hypertension; 795,869 patients with DM; 37,460 patients with COPD; and 167,084 patients with common mental disorders were analyzed in this study. Patients diagnosed with hypertension or DM showed increased MPRs without an increase in GW, ED, or ICU admission rates during the policy year. Moreover, patients in the DM group who did not use telemedicine had higher rates of ED, GW, and ICU admissions, and patients in the hypertension group had higher rates of GW or ICU admissions after 1 year of policy implementation. This trend was not evident in COPD and common mental disorders.

CONCLUSIONS: The temporary telemedicine policy was effective in increasing medication adherence and reducing admission rates for patients with hypertension and DM; however, the efficacy of the policy was limited for patients with COPD and common mental disorders. Future studies are required to demonstrate the long-term effects of telemedicine policies with various outcome measures reflecting disease characteristics.

PMID:39566066 | DOI:10.2196/59138

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Performance of a Full-Coverage Cervical Cancer Screening Program Using on an Artificial Intelligence- and Cloud-Based Diagnostic System: Observational Study of an Ultralarge Population

J Med Internet Res. 2024 Nov 20;26:e51477. doi: 10.2196/51477.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The World Health Organization has set a global strategy to eliminate cervical cancer, emphasizing the need for cervical cancer screening coverage to reach 70%. In response, China has developed an action plan to accelerate the elimination of cervical cancer, with Hubei province implementing China’s first provincial full-coverage screening program using an artificial intelligence (AI) and cloud-based diagnostic system.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to evaluate the performance of AI technology in this full-coverage screening program. The evaluation indicators included accessibility, screening efficiency, diagnostic quality, and program cost.

METHODS: Characteristics of 1,704,461 individuals screened from July 2022 to January 2023 were used to analyze accessibility and AI screening efficiency. A random sample of 220 individuals was used for external diagnostic quality control. The costs of different participating screening institutions were assessed.

RESULTS: Cervical cancer screening services were extended to all administrative districts, especially in rural areas. Rural women had the highest participation rate at 67.54% (1,147,839/1,699,591). Approximately 1.7 million individuals were screened, achieving a cumulative coverage of 13.45% in about 6 months. Full-coverage programs could be achieved by AI technology in approximately 1 year, which was 87.5 times more efficient than the manual reading of slides. The sample compliance rate was as high as 99.1%, and compliance rates for positive, negative, and pathology biopsy reviews exceeded 96%. The cost of this program was CN ¥49 (the average exchange rate in 2022 is as follows: US $1=CN ¥6.7261) per person, with the primary screening institution and the third-party testing institute receiving CN ¥19 and ¥27, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS: AI-assisted diagnosis has proven to be accessible, efficient, reliable, and low cost, which could support the implementation of full-coverage screening programs, especially in areas with insufficient health resources. AI technology served as a crucial tool for rapidly and effectively increasing screening coverage, which would accelerate the achievement of the World Health Organization’s goals of eliminating cervical cancer.

PMID:39566061 | DOI:10.2196/51477

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Rates of Major Depressive Disorder and Bipolar Disorder in Black and White Postpartum Women

J Clin Psychiatry. 2024 Nov 20;85(4):23m15023. doi: 10.4088/JCP.23m15023.

ABSTRACT

Importance: Little is known about differences between Black and White women with respect to the prevalence of postpartum mood disorders or symptom presentations.

Objective: To determine the prevalence and characteristics of postpartum major mood disorders in Black and White women at 4-6 weeks after birth.

Methods: This is a secondary analysis of a large-scale study designed to screen women for postpartum depression with the Edinburgh Postnatal Depression Scale (EPDS) and collect symptom data. Data were collected at an urban maternity hospital in an academic setting in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Of the 2,019 women who screened positive and accepted a psychiatric diagnostic interview, 163 and 85 Black women had major depressive and bipolar disorders, respectively, and 508 and 177 White women had major depressive and bipolar disorders, respectively. Those with an EPDS score greater than or equal to 10 were offered a psychiatric assessment (in-person at home or by telephone) with the Structured Clinical Interview for DSM IV using the Structured Interview Guide for the Hamilton Rating Scale for Depression, Atypical Depression Version symptom inventory, a questionnaire related to childhood and adulthood physical and sexual abuse, and the Short Form Survey 12. Participants who self-identified as Black or White were included in this analysis.

Results: Among screen-positive participants, no significant difference in the rate of major depressive disorder (40% Black and 35% White) was observed. However, bipolar disorder significantly differed between Black (19.2%) and White (11.5%) women. Additionally, symptom profiles differed between Black and White participants with major depressive disorder, and a high rate of traumatic experiences was reported by participants with major depression and bipolar disorder in both racial groups.

Conclusion: An understanding of the different presentations of postpartum mood disorders between Black and White women, as well as trauma-informed care, can optimize postpartum health care through supporting advocacy efforts for resource allocation and health care delivery.

Trial Registration: Dataset from study at ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT00282776.

PMID:39566056 | DOI:10.4088/JCP.23m15023

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Towards a Further Understanding of Meta-Analysis Using Gestational Exposure to Cannabis and Birth Defects as a Case in Point

J Clin Psychiatry. 2024 Nov 20;85(4):24f15673. doi: 10.4088/JCP.24f15673.

ABSTRACT

About 5%-10% of pregnancies in the US are exposed to cannabis with highest use reported during the first trimester. Two recent meta-analyses presented estimates of the risk of birth defects associated with prenatal exposure to cannabis; the larger and more recent meta-analysis pooled data from 18 cohort and 18 case-control studies with a total sample size of >19 million subjects. The meta-analyses found that prenatal exposure to cannabis was associated with a small but statistically significant increased risk of any birth defect (pooled odds ratios [ORs], 1.25-1.33); ORs were also significantly elevated for cardiovascular, gastrointestinal, nervous system, genitourinary, and musculoskeletal but not orofacial birth defects. The ORs were smaller and less likely to be statistically significant in adjusted analyses. These meta-analyses had strengths but also shortcomings. The strengths and shortcomings are explained in detail so that readers obtain a better understanding of how to critically assess findings in meta-analyses. One strength was the presentation of both unadjusted and adjusted pooled estimates; the former allow an understanding of risks in the average real world patient and the latter allow an understanding of the unique contribution of the exposure to the outcomes. Another strength was the presentation of cumulative meta-analyses which demonstrated from which calendar year onwards a finding became consistently statistically significant in the scientific literature. One shortcoming, in analyses of subcategories of birth defects, was the repeated representation of the same sample in the same forest plot; the many reasons why this is problematic are explained. Another shortcoming was the pooling of ORs obtained from cohort studies with those obtained from case control studies; conceptual and numerical reasons why this is problematic are also explained.

PMID:39566055 | DOI:10.4088/JCP.24f15673

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Hyperbaric Oxygen Therapy for Veterans With Combat-Associated Posttraumatic Stress Disorder: A Randomized, Sham-Controlled Clinical Trial

J Clin Psychiatry. 2024 Nov 10;85(4):24m15464. doi: 10.4088/JCP.24m15464.

ABSTRACT

Objective: Cumulative data indicate that new protocols of hyperbaric oxygen therapy (HBOT) may induce neuroplasticity and improve clinical symptoms of patients suffering from posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD). The aim of the current study was to evaluate the effects of HBOT on veterans with combat-associated PTSD (CA-PTSD) in a randomized, sham-controlled trial.

Methods: Male veterans aged 25-60 years with CA-PTSD, with a Clinician-Administered PTSD Scale for DSM-5 (CAPS-5) score above 20, were included. Exclusion criteria included a history of traumatic brain injury, other psychiatric diseases, or contraindication to HBOT. Participants were randomly assigned to HBOT or sham intervention. Both interventions involved 60 daily sessions, with 90 minutes of either 100% oxygen at 2 atmospheres absolute (ATA) (HBOT) or 21% oxygen at 1.02 ATA (sham) with 5-minute air breaks every 20 minutes. CAPS-5 score, Beck Depression Inventory-II (BDI-II), the Depression, Anxiety and Stress Scale 21 Items (DASS-21), and resting-state functional magnetic resonance imaging (rsfMRI) were assessed at baseline and posttreatment, with the primary end point defined as a 30% reduction in CAPS-5 score from baseline.

Results: The study was conducted between February 2020 and July 2023. Of 63 veterans who underwent randomization, 56 completed the study protocol (28 in each group). The HBOT group showed a significant decrease in mean CAPS-5 total score, from 42.57 ±9.29 at baseline to 25.8±9.5 following HBOT (P< .001) and 25.08± 13.08 at follow-up (P< .001). The sham group demonstrated a significant increase in CAPS-5 total score from baseline to follow-up, from 45.11 ±8.99 to 47.75± 11.27 following HBOT (P= .069) and 49.22± 10.26 at follow-up (P= .011). Significant improvements in the depression domain of the DASS-21 questionnaire and BDI-II were demonstrated (F=4.55, P= .03 and F=4.2, P= .04, respectively). The stress and anxiety domains of DASS-21 did not reach statistically significant levels. Analysis of rsfMRI demonstrated improved connectivity within the 3 main networks (default-mode network, central-executive network, salience network) in HBOT vs sham groups.

Conclusions: Dedicated HBOT protocol can improve PTSD symptoms of veterans with CA-PTSD. The clinical improvement was accompanied by enhanced functional connectivity demonstrated by rsMRI.

Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT04518007.

PMID:39566051 | DOI:10.4088/JCP.24m15464

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COVID-19 knowledge, attitudes, and behaviors of STEM vs. non-STEM college students in Central Appalachia in 2021, a student-led project

J Am Coll Health. 2024 Nov 20:1-5. doi: 10.1080/07448481.2024.2418519. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Background: The COVID-19 pandemic has provided the general public with an understanding of scientific processes and health systems surrounding vaccination in real-time. This report assesses responses of college students in a regional university to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s (CDC) Knowledge, Attitudes, and Behaviors (KAB) survey in the spring of 2021. Methods: Participants were categorized based on study major: Science, Technology, Engineering and Math (STEM), non-STEM, or health science disciplines. Chi-square tests were used to compare vaccination beliefs between groups. Results: 632 respondents were included in the final analysis. STEM students were the least likely to agree that vaccinated individuals should not need masks (21%) compared to non-STEM (42%) and health science majors (37%). 51%, 45%, and 35% of STEM, non-STEM, and health science students were vaccinated respectively. No statistically significant differences were noted between groups. Conclusions: Vaccine hesitancy was similar in all students. Area of study did not impact vaccine behaviors.

PMID:39566045 | DOI:10.1080/07448481.2024.2418519