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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Risk Score for Hepatocellular Cancer in Adults Without Viral Hepatitis or Cirrhosis

JAMA Netw Open. 2024 Nov 4;7(11):e2443608. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2024.43608.

ABSTRACT

IMPORTANCE: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is typically detected only at advanced stages when treatment options are limited. Most of the current HCC risk models focus on patients with viral hepatitis or diagnosed cirrhosis or require variables not routinely available in clinical care.

OBJECTIVE: To identify modifiable HCC risk factors in the general population and to develop a risk score to inform HCC screening and risk-factor modification interventions for high-risk individuals without viral hepatitis or decompensated cirrhosis.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This cohort study analyzed demographic, clinical, laboratory, and diagnostic data from the US Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) electronic health records. Data were divided into development and validation samples. Veterans aged 30 to 95 years were included, and those with hepatitis B or C virus infection, hepatic decompensation, or prevalent HCC were excluded. Patients were followed up until the occurrence of HCC diagnosis, death, or December 31, 2021. A Cox proportional hazards regression model for 10-year risk of HCC was developed and used to create an HCC risk score, and performance in development and validation samples and in patient subgroups was evaluated. One outpatient visit date per person at least 18 months after VA entry, between October 1, 2007, and March 31, 2020, was randomly selected and used as the index date for the start of follow-up. Analyses were performed from March 2023 to May 2024.

EXPOSURES: Age, sex, race and ethnicity, body mass index, liver fibrosis (detected with Fibrosis-4 Index [FIB-4]), diabetes status, smoking status, and alcohol use.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: First HCC diagnosis during follow-up. This information was ascertained from VA national cancer registry topography and histology codes and from International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision and International Statistical Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, Clinical Modification diagnosis codes for the inpatient or outpatient visits.

RESULTS: This study of 6 509 288 veterans included 6 048 917 males (92.9%), with a median (IQR) age of 65 (54-74) years, who identified as being of Hispanic (5.3%), non-Hispanic Black (15.0%), non-Hispanic White (68.9%), or other (4.6%) race and ethnicity. Overall, 15 142 patients (0.2%) developed HCC, 69.5% of whom had FIB-4 of 3.25 or lower at baseline. While FIB-4 was the most important variable, age, sex, race and ethnicity, body mass index, diabetes, smoking, and alcohol use were also informative. Discrimination in the development sample was better than FIB-4 alone (C statistic, 0.83 [95% CI, 0.82-0.85] vs 0.79 [95% CI, 0.77-0.80]). The HCC risk score performed consistently well in the validation sample and in all subgroups. A FIB-4 threshold of 3.25 would screen 5.0% of the cohort at a cost of 28 false-positives for every true-positive; a model risk score of 58 would screen 4.7% of the cohort at a cost of 23 false-positives for every true-positive.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Results of this study suggest that a multivariable risk score that uses routinely available clinical data outperforms FIB-4 alone in identifying patients at risk of HCC who do not have viral hepatitis or hepatic decompensation at baseline.

PMID:39504020 | DOI:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2024.43608

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Diagnostic Accuracy of Automated Diabetic Retinopathy Image Assessment Software: IDx-DR and RetCAD

Ophthalmol Ther. 2024 Nov 6. doi: 10.1007/s40123-024-01049-z. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Automated diabetic retinopathy (DR) screening using artificial intelligence has the potential to improve access to eye care by enabling large-scale screening. However, little is known about differences in real-world performance between available algorithms. This study compares the diagnostic accuracy of two AI screening platforms, IDx-DR and RetCAD, for detecting referable diabetic retinopathy (RDR).

METHODS: Retinal images from 758 patients with diabetes were collected during screening from various clinics in Poland. Each patient was graded by three graders with 320 patients graded by Polish and 438 patients graded by Indian graders, with the majority decision serving as the reference standard. The images were evaluated independently by the IDx-DR and RetCAD algorithms. Sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values, and agreement between algorithms and human graders were calculated and statistically compared.

RESULTS: IDx-DR demonstrated higher sensitivity of 99.3% but lower specificity of 68.9% for RDR detection compared to RetCAD which had 89.4% sensitivity and 94.8% specificity. The positive predictive value was higher for RetCAD (96.4% vs 48.1% for IDx-DR) while the negative predictive value was higher for IDx-DR (99.5% vs 83.1% for RetCAD). Both algorithms achieved high sensitivity (> 95%) for sight-threatening diabetic retinopathy detection.

CONCLUSION: In this direct comparison using the same patient cohort, the two algorithms showed differences in their operating parameters for RDR screening. IDx-DR prioritized avoiding false negatives over false positives while RetCAD maintained a more balanced trade-off. These results highlight the variable performance of current artificial intelligence screening solutions and suggest the importance of considering algorithm performance metrics when deploying automated diabetic retinopathy screening programs, based on available healthcare resources.

PMID:39503992 | DOI:10.1007/s40123-024-01049-z

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Advanced platelet-rich fibrin versus connective tissue graft in maxillary gingival recession management

Clin Adv Periodontics. 2024 Nov 6. doi: 10.1002/cap.10317. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Platelet concentrates have gained significant attention in periodontology due to their regenerative properties. This randomized clinical trial was aimed to compare the clinical efficacy of advanced platelet-rich fibrin (A-PRF) and connective tissue graft (CTG) in the management of recession defects. The objectives were to compare changes in recession height and root coverage percentage between the groups.

METHODS: Systemically healthy individuals presenting Cairo’s RT1/RT2 gingival recession defects in the maxilla (n = 40) were treated with either A-PRF or CTG in combination with coronally advanced flap (CAF). Clinical parameters were measured at baseline, 3 months, and 6 months. Mean and complete root coverage percentages were calculated at 3 and 6 months.

RESULTS: In both the test (CAF + A-PRF) and control (CAF + CTG) groups, a statistically significant reduction in mean recession height was seen from baseline values of 2.90 ± 0.55 mm and 3.15 ± 0.87 mm to 0.80 ± 0.95 mm and 0.15 ± 0.48 mm at 6 months, respectively (p < 0.001). In the test group, 10 sites had complete root coverage at 6 months with mean root coverage of 73.76 ± 29.58%. In the control group, 18 of 20 sites had complete root coverage with mean root coverage of 93.35 ± 23.1%. The control sites had a significantly greater reduction in recession height and higher mean and complete root coverage percentages at 6 months (p < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS: The study findings suggest that, the CTG had resulted in superior outcomes than A-PRF along with CAF.

KEY POINTS: Question: To compare the efficacy of advanced platelet-rich fibrin (A-PRF) with connective tissue graft (CTG) in the management of gingival recession defects.

FINDING: Both interventions showed satisfactory healing. At 6 months, the CTG group demonstrated superior results than the A-PRF group. Meaning: CTG has a greater therapeutic potential than A-PRF in the management of gingival recessions.

PLAIN LANGUAGE SUMMARY: Platelet-derived membranes are widely used in various dental therapies due to their healing properties. Limited studies have been conducted using the novel platelet preparations in the management of receding gums. This study compared the effects of advanced platelet-rich fibrin membrane with conventional soft tissue harvested from the palate in the treatment of gum recession. Twenty-three patients requiring gum augmentation were recruited and treated with either platelet-derived membrane (test group) or tissue harvested from their palate (control group). Clinical parameters were measured at baseline (before intervention), 3 months, and 6 months. Both treatment modalities resulted in significant gum coverage at the end of 6 months. On comparison, the control sites had significantly greater improvements in all the measured clinical parameters indicating that tissue obtained from the palate had superior therapeutic potential.

PMID:39503977 | DOI:10.1002/cap.10317

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Gender, race, and economic factors influencing screening practices in hidradenitis suppurativa: a cross-sectional analysis

Arch Dermatol Res. 2024 Nov 6;316(10):746. doi: 10.1007/s00403-024-03494-z.

ABSTRACT

Hidradenitis suppurativa (HS) is a chronic inflammatory skin condition that significantly impacts patients’ quality of life. Despite its substantial burden, HS remains underdiagnosed and undertreated, particularly among marginalized populations. This study aimed to elucidate the primary social determinants of health (SDOH) and structural determinants of health (StDOH) influencing rates and patterns of screening for patients diagnosed with HS. Using data from the All of Us Research Program database, participants with HS were identified using ICD-10 codes and stratified based on various sociodemographic factors, including race, gender, and income. The primary outcome variables were participation in viral screening and disease screening among HS patients. Statistical analyses were performed to assess the relationship between sociodemographic factors and screening practices. Income and gender had significant impacts on screening practices. Higher-income patients were more likely to receive necessary disease screening and less likely to receive unnecessary disease screening compared to lower-income patients. Non-male patients had significantly higher rates of unnecessary disease and viral screening than male patients. While differences in screening practices within each income level were significant, there were no significant differences across different income brackets or racial groups. These findings suggest that subjectivity associated with individual physicians’ recommendations may contribute to disparities in screening outcomes, especially in lower-income and non-male HS patients. The study highlights the need for more clearly delineated screening guidelines and continued research on the role of SDOH in improving patient health outcomes.

PMID:39503954 | DOI:10.1007/s00403-024-03494-z

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Short-term efficacy of unilateral biportal endoscopy technology in the treatment of cervical spondylotic radiculopathy

Eur Spine J. 2024 Nov 6. doi: 10.1007/s00586-024-08545-7. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To compare the clinical efficacy of unilateral biportal endoscopy technology (UBE) with anterior cervical discectomy and fusion(ACDF)for the treatment of single-segment cervical spondylotic radiculopathy (CSR).

METHODS: Retrospective analysis of 60 patients with CSR, of which 30 were treated with ACDF (group A) and 30 were treated with UBE (group B). Cision length, operation time, intraoperative blood loss, hospitalization duration, postoperative complications preoperative and postoperative VAS, NDI scores, height and stability of the liability gap were compared between the two groups.

RESULTS: Compared with the A group, the incision length, duration and intraoperative blood loss were significantly less in the B group (P < 0.05), and the difference was statistically significant. As the postoperative time increased, the VAS score and NDI score decreased significantly in both groups (P < 0.05or < 0.01). However, the differences in VAS and NDI scores between the two groups at the corresponding time points were not statistically significant, and only the VAS score at 1 day postoperatively showed a more pronounced decrease in the B group, which was statistically significant compared with that in the A group. The difference in intervertebral space height and stability of the postoperative liability gap between the two groups at the final follow-up was not statistically significant when compared with the preoperative period. The incidence of postoperative complications in the two groups was smaller in the B group than in the A group, and the difference was not statistically significant.

CONCLUSIONS: UBE can effectively treat patients with single-segment CRS and promote rapid recovery.

PMID:39503953 | DOI:10.1007/s00586-024-08545-7

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Identification of meaningful individual-level change thresholds for worsening on the patient-reported outcomes version of the common terminology criteria for adverse events (PRO-CTCAE®)

Qual Life Res. 2024 Nov 6. doi: 10.1007/s11136-024-03819-5. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: We derived meaningful individual-level change thresholds for worsening in selected patient-reported outcomes version of the common terminology criteria for adverse events (PRO-CTCAE®) items and their composite scores.

METHODS: We used two data sources, the PRO-TECT trial (Alliance AFT-39) that collected PRO-CTCAE data from adults with advanced cancer at 26 United States (U.S.) community oncology practices and the PRO-CTCAE validation study that collected PRO-CTCAE data from adults undergoing chemotherapy or radiation therapy at nine U.S. cancer centers or community oncology practices. Both studies administered selected PRO-CTCAE items and EORTC QLQ-C30 scales. Conceptually, relevant QLQ-C30 domains were used as anchors to estimate meaningful change thresholds for deterioration in corresponding PRO-CTCAE items and their composite scores. Items or composites with ǀρǀ ≥ 0.30 correlation with QLQ-C30 scales were included. Changes in PRO-CTCAE scores and composites were estimated for patients who met or exceeded a 10-point deterioration on the corresponding QLQ-C30 scale. Change scores were computed between baseline and the 3-month timepoint in PRO-TECT, and in the PRO-CTCAE validation study between baseline and a single follow-up visit that occurred between 1 and 7 weeks later. For each PRO-CTCAE item, change scores could range from – 4 to 4; for a composite, change scores could range from – 3 to 3.

RESULTS: Change scores in QLQ-C30 and PRO-CTCAE were available in 406 and 792 patients in PRO-TECT and the validation study, respectively. Across QLQ-C30 scales, the proportion of patients with a 10-point or greater worsening on QLQ-C30 ranged from 15 to 30% in the PRO-TECT data and 13% to 34% in the validation data. Across PRO-CTCAE items, anchor-based meaningful change estimates for deterioration ranged from 0.05 to 0.30 (mean 0.19) in the PRO-TECT data and from 0.19 to 0.53 (mean 0.36) in the validation data. For composites, they ranged from 0.06 to 0.27 (mean 0.17) in the PRO-TECT data and 0.22 to 0.51 (mean 0.37) in the validation data.

CONCLUSION: In both datasets, the minimal meaningful individual-level change threshold for worsening was one point for all items and composite scores.

CLINICALTRIALS: gov: NCT03249090 (AFT-39), NCT02158637 (MC1091).

PMID:39503942 | DOI:10.1007/s11136-024-03819-5

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Association between long-term PM2.5 exposure and mortality on Sumatra Island: Indonesian Family Life Survey (IFLS) 2000-2014

Environ Monit Assess. 2024 Nov 6;196(12):1173. doi: 10.1007/s10661-024-13323-5.

ABSTRACT

The concentration of PM2.5 (particulate matter with a diameter < 2.5 µm) on Sumatra Island has increased, mainly because of forest and peatland fires, transportation, and industry. Biomass burning releases partially burned carbon into the atmosphere, resulting in a smoky haze containing PM2.5. Air quality has deteriorated quickly, and PM2.5 has become a major health hazard in Indonesia. Studies on long-term exposure to PM2.5 have indicated its associations with both morbidity and mortality. Here, we measured long-term (2000-2014) exposure to PM2.5 on the basis of satellite-derived aerosol optical depth measurements (1 × 1 km2) used to predict ground-level PM2.5 concentrations. Additionally, population data on Sumatra Island residents from the fourth wave of the Indonesian Family Life Survey (IFLS) were obtained. We investigated the association between long-term PM2.5 exposure and mortality with a retrospective cohort study design. A total of 2409 subjects aged ≥ 40 years participated in the IFLS-3 beginning in November 2000, and we examined mortality outcomes until the IFLS-5 in September 2014. We used Cox regression models to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) of mortality associated with PM2.5 exposure. According to the adjusted model, the mortality HRs per 10 µg/m3 increase in PM2.5 concentration were 1.10 (95% CI 1.03, 1.17) for all natural causes, 1.17 (95% CI 1.05, 1.25) for cardiovascular causes, and 1.19 (95% CI 1.04, 1.36) for respiratory causes. Long-term exposure to PM2.5 was associated with all-natural, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality on Sumatra Island, where PM2.5 levels exceed the WHO and US-EPA air quality standards.

PMID:39503939 | DOI:10.1007/s10661-024-13323-5

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Enhanced adaptive permutation test with negative binomial distribution in genome-wide omics datasets

Genes Genomics. 2024 Nov 6. doi: 10.1007/s13258-024-01584-w. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The permutation test has been widely used to provide the p-values of statistical tests when the standard test statistics do not follow parametric null distributions. However, the permutation test may require huge numbers of iterations, especially when the detection of very small p-values is required for multiple testing adjustments in the analysis of datasets with a large number of features.

OBJECTIVE: To overcome this computational burden, we suggest a novel enhanced adaptive permutation test that estimates p-values using the negative binomial (NB) distribution. By the method, the number of permutations are differently determined for individual features according to their potential significance.

METHODS: In detail, the permutation procedure stops, when test statistics from the permuted dataset exceed the observed statistics from the original dataset by a predefined number of times. We showed that this procedure reduced the number of permutations especially when there were many insignificant features. For significant features, we enhanced the reduction with Stouffer’s method after splitting datasets.

RESULTS: From the simulation study, we found that the enhanced adaptive permutation test dramatically reduced the number of permutations while keeping the precision of the permutation p-value within a small range, when compared to the ordinary permutation test. In real data analysis, we applied the enhanced adaptive permutation test to a genome-wide single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) dataset of 327,872 features.

CONCLUSION: We found the analysis with the enhanced adaptive permutation took a feasible time for genome-wide omics datasets, and successfully identified features of highly significant p-values with reasonable confidence intervals.

PMID:39503929 | DOI:10.1007/s13258-024-01584-w

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Multidimensional Healthcare Access Barriers to Prostate-Specific Antigen Testing: A Nation-Wide Panel Study in the United States From 2006 to 2020

Cancer Med. 2024 Nov;13(21):e70358. doi: 10.1002/cam4.70358.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Rising metastatic prostate cancer incidence has renewed debate regarding benefits of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) screening. Identifying barriers to accessing screening for individuals at high risk of lethal prostate cancer may slow this rise. We examined associations of access barriers with receipt of PSA testing, stratified by sociodemographic factors.

METHODS: We pooled data from male respondents to Behavior Risk Factor Surveillance Systems (BRFSS) surveys from 2006 to 2020. Questions related to affordability (insurance, cost of visits) and accommodation (regular primary care provider (PCP), physician recommending a PSA test) were considered as individual-level barriers. For availability, we linked provider density from the 2012 Area Health Resource File and estimated driving times to closest health facility within Micropolitan and Metropolitan Statistical Area (MMSA) using Google Earth Engine. These measures were used to compute a spatial accessibility index. We fit survey-weighted, covariate-adjusted logistic regression models to estimate associations of barriers with receipt of PSA within the past 2 years and examined effect modification by sociodemographic factors.

RESULTS: There were 185,643 participants, of whom 73% were White, 11% were Black, 4% were Asian, and 11% were Hispanic. Physician recommendation was the strongest predictor of having a PSA test (aOR: 14.5, 95% CI: 13.6, 15.6). Not having a regular PCP (aOR: 0.29, 95% CI: 0.27, 0.31), insurance (aOR: 0.64, 95% CI: 0.58, 0.71), and prohibitive cost of care (aOR: 0.82, 95% CI: 0.75, 0.90) were associated with lower PSA testing. Access barriers were stronger predictors of PSA testing for Asian and White participants compared to other groups (Phet < 0.004 for insurance and regular PCP) and for those with college education compared to those without (Phet < 0.05 for insurance, perceived unaffordability).

DISCUSSION: Physician recommendation was the strongest predictor of receipt of PSA testing, regardless of sociodemographic grouping. Future studies should consider access barriers jointly and across sociodemographic strata.

PMID:39503193 | DOI:10.1002/cam4.70358

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The effect of the endothelin receptor antagonist atrasentan on insulin resistance in phenotypic clusters of patients with type 2 diabetes and chronic kidney disease

Diabetes Obes Metab. 2024 Nov 6. doi: 10.1111/dom.16041. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

AIMS: Type 2 diabetes (T2D) patients with a clinical phenotype characterized by a high degree of insulin resistance are at increased risk of chronic kidney disease (CKD). We previously demonstrated that the endothelin receptor antagonist (ERA) atrasentan reduced insulin resistance in T2D. In this study, we compared the effect of atrasentan on insulin resistance across different phenotypic clusters of patients with T2D.

MATERIALS AND METHODS: We performed a post hoc analysis of the SONAR trial, a randomized, placebo-controlled trial of the ERA atrasentan in patients with T2D and CKD. Patients were stratified into four previously identified phenotypic clusters: severe insulin-deficient diabetes (SIDD), severe insulin-resistant diabetes (SIRD), mild obesity-related diabetes (MOD) and mild age-related diabetes (MARD). Changes in insulin resistance, assessed by HOMA-IR, were compared between the phenotypic clusters using a mixed effects model.

RESULTS: In total, 931 patients were included in the analysis. In the overall population, atrasentan compared to placebo reduced HOMA-IR by 12.9% [95%CI 3.5,21.4]. This effect of atrasentan was more pronounced in clusters characterized by insulin resistance or deficiency: (SIRD cluster 26.2% [95% CI 3.8,43.3] and SIDD cluster 18.5% [95%CI -3.8,35.9]), although the latter did not reach statistical significance. The effect of atrasentan compared to placebo was less pronounced in the other two clusters (MARD 12.2% [95% CI -1.7,24.12] and MOD -5.3% [95% CI -28.9,13.9]).

CONCLUSIONS: Atrasentan significantly improved insulin sensitivity in patients with T2D and CKD, especially in those characterized by high insulin resistance (SIRD cluster). Further studies are warranted to investigate the long-term clinical outcomes of atrasentan treatment in these distinct phenotypic clusters.

PMID:39503150 | DOI:10.1111/dom.16041