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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Protocol for a discrete choice experiment: understanding preferences for seeking health services for survivors of sexual violence in Uganda

BMJ Open. 2024 Aug 6;14(8):e081663. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2023-081663.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Sexual violence is a significant public health concern with severe physical, social and psychological consequences, which can be mitigated by health service utilisation. However, in Uganda and much of sub-Saharan Africa, these services are significantly underused, with 9 out of 10 survivors not seeking care due to a range of psychological, cultural, economic and logistical factors. Thus, there is a strong need for research to improve health service utilisation for survivors of sexual violence.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS: The proposed study seeks to address the underutilization of health services for female survivors of sexual violence using a discrete choice experiment (DCE). The study will be conducted in the greater Masaka region of southwestern Uganda and target adult female survivors of sexual violence. We will first undertake qualitative interviews with 56 survivors of sexual violence to identify the key attributes and levels of the DCE. In order to ensure a sufficiently powered sample, 312 women who meet inclusion criteria will be interviewed. Our primary analysis will employ a mixed (random parameters) logit model. We will also model the role of individual-specific characteristics through latent class models.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: The study protocol was reviewed and approved by the following ethics review boards in Uganda and the USA: the Uganda Virus Research Institute (UVRI), the Uganda National Council for Science and Technology (HS2364ES), Washington University in St Louis and the University of Michigan. Our methods conform to established guidelines for the protection of human subjects involved in research. Our dissemination plan targets a broad audience, ranging from policymakers and government agencies to healthcare providers, academic communities and survivors themselves.

PMID:39107025 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2023-081663

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Prevalence, determinants and care-seeking behaviour for anxiety and depression in Nepalese population: a secondary analysis of data from Nepal Demographic and Health Survey 2022

BMJ Open. 2024 Aug 6;14(8):e078582. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2023-078582.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To determine the prevalence and factors associated with anxiety and depression and the care-seeking behaviour among Nepalese population.

DESIGN AND SETTINGS: Secondary analysis of the data from nationally representative Nepal Demographic and Health Survey 2022.

PARTICIPANTS: Analysed data of 12 355 participants (7442 females and 4913 males) aged 15-49 years.

OUTCOME MEASURES: Depression and anxiety were assessed using Patient Health Questionnaire-9 (PHQ-9) and Generalised Anxiety Disorder Assessment (GAD-7) tools, respectively.

STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: We performed weighted analysis to account for the complex survey design. We presented categorical variables as frequency, per cent and 95% confidence interval (CI), whereas numerical variables were presented as median, inter-quartile range (IQR) and 95% CI. We performed univariate and multivariable logistic regression to determine factors associated with anxiety and depression, and results were presented as crude OR (COR), adjusted OR (AOR) and their 95% CI.

RESULTS: The prevalence of depression and anxiety were 4.0% (95% CI 3.5 to 4.5) and 17.7% (95% CI 16.5 to 18.9), respectively. Divorced or separated participants were found to have higher odds of developing anxiety (AOR 2.40, 95% CI 1.74 to 3.31) and depression (AOR 3.16, 95% CI 1.84 to 5.42). Among ethnic groups, Janajati had lower odds of developing anxiety (AOR 0.77, 95% CI 0.65 to 0.92) and depression (AOR 0.67, 95% CI 0.49 to 0.93) compared with Brahmin/Chhetri. Regarding disability, participants with some difficulty had higher odds of developing anxiety (AOR 1.81, 95% CI 1.56 to 2.10) and depression (AOR 1.94, 95% CI 1.51 to 2.49), and those with a lot of difficulty had higher odds of anxiety (AOR 2.09, 95% CI 1.48 to 2.96) and depression (AOR 2.04, 95% CI 1.06 to 3.90) compared with those without any disability. Among those who had symptoms of anxiety or depression, only 32.9% (95% CI 30.4 to 34.4) sought help for the conditions.

CONCLUSIONS: Marital status and disability status were positively associated with anxiety and depression, whereas Janajati ethnicity had relatively lower odds of experiencing anxiety and depression. It is essential to develop interventions and policies targeting females and divorced individuals to help reduce the burden of anxiety and depression in Nepal.

PMID:39107021 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2023-078582

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Survival status and predictors of mortality among severely acute malnourished under-5 children admitted to stabilisation centers in selected government hospitals in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, 2022: a retrospective cohort study

BMJ Open. 2024 Aug 6;14(8):e083855. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2023-083855.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: This study aims to assess the survival status and predictors of mortality among under-5 children with severe acute malnutrition in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

DESIGN: A retrospective cohort study was employed on randomly selected 422 medical records of children under the age of 5 admitted to stabilisation centres in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia. Survival analysis and Cox regression analysis were conducted to determine time spent before the outcome and predictors of desired outcome.

SETTINGS: The stabilisation centres in four governmental hospitals in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia: Tikur Anbessa Specialised Hospital, Zewditu Memorial Hospital, Yekatit 12 Hospital and Tirunesh Beijing Hospital PARTICIPANTS: Of 435 severely malnourished children under the age of 5 admitted to four governmental hospitals in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, from January 2020 to December 2022, we were able to trace 422 complete records. The remaining 13 medical records were found to be incomplete due to missing medical history information for those children.

PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary outcome is the survival status of under-5 children with severe acute malnutrition after admission to the stabilisation centres. The secondary outcome is predictors of survival among these children.

RESULTS: Of 422 children, 44 (10.4%) died, with an incidence rate of 10.3 per 1000 person-days. The median hospital stay was 8 days. Full vaccination (adjusted HR (AHR) 0.2, 95% CI 0.088 to 0.583, p<0.05), feeding practices (F-75) (AHR 0.2, 95% CI 0.062 to 0.651, p<0.01), intravenous fluid administration (AHR 3.7, 95% CI 1.525 to 8.743, p<0.01), presence of HIV (AHR 2.2, 95% CI 1.001 to 4.650, p<0.05), pneumonia (AHR 2.2, 95% CI 1.001 to 4.650, p<0.01) and occurrence of shock (AHR3.5, 95% CI 1.451 to 8.321, p<0.01) were identified as significant predictors of mortality.

CONCLUSION: The study identified a survival rate slightly higher than the acceptable range set by the social and public health economics study group. Factors like vaccination status, HIV, pneumonia, shock, intravenous fluid and the absence of feeding F-75 predicted mortality.

PMID:39107018 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2023-083855

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Association of fear of falling with performance-based physical function and low back pain in older adults: a cross-sectional study in Iran

BMJ Open. 2024 Aug 5;14(8):e086970. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2024-086970.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: This study investigated the association of fear of falling with performance-based physical function and low back pain (LBP) among older adults.

DESIGN: Cross-sectional study.

SETTING: Participants were selected via convenient sampling from Iran University orthopaedic and/or physiotherapy outpatient clinics, between March 2022 and April 2023.

PARTICIPANTS: 140 subjects with and without LBP, aged over 60 years, were included.

OUTCOME MEASURES: The Falls Efficacy Scale International was used to measure fear of falling. A baseline questionnaire inquired about LBP. Participants performed the Timed Up and Go, 30 s Sit-To-Stand (30s-STS), single leg stance with open and closed eyes and gait speed tests to assess performance-based physical function. Demographic variables including age, gender and body mass index were considered as potential covariates. Bivariate and multivariable linear regression analyses were used to investigate the associations.

RESULTS: A significant association between fear of falling and the 30s-STS test score (β=-0.30, 95% CI -1.27 to -0.28; p=0.00) and the sex (β=0.31, 95% CI 1.53 to 4.83; p=0.00) was confirmed in multivariable analyses. LBP and other performance-based physical function tests were not associated with a fear of falling.

CONCLUSION: Fear of falling was significantly associated with lower extremity muscle function, measured by the 30s-STS test and female gender. Older adults with a fear of falling could benefit from interventions that improve lower extremity muscle function. Also, the observed association between the fear of falling and the female sex confirms the need for effective interventions to reduce the fear of falling among older women.

PMID:39107012 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2024-086970

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

COVID-19 related disruption and resilience in immunisation activities in LMICs: a rapid review

BMJ Open. 2024 Aug 6;14(8):e076607. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2023-076607.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: We conducted a rapid review to determine the extent that immunisation services in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs) were disrupted by the COVID-19 pandemic and synthesised the factors that can be used to build resilience in future.

DESIGN: Rapid review reported in accordance with the Preferred reporting for Systematic reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines.

DATA SOURCES: PubMed and Web of Science were searched through 6 October 2023.

ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA FOR SELECTING STUDIES: We included studies that focused on disruption to immunisation activities due to the COVID-19 pandemic in LMICs. Outcomes included routine vaccine coverage, supplementary immunisation activities, vaccine doses, timing of vaccination, supply chain changes, and factors contributing to disruption or resilience.

DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS: Two independent reviewers used standardised methods to search, screen and code studies. Quality assessment was performed using a modified version of the Critical Appraisal Skills Programme for qualitative research. Findings were summarised qualitatively.

RESULTS: Of 4978 identified studies, 85 met the eligibility criteria. Included studies showed declines in immunisation activities across LMICs related to the COVID-19 pandemic. These included reductions in achieved routine coverage, cancellation or postponement of campaigns and underimmunised cohorts. Immunisation was most disrupted in the early months of the pandemic; however, recovery varied by country, age-group and vaccine. Though many countries observed partial recovery in 2020, disruption in many countries continued into 2021. It has also been noted that clinician staff shortages and vaccine stock-outs caused by supply chain disruptions contributed to immunisation delays, but that concern over COVID-19 transmission was a leading factor. Key resiliency factors included community outreach and healthcare worker support.

CONCLUSIONS: There is limited information on whether reductions in vaccination coverage or delays have persisted beyond 2021. Further research is needed to assess ongoing disruptions and identify missed vaccine cohorts.

PMID:39107008 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2023-076607

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Parental stress, depression, anxiety and participation to care in neonatal intensive care units: results of a prospective study in Italy, Brazil and Tanzania

BMJ Paediatr Open. 2024 Aug 5;8(Suppl 2):e002539. doi: 10.1136/bmjpo-2024-002539.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Studies comparing the frequency of different mental health conditions across different settings and evaluating their association with parental participation in newborn care are lacking. We aimed at evaluating the frequency of parental stress, anxiety and depression, along with the level of participation in newborn care, among parents of newborns in Italy, Brazil and Tanzania.

METHODS: Parental stress, anxiety, depression and participation in care were assessed prospectively in parents of newborns in eight neonatal intensive care units (NICUs) utilising: the Parental Stressor Scale in NICU (PSS:NICU); the Edinburgh Postnatal Depression Scale (EPDS) and EPDS-Anxiety subscale (EPDS-A); the Index of Parental Participation in NICU (IPP-NICU). Univariate and multivariate analyses were conducted.

RESULTS: Study outcomes were assessed on 742 parents (Brazil=327, Italy=191, Tanzania=224). Observed scores suggested a very high frequency of stress, anxiety and depression, with an overall estimated frequency of any of the mental health condition of 65.1%, 52.9% and 58.0% in Brazil, Italy, Tanzania, respectively (p<0.001). EPDS scores indicating depression (cut-off: ≥13 for Brazil and Tanzania, ≥12 for Italy) were significantly more frequent in Tanzania (52.3%) when compared with either Brazil (35.8%) and Italy (33.3%) (p<0.001). Parental participation in care was also significantly higher in Tanzania (median IPP-NICU=24) than in the other two countries (median=21 for Brazil, 18 for Italy, p<0.001). Severe stress (PSS:NICU ≥4) was significantly more frequently reported in Brazil (22.6%), compared with Italy (4.7%) and Tanzania (0%, p<0.001). Factors independently associated with either parental stress, anxiety or depression varied by country, and a significant association with parental participation in care was lacking.

CONCLUSIONS: Study findings suggest that parental stress, anxiety and depression are extremely frequent in NICUs in all countries despite diversity in the setting, and requiring immediate action. Further studies should explore the appropriate level of parental participation in care in different settings.

PMID:39106992 | DOI:10.1136/bmjpo-2024-002539

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Trends in colorectal cancer surgical resection rates during the screening era: a retrospective study in Italy

BMJ Open Gastroenterol. 2024 Aug 5;11(1):e001434. doi: 10.1136/bmjgast-2024-001434.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Faecal immunochemical test (FIT)-based screening is effective in reducing colorectal cancer (CRC) incidence, but its sensitivity for proximal lesions remains low.

OBJECTIVES: We compared age-adjusted CRC surgical resection rates across anatomic sites (proximal colon, distal colon, rectum), age groups and sex over 20 years in a large Italian population. We particularly focused on changes in trends following FIT-screening implementation in the target population (50-69 years).

DESIGN: This retrospective study analysed data from the Veneto Region’s administrative Hospital Discharge Dataset, involving over 54 000 patients aged 40-89 (43.4% female) who underwent CRC surgery between 2002 and 2021.

RESULTS: Overall, surgery rates increased until 2007 (annual percentage changes: 2.5% in males, 2.9% in females) and then declined (-4.2% in males, -3.4% in females). This decline was steeper for distal and rectal cancers compared with proximal cancer, suggesting a shift towards more right-sided CRC surgery.In males, the prescreening increase in proximal surgery was reversed after screening implementation (slope change: -6%) while the prescreening decline accelerated for distal (-4%) and rectal (-3%) surgeries. In females, stable prescreening trends shifted downward for all sites (-5% for proximal, -8% for distal and -7% for rectal surgery). However, the change in trends between prescreening and postscreening periods was not different across anatomic sites for either sex (all slope change differences in pairwise comparisons were not statistically significant).

CONCLUSION: The shift towards proximal surgery may not be entirely due to the FIT’s low sensitivity but may reflect an underlying upward trend in proximal cancers independent of screening.

PMID:39106985 | DOI:10.1136/bmjgast-2024-001434

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Impact of COVID-19 on vaccine confidence and uptake: A systematic literature review

Hum Vaccin Immunother. 2024 Dec 31;20(1):2384180. doi: 10.1080/21645515.2024.2384180. Epub 2024 Aug 6.

ABSTRACT

During the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, scheduled vaccinations were postponed, mass vaccination programmes were suspended and opportunities for healthcare workers to administer vaccines ad hoc decreased. The aims of this systematic literature review were to determine the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on vaccine confidence, intent and uptake in preexisting routine childhood or adult vaccination programmes, and to identify factors associated with changes in acceptance, intent and uptake of preexisting vaccines. Medline and Embase were searched for studies in Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, Japan, the USA, and European countries, published between 1 January 2021 and 4 August 2022. A complementary gray literature search was conducted between 11 and 13 October 2022, and supplemented with additional gray research in October 2023. In total, 54 citations were included in the review. Study design and geography were heterogeneous. The number of adults who received or intended to receive an influenza or pneumococcal vaccine was higher during the pandemic than in previous seasons (n = 28 studies). In addition, increased acceptance of adult vaccinations was observed during 2020-21 compared with 2019-20 (n = 12 studies). The rates of childhood vaccinations decreased during the COVID-19 pandemic across several countries (n = 11 studies). Factors associated with changes in intention to receive a vaccination, or uptake of influenza vaccine, included previous vaccination, older age, higher perceived risk of contracting COVID-19, anxiety regarding the pandemic and fear of contracting COVID-19. Acceptance and uptake of influenza and pneumococcal vaccines generally increased after onset of the COVID-19 pandemic.

PMID:39106971 | DOI:10.1080/21645515.2024.2384180

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Impact of 5 waves of COVID-19 on pediatric ophthalmology

Can J Ophthalmol. 2024 Aug 3:S0008-4182(24)00187-X. doi: 10.1016/j.jcjo.2024.06.018. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To characterize the impact of multiple waves of COVID-19 on pediatric ophthalmology at a tertiary care hospital.

METHODS: Medical records were reviewed from pediatric patients seen for ophthalmic emergencies at the Montreal Children’s Hospital (Montreal, Canada) from 5 COVID-19 periods: March 13 to May 31, 2020; September 20, 2020, to February 21, 2021; March 21 to May 31, 2021; August 17 to November 5, 2021; and December 19, 2021, to January 25, 2022, as well as 2 pre-COVID time periods: March 13 to May 31, in 2018 and 2019).

RESULTS: There was a significant reduction in ophthalmic consultations when comparing pre-COVID to all 5 COVID waves (p < 0.0001). There was an increase in the average number of daily urgent (p = 0.01) ophthalmic consultations from waves 1 to 4. Mean household income of patients was not significantly pre-COVID compared to during the 5 COVID waves (p = 0.96). The most common referral reason was ocular trauma (38.0% of cases). There was a nonsignificant trend demonstrating more infectious disease presentations during waves 3 to 5 (p = 0.07). There was no difference in symptom duration prior to presentation (p = 0.54); however, there was a difference in the time between emergency room and ophthalmology assessment in waves 3 and 4 compared with wave 5 (p = 0.003).

CONCLUSION: The number of pediatric ophthalmology consultations was less during the 5 COVID waves than pre-COVID. An increase in urgent pediatric ophthalmology consultations occurred as COVID-19 infection rates in Quebec decreased. Access to health care and time to care were preserved across waves compared with prepandemic.

PMID:39106963 | DOI:10.1016/j.jcjo.2024.06.018

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

GIS-ODE: linking dynamic population models with GIS to predict pathogen vector abundance across a country under climate change scenarios

J R Soc Interface. 2024 Aug;21(217):20240004. doi: 10.1098/rsif.2024.0004. Epub 2024 Aug 7.

ABSTRACT

Mechanistic mathematical models such as ordinary differential equations (ODEs) have a long history for their use in describing population dynamics and determining estimates of key parameters that summarize the potential growth or decline of a population over time. More recently, geographic information systems (GIS) have become important tools to provide a visual representation of statistically determined parameters and environmental features over space. Here, we combine these tools to form a ‘GIS-ODE’ approach to generate spatiotemporal maps predicting how projected changes in thermal climate may affect population densities and, uniquely, population dynamics of Ixodes ricinus, an important tick vector of several human pathogens. Assuming habitat and host densities are not greatly affected by climate warming, the GIS-ODE model predicted that, even under the lowest projected temperature increase, I. ricinus nymph densities could increase by 26-99% in Scotland, depending on the habitat and climate of the location. Our GIS-ODE model provides the vector-borne disease research community with a framework option to produce predictive, spatially explicit risk maps based on a mechanistic understanding of vector and vector-borne disease transmission dynamics.

PMID:39106949 | DOI:10.1098/rsif.2024.0004