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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The clinical significance of TAT, PIC, TM, and t-PAIC in vascular events of BCR/ABL-negative myeloproliferative neoplasms

Clin Exp Med. 2024 May 22;24(1):107. doi: 10.1007/s10238-024-01371-7.

ABSTRACT

Predicting the likelihood vascular events in patients with BCR/ABL1-negative myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPN) is essential for the treatment of the disease. However, effective assessment methods are lacking. Thrombin-antithrombin complex (TAT), plasmin-α2– plasmininhibitor complex (PIC), thrombomodulin (TM), and tissue plasminogen activator-inhibitor complex (t-PAIC) are the new direct indicators for coagulation and fibrinolysis. The aim of this study was to investigate the changes of these four new indicators in thrombotic and hemorrhagic events in BCR/ABL1-negative MPN. The study cohort of 74 patients with BCR/ABL negative myeloproliferative disorders included essential thrombocythemia, polycythemia vera, and primary myelofibrosis (PMF). A panel of 4 biomarkers, including TAT, PIC, TM, and t-PAIC were determined using Sysmex HISCL5000 automated analyzers, whereas fibrin/fibrinogen degradation products (FDP), D-dimer and Antithrombin III (ATIII) were analyzed using Sysmex CS5100 coagulation analyzer. A total of 24 (32.4%) patients experienced thrombotic events and hemorrhagic events occurred in 8 patients (10.8%). Compared to patients without hemorrhagic-thrombotic events, patients with thrombotic events had higher fibrinogen (FIB) level, FDP level and lower ATIII activity, while patients with hemorrhagic events had lower white blood cell count and hemoglobin level, higher FDP level (P < 0.05). Patients with a JAK2V617F mutation were more likely to experience thrombotic events (P < 0.05). In addtion, patients with thrombotic events had higher TAT, PIC, TM, and t-PAIC levels than patients without hemorrhagic-thrombotic events (P < 0.05), whereas patients with hemorrhagic events had a lower median value in TAT and TM (no statistical difference, P > 0.05). Patients with higher TAT, TM and t-PAIC were more likely to experience thrombotic events (P < 0.05), and only TAT was positively correlated with thrombotic events (Spearman r =0.287, P = 0.019). TAT, PIC, TM, and t-PAIC combined with ATIII and FDP have a certain value for predicting thrombosis in patients with BCR/ABL1-negative MPN. These 6 parameters are worth further exploration as predictive factors and prognostic markers for early thrombotic events.

PMID:38776019 | DOI:10.1007/s10238-024-01371-7

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Dermatology workforce projections in the United States, 2021 to 2036

Arch Dermatol Res. 2024 May 22;316(5):192. doi: 10.1007/s00403-024-02924-2.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: There has been a growing imbalance between supply of dermatologists and demand for dermatologic care. To best address physician shortages, it is important to delineate supply and demand patterns in the dermatologic workforce. The goal of this study was to explore dermatology supply and demand over time.

METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional analysis of workforce supply and demand projections for dermatologists from 2021 to 2036 using data from the Health Workforce Simulation Model from the National Center for Health Workforce Analysis. Estimates for total workforce supply and demand were summarized in aggregate and stratified by rurality. Scenarios with status quo demand and improved access were considered.

RESULTS: Projected total supply showed a 12.45% increase by 2036. Total demand increased 12.70% by 2036 in the status quo scenario. In the improved access scenario, total supply was inadequate for total demand in any year, lagging by 28% in 2036. Metropolitan areas demonstrated a relative supply surplus up to 2036; nonmetropolitan areas had at least a 157% excess in demand throughout the study period. In 2021 adequacy was 108% and 39% adequacy for metropolitan and nonmetropolitan areas, respectively; these differences were projected to continue through 2036.

CONCLUSIONS: The findings suggest that the dermatology physician workforce is inadequate to meet the demand for dermatologic services in nonmetropolitan areas. Furthermore, improved access to dermatologic care would bolster demand and especially exacerbate workforce inadequacy in nonmetropolitan areas. Continued efforts are needed to address health inequities and ensure access to quality dermatologic care for all.

PMID:38775980 | DOI:10.1007/s00403-024-02924-2

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Beyond the surface: unveiling gaps in medical education through eyes of diverse learners

Arch Dermatol Res. 2024 May 22;316(5):187. doi: 10.1007/s00403-024-02963-9.

ABSTRACT

Inadequate education regarding disease manifestations in diverse skin colors hinders diagnosis and exacerbates health disparities. All levels of medical trainees report low confidence in accurately identifying disease in skin of color (SOC). To help further elucidate these concerns, our research aims to assess medical student confidence in recognizing cutaneous diseases in SOC and their viewpoints regarding SOC education within their institution. An eight-question, open-ended survey was provided to medical students before and after a SOC presentation. The survey assessed participants’ confidence in their diagnostic ability and perspectives on educational material. Among the 70 attendees, 58 (82.8%) and 64 (91.4%) completed the pre- and post-seminar surveys, respectively. There was a significant discrepancy in confidence levels when assessing cutaneous manifestations of internal pathology in light (Monk Skin Colors 1-5) versus dark (Monk Skin Colors 6-10) skin (p < 0.009). Notably, 78.7% (37/47) perceived the institutional learning materials as insufficient for SOC. Post-seminar reflections indicated that 87.2% (40/46) of students lacked confidence in diagnosing SOC, with 78.7% (32/46) citing inadequate curriculum coverage as the cause. An additional 8.5% (6/46) identified the predominance of white-centric medical descriptions as a hindrance. Students collectively called for improved educational approaches, including better visual representation of diseases in darker skin. Medical education must continue to strive for increased SOC representation to train competent physicians in treating a diverse patient population and reduce disparities in SOC patients.

PMID:38775979 | DOI:10.1007/s00403-024-02963-9

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Association of alopecia areata and ischemic heart disease and cerebrovascular in U.S. adults: an all of us database study

Arch Dermatol Res. 2024 May 22;316(5):202. doi: 10.1007/s00403-024-02959-5.

NO ABSTRACT

PMID:38775975 | DOI:10.1007/s00403-024-02959-5

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Baseline characteristics and recruitment for SWOG S1820: altering intake, managing bowel symptoms in survivors of rectal cancer (AIMS-RC)

Support Care Cancer. 2024 May 22;32(6):371. doi: 10.1007/s00520-024-08527-x.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Many survivors of rectal cancer experience persistent bowel dysfunction. There are few evidence-based symptom management interventions to improve bowel control. The purpose of this study is to describe recruitment and pre-randomization baseline sociodemographic, health status, and clinical characteristics for SWOG S1820, a trial of the Altering Intake, Managing Symptoms in Rectal Cancer (AIMS-RC) intervention.

METHODS: SWOG S1820 aimed to determine the preliminary efficacy, feasibility, and acceptability of AIMS-RC, a symptom management intervention for bowel health, comparing intervention to attention control. Survivors with a history of cancers of the rectosigmoid colon or rectum, within 6-24 months of primary treatment completion, with a post-surgical permanent ostomy or anastomosis, and over 18 years of age were enrolled. Outcomes included total bowel function, low anterior resection syndrome, quality of life, motivation for managing bowel health, self-efficacy for managing symptoms, positive and negative affect, and study feasibility and acceptability.

RESULTS: The trial completed accrual over a 29-month period and enrolled 117 participants from 34 institutions across 17 states and one US Pacific territory. At baseline, most enrolled participants reported self-imposed diet adjustments after surgery, persistent dietary intolerances, and bowel discomfort post-treatment, with high levels of constipation and diarrhea (grades 1-4).

CONCLUSIONS: SWOG S1820 was able to recruit, in a timely manner, a study cohort that is demographically representative of US survivors of rectal cancer. Baseline characteristics illustrate the connection between diet/eating and bowel symptoms post-treatment, with many participants reporting diet adjustments and persistent inability to be comfortable with dietary intake.

GOV REGISTRATION DATE: 12/19/2019.

GOV IDENTIFIER: NCT#04205955.

PMID:38775966 | DOI:10.1007/s00520-024-08527-x

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MR imaging signs of shoulder adhesive capsulitis: analysis of potential differentials and improved diagnostic criteria

Skeletal Radiol. 2024 May 22. doi: 10.1007/s00256-024-04677-5. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the prevalence of shoulder adhesive capsulitis (AC) signs on MR studies of patients with various common shoulder conditions.

METHODS: MR images of 316 patients were retrospectively evaluated. Patients were divided into three groups: controls (66 patients), clinical AC (63 patients), and study group (187 patients). The final diagnosis of AC was reached clinically. The study group was composed of patients with focal and massive rotator cuff tears, active hydroxyapatite deposition disease, fractures around the shoulder, and post-surgery. The following AC signs were evaluated: inferior glenohumeral ligament (IGHL) thickening; coracohumeral ligament (CHL) thickening; and hyperintensity of the inferior glenohumeral ligament, which was graded in four classes.

RESULTS: The IGHL signal intensity was statistically higher in patients with fractures than in controls (P = 0.008). There was no statistically significant difference in IGHL signal between the AC group and patients with massive rotator cuff tears and active hydroxyapatite deposition disease (P > 0.1). IGHL thickness in patients with fractures, massive rotator ruptures, and active hydroxyapatite deposition disease was significantly higher compared to controls (P < 0.02) and significantly lower compared to the AC group (P < 0.0001). Based on these findings, a grading system for fibro-inflammatory capsular changes is proposed.

CONCLUSION: MR AC signs are frequent in patients with shoulder conditions other than AC; however, in these patients, capsular changes are less prominent than in patients with clinical AC.

PMID:38775948 | DOI:10.1007/s00256-024-04677-5

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Stroke and frailty index: a two-sample Mendelian randomisation study

Aging Clin Exp Res. 2024 May 22;36(1):114. doi: 10.1007/s40520-024-02777-9.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Previous observational studies have found an increased risk of frailty in patients with stroke. However, evidence of a causal relationship between stroke and frailty is scarce. The aim of this study was to investigate the potential causal relationship between stroke and frailty index (FI).

METHODS: Pooled data on stroke and debility were obtained from genome-wide association studies (GWAS).The MEGASTROKE Consortium provided data on stroke (N = 40,585), ischemic stroke (IS,N = 34,217), large-vessel atherosclerotic stroke (LAS,N = 4373), and cardioembolic stroke (CES,N = 7 193).Summary statistics for the FI were obtained from the most recent GWAS meta-analysis of UK BioBank participants and Swedish TwinGene participants of European ancestry (N = 175,226).Two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analyses were performed by inverse variance weighting (IVW), weighted median, MR-Egger regression, Simple mode, and Weighted mode, and heterogeneity and horizontal multiplicity of results were assessed using Cochran’s Q test and MR-Egger regression intercept term test.

RESULTS: The results of the current MR study showed a significant correlation between stroke gene prediction and FI (odds ratio 1.104, 95% confidence interval 1.064 – 1.144, P < 0.001). In terms of stroke subtypes, IS (odds ratio 1.081, 95% confidence interval 1.044 – 1.120, P < 0.001) and LAS (odds ratio 1.037, 95% confidence interval 1.012 – 1.062, P = 0.005). There was no causal relationship between gene-predicted CES and FI. Horizontal multidimensionality was not found in the intercept test for MR Egger regression (P > 0.05), nor in the heterogeneity test (P > 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS: This study provides evidence for a causal relationship between stroke and FI and offers new insights into the genetic study of FI.

PMID:38775917 | DOI:10.1007/s40520-024-02777-9

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Cause-Specific Excess Mortality During the COVID-19 Pandemic (2020-2021) in 12 Countries of the C-MOR Consortium

J Epidemiol Glob Health. 2024 May 22. doi: 10.1007/s44197-024-00242-4. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: This study investigated cause-specific mortality rates in 12 countries during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 and 2021.

METHODS: We collected weekly cause-specific mortality data from respiratory disease, pneumonia, cardiovascular disease (CVD) and cancer from national vital statistic databases. We calculated excess mortality for respiratory disease (excluding COVID-19 codes), pneumonia, and CVD in 2020 and 2021 by comparing observed weekly against expected mortality based on historical data (2015-2019), accounting for seasonal trends. We used multilevel regression models to investigate the association between country-level pandemic-related variables and cause-specific mortality.

RESULTS: Significant reductions in cumulative mortality from respiratory disease and pneumonia were observed in 2020 and/or 2021, except for Georgia, Northern Ireland, Kazakhstan, and Ukraine, which exhibited excess mortality for one or both causes. Australia, Austria, Cyprus, Georgia, and Northern Ireland experienced excess cumulative CVD mortality in 2020 and/or 2021. Australia, Austria, Brazil, Cyprus, Georgia, Northern Ireland, Scotland and Slovenia, experienced increased crude cumulative cancer mortality during 2020 and/or 2021 compared to previous years. Among pandemic-related variables, reported COVID-19 incidence was negatively associated with increased cancer mortality, excess respiratory, (2020) and pneumonia (2021) mortality, and positively associated with respiratory and CVD mortality (2021). Stringency of control measures were negatively associated with excess respiratory disease, CVD, and increased cancer mortality (2021).

CONCLUSIONS: This study provides evidence of substantial excess mortality from CVD, and notable reductions in respiratory disease and pneumonia in both years across most countries investigated. Our study also highlights the beneficial impact of stringent control measures in mitigating excess mortality from most causes in 2021.

PMID:38775902 | DOI:10.1007/s44197-024-00242-4

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A Novel Deep Learning Approach for Forecasting Myocardial Infarction Occurrences with Time Series Patient Data

J Med Syst. 2024 May 22;48(1):53. doi: 10.1007/s10916-024-02076-w.

ABSTRACT

Myocardial Infarction (MI) commonly referred to as a heart attack, results from the abrupt obstruction of blood supply to a section of the heart muscle, leading to the deterioration or death of the affected tissue due to a lack of oxygen. MI, poses a significant public health concern worldwide, particularly affecting the citizens of the Chittagong Metropolitan Area. The challenges lie in both prevention and treatment, as the emergence of MI has inflicted considerable suffering among residents. Early warning systems are crucial for managing epidemics promptly, especially given the escalating disease burden in older populations and the complexities of assessing present and future demands. The primary objective of this study is to forecast MI incidence early using a deep learning model, predicting the prevalence of heart attacks in patients. Our approach involves a novel dataset collected from daily heart attack incidence Time Series Patient Data spanning January 1, 2020, to December 31, 2021, in the Chittagong Metropolitan Area. Initially, we applied various advanced models, including Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA), Error-Trend-Seasonal (ETS), Trigonometric seasonality, Box-Cox transformation, ARMA errors, Trend and Seasonal (TBATS), and Long Short Time Memory (LSTM). To enhance prediction accuracy, we propose a novel Myocardial Sequence Classification (MSC)-LSTM method tailored to forecast heart attack occurrences in patients using the newly collected data from the Chittagong Metropolitan Area. Comprehensive results comparisons reveal that the novel MSC-LSTM model outperforms other applied models in terms of performance, achieving a minimum Mean Percentage Error (MPE) score of 1.6477. This research aids in predicting the likely future course of heart attack occurrences, facilitating the development of thorough plans for future preventive measures. The forecasting of MI occurrences contributes to effective resource allocation, capacity planning, policy creation, budgeting, public awareness, research identification, quality improvement, and disaster preparedness.

PMID:38775899 | DOI:10.1007/s10916-024-02076-w

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Achalasia: laparoscopic Heller myotomy with fundoplication versus peroral endoscopic myotomy-a systematic review and meta-analysis

Esophagus. 2024 May 22. doi: 10.1007/s10388-024-01063-x. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

There are various therapeutic options for achalasia. Nevertheless, peroral endoscopic myotomy (POEM) and laparoscopic Heller myotomy with fundoplication (LHM) are distinguished by their efficacy and low incidence of complications. Compare POEM and LHM regarding several outcomes in patients with achalasia. This systematic review was conducted according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines. An exhaustive literature search was performed using PubMed, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library databases. Studies comparing several outcomes between POEM and LHM in patients with achalasia were included. Data on clinical success, operative time, intraoperative complications, length of stay, reintervention rates, postoperative pain, overall complications, occurrence of GERD symptoms, use of proton bomb inhibitors and esophagitis were extracted. Quality assessment of the included studies was performed using the MINORS scale. We included 20 retrospective observational studies with a combined total of 5139 participants. The results demonstrated that there was no statistically significant difference in terms of intraoperative complications, postoperative complications, reintervention rate, occurrence of GERD symptoms, GERD HRQL, use of proton pump inhibitors, and esophagitis between POEM and LHM groups. Conversely, POEM was associated with higher clinical success and shorter operative time, length of stay, and postoperative pain. This meta-analysis concludes that both POEM and LHM, are effective and safe treatments for achalasia. However, POEM demonstrates better results regarding clinical success, operative time, length of stay, postoperative pain, and a tendency towards lower recurrence.

PMID:38775883 | DOI:10.1007/s10388-024-01063-x