Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Effects on household income and earnings from chronic kidney disease of non-traditional origins: PREP project findings from Chichigalpa, Nicaragua

Occup Environ Med. 2024 May 20:oemed-2023-109163. doi: 10.1136/oemed-2023-109163. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Our purpose with this study is to examine the socioeconomic outcomes associated with chronic kidney disease not related to well-known risk factors (CKDnt) in four communities in Chichigalpa, Nicaragua that are home to a substantial number of sugarcane workers.

METHODS: We employed a cluster-based systematic sampling design to identify differences in outcomes between those households affected directly by CKDnt and those that are not.

RESULTS: Overall, we find that approximately one-third of households surveyed had a household member diagnosed with CKDnt. 86% of CKDnt households reported that the head of the household had been without work for the last 6 months or more, compared with 53% of non-CKDnt households. Non-CKDnt households took in more than double the earnings income on average than CKDnt households ($C52 835 and $C3120, respectively). Nonetheless, on average, CKDnt households’ total income exceeded that of non-CKDnt households due to Nicaragua’s national Instituto Nicaraguense de Seguridad Social Social Security payments to CKDnt households, suggestive of a substantial economic burden on the state resulting from the disease. Households headed by widows or widowers who are widowed as a result of CKDnt demonstrate distinct deficits in total income when compared with either non-widowed households or to households widowed by causes other than CKDnt.

CONCLUSIONS: Despite strong similarities in terms of demographic characteristics and despite residing in the same communities with similar access to the available resources, households experiencing CKDnt exhibit distinct and statistically significant differences in important socioeconomic outcomes when compared to non-CKDnt households.

PMID:38769005 | DOI:10.1136/oemed-2023-109163

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Estimating impacts of reducing acrylonitrile exposure on lung cancer mortality in an occupational cohort with the parametric g-formula

Occup Environ Med. 2024 May 20:oemed-2024-109532. doi: 10.1136/oemed-2024-109532. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To inform the potential human carcinogenicity of acrylonitrile, we estimate associations between acrylonitrile exposures and lung cancer mortality in US workers with the objectives of (1) assessing potential for healthy worker survivor bias and (2) adjusting for this bias while assessing the expected lung cancer mortality under different hypothetical occupational exposure limits on acrylonitrile exposure using the parametric g-formula.

METHODS: We used data from a cohort of 25 460 workers at facilities making or using acrylonitrile in the USA. We estimated HRs to quantify associations between employment and lung cancer mortality, and exposure and leaving employment. Using the parametric g-formula, we estimated cumulative lung cancer mortality at hypothetical limits on acrylonitrile exposure.

RESULTS: Recent and current employment was associated with lung cancer, and exposure was associated with leaving employment, indicating potential for healthy worker survivor bias. Relative to no intervention, reducing the historical exposure under limits of 2.0, 1.0 and 0.45 parts per million would have been expected to reduce lung cancer mortality by age 90 by 4.46 (95% CI 0.78 to 8.15), 5.03 (95% CI 0.96 to 9.11) and 6.45 (95% CI 2.35 to 10.58) deaths per 1000 workers, respectively. A larger lung cancer mortality reduction would be expected under elimination of exposure: 7.21 (95% CI 2.72 to 11.70) deaths per 1000 workers.

CONCLUSIONS: Healthy worker survivor bias likely led to underestimation of excess risk. Our results corroborate previous study findings of an excess hazard of lung cancer among the highest exposed workers.

PMID:38769004 | DOI:10.1136/oemed-2024-109532

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Vibration of effects resulting from treatment selection in mixed-treatment comparisons: a multiverse analysis on network meta-analyses of antidepressants in major depressive disorder

BMJ Evid Based Med. 2024 May 20:bmjebm-2024-112848. doi: 10.1136/bmjebm-2024-112848. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: It is frequent to find overlapping network meta-analyses (NMAs) on the same topic with differences in terms of both treatments included and effect estimates. We aimed to evaluate the impact on effect estimates of selecting different treatment combinations (ie, network geometries) for inclusion in NMAs.

DESIGN: Multiverse analysis, covering all possible NMAs on different combinations of treatments.

SETTING: Data from a previously published NMA exploring the comparative effectiveness of 22 treatments (21 antidepressants and a placebo) for the treatment of acute major depressive disorder.

PARTICIPANTS: Cipriani et al explored a dataset of 116 477 patients included in 522 randomised controlled trials.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: For each possible treatment selection, we performed an NMA to estimate comparative effectiveness on treatment response and treatment discontinuation for the treatments included (231 between-treatment comparisons). The distribution of effect estimates of between-treatment comparisons across NMAs was computed, and the direction, magnitude and statistical significance of the 1st and 99th percentiles were compared.

RESULTS: 4 116 254 different NMAs concerned treatment response. Among possible network geometries, 172/231 (74%) pairwise comparisons exhibited opposite effects between the 1st and 99th percentiles, 57/231 (25%) comparisons exhibited statistically significant results in opposite directions, 118 of 231 (51%) comparisons derived results that were both significant and non-significant at 5% risk and 56/231 (24%) treatment pairs obtained consistent results with only significant differences (or only non-significant differences) at 5% risk. Comparisons based on indirect evidence only were associated with greater variability in effect estimates. Comparisons with small absolute values observed in the complete NMA more frequently obtained statistically significant results in opposite directions. Similar results were observed for treatment discontinuation.

CONCLUSION: In this multiverse analysis, we observed that the selection of treatments to be included in an NMA could have considerable consequences on treatment effect estimations.

TRIAL REGISTRATION: https://osf.io/mb5dy.

PMID:38769000 | DOI:10.1136/bmjebm-2024-112848

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Characteristics of Using Oriental Medicine Clinics during the Japanese Occupation: An Analysis of the 1931 Seoul Bochun Clinic Account Book

Uisahak. 2024 Apr;33(1):59-101. doi: 10.13081/kjmh.2024.33.59.

ABSTRACT

This article analyzes the “account book” of Kim Young-hoon (1882-1974), which summarizes information about patients at his Bochun Clinic in Seoul (then Gyeongseong) in 1931. Kim Young-hoon was a pivotal figure in the medical scene throughout the Korean Empire, the Japanese occupation, and the early years of the Republic of Korea. He left behind a large amount of documentation during his 60 years of practice at the Bochun Clinic, which he opened in the spring of 1909. In particular, the 1931 “account book” offers an insight into the daily life histories of his patients. Among the patient-visitors recorded in the account book, there were many influential people of the time, ranging from privileged individuals to anti-Japanese independence activists, from those in political and economic fields to those in academic and entertainment fields. At the same time, a significant number of lower-class people also visited the Clinic. Geographically, patients were centered in the city center of the capital, Gyeongseong, but were also widely distributed throughout the country. There are indications that those from the rural areas stayed in the homes of their acquaintances in Seoul. As such, the account book provides a tangible, concrete picture of the clinic’s management for the year 1931, including visitor demographics, visiting diagnoses, telephone consultations, and the total cost of medicinal prescriptions. Because the account book is a one-year statistic, it has its limitations; however, it is the smallest unit that can be analyzed statistically. It provides insights into how many people came in over the course of a year and how much they spent. The expenditures are kept per individual family. The patient’s name, prescribed medication, and the price of the medicine are mandatorily included, and in many cases, the place of residence and family relationships are also noted. The account book shows several layers of householders, servants, and employees in the extended family; it also shows people in various occupations. A few privileged families accounted for nearly half of the total expenditures, and the powerful visited frequently, utilizing Oriental medicine for many of their daily needs. For some, the Bochun Clinic is reminiscent of the royal temples of the dynasties. Patients come from the center and suburbs of Seoul, as well as from all over the country. In one year, more than one thousand types of prescriptions are issued and the total cost of medicines is about 33 seom (≒180 liters of rice). Although there is a concentration of high-frequency prescriptions, more than a thousand prescriptions are prescribed only once, which shows that the practice is specialized for each individual. Patient visits, consultations, and telephone use are observed, and the use of new drugs, quinine, and special ginseng as one-herb medication (danbang) are also noticeable. The statistical analysis of the 1931 Bochun Clinic “account book” can serve as a milestone for comparative analysis of the patterns of herbal medicine use before and after that year. Meanwhile, the Bochun Clinic “account book” shows the continuation of traditional practices of herbal medicine by both the powerful and the masses. On the one hand, Koreans responded to the coercive tide of modernity symbolized by the Imperial Governorate of Japan, but on the other hand, they were unwilling to let go of tradition and their own authority. While actively embracing the tide of civilization, Koreans also internalized their own rationality and sought to open a new path forward, a sentiment discernible between the lines of the “account book.”

PMID:38768991 | DOI:10.13081/kjmh.2024.33.59

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Community pharmacists’ awareness, identification, and management of prescribing cascades: A cross-sectional survey

Res Social Adm Pharm. 2024 Jun;20(6):102-112. doi: 10.1016/j.sapharm.2024.02.013. Epub 2024 May 18.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Prescribing cascades can lead to unnecessary medication use, healthcare costs, and patient harm. Pharmacists oversee prescriptions from multiple prescribers and are well positioned to identify such cascades, making pharmacists key stakeholders to address them.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate community pharmacists’ awareness, identification, and management of prescribing cascades and to assess behavioural determinants that may be targeted in future strategies to minimise inappropriate prescribing cascades.

METHODS: An online survey was developed using the Theoretical Domains Framework (TDF) and emailed to all registered community pharmacists in Ireland (n = 3775) in November 2021. Quantitative data were analysed using descriptive and inferential statistics. Free-text sections were given to capture reasons for non-resolution of identified prescribing cascades and suggestions to aid prescribing cascade identification and management; this text underwent content analysis.

RESULTS: Of the 220 respondents, 51% were aware of the term ‘prescribing cascade’ before the survey, whilst 69% had identified a potentially inappropriate prescribing cascade in practice. Over one third were either slightly confident (26.4%) or not confident at all (10%) in their ability to identify potentially inappropriate prescribing cascades in patients’ prescriptions before the survey, whilst 55.2% were concerned that patients were receiving prescribing cascades they had not identified. Most respondents wanted further information/training to help prescribing cascade identification (88.3%) and management (86.1%). Four predominant TDF domains identified were common to both i) influencing non-resolution of identified prescribing cascades and ii) in the suggestions to help identify and manage prescribing cascades: ‘Environmental Context and Resources’, ‘Social/Professional Role and Identity’, ‘Social Influences’ and ‘Memory, Attention and Decision Processes’.

CONCLUSIONS: There is a clear need to provide additional resources to help community pharmacists identify and manage prescribing cascades. These findings will support the development of theory-informed behaviour change strategies to aid the minimisation of inappropriate prescribing cascades and decrease the risk of medication-related harm for patients.

PMID:38768989 | DOI:10.1016/j.sapharm.2024.02.013

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Survival outcomes following urgent lung transplantation in France and the USA

Thorax. 2024 May 20:thorax-2023-220847. doi: 10.1136/thorax-2023-220847. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Lung graft allocation can be based on a score (Lung Allocation Score) as in the USA or sequential proposals combined with a discrete priority model as in France. We aimed to analyse the impact of allocation policy on the outcome of urgent lung transplantation (LT).

METHODS: US United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) and French Cristal databases were retrospectively reviewed to analyse LT performed between 2007 and 2017. We analysed the mortality risk of urgent LT by fitting Cox models and adjusted Restricted Mean Survival Time. We then compared the outcome after urgent LT in the UNOS and Cristal groups using a propensity score matching.

RESULTS: After exclusion of patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease/emphysema and redo LT, 3775 and 12 561 patients underwent urgent LT and non-urgent LT in the USA while 600 and 2071 patients underwent urgent LT and non-urgent LT in France. In univariate analysis, urgent LT was associated with an HR for death of 1.24 (95% CI 1.05 to 1.48) in the Cristal group and 1.12 (95% CI 1.05 to 1.19) in the UNOS group. In multivariate analysis, the effect of urgent LT was attenuated and no longer statistically significant in the Cristal database (HR 1.1 (95% CI 0.91 to 1.33)) while it remained constant and statistically significant in the UNOS database (HR 1.12 (95% CI 1.05 to 1.2)). Survival comparison of urgent LT patients between the two countries was significantly different in favour of the UNOS group (1-year survival rates 84.1% (80.9%-87.3%) vs 75.4% (71.8%-79.1%) and 3-year survival rates 66.3% (61.9%-71.1%) vs 62.7% (58.5%-67.1%), respectively).

CONCLUSION: Urgent LT is associated with adverse outcome in the USA and in France with a better prognosis in the US score-based system taking post-transplant survival into account. This difference between two healthcare systems is multifactorial.

PMID:38768985 | DOI:10.1136/thorax-2023-220847

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Exploring home fall events among infants and toddlers using social media information: an infodemiology study in China

Inj Prev. 2024 May 20:ip-2023-045014. doi: 10.1136/ip-2023-045014. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Practical interventions of fall prevention are challenging for infants and toddlers. This study aimed to explore specific details of falls that occurred at home for kids 0-3 years old using key information from social media platforms, which provided abundant data sources for fall events.

METHODS: We used internet-based search techniques to collect fall events information from 2013 to 2023. The search was restricted and implemented between 1 and 12 April 2023. Online platforms included Baidu, Weibo, WeChat, TikTok, Toutiao and Little Red Book. A qualitative descriptive approach was used to analyse the fall events and major factors, including the fall event time, child age, environmental factors and behavioural characteristics of children and caregivers.

RESULTS: We identified 1005 fall injury cases among infants and toddlers. Fall mechanisms included falls from household furniture (71.2%), falls from height (21.4%) and falls on the same level (7.4%). Environmental risk factors mainly consisted of not using or installing bed rails incorrectly, a gap between beds, unstable furniture, slippery ground and windows without guardrails. Behavioural factors included caregivers leaving a child alone, lapsed attention, turning around to retrieve something, misusing baby products, inadequately holding the child and falling asleep with children. Child behavioural factors included walking or running while holding an object in hand or mouth and underdeveloped walking skills.

CONCLUSION: Interventions for preventing falls should be designed specifically for Chinese families, especially considering family function in the context of Chinese culture. Social media reports could provide rich information for researchers.

PMID:38768979 | DOI:10.1136/ip-2023-045014

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Understanding the Influence of Host Radiation on Symbiont Speciation through Parasites of Species Flocks

Cold Spring Harb Perspect Biol. 2024 May 20:a041450. doi: 10.1101/cshperspect.a041450. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

(Adaptive) radiations have attracted evolutionary biologists for a long time as ideal model systems to study patterns and processes of often rapid speciation. However, whereas a wealth of (sometimes already genome-scale) data is available for host radiations, very few studies target the patterns of diversification in their symbionts, even though they would be excellent models to study symbiont speciation. Our review summarizes what little is known about general patterns of symbiont diversification in often iconic adaptive host radiations and to what extent these patterns are dependent on the evolutionary trajectories of their hosts. We identify research gaps that need to be addressed in the future and discuss the potential of approaches not yet typically used in these study systems, such as epidemiological disease modeling and new omics technologies, for significantly advancing our understanding of these complex eco-evolutionary relationships.

PMID:38768969 | DOI:10.1101/cshperspect.a041450

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Health burden and attributable economic damage of conflict and terrorism in the Eastern Mediterranean Region

Med Confl Surviv. 2024 May 20:1-14. doi: 10.1080/13623699.2024.2346461. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

This study aimed to vividly describe the direct and severe health impacts of conflict in the Eastern Mediterranean Region (EMR) using data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD). It also sought to quantify the staggering portion of economic damage attributable to the health burden of conflict and terrorism. From 1990 to 2019, the region endured the devastating effects of conflict and terrorism. These circumstances led to 64%, 50%, and 35% of all causes of Disability-Adjusted Life Years (DALYs) in Libya, Syria, and Palestine, respectively, in 2011, 2016, and 2008. These figures represent not just statistics but the profound human cost of these conflicts. The health-related economic burden (HEB) due to conflict was estimated at $4.6 billion in Iraq, $3.7 billion in Afghanistan, and $1.7 billion in Libya in current international dollars. However, due to missing data, the HEB could not be calculated for Yemen and Syria despite significant conflict-related DALYs. In 2019, the HEB to Current Health Expenditure (CHE) ratio, which indicates the proportion of the health-related economic burden compared to health expenditure, was 30% in Afghanistan and 25% in Iraq. This high ratio underscores the significant strain that conflict places on the health systems.

PMID:38768959 | DOI:10.1080/13623699.2024.2346461

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

An intelligent model for prediction of abiotic stress-responsive microRNAs in plants using statistical moments based features and ensemble approaches

Methods. 2024 May 18:S1046-2023(24)00124-5. doi: 10.1016/j.ymeth.2024.05.008. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

This study proposed an intelligent model for predicting abiotic stress-responsive microRNAs in plants. MicroRNAs (miRNAs) are short RNA molecules regulates the stress in genes. Experimental methods are costly and time-consuming, as compare to in-silico prediction. Addressing this gap, the study seeks to develop an efficient computational model for plant stress response prediction. The two benchmark datasets for MiRNA and Pre-MiRNA dataset have been acquired in this study. Four ensemble approaches such as bagging, boosting, stacking, and blending have been employed. Classifiers such as Random Forest (RF), Extra Trees (ET), Ada Boost (ADB), Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LGBM), and Support Vector Machine (SVM). Stacking and Blending employed all stated classifiers as base learners and Logistic Regression (LR) as Meta Classifier. There have been a total of four types of testing used, including independent set, self-consistency, cross-validation with 5 and 10 folds, and jackknife. This study has utilized evaluation metrics such as accuracy score, specificity, sensitivity, Mathew’s correlation coefficient (MCC), and AUC. Our proposed methodology has outperformed existing state of the art study in both datasets based on independent set testing. The SVM-based approach has exhibited accuracy score of 0.659 for the MiRNA dataset, which is better than the previous study. The ET classifier has surpassed the accuracy of Pre-MiRNA dataset as compared to the existing benchmark study, achieving an impressive score of 0.67. The proposed method can be used in future research to predict abiotic stresses in plants.

PMID:38768931 | DOI:10.1016/j.ymeth.2024.05.008