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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Inpatient Prices In Medicare Advantage Vary Modestly Across And Within Hospitals

Health Aff (Millwood). 2025 Oct;44(10):1250-1255. doi: 10.1377/hlthaff.2025.00408.

ABSTRACT

Medicare Advantage (MA) provider prices are, on average, similar to those of traditional Medicare; however, prices may vary across hospitals or insurers. Using national data, we found that MA prices averaged 97 percent of traditional Medicare prices. Although only 39 percent of hospitals in our sample had average inpatient MA prices within 5 percent of traditional Medicare prices, MA prices varied far less than commercial or Medicaid prices.

PMID:41052396 | DOI:10.1377/hlthaff.2025.00408

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Expanded Child Tax Credit Payments During Pregnancy Were Associated With Decreased Odds Of Adverse Birth Outcomes

Health Aff (Millwood). 2025 Oct;44(10):1298-1306. doi: 10.1377/hlthaff.2024.01641.

ABSTRACT

The 2021 expanded Child Tax Credit (ECTC) provided families with six monthly cash transfer payments disbursed between July and December 2021, with the goal of alleviating financial strain during the COVID-19 pandemic. These payments reduced child poverty and food insufficiency and may have had beneficial effects on child health. Using 2019-22 Pennsylvania birth certificate data, we examined the association between parental receipt of monthly ECTC payments during pregnancy and infant birth outcomes, exploiting quasi-random variation in ECTC payment amounts based on date of birth and number of siblings. For every $1,000 in ECTC payments received during pregnancy, we observed decreased odds of preterm birth, low birthweight, and very low birthweight among infants of Medicaid-insured pregnant people. Nondirected cash transfer programs such as the ECTC and other income support programs and policies targeting pregnancy may lead to improved birth outcomes.

PMID:41052394 | DOI:10.1377/hlthaff.2024.01641

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Medicaid Expansion Boosted Specialty Treatment Episodes For Substance Use Disorder In Expansion States, 2010-22

Health Aff (Millwood). 2025 Oct;44(10):1273-1280. doi: 10.1377/hlthaff.2024.01289.

ABSTRACT

The Affordable Care Act (ACA) enabled states to expand Medicaid to low-income adults and required expansion programs to cover substance use disorder (SUD) treatment. Extending prior research, we analyzed more recent effects of ACA Medicaid expansions on specialty SUD treatment, using 2010-22 all-payer data on treatment episodes. This period coincides with the worsening national drug overdose epidemic, as well as changes to Medicaid policy through program redesign and under the COVID-19 public health emergency. Using difference-in-differences methods, we found that after expansion, episodes to specialty treatment increased by 28 percent in expansion states compared with nonexpansion states. Financial protection through Medicaid as a source of insurance and payment for services also increased significantly in expansion states compared with nonexpansion states. Medicaid expansion is an important program for increasing access to SUD care for a population with high levels of need.

PMID:41052393 | DOI:10.1377/hlthaff.2024.01289

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Public Benefit Avoidance And Safety Concerns Among Mixed-Status Latino Families In California, 2021-22

Health Aff (Millwood). 2025 Oct;44(10):1307-1316. doi: 10.1377/hlthaff.2025.00375.

ABSTRACT

Many Latino immigrants avoid public benefits because of fears about their immigration status or that of family members, which is heightened by anti-immigration rhetoric. This study used data from the Latino Youth Health Study and the 2021-22 California Health Interview Survey to examine decisions not to apply for noncash public benefits, such as Medicaid, food assistance, and housing subsidies, as well as safety perceptions among income-eligible Latino families in California. We also analyzed differences by parental citizenship and household language. Compared to families with two US citizen parents, families with one or both noncitizen parents were more likely (by 38.4 and 46.7 percentage points, respectively) to avoid applying for benefits because of immigration-related concerns, and such families were also more likely to fear deportation for themselves or a family member or close friend. Spanish-only and bilingual households showed similar patterns. These findings underscore the need for accurate information on public benefit eligibility and immigration policies to ensure that immigrant families can access health care and resources to which they are legally entitled.

PMID:41052391 | DOI:10.1377/hlthaff.2025.00375

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Commercial Insurers Paid More For Procedures At Hospital Outpatient Departments Than At Ambulatory Surgical Centers

Health Aff (Millwood). 2025 Oct;44(10):1291-1297. doi: 10.1377/hlthaff.2025.00297.

ABSTRACT

Site neutrality in payment practices has become a salient issue in the US health care debate, as rising prices have brought increased pressure for policy action. Although Medicare has received disproportionate attention, these policies could also apply to commercial insurers, particularly to address payment differentials between hospital outpatient departments (HOPDs) and ambulatory surgical centers (ASCs). Using 2024 Transparency in Coverage data provided by Clarify Health on commercial prices for three insurers (UnitedHealthcare, Cigna, and BlueCross BlueShield), we compared payments for thirteen common procedures across settings. Overall, in 2024, commercial prices were $1,489 (78 percent) higher in HOPDs than in ASCs, whereas Medicare prices were $633 (97 percent) higher. However, site payment differentials varied substantially across payers: Cigna had the lowest differentials between HOPDs and ASCs ($327), whereas United had the highest ($1,673). Cigna achieved this through provider selection, contracting with only 14 percent of HOPDs in applicable markets compared with an average of 76 percent for United and BlueCross BlueShield. If United and BlueCross BlueShield paid Cigna’s average HOPD rates for these procedures, together they would save approximately $1.4 billion a year. Our results suggest that payers can reduce site differentials through provider selection; they also imply that larger insurers with broader networks may continue to reimburse different sites differently in the absence of either government action or a shift in market dynamics.

PMID:41052389 | DOI:10.1377/hlthaff.2025.00297

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Favorable Selection Among Dually Enrolled Beneficiaries In Private Medicare Plans

Health Aff (Millwood). 2025 Oct;44(10):1256-1265. doi: 10.1377/hlthaff.2025.00330.

ABSTRACT

Medicare-Medicaid dual enrollees accounted for roughly a third of those programs’ spending but less than 20 percent of enrollment in 2021. Policy makers have responded to dual enrollees’ high levels of spending by encouraging their enrollment in private Medicare plans. However, assessing plans’ impact on spending is complicated by favorable selection, in which healthier people prefer private plans to Medicare fee-for-service. We tested for selection into Medicare plans among dual enrollees, using linked Medicaid-Medicare claims data from the period 2017-22. We tracked people transitioning from Medicaid to dual enrollment and compared their pre-dual enrollment spending among Medicare plan choices. We found evidence of favorable selection. After adjustment for for beneficiary characteristics, a 1 percent increase in medical spending reduced beneficiaries’ probability of enrolling in private plans by 1 percentage point (2.3 percent). The effects were driven by the highest-spending beneficiaries, who were 11 percentage points (25 percent) less likely to enroll in private plans. Selection appeared to be stronger among unintegrated plans (which cover Medicare but not Medicaid benefits), although higher spending on long-term services and supports reduced enrollment in all plan types. These findings highlight the need for researchers to control for underlying health status when evaluating health or spending outcomes in private plans.

PMID:41052388 | DOI:10.1377/hlthaff.2025.00330

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Impact Of Medicaid Expansion On HIV Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis Coverage, 2012-23

Health Aff (Millwood). 2025 Oct;44(10):1266-1272. doi: 10.1377/hlthaff.2025.00211.

ABSTRACT

Although its availability has grown during the past decade, pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) remains underused in the US. We evaluated the impact of Medicaid expansion on state-level PrEP prescribing outcomes, using HIV surveillance data from all fifty states and Washington, D.C., from the period 2012-23, using a staggered diffeence-in-differences approach. PrEP coverage (prescriptions per 100,000 population) increased over time but was not statistically significantly associated with Medicaid expansion. There were, however, significant increases in the PrEP-to-need ratio (4.44 PrEP prescriptions per new HIV diagnosis) that were attributable to Medicaid expansion, with the strength of effects increasing over time. Medicaid expansion was associated with significant increases in PrEP-to-need ratios across all subgroups. Although Medicaid expansion effectively increased PrEP access relative to HIV diagnoses, differential impacts by race and ethnicity may suggest widening racial and ethnic disparities.

PMID:41052386 | DOI:10.1377/hlthaff.2025.00211

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Trends In Registered Nurse Wages Relative To Other Health Care Occupations, 2012-23

Health Aff (Millwood). 2025 Oct;44(10):1281-1284. doi: 10.1377/hlthaff.2025.00105.

ABSTRACT

Registered nurses (RNs) represent the largest clinical workforce in the US. We examined RN wages relative to wages for other health care occupations for the period 2012-23. Although annual inflation-adjusted wages increased across all health care occupations, RNs experienced the smallest growth (0.51 percent), and nursing assistants experienced the greatest (1.48 percent). Comparing 2012 to 2023, wage gaps between RNs narrowed compared with some professions and widened compared with others.

PMID:41052382 | DOI:10.1377/hlthaff.2025.00105

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Reduced Medicare Advantage Insurer Concentration Associated With Small Improvements In Market Outcomes, 2013-23

Health Aff (Millwood). 2025 Oct;44(10):1244-1249. doi: 10.1377/hlthaff.2025.00119.

ABSTRACT

Medicare Advantage (MA) enrollment has grown rapidly over recent years, and enrollees may now choose from among a large number of MA plans. However, the market remains highly concentrated, with a few very large insurers. Using MA administrative data, we analyzed trends in insurer concentration during the period 2013-23 and its relation to MA payments and plan characteristics. We documented a significant shift toward less concentration, but concentration remained high. The average number of insurers per county increased, and the Herfindahl-Hirschman Index measure of market concentration declined. Reduced concentration was associated with lower Medicare payments and individual premiums, higher plan rebates, and less enrollee cost sharing. The estimated effects, however, were quantitatively small. Our findings suggest that further reductions in MA insurer concentration may yield only modest benefits for Medicare beneficiaries and the program unless concentration falls well below current levels.

PMID:41052381 | DOI:10.1377/hlthaff.2025.00119

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Private Equity-Owned Hospices Report Highest Profits, Lowest Patient Care Spending Compared With Other Ownership Models

Health Aff (Millwood). 2025 Oct;44(10):1235-1243. doi: 10.1377/hlthaff.2025.00327.

ABSTRACT

Private equity (PE) firms and publicly traded companies own a growing share of US hospices, but little is known about differences in financial outcomes among for-profit hospices. Using 2022 Medicare cost reports, we compared revenue and expense data across four hospice ownership models: PE-owned, publicly traded company-owned, other for-profit, and not-for-profit. Adjusted analyses revealed that compared with for-profit models, not-for-profit hospices spent substantially more on direct patient care, driven by differences in nursing salaries. Relative to publicly traded company-owned and other for-profit hospices, PE-owned agencies reported the highest profits and lowest spending on direct patient care and nonsalary administrative services. PE-owned hospices also reported significantly greater expenses and revenues related to nursing facility room and board compared with all other ownership models. Our findings suggest that PE-owned hospices may follow distinct operational strategies, emphasizing nursing facility-based care and administrative efficiency while limiting direct patient care investments. Reduced spending on patient care may undermine hospice quality and shift costs to other areas of the health care system. To promote Medicare savings and better align payment with care delivery costs, policy makers could consider modifying the per diem model of hospice payment to reduce reimbursement when beneficiaries are co-located in nursing facilities.

PMID:41052380 | DOI:10.1377/hlthaff.2025.00327