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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Induction of social contagion for diverse outcomes in structured experiments in isolated villages

Science. 2024 May 3;384(6695):eadi5147. doi: 10.1126/science.adi5147. Epub 2024 May 3.

ABSTRACT

Certain people occupy topological positions within social networks that enhance their effectiveness at inducing spillovers. We mapped face-to-face networks among 24,702 people in 176 isolated villages in Honduras and randomly assigned villages to targeting methods, varying the fraction of households receiving a 22-month health education package and the method by which households were chosen (randomly versus using the friendship-nomination algorithm). We assessed 117 diverse knowledge, attitude, and practice outcomes. Friendship-nomination targeting reduced the number of households needed to attain specified levels of village-wide uptake. Knowledge spread more readily than behavior, and spillovers extended to two degrees of separation. Outcomes that were intrinsically easier to adopt also manifested greater spillovers. Network targeting using friendship nomination effectively promotes population-wide improvements in welfare through social contagion.

PMID:38696582 | DOI:10.1126/science.adi5147

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Analyzing the nexus between Chinese industrial policy and cross-border M&As

PLoS One. 2024 May 2;19(5):e0299030. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0299030. eCollection 2024.

ABSTRACT

In recent years, as China experiences economic expansion and its corporations become more global, it has notably become a central hub for cross-border mergers and acquisitions (M&A) on the world stage. The Chinese government, in tandem, leverages these international M&A operations to drive industrial transformation and progress in technology. This research investigates the role of China’s industrial policies in shaping cross-border M&A activities by examining recent instances. Findings indicate that relaxing financial barriers and applying specific industrial tactics bolster companies’ abilities to secure funding, consequently energizing cross-border M&A initiatives. Several firms in these international mergers and acquisitions are intricately connected to political strategies, markedly affecting the formulation of industrial policies. This assertion is corroborated through the analysis of relevant statistical evidence. The study methodically collects and scrutinizes data to quantitatively depict the current landscape and influencing elements of cross-border M&A, thus providing concrete evidence for policy and business strategy formulation.

PMID:38696535 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0299030

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Urban-rural disparities in COVID-19 hospitalisations and mortality: A population-based study on national surveillance data from Germany and Italy

PLoS One. 2024 May 2;19(5):e0301325. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0301325. eCollection 2024.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Recent literature has highlighted the overlapping contribution of demographic characteristics and spatial factors to urban-rural disparities in SARS-CoV-2 transmission and outcomes. Yet the interplay between individual characteristics, hospitalisation, and spatial factors for urban-rural disparities in COVID-19 mortality have received limited attention.

METHODS: To fill this gap, we use national surveillance data collected by the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control and we fit a generalized linear model to estimate the association between COVID-19 mortality and the individuals’ age, sex, hospitalisation status, population density, share of the population over the age of 60, and pandemic wave across urban, intermediate and rural territories.

FINDINGS: We find that in what type of territory individuals live (urban-intermediate-rural) accounts for a significant difference in their probability of dying given SARS-COV-2 infection. Hospitalisation has a large and positive effect on the probability of dying given SARS-CoV-2 infection, but with a gradient across urban, intermediate and rural territories. For those living in rural areas, the risk of dying is lower than in urban areas but only if hospitalisation was not needed; while for those who were hospitalised in rural areas the risk of dying was higher than in urban areas.

CONCLUSIONS: Together with individuals’ demographic characteristics (notably age), hospitalisation has the largest effect on urban-rural disparities in COVID-19 mortality net of other individual and regional characteristics, including population density and the share of the population over 60.

PMID:38696525 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0301325

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Glycemic control during TB treatment among Filipinos: The Starting Anti-Tuberculosis Treatment Cohort Study

PLOS Glob Public Health. 2024 May 2;4(5):e0003156. doi: 10.1371/journal.pgph.0003156. eCollection 2024.

ABSTRACT

Poor TB treatment outcomes are observed in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (DM) comorbidity and glycemic control throughout treatment may play a role. The objective of this study was to investigate glycemic control longitudinally among Filipino adults undergoing TB treatment using mixed-effects linear and logistic regression. Analyses were conducted in 188 DM-TB patients out of 901 enrolled in the Starting Anti-TB Treatment (St-ATT) cohort, with a median baseline glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA1c) of 8.2% (range 4.5-13.3%). Previous versus new DM diagnosis was associated with higher mean HbA1c (worse glycemic control) during treatment, with a smaller effect amongst those with central obesity (coefficient 0.80, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.26, 1.57, P = 0.043) than amongst those without central obesity (coefficient 3.48, 95% CI 2.16, 4.80, P<0.001). In those with a new DM diagnosis, central obesity was associated with higher blood glucose (coefficient 1.62, 95% CI 0.72, 2.53, P = 0.009). Of 177 participants with ≥2 HbA1c results, 40% had uncontrolled glycemia (≥2 HbA1c results ≥8%). Of 165 participants with ≥3 HbA1c results, 29.9% had consistently-controlled glycemia, 15.3% had initially-uncontrolled glycemia, and 18.6% had consistently-uncontrolled glycemia. Previous versus new DM diagnosis and glucose-lowering medication use versus no use were associated with having uncontrolled versus controlled glycemia (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 2.50 95%CI 1.61, 6.05, P = 0.042; aOR 4.78 95% CI 1.61,14.23, P<0.001) and more likely to have consistently-uncontrolled versus consistently-controlled glycemia (adjusted relative risk ratio [aRRR] 5.14 95% CI 1.37, 19.20, P = 0.015; aRRR 10.24 95% CI 0.07, 0.95, P = 0.003). Relapse cases of TB were less likely than new cases to have uncontrolled (aOR 0.20 95%CI 0.06, 0.63, P = 0.031) or consistently-uncontrolled (aRRR 0.25 95%CI 0.07, 0.95, P = 0.042) versus controlled glycemia. Those with long-term DM, suggested by previous diagnosis, glucose-lowering medication use and possibly central obesity, may require additional support to manage blood glucose during TB treatment.

PMID:38696522 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pgph.0003156

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

IT-Related Barriers and Facilitators to the Implementation of a New European eHealth Solution, the Digital Survivorship Passport (SurPass Version 2.0): Semistructured Digital Survey

J Med Internet Res. 2024 May 2;26:e49910. doi: 10.2196/49910.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: To overcome knowledge gaps and optimize long-term follow-up (LTFU) care for childhood cancer survivors, the concept of the Survivorship Passport (SurPass) has been invented. Within the European PanCareSurPass project, the semiautomated and interoperable SurPass (version 2.0) will be optimized, implemented, and evaluated at 6 LTFU care centers representing 6 European countries and 3 distinct health system scenarios: (1) national electronic health information systems (EHISs) in Austria and Lithuania, (2) regional or local EHISs in Italy and Spain, and (3) cancer registries or hospital-based EHISs in Belgium and Germany.

OBJECTIVE: We aimed to identify and describe barriers and facilitators for SurPass (version 2.0) implementation concerning semiautomation of data input, interoperability, data protection, privacy, and cybersecurity.

METHODS: IT specialists from the 6 LTFU care centers participated in a semistructured digital survey focusing on IT-related barriers and facilitators to SurPass (version 2.0) implementation. We used the fit-viability model to assess the compatibility and feasibility of integrating SurPass into existing EHISs.

RESULTS: In total, 13/20 (65%) invited IT specialists participated. The main barriers and facilitators in all 3 health system scenarios related to semiautomated data input and interoperability included unaligned EHIS infrastructure and the use of interoperability frameworks and international coding systems. The main barriers and facilitators related to data protection or privacy and cybersecurity included pseudonymization of personal health data and data retention. According to the fit-viability model, the first health system scenario provides the best fit for SurPass implementation, followed by the second and third scenarios.

CONCLUSIONS: This study provides essential insights into the information and IT-related influencing factors that need to be considered when implementing the SurPass (version 2.0) in clinical practice. We recommend the adoption of Health Level Seven Fast Healthcare Interoperability Resources and data security measures such as encryption, pseudonymization, and multifactor authentication to protect personal health data where applicable. In sum, this study offers practical insights into integrating digital health solutions into existing EHISs.

PMID:38696248 | DOI:10.2196/49910

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Harnessing Consumer Wearable Digital Biomarkers for Individualized Recognition of Postpartum Depression Using the All of Us Research Program Data Set: Cross-Sectional Study

JMIR Mhealth Uhealth. 2024 May 2;12:e54622. doi: 10.2196/54622.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Postpartum depression (PPD) poses a significant maternal health challenge. The current approach to detecting PPD relies on in-person postpartum visits, which contributes to underdiagnosis. Furthermore, recognizing PPD symptoms can be challenging. Therefore, we explored the potential of using digital biomarkers from consumer wearables for PPD recognition.

OBJECTIVE: The main goal of this study was to showcase the viability of using machine learning (ML) and digital biomarkers related to heart rate, physical activity, and energy expenditure derived from consumer-grade wearables for the recognition of PPD.

METHODS: Using the All of Us Research Program Registered Tier v6 data set, we performed computational phenotyping of women with and without PPD following childbirth. Intraindividual ML models were developed using digital biomarkers from Fitbit to discern between prepregnancy, pregnancy, postpartum without depression, and postpartum with depression (ie, PPD diagnosis) periods. Models were built using generalized linear models, random forest, support vector machine, and k-nearest neighbor algorithms and evaluated using the κ statistic and multiclass area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (mAUC) to determine the algorithm with the best performance. The specificity of our individualized ML approach was confirmed in a cohort of women who gave birth and did not experience PPD. Moreover, we assessed the impact of a previous history of depression on model performance. We determined the variable importance for predicting the PPD period using Shapley additive explanations and confirmed the results using a permutation approach. Finally, we compared our individualized ML methodology against a traditional cohort-based ML model for PPD recognition and compared model performance using sensitivity, specificity, precision, recall, and F1-score.

RESULTS: Patient cohorts of women with valid Fitbit data who gave birth included <20 with PPD and 39 without PPD. Our results demonstrated that intraindividual models using digital biomarkers discerned among prepregnancy, pregnancy, postpartum without depression, and postpartum with depression (ie, PPD diagnosis) periods, with random forest (mAUC=0.85; κ=0.80) models outperforming generalized linear models (mAUC=0.82; κ=0.74), support vector machine (mAUC=0.75; κ=0.72), and k-nearest neighbor (mAUC=0.74; κ=0.62). Model performance decreased in women without PPD, illustrating the method’s specificity. Previous depression history did not impact the efficacy of the model for PPD recognition. Moreover, we found that the most predictive biomarker of PPD was calories burned during the basal metabolic rate. Finally, individualized models surpassed the performance of a conventional cohort-based model for PPD detection.

CONCLUSIONS: This research establishes consumer wearables as a promising tool for PPD identification and highlights personalized ML approaches, which could transform early disease detection strategies.

PMID:38696234 | DOI:10.2196/54622

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

A Randomized, Double-Blind, Placebo-Controlled Pilot Trial of the Acute Antisuicidal and Antidepressant Effects of Intranasal (R,S)-Ketamine in Severe Unipolar and Bipolar Depression With and Without Comorbid Alcohol Use Disorder

J Clin Psychiatry. 2024 Apr 24;85(2):23m14974. doi: 10.4088/JCP.23m14974.

ABSTRACT

Objective: Although individuals with a family history of alcohol use disorder (AUD) have a superior antidepressant response to ketamine, outcomes in patients with current AUD remain unclear. This study sought to investigate whether intranasal (IN) racemic (R,S)-ketamine had antisuicidal and antidepressant effects in unipolar and bipolar depression and whether comorbid AUD conferred superior antisuicidal outcomes for patients.

Methods: This was a double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled trial (May 2018 to January 2022) of single administration, fixed-dose (50 mg) IN (R,S)-ketamine (or saline comparator) in unmedicated inpatients meeting Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, Fourth Edition, Text Revision, criteria for a current major depressive episode (bipolar or unipolar), with current suicidal ideation (SI) and past attempt. Patients with and without comorbid AUD were enrolled. Change in Scale for Suicide Ideation score was the primary outcome measure, and change in Montgomery-Åsberg Depression Rating Scale score was the secondary outcome measure.

Results: No significant group × time effect was noted for SI (F = 1.1, P = .36). A statistical trend toward superior improvement in suicidality was observed in participants with comorbid AUD. The group × time interaction was significant for improvements in depression (F = 3.06, P = .03) and largely unaffected by comorbid AUD or primary mood disorder type. Within the ketamine group, a significant correlation was observed between improvement in depressive symptoms and SI for patients without comorbid AUD (r =0.927, P = .023) that was absent in patients with AUD (r = 0.39, P = .44).

Conclusion: IN ketamine induced rapid antidepressant effects compared to placebo but did not significantly alter SI scores. The treatment was well tolerated. Continued investigation with IN ketamine as a practical alternative to current formulations is warranted.

Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT03539887.

PMID:38696221 | DOI:10.4088/JCP.23m14974

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A Fully Remote Randomized Trial of Transcranial Alternating Current Stimulation for the Acute Treatment of Major Depressive Disorder

J Clin Psychiatry. 2024 Apr 22;85(2):23m15078. doi: 10.4088/JCP.23m15078.

ABSTRACT

Objective: Major depressive disorder (MDD) is common, but current treatment options have significant limitations in terms of access and efficacy. This study examined the effectiveness of transcranial alternating current stimulation (tACS) for the acute treatment of MDD.

Methods: We performed a triple-blind, fully remote, randomized controlled trial comparing tACS with sham treatment. Adults aged 21-65 years meeting DSM 5 criteria for MDD and having a score on the Beck Depression Inventory, Second Edition (BDI-II), between 20 and 63 were eligible to participate. Participants utilized tACS or sham treatment for two 20-minute treatment sessions daily for 4 weeks. The primary outcome was change in BDI-II score from baseline to the week 2 time point in an intent-to treat analysis, followed by analyses of treatment-adherent participants. Secondary analyses examined change at the week 1 and 4 time points, responder rates, subgroup analyses, other self-report mood measures, and safety. The study was conducted from April to October 2022.

Results: A total of 255 participants were randomized to active or sham treatment. Improvement in intent-to-treat analysis was not statistically significant at week 2 (P= .056), but there were significant effects in participants with high adherence (P= .005). Significantly greater improvement at week 1 (P= .020) and greater response at week 4 (P= .028) occurred following tACS. Improvements were significantly larger for female participants. There were no significant effects on secondary mood measures. Side effects were minimal and mild.

Conclusions: Rapid, clinically significant improvement in depression in adults with MDD was associated with tACS, particularly for women. Compared to other depression therapies, tACS has 3 key advantages: rapid, clinically significant treatment effect, the ability of patients to use the treatment on their own at home, and the rarity and low impact of adverse events.

Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT05384041.

PMID:38696220 | DOI:10.4088/JCP.23m15078

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Deep-Learning Based Automated Segmentation and Quantitative Volumetric Analysis of Orbital Muscle and Fat for Diagnosis of Thyroid Eye Disease

Invest Ophthalmol Vis Sci. 2024 May 1;65(5):6. doi: 10.1167/iovs.65.5.6.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Thyroid eye disease (TED) is characterized by proliferation of orbital tissues and complicated by compressive optic neuropathy (CON). This study aims to utilize a deep-learning (DL)-based automated segmentation model to segment orbital muscle and fat volumes on computed tomography (CT) images and provide quantitative volumetric data and a machine learning (ML)-based classifier to distinguish between TED and TED with CON.

METHODS: Subjects with TED who underwent clinical evaluation and orbital CT imaging were included. Patients with clinical features of CON were classified as having severe TED, and those without were classified as having mild TED. Normal subjects were used for controls. A U-Net DL-model was used for automatic segmentation of orbital muscle and fat volumes from orbital CTs, and ensemble of Random Forest Classifiers were used for volumetric analysis of muscle and fat.

RESULTS: Two hundred eighty-one subjects were included in this study. Automatic segmentation of orbital tissues was performed. Dice coefficient was recorded to be 0.902 and 0.921 for muscle and fat volumes, respectively. Muscle volumes among normal, mild, and severe TED were found to be statistically different. A classification model utilizing volume data and limited patient data had an accuracy of 0.838 and an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.929 in predicting normal, mild TED, and severe TED.

CONCLUSIONS: DL-based automated segmentation of orbital images for patients with TED was found to be accurate and efficient. An ML-based classification model using volumetrics and metadata led to high diagnostic accuracy in distinguishing TED and TED with CON. By enabling rapid and precise volumetric assessment, this may be a useful tool in future clinical studies.

PMID:38696188 | DOI:10.1167/iovs.65.5.6

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Cancer Risk Among Children Born After Fertility Treatment

JAMA Netw Open. 2024 May 1;7(5):e249435. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2024.9435.

NO ABSTRACT

PMID:38696173 | DOI:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2024.9435