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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Relationship between preoperative neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and postoperative delirium: The PNDABLE and the PNDRFAP cohort studies

Brain Behav. 2023 Oct 13:e3281. doi: 10.1002/brb3.3281. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: In this study, the relationship between preoperative neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and Alzheimer-related biomarkers in cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) was investigated to determine whether high NLR is a potential risk factor for postoperative delirium (POD) and to evaluate its predictive efficacy.

METHODS: We selected 1000 patients from the perioperative neurocognitive disorder risk factor and prognosis (PNDRFAP) database and 999 patients from the perioperative neurocognitive disorder and biomarker lifestyle (PNDABLE) database. Patients in the PNDABLE database have been measured for Alzheimer-related biomarkers in CSF (Aβ40 , Aβ42 , P-tau, and tau protein). Mini-mental state examination was used to assess the preoperative mental status of patients. POD was diagnosed using the confusion assessment method and assessed for severity using the memorial delirium assessment scale. Logistic regression analysis was utilized to explore the association of preoperative NLR with POD. What’s more, we also performed sensitivity analysis by adding corrected confounders, and the results were almost unchanged. Spearman’s rank correlation was used to determine the associations between NLR and Alzheimer-related biomarkers. Mediation analyses with 10,000 bootstrapped iterations were used to explore the mediation effects. Finally, we use decision curves and the nomogram model to evaluate the efficacy of preoperative NLR in predicting POD; we also performed external validation using data from Qilu Hospital.

RESULT: Logistic regression results showed that an elevated preoperative NLR was a risk factor for the development of POD in patients (PNDRFAP: OR = 1.067, 95% CI 1.020-1.116; PNDABLE: OR = 1.182, 95% CI 1.048-1.335, p < .05). Spearman’s rank correlation analysis showed a positive but weak correlation between NLR and P-tau/T-tau (R = .065). The mediating effect results indicate that NLR likely mediates the occurrence of POD through elevated tau protein levels (proportion: 47.47%). The results of the box plots showed statistically significant NLR and CSF biomarkers between the POD and non-POD (NPOD) groups (p < .05), with higher NLR, P-tau, and T-tau in the POD group than in the NPOD group. In contrast, the NPOD group had higher Aβ42 levels compared to the POD group. In addition, we used R package to plot the decision curve and nomogram both suggesting a good predictive effect of preoperative NLR on the occurrence of POD.

CONCLUSION: Elevated preoperative NLR levels may be a risk factor for POD and likely mediate the development of POD through elevated P-tau/T-tau levels.

PMID:37830267 | DOI:10.1002/brb3.3281

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The Role of Adjuvant Therapy in Duodenal Adenocarcinoma and Intestinal Subtype Ampullary Carcinoma after Curative Resection

Ann Surg. 2023 Oct 13. doi: 10.1097/SLA.0000000000006129. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Defining the role of adjuvant therapy in duodenal adenocarcinoma (DAC) and intestinal subtype ampullary carcinoma (iAC).

SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: DAC and iAC share a similar histological differentiation but the benefit of adjuvant therapy remains unclear.

METHODS: Patients undergoing curative-intent surgical resection for DAC and iAC between 2010 and 2021 at five high-volume centers were included. Patient baseline, perioperative and long-term oncological outcomes were evaluated. Statistical testing was performed with SPSS 25 (IBM).

RESULTS: A total of 136 patients with DAC and 171 with iAC were identified. Patients with DAC had more advanced tumors than those with iAC. Median overall survival (OS) in DAC patients was 101 months versus 155 months for iAC patients (P=0.098). DAC had a higher rate of local (14.1% vs. 1.2%, P<0.001) and systemic recurrence (30.4% vs. 3.5%, P<0.001). Adjuvant therapy failed to improve overall survival in all patients with DAC and iAC. For DAC, patients with perineural invasion, but not other negative prognostic factors had improved OS rates with adjuvant therapy (72 m vs. 44 m, P=0.044). IAC patients with N+ (190 m vs. 57 m, P=0.003), T3-4 (177 m vs. 59 m, P=0.050) and perineural invasion (150 m vs. 59 m, P=0.019) had improved OS rates with adjuvant therapy.

CONCLUSION: While adjuvant therapy fails to improve OS in all patients with DAC and iAC in the current study, it improved overall survival in DAC patients with perineural invasion and in iAC patients with T3-4 tumors, positive lymph nodes, and perineural invasion.

PMID:37830246 | DOI:10.1097/SLA.0000000000006129

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Unraveling the debate: Can the skin manifestations of SARS-CoV-2 infection and vaccination be explained by the reactivation of herpes virus?

J Dermatol. 2023 Oct 13. doi: 10.1111/1346-8138.16984. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Since the COVID-19 outbreak, there have been numerous reports concerning COVID-19 skin manifestations. Debate has ensued as to whether these lesions are unique or represent a form of viral reactivation. The aim of this research was to compare the incidence of herpetic skin lesions between a COVID-19 group, a Sars-CoV-2 mRNA vaccination group, and their respective controls, taking into account their Herpesviridae carrier status. To achieve this goal, the Maccabi Healthcare Services’ database was scanned and cohorts of both verified COVID-19 and mRNA vaccinated patients were extracted and matched to random control groups. Patients with a documented occurrence of any Herpesviridae infection that occurred prior to the studied ‘event’ (i.e., COVID-19 or mRNA vaccination) were regarded as carriers of Herpesviridae. A COVID-19-related or vaccination-related lesion was defined as a clinically diagnosed herpetic lesion appearing 1 month after the index date. In the COVID-19 cohort, there was an insignificant difference in herpetic lesion incidence between the groups. However, logistic regression demonstrated that the interaction of COVID-19 with the Herpesviridae carrier status was statistically significant. For the vaccination cohort, the data showed statistically significant differences between groups in herpetic frequencies, which manifested as an almost 2-fold odds of developing a herpetic lesion. In conclusion, following the analysis of two large cohorts, there is evidence to support the contribution of both COVID-19 and the mRNA vaccine to the reactivation of Herpesviridae. Our results diminish the idea that COVID-19 has unique, herpetic-like lesions.

PMID:37830227 | DOI:10.1111/1346-8138.16984

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Comparing TIMI, HEART, and GRACE Risk Scores to Predict Angiographic Severity of Coronary Artery Disease and 30-Day Major Adverse Cardiac Events in Emergency Department Patients with NSTEACS

Prehosp Disaster Med. 2023 Oct 13:1-9. doi: 10.1017/S1049023X23006490. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Acute coronary syndromes (ACS) are hard to diagnose because their clinical presentation is broad. Current guidelines suggest early clinical risk stratification to the optimal site of care. The aim of this study was to investigate the ability of Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI); History, Electrocardiogram, Age, Risk Factors, Troponin (HEART); and Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) risk scores to predict the development of major adverse cardiac events (MACE) and the angiographic severity of coronary artery disease (CAD) in patients diagnosed with non-ST-segment elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTEACS) in the emergency department (ED). In addition, independent variables associated with the development of MACE were also examined.

METHODS: This study is a prospective, observational, single-center study. All patients over 18 years of age who were planned to be hospitalized for pre-diagnosed NSTEACS (NSTEMI + UAP) were included in the study consecutively. Patients’ demographic information and all variables necessary for calculating risk scores (TIMI, HEART, and GRACE) were recorded. Two experienced cardiologists evaluated all coronary angiograms and calculated the Gensini score.

RESULTS: The median age was 60 (IQR: 18) years, and 220 (61.6%) were male of the 357 patients included in the study. In this study, 91 MACE (52 percutaneous coronary interventions [PCI], 28 coronary artery bypass graft [CABG], three cerebrovascular disease [CVD], and eight deaths) occurred. The 30-day MACE rate was 25.5%. The low-risk group constituted 40.0%, 1.4%, and 68.0% of the population, respectively, in TIMI, HEART, and GRACE scores. Multiple logistic regression models for predicting MACE, age (P = .005), mean arterial pressure (MAP; P = .015), and High-Sensitive Troponin I (P = .004) were statistically significant.

CONCLUSION: The ability of the GRACE, HEART, and TIMI risk scores to predict severe CAD in patients with NSTEACS is similar. In patients with NSTEACS, the HEART and GRACE risk scores can better predict the development of MACE than the TIMI risk score. When low-risk groups are evaluated according to the three risk scores, the HEART score is more reliable to exclude the diagnosis of NSTEACS.

PMID:37830209 | DOI:10.1017/S1049023X23006490

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Comparative Discrimination of Life’s Simple 7 and Life’s Essential 8 to Stratify Cardiovascular Risk: Is the Added Complexity Worth It?

Circulation. 2023 Oct 13. doi: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.123.065472. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Life’s Simple 7 (LS7) is an easily calculated and interpreted metric of cardiovascular health based on 7 domains: smoking, diet, physical activity, body mass index, blood pressure, cholesterol, and fasting glucose. The Life’s Essential 8 (LE8) metric was subsequently introduced, adding sleep metrics and revisions of the previous 7 domains. Although calculating LE8 requires additional information, we hypothesized that it would be a more reliable index of cardiovascular health.

METHODS: Both the LS7 and LE8 metrics yield scores with higher values indicating lower risk. These were calculated among 11 609 Black and White participants free of baseline cardiovascular disease (CVD) in the Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke study, enrolled in 2003 to 2007, and followed for a median of 13 years. Differences in 10-year risk of incident CVD (coronary heart disease or stroke) were calculated as a function LS7, and LE8 scores were calculated using Kaplan-Meier and proportional hazards analyses. Differences in incident CVD discrimination were quantified by difference in the c-statistic.

RESULTS: For both LS7 and LE8, the 10-year risk was approximately 5% for participants around the 99th percentile of scores, and a 4× higher 20% risk for participants around the first percentile. Comparing LS7 to LE8, 10-year risk was nearly identical for individuals at the same relative position in score distribution. For example, the “cluster” of 2013 participants with an LS7 score of 7 was at the 35.8th percentile in distribution of LS7 scores, and had an estimated 10-year CVD risk of 8.4% (95% CI, 7.2%-9.8%). In a similar location in the LE8 distribution, the 1457 participants with an LE8 score of 60±2.5 at the 39.4th percentile of LE8 scores, with a 10-year risk of CVD of 8.5% (95% CI, 7.1%-10.1%), similar to the cluster defined by LS7. The age-race-sex adjusted c-statistic of the LS7 model was 0.691 (95% CI, 0.667-0.705), and 0.695 for LE8 (95% CI, 0.681-0.709) (P for difference, 0.12).

CONCLUSIONS: Both LS7 and LE8 were associated with incident CVD, with discrimination of the 2 indices practically indistinguishable. As a simpler metric, LS7 may be favored for use by the general population and clinicians.

PMID:37830200 | DOI:10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.123.065472

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Risk Assessment Score and χ2 Automatic Interaction Detection Algorithm for Hypertension Among Africans: Models From the SIREN Study

Hypertension. 2023 Oct 13. doi: 10.1161/HYPERTENSIONAHA.122.20572. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to develop a risk-scoring model for hypertension among Africans.

METHODS: In this study, 4413 stroke-free controls were used to develop the risk-scoring model for hypertension. Logistic regression models were applied to 13 vascular risk factors. We randomly split the data set into training and testing data at a ratio of 80:20. Constant and standardized weights were assigned to factors significantly associated with hypertension in the regression model to develop a probability risk score on a scale of 0% to 100% using a logistic regression model. The model accuracy was assessed to estimate the cutoff score for discriminating between hypertensives.

RESULTS: Mean age was 59.9±13.3, 56.0% were hypertensives, and 7 factors, including diabetes, age in years, waist circumference, body mass index, highest education completed, family history of cardiovascular diseases, and current alcohol use, were associated with hypertension. Cohen κ was maximal at ≥0.28, and a total probability risk score of ≥0.60 was adopted for both statistical weighting for risk quantification of hypertension in both data sets. The probability risk score presented a good performance-receiver operating characteristic: 64% (95% CI, 61.0-68.0), a sensitivity of 55.1%, specificity of 71.5%, positive predicted value of 70.9%, and negative predicted value of 55.8%, in the test data set. Similarly, decision tree had a predictive accuracy of 67.7% (95% CI, 66.1-69.3) for the training set and 64.6% (95% CI, 61.0-68.0) for the testing data set.

CONCLUSIONS: The novel risk assessment model discriminated hypertensives with good accuracy and will be helpful in the early identification of community-based Africans vulnerable to hypertension for its primary prevention.

PMID:37830199 | DOI:10.1161/HYPERTENSIONAHA.122.20572

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Accurate staging of chick embryonic tissues via deep learning of salient features

Development. 2023 Oct 13:dev.202068. doi: 10.1242/dev.202068. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Recent work shows that the developmental potential of progenitor cells in the HH10 chick brain changes rapidly, accompanied by subtle changes in morphology. This demands increased temporal resolution for studies of the brain at this stage, necessitating precise and unbiased staging. Here we asked if we could train a deep convolutional neural network to sub-stage HH10 chick brains using a small dataset of 151 expertly labelled images. By augmenting our images with biologically-informed transformations and data-driven preprocessing steps, we successfully trained a classifier to sub-stage HH10 brains to 87.1% test accuracy. To determine whether our classifier could be generally applied, we re-trained it using images (<250) of randomised control and experimental chick wings, and obtained similarly high test accuracy (86.1%). Saliency analyses revealed that biologically relevant features are used for classification. Our strategy enables training of image classifiers for various applications in developmental biology with limited microscopy data.

PMID:37830145 | DOI:10.1242/dev.202068

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Ischemic patterns and their angiographic risk factors in adult patients with moyamoya disease

Ann Clin Transl Neurol. 2023 Oct 13. doi: 10.1002/acn3.51927. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: The present study aims to determine whether angiographic differences increase the risk of ischemic pattern among adult patients with moyamoya disease (MMD).

METHODS: From January 2020 to December 2021, we retrospectively enrolled 123 ischemic or asymptomatic adult patients diagnosed as MMD. Angiographic changes including Suzuki stage, moyamoya vessels, anterior choroidal artery (AChoA) dilatation, lenticulostriate artery (LSA) dilatation, posterior communicating artery (PcomA) dilatation, and posterior cerebral artery (PCA) involvement were evaluated for all patients.

RESULTS: Among the 123 participants, 35 ischemic patients and 88 asymptomatic patients were analyzed. There was no significant difference of Suzuki stage, AChoA dilatation, LSA dilatation, and PcomA dilatation between ischemic group and asymptomatic group. The grading of moyamoya vessels differed significantly but was not a factor associated with ischemic pattern after adjusting multiple related confounders. However, the frequency of PCA steno-occlusive changes in ischemic patients was statistically higher than that in asymptomatic patients (54.3% vs 34.1%, p = 0.039). Furthermore, PCA involvement was a risk factor associated with ischemic form and remained statistically significant after the multivariate adjustment (p = 0.033, 95% CI 1.092-8.310).

INTERPRETATION: PCA involvement is closely related to the presentation of ischemic stroke but other angiographic features had no association with ischemic pattern in adult MMD.

PMID:37830135 | DOI:10.1002/acn3.51927

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Gelatin methacryloyl hydrogel with and without dental pulp stem cells for TMJ regeneration: An in vivo study in rabbits

J Oral Rehabil. 2023 Oct 13. doi: 10.1111/joor.13608. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: In the last decade, tissue-engineering strategies for regenerating the temporomandibular joint (TMJ) have been investigated. This may be a promising strategy for the minimally invasive restoration of joint integrity.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate whether dental pulp stem cells (DPSCs) loaded in a light-occured hydrogel made of gelatin methacryloyl (GelMA) enhance the regeneration of osteochondral defects in the rabbit TMJ.

MATERIALS AND METHODS: Defects were filled with GelMA alone (control group; n = 4) or filled with GelMA loaded with rabbit DPSCs (experimental group; n = 4), In one group, the TMJ capsule was opened without creating a defect (sham group; n = 2). The following micro-CT parameters were analysed: bone volume to total volume ratio (BV/TV%) and bone mineral density (BMD). Histological evaluation was performed to assess cartilage regeneration features. A semi-quantitative scoring system was also used to evaluate the defects.

RESULTS: All groups had no statistical difference regarding the micro-CT parameters. The highest mean healing score was found for the experimental group. After 4 weeks, there were no signs of hydrogel in either group or no signs of inflammation in the adjacent tissues. The tissue formed in the defect was dense fibrous connective tissue.

CONCLUSION: Adding DPSCs to GelMA did not provide a regenerative enhancement in TMJ osteochondral defects. This resulted in similar micro-CT parameters after 4 weeks of healing, with improved signs of subchondral bone regeneration but no cartilage regeneration.

PMID:37830126 | DOI:10.1111/joor.13608

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Efficacy evaluation of transaxillary non-inflatable endoscopic surgery and open neck surgery in the treatment of PTC: a single center report of 342 cases

Lin Chuang Er Bi Yan Hou Tou Jing Wai Ke Za Zhi. 2023 Sep;37(9):695-699;707. doi: 10.13201/j.issn.2096-7993.2023.09.003.

ABSTRACT

Objective:To compare the clinical effect of transaxillary non-inflatable endoscopic surgery and traditional open thyroid surgery in the treatment of PTC. Methods:A retrospective analysis was performed on 342 patients with PTC treated in the Otorhinolaryngology Department of Qilu Hospital of Shandong University from December 2020 to December 2022. There were 73 males and 269 females, aged 16-72 years, who underwent unilateral non-inflatable transaxillary endoscopic thyroid surgery(endoscopic group) and unilateral traditional open thyroid surgery(open group). There were 108 patients in the endoscopic group and 234 in the open group. Results:The endoscopic group was lower in age(37.1±9.4 vs 43.5±11.2) years and BMI(23.4±3.4 vs 25.7±3.8 )kg/m² than that in the open group, and the difference was statistically significant(t was 5.53, 5.67 respectively, P<0.01). There was no significant difference in hospitalization days between the two groups(P>0.05). The logarithmic curve of the operation time showed a smooth downward trend, and the overall operation time of the endoscopic group was relatively consistent. There was no significant difference in intraoperative blood loss between the endoscopic group(13.3±3.2) mL and the open group(14.7±6.3) mL(P>0.05), but the operation time(130.1±37.9) min was longer than that in the open group(57.4±13.7) min, and the difference was statistically significant(t=19.40, P<0.01). There was no significant difference in complications such as temporary recurrent laryngeal nerve injury within 3 days after operation between the two groups(P>0.05). The aesthetic satisfaction score of the surgical incision and the incision concealment effect score in the endoscopic group were higher than those in the open group, and the difference was statistically significant(P<0.05). Conclusion:Compared with traditional open thyroidectomy, transaxillary non-inflatable endoscopic thyroidectomy has more advantages in the concealment and aesthetics of postoperative incision. Although the former has longer operation time and more drainage, it is still a safe and feasible surgical method with good postoperative clinical effect.

PMID:37830118 | DOI:10.13201/j.issn.2096-7993.2023.09.003