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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Finding analytical approximations for discrete, stochastic, individual-based models of ecology

Math Biosci. 2023 Sep 29:109084. doi: 10.1016/j.mbs.2023.109084. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Discrete time, spatially extended models play an important role in ecology, modelling population dynamics of species ranging from micro-organisms to birds. An important question is how’bottom up’, individual-based models can be approximated by’top down’ models of dynamics. Here, we study a class of spatially explicit individual-based models with contest competition: where species compete for space in local cells and then disperse to nearby cells. We start by describing simulations of the model, which exhibit large-scale discrete oscillations and characterise these oscillations by measuring spatial correlations. We then develop two new approximate descriptions of the resulting spatial population dynamics. The first is based on local interactions of the individuals and allows us to give a difference equation approximation of the system over small dispersal distances. The second approximates the long-range interactions of the individual-based model. These approximations capture demographic stochasticity from the individual-based model and show that dispersal stabilizes population dynamics. We calculate extinction probability for the individual-based model and show convergence between the local approximation and the non-spatial global approximation of the individual-based model as dispersal distance and population size simultaneously tend to infinity. Our results provide new approximate analytical descriptions of a complex bottom-up model and deepen understanding of spatial population dynamics.

PMID:37778619 | DOI:10.1016/j.mbs.2023.109084

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Dexmedetomidine against intestinal ischemia/reperfusion injury: A systematic review and meta-analysis of preclinical studies

Eur J Pharmacol. 2023 Sep 29:176090. doi: 10.1016/j.ejphar.2023.176090. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Intestinal ischemia/reperfusion injury (IRI) is a multifactorial, complex pathophysiological process in clinical settings. In recent years, intestinal IRI has received increasing attention due to increased morbidity and mortality. To date, there are no effective treatments. Dexmedetomidine (DEX), a highly selective α2-adrenergic receptor agonist, has been demonstrated to be effective against intestinal IRI. In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we evaluated the efficacy and potential mechanisms of DEX as a treatment for intestinal IRI in animal models.

METHODS: Five databases (PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, and Scopus) were searched until March 15, 2023. Using the SYRCLE risk bias tool, we assessed methodological quality. Statistical analysis was conducted using STATA 12 and R 4.2.2. We analyzed the related outcomes (mucosa damage-related indicators; inflammation-relevant markers, oxidative stress markers) relied on the fixed or random-effects models.

RESULTS: There were 15 articles including 18 studies included, and 309 animals were involved in the studies. Compared to the model groups, DEX improved intestinal IRI. DEX decreased Chiu’s score and serum diamine oxidase (DAO) level. DEX reduced the level of inflammation-relevant markers (interleukin (IL)-1β, IL-6, tumor necrosis factor (TNF)-α). DEX also improved oxidative stress (decreased malondialdehyde (MDA), increased superoxide dismutase (SOD)).

CONCLUSIONS: DEX’s effectiveness in ameliorating intestinal IRI has been demonstrated in animal models. Antioxidation, anti-inflammation, anti-apoptotic, anti-pyroptosis, anti-ferroptosis, enhancing mitophagy, reshaping the gut microbiota, and gut barrier protection are possible mechanisms. However, in light of the heterogeneity and methodological quality of these studies, further well-designed preclinical studies are warranted before clinical implication.

PMID:37778612 | DOI:10.1016/j.ejphar.2023.176090

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Adopting a child perspective for exposome research on mental health and cognitive development – Conceptualisation and opportunities

Environ Res. 2023 Sep 29:117279. doi: 10.1016/j.envres.2023.117279. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Mental disorders among children and adolescents pose a significant global challenge. The exposome framework covering the totality of internal, social and physical exposures over a lifetime provides opportunities to better understand the causes of and processes related to mental health, and cognitive functioning. The paper presents a conceptual framework on exposome, mental health, and cognitive development in children and adolescents, with potential mediating pathways, providing a possibility for interventions along the life course. The paper underscores the significance of adopting a child perspective to the exposome, acknowledging children’s specific vulnerability, including differential exposures, susceptibility of effects and capacity to respond; their susceptibility during development and growth, highlighting neurodevelopmental processes from conception to young adulthood that are highly sensitive to external exposures. Further, critical periods when exposures may have significant effects on a child’s development and future health are addressed. The paper stresses that children’s behaviour, physiology, activity pattern and place for activities make them differently vulnerable to environmental pollutants, and calls for child-specific assessment methods, currently lacking within today’s health frameworks. The importance of understanding the interplay between structure and agency is emphasized, where agency is guided by social structures and practices and vice-versa. An intersectional approach that acknowledges the interplay of social and physical exposures as well as a global and rural perspective on exposome is further pointed out. To advance the exposome field, interdisciplinary efforts that involve multiple scientific disciplines are crucial. By adopting a child perspective and incorporating an exposome approach, we can gain a comprehensive understanding of how exposures impact children’s mental health and cognitive development leading to better outcomes.

PMID:37778607 | DOI:10.1016/j.envres.2023.117279

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Floodplain lakes as an indicator of increasing industrial pollution – Case study from a fertilizer factory in Poland

Environ Res. 2023 Sep 29:117278. doi: 10.1016/j.envres.2023.117278. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Despite the development of organic farming, the demand for mineral fertilizers is still high. Processes of fertilizer production are water-consuming, which is why factories are often located near large rivers. Such facilities should be monitored in detail because they might pose a threat to water quality. The aim of this study was to analyse the impact of a nitrogen fertilizer factory chemical wastewater treatment plant (CWTP) on the water quality of nearby river-lake systems. Potential contamination could indicate installation defects. Six floodplain lakes were selected for analysis: 3 located within the embanked area and three outside the embanked area, all close to the CWTP. Two similar lakes 30 km upstream were chosen as controls. Water samples were taken monthly from March to November 2022. We analysed pH, electrical conductivity (EC), the content of Cl, total nitrogen (TN), NH4+, NO3, total phosphorus (TP), PO43-, dissolved organic carbon (DOC), Ca2+, K+, Mg2+ and Na+. Statistical analysis indicated that the canal that drains, among others, the cooling towers wastewater, might have an impact on the nearby lakes, significantly increasing their content of Cl and Na+. On the other hand, the concentration of NH4+ was significantly higher in the lakes located downstream of the CWTP, although they did not have any surface connection with the CWTP reservoir. This fact and NH4+-polluted water seeping under the dike indicate that the CWTP reservoir might be leaking. Further research on underground water is required to establish whether the CWTP reservoir is properly secured. It is extremely important because the CWTP is located in the Vistula River valley, which supplies drinking water to almost 2 mln people. Any damage to the reservoir, e.g., during a flood, would lead to an ecological disaster involving not only the Vistula but also the Baltic Sea, affecting millions of people.

PMID:37778598 | DOI:10.1016/j.envres.2023.117278

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Molecularly Imprinted Polymer Interface on Screen-Printed ZnO Nanorod Field Effect Transistors for Serotonin Detection in Clinical Samples

ACS Biomater Sci Eng. 2023 Sep 25. doi: 10.1021/acsbiomaterials.3c00869. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Ultrasensitive detection of serotonin is crucial for the early diagnosis of several diseases like Parkinson’s and Alzheimer’s. Most of the existing detection strategies are still not suitable for sensitive point-of-care applications. This study presents direct molecular imprinting of serotonin on the surface of three-dimensional zinc oxide (ZnO) nanorod devices connected in a field effect transistor (FET) configuration to achieve ultrasensitive, real-time, and rapid detection with a convenient and affordable approach, which has significant potential for translation to clinical settings. This strategy has enabled pushing the detection limit to 0.1 fM in a physiological analyte in real time with screen-printed electrodes, thereby resulting in the convenient batch fabrication of sensors for clinical validation. The response of the sensor with the clinical sample has been correlated with that of the gold standard and has been observed to be statistically similar.

PMID:37747783 | DOI:10.1021/acsbiomaterials.3c00869

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

An Unstructured Supplementary Service Data System to Verify HIV Self-Testing Among Nigerian Youths: Mixed Methods Analysis of Usability and Feasibility

JMIR Form Res. 2023 Sep 25;7:e44402. doi: 10.2196/44402.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Mobile health (mHealth) interventions among adolescents and young adults (AYAs) are increasingly available in African low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). For example, the unstructured supplementary service data (USSD) could be used to verify HIV self-testing (HIVST) among AYAs with poor bandwidth.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study is to describe the creation of an USSD platform and determine its feasibility and usability to promote the verification of HIVST results among AYAs in Nigeria.

METHODS: We developed and evaluated a USSD platform to verify HIVST results using a user-centered approach. The USSD platform guided AYAs in performing HIVST, interpreting the result, and providing linkage to care after the test. Following the usability assessment, the USSD platform was piloted. We used a mixed methods study to assess the platform’s usability through a process of quantitative heuristic assessment, a qualitative think-aloud method, and an exit interview. Descriptive statistics of quantitative data and inductive thematic analysis of qualitative variables were organized.

RESULTS: A total of 19 AYAs participated in the usability test, with a median age of 19 (IQR 16-23) years. There were 11 females, 8 males, and 0 nonbinary individuals. All individuals were out-of-school AYAs. Seven of the 10 Nielsen usability heuristics assessed yielded positive results. The participants found the USSD platform easy to use, preferred the simplicity of the system, felt no need for a major improvement in the design of the platform, and were happy the system provided linkage to care following the interpretation of the HIVST results. The pilot field test of the platform enrolled 164 out-of-school AYAs, mostly young girls and women (101, 61.6%). The mean age was 17.5 (SD 3.18) years, and 92.1% (151/164) of the participants reported that they were heterosexual, while 7.9% (13/164) reported that they were gay. All the participants in the pilot study were able to conduct HIVST, interpret their results, and use the linkage to care feature of the USSD platform without any challenge. A total of 7.9% (13/164) of the AYAs had positive HIV results (reactive to the OraQuick kit).

CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrated the usability and feasibility of using a USSD system as an alternative to mobile phone apps to verify HIVST results among Nigerian youth without smartphone access. Therefore, the use of a USSD platform has implications for the verification of HIVST in areas with low internet bandwidth. Further pragmatic trials are needed to scale up this approach.

PMID:37747780 | DOI:10.2196/44402

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The Effect of Breastfeeding on the Newborn’s Comfort and Pain Levels During Heel Blood Collection

Compr Child Adolesc Nurs. 2023 Sep 25:1-11. doi: 10.1080/24694193.2023.2259991. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

This research was planned to determine the effect of breastfeeding on newborns’ behavioral pain and comfort scores during heel blood collection. A pretest/posttest experimental-control group design was used. The research was conducted between August 2021 and June 2022. A total of 50 newborns, including 25 in each of the experimental and control groups, were included in the study. An Infant Descriptive Information Form, the COMFORTneo Behaviour Scale, the NIPS-Neonatal Infant Pain Scale, and the LATCH Breastfeeding Diagnosis and Assessment Tool were used in the study. The comfort behaviors and pain scores of infants in the experimental and control groups were evaluated during the heel blood collection process. The comparison of the comfort behaviors (comfort, pain, and distress), differences between pretest-posttest scores on the NIPPS pain score, and crying duration of the newborns in the experimental and control groups indicated a significant difference (p 0.05). The intra-group differences between the mean pretest and posttest scores of both the intervention and control groups were found to be statistically significant (p 0.05). Breastfeeding is an important nursing intervention for reducing procedural pain in newborns. The breastfeeding method reduces pain and distress and increases comfort for newborns during the heel blood collection process.

PMID:37747770 | DOI:10.1080/24694193.2023.2259991

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Sensitisation to peach allergen Pru p 7 is associated with severe clinical symptoms in a Spanish population

Pediatr Allergy Immunol. 2023 Sep;34(9):e14030. doi: 10.1111/pai.14030.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Pru p 7 has been reported as a major allergen in peach allergy, associated with severe clinical symptoms and related to IgE sensitisation to cypress pollen. The main objective of this study was to prospectively evaluate the frequency of sensitisation to Pru p 7 and its clinical relevance amongst pediatric patients with peach allergy in Madrid (Spain).

METHODS: Patients with a history of IgE-mediated symptoms (oral allergy syndrome, urticaria/angioedema, rhinoconjunctivitis/asthma, gastrointestinal symptoms, or anaphylaxis) occurring within 2 h after peach intake or contact were prospectively recruited from February 2020 to September 2021. Skin tests, sIgE by ImmunoCAP® (Pru p 1, Pru p 3, Pru p 4, Pru p 7, and Cupressus arizonica) and oral food challenge (OFC) were performed. The study was approved by the local Ethics Committee (PI-4513).

RESULTS: Ninety-two patients were included (53.3% male); median age, 10 (IQR 6.0-14.75) years. Seventy-four (80.4%) patients had a reaction after ingestion of fresh peach (25.0% from peel, 23.9% from pulp, and 44.6% from both). Fifteen (16.3%) patients were sensitised to Pru p 7. Upper airway symptoms, anaphylaxis, and grade 2 reactions were statistically more frequent in patients sensitised to Pru p 7. Seven (7.9%) patients presented with exercise as a cofactor, four of whom were sensitised to Pru p 7 (p = .001). Patients sensitised to Pru p 7 were significantly more likely to have a positive OFC result than patients who were not (p = .008). Four patients who reacted to peach at OFC were sensitised to Pru p 7. Specific IgE against Cupressus arizonica pollen was positive in 25 (62.5%) patients.

CONCLUSIONS: Pru p 7 sensitisation was observed in 16.3% of our population and was related to severe reactions, upper airway symptoms, anaphylaxis, and the presence of an eliciting cofactor.

PMID:37747756 | DOI:10.1111/pai.14030

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Atopic outcomes at 2 years in the CORAL cohort, born in COVID-19 lockdown

Pediatr Allergy Immunol. 2023 Sep;34(9):e14013. doi: 10.1111/pai.14013.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: The CORAL study is a cohort of infants born during the first weeks of the first SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) lockdown. This cohort has had lower antibiotic exposure, higher breastfeeding rates and lower infection rates, especially in the first year of life. We hypothesized that the altered early-life environment of infants born during lockdown would change the incidence of allergic conditions.

METHODS: This longitudinal, observational study followed 365 infants born between March and May 2020 from enrolment to the age of 2 years. Infants attended three research appointments at 6-, 12-, and 24-months and completed detailed questionnaires. At research appointments, children had skin prick testing, and atopic dermatitis (AD) assessment. Statistical analysis focused on changes within the group at different time points, the influence of specific environmental factors on allergic risk and compared the incidence of atopic conditions with a pre-pandemic Irish infant cohort, BASELINE.

RESULTS: AD was more common in CORAL group at both 12 (26.5% vs. 15.5%; p < .001) and 24 months (21.3% vs. 15.9%; p = .02) compared with pre-pandemic BASELINE cohort. Within the CORAL group, those with AD at both 12- and 24-month appointments had a more severe AD phenotype associated with a higher risk of allergic sensitization. There was less milk (0% vs. 1%; p = .09), peanut (0.6% vs. 1.8%; p = .3), and egg allergy (0% vs. 2.9%; p < .001) in the CORAL group at 24 months compared with the BASELINE cohort. Aeroallergen sensitization increased between 12 and 24 months in the CORAL cohort (1.5% vs. 8.9%; p < .001), as did parent-reported wheezing episodes (9% vs. 24%; p < .001).

CONCLUSIONS: Despite higher AD incidence in the CORAL cohort, the incidence of food sensitization and allergy are lower than expected pre-pandemic rates possibly reflecting the early introduction and maintenance of dietary allergens enhanced by changes in infant infections, antibiotic use, and breastfeeding in the first 2 years of life in the group. These beneficial effects of the lockdown could be outweighing the expected risk of less early-life microbial encounters outlined by the hygiene hypothesis.

PMID:37747751 | DOI:10.1111/pai.14013

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Neighborhood Characteristics and Elevated Blood Pressure in Older Adults

JAMA Netw Open. 2023 Sep 5;6(9):e2335534. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.35534.

ABSTRACT

IMPORTANCE: The local environment remains an understudied contributor to elevated blood pressure among older adults. Untargeted approaches can identify neighborhood conditions interrelated with racial segregation that drive hypertension disparities.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate independent associations of sociodemographic, economic, and housing neighborhood factors with elevated blood pressure.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: In this cohort study, the sample included Health and Retirement Study participants who had between 1 and 3 sets of biennial sphygmomanometer readings from 2006 to 2014 or 2008 to 2016. Statistical analyses were conducted from February 5 to November 30, 2021.

EXPOSURES: Fifty-one standardized American Community Survey census tract variables (2005-2009).

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Elevated sphygmomanometer readings over the study period (6-year period prevalence): a value of at least 140 mm Hg for systolic blood pressure and/or at least 90 mm Hg for diastolic blood pressure. Participants were divided 50:50 into training and test data sets. Generalized estimating equations were used to summarize multivariable associations between each neighborhood variable and the period prevalence of elevated blood pressure, adjusting for individual-level covariates. Any neighborhood factor associated (Simes-adjusted for multiple comparisons P ≤ .05) with elevated blood pressure in the training data set was rerun in the test data set to gauge model performance. Lastly, in the full cohort, race- and ethnicity-stratified associations were evaluated for each identified neighborhood factor on the likelihood of elevated blood pressure.

RESULTS: Of 12 946 participants, 4565 (35%) had elevated sphygmomanometer readings (median [IQR] age, 68 [63-73] years; 2283 [50%] male; 228 [5%] Hispanic or Latino, 502 [11%] non-Hispanic Black, and 3761 [82%] non-Hispanic White). Between 2006 and 2016, a lower likelihood of elevated blood pressure was observed (relative risk for highest vs lowest tertile, 0.91; 95% CI, 0.86-0.96) among participants residing in a neighborhood with recent (post-1999) in-migration of homeowners. This association was precise among participants with non-Hispanic White and other race and ethnicity (relative risk, 0.91; 95% CI, 0.85-0.97) but not non-Hispanic Black participants (relative risk, 0.97; 95% CI, 0.85-1.11; P = .48 for interaction) or Hispanic or Latino participants (relative risk, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.65-1.09; P = .78 for interaction).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this cohort study of older adults, recent relocation of homeowners to a neighborhood was robustly associated with reduced likelihood of elevated blood pressure among White participants but not their racially and ethnically marginalized counterparts. Our findings indicate that gentrification may influence later-life blood pressure control.

PMID:37747730 | DOI:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.35534