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Nevin Manimala Statistics

A species’ response to spatial climatic variation does not predict its response to climate change

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2024 Jan 2;121(1):e2304404120. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2304404120. Epub 2023 Dec 18.

ABSTRACT

The dominant paradigm for assessing ecological responses to climate change assumes that future states of individuals and populations can be predicted by current, species-wide performance variation across spatial climatic gradients. However, if the fates of ecological systems are better predicted by past responses to in situ climatic variation through time, this current analytical paradigm may be severely misleading. Empirically testing whether spatial or temporal climate responses better predict how species respond to climate change has been elusive, largely due to restrictive data requirements. Here, we leverage a newly collected network of ponderosa pine tree-ring time series to test whether statistically inferred responses to spatial versus temporal climatic variation better predict how trees have responded to recent climate change. When compared to observed tree growth responses to climate change since 1980, predictions derived from spatial climatic variation were wrong in both magnitude and direction. This was not the case for predictions derived from climatic variation through time, which were able to replicate observed responses well. Future climate scenarios through the end of the 21st century exacerbated these disparities. These results suggest that the currently dominant paradigm of forecasting the ecological impacts of climate change based on spatial climatic variation may be severely misleading over decadal to centennial timescales.

PMID:38109562 | DOI:10.1073/pnas.2304404120

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Validation of the GERAADA Score to Predict 30-day Mortality in Acute Type A Aortic Dissection in a Single High-Volume Aortic Center

Eur J Cardiothorac Surg. 2023 Dec 18:ezad412. doi: 10.1093/ejcts/ezad412. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to evaluate employing the German Registry of Acute Aortic Dissection Type A (GERAADA) score to predict 30-day mortality in an aortic center in the United States.

METHODS: Between January 2010 and June 2021, 689 consecutive patients underwent surgery for acute type A dissection at a single institution. Excluded were patients with missing clinical data (N = 4). The GERAADA risk score was retrospectively calculated via a web-based application. Model discrimination power was calculated with c-statistics from logistic regression and reported as the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). The calibration was measured by calculating the observed versus estimated mortality (O/E) ratio. The Brier score was used for the overall model evaluation.

RESULTS: Included were 685 patients [mean age 60.6 years (SD: 13.5), 64.8% male] who underwent surgery for acute Type A aortic dissection. The 30-day mortality rate was 12.0%. The GERAADA score demonstrated very good discrimination power with an AUC of 0.762 (95% CI 0.703-0.821). The entire cohort’s O/E ratio was 0.543 (0.439-0.648), indicating an overestimation of the model-calculated risk. The Brier score was 0.010, thus revealing the model’s acceptable overall performance.

CONCLUSIONS: The GERAADA score is a practical and easily accessible tool for reliably estimating the 30-day mortality risk of patients undergoing surgery for acute Type A aortic dissection. This model may naturally overestimate risk in patients undergoing surgery in experienced aortic centers.

PMID:38109506 | DOI:10.1093/ejcts/ezad412

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Drying without Dying: a genome database for desiccation-tolerant plants and evolution of desiccation tolerance

Plant Physiol. 2023 Dec 18:kiad672. doi: 10.1093/plphys/kiad672. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Desiccation is typically fatal, but a small number of land plants have evolved vegetative desiccation tolerance (VDT), allowing them to dry without dying through a process called anhydrobiosis. Advances in sequencing technologies have enabled the investigation of genomes for desiccation-tolerant plants over the past decade. However, a dedicated and integrated database for these valuable genomic resources has been lacking. Our prolonged interest in VDT plant genomes motivated us to create the “Drying without Dying” database, which contains a total of 16 VDT-related plant genomes (including ten mosses) and incorporates 10 genomes that are closely related to VDT plants. The database features bioinformatic tools, such as blast and homologous cluster search, sequence retrieval, GO term and metabolic pathway enrichment statistics, expression profiling, co-expression network extraction, and JBrowser exploration for each genome. To demonstrate its utility we conducted tailored PFAM family statistical analyses, and we discovered that the drought-responsive ABA transporter AWPM-19 family is significantly tandemly duplicated in all bryophytes but rarely so in tracheophytes. Transcriptomic investigations also revealed that response patterns following desiccation diverged between bryophytes and angiosperms. Combined, the analyses provided genomic and transcriptomic evidence supporting a possible divergence and lineage-specific evolution of VDT in plants. The database can be accessed at http://desiccation.novogene.com. We expect this initial release of the “Drying without Dying” plant genome database will facilitate future discovery of VDT genetic resources.

PMID:38109500 | DOI:10.1093/plphys/kiad672

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Clinical Characteristics and Detection Sensitivity of Cervical Cancer Screening in Vaginal Intraepithelial Neoplasia

J Low Genit Tract Dis. 2023 Dec 18. doi: 10.1097/LGT.0000000000000793. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to investigate the characteristics and screening history of vaginal intraepithelial neoplasia (VaIN) or vaginal cancer and compare the sensitivity of cytology and human papillomavirus (HPV) tests on the cervix against vaginal and cervical high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion or cancer.

METHODS: This study included patients who underwent colposcopy-directed biopsy and were diagnosed with VaIN or vaginal cancer from February 2013 to November 2022. Clinical information was obtained from the medical records of the department. Statistical analysis was performed on SPSS 26.0 (IBM Corp, Armonk, NY) using t test, chi-square, and Fisher exact tests.

RESULTS: A total of 1,166 patients were included in this study. The median age of VaIN2+ patients was 50.5 years, whereas VaIN1 reported a median age of 42.1 years old, p < .001. This study reported that VaIN was significantly and positively correlated with cervical lesions (r = 0.244). The high-risk HPV (hr-HPV) detection rate was 88.2% (858/973) in VaIN and 95.2% in VaIN2+. Human papillomavirus 16 was the most prevalent HPV type in VaIN2+, which accounted for 54.9%, followed by HPV58 (19.5%), HPV52 (15.2%), HPV51 (12.2%), and HPV18 (11.0%). The sensitivity of hr-HPV and cytology tests on the cervix for detecting VaIN2+ was 94.7% and 83.4%, respectively. Both tests were not significantly different from detecting cervical intraepithelial neoplasia 2+.

CONCLUSIONS: Human papillomavirus 16 is the dominant HPV type in vaginal precancer lesions. Cervical cancer screening has similar sensitivity for VaIN2+ as for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia 2+, with hr-HPV testing showing higher sensitivity than cytology.

PMID:38109483 | DOI:10.1097/LGT.0000000000000793

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

4D nucleome equation predicts gene expression controlled by long-range enhancer-promoter interaction

PLoS Comput Biol. 2023 Dec 18;19(12):e1011722. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1011722. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Recent experimental evidence strongly supports that three-dimensional (3D) long-range enhancer-promoter (E-P) interactions have important influences on gene-expression dynamics, but it is unclear how the interaction information is translated into gene expression over time (4D). To address this question, we developed a general theoretical framework (named as a 4D nucleome equation), which integrates E-P interactions on chromatin and biochemical reactions of gene transcription. With this equation, we first present the distribution of mRNA counts as a function of the E-P genomic distance and then reveal a power-law scaling of the expression level in this distance. Interestingly, we find that long-range E-P interactions can induce bimodal and trimodal mRNA distributions. The 4D nucleome equation also allows for model selection and parameter inference. When this equation is applied to the mouse embryonic stem cell smRNA-FISH data and the E-P genomic-distance data, the predicted E-P contact probability and mRNA distribution are in good agreement with experimental results. Further statistical inference indicates that the E-P interactions prefer to modulate the mRNA level by controlling promoter activation and transcription initiation rates. Our model and results provide quantitative insight into both spatiotemporal gene-expression determinants (i.e., long-range E-P interactions) and cellular fates during development.

PMID:38109463 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1011722

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Comorbid Conditions in a Cohort of Inpatients with SARS-CoV-2 and their Association with In-Hospital Mortality During the Early Phases of the Pandemic

Pril (Makedon Akad Nauk Umet Odd Med Nauki). 2023 Dec 18;44(3):27-39. doi: 10.2478/prilozi-2023-0044. Print 2023 Dec 1.

ABSTRACT

Introduction: Studies determined that age and associated comorbidities are associated with worse outcomes for COVID-19 patients. The aim of the present study is to examine previous electronic health records of SARS-CoV-2 patients to identify which chronic conditions are associated with in-hospital mortality in a nationally representative sample. Materials and Methods: The actual study is a cross-sectional analysis of SARS-CoV-2 infected patients who were treated in repurposed hospitals. The study includes a cohort of patients treated from 06-11-2020 to 15-03-2021 for COVID-19 associated pneumonia. To examine the presence of comorbidities, electronic health records were examined and analyzed. Results: A total of 1486 in-patients were treated in the specified period, out of which 1237 met the criteria for case. The median age of the sample was 65 years. The overall in-hospital mortality in the sample was 25.5%, while the median length of stay was 11 days. From whole sample, 16.0% of the patients did not have established diagnoses in their electronic records, while the most prevalent coexisting condition was arterial hypertension (62.7%), followed by diabetes mellitus (27.3%). The factors of age, male gender, and the number of diagnoses showed a statistically significant increase in odds ratio (OR) for in-hospital mortality. The presence of chronic kidney injury was associated with the highest increase of OR (by 3.37) for in-hospital mortality in our sample. Conclusion: The study reaffirms the findings that age, male gender, and the presence of comorbidities are associated with in-hospital mortality in COVID-19 treated and unvaccinated patients. Our study suggests that chronic kidney injury showed strongest association with the outcome, when adjusted for age, gender, and coexisting comorbidities.

PMID:38109453 | DOI:10.2478/prilozi-2023-0044

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Investigation of the Dynamics of Salmonellosis in the Republic of North Macedonia

Pril (Makedon Akad Nauk Umet Odd Med Nauki). 2023 Dec 18;44(3):49-55. doi: 10.2478/prilozi-2023-0046. Print 2023 Dec 1.

ABSTRACT

The main goals of this research are to determine the developmental tendency of salmonellosis in the Republic of North Macedonia and to determine the index of dynamics and the rate of decline/increase of salmonellosis in the Republic of North Macedonia. The research covers the period from 01.01.2012 until 31.12.2022. The data used to implement this study were obtained from the Institute of Public Health of the Republic of North Macedonia. The research included 2711 subjects who were sick with salmonellosis from 2012 to 2022. The following statistical methods of work are used: linear trend, dynamic index with a constant base, dynamic index with a variable base (chain index), rate of decline, and rate of increase. The results of the study suggest that in the period 2012-2022, the highest number of patients (n=373) and the highest incidence (18/100000) of salmonellosis were registered in 2018, and the lowest in 2020 (n=119, I=5.8/100000). From the linear trend values, it can be concluded that salmonellosis in the Republic of North Macedonia shows a decreasing tendency. The biggest increase in salmonellosis in the Republic of North Macedonia was in 2015 by 71% compared to 2014. The biggest decrease in salmonellosis in the Republic of North Macedonia was in 2020 by 48% compared to 2019. From the study, it can be concluded that food operators and manufacturers are observing the procedures of the HACCP control system for food safety, leading to a possible decrease in salmonellosis.

PMID:38109452 | DOI:10.2478/prilozi-2023-0046

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Psychological Alienation and Feeling of Self-Efficiency in Young Male and Female Adults

Pril (Makedon Akad Nauk Umet Odd Med Nauki). 2023 Dec 18;44(3):79-84. doi: 10.2478/prilozi-2023-0050. Print 2023 Dec 1.

ABSTRACT

In psychology, alienation is a condition of being separated or marginalized from other individuals or some larger segment of society. Self-efficacy is an individual’s belief in their capacity to act in ways necessary to reach specific goals. This study was conducted to investigate the possible connectivity between psychological alienation and feelings of self-efficiency among young male and female adults. The study was conducted in April 2023, among 167 young people, aged 18-25 (M=22.28 ± 1.7SD). For this purpose, we used the Scale for psychological alienation and General self-efficacy. Results showed that there is a significant negative correlation between alienation and self-efficacy, meaning that the higher psychological alienation is, the lower self-efficacy is (t=-0.627; <0.001). There is a statistically significant difference between young male and female adults regarding alienation (t=-5.592; <0.001) e. g. males are reporting to be more alienated than females. Also, there is a statistically significant difference between young male and female adults regarding feeling of self-efficacy (t=4.692; <0.001) e.g. males feel less effective than females and in the scale for measuring meaninglessness (t=-2.966; 0.003) e. g. males feel more meaninglessness than females. In conclusion, psychological alienation and self-efficacy are correlated and there are gender differences regarding the two measured variables, in favor of the females.

PMID:38109447 | DOI:10.2478/prilozi-2023-0050

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Unveiling The Neuropathology Tumour Landscape: 10-Year Statistical Analysis With Global Comparison – Single Centre Experience

Pril (Makedon Akad Nauk Umet Odd Med Nauki). 2023 Dec 18;44(3):17-26. doi: 10.2478/prilozi-2023-0043. Print 2023 Dec 1.

ABSTRACT

Introduction: Central nervous system (CNS) tumours represent a significant public health issue worldwide, and their incidence and distribution vary across different populations. Although studies on CNS tumours have been conducted in various countries, there is a lack of information regarding their patterns in Macedonia. Therefore, this study is aimed at investigating the distribution, histopathological types and subtypes and demographic features of CNS tumours in our country. Materials and Methods: A cross sectional study was conducted using the electronic database of the Institute of Pathology – Medical Faculty, University “Ss. Cyril and Methodius” in Skopje which contains data from 3286 received and analysed surgical specimens, mainly from the University Clinic of Neurosurgery in Skopje, and a smaller number of surgical specimens from the University Surgical Centre “St. Naum Ohridski” in Skopje between 2012 and 2022. The collected and analysed data includes patient age, sex and histopathological types and subtypes of the tumours. Results: The majority of CNS tumours were diagnosed in adults aged between 50-70, with a male to female ratio of 1.5:1. The most common location of the tumours was the cerebrum, followed by the pituitary gland and cerebellum. The most frequent histological groups were gliomas, with glioblastoma as the most common diagnosis, followed by meningiomas. Conclusion: Following a detailed and thorough review of the CNS tumours in our study, we can conclude that the R. of Macedonia follows global statistics and trends regarding brain tumours.

PMID:38109442 | DOI:10.2478/prilozi-2023-0043

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

cLD: Rare-variant linkage disequilibrium between genomic regions identifies novel genomic interactions

PLoS Genet. 2023 Dec 18;19(12):e1011074. doi: 10.1371/journal.pgen.1011074. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Linkage disequilibrium (LD) is a fundamental concept in genetics; critical for studying genetic associations and molecular evolution. However, LD measurements are only reliable for common genetic variants, leaving low-frequency variants unanalyzed. In this work, we introduce cumulative LD (cLD), a stable statistic that captures the rare-variant LD between genetic regions, which reflects more biological interactions between variants, in addition to lack of recombination. We derived the theoretical variance of cLD using delta methods to demonstrate its higher stability than LD for rare variants. This property is also verified by bootstrapped simulations using real data. In application, we find cLD reveals an increased genetic association between genes in 3D chromatin interactions, a phenomenon recently reported negatively by calculating standard LD between common variants. Additionally, we show that cLD is higher between gene pairs reported in interaction databases, identifies unreported protein-protein interactions, and reveals interacting genes distinguishing case/control samples in association studies.

PMID:38109434 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pgen.1011074