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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Likelihood Ratio Calculation Using LRmix Studio

Methods Mol Biol. 2023;2685:307-328. doi: 10.1007/978-1-0716-3295-6_19.

ABSTRACT

LRmix Studio performs statistical analyses on forensic casework samples by calculating a likelihood ratio (LR) following a semi-continuous, unrestricted approach. The software utilizes a basic probabilistic model allowing the comparison of two alternative hypotheses regarding the evidence profile to include known and/or unknown contributors, for a maximum of a 4-person mixture. Other statistical factors that are included in this model are the incorporation of multiple probability of drop-out values, probability of drop-in, a correction factor for population substructure, assumed contributor inclusion, and inclusion of an unknown relative in the defense hypothesis. A range of plausible probability of drop-out values can be calculated for various contributors and hypotheses based on a Monte Carlo probability method and included in the likelihood ratio calculation. The software also includes several ways to test the validity and robustness of the probabilistic model. A sensitivity analysis can be performed by calculating likelihood ratios for the given profile against a range of drop-out values. Additionally, a non-contributor test can be performed on the crime scene sample and the chosen LR parameters to test the robustness of the model. This can give a point of comparison of the likelihood ratio generated for the person of interest (POI) compared to “random man” profiles generated from uploaded allelic frequencies. Finally, the analysis can be printed in a well-structured and user-friendly report that includes all analysis parameters. Within this chapter, the reader will learn the steps to calculate a likelihood ratio using the semi-continuous software, LRmix Studio. Additional tools supplied through the software will also be explained and demonstrated.

PMID:37439990 | DOI:10.1007/978-1-0716-3295-6_19

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Binge-Eating Disorder Interventions: Review, Current Status, and Implications

Curr Obes Rep. 2023 Jul 13. doi: 10.1007/s13679-023-00517-0. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Binge-eating disorder (BED) is a serious psychiatric problem associated with substantial morbidity that, unfortunately, frequently goes unrecognized and untreated. This review summarizes the current status of behavioral, psychological, pharmacological, and combined treatments for BED in adults with a particular focus on recent findings and advances.

RECENT FINDINGS: Certain specific psychological treatments, notably CBT and IPT, and to some extent DBT, have demonstrated efficacy and are associated with durable benefits after treatment. Certain specific lower-cost scalable interventions, notably CBTgsh, have demonstrated efficacy and have potential for broader uptake. An important advance is the emerging RCT data indicating that BWL, a generalist and available behavioral lifestyle intervention, has effectiveness that approximates that of CBT for reducing binge eating and eating-disorder psychopathology but with the advantage of also producing modest weight loss. There exists only one pharmacological agent (LDX) with approval by the FDA for “moderate-to-severe” BED. Research with other “off label” medications has yielded modest and mixed outcomes with a few medications statistically superior to placebo over the short-term and almost no longer-term data. Nearly all research combining medications and psychological treatments has failed to enhance outcomes (combined appears superior to pharmacotherapy-only but not to psychotherapy-only). Many people with BED suffer in silence and shame, go untreated, and rarely receive evidence-based treatments. Patients and practitioners need to recognize that research has identified several effective interventions for BED, and these can work quickly for many patients. Future research should identify treatments for those who do not derive benefit from initial interventions, identify additional pharmacological options, test agents with relevant mechanisms of action, and utilize innovative adaptative “SMART” designs to identify treatments to enhance outcomes among initial responders and to test alternative treatments to assist initial non-responders.

PMID:37439970 | DOI:10.1007/s13679-023-00517-0

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Evaluating the Suitability of the Low Energy Availability in Females Questionnaire (LEAF-Q) for Female Football Players

Sports Med Open. 2023 Jul 13;9(1):54. doi: 10.1186/s40798-023-00605-4.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The Low Energy Availability in Females Questionnaire (LEAF-Q) is a screening tool developed to detect endurance athletes and dancers at risk for development of persistent low energy availability (LEA) and the female athlete triad (Triad). This study investigated the applicability of the LEAF-Q in a cohort of sixty professional female football players.

METHODS: The participants were classified as at risk (≥ 8) or not at risk (< 8) for persistent LEA and the Triad according to their LEAF-Q score, before being compared. Receiver operating curves were then conducted to examine the ability of the overall LEAF-Q and subcategories to correctly determine the presence of clinically defined markers of the Triad. Additionally, Youden’s index was calculated to determine the best fitting cut-off values.

RESULTS: Thirty-two percent of participants were classified as at risk by the LEAF-Q. We found no statistically significant differences between the two groups for any markers associated with persistent LEA. Except for acceptable accuracy in determining menstrual status, all other LEAF-Q components exhibited poor accuracy and predictive values. Youden’s index scores imply that increasing the overall and injury cut-off values to ≥ 10 and ≥ 5 respectively, would yield increased performance.

CONCLUSIONS: Our findings do not support the use of the LEAF-Q for the purpose of detecting LEA and Triad conditions among female football players.

PMID:37439966 | DOI:10.1186/s40798-023-00605-4

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Depression trajectories during the COVID-19 pandemic: a secondary analysis of the impact of cognitive-appraisal processes

J Patient Rep Outcomes. 2023 Jul 13;7(1):67. doi: 10.1186/s41687-023-00600-z.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: This study characterized depression trajectories during the COVID pandemic and investigated how appraisal and changes in appraisal over time related to these depression trajectories.

METHODS: This longitudinal study of the psychosocial impact of the COVID-19 pandemic included 771 people with data at three timepoints over 15.5 months. The depression index was validated using item-response-theory methods and receiver-operating-characteristic curve analysis. The Quality of Life (QOL) Appraisal Profilev2 Short-Form assessed cognitive-appraisal processes. Sequence analysis characterized depression-trajectory groups, and random effects models examined appraisal main effects, appraisal-by-group, and appraisal-by-group-by-time interactions.

RESULTS: Sequence analysis generated six trajectory groups: Stably Well (n = 241), Stably Depressed (n = 299), Worsening (n = 79), Improving (n = 83), Fluctuating Pattern 1 (No-Yes-No; n = 41), and Fluctuating Pattern 2 (Yes-No-Yes; n = 28). While all groups engaged in negative appraisal processes when they were depressed, the Stably Depressed group consistently focused on negative aspects of their life. Response-shift effects were revealed such that there were differences in the appraisal-depression relationship over time for standards of comparison and recent changes for the Stably Depressed, and in health goals for those Getting Better.

CONCLUSION: The present work is, to our knowledge, the first study of response-shift effects in depression. During these first 15.5 pandemic months, group differences highlighted the connection between negative appraisals and depression, and response-shift effects in these relationships over time. Egregious life circumstances may play a lesser role for the Stably Depressed but a greater role for people who have transient periods of depression as well as for those with improving trajectories (i.e., endogenous vs. reactive depression). How one thinks about QOL is intrinsically linked to mental health, with clear clinical implications.

PMID:37439964 | DOI:10.1186/s41687-023-00600-z

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Postprandial plasma GLP-1 levels are elevated in individuals with postprandial hypoglycaemia following Roux-en-Y gastric bypass – a systematic review

Rev Endocr Metab Disord. 2023 Jul 13. doi: 10.1007/s11154-023-09823-3. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Bariatric surgery is the most effective treatment in individuals with obesity to achieve remission of type 2 diabetes. Post-bariatric surgery hypoglycaemia occurs frequently, and management remains suboptimal, because of a poor understanding of the underlying pathophysiology. The glucoregulatory hormone responses to nutrients in individuals with and without post-bariatric surgery hypoglycaemia have not been systematically examined.

MATERIALS AND METHODS: The study protocol was prospectively registered with PROSPERO. PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science and the Cochrane databases were searched for publications between January 1990 and November 2021 using MeSH terms related to post-bariatric surgery hypoglycaemia. Studies were included if they evaluated individuals with post-bariatric surgery hypoglycaemia and included measurements of plasma glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1), glucose-dependent insulinotropic polypeptide (GIP), insulin, C-peptide and/or glucagon concentrations following an ingested nutrient load. Glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) was also evaluated. A random-effects meta-analysis was performed, and Hedges’ g (standardised mean difference) and 95% confidence intervals were reported for all outcomes where sufficient studies were available. The τ2 estimate and I2 statistic were used as tests for heterogeneity and a funnel plot with the Egger regression-based test was used to evaluate for publication bias.

RESULTS: From 377 identified publications, 12 were included in the analysis. In all 12 studies, the type of bariatric surgery was Roux-en-Y gastric bypass (RYGB). Comparing individuals with and without post-bariatric surgery hypoglycaemia following an ingested nutrient load, the standardised mean difference in peak GLP-1 was 0.57 (95% CI, 0.32, 0.82), peak GIP 0.05 (-0.26, 0.36), peak insulin 0.84 (0.44, 1.23), peak C-peptide 0.69 (0.28, 1.1) and peak glucagon 0.05 (-0.26, 0.36). HbA1c was less in individuals with hypoglycaemia – 0.40 (-0.67, -0.12). There was no evidence of substantial heterogeneity in any outcome except for peak insulin: τ2 = 0.2, I2 = 54.3. No publication bias was evident.

CONCLUSION: Following RYGB, postprandial peak plasma GLP-1, insulin and C-peptide concentrations are greater in individuals with post-bariatric surgery hypoglycaemia, while HbA1c is less. These observations support the concept that antagonism of GLP-1 would prove beneficial in the management of individuals with hypoglycaemia following RYGB.PROSPERO Registration Number: CRD42021287515.

PMID:37439960 | DOI:10.1007/s11154-023-09823-3

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Evaluation of the relationship between clinical and laboratory risk factors in atherosclerosis patients with coronary slow flow: a case-control analysis

Egypt Heart J. 2023 Jul 13;75(1):61. doi: 10.1186/s43044-023-00388-9.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Coronary slow flow (CSF) is an angiographic entity distinguished by the delayed filling of the epicardial coronary arteries in the lack of significant obstructive artery disease. The pathological causes are still unknown. This study aimed to elucidate the relationship between clinical and laboratory-related risk factors in atherosclerosis patients diagnosed with CSF.

RESULTS: The research encompassed a study group of 142 individuals, with a mean age of 52.47 ± 10.62, and a male representation of 47.7%. A thorough statistical analysis was conducted, indicating that there were no noteworthy variations in age, gender, smoking history, hematocrit, blood sugar, and HDL levels between the groups of cases and controls (P > 0.05). Subsequent analysis of the data indicated that there were significant differences in history of hypertension, LDL, and BMI measurements between the groups of subjects who were designated as cases and those who were designated as controls. Our study revealed that male gender, a history of hypertension, and BMI were identified as independent predictors of CSF (P < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS: After modeling regression, we were able to conclude that male gender, BMI, and history of hypertension are reliable predictors of slow coronary flow. These findings add to our growing understanding of the complex interplay between clinical and laboratory risk factors in the development and progression of CSF.

PMID:37439955 | DOI:10.1186/s43044-023-00388-9

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Effectiveness of a Stigma Awareness Intervention on Reemployment of People with Mental Health Issues/Mental Illness: A Cluster Randomised Controlled Trial

J Occup Rehabil. 2023 Jul 13. doi: 10.1007/s10926-023-10129-z. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: A barrier for reemployment of people with mental health issues/mental illness (MHI) is workplace stigma and discrimination. In this RCT the effectiveness of a stigma-awareness intervention addressing finding work, retaining work and decisional stress were evaluated.

METHODS: A cluster RCT was conducted in 8 Dutch municipal practices. Randomisation took place at practice level. Participants were unemployed people with MHI, receiving social benefits. The intervention consisted of a decision aid for workplace disclosure for participants and a 2 × 3 h stigma-awareness training for their employment specialists. Primary outcomes were measured at baseline, 3-, 6- and 12-months. Multilevel analyses, containing random intercepts of participants nested in organizations, were conducted to analyse the effects of the intervention.

RESULTS: Participants (N = 153) were randomized to an experimental (n = 76) or control group (n = 77). At six months, significantly more participants of the experimental group (51%) had found work compared to the control group (26%). At twelve months, significantly more participants of the experimental group (49%) had retained work compared to the control group (23%). Intention-to-treat analyses showed that randomization to the experimental group was associated with finding (OR(95%CI) = 7.78(1.33-45.53), p = 0.02) and retaining (OR(95%CI) = 12.15(2.81-52.63), p < 0.01) work more often at twelve months. Analyses showed that the experimental and control group did not differ in decisional stress.

CONCLUSIONS: Our stigma awareness intervention was effective for finding and retaining work. As the percentage of people who found and retained work almost doubled, this suggests that on a societal level, a vast number of unemployed people could be reemployed with a relatively simple intervention.

TRIAL REGISTRATION: The study was retrospectively registered at the Dutch Trial Register (TRN: NL7798, date: 04-06-2019).

PMID:37439945 | DOI:10.1007/s10926-023-10129-z

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MR dynamic-susceptibility-contrast perfusion metrics in the presurgical discrimination of adult solitary intra-axial cerebellar tumors

Eur Radiol. 2023 Jul 13. doi: 10.1007/s00330-023-09892-7. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Adult solitary intra-axial cerebellar tumors are uncommon. Their presurgical differentiation based on neuroimaging is crucial, since management differs substantially. Comprehensive full assessment of MR dynamic-susceptibility-contrast perfusion-weighted imaging (DSC-PWI) may reveal key differences between entities. This study aims to provide new insights on perfusion patterns of these tumors and to explore the potential of DSC-PWI in their presurgical discrimination.

METHODS: Adult patients with a solitary cerebellar tumor on presurgical MR and confirmed histological diagnosis of metastasis, medulloblastoma, hemangioblastoma, or pilocytic astrocytoma were retrospectively retrieved (2008-2023). Volumetric segmentation of tumors and normal-appearing white matter (for normalization) was semi-automatically performed on CE-T1WI and coregistered with DSC-PWI. Mean normalized values per patient tumor-mask of relative cerebral blood volume (rCBV), percentage of signal recovery (PSR), peak height (PH), and normalized time-intensity curves (nTIC) were extracted. Statistical comparisons were done. Then, the dataset was split into training (75%) and test (25%) cohorts and a classifier was created considering nTIC, rCBV, PSR, and PH in the model.

RESULTS: Sixty-eight patients (31 metastases, 13 medulloblastomas, 13 hemangioblastomas, and 11 pilocytic astrocytomas) were included. Relevant differences between tumor types’ nTICs were demonstrated. Hemangioblastoma showed the highest rCBV and PH, pilocytic astrocytoma the highest PSR. All parameters showed significant differences on the Kruskal-Wallis tests (p < 0.001). The classifier yielded an accuracy of 98% (47/48) in the training and 85% (17/20) in the test sets.

CONCLUSIONS: Intra-axial cerebellar tumors in adults have singular and significantly different DSC-PWI signatures. The combination of perfusion metrics through data-analysis rendered excellent accuracies in discriminating these entities.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT: In this study, the authors constructed a classifier for the non-invasive imaging presurgical diagnosis of adult intra-axial cerebellar tumors. The resultant tool can be a support for decision-making in the clinical practice and enables optimal personalized patient management.

KEY POINTS: • Adult intra-axial cerebellar tumors exhibit specific, singular, and statistically significant different MR dynamic-susceptibility-contrast perfusion-weighted imaging (DSC-PWI) signatures. • Data-analysis, applied to MR DSC-PWI, could provide added value in the presurgical diagnosis of solitary cerebellar metastasis, medulloblastoma, hemangioblastoma, and pilocytic astrocytoma. • A classifier based on DSC-PWI metrics yields excellent accuracy rates and could be used as a support tool for radiologic diagnosis with clinician-friendly displays.

PMID:37439938 | DOI:10.1007/s00330-023-09892-7

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Detection of Sarcopenia in a Community-Dwelling Older Population in China

J Geriatr Phys Ther. 2023 Jul 13. doi: 10.1519/JPT.0000000000000388. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Sarcopenia is a common muscle disease among the older population, posing an increased risk for functional decline and intervention for loss of independence in daily living. Early detection of sarcopenia among older people before functional decline would be beneficial in enhancing their quality of life. The Asian Working Group for Sarcopenia (AWGS) 2019 recommends the use of 3 screening methods for community-based sarcopenia detection: calf circumference (CC), or the Strength, Assistance in walking, Rise from a chair, Climb stairs, and Falls (SARC-F) questionnaire, or the SARC-F in combination with CC (SARC-CalF) questionnaire. This study aims to compare the relative performance of these 3 methods as screening tools for sarcopenia within a community-dwelling older population.

METHODS: A total number of 700 community-dwelling older adults participated in the current study. Muscle mass, muscle strength, and physical performance were measured with bioelectrical impedance analysis, handgrip strength, and gait speed, respectively. The AWGS 2019 criteria were considered the criterion standard The sensitivity/specificity, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) analyses were determined for CC, SARC-F, and SARC-CalF to determine their relative diagnostic performance.

RESULTS: Sarcopenia was identified in 21.4% of participants according to the AWGS2019 criteria. The overall prevalence of sarcopenia was 56.6%, 14.7%, and 22.9% according to CC, SARC-F, and SARC-CalF, respectively. Calf circumference showed the highest sensitivity but lowest specificity based on AWGS 2019 as the criterion standard regardless of age, gender, and body mass index. The SARC-CalF showed better sensitivity but similar specificity than the SARC-F. The AUROC of CC was significantly better than that of SARC-F and SARC-CalF. The AUROCs of CC, SARC-F, and SARC-CalF were statistically significant in all populations, as well as in the categories of age, gender, and body mass index (P < .05).

CONCLUSIONS: Calf circumference is useful in ruling out the presence of sarcopenia while the SARC-F is more effective in ruling in sarcopenia, especially in the context of population-based screening. Future studies should be carried out to investigate the value of population-based sarcopenia detection using these screening tools.

PMID:37439875 | DOI:10.1519/JPT.0000000000000388

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Selective breeding for high voluntary exercise in mice increases maximal (VO2max), but not basal metabolic rate

J Exp Biol. 2023 Jul 13:jeb.245256. doi: 10.1242/jeb.245256. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

In general, sustained high rates of physical activity require a high maximal aerobic capacity (VO2max), which may also necessitate a high basal aerobic metabolism (BMR), given that the two metabolic states are linked via shared organ systems, cellular properties, and metabolic pathways. We tested the hypotheses that (a) selective breeding for high voluntary exercise in mice would elevate both VO2max and BMR, and (b) these increases are accompanied by increases in the sizes of some internal organs (ventricle, triceps surae muscle, liver, kidney, spleen, lung, brain). We measured 72 females from generations 88 and 96 of an ongoing artificial selection experiment comprising 4 replicate High Runner (HR) lines bred for voluntary daily wheel-running distance and 4 non-selected Control (C) lines. With body mass as a covariate, HR lines as a group had significantly higher VO2max (+13.6%, P<0.0001), consistent with previous studies, but BMR did not significantly differ between HR and C lines (+6.5%, P=0.181). Additionally, HR mice did not statistically differ from C mice for whole-body lean or fat mass, or for the mass of any organ collected (with body mass as a covariate). Finally, mass-independent VO2max and BMR were uncorrelated (r=0.073, P=0.552) and the only statistically significant correlation with an organ mass was for VO2max and ventricle mass (r=0.285, P=0.015). Overall, our results indicate that selection for a behavioral trait can yield large changes in behavior without proportional modifications to underlying morphological or physiological traits.

PMID:37439323 | DOI:10.1242/jeb.245256