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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Malaysian burden of disease: years of life lost due to premature deaths

BMC Public Health. 2023 Jul 18;23(1):1383. doi: 10.1186/s12889-023-16309-z.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: In Malaysia, the previous mortality burden has been a significant concern, particularly due to the high prevalence of noncommunicable diseases (NCDs) as the leading cause of death. Estimates of mortality are key indicators for monitoring population health and determining priorities in health policies and health planning. The aim of this study was to estimate the disease burden attributed to 113 major diseases and injuries in Malaysia in 2018 using years of life lost (YLL) method.

METHODS: This study included all deaths that occurred in Malaysia in 2018. The YLL was derived by adding the number of deaths from 113 specific diseases and multiplying it by the remaining life expectancy for that age and sex group. Data on life expectancy and mortality were collected from the Department of Statistics Malaysia.

RESULTS: In 2018, there were 3.5 million YLL in Malaysia. Group II (NCDs) caused 72.2% of total YLL. Ischaemic heart disease was the leading cause of premature mortality among Malaysians (17.7%), followed by lower respiratory infections (9.7%), road traffic injuries (8.7%), cerebrovascular disease (stroke) (8.0%), and diabetes mellitus (3.9%).

CONCLUSIONS: NCDs are a significant health concern in Malaysia and are the primary contributor to the overall burden of disease. These results are important in guiding the national health systems on how to design and implement effective interventions for NCDs, as well as how to prioritise and allocate healthcare resources. Key strategies to consider include implementing health promotion campaigns, adopting integrated care models, and implementing policy and regulatory measures. These approaches aim to enhance health outcomes and the managements of NCDs in Malaysia.

PMID:37464344 | DOI:10.1186/s12889-023-16309-z

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Low cognitive functioning and depressive symptoms in patients with rheumatoid arthritis and systemic sclerosis: a clinical study

BMC Psychiatry. 2023 Jul 18;23(1):513. doi: 10.1186/s12888-023-04995-3.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Recently, cognitive deficits occurring in rheumatic diseases have attracted scientific attention. Cognitive symptoms in patients with Rheumatoid Arthritis (RA) and Systemic Sclerosis (SSc) have not been thoroughly studied. This study aimed to assess cognitive function and its relationship with depressive symptoms in RA and SSc and compare it to mild neurocognitive disorder due to Alzheimer’s disease (MiND) and to individuals without cognitive impairment.

METHODS: Cognitive function and depressive symptoms were tapped with the Cognitive Telephone Screening Instrument plus (COGTEL+), the Serial Seven Test (SST), the Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) and the Geriatric Depression scale-15 (GDS), respectively. Statistical analyses included between groups-, correlation- and regression analyses. Demographic characteristics were considered in the regression models.

RESULTS: The study included 30 individuals with RA, 24 with SSc, 26 adults without cognitive impairment and 33 individuals with MiND. Lower performance in verbal short-term memory, concentration/attention, verbal fluency and MMSE in patients with RA compared to individuals without cognitive impairment was detected. Of note, performance on verbal fluency, concentration/attention, inductive reasoning and MMSE was lower in RA compared to MiND. Individuals with SSc performed worse in verbal fluency and in MMSE in comparison to adults without cognitive deficits. Verbal fluency deficits in SSc exceeded that in MiND. Performance on MMSE, COGTEL+, prospective memory, working memory, verbal fluency and concentration/attention was related to GDS scores, which did not vary across the groups.

CONCLUSIONS: Patients with RA and SSc encountered cognitive dysfunction, which partially pertains to depressive symptoms. Of note, the severity of cognitive dysfunction in many cases exceeded that of MiND.

PMID:37464342 | DOI:10.1186/s12888-023-04995-3

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Prevalence and predictors of depressive and anxiety symptoms in a sample of women who use drugs in Tanzania: the key role of drug use stigma

BMC Psychiatry. 2023 Jul 18;23(1):517. doi: 10.1186/s12888-023-05008-z.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Globally, women who use drugs face multiple health vulnerabilities, including poor mental health. Little is known about the mental health burden among women who use drugs in sub-Saharan Africa. This cross-sectional study examined the prevalence and predictors of depressive and anxiety symptoms among a sample of women who use drugs in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania.

METHODS: We administered a cross-sectional survey to a non-random sample of 200 women who use drugs in Dar es Salaam between November 2018 and March 2019. We used descriptive statistics to characterize the study sample and fitted separate logistic regression models to assess depressive and anxiety symptoms and their predictors.

RESULTS: The percentages of women reporting depressive and anxiety symptoms were 67.5% and 43.7%, respectively. Internalized drug use stigma (AOR = 1.34, 95% CI: 1.03-1.75) and prior attempts to stop heroin use (AOR = 2.99, 95% CI: 1.28-7.00) were associated with depressive symptoms. Enacted drug use stigma from health workers (AOR = 2.02, 95% CI: 1.34-3.04) and anticipated drug use stigma from family (AOR = 1.49, 95% CI: 1.02-2.16) were associated with anxiety symptoms.

CONCLUSIONS: Depressive and anxiety symptoms were high among our study sample, with higher reports of symptoms of depression than anxiety. Drug use stigma was a key factor that contributed to elevated symptoms of depression and anxiety.

PMID:37464339 | DOI:10.1186/s12888-023-05008-z

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Measuring public attitudes towards people living with chronic diseases in Arabic-speaking populations: adaptation and development of the Social Stigma Scale of Chronic Diseases (SSS-CD)

BMC Public Health. 2023 Jul 18;23(1):1375. doi: 10.1186/s12889-023-16315-1.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: A large proportion of the population in Arab countries suffer from chronic diseases. According to the statistics by the Global Health Estimates, chronic illnesses contribute by 71% to total deaths in the Arab region. While chronic illnesses have been demonstrated to carry high levels of social stigma, it is only recently that little research attention has been given to this topic in the Arab world. It is well-established that the social stigma construct is culturally-dependent. Therefore, the lack of an Arabic measure highlighted the urgent need for developing a culturally adapted and valid instrument to assess social stigma toward people living with chronic diseases. In this study, we aimed to examine the psychometric properties of the Arabic translation, adaptation and development of “the Social Stigma Scale of Chronic Diseases” (SSS-CD).

METHOD: Fifteen items derived from the literature and assessing social stigma towards chronic diseases have been administered to 570 Arabic-speaking adults from the Lebanese general population (aged 24.59 ± 6.75years; 68.6% women). Items were translated into Arabic using a forward-backward translation method. Exploratory factor analysis (EFA) using a principal-axis EFA on the first split-half subsample, followed by a confirmatory factor analysis (CFA) tested on the model extracted from the EFA on the second split-half subsample, were conducted to examine the construct validity of the SSS-CD. Fit indices were deemed adequate if the normed model chi-square (χ²/df) ≤ 3, the Steiger-Lind root mean square error of approximation (RMSEA) ≤ 0.08, the Tucker-Lewis Index (TLI) and the comparative fit index (CFI) ≥ 0.90.

RESULTS: Findings revealed that the 10-item SSS-CD has a unidimensional factor structure, with the following fit indices: χ2/df = 92.95/34 = 2.73, RMSEA = 0.077 (90% CI 0.059, 0.096), SRMR = 0.062, CFI = 0.939, TLI = 0.919. A good internal consistency was demonstrated by a McDonald’s omega value of 0.73 for the total score. Findings also supported invariance across gender, with men exhibiting higher levels of social stigma attached to chronic diseases than women. All three dimensions of stigmatization (social, psychological and evolutionary stigmatization) were positively correlated with SSS-CD scores (Social self-interest [r = .40; p < .001], Evolutionary self-interest [r = .37; p < .001], Psychological self-interest [r = .42; p < .001]), demonstrating relatively strong convergent validity.

CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest that the SSS-CD has robust psychometric qualities. We thus preliminarily suggest that the scale is valid, reliable and suitable for use among Arabic-speaking people from the general population to measure public attitudes towards people living with chronic diseases. Providing this psychometrically sound measure will hopefully enable to foster research in this area in order to draw a clear overview of the prevalence and characteristics of social stigma attached to chronic diseases in Arabic-speaking communities. However, given that this was the first study to examine the psychometric properties of the SSS-CD, the present findings and conclusions should be considered tentative pending future cross-national validation studies.

PMID:37464332 | DOI:10.1186/s12889-023-16315-1

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Happy people live longer because they are healthy people

BMC Geriatr. 2023 Jul 18;23(1):440. doi: 10.1186/s12877-023-04030-w.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Higher levels of happiness are associated with longer life expectancy. Our study assessed the extent to which various factors explain the protective effect of happiness on all-cause mortality risk, and whether the association differs between older men and women.

METHODS: Using data from the Singapore Longitudinal Aging Studies (N = 6073) of community-dwelling older adults aged ≥ 55 years, we analyzed the association of baseline Likert score of happiness (1 = very sad to 5 = very happy) and mortality from mean 11.7 years of follow up. Cox regression models were used to assess the extent to which confounding risk factors attenuated the hazard ratio of association in the whole sample and sex-stratified analyses.

RESULTS: Happiness was significantly associated with lower mortality (p < .001) adjusted for age, sex and ethnicity: HR = 0.85 per integer score and HR = 0.57 for fairly-or-very happy versus fairly-or-very sad. The HR estimate (0.90 per integer score) was modestly attenuated (33.3%) in models that included socio-demographic and support, lifestyle or physical health and functioning factor, but remained statistically significant. The HR estimate (0.94 per integer score) was substantially attenuated (60%) and was insignificant in the model that included psychological health and functioning. Including all co-varying factors in the model resulted in statistically insignificant HR estimate (1.04 per integer score). Similar results were obtained for HR estimates for fairly-to-very happy versus fairly-to- very sad).

DISCUSSION: Much of the association between happiness and increased life expectancy could be explained by socio-demographic, lifestyle, health and functioning factors, and especially psychological health and functioning factors.

PMID:37464330 | DOI:10.1186/s12877-023-04030-w

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Leisure sedentary behaviour increases the risk of venous thromboembolism: a Mendelian randomisation study

BMC Cardiovasc Disord. 2023 Jul 18;23(1):362. doi: 10.1186/s12872-023-03395-5.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a substantial contributor to the global burden of disease. Observational studies have suggested that leisure sedentary behaviours (LSB) are related to the risk of VTE; however, the causal role of LSB in VTE remains unclear.

METHODS: Using data obtained from genome-wide association studies in the UK Biobank (N = 422,218), we identified 84, 21, and 4 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) related to sedentary television (TV) watching, computer use, and driving, respectively. These SNPs were employed as instrumental variables. Summary statistics for SNP-VTE associations was obtained from the FinnGen study (5,403 cases and 130,235 controls). Two-sample Mendelian randomisation (MR) analyses were performed using inverse-variance weighted (IVW), MR-Egger,weighted median, and weighted mode approaches. Sensitivity analyses were conducted to ensure robustness of the results.

RESULTS: The main IVW approach demonstrated a positive association between the genetically predicted sedentary TV watching and the risk of VTE [odds ratio (OR):1.35, 95% confidence interval (CI):1.02-1.80, P = 0.039]. However, no significant association was observed for genetically predicted sedentary computer use or driving and VTE risk. The results from our series of sensitivity analyses, including Cochran’s Q test, MR-Egger intercept test, and MR-Pleiotropy RESidual Sum and Outlier method, further supported these findings.

CONCLUSION: This study provides evidence of an association between genetically predicted sedentary TV watching and the risk of VTE. Further studies are required to elucidate the underlying causal mechanisms.

PMID:37464328 | DOI:10.1186/s12872-023-03395-5

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A novel rapamycin cream formulation improves facial angiofibromas associated with tuberous sclerosis complex: a double-blinded, randomised, placebo-controlled trial

Br J Dermatol. 2023 Jul 18:ljad243. doi: 10.1093/bjd/ljad243. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Facial angiofibromas (FA) are a major feature of tuberous sclerosis complex (TSC).Topical rapamycin can successfully treat FA. A new stabilised cream formulation which protects rapamycin from oxidation has been developed in 0.5% and 1% concentrations.

OBJECTIVES: To assess the efficacy and safety of a novel stabilised topical rapamycin cream formulation.

METHODS: This multicentre, double-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled, dose-response phase II/III study with a parallel design included participants aged 6 – 65 years with FA of mild or moderate severity using the investigator’s global assessment (IGA) scale.Participants were randomised to one of three treatment arms: topical rapamycin 0.5%, 1%, or placebo. Treatment was applied once daily for 26 weeks. Safety and efficacy measures were assessed at days 14, 56, 98, 140 and 182.The primary endpoint was the percentage of subjects achieving ‘clear’ or ‘almost clear’ IGA scores after 26 weeks of treatment. Secondary measures included facial angiofibroma severity index (FASI) and subject and clinician-reported percentage-based improvement.Safety measures included the incidence of treatment emergent adverse event and blood rapamycin concentration changes over time.

RESULTS: Participants (107) were randomised to receive either rapamycin 1% (n = 33), 0.5% (n = 36), or placebo (n = 38). All treated participants were included in the final analysis.The percentage of subjects with a two-grade IGA improvement was greater in the 0.5% treatment group (11.1%) and 1% group (9.1%) than the placebo group (5.3%). However, this was not statistically significant (0.5%: OR 1.71, 95% CI 0.36-8.18, p = 0.499; 1%: OR 1.68, 95% CI 0.33-8.40, p = 0.530). Subjects with at least a one-grade IGA improvement were significantly different compared to placebo (0.5%: 55.6%, OR 4.73, 95% CI 1.59-14.10, p = 0.005; 1%: 60.6%, OR 5.14, 95% CI 1.70-15.57, p = 0.004; Placebo: 23.7%). Skin adverse reactions were more common in patients following rapamycin application (64%) compared to placebo (29%).

CONCLUSION: Both 0.5% and 1% rapamycin cream formulations are well tolerated treatments, and either strength can lead to clinical benefit in the treatment of FA.Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT03826628.

PMID:37463422 | DOI:10.1093/bjd/ljad243

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Parameter estimation and species tree rooting using ALE and GeneRax

Genome Biol Evol. 2023 Jul 18:evad134. doi: 10.1093/gbe/evad134. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

ALE and GeneRax are tools for probabilistic gene tree-species tree reconciliation. Based on a common underlying statistical model of how gene trees evolve along species trees, these methods rely on gene versus species tree discordance to infer gene duplication, transfer and loss events, map gene family origins and root species trees. Published analyses have used these methods to root species trees of Archaea, Bacteria and several eukaryotic groups, as well as to infer ancestral gene repertoires. However, it was recently suggested that reconciliation-based estimates of duplication and transfer events using the ALE/GeneRax model were unreliable, with potential implications for species tree rooting. Here, we assess these criticisms and find that the methods are accurate when applied to simulated data and in generally good agreement with alternative methodological approaches on empirical data. In particular, ALE recovers variation in gene duplication and transfer frequencies across lineages that is consistent with the known biology of studied clades. In plants and opisthokonts, ALE recovers the consensus species tree root; in Bacteria – where there is less certainty about the root position – ALE agrees with alternative approaches on the most likely root region. Overall, ALE and related approaches are promising tools for studying genome evolution.

PMID:37463417 | DOI:10.1093/gbe/evad134

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The Rising Costs of Alcohol-associated Liver Disease in the United States

Am J Gastroenterol. 2023 Jul 19. doi: 10.14309/ajg.0000000000002405. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) is rising in the United States because of an increase in high-risk drinking, but population-level ALD cost is unknown. Our aim was to project the direct and indirect costs associated with ALD in the US population through 2040.

METHODS: We utilized a previously validated microsimulation model of alcohol consumption and ALD with model parameters estimated from publicly available data sources, including the National Epidemiologic Survey Alcohol and Related Conditions-III, the Center for Disease Control and Prevention Wide-ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research, the Bureau of Labor Statistics, and published studies informing the impact of alcohol consumption on ALD severity in the United States resident population. The simulated scenario included current and projected ALD-associated costs.

RESULTS: From 2022-2040, the ALD is projected to cost $880 billion; $355 billion in direct healthcare- related costs and $525 billion in lost labor and economic consumption. The annual cost of ALD is projected to increase from $31 billion in 2022 to $66 billion (118% increase) in 2040. While the female population makes up 29% of these costs in 2022, by 2040 on a per annum basis, female costs would be 43% of the total annual expenditure.

DISCUSSION: Increased consumption of alcohol in the US population, especially in females, will cause a steep rise in the economic burden of alcohol-associated liver disease in the United States. These findings highlight the need for planners and policymakers to plan for the increased impact of liver disease in the United States.

PMID:37463414 | DOI:10.14309/ajg.0000000000002405

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Sleep-light interventions that shift melatonin rhythms earlier improve perimenopausal and postmenopausal depression: preliminary findings

Menopause. 2023 Jul 18. doi: 10.1097/GME.0000000000002216. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Testing the hypothesis that a sleep-light intervention, which phase-advances melatonin rhythms, will improve perimenopausal-postmenopausal (P-M; by follicle-stimulating hormone) depression.

METHODS: In at-home environments, we compared two contrasting interventions: (1) an active phase-advance intervention: one night of advanced/restricted sleep from 9 pm to 1 am, followed by 8 weeks of morning bright white light for 60 min/d within 30 minutes of awakening, and (2) a control phase-delay intervention: one night of delayed/restricted sleep (sleep from 3 to 7 am) followed by 8 weeks of evening bright white light for 60 min/d within 90 minutes of bedtime. We tested 17 P-M participants, 9 normal controls and 8 depressed participants (DPs) (by Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders [Fifth Edition] criteria). Clinicians assessed mood by structured interviews and subjective mood ratings. Participants wore actigraphs to measure sleep and activity and collected overnight urine samples for the melatonin metabolite, 6-sulfatoxymelatonin (6-SMT), before, during, and after interventions.

RESULTS: Baseline depressed mood correlated with delayed 6-SMT offset time (cessation of melatonin metabolite [6-SMT] secretion) (r = +0.733, P = 0.038). After phase-advance intervention versus phase-delay intervention, 6-SMT offset (start of melatonin and 6-SMT decrease) was significantly advanced in DPs (mean ± SD, 2 h 15 min ± 12 min; P = 0.042); advance in 6-SMT acrophase (time of maximum melatonin and 6-SMT secretion) correlated positively with mood improvement (r = +0.978, P = 0.001). Mood improved (+70%, P = 0.007) by both 2 and 8 weeks.

CONCLUSIONS: These preliminary findings reveal significantly phase-delayed melatonin rhythms in DP versus normal control P-M women. Phase-advancing melatonin rhythms improves mood in association with melatonin advance. Thus, sleep-light interventions may potentially offer safe, rapid, nonpharmaceutical, well-tolerated, affordable home treatments for P-M depression.

PMID:37463404 | DOI:10.1097/GME.0000000000002216