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Nevin Manimala Statistics

London parochial burial records from 1563 to 1665 indicate higher plague death rates for males than females: Some possible demographic and social explanations

PLoS One. 2022 Aug 5;17(8):e0272278. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0272278. eCollection 2022.

ABSTRACT

The burial rates of males and females in early modern central London were compared to investigate a possible bias towards male mortality in the plague years of 1563, 1593, 1603, 1625 and 1665. The burial records of sixteen parishes were examined and compared with the five-year periods immediately preceding each plague year when recorded burials were substantially less. A markedly higher burial rate for males was detected in each plague year but this can be partly attributed to a general preponderance of males in the central London population since there was a similar but lesser bias in non-plague years. In the plague years the difference between the frequency of male and female adult burials appears to have been enhanced by the preferential migration of women of childbearing age out of the city since fewer births were recorded in months when plague was rife. Furthermore, when a sample of households was investigated, husbands were significantly more likely to have been buried than their wives. These findings were largely applicable to the plague years of 1603, 1625 and 1665 but were far less apparent in 1563 and 1593. In general, there were more burials of boys than girls in non-plague years which is the expected consequence of their greater vulnerability to childhood diseases. This difference diminished in plague years so that the burials of girls and boys approached parity at a time when burials of children of both sexes were significantly increased. Possibly, plague did not discriminate between the sexes and this characteristic tended to mask the usual vulnerability of boys.

PMID:35930534 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0272278

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Psychological and financial impacts of COVID-19-related travel measures: An international cross-sectional study

PLoS One. 2022 Aug 5;17(8):e0271894. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0271894. eCollection 2022.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The impact of COVID-19 international travel restrictions has to date, not been fully explored, and with the ongoing threat that new variants could potentially restrict movement further, it is important to consider the impacts that travel restrictions have on community members. This study aimed to evaluate the psychological and financial impact of COVID-19 travel restrictions on those separated from their partners or immediate families, as well as temporary visa holders who were unable to migrate.

METHODS: Between 4 November 2021 to 1 December 2021, we executed a cross-sectional online survey targeting three specific groups; (1) those stranded from their partners; (2) those stranded from immediate families; and (3) temporary visa holders unable to migrate or cross international borders. We collected data on respondents’ demographic profile; the nature of COVID-19-related travel impacts; depression, anxiety, and stress levels (using the validated DASS-21); and finally, data on respondents financial, employment and accommodation situation.

RESULTS: 1363 respondents located globally completed the survey. 71.2% reported financial stress, 76.8% ([Formula: see text], SD = 5.94) reported moderate-to-extremely severe depression, 51.6% ([Formula: see text], SD = 5.49) moderate-to-extremely severe anxiety, and 62.6% ([Formula: see text], SD = 5.55) moderate-to-extremely severe stress levels. Statistically significant factors associated with moderate-to-extremely severe depression, anxiety, and stress included being female, chronic illness, and experiencing financial stress. Employment during COVID-19 -specifically essential services workers or unemployed-was associated with higher levels of anxiety and stress, with only essential workers being a predictor of higher stress severity. Factors that provided psychological protection included being older and having children.

CONCLUSION: This study is one of the first to explore the impact COVID-19-related international travel restrictions have had on the financial status and psychological health of affected individuals. It highlights the significant human cost associated with the restrictions and identifies psychologically vulnerable populations. These results will help the design of targeted health and social policy responses.

PMID:35930529 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0271894

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Immunological evaluation of patients with 2019 novel coronavirus pneumonia: CD4+ and CD16+ cells may predict severity and prognosis

PLoS One. 2022 Aug 5;17(8):e0268712. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0268712. eCollection 2022.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Available but insufficient evidence shows that changes may occur in the immune system following coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). The present study aimed at evaluating immunological changes in patients with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) pneumonia compared with the control group.

METHOD: The present study was performed on 95 patients with COVID-19 (32 severe and 63 moderate cases) and 22 healthy controls. Relationship between immune cells, disease severity and lung involvement was assessed. Binary logistic regression and ROC curve tests were used for statistical analysis.

RESULTS: A significant decrease was observed in CD20+ cell counts of the patients. To differentiate patients from healthy individuals, the cutoff point for the CD4+ cell count was 688 /μL, sensitivity 0.96, and specificity 0.84. An increase in CD4+ cells reduces the odds of severe disease (odds ratio = 0.82, P = 0.047) and death (odds ratio = 0.74, P = 0.029). CD4+ cells play a pivotal role in the severity of lung involvement (P = 0.03). In addition to CD4+ cells, Fc gamma receptor III (FcγRIII) (CD16) also played a significant prognosis (odds ratio = 0.55, P = 0.047). In severe cases, C-reactive protein, Blood urea nitrogen, and Creatine phosphokinase levels, as well as neutrophil counts, were significantly higher than those of moderate ones whereas lymphocyte count in severe cases was lower than that of moderate ones.

CONCLUSION: The number of total T-cells and B-cells in patients with COVID-19 was lower than that of controls; however, their NK cells increased. FcγRIII and CD4+ cells are of great importance due to their association with COVID-19 prognosis.

PMID:35930526 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0268712

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

An Evaluation of Gene-Diet Interaction Statistical Methods and Discovery of rs7175421-Whole Grain Interaction in Lung Cancer

Nutr Cancer. 2022 Aug 5:1-9. doi: 10.1080/01635581.2022.2104878. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Dietary factors show different effects on genetically diverse populations. Scientific research uses gene-environment interaction models to study the effects of dietary factors on genetically diverse populations for lung cancer risk. However, previous study designs have not investigated the degree of type I error inflation and, in some instances, have not corrected for multiple testing. Using a motivating investigation of diet-gene interaction and lung cancer risk, we propose a training and testing strategy and perform real-world simulations to select the appropriate statistical methods to reduce false-positive discoveries. The simulation results show that the unconstrained maximum likelihood (UML) method controls the type I error better than the constrained maximum likelihood (CML). The empirical Bayesian (EB) method can compete with the UML method in achieving statistical power and controlling type I error. We observed a significant interaction between SNP rs7175421 with dietary whole grain in lung cancer prevention, with an effect size (standard error) of -0.312 (0.112) for EB estimate. SNP rs7175421 may interact with dietary whole grains in modulating lung cancer risk. Evaluating statistical methods for gene-diet interaction analysis can help balance the statistical power and type I error.

PMID:35930377 | DOI:10.1080/01635581.2022.2104878

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Adverse events after COVID-19 vaccination self-reported by healthcare workers are reliable

Hum Vaccin Immunother. 2022 Aug 5:2099163. doi: 10.1080/21645515.2022.2099163. Online ahead of print.

NO ABSTRACT

PMID:35930374 | DOI:10.1080/21645515.2022.2099163

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Oncologic outcomes of salvage surgery and immune checkpoint inhibitor therapy in recurrent head and neck squamous cell carcinoma: A single-institution retrospective study

Head Neck. 2022 Aug 5. doi: 10.1002/hed.27162. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Survival outcomes in recurrent head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) are poor. This study aimed to compare survival outcomes between salvage surgery and immunotherapy in patients with recurrent advanced HNSCC.

METHODS: Patients with advanced stage (stage III or IV) recurrent HNSCC following treatment with platinum-based chemotherapy were included. Survival was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method, and Cox regression was used for multivariate logistic regression.

RESULTS: Two-year overall survival after salvage surgery was 68.6% and after immunotherapy patients was 24.6%. Multivariate logistic regression showed that salvage surgery was associated with improved survival without statistical significance (hazard ratio [HR] 0.12, p = 0.25). Subgroup analysis of patients with oral cavity/oropharyngeal cancer noted improved survival with salvage surgery over immunotherapy (HR 0.006, p = 0.01) and decreased survival with neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) > 5 (HR 6.4, p = 0.02).

CONCLUSION: Our retrospective single-institutional data suggest that resectable advanced stage recurrent HNSCC may have improved survival with salvage surgery in appropriately selected patients, but larger prospective studies are required.

PMID:35930296 | DOI:10.1002/hed.27162

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Rural-Urban Disparities in Diagnosis of Early-Onset Dementia

JAMA Netw Open. 2022 Aug 1;5(8):e2225805. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2022.25805.

ABSTRACT

IMPORTANCE: Limited access to appropriate specialists and testing may be associated with delayed diagnosis and symptom management for patients with early-onset Alzheimer disease and related dementias (ADRDs).

OBJECTIVES: To examine rural vs urban differences in diagnostic and symptom management service use among patients with early-onset ADRDs.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This cross-sectional study was conducted using commercial claims from 2012 to 2017. Included patients were those with early-onset ADRDs aged 40 to 64 years, including new patients, defined as those with no claims of ADRDs for 36 months before the first ADRD diagnosis. The likelihood of receiving diagnostic and symptom management services was estimated, with adjustment for individual-level variables associated with health care use. Data were analyzed from February 2021 to March 2022.

EXPOSURES: Rural residence.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Among patients with new, early-onset ADRDs, use of psychological assessment and neuropsychological testing performed at the initial diagnosis (index date) or 90 days or less after the index date and use of brain imaging during the 180 days before the index date were collected. Access to different clinicians on the index date or 90 days or less after the index date was also collected, including visits to primary care physicians and nurse practitioners (PCPs) and specialty visits to psychologists, neurologists, and psychiatrists.

RESULTS: Among 71 799 patients with early-onset ADRD (mean [SD] age, 56.34 [6.05] years; 39 231 women [54.64%]), 8430 individuals had new early-onset ADRDs (mean [SD] age, 55.94 [6.30] years; 16 512 women [56.65%]). There were no statistically significant differences between new patients with early-onset ADRDs in rural vs urban areas in the use of psychological assessments, imaging studies, or visits to neurologists or psychiatrists. However, new patients in rural areas were less likely to receive neuropsychological testing (odds ratio [OR], 0.83; 95% CI, 0.70-0.98) or visit a psychologist (OR, 0.72; 95% CI, 0.60-0.85) compared with patients in urban areas. However, new patients in rural areas with early-onset ADRDs were more likely to have only PCP visits for diagnosis and symptom management compared with those in urban areas (OR, 1.40; 95% CI, 1.19-1.66).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: This study found that new patients with early-onset ADRDs in rural areas were less likely to receive neuropsychological testing or visit psychologists but more likely to be diagnosed and treated exclusively by PCPs compared with those in urban areas. These findings suggest that efforts, such as clinician education or teleconsultative guidance to PCPs, may be needed to enhance access to specialist services in rural areas.

PMID:35930281 | DOI:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2022.25805

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Hepcidin-to-Ferritin Ratio as an Early Diagnostic Index of Iron Overload in β-Thalassemia Major Patients

Hemoglobin. 2022 Aug 5:1-8. doi: 10.1080/03630269.2022.2083969. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Hepcidin (HEPC) hormone production is expected to be elevated in cases accompanying iron overload, but the opposite impact of ineffective erythropoiesis in β-thalassemia major (β-TM) patients overrides this effect. The role of the HEPC-to-ferritin (FER) ratio and its components in iron metabolism along with their diagnostic cutoff values, sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy in β-TM patients with iron overload, were examined in this study. This was a 1:1 case-control study with 120 participants, ages ranging from 2 to 30 years of both sexes, who were assigned into two groups: 60 β-TM patients with iron overload, and a control group, comprising 60 healthy individuals matched by gender and age. In the present study, we found slightly elevated serum HEPC concentration (21.9 ng/mL) compared to the controls (9.9 ng/mL), which was not statistically significant (p =0.1), and the median HEPC-to-FER ratio of the cases was significantly lower than the controls, with the median case-control difference of (-0.366; p < 0.001). Our results revealed a statistically significant impact (p < 0.001) of mean age on the serum HEPC level with the inverse linear correlation of (-0.487, p < 0.001). The area under the curve of the HEPC-to-FER ratio was 0.999 and the optimum cutoff value was 0.046 ng/mL (p < 0.001) with 100.0% sensitivity and 98.3% specificity. In conclusion, we found that serum HEPC-to-FER ratio, with an accuracy of 99.2%, may serve as an excellent index for the diagnosis of iron overload in β-TM patients differentiating them from nonthalassemic controls.

PMID:35930276 | DOI:10.1080/03630269.2022.2083969

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Selection of deep or superficial recipient vein in lower extremity reconstruction using free flap: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Microsurgery. 2022 Aug 5. doi: 10.1002/micr.30946. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Free flap surgeries are useful procedures for lower-extremity reconstruction. Recipient vein selection for anastomosis is important to avoid venous congestion and thrombosis. Although deep or superficial venous system can be used as a recipient vein site, there is a lack of consensus on which system would be superior to avoid postoperative complications. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to assess the differences in outcomes between deep and superficial vein anastomosis for lower-extremity free flap reconstruction.

METHODS: The PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library medical databases were systematically searched from inception to April 2022, in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses guidelines. A comparative meta-analysis was conducted on studies of deep and superficial venous system anastomosis outcomes, comprising vascular thrombosis, reoperation, complete flap necrosis, and any flap necrosis. The fixed-effects meta-analysis model was used when low heterogeneity (I2 < 50%) was present.

RESULTS: Six studies with 789 flaps were included in the analysis and qualitative and quantitative syntheses. The rate of vascular thrombosis (8.2% vs. 15.1%; p = .005) was significantly lower for flaps involving deep vein anastomosis than for those involving superficial vein anastomosis. The rate of reoperation after deep vein anastomosis was lower than that after superficial vein anastomosis, with no statistically significant difference (9.0% vs. 14.7%; p = .06). There were no significant differences in the rates of complete (2.5% vs. 2.0%; p = .90) or any flap necrosis (7.0% vs. 9.8%; p = .20).

CONCLUSION: Deep vein anastomosis might be recommended for avoiding vascular thrombosis.

PMID:35930261 | DOI:10.1002/micr.30946

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Design, development, and utility validation of TIPA: a tool for inspection performance assessment

Int J Occup Saf Ergon. 2022 Aug 5:1-19. doi: 10.1080/10803548.2022.2110359. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Workplace inspection supports improving working environment and workers’ conditions. Changes in workplaces following inspections are construed as the inspection’s outcome. Inspectors need to be flexible, which affects their performance. This study aimed to design and develop a tool for inspection performance assessment based on identified inspection prerequisites and evaluate the tool’s appropriateness for performance assessment.

METHODS: Occupational safety and health experts were tasked to rank identified prerequisite for effective inspection performance, based on their experiences and perception of importance of the prerequisites. The outcome of the ranking exercise formed the basis for weighting and assignment of values to the prerequisites subgoals. A code was written creating an inspection performance assessment tool interface, which inspectors can assess their workplace inspection performance.Inspectors from different national authorities tested and evaluated the tool, providing feedback appropriateness for measuring inspection performance.

RESULTS: Statistical analysis of the data collected showed much agreement between the subject matter experts. A five-level performance consideration depending on the inspection performance index attained was implemented. On testing and evaluation of the tool, high average rating for the test criteria were obtained, with data from inspectors from different authorities showing higher interrater consistency, and thus reliability.

CONCLUSION: TIPA provides a systematic inspection performance quantification supporting inspectors’ self-actualisation, improving performance. Furthermore, the tool’s generality allows for use irrespective of the inspection area without affecting inspection areas specificity adjustments. In addition, the ease of use adds to its utility, and with agreement on the tool’s appropriateness for inspection performance assessment.

PMID:35930255 | DOI:10.1080/10803548.2022.2110359