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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Estimating survival parameters under conditionally independent left truncation

Pharm Stat. 2022 Mar 9. doi: 10.1002/pst.2202. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Databases derived from electronic health records (EHRs) are commonly subject to left truncation, a type of selection bias that occurs when patients need to survive long enough to satisfy certain entry criteria. Standard methods to adjust for left truncation bias rely on an assumption of marginal independence between entry and survival times, which may not always be satisfied in practice. In this work, we examine how a weaker assumption of conditional independence can result in unbiased estimation of common statistical parameters. In particular, we show the estimability of conditional parameters in a truncated dataset, and of marginal parameters that leverage reference data containing non-truncated data on confounders. The latter is complementary to observational causal inference methodology applied to real-world external comparators, which is a common use case for real-world databases. We implement our proposed methods in simulation studies, demonstrating unbiased estimation and valid statistical inference. We also illustrate estimation of a survival distribution under conditionally independent left truncation in a real-world clinico-genomic database.

PMID:35262259 | DOI:10.1002/pst.2202

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Quantitative susceptibility mapping versus phase imaging to identify multiple sclerosis iron rim lesions with demyelination

J Neuroimaging. 2022 Mar 9. doi: 10.1111/jon.12987. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: To compare quantitative susceptibility mapping (QSM) and high-pass-filtered (HPF) phase imaging for (1) identifying chronic active rim lesions with more myelin damage and (2) distinguishing patients with increased clinical disability in multiple sclerosis.

METHODS: Eighty patients were scanned with QSM for paramagnetic rim detection and Fast Acquisition with Spiral Trajectory and T2prep for myelin water fraction (MWF). Chronic lesions were classified based on the presence/absence of rim on HPF and QSM images. A lesion-level linear mixed-effects model with MWF as the outcome was used to compare myelin damage among the lesion groups. A multiple patient-level linear regression model was fit to establish the association between Expanded Disease Status Scale (EDSS) and the log of the number of rim lesions.

RESULTS: Of 2062 lesions, 188 (9.1%) were HPF rim+/QSM rim+, 203 (9.8%) were HPF rim+/QSM rim-, and the remainder had no rim. In the linear mixed-effects model, HPF rim+/QSM rim+ lesions had significantly lower MWF than both HPF rim+/QSM rim- (p < .001) and HPF rim-/QSM rim- (p < .001) lesions, while the MWF difference between HPF rim+/QSM rim- and HPF rim-/QSM rim- lesions was not statistically significant (p = .130). Holding all other factors constant, the log number of QSM rim+ lesion was associated with EDSS increase (p = .044). The association between the log number of HPF rim+ lesions and EDSS was not statistically significant (p = .206).

CONCLUSIONS: QSM identifies paramagnetic rim lesions that on average have more myelin damage and stronger association with clinical disability than those detected by phase imaging.

PMID:35262241 | DOI:10.1111/jon.12987

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Role of Lysosomal Gene Variants in Modulating GBA-Associated Parkinson’s Disease Risk

Mov Disord. 2022 Mar 9. doi: 10.1002/mds.28987. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: To date, variants in the GBA gene represent the most frequent large-effect genetic factor associated with Parkinson’s disease (PD). However, the reason why individuals with the same GBA variant may or may not develop neurodegeneration and PD is still unclear.

OBJECTIVES: Therefore, we evaluated the contribution of rare variants in genes responsible for lysosomal storage disorders (LSDs) to GBA-PD risk, comparing the burden of deleterious variants in LSD genes in PD patients versus asymptomatic subjects, all carriers of deleterious variants in GBA.

METHODS: We used a custom next-generation sequencing panel, including 50 LSD genes, to screen 305 patients and 207 controls (discovery cohort). Replication and meta-analysis were performed in two replication cohorts of GBA-variant carriers, of 250 patients and 287 controls, for whom exome or genome data were available.

RESULTS: Statistical analysis in the discovery cohort revealed a significantly increased burden of deleterious variants in LSD genes in patients (P = 0.0029). Moreover, our analyses evidenced that the two strongest modifiers of GBA penetrance are a second variation in GBA (5.6% vs. 1.4%, P = 0.023) and variants in genes causing mucopolysaccharidoses (6.9% vs. 1%, P = 0.0020). These results were confirmed in the meta-analysis, where we observed pooled odds ratios of 1.42 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.10-1.83, P = 0.0063), 4.36 (95% CI = 2.02-9.45, P = 0.00019), and 1.83 (95% CI = 1.04-3.22, P = 0.038) for variants in LSD genes, GBA, and mucopolysaccharidosis genes, respectively.

CONCLUSION: The identification of genetic lesions in lysosomal genes increasing PD risk may have important implications in terms of patient stratification for future therapeutic trials. © 2022 The Authors. Movement Disorders published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of International Parkinson Movement Disorder Society.

PMID:35262230 | DOI:10.1002/mds.28987

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Association testing for binary trees-A Markov branching process approach

Stat Med. 2022 Mar 9. doi: 10.1002/sim.9370. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

We propose a new approach to test associations between binary trees and covariates. In this approach, binary-tree structured data are treated as sample paths of binary fission Markov branching processes (bMBP). We propose a generalized linear regression model and developed inference procedures for association testing, including variable selection and estimation of covariate effects. Simulation studies show that these procedures are able to accurately identify covariates that are associated with the binary tree structure by impacting the rate parameter of the bMBP. The problem of association testing on binary trees is motivated by modeling hierarchical clustering dendrograms of pixel intensities in biomedical images. By using semi-synthetic data generated from a real brain-tumor image, our simulation studies show that the bMBP model is able to capture the characteristics of dendrogram trees in brain-tumor images. Our final analysis of the glioblastoma multiforme brain-tumor data from The Cancer Imaging Archive identified multiple clinical and genetic variables that are potentially associated with brain-tumor heterogeneity.

PMID:35262202 | DOI:10.1002/sim.9370

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Impact of baseline left ventricular ejection fraction on long-term outcomes in cardiac contractility modulation therapy

Pacing Clin Electrophysiol. 2022 Mar 9. doi: 10.1111/pace.14478. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Cardiac contractility modulation (CCM), being reserved for patients with symptomatic chronic heart failure (HF) and narrow QRS complex under guideline directed medical therapy, can recover initially reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF); however, the influence of pre-implantation LVEF on long-term outcomes is not fully understood. This study aimed to compare the effects of lower and higher pre-implantation LVEF on long-term outcomes in CCM-therapy.

METHODS: One-hundred seventy-two patients from our single-centre registry were retrospectively included (2002 – 2019). Follow-up data were collected up to five years after implantation. Patients were divided into Group 1 (baseline LVEF≤ 30%) and Group 2 (≥ 31%). Both groups were compared based on differences in survival, echocardiographic- and clinical parameters including LVEF, tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (TAPSE), NYHA class or Minnesota living with heart failure questionnaire-score (MLWHFQ).

RESULTS: 11 % of the patients did have a LVEF ≥ 31%. Mean LVEF±SD for both groups were 21.98±5.4 vs. 35.2±3.7%, respectively. MLWHFQ (47±21.2 vs. 42±21.4) and mean peak oxygen consumption (VO2, 13.6±4.1 vs. 12.7±2.8 ml/kg/min) were comparable between both groups. LVEF-grouping did not influence survival. Lower baseline LVEF resulted in significantly better recovery of echocardiographic parameters such as LVEF and TAPSE. Irrespective from baseline LVEF, both groups showed nearly comparable improvements for clinical parameters like NYHA-class and MLWHFQ.

CONCLUSION: Long-term biventricular systolic recovery potential in CCM-therapy might be better for pre-implantation LVEF values ≤ 30%, whereas clinical parameters such as NYHA-class can improve irrespective from baseline LVEF. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.

PMID:35262210 | DOI:10.1111/pace.14478

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Gender expression is associated with selection of uterine preservation or hysterectomy for pelvic organ prolapse: novel methodology for sex-and-gender-based analysis in gynecologic research

Int J Gynaecol Obstet. 2022 Mar 8. doi: 10.1002/ijgo.14169. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To explore whether patient characteristics were associated with gender expression, and to further determine impact of gender expression on selection of hysterectomy or uterine-preservation in pelvic organ prolapse (POP) surgery.

METHODS: Within a prospective cohort, a self-reported gender expression tool classified patients as expressing gender polar (i.e., reporting only feminine traits) or non-polar gender scores (i.e., reporting feminine and masculine traits). Multivariate modelling explored associations of gender expression with traditional socio-demographic variables, and with selection of hysterectomy or uterine-preserving surgery. Descriptive statistics of socio-demographic variables were reported by frequency, proportion and mean (SD).

RESULTS: 177 participants completed the gender score questionnaire. Overall the sample had a more feminine gender expression with the majority of respondents classified as gender polar (67.23%, n=119). Participants with non-polar gender scores were 2.53 times (95% 1.05 – 6.09) more likely to choose uterine preservation vs hysterectomy-based surgery. Gender polarity was weakly associated with age, but no other sociodemographic variables.

CONCLUSION: Gender expression is not tightly associated with socio-demographic variables, and is thus a novel measurement in gynecologic research. Gender polarity appears to be associated with choice to undergo hysterectomy. Further research is required to understand this relationship and implications in clinical outcomes.

PMID:35262193 | DOI:10.1002/ijgo.14169

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Na(4)Ga(8)S(14): a Ga-enriched wide band gap ternary alkali-metal sulfide with unique [Ga(12)S(42)] 12-membered rings

Dalton Trans. 2022 Mar 9. doi: 10.1039/d2dt00295g. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

A Ga-enriched ternary alkali-metal sulfide Na4Ga8S14 has been synthesized by a high temperature solid-state reaction. It crystallizes in the centrosymmetric Pbca (no. 61) space group with cell parameters a = 13.5260(4) Å, b = 11.4979(3) Å, c = 29.9592(9) Å, and Z = 8, and exhibits a three-dimensional (3D) network structure constructed from unique [Ga12S42] 12-membered rings, one-dimensional [Ga4S11] chains, individual [GaS4] units and Na+ ions. The experimental band gap of Na4Ga8S14 was measured as ∼3.57 eV. Theoretical calculations indicate that the title compound is a direct band gap compound and the band gap is mainly determined by [GaS4] units. Meanwhile, statistical analysis shows that the atomic ratio N (N = AIAII/Ga, where AI = alkali-metal, AII = alkaline earth-metal) can be used to regulate the connection of [GaS4] units from zero-dimensional (0D) isolated groups, one-dimensional (1D) chains, and two-dimensional (2D) layers to 3D frameworks in Ga-containing alkali- and/or alkaline earth-metal chalcogenides. The results enrich the diversity of alkali-metal sulfides and give an insight into the structural regulation of alkali- and/or alkaline earth-metal chalcogenides.

PMID:35262155 | DOI:10.1039/d2dt00295g

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Rehabilitation after paediatric acquired brain injury: Longitudinal change in content and effect on recovery

Dev Med Child Neurol. 2022 Mar 9. doi: 10.1111/dmcn.15199. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

AIM: To describe cross-sectional and longitudinal variation in neurorehabilitation content provided to young people after severe paediatric acquired brain injury (pABI) and to relate this to observed functional recovery.

METHOD: This was an observational study in a cohort of admissions to a residential neurorehabilitation centre. Recovery was described using the Pediatric Evaluation of Disability – Computer Adaptive Testing instrument. Rehabilitation content was measured using the recently described Paediatric Rehabilitation Ingredients Measure (PRISM) and examined using multidimensional scaling.

RESULTS: The PRISM reveals wide variation in rehabilitation content between and during admissions primarily reflecting proportions of child active practice, child emotional support, and other management of body structure and function. Rehabilitation content is predicted by pre-admission recovery, suggesting therapist decisions in designing rehabilitation programmes are shaped by their initial expectations of recovery. However, significant correlations persist between plausibly-related aspects of delivered therapy and observed post-admission recovery after adjusting for such effects.

INTERPRETATION: The PRISM approach to the analysis of rehabilitation content shows promise in that it demonstrates significant correlations between plausibly-related aspects of delivered therapy and observed recovery that have been hard to identify with other approaches. However, rigorous, causal analysis will be required to truly understand the contributions of rehabilitation to recovery after pABI.

PMID:35262182 | DOI:10.1111/dmcn.15199

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Comparison of Rapid Antigen Tests’ Performance between Delta (B.1.61.7; AY.X) and Omicron (B.1.1.529; BA1) Variants of SARS-CoV-2: Secondary Analysis from a Serial Home Self-Testing Study

medRxiv. 2022 Mar 2:2022.02.27.22271090. doi: 10.1101/2022.02.27.22271090. Preprint.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: There is a need to understand the performance of rapid antigen tests (Ag-RDT) for detection of the Delta (B.1.61.7; AY.X) and Omicron (B.1.1.529; BA1) SARS-CoV-2 variants.

METHODS: Participants without any symptoms were enrolled from October 18, 2021 to January 24, 2022 and performed Ag-RDT and RT-PCR tests every 48 hours for 15 days. This study represents a non-pre-specified analysis in which we sought to determine if sensitivity of Ag-RDT differed in participants with Delta compared to Omicron variant. Participants who were positive on RT-PCR on the first day of the testing period were excluded. Delta and Omicron variants were defined based on sequencing and date of first RT-PCR positive result (RT-PCR+). Comparison of Ag-RDT performance between the variants was based on sensitivity, defined as proportion of participants with Ag-RDT+ results in relation to their first RT-PCR+ result, for different duration of testing with rapid Ag-RDT. Subsample analysis was performed based on the result of participants’ second RT-PCR test within 48 hours of the first RT-PCR+ test.

RESULTS: From the 7,349 participants enrolled in the parent study, 5,506 met the eligibility criteria for this analysis. A total of 153 participants were RT-PCR+ (61 Delta, 92 Omicron); among this group, 36 (23.5%) tested Ag-RDT+ on the same day, and 84 (54.9%) tested Ag-RDT+ within 48 hours as first RT-PCR+. The differences in sensitivity between variants were not statistically significant (same-day: Delta 16.4% [95% CI: 8.2-28.1] vs Omicron 28.2% [95% CI: 19.4-38.6]; and 48-hours: Delta 45.9% [33.1-59.2] vs. Omicron 60.9% [50.1-70.9]). This trend continued among the 86 participants who had consecutive RT-PCR+ result (48-hour sensitivity: Delta 79.3% [60.3-92.1] vs. Omicron: 89.5% [78.5-96.0]). Conversely, the 38 participants who had an isolated RT-PCR+ remained consistently negative on Ag-RDT, regardless of the variant.

CONCLUSIONS: The performance of Ag-RDT is not inferior among individuals infected with the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant as compared to the Delta variant. The improvement in sensitivity of Ag-RDT noted with serial testing is consistent between Delta and Omicron variant. Performance of Ag-RDT varies based on duration of RT-PCR+ results and more studies are needed to understand the clinical and public health significance of individuals who are RT-PCR+ for less than 48 hours.

PMID:35262091 | PMC:PMC8902878 | DOI:10.1101/2022.02.27.22271090

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Genetic Examination of Hematological Parameters in SARS-CoV-2 Infection and COVID-19

medRxiv. 2022 Feb 28:2022.02.28.22271562. doi: 10.1101/2022.02.28.22271562. Preprint.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: People hospitalized with COVID-19 often exhibit hematological alterations, such as lower lymphocyte and platelet counts, which have been reported to associate with disease prognosis. It is unclear whether inter-individual variability in baseline hematological parameters prior to acute infection influences risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection and progression to severe COVID-19.

METHODS: We assessed the association of blood cell counts and indices with incident SARS-CoV-2 infection and severe COVID-19 in UK Biobank and the Vanderbilt University Medical Center Synthetic Derivative (VUMC SD). Since genetically determined blood cell measures better represent cell abundance across the lifecourse, we used summary statistics from genome-wide association studies to assess the shared genetic architecture of baseline blood cell counts and indices on COVID-19 outcomes.

RESULTS: We observed inconsistent associations between measured blood cell indices and both SARS-CoV-2 infection and COVID-19 hospitalization in UK Biobank and VUMC SD. In Mendelian randomization analyses using genetic summary statistics, no putative causal relationships were identified between COVID-19 related outcomes and hematological indices after adjusting for multiple testing. We observed overlapping genetic association signals between hematological parameters and COVID-19 traits. For example, we observed overlap between infection susceptibility-associated variants at PPP1R15A and red blood cell parameters, and between disease severity-associated variants at TYK2 and lymphocyte and platelet phenotypes.

CONCLUSIONS: We did not find convincing evidence of a relationship between baseline hematological parameters and susceptibility to SARS-CoV-2 infection or COVID-19 severity, though this relationship should be re-examined as larger and better-powered genetic analyses of SARS-CoV-2 infection and severe COVID-19 become available.

PMID:35262092 | PMC:PMC8902884 | DOI:10.1101/2022.02.28.22271562