Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Derivation and validation of a two-variable index to predict 30-day outcomes following heart failure hospitalization

ESC Heart Fail. 2021 May 1. doi: 10.1002/ehf2.13324. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The LACE index-length of stay (L), acuity (A), Charlson co-morbidities (C), and emergent visits (E)-predicts 30-day outcomes following heart failure (HF) hospitalization but is complex to score. A simpler LE index (length of stay and emergent visits) could offer a practical advantage in point-of-care risk prediction.

METHODS AND RESULTS: This was a sub-study of the patient-centred care transitions in HF (PACT-HF) multicentre trial. The derivation cohort comprised patients hospitalized for HF, enrolled in the trial, and followed prospectively. External validation was performed retrospectively in a cohort of patients hospitalized for HF. We used log-binomial regression models with LACE or LE as the predictor and either 30-day composite all-cause readmission or death or 30-day all-cause readmission as the outcomes, adjusting only for post-discharge services. There were 1985 patients (mean [SD] age 78.1 [12.1] years) in the derivation cohort and 378 (mean [SD] age 73.1 [13.2] years) in the validation cohort. Increments in the LACE and LE indices were associated with 17% (RR 1.17; 95% CI 1.12, 1.21; C-statistic 0.64) and 21% (RR 1.21; 95% CI 1.15, 1.26; C-statistic 0.63) increases, respectively, in 30-day composite all-cause readmission or death; and 16% (RR 1.16; 95% CI 1.11, 1.20; C-statistic 0.64) and 18% (RR 1.18; 95% CI 1.13, 1.24; C-statistic 0.62) increases, respectively, in 30-day all-cause readmission. The LE index provided better risk discrimination for the 30-day outcomes than did the LACE index in the external validation cohort.

CONCLUSIONS: The LE index predicts 30-day outcomes following HF hospitalization with similar or better performance than the more complex LACE index.

PMID:33932113 | DOI:10.1002/ehf2.13324

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Surgical strategies for hepatocellular carcinoma located in the left lateral lobe: A propensity score-matched and prognostic nomogram study

Cancer Med. 2021 May 1. doi: 10.1002/cam4.3894. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: For hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) located in the left lateral lobe, the optimal surgical procedure is still controversial. This study aimed to optimize surgical strategies and to construct a nomogram to predict the postoperative survival of patients with HCC.

METHODS: Between 1 January 2005 and 30 September 2018, a total of 493 patients were enrolled. Propensity score matching (PSM) was performed between the left lateral lobectomy (LLL) and left hepatectomy (LH) groups (1:1). The study endpoints were overall survival (OS), recurrence-free survival (RFS), and safety. A nomogram was generated using a multivariate Cox proportional hazards model. The discriminative ability and calibration of the nomogram were evaluated using C-statistics and calibration plots.

RESULTS: After matching, 87 pairs were included. The LH group had better 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS rates than the LLL group (88%, 73%, and 69% vs. 73%, 57%, and 49%, respectively; p = 0.017). The 1-, 3-, and 5-year RFS rates of the LH group were similar to those of the LLL group (64%, 49%, and 46% vs. 63%, 51%, and 42%, respectively; p = 0.652). There were no significant differences in postoperative complications. Eight factors were integrated into the nomogram and it had good discriminative ability and calibration.

CONCLUSION: Our data revealed that compared to LLL, LH may result in better OS and have similar postoperative complications for HCC. The nomogram may serve as a practical tool for the individual prognostic evaluation of patients with HCC.

PMID:33932132 | DOI:10.1002/cam4.3894

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Assessing the concordance and accuracy between hospital discharge data, electronic health records, and register books for diagnosis of inpatient admissions of miscarriage: A retrospective linked data study

J Obstet Gynaecol Res. 2021 May 1. doi: 10.1111/jog.14785. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Despite the high prevalence of miscarriage, there are few studies which assess the concordance of a diagnosis of miscarriage in routinely collected health databases.

OBJECTIVES: To determine agreement and accuracy for the diagnosis of miscarriage between electronic health records (EHR), the Hospital Inpatient-Enquiry (HIPE) system, and hospital register books in Ireland.

METHODS: This is a retrospective study comparing agreement of diagnosis of miscarriage between three hospital data sources from January to June 2017. All inpatient admissions for miscarriage were reviewed from a single, tertiary maternity hospital in Ireland. Kappa, sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive value were calculated.

RESULTS: In this retrospective concordance study, EHR records confirmed 96.2% diagnosis of miscarriage of HIPE records, and 95.1% of register books records. A total of 95 records were not recorded in the register books but were recorded in HIPE and EHR. This study found a considerable variability when comparing definitions of type of miscarriage (i.e., missed miscarriage, incomplete, and complete) between the three data sources.

CONCLUSION: Although this study found a high concordance in inpatient admissions for miscarriage between EHR, HIPE, and register books, a considerable discrepancy was found when classifying miscarriage between the three data sources.

PMID:33932071 | DOI:10.1111/jog.14785

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Evaluation of factors affecting the fat phobia level

Int J Clin Pract. 2021 May 1:e14297. doi: 10.1111/ijcp.14297. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

AIM: The aim of the study was to investigate and evaluate factors affecting levels of negative bias or attitude towards obesity, known as “fat phobia”.

METHODS: The study included 583 individuals who agreed to participate in this research among those presented at our outpatient clinics for any reason. Participants were asked to complete a survey after their written consent was received. The survey consisted of two parts: the first related to socio-demographic information; the second including a “Fat Phobia Scale”, the “State-Trait Anxiety Inventory”, and the “Beck Depression Inventory”. Data analyzed using SPSS 20 statistical software.

RESULTS: Of the participants, 50.6% were male and 49.4% were female. Among participants, 49.7% had a weight problem in their family, while 50.6% had experienced weight problems. In addition, 35.7% of participants were overweight, 27.4% severely overweight, 20.1% medium-to-normal weight, 7% severely underweight, 6.7% underweight, and 3.1% obese. The median score for fat phobia level did not differ by gender (p=0.790) and was 3.07 in both men and women. The fat phobia level did not vary by profession, previous diets, previous weight problems, and weight self-assessment (p>0.05). There was no significant relationship between fat phobia and age, weight, height, body mass index, state anxiety, trait anxiety and Beck depression score (p>0.05).

CONCLUSION: The common opinion across studies on bias is that the effective factor in being free from the relevant bias can be achieved through education. Although fat phobia is a new concept, it is an emotion that is always with us at varying levels. In order to minimize the level of fat phobia as much as possible, to draw attention to this situation and to raise awareness, weight management should be ensured for the health of individuals in addition to psychological sessions.

PMID:33932080 | DOI:10.1111/ijcp.14297

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Analytical profiling of phenolic compounds in extracts of three Cistus species from Sardinia and their potential antimicrobial and antioxidant activity

Chem Biodivers. 2021 May 1. doi: 10.1002/cbdv.202100053. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

The Cistaceae family is well represented in Sardinia, and the Cistus genus is widely used in traditional medicine. Nowadays only few studies have been performed on this genus vegetating in Sardinia in spite of its ethnobotanical importance. Moreover, in the past there have been conflicting opinions among botanists for the exact assignment of the species growing in Sardinia. We started several years ago to carried out studies on this genus and in the present study was to evaluate the in vitro activity of several samples of Cistus salvifolius L., Cistus monspeliensis L., and Cistus albidus L. collected in Sardinia as antimicrobial agents against Escherichia coli , Staphylococcus aureus , and four Candida species and their antioxidant activity using DPPH, ABTS, and FRAP assays. Furthermore, the phenolic content and composition of the extracts were first evaluated. Using statistical multivariate analysis on the complete metabolomics profile of all Cistus species growing wild in Sardinia, we confirmed the botanical classification, and we observed an interesting correlation between metabolomics profile and antioxidant activity.

PMID:33932088 | DOI:10.1002/cbdv.202100053

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Semi-automated classification of colonial Microcystis by FlowCAM imaging flow cytometry in mesocosm experiment reveals high heterogeneity during seasonal bloom

Sci Rep. 2021 Apr 30;11(1):9377. doi: 10.1038/s41598-021-88661-2.

ABSTRACT

A machine learning approach was employed to detect and quantify Microcystis colonial morphospecies using FlowCAM-based imaging flow cytometry. The system was trained and tested using samples from a long-term mesocosm experiment (LMWE, Central Jutland, Denmark). The statistical validation of the classification approaches was performed using Hellinger distances, Bray-Curtis dissimilarity, and Kullback-Leibler divergence. The semi-automatic classification based on well-balanced training sets from Microcystis seasonal bloom provided a high level of intergeneric accuracy (96-100%) but relatively low intrageneric accuracy (67-78%). Our results provide a proof-of-concept of how machine learning approaches can be applied to analyze the colonial microalgae. This approach allowed to evaluate Microcystis seasonal bloom in individual mesocosms with high level of temporal and spatial resolution. The observation that some Microcystis morphotypes completely disappeared and re-appeared along the mesocosm experiment timeline supports the hypothesis of the main transition pathways of colonial Microcystis morphoforms. We demonstrated that significant changes in the training sets with colonial images required for accurate classification of Microcystis spp. from time points differed by only two weeks due to Microcystis high phenotypic heterogeneity during the bloom. We conclude that automatic methods not only allow a performance level of human taxonomist, and thus be a valuable time-saving tool in the routine-like identification of colonial phytoplankton taxa, but also can be applied to increase temporal and spatial resolution of the study.

PMID:33931681 | DOI:10.1038/s41598-021-88661-2

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Use of direct oral anticoagulants does not significantly increase delayed bleeding after endoscopic submucosal dissection for early gastric neoplasms

Sci Rep. 2021 Apr 30;11(1):9399. doi: 10.1038/s41598-021-88656-z.

ABSTRACT

Direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) are widely prescribed for the prevention of stroke in elderly patients with atrial fibrillation and approved indication for DOAC has been expanded. We aimed to evaluate the risk of delayed bleeding in patients who had taken DOAC and underwent endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) for gastric neoplasms. We included consecutive patients who underwent ESD between January 2016 and July 2019 in Seoul National University Hospital. Patients were divided into four groups (no med; no medication, DOAC, WFR; warfarin, anti-PLT; anti-platelet agent) according to the medications they had been taken before the procedure. We defined delayed bleeding as obvious post-procedural gastrointestinal bleeding sign including hematemesis or melena combined with hemoglobin drop ≥ 2 g/dL. Among 1634 patients enrolled in this study, 23 (1.4%) patients had taken DOAC and they usually stopped the medication for 2 days before the ESD and resumed within 1 or 2 days. We compared rates of delayed bleeding between groups. Delayed bleeding rates of the groups of no med, DOAC, WFR, and anti-PLT were 2.1% (32/1499) 8.7% (2/23), 14.3% (2/14), 11.2% (11/98), respectively (P < 0.001). However, there was no difference of delayed bleeding rate between no med and DOAC group after propensity score matching (no med vs DOAC, 1.7% vs 10.0%, P = 0.160). Taking DOAC was not associated statistically with post-ESD bleeding when adjusted by age, sex, comorbidities and characteristics of target lesion (Adjusted Odds Ratio: 2.4, 95% Confidence intervals: 0.41-13.73, P = 0.335). Crude rate of bleeding in DOAC users seemed to be higher than no medication group after performing ESD with 2 days of medication cessation. When adjusted by age, sex, and comorbidity, however, this difference seems to be small, which suggests that gastric post-ESD bleeding may be influenced by patients’ underlying condition in addition to medication use.

PMID:33931685 | DOI:10.1038/s41598-021-88656-z

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Increased Ankle Range of Motion Reduces Knee Loads During Landing in Healthy Adults

J Appl Biomech. 2021 Apr 29:1-10. doi: 10.1123/jab.2020-0281. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Decreased dorsiflexion range of motion (DROM) can be modified using static stretching and joint mobilizations and may attenuate known knee anterior cruciate ligament injury risk factors. It is not known how these interventions compare to each other and how they improve knee landing mechanics. This study’s purpose was to determine the immediate effects of static stretching and joint mobilization interventions on DROM measurement changes and right-leg drop jump knee landing mechanics. Eighteen females and 7 males, all recreationally active, completed 2 study sessions. Active and passive DROM, the weight-bearing lunge test, the anterior reach portion of the Star Excursion Balance Test, and a right-leg drop jump landing task were completed before and after the intervention. Change in DROM (ΔDROM) was calculated for DROM assessments between preintervention and postintervention. Pairwise dependent t tests determined no differences in ΔDROM between interventions, and statistical parametric mapping determined increased knee flexion (P = .004) and decreased anterior shear force (P = .015) during landing after both interventions. Increased DROM improves sagittal plane displacement and loading at the knee. Stretching may be a more feasible option in a healthy population for those wanting to maintain range of motion and decrease knee injury risk without physical therapist involvement.

PMID:33931575 | DOI:10.1123/jab.2020-0281

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

UTMOST, a single and cross-tissue TWAS (Transcriptome Wide Association Study), reveals new ASD (Autism Spectrum Disorder) associated genes

Transl Psychiatry. 2021 Apr 30;11(1):256. doi: 10.1038/s41398-021-01378-8.

ABSTRACT

Autism spectrum disorders (ASD) is a complex neurodevelopmental disorder that may significantly impact on the affected individual’s life. Common variation (SNPs) could explain about 50% of ASD heritability. Despite this fact and the large size of the last GWAS meta-analysis, it is believed that hundreds of risk genes in ASD have yet to be discovered. New tools, such as TWAS (Transcriptome Wide Association Studies) which integrate tissue expression and genetic data, are a great approach to identify new ASD susceptibility genes. The main goal of this study is to use UTMOST with the publicly available summary statistics from the largest ASD GWAS meta-analysis as genetic input. In addition, an in silico biological characterization for the novel associated loci was performed. Our results have shown the association of 4 genes at the brain level (CIPC, PINX1, NKX2-2, and PTPRE) and have highlighted the association of NKX2-2, MANBA, ERI1, and MITF at the gastrointestinal level. The gastrointestinal associations are quite relevant given the well-established but unexplored relationship between ASD and gastrointestinal symptoms. Cross-tissue analysis has shown the association of NKX2-2 and BLK. UTMOST-associated genes together with their in silico biological characterization seems to point to different biological mechanisms underlying ASD etiology. Thus, it would not be restricted to brain tissue and it will involve the participation of other body tissues such as the gastrointestinal.

PMID:33931583 | DOI:10.1038/s41398-021-01378-8

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

The COVID-19 lab score: an accurate dynamic tool to predict in-hospital outcomes in COVID-19 patients

Sci Rep. 2021 Apr 30;11(1):9361. doi: 10.1038/s41598-021-88679-6.

ABSTRACT

Deterioration is sometimes unexpected in SARS-CoV2 infection. The aim of our study is to establish laboratory predictors of mortality in COVID-19 disease which can help to identify high risk patients. All patients admitted to hospital due to Covid-19 disease were included. Laboratory biomarkers that contributed with significant predictive value for predicting mortality to the clinical model were included. Cut-off points were established, and finally a risk score was built. 893 patients were included. Median age was 68.2 ± 15.2 years. 87(9.7%) were admitted to Intensive Care Unit (ICU) and 72(8.1%) needed mechanical ventilation support. 171(19.1%) patients died. A Covid-19 Lab score ranging from 0 to 30 points was calculated on the basis of a multivariate logistic regression model in order to predict mortality with a weighted score that included haemoglobin, erythrocytes, leukocytes, neutrophils, lymphocytes, creatinine, C-reactive protein, interleukin-6, procalcitonin, lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), and D-dimer. Three groups were established. Low mortality risk group under 12 points, 12 to 18 were included as moderate risk, and high risk group were those with 19 or more points. Low risk group as reference, moderate and high patients showed mortality OR 4.75(CI95% 2.60-8.68) and 23.86(CI 95% 13.61-41.84), respectively. C-statistic was 0-85(0.82-0.88) and Hosmer-Lemeshow p-value 0.63. Covid-19 Lab score can very easily predict mortality in patients at any moment during admission secondary to SARS-CoV2 infection. It is a simple and dynamic score, and it can be very easily replicated. It could help physicians to identify high risk patients to foresee clinical deterioration.

PMID:33931677 | DOI:10.1038/s41598-021-88679-6