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Nevin Manimala Statistics

A time series analysis of the short-term association between climatic variables and acute respiratory infections in Singapore

Int J Hyg Environ Health. 2021 Apr 13;234:113748. doi: 10.1016/j.ijheh.2021.113748. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Acute respiratory infections (ARIs) are among the most common human illnesses globally. Previous studies that examined the associations between climate variability and ARIs or ARI pathogens have reported inconsistent findings. Few studies have been conducted in Southeast Asia to date, and the impact of climatic factors are not well-understood. This study aimed to investigate the short-term associations between climate variability and ARIs in Singapore.

METHODS: We obtained reports of ARIs from all government primary healthcare services from 2005 to 2019 and analysed their dependence on mean ambient temperature, minimum temperature and maximum temperature using the distributed lag non-linear framework. Separate negative binomial regression models were used to estimate the association between each temperature (mean, minimum, maximum temperature) and ARIs, adjusted for seasonality and long-term trend, rainfall, relative humidity, public holidays and autocorrelations. For temperature variables and relative humidity we reported cumulative relative risks (RRs) at 10th and 90th percentiles compared to the reference value (centered at their medians) with corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs). For rainfall we reported RRs at 50th and 90th percentiles compared to 0 mm with corresponding 95% CIs.

RESULTS: Statistically significant inverse S-curve shaped associations were observed between all three temperature variables (mean, minimum, maximum) and ARIs. A decrease of 1.1 °C from the median value of 27.8 °C to 26.7 °C (10th percentile) in the mean temperature was associated with a 6% increase (RR: 1.06, 95% CI: 1.03 to 1.09) in ARIs. ARIs also increased at 23.9 °C (10th percentile) compared to 24.9 °C of minimum temperature (RR: 1.11, 95% CI: 1.07 to 1.16). The effect of maximum temperature for the same comparison (30.5 °C vs 31.7 °C) was non-significant (RR: 1.02, 95% CI: 0.99 to 1.05). An increase in ambient temperature to 28.9 °C (90th percentile) was associated with an 18% decrease (RR: 0.82, 95% CI: 0.80 to 0.83) in ARIs. Similarly, ARIs decreased with the same increase to 90th percentile in minimum (RR: 0.84, 95% CI: 0.80 to 0.87) and maximum (RR: 0.89, 95% CI: 0.86 to 0.93) temperatures. Rainfall was inversely associated with ARIs and displayed similar shape in all three temperature models. Relative humidity, on the other hand, exhibited a U-shaped relationship with ARIs.

CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest that lower temperatures increase the risk of ARIs. Anticipated extreme weather events that reduce ambient temperature can be used to inform increased healthcare resource allocation for ARIs.

PMID:33862488 | DOI:10.1016/j.ijheh.2021.113748

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Urine proteome changes in a chronic unpredictable mild stress (CUMS) mouse model of major depressive disorder

J Pharm Biomed Anal. 2021 Apr 6;199:114064. doi: 10.1016/j.jpba.2021.114064. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Major depressive disorder (MDD) is a prevalent complex psychiatric disorder, and there are no effective biomarkers for clinical diagnosis. Urine is not subjected to homeostatic control, allowing it to reflect the sensitive changes that occur in various diseases. In this study, we examined the urine proteome changes in a chronic unpredictable mild stress mouse model of MDD. Male C57BL/6 mice were subjected to chronic unpredictable mild stress for 5 weeks. The tail suspension test and sucrose consumption test were then applied to evaluate depression-like behaviors. The urine proteomes on day 0 and day 36 in the CUMS group were profiled by liquid chromatography coupled with tandem mass spectrometry (LCMS/MS). A total of 36 differential proteins were identified, 19 of which have been associated with the pathogenic mechanisms of MDD. There was an average of two differential proteins that were identified through 1,048,574 random combination statistical analyses, indicating that at least 95 % of the differential proteins were reliable. The differential proteins were mainly associated with blood coagulation, inflammatory responses and central nervous system development. Our preliminary results indicated that the urine proteome can reflect changes associated with MDD in the CUMS model, which provides potential clues for the diagnosis of MDD.

PMID:33862505 | DOI:10.1016/j.jpba.2021.114064

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Municipal waste management: A complex network approach with an application to Italy

Waste Manag. 2021 Apr 13;126:597-607. doi: 10.1016/j.wasman.2021.03.035. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

The paper contributes to the debate concerning the management of municipal solid waste by providing an analysis of two key aspects of waste management – namely, waste separation and dispatch to treatment plants. Our analysis aims at detecting the extent to which actual behavior in (close-by) municipalities is similar with respect to those two aspects. To pursue our scope, a complex network approach is followed. In particular, we conceptualize, explore and compare two networks, whose nodes are the municipalities, while weights synthesize in one network the percentage of sorted waste that is collected at a municipal level, and in the other one the distance from the waste processing plants used by each municipality. The theoretical network models are implemented through an empirical study based on a high quality dataset referred to Italian municipalities. In this regard, the detection of communities of municipalities and their geospatial contextualization are introduced as devices for a complete description of current practices of municipal waste separation and transfers in Italy.

PMID:33862511 | DOI:10.1016/j.wasman.2021.03.035

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Does participation in ethics discussions have an impact on ethics decision-making? A cross-sectional study among healthcare professionals in paediatric oncology

Eur J Oncol Nurs. 2021 Mar 27;52:101950. doi: 10.1016/j.ejon.2021.101950. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: The overall aim of this study was to describe perceptions of the decision-making process in relation to participation/non-participation in ethics discussions among healthcare professionals in paediatric oncology.

METHODS: Healthcare professionals, working at three paediatric units where ethics discussions where performed answered a study-specific questionnaire focusing on perceptions of involvement, influence, responsibility and understanding of ethics decision-making. Statistical analyses included descriptive statistics, non-parametric paired t-tests and correlation tests.

RESULTS: Participation in ethics discussions was related to perceptions of greater involvement and the possibility of influencing decisions, as well as formal/shared responsibility for the ethics decisions related to patient care. Medical doctors and registered nurses perception of involvement in decisions, possibility to influence and responsibility decreased when they were not present during the ethics discussion or when no ethics discussion was conducted at all. Healthcare professionals had a generally good understanding of the ethical issues and the ethics decisions. The whole group considered medical doctors to be the most important participants in the ethics discussions, followed by patients/family. Healthcare professionals wanted more teamwork and viewed ethics discussions as very helpful for teamwork when dealing with ethical issues in paediatric oncology.

CONCLUSIONS: Ethics discussions in paediatric oncology practice increases the involvement within and the understanding of the decision-making process about ethical decisions. The understanding is not always dependent on participation, indicating a great trust in team members. Based on these findings the implementation of a structure for ethics support in paediatric oncology where patients/families are integrated is recommended.

PMID:33862416 | DOI:10.1016/j.ejon.2021.101950

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Quality of life recovery after laparoscopic high uterosacral ligament suspension: a single centre observational study

Eur J Obstet Gynecol Reprod Biol. 2021 Apr 1;260:212-217. doi: 10.1016/j.ejogrb.2021.03.035. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Laparoscopic high uterosacral ligament suspension (l-HUSLS) is a laparoscopic-transposed vaginal technique for the treatment of pelvic organ prolapse. Nowadays data regarding quality of life and sexual functions in patients who underwent l-HUSLS for pelvic organ prolapse are few and generic with most of the study investigating the anatomical outcome. For these reasons, the aim of our study is to evaluate these subjective outcomes in women undergoing this surgical procedure with the support of validated questionnaires.

STUDY DESIGN: This is a retrospective study with the primary aim of analysing the quality of life, sexual function, patient satisfaction rates and anatomical outcome among patients who underwent l-HUSLS in our institution. The SPSS Version 26.0 for Windows (Statistical package for the social studies, Chicago, IL, USA) was used for the statistical analysis.

RESULTS: A total of 60 patients underwent l-HUSLS between 2016 and 2018. All patients had a high grade of apical prolapse. No intraoperative and major postoperative complications were registered. The median follow-up was 24 months (24-48). PGI-I score was 1-2 in 55 (91.6 %) women. We observed a significant improvement of EQ-5D index and VAS scores from the baseline to the 2 years follow-up: from 0.72 (0.67-1) to 0.91 (0.79-1) and from 50 (30-90) to 70 (50-100) respectively (p = 0.000). All women showed a statistically significant amelioration of FSDS and ICIQ-SF scores. Anatomical success rate after 24 months was 83.7 %.

CONCLUSIONS: l-HUSLS appears to be a safe, feasible and effective treatment for advanced pelvic organ prolapse with high rates of patient self-reported cure.

PMID:33862432 | DOI:10.1016/j.ejogrb.2021.03.035

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Left Ventricular Mass Index and Cardiovascular Compromise in children on dialysis

Rev Chil Pediatr. 2020 Dec;91(6):917-923. doi: 10.32641/rchped.vi91i6.1831. Epub 2020 Dec 12.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: There is a close relationship between chronic kidney disease (CKD) and cardiovascular disease. One of its clinical manifestations is left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH), expressed as Left Ventricular Mass Index (LVMI gr/m27). In CKD patients with growth retardation, the LVMI calculation should be adjusted by correcting age for length/height.

OBJECTIVE: To compare the age-corrected LVMI for length/height with the value calculated by chronological age in CKD children on dialysis.

PATIENTS AND METHOD: Cross-sectional study. We analyzed echocardiographies of CKD children on dialysis aged between 1 and 18, from January 2016 to July 2017. LVMI was evaluated by adjusting the value expressed in gr/m27 to the percentile for the chronological child’s age, and then the value was adjusted to the age-corrected length/height. We used descriptive statistics and concordance study for LVMI assessments calculating by chronological age and for age-corrected length/height.

RESULTS: 26 patients were included and 75 echocardiograms. 56% had left ventricular hypertrophy using chronological age versus 46.6% age-corrected LVMI for length/height. When comparing the percentile groups of LVMI-chronological age vs. age-adjusted LVMI for actual length/height, it was observed that 18.6% of the sample changed percentile groups, 100% of them to a lower percentile group. The agreement evaluated based on the Kappa coefficient was 0.72 (perfect agreement > 0.8), confirming differences when adjusting the LVMI for age-corrected length/height.

CONCLUSION: Calculating LVMI by chro nological age overestimates the cardiovascular involvement in children with CKD who are charac teristically stunted. The results suggest that the age-adjusted, length/height-corrected calculation of LVMI gives greater accuracy to the diagnosis of left ventricular hypertrophy in this group of patients.

PMID:33861828 | DOI:10.32641/rchped.vi91i6.1831

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The Impact of Removing Former Drinkers from Genome-wide Association Studies of AUDIT-C

Addiction. 2021 Apr 16. doi: 10.1111/add.15511. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The Alcohol Use Disorders Identification Test-Consumption (AUDIT-C) questionnaire screens for harmful drinking using a 12-month timeframe. A score of 0 is assigned to individuals who report abstaining from alcohol in the past year. However, many middle-aged individuals reporting current abstinence are former drinkers (FDs). Because FDs may be more genetically prone to harmful alcohol use than life-long abstainers (LAs) and are often combined with LAs, we evaluated the impact of differentiating them on the identification of genetic association.

DESIGN AND SETTING: The UK Biobank (UKBB) includes AUDIT-C and alcohol drinker status.

PARTICIPANTS: 131,510 Europeans, including 5,135 FDs.

MEASUREMENTS: We compared three genome-wide association (GWAS) analyses to explore the effects of removing FDs: the full AUDIT-C data, AUDIT-C data without FDs, and data from a random sample numerically matched to the data without FDs. Because prior studies show a consistent association of the ADH1B polymorphism rs1229984 with both alcohol consumption and alcohol use disorder, we compared allele frequencies for rs1229984 stratified by AUDIT-C value and FD versus LA status. Additionally, we calculated polygenic risk scores (PRS) of related diseases.

FINDINGS: The rs1229984 allele frequencies among FDs were numerically comparable to those with high AUDIT-C scores and very different from those of LAs. Removing FDs from GWAS yielded a stronger association with rs1229984 (p-value after removal: 1.9 x10-70 versus 1.7×10-65 and 2.5 x10-62 ), more statistically significant single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) (after removal: 11 versus 9 and 8), and genomic loci (after removal: 11 versus 9 and 7). Additional independent SNPs were identified after removal of FDs: rs2817866 (PTGER3), rs7105867 (ANO3), and rs17601612 (DRD2). For PRS of alcohol use disorder and major depressive disorder, there are statistically significant differences between FDs and LAs.

CONCLUSIONS: Differentiating between former drinkers and life-long abstainers can improve Alcohol Use Disorders Identification Test-Consumption (AUDIT-C) genome-wide association results.

PMID:33861876 | DOI:10.1111/add.15511

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Symptom distress and quality of life among Black Americans with cancer and their family caregivers

Psychooncology. 2021 Apr 2. doi: 10.1002/pon.5691. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Black Americans are disproportionately affected by cancer and chronic diseases. Black patients with cancer and their family caregivers may concurrently experience symptoms that influence their wellbeing. This study investigates the influence of mental and physical symptom distress on quality of life (QOL) among Black Americans with cancer and their family caregivers from a dyadic perspective.

METHODS: One hundred and fifty-one dyads comprised of a Black American with breast, colorectal, lung or prostate cancer and a Black family caregiver were included in this secondary analysis of pooled baseline data from three studies. Self-reports of problems managing 13 symptoms were used to measure mental and physical symptom distress. Descriptive statistics and the actor-partner interdependence model were used to examine symptom prevalence and the influence of each person’s symptom distress on their own and each other’s QOL.

RESULTS: Fatigue, sleep problems, pain and mental distress were prevalent. Patients and caregivers reported similar levels of mental distress; however, patients reported higher physical distress. Increased patient mental distress was associated with decreased patient QOL (overall, emotional, social, functional). Increased patient physical distress was associated with decreased patient QOL (overall, physical, emotional, functional) and decreased caregiver emotional wellbeing. Increased caregiver mental distress was associated with decreased caregiver QOL (overall, emotional, social, functional) and decreased patient overall QOL. Increased caregiver physical distress was associated with decreased caregiver QOL (overall, physical, functional), decreased patient emotional wellbeing, and better patient social wellbeing.

CONCLUSIONS: Supporting symptom management in Black patient/caregiver dyads may improve their QOL.

PMID:33861891 | DOI:10.1002/pon.5691

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Bifurcation analyses and potential landscapes of a cortex-basal ganglia-thalamus model

IET Syst Biol. 2021 Apr 16. doi: 10.1049/syb2.12018. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

The dynamics of cortical neuronal activity plays important roles in controlling body movement and is regulated by connection weights between neurons in a cortex-basal ganglia-thalamus (BGCT) loop. Beta-band oscillation of cortical activity is closely associated with the movement disorder of Parkinson’s disease, which is caused by an imbalance in the connection weights of direct and indirect pathways in the BGCT loop. In this study, the authors investigate how the dynamics of cortical activity are modulated by connection weights of direct and indirect pathways in the BGCT loop under low dopamine levels through bifurcation analyses and potential landscapes. The results reveal that cortical activity displays rich dynamics under different connection weights, including one, two, or three stable steady states, one or two stable limit cycles, and the coexistence of one stable limit cycle with one stable steady state or two stable ones. For a low dopamine level, cortical activity exhibits oscillation for larger connection weights of direct and indirect pathways. The stability of these stable dynamics is explored by the potential landscapes.

PMID:33861900 | DOI:10.1049/syb2.12018

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Behavioural response to the Covid-19 pandemic in South Africa

PLoS One. 2021 Apr 16;16(4):e0250269. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0250269. eCollection 2021.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Given the economic and social divide that exists in South Africa, it is critical to manage the health response of its residents to the Covid-19 pandemic within the different socio-economic contexts that define the lived realities of individuals.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study is to analyse the Covid-19 preventive behaviour and the socio-economic drivers behind the health-response behaviour.

DATA: The study employs data from waves 1 and 2 of South Africa’s nationally representative National Income Dynamics Study (NIDS)-Coronavirus Rapid Mobile Survey (CRAM). The nationally representative panel data has a sample of 7073 individuals in Wave 1 and 5676 individuals in Wave 2.

METHODS: The study uses bivariate statistics, concentration indices and multivariate estimation techniques, ranging from a probit, control-function approach, special-regressor method and seemingly unrelated regression to account for endogeneity while identifying the drivers of the response behaviour.

FINDINGS: The findings indicate enhanced behavioural responsiveness to Covid-19. Preventive behaviour is evolving over time; the use of face mask has overtaken handwashing as the most utilised preventive measure. Other measures, like social distancing, avoiding close contact, avoiding big groups and staying at home, have declined between the two periods of the study. There is increased risk perception with significant concentration among the higher income groups, the educated and older respondents. Our findings validate the health-belief model, with perceived risk, self-efficacy, perceived awareness and barriers to preventive strategy adoption identified as significant drivers of health-response behaviour. Measures such as social distancing, avoiding close contact, and the use of sanitisers are practised more by the rich and educated, but not by the low-income respondents.

CONCLUSION: The respondents from lower socio-economic backgrounds are associated with optimism bias and face barriers to the adoption of preventive strategies. This requires targeted policy attention in order to make response behaviour effective.

PMID:33861811 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0250269