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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Efficient spline regression for neural spiking data

PLoS One. 2021 Oct 13;16(10):e0258321. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0258321. eCollection 2021.

ABSTRACT

Point process generalized linear models (GLMs) provide a powerful tool for characterizing the coding properties of neural populations. Spline basis functions are often used in point process GLMs, when the relationship between the spiking and driving signals are nonlinear, but common choices for the structure of these spline bases often lead to loss of statistical power and numerical instability when the signals that influence spiking are bounded above or below. In particular, history dependent spike train models often suffer these issues at times immediately following a previous spike. This can make inferences related to refractoriness and bursting activity more challenging. Here, we propose a modified set of spline basis functions that assumes a flat derivative at the endpoints and show that this limits the uncertainty and numerical issues associated with cardinal splines. We illustrate the application of this modified basis to the problem of simultaneously estimating the place field and history dependent properties of a set of neurons from the CA1 region of rat hippocampus, and compare it with the other commonly used basis functions. We have made code available in MATLAB to implement spike train regression using these modified basis functions.

PMID:34644315 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0258321

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

COVID-19 health inequities and association with mechanical ventilation and prolonged length of stay at an urban safety-net health system in Chicago

PLoS One. 2021 Oct 13;16(10):e0258243. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0258243. eCollection 2021.

ABSTRACT

Millions of Americans have been infected with COVID-19 and communities of color have been disproportionately burdened. We investigated the relationship between demographic characteristics and COVID-19 positivity, and comorbidities and severe COVID-19 illness (use of mechanical ventilation and length of stay) within a racial/ethnic minority population. Patients tested for COVID-19 between March 2020 and January 2021 (N = 14171) were 49.9% (n = 7072) female; 50.1% (n = 7104) non-Hispanic Black; 33.2% (n = 4698) Hispanic; and 23.6% (n = 3348) aged 65+. Overall COVID-19 positivity was 16.1% (n = 2286). Compared to females, males were 1.1 times more likely to test positive (p = 0.014). Compared to non-Hispanic Whites, non-Hispanic Black and Hispanic persons were 1.4 (p = 0.003) and 2.4 (p<0.001) times more likely, respectively, to test positive. Compared to persons ages 18-24, the odds of testing positive were statistically significantly higher for every age group except 25-34, and those aged 65+ were 2.8 times more likely to test positive (p<0.001). Adjusted for race, sex, and age, COVID-positive patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease were 1.9 times more likely to require a ventilator compared to those without chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (p = 0.001). Length of stay was not statistically significantly associated with any of the comorbidity variables. Our findings emphasize the importance of documenting COVID-19 disparities in marginalized populations.

PMID:34644327 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0258243

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Modular assembly of dynamic models in systems biology

PLoS Comput Biol. 2021 Oct 13;17(10):e1009513. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1009513. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

It is widely acknowledged that the construction of large-scale dynamic models in systems biology requires complex modelling problems to be broken up into more manageable pieces. To this end, both modelling and software frameworks are required to enable modular modelling. While there has been consistent progress in the development of software tools to enhance model reusability, there has been a relative lack of consideration for how underlying biophysical principles can be applied to this space. Bond graphs combine the aspects of both modularity and physics-based modelling. In this paper, we argue that bond graphs are compatible with recent developments in modularity and abstraction in systems biology, and are thus a desirable framework for constructing large-scale models. We use two examples to illustrate the utility of bond graphs in this context: a model of a mitogen-activated protein kinase (MAPK) cascade to illustrate the reusability of modules and a model of glycolysis to illustrate the ability to modify the model granularity.

PMID:34644304 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1009513

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The efficiency of provincial government health care expenditure after China’s new health care reform

PLoS One. 2021 Oct 13;16(10):e0258274. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0258274. eCollection 2021.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: We aim to estimate the total factor productivity and analyze factors related to the Chinese government’s health care expenditure in each of its provinces after its implementation of new health care reform in the period after 2009.

MATERIALS AND METHODS: We use the Malmquist DEA model to measure efficiency and apply the Tobit regression to explore factors that influence the efficiency of government health care expenditure. Data are taken from the China statistics yearbook (2004-2020).

RESULTS: We find that the average TFP of China’s 31 provincial health care expenditure was lower than 1 in the period 2009-2019. We note that the average TFP was much higher after new health care reform was implemented, and note this in the eastern, central and western regions. But per capita GDP, population density and new health care reform implementation are found to have a statistically significant impact on the technical efficiency of the provincial government’s health care expenditure (P<0.05); meanwhile, region, education, urbanization and per capita provincial government health care expenditure are not found to have a statistically significant impact.

CONCLUSION: Although the implementation of the new medical reform has improved the efficiency of the government’s health expenditure, it is remains low in 31 provinces in China. In addition, the government should consider per capita GDP, population density and other factors when coordinating the allocation of health care input.

SIGNIFICANCE: This study systematically analyzes the efficiency and influencing factors of the Chinese government’s health expenditure after it introduced new health care reforms. The results show that China’s new medical reform will help to improve the government’s health expenditure. The Chinese government can continue to adhere to the new medical reform policy, and should pay attention to demographic and economic factors when implementing the policy.

PMID:34644313 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0258274

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Regional effects of the renewable energy components on CO2 emissions of Asia-Pacific countries

PLoS One. 2021 Oct 13;16(10):e0256542. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0256542. eCollection 2021.

ABSTRACT

This paper utilizes spatial econometric reenactments to examine the geographic effects of different types of environmentally friendly power on corban discharges. The example covers 31 nations in the Asia-Pacific district during the time frame 2000 to 2018. The spatial connection in the model was affirmed by symptomatic testing, and the spatial Durbin model was picked as the last model. Results show that Gross domestic product per capita, receptiveness to business sectors, unfamiliar direct venture, energy force, and urbanization critically affect CO2 emanations. In correlation, just wind and sunlight-based energy have added to a generous abatement in ozone harming substance emanations in nations over the long run. In contrast, hydropower, bioenergy, and geothermal energy discoveries have been irrelevant. A cross-sectional examination worldview delineated that nations with more elevated sunlight-based energy yield have higher CO2 outflows, while nations with lower levels have lower CO2 emanations. The presence of spatial impacts in the model gave off an impression of the negative consequences for homegrown CO2 outflows of Gross domestic product per capita and exchange transparency of adjoining nations. Furthermore, energy power and higher creation of sustainable power in adjoining nations will prompt lower homegrown CO2 outflows.

PMID:34644297 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0256542

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The sand fly (Diptera: Psychodidae) fauna of the urban area of Lassance, Northeast Minas Gerais, Brazil

PLoS One. 2021 Oct 13;16(10):e0257043. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0257043. eCollection 2021.

ABSTRACT

The present study aimed to check the sand flies’ fauna on the municipality of Lassance, Minas Gerais, Brazil and detect the presence of Leishmania DNA on the female captured and determine the risk areas of the municipality. Sand flies were collected monthly from May 2018 to April 2019 using automatic light traps for 3 consecutive nights. Eight houses were selected as sample points due its previous reports of tegumentary leishmaniasis and/or canine leishmaniasis. The sand fly’s fauna found on the present study it’s represented by several medical importance species and the most abundant species found were Lutzomyia longipalpis (77.09%) and Nyssomyia intermedia (10.06%). Leishmania infantum DNA was detected in a pool of Lu. longipalpis resulting on a 2.81% of infection rate. By the frequency of the two most abundant species on this study, we developed a risk area map and it draws attention to sample point 6 due to disparate abundance of sand flies at this site (81.81%). Statistical overview shows Lu. longipalpis as dominant species and, still, Non-Metric Multidimensional Scaling analysis reveal high similarity on fauna’s diversity on the study area. Our findings suggest that the diversity of sand flies from the municipality of Lassance may promote the circulation of Leishmania infantum parasites putting in risk the habitants and other mammal’s species. Still, our study reinforces the necessity of specific studies focused on breed sites of phlebotomine and its’ ecology to expand the knowledge about the behaviour of this group of insects applying directly to leishmaniases’ epidemiology.

PMID:34644289 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0257043

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Rapa Nui (Easter Island) Rano Raraku crater lake basin: Geochemical characterization and implications for the Ahu-Moai Period

PLoS One. 2021 Oct 13;16(10):e0254793. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0254793. eCollection 2021.

ABSTRACT

Rano Raraku, the crater lake constrained by basaltic tuff that served as the primary quarry used to construct the moai statues on Rapa Nui (Easter Island), has experienced fluctuations in lake level over the past centuries. As one of the only freshwater sources on the island, understanding the present and past geochemical characteristics of the lake water is critical to understand if the lake could have been a viable freshwater source for Rapa Nui. At the time of sampling in September 2017, the maximum lake depth was ~1 m. The lake level has substantially declined in the subsequent years, with the lake drying almost completely in January 2018. The lake is currently characterized by highly anoxic conditions, with a predominance of ammonium ions on nitrates, a high concentration of organic carbon in the water-sediment interface and reducing conditions of the lake, as evidenced by Mn/Fe and Cr/V ratios. Our estimates of past salinity inferred from the chloride mass balance indicates that it was unlikely that Rano Raraku provided a viable freshwater source for early Rapa Nui people. The installation of an outlet pipe around 1950 that was active until the late 1970s, as well as grazing of horses on the lake margins appear to have significantly impacted the geochemical conditions of Rano Raraku sediments and lake water in recent decades. Such impacts are distinct from natural environmental changes and highlight the need to consider the sensitivity of the lake geochemistry to human activities.

PMID:34644295 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0254793

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Thin-Flap Laser In Situ Keratomileusis-Associated Dry Eye: A Comparative Study Between Femtosecond Laser and Mechanical Microkeratome-Assisted Laser In Situ Keratomileusis

Eye Contact Lens. 2021 Oct 11. doi: 10.1097/ICL.0000000000000850. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To assess and compare postlaser in situ keratomileusis (LASIK) dry eye after LASIK with planned thin flaps created by a femtosecond laser (FS) and mechanical microkeratome (MK).

METHODS: Patients were stratified according to the flap creation technique into FS and MK groups with planned 100 μm flap thickness in all eyes. Dry eye parameters including tear film break-up time (TBUT), Schirmer I test, ocular surface disease index (OSDI), and lower tear meniscus height and area (tear meniscus height [TMH] and tear meniscus area [TMA]) were assessed before surgery and at 3 and 6 months after surgery.

RESULTS: The study included 102 eyes of 55 patients (52 eyes underwent FS-LASIK/50 eyes underwent MK-LASIK). The preoperative characteristics including age, gender, and spherical equivalents were similar in both groups (P>0.05). The difference in postoperative flap thickness was statistically significant (P<0.05). In each group, dry eye parameters showed a statistically significant worsening (P value<0.001) at 3 months with later significant improvement at 6 months but did not return to baseline. The mean TBUT, Schirmer I, and lower TMH and TMA were statistically higher, and the mean OSDI was statistically lower in FS-LASIK than the MK-LASIK group at both 3 and 6 months (P value<0.001). The depth of ablation had a statistically significant correlation with Schirmer I at 6 months and OSDI at both 3 and 6 months post-LASIK (P<0.05).

CONCLUSION: The use of femtosecond laser technology in performing thin-Flap LASIK eye surgeries has improved the outcome of post-LASIK dry eye when compared with the mechanical microkeratome.

PMID:34644283 | DOI:10.1097/ICL.0000000000000850

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Over-the-counter antipyretics use among children from Southeastern Poland

J Mother Child. 2021 Oct 11;25(1):35-43. doi: 10.34763/jmotherandchild.20212501.d-20-00024.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Over-the-counter (OTC) drugs are becoming increasingly popular. However, little is known about parents’ practices concerning the use of OTC antipyretics in children. This paper aimed to study the habits and knowledge of parents regarding the use of OTC antipyretics in their offspring, considering the demographic and socioeconomic characteristics of the families.

MATERIAL AND METHODS: A multiple-purpose survey was conducted anonymously among 229 parents of patients hospitalised in the Department of Paediatrics, University Children’s Hospital, Krakow. Each parent answered 23 questions regarding OTC antipyretics use in his/her hospitalised child throughout the whole child’s life. The data was statistically analysed.

RESULTS: OTC antipyretics are administered to their children by 92% of parents. In the vast majority (87%), health care professionals or a leaflet were the sources of information on the drug and its dosage. Parents also used information from TV or the Internet (27%) and friends and family (30%), especially those in the younger age group. Families with high socioeconomic status were more likely to use health care professionals’ advice for drug knowledge. Parents of children with allergic diseases made less use of nonmedical sources of knowledge.

CONCLUSIONS: The majority of parents use OTC antipyretic drugs in their children. However, a high percentage of people using nonmedical sources of information is of concern. It is necessary to educate caregivers and to build the parents’ awareness that they take an active role in their child’s treatment. It would be useful to create generally available recommendations for home treatment.

PMID:34643352 | DOI:10.34763/jmotherandchild.20212501.d-20-00024

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Effect of continuous supportive telephone counselling on improving breastfeeding self-efficacy in mothers with late preterm infants four months after discharge: A randomized, controlled study

J Mother Child. 2021 Oct 11;25(1):44-50. doi: 10.34763/jmotherandchild.20212501.d-20-00017.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Breastfeeding self-efficacy is an important motivational factor in the continuity of lactation in mothers with preterm infants.

OBJECTIVE: The study aimed to determine the effect of continuous supportive telephone counselling on improving breastfeeding self-efficacy in mothers with late preterm infants.

MATERIAL AND METHODS: This randomized, controlled study was carried out with 65 eligible mothers (control n = 32, intervention n = 33) recruited in Ahvaz, Iran, in 2020. The eligible women were allocated into two groups- intervention and control-according to the block design. Data were measured monthly up to four months after discharge using the Dennis Breastfeeding Self-Efficacy Questionnaire. The control group received only routine care. Continuous supportive telephone counselling was provided for the intervention group members daily for 14 days after neonatal discharge. Data were analyzed using chi-square, repeated measures analysis of variance, independent t-test, and paired t-test at the significant level of 0.05. Statistical analysis was performed using the SPSS 16.0 software (SPSS Inc., Chicago, IL, USA).

RESULTS: The overall score in breastfeeding self-efficacy showed a statistically significant difference between the two study groups during the four months after discharge compared to the pre-intervention stage (P = 0.001). In the intervention group, the mean score of breastfeeding self-efficacy increased from 33.18 to 53.48, and in the control group it decreased from 31.17 to 28.56.

CONCLUSION: The results showed that continuous supportive telephone counselling can improve breastfeeding self-efficacy in mothers with preterm infants. The approach seems to be an acceptable basis for designing intervention programs in this field.

PMID:34643353 | DOI:10.34763/jmotherandchild.20212501.d-20-00017