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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Spatial prediction of human brucellosis (HB) using a GIS-based adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS)

Acta Trop. 2021 May 9:105951. doi: 10.1016/j.actatropica.2021.105951. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: This study pursues three main objectives: 1) exploring the spatial distribution patterns of human brucellosis (HB); 2) identifying parameters affecting the disease spread; and 3) modeling and predicting the spatial distribution of HB cases in 2012-2016 and 2017-2018, respectively, in rural districts of Mazandaran province, Iran.

METHODS: We collected data on the disease incidence, demography, ecology, climate, topography, and vegetation. Using the Global Moran’s I statistic, we measured spatial autocorrelation between log (number of HB cases). We applied the Getis-Ord Gi* statistic to identify areas with high and low risk of the disease. To investigate the relationships between the factors affecting the incidence of HB as input variables together and the factors with the log (number of HB cases) as an output variable, we used the statistical linear regression model and the Pearson correlation coefficient. Then, we implemented a GIS-based adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) with two subtractive clustering and fuzzy c-means (FCM) clustering methods to model and predict the spatial distribution of HB.

RESULTS: Global Moran’s I spatial autocorrelation analysis indicated that the type of HB distribution is clustered in all years except 2014 and 2017, which are random. According to the Getis-Ord Gi* analysis, the location of the hot spots varied during 2012-2018. In 2012 and 2013, most of the hot spots were seen in the west of the province. While in 2018, they were mostly concentrated in the eastern regions of the province. The linear regression model indicated that the parameters affecting the incidence of HB are independent of each other and can explain only 25.3% of the total changes in the log (number of HB cases). The results of the Pearson correlation coefficient showed that there were positive relationships between vegetation, log (population), and the number of sheep and cattle (P-value < 0.05). The above-mentioned factors had the strongest positive correlation with the log (number of HB cases) (P-value < 0.01). These results may be due to the fact that vegetation regions are suitable for livestock grazing, attracting large crowds of people. Therefore, this will increase HB cases. We compared the results of subtractive clustering and FCM clustering methods by evaluation criteria (e.g., linear correlation coefficient (LCC) and mean absolute error (MAE)) in two phases of development and assessment of the ANFIS model. In the evaluation phase, we predicted the spatial distribution of log (number of HB cases) in 2017 and 2018 for subtractive clustering (R2 = 0.699, LCC or R = 0.692, MAE = 0.509, MSE = 0.455) and for FCM clustering (R2 = 0.704, LCC or R = 0.697, MAE = 0.512, MSE = 0.448) that showed FCM clustering outperformed the subtractive clustering.

CONCLUSION: The findings may have important implications for public health. The emergence of the hot spots in the east of the province can be a warning to the health system. Health authorities can use the findings of this study to predict the spread of HB and perform HB prevention programs. They can also investigate the factors affecting the prevalence of the disease, identify high-risk areas, and ultimately allocate resources to high-risk regions.

PMID:33979640 | DOI:10.1016/j.actatropica.2021.105951

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Customized guidance/ training improved the psychometric properties of methodologically rigorous risk of bias instruments for non-randomized studies

J Clin Epidemiol. 2021 May 9:S0895-4356(21)00140-2. doi: 10.1016/j.jclinepi.2021.04.017. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the impact of guidance and training on the inter-rater reliability (IRR), inter-consensus reliability (ICR) and evaluator burden of the Risk of Bias (RoB) in Non-randomized Studies (NRS) of Interventions (ROBINS-I) tool, and the RoB instrument for NRS of Exposures (ROB-NRSE).

STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: In a before-and-after study, seven reviewers appraised the RoB using ROBINS-I (n=44) and ROB-NRSE (n=44), before and after guidance and training. We used Gwet’s AC1 statistic to calculate IRR and ICR.

RESULTS: After guidance and training, the IRR and ICR of the overall bias domain of ROBINS-I and ROB-NRSE improved significantly; with many individual domains showing either a significant (IRR and ICR of ROB-NRSE; ICR of ROBINS-I), or nonsignificant improvement (IRR of ROBINS-I). Evaluator burden significantly decreased after guidance and training for ROBINS-I, whereas for ROB-NRSE there was a slight nonsignificant increase.

CONCLUSION: Overall, there was benefit for guidance and training for both tools. We highly recommend guidance and training to reviewers prior to RoB assessments and that future research investigate aspects of guidance and training that are most effective.

PMID:33979663 | DOI:10.1016/j.jclinepi.2021.04.017

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Acute knee clinics are effective in reducing delay to diagnosis following anterior cruciate ligament injury

Knee. 2021 May 9;30:267-274. doi: 10.1016/j.knee.2021.04.007. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Delays to diagnosis of anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) injury and specialist consultation continue to place patients at risk of early onset osteoarthritis. Incorporating acute knee clinics within a streamlined accident and emergency (A&E) pathway have shown potential in reducing delay but specific evaluative research is lacking. The aim of this service evaluation was to investigate the effectiveness of an acute knee clinic at one NHS Trust in the United Kingdom (UK), on reducing the delay to diagnosis of ACL injury and specialist consultation compared to a standard A&E pathway.

METHODS: An uncontrolled before and after design was utilised for this service evaluation. Data were collected from historical electronic patient records over a 1-year period with analysed results compared against previously collected data from the same NHS Trust.

RESULTS: 81 records met the criteria for the streamlined A&E pathway and were compared against 50 from the standard A&E pathway. For the streamlined A&E pathway median delay to diagnosis reduced from 97 to 14 days and delay to specialist consultation reduced from 158.5 to 45 days and were of statistical significance. The incorporation of an acute knee clinic was identified as the most influential factor on delay in addition to the location of presentation and mechanism of injury.

CONCLUSIONS: Introducing an acute knee clinic within a streamlined A&E pathway has a clinically relevant effect on reducing delay to diagnosis and specialist consultation and allows findings to be extrapolated and implemented to all UK based NHS Trust A&E departments.

PMID:33979729 | DOI:10.1016/j.knee.2021.04.007

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Large-scale analysis of 2,152 Ig-seq datasets reveals key features of B cell biology and the antibody repertoire

Cell Rep. 2021 May 11;35(6):109110. doi: 10.1016/j.celrep.2021.109110.

ABSTRACT

Antibody repertoire sequencing enables researchers to acquire millions of B cell receptors and investigate these molecules at the single-nucleotide level. This power and resolution in studying humoral responses have led to its wide applications. However, most of these studies were conducted with a limited number of samples. Given the extraordinary diversity, assessment of these key features with a large sample set is demanded. Thus, we collect and systematically analyze 2,152 high-quality heavy-chain antibody repertoires. Our study reveals that 52 core variable genes universally contribute to more than 99% of each individual’s repertoire; a distal interspersed preferences characterize V gene recombination; the number of public clones between two repertoires follows a linear model, and the positive selection dominates at RGYW motif in somatic hypermutations. Thus, this population-level analysis resolves some critical features of the antibody repertoire and may have significant value to the large cadre of scientists.

PMID:33979623 | DOI:10.1016/j.celrep.2021.109110

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Modeling genome-wide by environment interactions through omnigenic interactome networks

Cell Rep. 2021 May 11;35(6):109114. doi: 10.1016/j.celrep.2021.109114.

ABSTRACT

How genes interact with the environment to shape phenotypic variation and evolution is a fundamental question intriguing to biologists from various fields. Existing linear models built on single genes are inadequate to reveal the complexity of genotype-environment (G-E) interactions. Here, we develop a conceptual model for mechanistically dissecting G-E interplay by integrating previously disconnected theories and methods. Under this integration, evolutionary game theory, developmental modularity theory, and a variable selection method allow us to reconstruct environment-induced, maximally informative, sparse, and casual multilayer genetic networks. We design and conduct two mapping experiments by using a desert-adapted tree species to validate the biological application of the model proposed. The model identifies previously uncharacterized molecular mechanisms that mediate trees’ response to saline stress. Our model provides a tool to comprehend the genetic architecture of trait variation and evolution and trace the information flow of each gene toward phenotypes within omnigenic networks.

PMID:33979624 | DOI:10.1016/j.celrep.2021.109114

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Associations between interpersonal dependency and severity of prolonged grief disorder symptoms in bereaved surviving family members

Compr Psychiatry. 2021 Apr 30;108:152242. doi: 10.1016/j.comppsych.2021.152242. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Several studies have shown that interpersonal dependency is a risk factor for prolonged grief disorder (PGD), a disorder that has been recently approved by the American Psychiatric Association Assembly for inclusion in the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders-5-Text Revision (DSM-5-TR). Nevertheless, it remains unclear whether this relationship is independent of depression, which may also be related to both loss and interpersonal dependency. Furthermore, anaclitic dependency (maladaptive and immature) compared to relatedness (more adaptive and mature) dependency, and the relationships between these types of dependency and PGD, have not been examined. The aim of the present study was to determine how anaclitic and relatedness dependency are associated with PGD symptom severity, controlling for depressive symptom severity, over and above potential sociodemographic and loss-related confounder variables.

METHODS: Participants (N = 241) bereaved after the death of a family member from 0.5 to 8 years before the survey (M = 3.36, SD = 2.02) completed the Depressive Experiences Questionnaire, the Patient Health Questionnaire-9, and the Prolonged Grief Disorder-13 scale (PG-13).

RESULTS: A hierarchical regression analysis confirmed that anaclitic dependency is positively associated with PGD symptom severity, even when controlling for depression severity and other potential confounder variables. There was no significant association between relatedness dependency and PGD.

CONCLUSIONS: To assess the risk of PGD in individuals bereaved after the death of a family member, it is important to assess anaclitic dependency.

PMID:33979631 | DOI:10.1016/j.comppsych.2021.152242

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Use of FMF algorithm for prediction of preeclampsia in high risk pregnancies: a single center longitudinal study

Hypertens Pregnancy. 2021 May 12:1-9. doi: 10.1080/10641955.2021.1921791. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to assess the accuracy of The Fetal Medicine Foundation (FMF) screening algorithm for the prediction of preeclampsia.METHODS: Out of 138 women with high-risk pregnancies prospectively followed, 30 developed preeclampsia. The clinical examination and biochemical measurements were performed at first, second, early and late third trimester.RESULTS: A lower PAPP-A levels were found in the first trimester, while sFlt/PlGF was increased in the second and early third trimester in preeclampsia (p>0.05). FMF algorithm presented higher specificity (>70%), but had a drawback of lower sensitivity (35-77%).CONCLUSION: FMF algorithm had modest performance in the prediction of preeclampsia for high-risk pregnancies.

PMID:33979553 | DOI:10.1080/10641955.2021.1921791

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Risk factors for presence of cystoid macular edema following rhegmatogenous retinal detachment surgery

Curr Eye Res. 2021 May 12. doi: 10.1080/02713683.2021.1929330. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Cystoid macular edema (CME) following cataract surgery is a well-known entity. Less is known regarding the risk factors of developing CME following repair of rhegmatogenous retinal detachments (RRD).

METHODS: This was a multi-institutional study of primary RRD surgeries from 1/1/2015 through 12/31/2015. The primary outcome was development of post-operative CME following RRD surgery. Post-operative optical coherence tomography imaging and 3 months of follow up following RRD repair were required.

RESULTS: There were 1,466 eyes that met the inclusion criteria, and 140 (9.6%) developed post-operative CME following primary RRD repair. On multivariate analysis the statistically significant metrics were older patient age (OR 1.03 per year, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.05), pre-operative proliferative vitreoretinopathy (PVR, OR 1.74, 95% 1.03 to 2.95), and cataract surgery following RRD repair (OR 2.18, 95% CI 1.47 to 3.25). Single surgery success was protective against CME (OR 0.20 (95% CI 0.14 – 0.30). Seventy-six (9.0%) of the phakic eyes and 60 (9.9%) of the pseudophakic eyes, developed post-operative CME. Multivariate analysis showed that cataract surgery following RRD repair (p < 0.0001) for phakic eyes and older age (p = 0.0075) for pseudophakic eyes were risk factors. In eyes that underwent successful retinal re-attachment with one surgery, post-operative cataract surgery (p = 0.0005) and pre-operative PVR (p = 0.0011) were risk factors for CME in this subgroup.

CONCLUSION: CME occurred in nearly 10% of eyes following RRD repair. The biggest risk factors were recurrent RRD, preexisting PVR, older age, and cataract surgery following RRD repair.

PMID:33979556 | DOI:10.1080/02713683.2021.1929330

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Enhanced pigment content estimation using the Gauss-peak spectra method with thin-layer chromatography for a novel source of natural colorants

PLoS One. 2021 May 12;16(5):e0251491. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0251491. eCollection 2021.

ABSTRACT

Alternative pigment sources that are harmless to human health and can be produced in an eco-responsible way are of great research interest. The experiments undertaken in this study were conducted using autumn leaves of Aesculus hippocastanum as potential novel colorant sources. This study focused on improving the Gauss-peak spectra method (a less expensive alternative to high-pressure liquid chromatography) in combination with thin-layer chromatography, leading to the development of a new methodology. The collected leaves were stored at two different temperatures: 20°C and -20°C. The data obtained by spectrophotometric scanning of the samples were analyzed using the Gauss-peak spectra method in the R program with three wavelength ranges: 350-750 nm, 390-710 nm, and 400-700 nm. The results were then assessed for statistically significant differences in the estimated concentrations for the different wavelength ranges regarding (1) total pigment, carotenoid, and chlorophyll concentration (two-sample t-test) and (2) concentration of each indicated pigment (two-way analysis of variance). The results were also tested for differences between the estimated concentrations of samples stored under the different conditions. The Gauss-peak spectra results with and without thin-layer chromatography were statistically compared using a paired t-test. The results showed that thin-layer chromatography greatly enhanced the efficiency of the Gauss-peak spectra method for estimating the major and minor pigment composition without generating high additional costs. A wavelength range of 400-700 nm was optimal for all Gauss-peak spectra methods. In conclusion, the proposed method is a more successful, inexpensive alternative to high-pressure liquid chromatography.

PMID:33979411 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0251491

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

COVID-19 vaccine rumors and conspiracy theories: The need for cognitive inoculation against misinformation to improve vaccine adherence

PLoS One. 2021 May 12;16(5):e0251605. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0251605. eCollection 2021.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Rumors and conspiracy theories, can contribute to vaccine hesitancy. Monitoring online data related to COVID-19 vaccine candidates can track vaccine misinformation in real-time and assist in negating its impact. This study aimed to examine COVID-19 vaccine rumors and conspiracy theories circulating on online platforms, understand their context, and then review interventions to manage this misinformation and increase vaccine acceptance.

METHOD: In June 2020, a multi-disciplinary team was formed to review and collect online rumors and conspiracy theories between 31 December 2019-30 November 2020. Sources included Google, Google Fact Check, Facebook, YouTube, Twitter, fact-checking agency websites, and television and newspaper websites. Quantitative data were extracted, entered in an Excel spreadsheet, and analyzed descriptively using the statistical package R version 4.0.3. We conducted a content analysis of the qualitative information from news articles, online reports and blogs and compared with findings from quantitative data. Based on the fact-checking agency ratings, information was categorized as true, false, misleading, or exaggerated.

RESULTS: We identified 637 COVID-19 vaccine-related items: 91% were rumors and 9% were conspiracy theories from 52 countries. Of the 578 rumors, 36% were related to vaccine development, availability, and access, 20% related to morbidity and mortality, 8% to safety, efficacy, and acceptance, and the rest were other categories. Of the 637 items, 5% (30/) were true, 83% (528/637) were false, 10% (66/637) were misleading, and 2% (13/637) were exaggerated.

CONCLUSIONS: Rumors and conspiracy theories may lead to mistrust contributing to vaccine hesitancy. Tracking COVID-19 vaccine misinformation in real-time and engaging with social media to disseminate correct information could help safeguard the public against misinformation.

PMID:33979412 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0251605