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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Years of Life Lost to Death A Comprehensive Analysis of Mortality in Germany Conducted as Part of the BURDEN 2020 Project

Dtsch Arztebl Int. 2021 Mar 5;118(Forthcoming):arztebl.m2021.0148. doi: 10.3238/arztebl.m2021.0148. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Knowing which diseases and causes of death account for most of the years of life lost (YLL) can help to better target appropriate prevention and intervention measures. The YLL in Germany for specific causes of death were estimated as part of the BURDEN 2020 project at the Robert Koch Institute.

METHODS: Data from cause-of-death statistics were used for the analysis. ICD codes were grouped into causes of death categories at different levels of disaggregation. The YLL were estimated by combining each cause of death with the remaining life expectancy at the age of death. Deaths and YLL were compared by sex, age category, and regional distribution.

RESULTS: Approximately 11.6 million years were estimated to be lost in Germany in 2017, of which 42.8% were lost by women and 57.2% by men. The largest number of YLL were due to (malignant) neoplasms (35.2%), followed by cardiovascular diseases (27.6%), gastrointestinal diseases (5.8%), and neurological diseases (5.7%). Deaths at younger ages had a greater impact on population health if expressed in YLL: the death share of persons under age 65 was 14.7%, but the years of life lost in this age group amounted to 38.3% of all YLL. The most common causes of death in this group include accidents, self-injury and violence, malignant neoplasms, and alcohol-related diseases.

CONCLUSION: A large proportion of YLL is borne by young and middle-aged persons. These findings emphasize the need to introduce preventive strategies early in life to reduce the YLL at younger ages, as well as to prevent risk factors for diseases in older ages.

PMID:33752796 | DOI:10.3238/arztebl.m2021.0148

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Mucosa-associated cultivable aerobic gut bacterial microbiota among colorectal cancer patients attending at the referral hospitals of Amhara Regional State, Ethiopia

Gut Pathog. 2021 Mar 22;13(1):19. doi: 10.1186/s13099-021-00415-7.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Colorectal cancer (CRC) is one of the top ten causes of cancer deaths in the world. Despite an increased prevalence of colorectal cancer has been documented from developing countries, there is no any report regarding gut microbiota among colorectal cancer patients in Ethiopia. Therefore, the current study evaluated cultivable aerobic gut bacterial distributions among malignant and its adjacent normal biopsies of CRC patients.

METHODS: CRC patients who were under colorectal cancer resection surgery during April 2017 to February 2018 at Felege Hiwot Referral and University of Gondar Teaching Hospitals enrolled in the study. Biopsy specimens were taken from malignant and its adjacent normal-appearing tissues. Bacterial cultivation, quantification and characterization of saline washed biopsies were performed under aerobic and candle jar conditions. Differences in bacterial microbiota compositions between malignant and normal tissue biopsies were evaluated and analyzed using Microsoft excel 2010 and GraphPad Prism5 statistical software.

RESULTS: Fifteen CRC patients were participated with a mean age of 53.8 ± 10.8 years old and majorities (73.3 %) of patients were in between the age groups of 40 and 60 years old. The mean ± SD bacterial microbiota of malignant biopsies (3.2 × 105 ± 1.6 × 105 CFU/ml) was significantly fewer than that of adjacent normal tissue biopsies (4.0 × 105 ± 2.2 × 105 CFU/ml). This dysbacteriosis is positively correlated with the occurrence of CRC (p = 0.019). Proteobacteria (55.6 %), Firmicutes (33.3 %) and Fusobacteria (11.1 %) were the most frequently isolated phyla from non-malignant biopsies while only Proteobacteria (58.8 %) and Firmicutes (41.2 %) were from malignant ones. Family level differences were observed among phyla (Firmicutes and Proteobacteria) isolated from the study participants. For instance, the relative abundance of family Bacillaceae from malignant (26 %) was lower than the normal biopsies (39 %). On other hand, family Enterobacteriaceae was twice more abundant in malignant tissues (45 %) than in its matched normal tissues (23 %). Furthermore, the family Enterococcaceae (14 %) of phylum Firmicutes was solely isolated from malignant tissue biopsies.

CONCLUSIONS: The overall microbial composition of normal and malignant tissues was considerably different among the study participants. Further culture independent analysis of mucosal microbiota will provide detail pictures of microbial composition differences and pathogenesis of CRC in Ethiopian settings.

PMID:33752753 | DOI:10.1186/s13099-021-00415-7

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Early oral protein-containing diets following elective lower gastrointestinal tract surgery in adults: a meta-analysis of randomized clinical trials

Perioper Med (Lond). 2021 Mar 23;10(1):10. doi: 10.1186/s13741-021-00179-3.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Although current guidelines make consensus recommendations for the early resumption of oral intake after surgery, a recent comprehensive meta-analysis failed to identify any patient-centered benefits. We hypothesized this finding was attributable to pooling studies providing effective protein-containing diets with ineffective non-protein liquid diets. Therefore, the aim of this paper was to investigate the safety and efficacy of early oral protein-containing diets versus later (traditional) feeding after elective lower gastrointestinal tract surgery in adults.

METHODS: PubMed, Embase, and the China National Knowledge Infrastructure databases were searched from inception until 1 August 2019. Reference lists of retrieved studies were hand searched to identify randomized clinical trials reporting mortality. No language restrictions were applied. Study selection, risk of bias appraisal and data abstraction were undertaken independently by two authors. Disagreements were settled by obtaining an opinion of a third author. Majority decisions prevailed. After assessment of underlying assumptions, a fixed-effects method was used for analysis. The primary outcome was mortality. Secondary outcomes included surgical site infections, postoperative nausea and vomiting, serious postoperative complications and other key measures of safety and efficacy.

RESULTS: Eight randomized clinical trials recruiting 657 patients were included. Compared with later (traditional) feeding, commencing an early oral protein-containing diet resulted in a statistically significant reduction in mortality (odds ratio [OR] 0.31, P = 0.02, I2 = 0%). An early oral protein-containing diet also significantly reduced surgical site infections (OR 0.39, P = 0.002, I2 = 32%), postoperative nausea and vomiting (OR 0.62, P = 0.04, I2 = 37%), serious postoperative complications (OR 0.60, P = 0.01, I2 = 25%), and significantly improved other major outcomes. No harms attributable to an early oral protein-containing diet were identified.

CONCLUSIONS: The results of this systematic review can be used to upgrade current guideline statements to a grade A recommendation supporting an oral protein-containing diet commenced before the end of postoperative day 1 after elective lower gastrointestinal surgery in adults.

PMID:33752757 | DOI:10.1186/s13741-021-00179-3

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Patterns of alcohol and drug utilization in trauma patients during the COVID-19 pandemic at six trauma centers

Inj Epidemiol. 2021 Mar 22;8(1):24. doi: 10.1186/s40621-021-00322-0.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Since the national stay-at-home order for COVID-19 was implemented, clinicians and public health authorities worldwide have expressed growing concern about the potential repercussions of drug and alcohol use due to social restrictions. We explored the impact of the national stay-at-home orders on alcohol or drug use and screenings among trauma admissions.

METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study at six Level I trauma centers across four states. Patients admitted during the period after the onset of the COVID-19 restrictions (defined as March 16, 2020-May 31, 2020) were compared with those admitted during the same time period in 2019. We compared 1) rate of urine drug screens and blood alcohol screens; 2) rate of positivity for drugs or alcohol (blood alcohol concentration ≥ 10 mg/dL); 3) characteristics of patients who were positive for drug or alcohol, by period using chi-squared tests or Fisher’s exact tests, as appropriate. Two-tailed tests with an alpha of p < 0.05 was used on all tests.

RESULTS: There were 4762 trauma admissions across the study period; 2602 (55%) in 2019 and 2160 (45%) in 2020. From 2019 to 2020, there were statistically significant increases in alcohol screens (34% vs. 37%, p = 0.03) and drug screens (21% vs. 26%, p < 0.001). Overall, the rate of alcohol positive patients significantly increased from 2019 to 2020 (32% vs. 39%, p = 0.007), while the rate of drug positive patients was unchanged (57% vs. 52%, p = 0.13). Of the 1025 (22%) patients who were positive for alcohol or drugs, there were significant increases in a history of alcoholism (41% vs. 26%, p < 0.001), and substance abuse (11% vs. 23%, p < 0.001) in the 2020 period. No other statistically significant differences were identified among alcohol or drug positive patients during COVID-19 compared to the same period in 2019.

CONCLUSIONS: Our first wave of COVID-19 data suggests that trauma centers were admitting significantly more patients who were alcohol positive, as well those with substance use disorders, potentially due to the impact of social restrictions and guidelines. Further longitudinal research is warranted to assess the alcohol and drug positive rates of trauma patients over the COVID-19 pandemic.

PMID:33752758 | DOI:10.1186/s40621-021-00322-0

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Geospatial epidemiology of leprosy in northwest Bangladesh: a 20-year retrospective observational study

Infect Dis Poverty. 2021 Mar 22;10(1):36. doi: 10.1186/s40249-021-00817-4.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Leprosy is known to be unevenly distributed between and within countries. High risk areas or ‘hotspots’ are potential targets for preventive interventions, but the underlying epidemiologic mechanisms that enable hotspots to emerge, are not yet fully understood. In this study, we identified and characterized leprosy hotspots in Bangladesh, a country with one of the highest leprosy endemicity levels globally.

METHODS: We used data from four high-endemic districts in northwest Bangladesh including 20 623 registered cases between January 2000 and April 2019 (among ~ 7 million population). Incidences per union (smallest administrative unit) were calculated using geospatial population density estimates. A geospatial Poisson model was used to detect incidence hotspots over three (overlapping) 10-year timeframes: 2000-2009, 2005-2014 and 2010-2019. Ordinal regression models were used to assess whether patient characteristics were significantly different for cases outside hotspots, as compared to cases within weak (i.e., relative risk (RR) of one to two), medium (i.e., RR of two to three), and strong (i.e., RR higher than three) hotspots.

RESULTS: New case detection rates dropped from 44/100 000 in 2000 to 10/100 000 in 2019. Statistically significant hotspots were identified during all timeframes and were often located at areas with high population densities. The RR for leprosy was up to 12 times higher for inhabitants of hotspots than for people living outside hotspots. Within strong hotspots (1930 cases among less than 1% of the population), significantly more child cases (i.e., below 15 years of age) were detected, indicating recent transmission. Cases in hotspots were not significantly more likely to be detected actively.

CONCLUSIONS: Leprosy showed a heterogeneous distribution with clear hotspots in northwest Bangladesh throughout a 20-year period of decreasing incidence. Findings confirm that leprosy hotspots represent areas of higher transmission activity and are not solely the result of active case finding strategies.

PMID:33752751 | DOI:10.1186/s40249-021-00817-4

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Prophylactic Antibiotic Regimens In Tumor Surgery (PARITY): a multi-center randomized controlled study comparing alternative antibiotic regimens in patients undergoing tumor resections with endoprosthetic replacements-a statistical analysis plan

Trials. 2021 Mar 22;22(1):223. doi: 10.1186/s13063-021-05147-2.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Limb salvage with endoprosthetic reconstruction is the current standard practice for the surgical management of lower extremity bone tumors in skeletally mature patients and typically includes tumor resection followed by the functional limb reconstruction with modular metallic and polyethylene endoprosthetic implants. However, owing to the complexity and length of these procedures, as well as the immunocompromised nature of patients treated with chemotherapy, the risk of surgical site infection (SSI) is high. The primary research objective of the Prophylactic Antibiotic Regimens In Tumor Surgery (PARITY) trial is to assess whether a 5-day regimen of post-operative antibiotics decreases the risk of SSI at 1 year post-operatively compared to a 1-day regimen. This article describes the statistical analysis plan for the PARITY trial.

METHODS/DESIGN: The PARITY trial is an ongoing multi-center, blinded parallel two-arm randomized controlled trial (RCT) of 600 participants who have been diagnosed with a primary bone tumor, a soft tissue sarcoma that has invaded the bone or oligometastatic bone disease of the femur or tibia that requires surgical resection and endoprosthetic reconstruction. This article describes the overall analysis principles, including how participants will be included in each analysis, the presentation of results, adjustments for covariates, the primary and secondary outcomes, and their respective analyses. Additionally, we will present the planned sensitivity and sub-group analyses.

DISCUSSION: Our prior work has demonstrated (1) high rates of SSI after the treatment of lower extremity tumors by surgical excision and endoprosthetic reconstruction, (2) highly varied opinion and practice among orthopedic oncologists with respect to prophylactic antibiotic regimens, (3) an absence of applicable RCT evidence, (4) extensive support from international investigators to participate in a RCT, and (5) the feasibility of conducting a definitive RCT to evaluate a 5-day regimen of post-operative antibiotics in comparison with a 1-day regimen.

TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT01479283 . Registered on 24 November 2011.

PMID:33752752 | DOI:10.1186/s13063-021-05147-2

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Utility of a minimal skin incision technique for abdominal hysterectomy at a regional core hospital: a retrospective study

J Med Case Rep. 2021 Mar 23;15(1):128. doi: 10.1186/s13256-021-02715-7.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: We present a minimal skin wound abdominal hysterectomy for patients with leiomyomas and describe the characteristics of this technique. The skin wound was made as small as possible, with a maximum length of 6 cm.

METHODS: In addition to introducing minimal skin wound abdominal hysterectomy, we retrospectively analyzed the medical records of 82 patients treated with minimal skin wound abdominal hysterectomy exclusively by two experts at Maruyama Memorial General Hospital between January 2013 and December 2016. Relationships between the leiomyoma characteristics and the difficulty of this operation, as estimated by operation time and blood loss, were statistically investigated.

RESULTS: First, we introduce a case in which we performed minimal skin wound abdominal hysterectomy on a 46-year-old Japanese patient with multiple leiomyomas (maximum 8 cm in diameter). Then, we assessed the impacts of the leiomyoma characteristics on the difficulty of this operation. On multivariate analysis, the number of leiomyomas significantly affected operation difficulty. Other characteristics of the target leiomyoma showed no effect. Additionally, higher body mass index also made the operation more difficult.

CONCLUSIONS: Although multiple leiomyomas can make this procedure difficult, minimal skin wound abdominal hysterectomy is safe and effective for use in many cases.

PMID:33752748 | DOI:10.1186/s13256-021-02715-7

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Subjective sleep related breathing disorders and executive function in children with intermittent or mild persistent asthma

Clin Respir J. 2021 Mar 22. doi: 10.1111/crj.13364. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: The impact on executive function performance of sleep-related disorders in asthmatic children has been scarcely studied in community settings. The aims of the present study were to assess the prevalence of sleep-related breathing disorders (SRBD) in children with intermittent or mild persistent asthma in primary care settings, and to examine possible correlations with measures of executive function.

METHODS: We performed a case-control study including 76 children with asthma (intermittent or mild persistent), and 85 healthy controls. The parents of both patients and controls completed the Pediatric Seep Questionnaire (PSQ), and the Behavior Rating Inventory of Executive Function (BRIEF) questionnaire.

RESULTS: We did not find any statistically significant differences regarding the scales of PSQ. Additionally, there were no statistical differences between asthmatic children and controls regarding the scales of the BRIEF questionnaire. In both asthmatic children and controls the score of the scale of obstructive sleep related breathing disorder was significantly correlated with the T scores of the two composite scales (BRI and MI) and the Global Executive Composite (GEC).

CONCLUSION: In children with intermittent or mild persistent asthma under the care of private general paediatricians there were no statistically significant differences regarding subjective SBD compared to healthy controls. Also there were no statistical differences between asthmatic children and controls regarding behavioral correlates of executive function during everyday life.

PMID:33752268 | DOI:10.1111/crj.13364

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Pure extra-thoracic sarcoidosis: about 24 cases

Rom J Intern Med. 2021 Mar 22. doi: 10.2478/rjim-2021-0012. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Pure extra-thoracic sarcoidosis is rare and poorly characterized in the literature. Herein we present features of pure extra-thoracic sarcoidosis, in comparison with sarcoidosis with intra-thoracic involvement, in a population from the south of Tunisia.

METHODS: Retrospective, descriptive and comparative study of the patients presenting systemic sarcoidosis and attending the Department of Internal Medicine at the Hedi Chaker University Hospital, Sfax, Tunisia, for 21 years, from January1996 to December2016.

RESULTS: Twenty-four patients presented pure extra-thoracic sarcoidosis (30% of the cases of systemic sarcoidosis). There was a female predominance (79%). The mean age was 50 years. The main features were polyadenopathies (10 patients:41,7%), cutaneous involvement (10 patients:41,6%), inflammatory polyarthralgia (8 cases:33.3%), general symptoms (6 patients:25%), uveitis (6cases:25%), cholestasis (3cases) and kidney involvement (2cases). Lymphopenia, hypercalcemia, and hypercalciuria were observed each one in 12.5% of the cases, and high angiotensin converting enzyme (ACE) level in 38,5% of the cases. The histological proof was required in all the patients. Statistically significant associations identified were mainly hepatic involvement with general symptoms (p=0.035), peripheral lymphadenopathies (p=0.035) and kidney damage (p=0.022), and cutaneous involvement with articular manifestations (p=0.032). Systemic corticosteroids were used in half of the cases, with a good outcome in 21 cases, and recurrence in two cases. One patient was lost to follow up. The comparison to the form with mediastino-pulmonary involvement showed less lymphadenopathies(p=0.001), less lymphopenia (p=0.006), and less frequent use of corticosteroids(p=0.044).

CONCLUSION: Our series was characterized by the frequency of the pure extra-thoracic form and the diversity of the systemic manifestations.

PMID:33752271 | DOI:10.2478/rjim-2021-0012

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Spatial modeling of mortality from acute lower respiratory infections in children under 5 years of age in 2000-2017: a global study

Clin Exp Pediatr. 2021 Mar 19. doi: 10.3345/cep.2020.01438. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Over the past few decades, various goals have been defined to reduce the mortality of children caused by acute lower respiratory infections (ALRI) worldwide. However, few spatial studies to date have reported on ALRI deaths.

PURPOSE: We aimed to assess the spatial modeling of mortality from ALRI in children under 5 years of age during 2000-2017 using a global data.

METHODS: The data on the mortality of children under 5 years old caused by ALRI were initially obtained from the official website of the World Health Organization. The income status of their home countries was also gathered from the Country Income Groups (World Bank Classification) website and divided into five categories. After that, in the ArcGIS 10.6 environment, a database was created and the statistical tests and related maps were extracted. The Global Moran’s I Statistic, Getis-Ord Gi statistic, and geographically weighted regression were used for the analyses. In this study, higher Z-scores indicated the hot spots, while lower Z-scores indicated the cold spots.

RESULTS: In 2000-2017, child mortality showed a downward trend from 17.6 per 100000 children to 8.1 and had a clustered pattern. Hot spots were concentrated in Asia in 2000 but shifted toward African countries by 2017. A cold spot that formed in Europe in 2007 showed an ascending trend by 2017. Based on the results of geographically weighted regression test, the regions identified as the hot spots of mortality from ALRI in children under 5 years old were among the middle-income countries (R2 = 0.01, adjusted R2 = 8.77).

CONCLUSION: While the total number of child deaths in 2000-2017 has decreased, the number of hot spots has increased among countries. This study also concluded that, during the study period, Central and Western Africa countries became the main new hot spots of deaths from ALRI.

PMID:33752281 | DOI:10.3345/cep.2020.01438