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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Progression from Pneumonia to ARDS as a Predictor for Fatal COVID-19

J Infect Public Health. 2020 Dec 30;14(4):504-507. doi: 10.1016/j.jiph.2020.12.026. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

There is a serious concern over the variation of case fatality of COVID-19 patients that reflects the preparedness of the medical care system in response to the surge of pneumonia patients. We aimed to quantify the disease spectrum of COVID-19 on which we are based to develop a key indicator on the probability of progression from pneumonia to acute respiratory disease syndrome (ARDS) for fatal COVID-19. The retrospective cohort on 12 countries that have already experienced the epidemic of COVID-19 with available open data on the conformed cases with detailed information on mild respiratory disease (MRD), pneumonia, ARDS, and deaths were used. The pooled estimates from three countries with detailed information were 73% from MRD to pneumonia and 27% from MRD to recovery and the case-fatality rate of ARDS was 43%. The progression from pneumonia to ARDS varied from 3% to 63%. These key estimates were highly associated with the case fatality rates reported for each country with a statistically significant positive relationship (adjusted R2 = 95%). Such a quantitative model provides key messages for the optimal medical resources allocation to a spectrum of patients requiring quarantine and isolation at home, isolation wards, and intensive care unit in order to reduce deaths from COVID-19.

PMID:33743372 | DOI:10.1016/j.jiph.2020.12.026

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Cobalt exposure increases the risk of fibrosis of people living near E‑waste recycling area

Ecotoxicol Environ Saf. 2021 Mar 17;215:112145. doi: 10.1016/j.ecoenv.2021.112145. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

The toxicity of heavy metals is one of the major public health issues leading to hazardous effects on humans. Many studies focus on the adverse effects on people who were working in or living near E-waste recycling. However, little is known to the sustaining effects of E-waste exposure on human health after the recycling factories were shut down. In the present study, we collected the blood of people living near E‑waste recycling facilities after the recycling factories were closed for 2 years. Eight heavy metals were examined in all blood samples. The results revealed that the blood levels of lead (Pb), nickel (Ni), cobalt (Co), mercury (Hg) were significantly higher in the exposed group than in the reference group, and no difference was observed for copper (Cu), zinc (Zn), stannum (Sn), cadmium (Cd). Transforming growth factor-β (TGF-β) and alpha-smooth muscle actin (α-SMA) were analyzed as the important indicators of fibrosis, which were statistically significantly higher in the exposed group than in the reference group. 8-isoprostane (8-I) and malondialdehyde (MDA) as the biomarkers of oxidative stress (OS) were elevated in the exposed group. Furthermore, both Spearman correlation and multiple linear regression showed that Co was positively correlated with TGF-β, α-SMA and 8-I in the exposed group. Accordingly, we speculate that high concentrations of Co dissolved in the blood may increase the risk of tissue fibrosis through stimulating myofibroblast activation and OS involve in the process, which may provide some potential new hints for the intervention for tissue fibrosis in the future.

PMID:33743401 | DOI:10.1016/j.ecoenv.2021.112145

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Understanding stream bank erosion and deposition in Iowa, USA: A seven year study along streams in different regions with different riparian land-uses

J Environ Manage. 2021 Mar 17;287:112352. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2021.112352. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Agricultural activities such as row-cropping and grazing, have accelerated stream bank erosion. Accelerated stream bank erosion increases nonpoint source pollutants in aquatic ecosystems, significantly degrading them. Mitigating stream bank erosion is a priority worldwide, especially in agricultural watersheds. The objective of this study was to analyze the impacts of riparian land-use management on stream bank erosion and deposition, along with analyzing its temporal and spatial patterns. The study was conducted in three regions of Iowa (central, northeast and southeast) along 30 stream reaches adjacent to seven different riparian land-uses. The riparian land-uses were riparian forest buffers, grass filters, pastures with the cattle excluded from the stream, intensive rotational grazing, rotational grazing, continuous grazing and row crop fields. Seasonal erosion and deposition data (Spring, Summer and Autumn) were collected along these reaches for 5 years and yearly for the following two years. To analyze the data, conventional statistical methods (ANOVA and Tukey’s test) along with innovative techniques (percentile plots, cumulative erosion curves and bubble charts) were utilized. Based on the analysis, of this extensive in time (seven years) and large in size (1500 pins measured 17 times in three regions) field dataset, major results were obtained in regard to stream bank erosion in Iowa, USA. Stream banks exhibited high year-to-year variation in erosion and deposition showcasing the need for long-term datasets to better understand stream bank erosion and deposition. Seasonal erosion, also had high variability with Spring recording the most erosion followed by Summer and Autumn. Certain seasons exhibited high stream bank erosion indicating that managers need to focus on these seasons, to reduce erosion effectively. In addition, seasonal measurements can highlight depositional events that might be masked with annual measurements. Riparian land-uses significantly impacted stream bank erosion. Riparian forest buffers and grass filters significantly mitigated stream bank erosion while traditional agricultural practices like continuous grazing and row-crop agriculture had accelerated stream bank erosion. Finally, the percentile plots, cumulative erosion curves and bubble charts captured some stream bank responses that would have been unnoticed using conventional statistical methods, allowing decision makers, stakeholders and the general public, to support and approve measures to mitigate this environmental problem. Nature-based solutions utilizing riparian perennial vegetation can sustainably mitigate stream bank erosion.

PMID:33743416 | DOI:10.1016/j.jenvman.2021.112352

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Diagnoses during the first three years of life for children with prenatal opioid exposure and neonatal abstinence syndrome using a large maternal infant data hub

J Pediatr Nurs. 2021 Mar 17;61:34-39. doi: 10.1016/j.pedn.2021.03.011. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: The purpose of this study was to examine patterns of health and developmental outcomes in children with prenatal opioid exposure (POE) and neonatal abstinence syndrome (NAS) compared to children without exposure during the first three years of life.

DESIGN AND METHODS: This was a secondary data analysis of the Maternal and Infant Data Hub (MIDH), a de-identified dataset originating from the Midwest region of the United States, consisting of newborn billing records and corresponding maternal and child electronic medical records. For these analyses, the repository included data on more than 20,000 children born between 2013 and 2019. Diagnoses were identified with International Classification of Diseases, ninth and tenth Revision, Clinical Modification codes (ICD-9/10-CM). Firth logistic regression was used to assess whether incidence of each diagnosis code differed by exposure group.

RESULTS: Among 20,389 children in the dataset, 13,173 were unexposed; 455 were POE, and 199 were POE + NAS. There were significant differences in frequency of diagnoses between groups, specifically regarding growth and development, infection, mental health, musculoskeletal, neonatal, sensory, and social issues. When comparing exposed groups, children with POE + NAS experienced more negative health outcomes than children with only POE across all years.

CONCLUSIONS: This study implicates POE as a significant variable associated with many health and developmental outcomes of children during the first three years of life.

PRACTICE IMPLICATIONS: It is crucial to understand and identify health risks observed more frequently in exposed children during such a critical period of growth and brain development.

PMID:33743318 | DOI:10.1016/j.pedn.2021.03.011

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Medical high-protein nutrition therapy and loss of muscle mass in adult ICU patients: A randomized controlled trial

Clin Nutr. 2021 Feb 23;40(4):1562-1570. doi: 10.1016/j.clnu.2021.02.021. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The degradation of muscle mass and loss of functional proteins due to catabolism are associated with adverse outcomes in critically ill patients. While an adequate supply of protein within a medical nutrition concept is suggested to minimize proteolysis, the specificities on appropriate dosage and timing are still under debate. The current study aimed to evaluate the effect of two different quantities of protein as part of a standardized energetically controlled nutrition therapy for the preservation of muscle mass in the later phase of critical illness.

METHODS: A randomized controlled trial was conducted in 42 critically ill patients (age 65 ± 15; 12 females; SAPS 45 ± 11; TISS 20 ± 7; SOFA-score 7 ± 3). The subjects were randomly assigned to either the intervention (1.8 g protein/kg body weight [BW]/d) or standard (1.2 g protein/kg BW/d) group. Nutrient supply via enteral and/or parenteral nutrition was calculated based on the individual energy expenditure measured by indirect calorimetry and target protein content. Quadriceps muscle layer thickness (QMLT) was observed through sonography at inclusion, and during the follow-up period, two and four weeks after inclusion. The measurement points were fixed on two sides at the midpoint and two-thirds between the anterior superior iliac spine and top of the patella. The data were analyzed descriptively wherein chi-squared tests or unpaired two-samle t-tests checked group differences. Daily changes in muscle mass were estimated using a linear mixed model. All data are shown as the mean ± standard deviation (SD).

RESULTS: Actual protein intake reached 1.5 ± 0.5 g and 1.0 ± 0.5 g/kg BW/d in the intervention and standard group, respectively. Mean values of all measurements of QMLT at inclusion (day 13 ± 2 after ICU admission) were 13.5 ± 7.4 mm and 13.4 ± 7.1 mm in the intervention and standard group, respectively (P = 0.967). In both the groups, QMLT decreased over time (P < 0.001), while the estimated mean values of daily QMLT changes were -0.15 ± 0.08 mm (intervention) and -0.28 ± 0.08 mm (standard) without significant between-group differences (intervention effect, P = 0.368; time x intervention effect, P = 0.242). Illness scores and clinical outcomes showed no group differences.

CONCLUSION: In this single-center trial the increased amounts of protein (1.5 g vs. 1.0 g/kg BW/d) provided through medical nutrition therapy in the late phase of critical illness did not achieve a statistically significant impact on the loss of muscle mass in long-term immobilized ICU patients. Larger multi-center trials are needed to evaluate whether observed numerical differences in muscle mass could be a true finding, and will translate into improved clinical outcomes.

TRIAL REGISTRATION: German Clinical Trials Register (http://www.drks.de/), DRKS-ID: DRKS00013594.

PMID:33743292 | DOI:10.1016/j.clnu.2021.02.021

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Accuracy of rapid diagnostic test to diagnose malaria in children under 5 years of age, a meta-analysis

Diagn Microbiol Infect Dis. 2021 Feb 19;100(2):115351. doi: 10.1016/j.diagmicrobio.2021.115351. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To assess the accuracy of the rapid diagnostic test for malaria diagnosis in children under 5 years of age.

METHODS: As of August 31, 2020, PubMed, Web of Science and Cochrane Library databases had been systematically searched. Relevant data were extracted and meta-analysis was carried out. A random effects model was used for subgroup analysis.

RESULTS: According to the inclusion criteria, a total of 26 studies were included in this meta-analysis. The pooled sensitivity and specificity were 0.92 (95% confidence interval 0.83-0.96) and 0.92 (0.86-0.95), the parasite-specific lactate dehydrogenase-based test were 0.96 (0.85-0.98) and 0.93 (0.86-0.95), the histidine-rich protein 2-based test were 0.94 (0.84-0.98) and 0.86 (0.77-0.91).

CONCLUSIONS: This meta-analysis showed that rapid diagnostic test had good accuracy in diagnosing malaria in children under 5 years of age. And the diagnostic performance of parasite-specific lactate dehydrogenase test was better than that of the histidine-rich protein 2 test.

PMID:33743294 | DOI:10.1016/j.diagmicrobio.2021.115351

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Development of imaging-based risk scores for prediction of intracranial haemorrhage and ischaemic stroke in patients taking antithrombotic therapy after ischaemic stroke or transient ischaemic attack: a pooled analysis of individual patient data from cohort studies

Lancet Neurol. 2021 Apr;20(4):294-303. doi: 10.1016/S1474-4422(21)00024-7.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Balancing the risks of recurrent ischaemic stroke and intracranial haemorrhage is important for patients treated with antithrombotic therapy after ischaemic stroke or transient ischaemic attack. However, existing predictive models offer insufficient performance, particularly for assessing the risk of intracranial haemorrhage. We aimed to develop new risk scores incorporating clinical variables and cerebral microbleeds, an MRI biomarker of intracranial haemorrhage and ischaemic stroke risk.

METHODS: We did a pooled analysis of individual-patient data from the Microbleeds International Collaborative Network (MICON), which includes 38 hospital-based prospective cohort studies from 18 countries. All studies recruited participants with previous ischaemic stroke or transient ischaemic attack, acquired baseline MRI allowing quantification of cerebral microbleeds, and followed-up participants for ischaemic stroke and intracranial haemorrhage. Participants not taking antithrombotic drugs were excluded. We developed Cox regression models to predict the 5-year risks of intracranial haemorrhage and ischaemic stroke, selecting candidate predictors on biological relevance and simplifying models using backward elimination. We derived integer risk scores for clinical use. We assessed model performance in internal validation, adjusted for optimism using bootstrapping. The study is registered on PROSPERO, CRD42016036602.

FINDINGS: The included studies recruited participants between Aug 28, 2001, and Feb 4, 2018. 15 766 participants had follow-up for intracranial haemorrhage, and 15 784 for ischaemic stroke. Over a median follow-up of 2 years, 184 intracranial haemorrhages and 1048 ischaemic strokes were reported. The risk models we developed included cerebral microbleed burden and simple clinical variables. Optimism-adjusted c indices were 0·73 (95% CI 0·69-0·77) with a calibration slope of 0·94 (0·81-1·06) for the intracranial haemorrhage model and 0·63 (0·62-0·65) with a calibration slope of 0·97 (0·87-1·07) for the ischaemic stroke model. There was good agreement between predicted and observed risk for both models.

INTERPRETATION: The MICON risk scores, incorporating clinical variables and cerebral microbleeds, offer predictive value for the long-term risks of intracranial haemorrhage and ischaemic stroke in patients prescribed antithrombotic therapy for secondary stroke prevention; external validation is warranted.

FUNDING: British Heart Foundation and Stroke Association.

PMID:33743239 | DOI:10.1016/S1474-4422(21)00024-7

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The degree of correction in open-wedge high tibial osteotomy compromises bone healing: A consecutive review of 101 cases

Knee. 2021 Mar 17;29:478-485. doi: 10.1016/j.knee.2021.02.025. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The bone healing in open-wedge high tibial osteotomy (OWHTO) proceeds gradually by a filling of the osteotomy gap. This can comprise several risk factors.

METHODS: A retrospective study analysed the clinical and radiological course of 101 consecutive OWHTOs in 96 patients. The following risk factors were considered: age, body mass index, tobacco consumption, amount of tobacco consumption, severity of comorbidities, infection of the surgical area, occurrence of a lateral hinge fracture and the degree of correction. The bone healing was evaluated by using the modified Radiographic Union Score for Tibial fractures (RUST).

RESULTS: A disturbance in bone healing was observed in 16 of the 101 osteotomies. Binary logistic regression analysis showed a correlation between the angle of the opening wedge and the development of a disturbance in bone healing (P = 0.002). The odds ratio indicated an increase in the risk of a disturbance in bone healing of 56% with each additional degree of correction. For the risk factor ‘age’ a statistical trend was recognizable (P = 0.077) with the risk of a disturbance in bone healing in higher age.

CONCLUSION: Lateral hinge fractures seem not to have a detrimental effect on the filling of the osteotomy gap. An increase in the opening wedge bears the risk of a disturbance in bone healing.

PMID:33743262 | DOI:10.1016/j.knee.2021.02.025

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Consumption of ultra-processed foods and drinks and colorectal, breast, and prostate cancer

Clin Nutr. 2021 Feb 27;40(4):1537-1545. doi: 10.1016/j.clnu.2021.02.033. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

AIMS: To study whether the consumption of ultra-processed foods and drinks is associated with breast, colorectal, and prostate cancers.

METHODS: Multicentric population-based case-control study (MCC-Spain) conducted in 12 Spanish provinces. Participants were men and women between 20 and 85 years of age with diagnoses of colorectal (n = 1852), breast (n = 1486), or prostate cancer (n = 953), and population-based controls (n = 3543) frequency-matched by age, sex, and region. Dietary intake was collected using a validated food frequency questionnaire. Foods and drinks were categorized according to their degree of processing based on the NOVA classification. Unconditional multivariable logistic regression was used to evaluate the association between ultra-processed food and drink consumption and colorectal, breast, and prostate cancer.

RESULTS: In multiple adjusted models, consumption of ultra-processed foods and drinks was associated with a higher risk of colorectal cancer (OR for a 10% increase in consumption: 1.11; 95% CI 1.04-1.18). The corresponding odds for breast (OR 1.03; 95% CI 0.96-1.11) and prostate cancer (OR 1.02; 95% CI 0.93-1.12) were indicative of no association.

CONCLUSIONS: Results of this large population-based case-control study suggest an association between the consumption of ultra-processed foods and drinks and colorectal cancer. Food policy and public health should include a focus on food processing when formulating dietary guidelines.

PMID:33743289 | DOI:10.1016/j.clnu.2021.02.033

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Chronic infection drives Dnmt3a-loss-of-function clonal hematopoiesis via IFNγ signaling

Cell Stem Cell. 2021 Mar 16:S1934-5909(21)00108-9. doi: 10.1016/j.stem.2021.03.002. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Age-related clonal hematopoiesis (CH) is a risk factor for malignancy, cardiovascular disease, and all-cause mortality. Somatic mutations in DNMT3A are drivers of CH, but decades may elapse between the acquisition of a mutation and CH, suggesting that environmental factors contribute to clonal expansion. We tested whether infection provides selective pressure favoring the expansion of Dnmt3a mutant hematopoietic stem cells (HSCs) in mouse chimeras. We created Dnmt3a-mosaic mice by transplanting Dnmt3a-/- and WT HSCs into WT mice and observed the substantial expansion of Dnmt3a-/- HSCs during chronic mycobacterial infection. Injection of recombinant IFNγ alone was sufficient to phenocopy CH by Dnmt3a-/- HSCs upon infection. Transcriptional and epigenetic profiling and functional studies indicate reduced differentiation associated with widespread methylation alterations, and reduced secondary stress-induced apoptosis accounts for Dnmt3a-/- clonal expansion during infection. DNMT3A mutant human HSCs similarly exhibit defective IFNγ-induced differentiation. We thus demonstrate that IFNγ signaling induced during chronic infection can drive DNMT3A-loss-of-function CH.

PMID:33743191 | DOI:10.1016/j.stem.2021.03.002