Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Single or combined immune checkpoint inhibitors compared to first-line platinum-based chemotherapy with or without bevacizumab for people with advanced non-small cell lung cancer

Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2021 Apr 30;4:CD013257. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD013257.pub3.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) targeting the PD-1/PD-L1 axis have changed the first-line treatment of people with advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Single-agent pembrolizumab (a PD-1 inhibitor) is currently the standard of care as monotherapy in patients with PD-L1 expression ≥ 50%, either alone or in combination with chemotherapy when PD-L1 expression is less than 50%. Atezolizumab (PD-L1 inhibitor) has also been approved in combination with chemotherapy and bevacizumab (an anti-angiogenic antibody) in first-line NSCLC regardless of PD-L1 expression. The combination of first-line PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitors with anti-CTLA-4 antibodies has also been shown to improve survival compared to platinum-based chemotherapy in advanced NSCLC, particularly in people with high tumour mutational burden (TMB). The association of ipilimumab (an anti CTLA4) and nivolumab (PD-1 inhibitor) has been approved by the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) in all patients with PD-L1 expression ≥1%. Although these antibodies are currently used in clinical practice, some questions remain unanswered, such as the best-treatment strategy, the role of different biomarkers for treatment selection and the effectiveness of immunotherapy according to specific clinical characteristics.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the effectiveness and safety of first-line immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs), as monotherapy or in combination, compared to platinum-based chemotherapy, with or without bevacizumab for people with advanced NSCLC, according to the level of PD-L1 expression.

SEARCH METHODS: We performed an electronic search of the main databases (Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, MEDLINE, Embase) from inception until 31 December 2020 and conferences meetings from 2015 onwards.

SELECTION CRITERIA: We included randomised controlled trials (RCTs) reporting on the efficacy or safety of first-line ICI treatment for adults with advanced NSCLC who had not previously received any anticancer treatment. We included trials comparing single- or double-ICI treatment to standard first-line therapy (platinum-based chemotherapy +/- bevacizumab). All data come from ‘international multicentre studies involving adults, age 18 or over, with histologically-confirmed stage IV NSCLC.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS: Three review authors independently assessed the search results and a fourth review author resolved any disagreements. Primary outcomes were overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS); secondary outcomes were overall objective response rate (ORR) by RECIST v 1.1, grade 3 to 5 treatment-related adverse events (AEs) (CTCAE v 5.0) and health-related quality of life (HRQoL). We performed meta-analyses where appropriate using the random-effects model for hazard ratios (HRs) or risk ratios (RRs), with 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs), and used the I² statistic to investigate heterogeneity.

MAIN RESULTS: Main results We identified 15 trials for inclusion, seven completed and eight ongoing trials. We obtained data for 5893 participants from seven trials comparing first-line single- (six trials) or double- (two trials) agent ICI with platinum-based chemotherapy, one trial comparing both first-line single- and double-agent ICsI with platinum-based chemotherapy. All trials were at low risk of selection and detection bias, some were classified at high risk of performance, attrition or other source of bias. The overall certainty of evidence according to GRADE ranged from moderate-to-low because of risk of bias, inconsistency, or imprecision. The majority of the included trials reported their outcomes by PD-L1 expressions, with PD-L1 ≥ 50 being considered the most clinically useful cut-off level for decision makers. Also, iIn order to avoid overlaps between various PDL-1 expressions we prioritised the review outcomes according to PD-L1 ≥ 50. Single-agent ICI In the PD-L1 expression ≥ 50% group single-agent ICI probably improved OS compared to platinum-based chemotherapy (hazard ratio (HR) 0.68, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.60 to 0.76, 6 RCTs, 2111 participants, moderate-certainty evidence). In this group, single-agent ICI also may improve PFS (HR: 0.68, 95% CI 0.52 to 0.88, 5 RCTs, 1886 participants, low-certainty evidence) and ORR (risk ratio (RR):1.40, 95% CI 1.12 to 1.75, 4 RCTs, 1672 participants, low-certainty evidence). HRQoL data were available for only one study including only people with PD-L1 expression ≥ 50%, which suggested that single-agent ICI may improve HRQoL at 15 weeks compared to platinum-based chemotherapy (RR: 1.51, 95% CI 1.08 to 2.10, 1 RCT, 297 participants, low-certainty evidence). In the included studies, treatment-related AEs were not reported according to PD-L1 expression levels. Grade 3-4 AEs may be less frequent with single-agent ICI compared to platinum-based chemotherapy (RR: 0.41, 95% CI 0.33 to 0.50, I² = 62%, 5 RCTs, 3346 participants, low-certainty evidence). More information about efficacy of single-agent ICI compared to platinum-based chemotherapy according to the level of PD-L1 expression and to TMB status or specific clinical characteristics is available in the full text. Double-agent ICI Double-ICI treatment probably prolonged OS compared to platinum-based chemotherapy in people with PD-L1 expression ≥50% (HR: 0.72, 95% CI 0.59 to 0.89 2 RCTs, 612 participants, moderate-certainty evidence). Trials did not report data on HRQoL, PFS and ORR according to PD-L1 groups. Treatment related AEs were not reported according to PD-L1 expression levels. The frequency of grade 3-4 AEs may not differ between double-ICI treatment and platinum-based chemotherapy (RR: 0.78, 95% CI 0.55 to 1.09, I² = 81%, 2 RCTs, 1869 participants, low-certainty evidence). More information about efficacy of double-agent ICI according to the level of PD-L1 expression and to TMB status is available in the full text.

AUTHORS’ CONCLUSIONS: Authors’ conclusions The evidence in this review suggests that single-agent ICI in people with NSCLC and PD-L1 ≥50% probably leads to a higher overall survival rate and may lead to a higher progression-free survival and overall response rate when compared to platinum-based chemotherapy and may also lead to a lower rate of adverse events and higher HRQoL. Combined ICI in people with NSCLC and PD-L1 ≥50% also probably leads to a higher overall survival rate when compared to platinum-based chemotherapy, but its effect on progression-free survival, overall response rate and HRQoL is unknown due to a lack of data. The rate of adverse events may not differ between groups. This review used to be a living review. It is transitioned out of living mode because current research is exploring ICI in association with chemotherapy or other immunotherapeutic drugs versus ICI as single agent rather than platinum based chemotherapy.

PMID:33930176 | DOI:10.1002/14651858.CD013257.pub3

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Catheter ablation of atrial fibrillation in patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy: a European observational multicentre study

Europace. 2021 Apr 30:euab022. doi: 10.1093/europace/euab022. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

AIMS: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is common in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM). Data on the efficacy of catheter ablation of AF in HCM patients are sparse.

METHODS AND RESULTS: Observational multicentre study in 137 HCM patients (mean age 55.0 ± 13.4, 29.1% female; 225 ablation procedures). We investigated (i) the efficacy of catheter ablation for AF beyond the initial 12 months; (ii) the available risk scores, stratification schemes and genotype as potential predictors of arrhythmia relapse, and (iii) the impact of cryoballoon vs. radiofrequency in procedural outcomes. Mean follow-up was 43.8 ± 37.0 months. Recurrences after the initial 12-month period post-ablation were frequent, and 24 months after the index procedure, nearly all patients with persistent AF had relapsed, and only 40% of those with paroxysmal AF remained free from arrhythmia recurrence. The APPLE score demonstrated a modest discriminative capacity for AF relapse post-ablation (c-statistic 0.63, 95% CI 0.52-0.75; P = 0.022), while the risk stratification schemes for sudden death did not. On multivariable analysis, left atrium diameter and LV apical aneurysm were independent predictors of recurrence. Fifty-eight patients were genotyped; arrhythmia-free survival was similar among subjects with different gene mutations. Rate of procedural complications was high (9.3%), although reducing over time. Outcome for cryoballoon and radiofrequency ablation was comparable.

CONCLUSION: Very late AF relapses post-ablation is common in HCM patients, especially in those with persistent AF. Left atrium size, LV apical aneurysm, and the APPLE score might contribute to identify subjects at higher risk of arrhythmia recurrence. First-time cryoballoon is comparable with radiofrequency ablation.

PMID:33930121 | DOI:10.1093/europace/euab022

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Micronized progesterone plus dydrogesterone versus micronized progesterone alone for luteal phase support in frozen-thawed cycles (MIDRONE): a prospective cohort study

Hum Reprod. 2021 Apr 30:deab093. doi: 10.1093/humrep/deab093. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

STUDY QUESTION: Does the addition of oral dydrogesterone to vaginal progesterone as luteal phase support improve pregnancy outcomes during frozen embryo transfer (FET) cycles compared with vaginal progesterone alone?

SUMMARY ANSWER: Luteal phase support with oral dydrogesterone added to vaginal progesterone had a higher live birth rate and lower miscarriage rate compared with vaginal progesterone alone.

WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: Progesterone is an important hormone that triggers secretory transformation of the endometrium to allow implantation of the embryo. During IVF, exogenous progesterone is administered for luteal phase support. However, there is wide inter-individual variation in absorption of progesterone via the vaginal wall. Oral dydrogesterone is effective and well tolerated when used to provide luteal phase support after fresh embryo transfer. However, there are currently no data on the effectiveness of luteal phase support with the combination of dydrogesterone with vaginal micronized progesterone compared with vaginal micronized progesterone after FET.

STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: Prospective cohort study conducted at an academic infertility center in Vietnam from 26 June 2019 to 30 March 2020.

PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: We studied 1364 women undergoing IVF with FET. Luteal support was started when endometrial thickness reached ≥8 mm. The luteal support regimen was either vaginal micronized progesterone 400 mg twice daily plus oral dydrogesterone 10 mg twice daily (second part of the study) or vaginal micronized progesterone 400 mg twice daily (first 4 months of the study). In women with a positive pregnancy test, the appropriate luteal phase support regimen was continued until 7 weeks’ gestation. The primary endpoint was live birth after the first FET of the started cycle, with miscarriage <12 weeks as one of the secondary endpoints.

MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: The vaginal progesterone + dydrogesterone group and vaginal progesterone groups included 732 and 632 participants, respectively. Live birth rates were 46.3% versus 41.3%, respectively (rate ratio [RR] 1.12, 95% CI 0.99-1.27, P = 0.06; multivariate analysis RR 1.30 (95% CI 1.01-1.68), P = 0.042), with a statistically significant lower rate of miscarriage at <12 weeks in the progesterone + dydrogesterone versus progesterone group (3.4% versus 6.6%; RR 0.51, 95% CI 0.32-0.83; P = 0.009). Birth weight of both singletons (2971.0 ± 628.4 versus 3118.8 ± 559.2 g; P = 0.004) and twins (2175.5 ± 494.8 versus 2494.2 ± 584.7; P = 0.002) was significantly lower in the progesterone plus dydrogesterone versus progesterone group.

LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION: The main limitations of the study were the open-label design and the non-randomized nature of the sequential administration of study treatments. However, our systematic comparison of the two strategies was able to be performed much more rapidly than a conventional randomized controlled trial. In addition, the single ethnicity population limits external generalizability.

WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: Our findings study suggest a role for oral dydrogesterone in addition to vaginal progesterone as luteal phase support in FET cycles to reduce the miscarriage rate and improve the live birth rate. Carefully planned prospective cohort studies with limited bias could be used as an alternative to randomized controlled clinical trials to inform clinical practice.

STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTERESTS: This study received no external funding. LNV has received speaker and conference fees from Merck, grant, speaker and conference fees from Merck Sharpe and Dohme, and speaker, conference and scientific board fees from Ferring; TMH has received speaker fees from Merck, Merck Sharp and Dohme, and Ferring; R.J.N. has received scientific board fees from Ferring and receives grant funding from the National Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC) of Australia; BWM has acted as a paid consultant to Merck, ObsEva and Guerbet, and is the recipient of grant money from an NHMRC Investigator Grant.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT0399876.

PMID:33930124 | DOI:10.1093/humrep/deab093

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Characteristics and clinical outcomes in atrial fibrillation patients classified using cluster analysis: the Fushimi AF Registry

Europace. 2021 Apr 30:euab079. doi: 10.1093/europace/euab079. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

AIMS: The risk of adverse events in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients was commonly stratified by risk factors or clinical risk scores. Risk factors often do not occur in isolation and are often found in multimorbidity ‘clusters’ which may have prognostic implications. We aimed to perform cluster analysis in a cohort of AF patients and to assess the outcomes and prognostic implications of the identified comorbidity cluster phenotypes.

METHODS AND RESULTS: The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of the AF patients in Fushimi-ku, Kyoto, Japan. Hierarchical cluster analysis was performed on 4304 patients (mean age: 73.6 years, female; 40.3%, mean CHA2DS2-VASc score 3.37 ± 1.69), using 42 baseline clinical characteristics. On hierarchical cluster analysis, AF patients could be categorized into six statistically driven comorbidity clusters: (i) younger ages (mean age: 48.3 years) with low prevalence of risk factors and comorbidities (n = 209); (ii) elderly (mean age: 74.0 years) with low prevalence of risk factors and comorbidities (n = 1301); (iii) those with high prevalence of atherosclerotic risk factors, but without atherosclerotic disease (n = 1411); (iv) those with atherosclerotic comorbidities (n = 440); (v) those with history of any-cause stroke (n = 681); and (vi) the very elderly (mean age: 83.4 years) (n = 262). Rates of all-cause mortality and major adverse cardiovascular or neurological events can be stratified by these six identified clusters (log-rank test; P < 0.001 and P < 0.001, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS: We identified six clinically relevant phenotypes of AF patients on cluster analysis. These phenotypes can be associated with various types of comorbidities and associated with the incidence of clinical outcomes.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION INFORMATION: https://www.umin.ac.jp/ctr/index.htm. Unique identifier: UMIN000005834.

PMID:33930126 | DOI:10.1093/europace/euab079

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Failure of non-invasive respiratory support after 6 hours from initiation is associated with ICU mortality

PLoS One. 2021 Apr 30;16(4):e0251030. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0251030. eCollection 2021.

ABSTRACT

A previous study has shown that late failure (> 48 hours) of high-flow nasal cannula (HFNC) was associated with intensive care unit (ICU) mortality. The aim of this study was to investigate whether failure of non-invasive respiratory support, including HFNC and non-invasive positive pressure ventilation (NPPV), was also associated with the risk of mortality even if it occurs in the earlier phase. We retrospectively analyzed 59 intubated patients for acute respiratory failure due to lung diseases between April 2014 and June 2018. We divided the patients into 2 groups according to the time from starting non-invasive ventilatory support until their intubation: ≤ 6 hours failure and > 6 hours failure group. We evaluated the differences in the ICU mortality between these two groups. The multivariate logistic regression analysis showed the highest mortality in the > 6 hours failure group as compared to the ≤ 6 hours failure group, with a statistically significant difference (p < 0.01). It was also associated with a statistically significant increased 30-day mortality and decreased ventilator weaning rate. The ICU mortality in patients with acute respiratory failure caused by lung diseases was increased if the time until failure of HFNC and NPPV was more than 6 hours.

PMID:33930089 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0251030

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Hepatitis B virus infection and its determinants among HIV positive pregnant women: Multicenter unmatched case-control study

PLoS One. 2021 Apr 30;16(4):e0251084. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0251084. eCollection 2021.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Hepatitis B virus (HBV) kills millions of people globally; it is worse in pregnant women. HBV and Human Immune Virus (HIV) co-infection is associated with increased liver diseases such as cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma. This study aimed at identifying the determinants of HBV infection among HIV-positive pregnant women.

METHODS: A multicentre unmatched case-control study was conducted among 109 cases (HBV/HIV co-infected) and 327 controls (HIV positive) pregnant women in seven hospitals of the Eastern Amhara region. Interview and chart review data collection techniques were employed by trained personnel. A binary logistic regression model was used to identify independent predictors of hepatitis B virus infection. Variables with a p-value of <0.05 and 95% confidence interval for odds ratio not containing 1 considered independent predictors of HBV infection.

RESULTS: The findings of this study revealed that history of STI [AOR, 1.97, 95%CI, 1.09-3.56], hospital admission [AOR, 3.08, 95%CI, 1.69-5.61], traditional delivery care [AOR, 3.31, 95%CI, 1.72-6.37], family history of HBV [AOR, 3.33, 95%CI, 1.72-6.37], presence of opportunistic infections [AOR, 0.23, 95%CI, 0.12-0.58], viral load [AOR, 7.58, 95%CI, 3.18-8.01], CD4 count [AOR, 2.15, 95% CI, 1.01-4.59], anaemia [AOR, 3.07, 95% CI, 1.71-5.51] and unsafe sex [AOR, 1.98, 95%CI, 1.09-3.61] had a statistically significant association with HBV infection.

CONCLUSIONS: Several exposure variables had statistically significant association with HBV infection. High Viral Load appeared to be the largest predictor of HBV infection in HIV patients. Therefore, targeted interventions such as behavioral change intervention for unsafe sex and STI should be in place, and screening tests and treatment at the early stage of conception for both partners is necessary.

PMID:33930097 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0251084

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Automated Nerve Monitoring in Shoulder Arthroplasty: A Prospective Randomized Controlled Study

Anesthesiology. 2021 Apr 30. doi: 10.1097/ALN.0000000000003797. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Evoked potential monitoring is believed to prevent neurologic injury in various surgical settings; however, its clinical effect has not been scrutinized. It was hypothesized that an automated nerve monitor can minimize intraoperative nerve injury and thereby improve clinical outcomes in patients undergoing shoulder arthroplasty.

METHODS: A prospective, blinded, parallel group, superiority design, single-center, randomized controlled study was conducted. Study participants were equally randomized into either the automated nerve-monitored or the blinded monitored groups. The primary outcome was intraoperative nerve injury burden as assessed by the cumulative duration of nerve alerts. Secondary outcomes were neurologic deficits and functional scores of the operative arm, and the quality of life index (Euro Quality of life-5 domain-5 level score) at postoperative weeks 2, 6, and 12.

RESULTS: From September 2018 to July 2019, 213 patients were screened, of whom 200 were randomized. There was no statistically significant difference in the duration of nerve alerts between the automated nerve-monitored and control groups (median [25th, 75th interquartile range]: 1 [0, 18] and 5 [0, 26.5]; Hodges-Lehman difference [95% CI]: 0 [0 to 1] min; P = 0.526). There were no statistically significant differences in secondary outcomes between groups. However, in the ancillary analysis, there were reductions in neurologic deficits and improvements in quality of life index occurring in both groups over the course of the study period.

CONCLUSIONS: Protection from nerve injury is a shared responsibility between surgeons and anesthesiologists. Although a progressive improvement of clinical outcomes were observed over the course of the study in both groups as a consequence of the real-time feedback provided by the automated nerve monitor, this trial did not demonstrate that automated nerve monitoring by itself changes important clinical outcomes compared with no monitoring.

PMID:33930115 | DOI:10.1097/ALN.0000000000003797

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Biomechanical analysis of expert anesthesiologists and novice residents performing a simulated central venous access procedure

PLoS One. 2021 Apr 30;16(4):e0250941. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0250941. eCollection 2021.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Central venous access (CVA) is a frequent procedure taught in medical residencies. However, since CVA is a high-risk procedure requiring a detailed teaching and learning process to ensure trainee proficiency, it is necessary to determine objective differences between the expert’s and the novice’s performance to guide novice practitioners during their training process. This study compares experts’ and novices’ biomechanical variables during a simulated CVA performance.

METHODS: Seven experts and seven novices were part of this study. The participants’ motion data during a CVA simulation procedure was collected using the Vicon Motion System. The procedure was divided into four stages for analysis, and each hand’s speed, acceleration, and jerk were obtained. Also, the procedural time was analyzed. Descriptive analysis and multilevel linear models with random intercept and interaction were used to analyze group, hand, and stage differences.

RESULTS: There were statistically significant differences between experts and novices regarding time, speed, acceleration, and jerk during a simulated CVA performance. These differences vary significantly by the procedure stage for right-hand acceleration and left-hand jerk.

CONCLUSIONS: Experts take less time to perform the CVA procedure, which is reflected in higher speed, acceleration, and jerk values. This difference varies according to the procedure’s stage, depending on the hand and variable studied, demonstrating that these variables could play an essential role in differentiating between experts and novices, and could be used when designing training strategies.

PMID:33930076 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0250941

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Quantitative evaluation of microvacuole formation in five intraocular lens models made of different hydrophobic materials

PLoS One. 2021 Apr 30;16(4):e0250860. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0250860. eCollection 2021.

ABSTRACT

In this laboratory study, we assessed the resistance to microvacuole (glistening) formation in hydrophobic intraocular lenses (IOLs). Glistenings were induced in five lenses each of five different hydrophobic acrylic IOL models, using an established in vitro laboratory model: 800C (Rayner, Worthing, UK), AcrySof SN60WF (Alcon, Fort Worth, USA), Tecnis ZCB00 (Johnson & Johnson Vision, Santa Ana, USA), Vivinex XY1 (Hoya, Tokyo, Japan) and CT Lucia 611P (Zeiss, Oberkochen, Germany). We evaluated the number of microvacuoles per square millimeter (MV/mm2) in the central part of each IOL. Results were analyzed statistically, and mean glistening numbers were ranked, with the highest in the SN60WF which had 66.0 (±45.5) MVs/mm, followed by the 611P with 30.7 (±8.4) MVs/mm2. The 800C and XY1 showed comparable values of 2.0 (±3.6) and 2.7 (±2.4) MVs/mm2, respectively. ZCB00 had the lowest number with 0.9 (±0.6) MVs/mm2. This study shows that the resistance to glistening formation differs depending on the hydrophobic acrylic copolymer composition of the IOL material. Some IOLs from current clinical use are still prone to develop glistenings whereas others, including the ZCB00, 800C and XY1 show high resistance to microvacuole formation.

PMID:33930084 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0250860

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Mutational pressure by host APOBEC3s more strongly affects genes expressed early in the lytic phase of herpes simplex virus-1 (HSV-1) and human polyomavirus (HPyV) infection

PLoS Pathog. 2021 Apr 30;17(4):e1009560. doi: 10.1371/journal.ppat.1009560. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Herpes-Simplex Virus 1 (HSV-1) infects most humans when they are young, sometimes with fatal consequences. Gene expression occurs in a temporal order upon lytic HSV-1 infection: immediate early (IE) genes are expressed, then early (E) genes, followed by late (L) genes. During this infection cycle, the HSV-1 genome has the potential for exposure to APOBEC3 (A3) proteins, a family of cytidine deaminases that cause C>U mutations on single-stranded DNA (ssDNA), often resulting in a C>T transition. We developed a computational model for the mutational pressure of A3 on the lytic cycle of HSV-1 to determine which viral kinetic gene class is most vulnerable to A3 mutations. Using in silico stochastic methods, we simulated the infectious cycle under varying intensities of A3 mutational pressure. We found that the IE and E genes are more vulnerable to A3 than L genes. We validated this model by analyzing the A3 evolutionary footprints in 25 HSV-1 isolates. We find that IE and E genes have evolved to underrepresent A3 hotspot motifs more so than L genes, consistent with greater selection pressure on IE and E genes. We extend this model to two-step infections, such as those of polyomavirus, and find that the same pattern holds for over 25 human Polyomavirus (HPyVs) genomes. Genes expressed earlier during infection are more vulnerable to mutations than those expressed later.

PMID:33930088 | DOI:10.1371/journal.ppat.1009560