Tag: statistics

Appl Radiat Isot. 2023 Jul 27;200:110949. doi: 10.1016/j.apradiso.2023.110949. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Activation and off-line γ-ray spectrometric methods were used to measure the ground and isomeric state (n,2n) reaction cross section for ¹⁰³Rh at two different neutron energies. The standard ²⁷Al (n,α)²⁴Na reference reaction was used to normalise neutron flux. The proton beam from the 14UD BARC-TIFR Pelletron facility in Mumbai, India, was utilised to create high-energy quasi-monoenergetic neutrons via the ⁷Li (p,n) reaction. Statistical model calculations including the level density, pre-equilibrium and optical potential model were performed using the TALYS (ver. 1.95) and EMPIRE (ver. 3.2.3) reaction codes. In addition, because of considerable discrepancies in measured data, the literature (n,p) reaction cross section of ⁵²Cr and ⁴⁸Ti targets were examined theoretically in the present work. The measured cross sections are discussed and compared with the latest evaluated data of the FENDL-3.2b, CENDL-3.2, TENDL-2019, JENDL-5.0, and ENDF/B-VIII.0 libraries, and experimental data based on the EXFOR compilation. The theoretical investigation of the (n,2n) reaction cross section was performed for the ground and isomeric state for the first time from reaction threshold to 25 MeV energies. The experimental data corresponding to the ground, isomeric state and isomeric ratio were reproduced consistently by the theoretical calculations. The present experimental results are good with certain literature data and theoretical values.

PMID:37582315 | DOI:10.1016/j.apradiso.2023.110949

Neuroimage Clin. 2023 Aug 9;39:103493. doi: 10.1016/j.nicl.2023.103493. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Changes in the brain of patients with Huntington’s disease (HD) begin years before clinical onset, so it remains critical to identify biomarkers to track these early changes. Metrics derived from tensor modeling of diffusion-weighted MRIs (DTI), that indicate the microscopic brain structure, can add important information to regional volumetric measurements. This study uses two large-scale longitudinal, multicenter datasets, PREDICT-HD and IMAGE-HD, to trace changes in DTI of HD participants with a broad range of CAP scores (a product of CAG repeat expansion and age), including those with pre-manifest disease (i.e., prior to clinical onset). Utilizing a fully automated data-driven approach to study the whole brain divided in regions of interest, we traced changes in DTI metrics (diffusivity and fractional anisotropy) versus CAP scores, using sigmoidal and linear regression models. We identified points of inflection in the sigmoidal regression using change-point analysis. The deep gray matter showed more evident and earlier changes in DTI metrics over CAP scores, compared to the deep white matter. In the deep white matter, these changes were more evident and occurred earlier in superior and posterior areas, compared to anterior and inferior areas. The curves of mean diffusivity vs. age of HD participants within a fixed CAP score were different from those of controls, indicating that the disease has an additional effect to age on the microscopic brain structure. These results show the regional and temporal vulnerability of the white matter and deep gray matter in HD, with potential implications for experimental therapeutics.

PMID:37582307 | DOI:10.1016/j.nicl.2023.103493

Med Care. 2023 Aug 10. doi: 10.1097/MLR.0000000000001906. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Recent literature has found rapid uptake of short-acting filgrastim biosimilars but slower uptake of other biosimilars, such as infliximab, in both Medicare and privately insured enrollees.

OBJECTIVES: To describe patient, provider, and health plan characteristics associated with a switch to biosimilar among existing infliximab patients.

RESEARCH DESIGN: We constructed a retrospective panel dataset of patients undergoing active infliximab treatments and the choice of infliximab drug for each infusion. We used mixed logit regression controlling for patient, provider, and health plan characteristics as well as time-fixed effects.

SUBJECTS: Medicare Advantage and privately insured enrollees with evidence of active infliximab treatments between 2016 and 2020 (n=357,430).

MEASURES: Our primary outcome of interest was to switch from infliximab originator to one of the infliximab biosimilars. Exposure variables of interest variables such as out-of-pocket, site of care, and in-network deductible.

RESULTS: Our study found nominally low switching among existing infliximab originator users (3.4%). We found that patients who previously received 1 infliximab originator infusion were 63.7% more likely to switch to biosimilar compared with patients who previously received administration of 20 infliximab originators. We found that biosimilar’s placement as health’s plan preferred drug was attributed to higher likelihood of biosimilar use (odds ratio: 1.666; P-value=0.001). We did not observe any statistically significant effect among out-of-pocket amount or deductible with respect to switch to infliximab biosimilar.

CONCLUSIONS: To encourage uptake and switch to biosimilar, policymakers should consider targeted policies that include leveraging health plan tools such as placement of biosimilar as preferred drug and aim to educate patients on the clinical equivalence between infliximab biosimilar and originator.

PMID:37582298 | DOI:10.1097/MLR.0000000000001906

J Craniofac Surg. 2023 Aug 15. doi: 10.1097/SCS.0000000000009584. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: This retrospective study aims to compare long-term stability between the mandibular setback surgery-early (MSE) approach, involving minimal orthodontics, and the mandibular setback conventional surgery (MCS) approach, involving sufficient orthodontics, in Class III patients with mandibular prognathism.

METHODS: Among 210 patients who underwent orthognathic surgery, a total of 40 subjects were enrolled based on standardized inclusion criteria: only mandibular surgery, <5 mm setback difference between right and left of the mandible, orthodontics with fixed appliances, and more than 2 years of follow-up after treatment. These patients were allocated to the MSE (n = 20) and MCS groups (n = 20) according to the duration of presurgical orthodontics. Changes in cephalometric measurements were compared between the MSE and MCS groups before surgery (T0), 1 month after surgery (T1), at the end of treatment (T2), and posttreatment retention (T3).

RESULTS: The MSE and MCS groups had a mean presurgical orthodontic duration of 2 and 9.5 months, respectively. From T1 to T2, the MSE group showed a significantly larger forward movement of the mandible than the MCS group (2.1 versus 0.7 mm; P < 0.001). In addition, from T2 to T3 (average 4.6 years), the MSE group presented anterior relapse of 0.6 mm in the mandible, but there were no statistically significant intergroup differences.

CONCLUSION: Although the MSE group showed greater postsurgical forward mandibular relapse than the MCS group, the two groups exhibited similar skeletal and dental stability during the posttreatment retention.

PMID:37582294 | DOI:10.1097/SCS.0000000000009584

J Ocul Pharmacol Ther. 2023 Aug 15. doi: 10.1089/jop.2023.0024. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Purpose: To investigate the efficacy and safety of scleral cross-linking (CXL) using Genipin in the treatment of juvenile guinea pigs with high myopia. Methods: Twenty-four 4-week-old tricolor guinea pigs with high myopia of diopter ≤ -6.0 DS in the right eye were randomly divided into two groups: Genipin CXL group and control group (n = 12 for each group). They received separately form-deprivation (FD) combined with sub-tenon injection, and the former was 0.5% Genipin solution, while the latter was 0.9% saline solution. Refractive error, axial length (AL), intraocular pressure (IOP), and structural and vasculature optic disc changes in optical coherence tomography (OCT) and OCT angiography (OCTA) were analyzed at baseline and at 3 weeks after injection. Results: Baseline parameters were similar between the two groups (P > 0.05). After 3 weeks of the intervention, the difference of AL between the two groups was statistically significant (t = -11.28, P < 0.001). Besides, IOP increased in both groups, and the changes of IOP between the two groups were statistically significant (t = 2.80, P = 0.01). The average cup-disc ratio (C/D) (t = 3.11, P = 0.006) and the vertical C/D (t = 2.96, P = 0.009) of OCT-related optic disc parameters in the Genipin CXL group increased, and the differences were statistically significant compared with the control group. Conclusion: The CXL method of sub-tenon injection of Genipin solution could effectively inhibit the progression of myopia in juvenile guinea pigs with highly myopic eyes combined with FD. The slightly elevated IOP and increased C/D of some fundus optic discs should be further assessed.

PMID:37582278 | DOI:10.1089/jop.2023.0024

J Craniofac Surg. 2023 Aug 15. doi: 10.1097/SCS.0000000000009582. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Facial trauma comprises a significant portion of injuries that occur each year in the United States, with injuries ranging from lacerations to complex facial fractures. This study aims to provide a broad epidemiologic overview of facial trauma in the United States to direct preventative safety measures.

METHODS: A cross-sectional study was conducted utilizing the National Electronic Injury Surveillance System database to identify the weighted national incidence of facial injuries from 2017 to 2021. Descriptive and inferential statistical analysis was used to compare the demographics of patients, the settings where the injury occurred, and the products resulting in the injury.

RESULTS: A total of 8,465,538 out of 64,312,132 weighted encounters involved facial injuries. Less than 10 years was the highest-represented age group (36.8%). The most frequent disposition was treated and released (91.1%), with increasing age associated with higher rates of hospitalization (odds ratio: 1.04, P < 0.001). Cases predominantly occurred at home (49.0%), and the most common type of injury was laceration (36.5%). At-home injuries increased with age, comprising 39.2% of facial injuries for 21 to 40 years, 52.0% for 41 to 64 years, and 58.0% for older than 65 years. Building structures (21.4%) were the most prevalent source of injury, composed predominantly of floors (58.3%) and ceilings and walls (10.4%).

CONCLUSIONS: There is an understated burden of at-home facial injuries across all age groups, beyond the pediatric and geriatric population. Fall prevention and home environmental hazards education could benefit all ages, reducing the incidence of facial trauma.

PMID:37582255 | DOI:10.1097/SCS.0000000000009582

J Proteome Res. 2023 Aug 15. doi: 10.1021/acs.jproteome.3c00297. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Proteins often undergo structural perturbations upon binding to other proteins or ligands or when they are subjected to environmental changes. Hydrogen-deuterium exchange mass spectrometry (HDX-MS) can be used to explore conformational changes in proteins by examining differences in the rate of deuterium incorporation in different contexts. To determine deuterium incorporation rates, HDX-MS measurements are typically made over a time course. Recently introduced methods show that incorporating the temporal dimension into the statistical analysis improves power and interpretation. However, these approaches have technical assumptions that hinder their flexibility. Here, we propose a more flexible methodology by reframing these methods in a Bayesian framework. Our proposed framework has improved algorithmic stability, allows us to perform uncertainty quantification, and can calculate statistical quantities that are inaccessible to other approaches. We demonstrate the general applicability of the method by showing it can perform rigorous model selection on a spike-in HDX-MS experiment, improved interpretation in an epitope mapping experiment, and increased sensitivity in a small molecule case-study. Bayesian analysis of an HDX experiment with an antibody dimer bound to an E3 ubiquitin ligase identifies at least two interaction interfaces where previous methods obtained confounding results due to the complexities of conformational changes on binding. Our findings are consistent with the cocrystal structure of these proteins, demonstrating a bayesian approach can identify important binding epitopes from HDX data. We also generate HDX-MS data of the bromodomain-containing protein BRD4 in complex with GSK1210151A to demonstrate the increased sensitivity of adopting a Bayesian approach.

PMID:37582225 | DOI:10.1021/acs.jproteome.3c00297

Medicina (B Aires). 2023;83(4):603-611.

ABSTRACT

Recommendations and guidelines propose to combine antihypertensive drugs to improve BP control, highlighting the advantages of single-pill combinations (SPCs) to improve treatment adherence. It is speculated that, compared with free-dose combinations (Free-DCs), SPC should achieve a reduction in cardiovascular (CV) events and mortality through better adherence and BP control. However, there is little information in this regard. For this reason, the objective of this review was to provide a descriptive analysis the differences in CV outcomes between SPCs antihypertensive drugs treatments vs. Free-DCs treatments. Ten studies were found and none had a randomized controlled design. Medication adherence was higher with SPCs, but outcomes were not adjusted for the adherence / persistence. When groups were compared according to similar adherence degrees, the statistical significance in favor of SPCs disappeared. Thus, randomized controlled studies are necessary to evaluate if SPCs have any effect beyond the improvement of the adherence to hypertensive treatment.

PMID:37582134

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2023 Aug 22;120(34):e2222075120. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2222075120. Epub 2023 Aug 15.

ABSTRACT

We use natality microdata covering the universe of US. births for 2015 to 2021 and California births from 2015 through February 2023 to examine childbearing responses to the COVID-19 pandemic. We find that 60% of the 2020 decline in US fertility rates was driven by sharp reductions in births to foreign-born mothers although births to this group comprised only 22% of all US births in 2019. This decline started in January 2020. In contrast, the COVID-19 recession resulted in an overall “baby bump” among US-born mothers, which marked the first reversal in declining fertility rates since the Great Recession. Births to US-born mothers fell by 31,000 in 2020 relative to a prepandemic trend but increased by 71,000 in 2021. The data for California suggest that US births remained elevated through February 2023. The baby bump was most pronounced for first births and women under age 25, suggesting that the pandemic led some women to start families earlier. Above age 25, the baby bump was most pronounced for women aged 30 to 34 and women with a college education. The 2021 to 2022 baby bump is especially remarkable given the large declines in fertility rates that would have been projected by standard statistical models.

PMID:37582121 | DOI:10.1073/pnas.2222075120

PLoS One. 2023 Aug 15;18(8):e0290160. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0290160. eCollection 2023.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: During the COVID-19 pandemic, excess mortality has generally been estimated comparing overall mortality in a given year with either past mortality levels or past mortality trends, with different results. Our objective was to illustrate and compare the two approaches using mortality data for Switzerland in 2022, the third year of the COVID-19 pandemic.

METHODS: Using data from the Swiss Federal Statistical Office, standardized mortality rates and life expectancies in 2022 were compared with those of the last pre-pandemic year 2019 (first approach), as well as with those that would be expected if the pre-pandemic downward trend in mortality had continued during the pandemic (second approach). The pre-pandemic trend was estimated via a Poisson log-linear model on age-specific mortality over the period 2010-19.

RESULTS: Using the first approach, we estimated in Switzerland in 2022 an excess mortality of 2.6% (95%CI: 1.0%-4.1%) for men and 2.5% (95%CI: 1.0%-4.0%) for women, while the excess mortality rose to 8.4% (95%CI: 6.9%-9.9%) for men and 6.0% (95%CI: 4.6%-7.5%) for women using the second approach. Age classes over 80 were the main responsible for the excess mortality in 2022 for both sexes using the first approach, although a significant excess mortality was also found in most age classes above 30 using the second approach. Life expectancy in 2022 has been reduced by 2.7 months for men and 2.4 months for women according to the first approach, whereas it was reduced by respectively 8.8 and 6.0 months according to the second approach.

CONCLUSIONS: The excess mortality and loss of life expectancy in Switzerland in 2022 are around three times greater if the pre-pandemic trend is taken into account than if we simply compare 2022 with 2019. These two different approaches, one being more speculative and the other more factual, can also be applied simultaneously and provide complementary results. In Switzerland, such a dual-approach strategy has shown that the pre-pandemic downward trend in mortality is currently halted, while pre-pandemic mortality levels have largely been recovered by 2022.

PMID:37582109 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0290160