Tag: statistics

JAMA Netw Open. 2024 Oct 1;7(10):e2438563. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2024.38563.

ABSTRACT

IMPORTANCE: Marginalized populations have been disproportionately affected by the COVID-19 pandemic. Critically ill patients belonging to racial and ethnic minority populations treated in hospitals operating under crisis or near-crisis conditions may have experienced worse outcomes than White individuals.

OBJECTIVE: To examine whether hospital strain was associated with worse outcomes for older patients hospitalized with sepsis and whether these increases in poor outcomes were greater for members of racial and ethnic minority groups compared with White individuals.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: In this cross-sectional study, multivariable regression analysis was conducted to assess differential changes in all-cause 30-day mortality and major morbidity among older racial and ethnic minoritized individuals hospitalized with sepsis compared with White individuals and changes in hospital strain using Medicare claims data. Data were obtained on patients hospitalized between January 1, 2016, and December 31, 2021, and analyzed between December 16, 2023, and July 11, 2024.

EXPOSURE: Time-varying weekly hospital percentage of inpatients with COVID-19.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Composite of all-cause 30-day mortality and major morbidity.

RESULTS: Among the 5 899 869 hospitalizations for sepsis (51.5% women; mean [SD] age, 78.2 [8.8] years), there were 177 864 (3.0%) Asian, 664 648 (11.3%) Black, 522 964 (8.9%) Hispanic, and 4 534 393 (76.9%) White individuals. During weeks when the hospital COVID-19 burden was greater than 40%, the risk of death or major morbidity increased nearly 2-fold (adjusted odds ratio [AOR], 1.90; 95% CI, 1.80-2.00; P < .001) for White individuals compared with before the pandemic. Asian, Black, and Hispanic individuals experienced 44% (AOR, 1.44; 95% CI, 1.28-1.61; P < .001), 21% (AOR, 1.21; 95% CI, 1.11-1.33; P < .001), and 45% (AOR, 1.45; 95% CI, 1.32-1.59; P < .001) higher risk of death or morbidity, respectively, compared with White individuals when the hospital weekly COVID-19 burden was greater than 40%.

CONCLUSION AND RELEVANCE: In this cross-sectional study, older adults hospitalized with sepsis were more likely to die or experience major morbidity as the hospital COVID-19 burden increased. These increases in adverse outcomes were greater in magnitude among members of minority populations than for White individuals.

PMID:39405062 | DOI:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2024.38563

JAMA Netw Open. 2024 Oct 1;7(10):e2439509. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2024.39509.

ABSTRACT

IMPORTANCE: There is growing interest in developing coordinated regional systems for nontraumatic surgical emergencies; however, our understanding of existing emergency general surgery (EGS) care communities is limited.

OBJECTIVE: To apply network analysis methods to delineate EGS care regions and compare the performance of this method with the Dartmouth Health Referral Regions (HRRs).

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This cross-sectional study was conducted using the 2019 California and New York state emergency department and inpatient databases. Eligible participants included all adult patients with a nonelective admission for common EGS conditions. Interhospital transfers (IHTs) were identified by transfer indicators or temporally adjacent hospitalizations at 2 different facilities. Data analysis was conducted from January to May 2024.

EXPOSURE: Admission for primary EGS diagnosis.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Regional EGS networks (RENs) were delineated by modularity optimization (MO), a community detection method, and compared with the plurality-based Dartmouth HRRs. Geographic boundaries were compared through visualization of patient flows and associated health care regions. Spatial accuracy of the 2 methods was compared using 6 common network analysis measures: localization index (LI), market share index (MSI), net patient flow, connectivity, compactness, and modularity.

RESULTS: A total of 1 244 868 participants (median [IQR] age, 55 [37-70 years]; 776 725 male [62.40%]) were admitted with a primary EGS diagnosis. In New York, there were 405 493 EGS encounters with 3212 IHTs (0.79%), and 9 RENs were detected using MO compared with 10 Dartmouth HRRs. In California, there were 839 375 encounters with 10 037 IHTs (1.20%), and 14 RENs were detected compared with 24 HRRs. The greatest discrepancy between REN and HRR boundaries was in rural regions where one REN often encompassed multiple HRRs. The MO method was significantly better than HRRs in identifying care networks that accurately captured patients living within the geographic region as indicated by the LI and MSI for New York (mean [SD] LI, 0.86 [1.00] for REN vs 0.74 [1.00] for HRR; mean [SD] MSI, 0.16 [0.13] for REN vs 0.32 [0.21] for HRR) and California (mean [SD] LI, 0.83 [1.00] for REN vs 0.74 [1.00] for HRR; mean [SD] MSI, 0.19 [0.14] for REN vs 0.39 [0.43] for HRR). Nearly 27% of New York hospitals (37 of 139 hospitals [26.62%]) and 15% of California hospitals (48 of 336 hospitals [14.29%]) were reclassified into a different community with the MO method.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Development of optimal health delivery systems for EGS patients will require knowledge of care patterns specific to this population. The findings of this cross-sectional study suggest that network science methods, such as MO, offer opportunities to identify empirical EGS care regions that outperform HRRs and can be applied in the development of coordinated regional systems of care.

PMID:39405059 | DOI:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2024.39509

JAMA Netw Open. 2024 Oct 1;7(10):e2439571. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2024.39571.

ABSTRACT

IMPORTANCE: Cerebral small vessel disease (SVD) is associated with various cerebrovascular outcomes, but data on sex differences in SVD are scarce.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate whether the frequency, severity, and distribution of cerebral microbleeds (CMB), other SVD markers on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), and outcomes differ by sex.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This cohort study used pooled individual patient data from the Microbleeds International Collaborative Network, including patients from 38 prospective cohort studies in 18 countries between 2000 and 2018, with clinical follow-up of at least 3 months (up to 5 years). Participants included patients with acute ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack with available brain MRI. Data were analyzed from April to December 2023.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Outcomes of interest were presence of CMB, lacunes, and severe white matter hyperintensities determined on MRI. Additionally, mortality, recurrent ischemic stroke, and intracranial hemorrhage during follow-up were assessed. Multivariable random-effects logistic regression models, Cox regression, and competing risk regression models were used to investigate sex differences in individual SVD markers, risk of recurrent cerebrovascular events, and death.

RESULTS: A total of 20 314 patients (mean [SD] age, 70.1 [12.7] years; 11 721 [57.7%] male) were included, of whom 5649 (27.8%) had CMB. CMB were more frequent in male patients, and this was consistent throughout different age groups, locations, and in multivariable models (female vs male adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 0.86; 95% CI, 0.80-0.92; P < .001). Female patients had fewer lacunes (aOR, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.74-0.90; P < .001) but a higher prevalence of severe white matter hyperintensities (aOR, 1.10; 95% CI, 1.01-1.20; P = .04) compared with male patients. A total of 2419 patients (11.9%) died during a median (IQR) follow-up of 1.4 (0.7-2.5) years. CMB presence was associated with a higher risk of mortality in female patients (hazard ratio, 1.15; 95% CI, 1.02-1.31), but not male patients (hazard ratio, 0.95; 95% CI, 0.84-1.07) (P for interaction = .01). A total of 1113 patients (5.5%) had recurrent ischemic stroke, and 189 patients (0.9%) had recurrent intracranial hemorrhage, with no sex differences.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: This cohort study using pooled individual patient data found varying frequencies of individual SVD markers between female and male patients, indicating potential pathophysiological differences in manifestation and severity of SVD. Further research addressing differences in pathomechanisms and outcomes of SVD between female and male patients is required.

PMID:39405058 | DOI:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2024.39571

Eur Heart J. 2024 Oct 15:ehae647. doi: 10.1093/eurheartj/ehae647. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

The win ratio method for analysing a composite clinical hierarchy of outcomes is growing in popularity especially in cardiovascular trials. This article gives a perspective on its use so far and the issues derived from that experience. Specifically, it focuses on the limitations of a conventional composite outcome; how does the win ratio work, what does it mean, and how to display its findings; guidance on choosing an appropriate clinical hierarchy of outcomes including clinical events, quantitative outcomes, and other options; the additional value of the win difference as a measure of absolute benefit: extension to stratified win ratio, subgroup analysis, matched win ratio, and covariate adjustment; determining trial size for a win ratio outcome; specific insights such as adaptive designs, use of repeat events, and use of margins and time averages for quantitative outcomes; a critique of potential misuses; availability of statistical software; and a statistical appendix on the methodological details. Throughout, each principle is illustrated by examples from specific cardiology trials. The article concludes with a set of recommendations for future use of the win ratio.

PMID:39405050 | DOI:10.1093/eurheartj/ehae647

Food Funct. 2024 Oct 15. doi: 10.1039/d4fo02957g. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Diabetes ranks among the top 10 causes of death globally, with over 90% of individuals diagnosed with diabetes having type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). It is acknowledged that a high-fat diet (HFD) poses a serious risk for T2DM. The imbalance of intestinal flora, mediated by HFD, can potentially exacerbate the onset and progression of T2DM. However, the impact of HFD on pathological indicators and the intestinal microbiome in the development of T2DM has not been systematically investigated. Therefore, a HFD mouse model and a T2DM mouse model were established, respectively, in this study. The role of HFD as a driving factor in the development of T2DM was assessed using various measures, including basic pathological indicators of T2DM, lipid metabolism, liver oxidative stress, intestinal permeability, levels of inflammatory factors, gut microbiota, and short-chain fatty acids (SCFAs). The findings indicated that HFD could influence the aforementioned measures to align with T2DM changes, but the contribution of HFD varied across different pathological metrics of T2DM. The impact of HFD on low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, glutathione peroxidase, malondialdehyde, and tumor necrosis factor-α did not show a statistically significant difference from those observed in T2DM during its development. In addition, regarding gut microbes, HFD primarily influenced the alterations in bacteria capable of synthesizing SCFAs. The notable decrease in SCFA content in both serum and cecal matter further underscored the effect of HFD on SCFA-synthesising bacteria in mice. Hence, this research provided a systematic assessment of HFD’s propelling role in T2DM’s progression. It was inferred that gut microbes, particularly those capable of synthesizing SCFAs, could serve as potential targets for the future prevention and treatment of T2DM instigated by HFD.

PMID:39405046 | DOI:10.1039/d4fo02957g

Eur J Contracept Reprod Health Care. 2024 Oct 15:1-7. doi: 10.1080/13625187.2024.2410838. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: To evaluate the efficacy and acceptability of virtual reality (VR) as a distraction technique in the management of acute pain and anxiety during outpatient uterine aspiration using a manual vacuum aspirator (MVA).

MATERIALS AND METHODS: This mixed methods study included a prospective multi-centre randomised controlled trial and structured individual interviews. Of the 72 patients approached, 50 consenting, eligible participants were randomised to VR intervention (immersive video content ‘The Forest of Serenity’) or standard care during MVA for the management of miscarriage or incomplete abortion from July 2021-July 2022 across two university hospitals in London, UK. Expected and actual pain scores, and anxiety before and after the procedure were measured as numeric rating scores (0-10). Structured interviews were undertaken after the procedure in women randomised to VR. Statistical analysis of pain and anxiety scores were by intention-to-treat including all randomised participants, using Stata-12 software. Qualitative analysis was achieved by thematic analysis of transcribed interviews.

RESULTS: There was no significant difference in pain or anxiety scores reported by participants randomised to VR compared with standard care. Mean worst pain scores were 5.98 and 6.88 in the standard care and VR groups respectively (p-value 0.13), with corresponding anxiety scores at the end of the procedure 3.94 and 3.3 (p-value 0.57). Qualitative analysis from interviews was highly favourable from women randomised to VR with all participants reporting a positive experience. 90% (18/20) of participants reported that VR reduced their anxiety and 71% (15/21) stated that it helped to reduce or distract from their pain.

CONCLUSION: While virtual reality did not decrease pain or anxiety scores during MVA, it is a feasible and acceptable option that may improve patient experience.

SHORT CONDENSATION: Randomisation to VR during MVA did not reduce pain or anxiety scores. However, at structured interview most participants reported that VR reduced their anxiety and reduced or distracted them from their pain. VR is a feasible and acceptable option that may improve patient experience during MVA.

PMID:39405045 | DOI:10.1080/13625187.2024.2410838

Phys Eng Sci Med. 2024 Oct 15. doi: 10.1007/s13246-024-01469-y. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

The treatment, planning, simulation, and setup of radiotherapy patients contain many processes subject to errors involving both staff and equipment. Cone-beam-CT (CBCT) provides a final check of patient positioning and corrections based on this can be made prior to treatment delivery. Statistical Process Control (SPC) techniques are used in various industries for quality management and error mitigation. The utility of SPC techniques to monitor process and equipment changes in our Head and Neck patient treatments was assessed by application to CBCT results from a quality-focused longitudinal study. Individuals and moving range (XmR) as well as exponentially-weighted moving average (EWMA) techniques were explored. The SPC techniques were sensitive to process changes and trends over the 12 years of data collected. A reduction in the random component of patient setup errors needing correction was observed. Systematic components of error remained more stable. An uptick in both datasets was observed correlating with the COVID-19 pandemic. Process control limits for use in prospective process monitoring were established. Challenges that arose from using SPC techniques in a retrospective study are outlined.

PMID:39405028 | DOI:10.1007/s13246-024-01469-y

Sports Med. 2024 Oct 15. doi: 10.1007/s40279-024-02123-z. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The optimal prescription and precise recommendations of resistance training volume for older adults is unclear in the current literature. In addition, the interactions between resistance training volume and program duration as well as physical health status remain to be determined when assessing physical function, muscle size and hypertrophy and muscle strength adaptations in older adults.

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to determine which resistance training volume is the most effective in improving physical function, lean body mass, lower-limb muscle hypertrophy and strength in older adults. Additionally, we examined whether effects were moderated by intervention duration (i.e. short term, < 20 weeks; medium-to-long term, ≥ 20 weeks) and physical health status (i.e. physically healthy, physically impaired, mixed physically healthy and physically impaired; PROSPERO identifier: CRD42023413209).

METHODS: CINAHL, Embase, LILACS, PubMed, Scielo, SPORTDiscus and Web of Science databases were searched up to April 2023. Eligible randomised trials examined the effects of supervised resistance training in older adults (i.e. ≥ 60 years). Resistance training programs were categorised as low (LVRT), moderate (MVRT) and high volume (HVRT) on the basis of terciles of prescribed weekly resistance training volume (i.e. product of frequency, number of exercises and number of sets) for full- and lower-body training. The primary outcomes for this review were physical function measured by fast walking speed, timed up and go and 6-min walking tests; lean body mass and lower-body muscle hypertrophy; and lower-body muscle strength measured by knee extension and leg press one-repetition maximum (1-RM), isometric muscle strength and isokinetic torque. A random-effects network meta-analysis was undertaken to examine the effects of different resistance training volumes on the outcomes of interest.

RESULTS: We included a total of 161 articles describing 151 trials (n = 6306). LVRT was the most effective for improving timed up and go [- 1.20 standardised mean difference (SMD), 95% confidence interval (95% CI): – 1.57 to – 0.82], 6-min walk test (1.03 SMD, 95% CI: 0.33-1.73), lean body mass (0.25 SMD, 95% CI: 0.10-0.40) and muscle hypertrophy (0.40 SMD, 95% CI: 0.25-0.54). Both MVRT and HVRT were the most effective for improving lower-limb strength, while only HVRT was effective in increasing fast walking speed (0.40 SMD, 95% CI: – 0.57 to 0.14). Regarding the moderators, our results were independent of program duration and mainly observed for healthy older adults, while evidence was limited for those who were physically impaired.

CONCLUSIONS: A low resistance training volume can substantially improve healthy older adults’ physical function and benefits lean mass and muscle size independently of program duration, while a higher volume seems to be necessary for achieving greater improvements in muscle strength. A low volume of resistance training should be recommended in future exercise guidelines, particularly for physically healthy older adults targeting healthy ageing.

PMID:39405023 | DOI:10.1007/s40279-024-02123-z

Trop Anim Health Prod. 2024 Oct 15;56(8):345. doi: 10.1007/s11250-024-04189-3.

ABSTRACT

Fodder scarcity and low quality affect the productivity of dairy cattle in Kenya yet only few smallholder dairy farmers show positive deviance in fodder conservation. Information on the strategies of such positive deviant (PD) farmers is scanty. The objective of this study was to determine strategies that distinguish PDs from peers (non-PDs) in fodder conservation among smallholder dairy farmers in highlands and midlands of Kenya. A cross-sectional survey was conducted among farms producing and conserving fodder in Tharaka Nithi County. Multistage sampling procedures was used; purposive sampling of the Sub-counties and locations, random selection of villages and proportional selection of 246 farms through snowball chain referral. Data were collected on demographic, socio-economic, farm characteristics and fodder conservation. Farms were categorized as PDs (n = 24) or non-PDs (n = 97). The PDs conserved fodder adequate to last dry season (about 3 months) and had milk yield 15 kg/cow/day and above, while non-PDs do not qualify for both criteria. Chi-square and T-test were used to analyze categorical and continuous variables respectively. Logit regression was used to examine independent variables that influence probability of PDs. Farmers with high school and tertiary education who accessed extension services were PDs while non-PDs had non-formal and primary education and access extension less. Farms conserving hay and silage dominated PDs. Land in hectare (ha) and herd sizes in Tropical Livestock Unit (TLU) distinguished PDs (1.7 ha and 9.0 TLU) from non-PDs (0.7 ha and 3.3 TLU). The strategies that distinguished PDs from non-PDs were allocating land to fodder production, high milk yield kg/cow/day, large herd size and access to extension services. Increasing access to extension and resources (land) raised chances of PDs in fodder conservation. Knowledge of PDs strategies is important for fodder conservation, improve productivity and inform direction of future research.

PMID:39405002 | DOI:10.1007/s11250-024-04189-3

J Community Health. 2024 Oct 15. doi: 10.1007/s10900-024-01411-z. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

American Indians and Alaska Natives (AI/AN) have consistently exhibited suicide rates that surpass all other racial and ethnic groups in the United States. However, not much has been published regarding the epidemiology of AI/AN youth suicides. The objectives of this study on AI/AN adolescents were to assess the prevalence of suicidal thoughts and behaviors by age and gender, assess the number of years of life lost to suicide before the age of 80, and assess the most common methods used to commit suicide by AI/AN adolescents. Data utilized for this study were from the national Youth Risk Behavior Surveys and the Web-Based Injury Statistics Query and Reporting System. We conducted a cross-sectional descriptive analysis of the suicide-related data from years 2015, 2017, 2019, and 2021. We found AI/AN adolescents averaged one in four contemplated suicides, one in five planned suicides, and one in six attempted suicides. A total of 257 adolescents committed suicide during the study period where the majority (62.5%) were observed in males and suicides were more common in older adolescents. AI/AN adolescents had the highest crude suicide death rate of any racial or ethnic group and the most common methods used to commit suicide were suffocation (57.5%) and firearms (35.5%). AI/ AN adolescents lost almost 16,000 years of potential life during the four years of the study and the majority were lost by males. Professionals and policymakers desiring to reduce suicidal thoughts and behaviors among AI/AN adolescents need to focus more of their efforts on providing youths with resilience factors to establish sufficient ego strength in them to deal with all types of stressors. Concurrently, federal, state, and tribal leaders need to work together to improve the social and economic circumstances faced by many AI/AN families and children.

PMID:39404991 | DOI:10.1007/s10900-024-01411-z