Tag: statistics

BMJ Open. 2024 Jun 3;14(6):e082025. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2023-082025.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study is to estimate the indirect economic burden of 22 cancer types in Jordan using both the human capital approach (HCA) and the value of a statistical life year (VSLY) approach. Additionally, this study aims to forecast the burden of these cancers for the next 5 years while employing time series analysis.

DESIGN: Retrospective observational study with a time series analysis.

PARTICIPANTS: Disability adjusted life years records from the IHME Global Burden Disease estimates 2019 data.

PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURE: Indirect economic burden of cancer in Jordan.

RESULTS: The mean total economic burden for all cancers is estimated to be $1.82 billion using HCA and $3.13 billion using VSLY approach. The cancers contributing most to the total burden are ‘tracheal, bronchus and lung cancer’ ($359.5 million HCA, $618.3 million VSLY), followed by ‘colon and rectum cancer’ ($300.6 million HCA, $517.1 million VSLY) and ‘breast cancer’ ($292.4 million HCA, $502.9 million VSLY). The indirect economic burden ranged from 1.4% to 2.1% of the gross domestic product (GDP) using the HCA, and from 2.3% to 3.6% of the GDP using the VSLY approach. The indirect economic burden is expected to reach 2.3 and 3.5 billion Intl$ by the year 2025 using the HCA and VSLY approach, respectively.

CONCLUSION: The indirect economic burden of cancer in Jordan amounted to 1.4%-3.6% of total GDP, with tracheal, bronchus and lung cancer; colon and rectum cancer; and breast cancer contributing to over 50% of the total burden. This will help set national cancer spending priorities following Jordan’s economic modernisation vision with regard to maximising health economic outcomes.

PMID:38830736 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2023-082025

BMJ Open. 2024 Jun 3;14(6):e078198. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2023-078198.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: This study investigated the correlation between uncertainty stress (US) and depression among healthcare professionals (HCPs) in China.

DESIGN, SETTINGS AND PARTICIPANTS: A cross-sectional online survey was conducted by recruiting HCPs from three provinces in China (central, eastern and western) through purposive sampling between 29 September 2022 and 18 January 2023. US was measured using the Life Stress Questionnaire and depression was measured using the Patient Health Questionnaire-9. In total, 2976 questionnaires were deemed valid.

PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME: This study examined the prevalence of US and depression among HCPs in China; the correlating sociodemographic traits; and the correlation between US and depression.

RESULTS: The prevalence of US and depression among HCPs in China was 26.54% (790 out of 2976) and 71.63% (2132 out of 2976). Binary logistic analysis revealed that individuals with graduate degrees (OR: 1.83; 95% CI 1.07 to 3.11; p<0.05), central China (OR: 1.75; 95% CI 1.36 to 2.24; p<0.01), primary medical institutes (OR: 1.33; 95% CI 1.03 to 1.72; p<0.05), secondary medical institutes (OR: 1.30; 95% CI 1.01 to 1.68; p<0.05), an annual income of less than ¥50 000 (OR: 1.85; 95% CI 1.26 to 2.73; p<0.01) and an income range of ¥50 000-¥99 999 (OR: 1.49; 95% CI 1.10 to 2.03; p<0.05) were associated with a higher likelihood of US. The adjusted logistic regression model demonstrated that HCPs with higher US had a greater likelihood of depression (adjusted OR: 5.02; 95% CI 3.88 to 6.50; p<0.01). The increase in the US score was paralleled by an increased depression score (beta (B): 1.32; 95% CI 1.25 to 1.39; p<0.01).

CONCLUSION: These findings reveal a significant correlation between US and depression among HCPs and suggest that improving the management of US may help reduce the prevalence of depression among HCPs.

PMID:38830732 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2023-078198

BMJ Open Qual. 2024 Jun 3;13(2):e002654. doi: 10.1136/bmjoq-2023-002654.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Manual chart review using validated assessment tools is a standardised methodology for detecting diagnostic errors. However, this requires considerable human resources and time. ChatGPT, a recently developed artificial intelligence chatbot based on a large language model, can effectively classify text based on suitable prompts. Therefore, ChatGPT can assist manual chart reviews in detecting diagnostic errors.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to clarify whether ChatGPT could correctly detect diagnostic errors and possible factors contributing to them based on case presentations.

METHODS: We analysed 545 published case reports that included diagnostic errors. We imputed the texts of case presentations and the final diagnoses with some original prompts into ChatGPT (GPT-4) to generate responses, including the judgement of diagnostic errors and contributing factors of diagnostic errors. Factors contributing to diagnostic errors were coded according to the following three taxonomies: Diagnosis Error Evaluation and Research (DEER), Reliable Diagnosis Challenges (RDC) and Generic Diagnostic Pitfalls (GDP). The responses on the contributing factors from ChatGPT were compared with those from physicians.

RESULTS: ChatGPT correctly detected diagnostic errors in 519/545 cases (95%) and coded statistically larger numbers of factors contributing to diagnostic errors per case than physicians: DEER (median 5 vs 1, p<0.001), RDC (median 4 vs 2, p<0.001) and GDP (median 4 vs 1, p<0.001). The most important contributing factors of diagnostic errors coded by ChatGPT were ‘failure/delay in considering the diagnosis’ (315, 57.8%) in DEER, ‘atypical presentation’ (365, 67.0%) in RDC, and ‘atypical presentation’ (264, 48.4%) in GDP.

CONCLUSION: ChatGPT accurately detects diagnostic errors from case presentations. ChatGPT may be more sensitive than manual reviewing in detecting factors contributing to diagnostic errors, especially for ‘atypical presentation’.

PMID:38830730 | DOI:10.1136/bmjoq-2023-002654

BMJ Open Qual. 2024 Jun 3;13(2):e002618. doi: 10.1136/bmjoq-2023-002618.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The demand for healthcare services during the COVID-19 pandemic was excessive for less-resourced settings, with intensive care units (ICUs) taking the heaviest toll.

OBJECTIVE: The aim was to achieve adequate personal protective equipment (PPE) use in 90% of patient encounters, to reach 90% compliance with objectives of patient flow (OPF) and to provide emotional support tools to 90% of healthcare workers (HCWs).

METHODS: We conducted a quasi-experimental study with an interrupted time-series design in 14 ICUs in Argentina. We randomly selected adult critically ill patients admitted from July 2020 to July 2021 and active HCWs in the same period. We implemented a quality improvement collaborative (QIC) with a baseline phase (BP) and an intervention phase (IP). The QIC included learning sessions, periods of action and improvement cycles (plan-do-study-act) virtually coached by experts via platform web-based activities. The main study outcomes encompassed the following elements: proper utilisation of PPE, compliance with nine specific OPF using daily goal sheets through direct observations and utilisation of a web-based tool for tracking emotional well-being among HCWs.

RESULTS: We collected 7341 observations of PPE use (977 in BP and 6364 in IP) with an improvement in adequate use from 58.4% to 71.9% (RR 1.2, 95% CI 1.17 to 1.29, p<0.001). We observed 7428 patient encounters to evaluate compliance with 9 OPF (879 in BP and 6549 in IP) with an improvement in compliance from 53.9% to 67% (RR 1.24, 95% CI 1.17 to 1.32, p<0.001). The results showed that HCWs did not use the support tool for self-mental health evaluation as much as expected.

CONCLUSION: A QIC was effective in improving healthcare processes and adequate PPE use, even in the context of a pandemic, indicating the possibility of expanding QIC networks nationwide to improve overall healthcare delivery. The limited reception of emotional support tools requires further analyses.

PMID:38830729 | DOI:10.1136/bmjoq-2023-002618

BMJ Paediatr Open. 2024 Jun 3;8(1):e002651. doi: 10.1136/bmjpo-2024-002651.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Partial or complete thymectomy is routinely performed in paediatric open-heart surgeries when treating congenital heart defects. Whether or not thymectomised children require systematic immunological monitoring later in life is unknown. The objective of this study was to investigate the effects of preoperatively and postoperatively used antibiotics, hospitalisation and surgical complications on self-reported immunological vulnerability in paediatric patients with early thymectomy to better recognise the patients who could benefit from immunological follow-up in the future.

METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study, including 98 children and adolescents aged 1-15 years, who had undergone an open-heart surgery and thymectomy in infancy and who had previously answered a survey regarding different immune-mediated symptoms and diagnoses. We performed a comprehensive chart review of preoperative and postoperative factors from 1 year preceding and 1 year following the open-heart surgery and compared the participants who had self-reported symptoms of immunological vulnerability to those who had not.

RESULTS: The median age at primary open-heart surgery and thymectomy was 19.5 days in the overall study population (60% men, n=56) and thymectomies mainly partial (80%, n=78). Broad-spectrum antibiotics were more frequently used preoperatively in participants with self-reported immunological vulnerability (OR=3.05; 95% CI 1.01 to 9.23). This group also had greater overall use of antibiotics postoperatively (OR=3.21; 95% CI 1.33 to 7.76). These findings were more pronounced in the subgroup of neonatally operated children. There was no statistically significant difference in the duration of intensive care unit stay, hospitalisation time, prevalence of severe infections, surgical complications or glucocorticoid use between the main study groups.

CONCLUSION: Antimicrobial agents were more frequently used both preoperatively and postoperatively in thymectomised children with self-reported immunological vulnerability after thymectomy. Substantial use of antimicrobial agents early in life should be considered a potential risk factor for increased immunological vulnerability when evaluating the significance of immune-mediated symptom occurrence in thymectomised paediatric patients.

PMID:38830724 | DOI:10.1136/bmjpo-2024-002651

J Fish Biol. 2024 Jun 3. doi: 10.1111/jfb.15823. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Some cichlid fishes release urine-containing chemical cues that lower aggression in their opponents. Bioassays to identify the aggression-modulating pheromone include assessing the effect of urine fractions on the behavior towards a mirror image or in interactions with another male. However, many of these methods can be time-consuming and require many fish. The objective of the present study was to assess the behavior of male Mozambique tilapia (Oreochromis mossambicus) towards male urine using two methods with the intent of simplifying the bioassays: aggression towards a mirror image (mirror assay) and real opponents in which the urogenital papilla was tied using surgical silk to prevent urination. The results confirm the aggression-reducing effect of dominant male urine in both experimental approaches. Ten minutes of biting or 15 min of tail-beating behaviors in the mirror assay, or 5 min of opercular expansion or 15 min of lateral display in interactions with real opponents were necessary to detect a statistically significant reduction in aggressive behavior towards dominant male urine. We also found that males with subordinate status had lower latency to initiate aggressive behaviors towards the mirror than dominants in the same condition, even though fish had been isolated for 1 week. However, no such differences in latency were found in the real opponent assay. We conclude that 5 min of opercular expansion behavior in real opponent fights or 10 min of biting behavior in the mirror assay are the shortest times necessary to test aggressive behavior in urine fractions in bioassay-guided identification of pheromones.

PMID:38830691 | DOI:10.1111/jfb.15823

BMJ Open Gastroenterol. 2024 Jun 2;11(1):e001395. doi: 10.1136/bmjgast-2024-001395.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Patients with coeliac disease (CD) need to follow a strict gluten-free diet to manage symptoms and prevent complications. Restrictions imposed by the diet can be challenging and affect quality of life (QoL). We explored sources of variation in QoL among patients with CD.

DESIGN: We conducted an online survey of coeliac patients in the UK, including a CD-specific QoL tool (CD-QOL V.1.0), questions on diet adherence and an optional comment box at the end. The survey was disseminated via social media and went live between January and March 2021. We performed multiple linear regression and free text analysis.

RESULTS: We found a median CD-QOL score of 61 (IQR 44-76, range 4-100, n=215) suggesting good QoL (Good >59); however, the individual QoL scores varied significantly. Regression analyses showed that people who found diet adherence difficult and people adhering very strictly had a lower QoL. Free text comments suggested that people who adhered very strictly may do so because they have symptoms with minimal gluten exposure. People who found diet adherence difficult may be people who only recently started the diet and were still adjusting to its impact. Comments also highlighted that individuals with CD often perceive a lack of adequate follow-up care and support after diagnosis.

CONCLUSION: Better support and follow-up care is needed for people with CD to help them adjust to a gluten-free diet and minimise the impact on their QoL. Better education and increased awareness are needed among food businesses regarding cross-contamination to reduce anxiety and accidental gluten exposure.

PMID:38830687 | DOI:10.1136/bmjgast-2024-001395

CMAJ. 2024 Jun 2;196(21):E716-E723. doi: 10.1503/cmaj.231682.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: To eliminate cervical cancer in Canada by 2040, defined as an annual age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) lower than 4.0 per 100 000 women, the Canadian Partnership Against Cancer (CPAC) identified 3 priorities for action: increasing human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine coverage, implementing HPV-based screening and increasing screening participation, and improving follow-up after abnormal screen results. Our objective was to explore the impact of these priorities on the projected time to elimination of cervical cancer in British Columbia.

METHODS: We used OncoSim-Cervical, a microsimulation model led and supported by CPAC and developed by Statistics Canada that simulates HPV transmission and the natural history of cervical cancer for the Canadian population. We updated model parameters to reflect BC’s historical participation rates and program design. We simulated the transition to HPV-based screening and developed scenarios to explore the additional impact of achieving 90% vaccination coverage, 95% screening recruitment, 90% ontime screening, and 95% follow-up compliance. We projected cervical cancer incidence, ASIR, and year of elimination for the population of BC for 2023-2050.

RESULTS: HPV-based screening at current vaccination, participation, and follow-up rates can eliminate cervical cancer by 2034. Increasing on-time screening and follow-up compliance could achieve this target by 2031. Increasing vaccination coverage has a small impact over this time horizon.

INTERPRETATION: With the implementation of HPV-based screening, cervical cancer can be eliminated in BC before 2040. Efforts to increase screening participation and follow-up through this transition could potentially accelerate this timeline, but the transition from cytology- to HPV-based screening is fundamental to achieving this goal.

PMID:38830680 | DOI:10.1503/cmaj.231682

Saudi Med J. 2024 Jun;45(6):565-571. doi: 10.15537/smj.2024.45.6.20230878.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To study the prevalence of tumor marker (TM) carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), cancer antigen 125 (CA 125), and cancer antigen 15-3 (CA 15-3) levels in the Saudi population, based on gender, age, and demographic region, and whether the patients were referred by a hospital or self-referred.

METHODS: Retrospective analysis was carried out on 7,019 samples gathered from the Western, Northern, Central, Southern, and Eastern regions of Saudi Arabia between 2021-2022. The TMs were categorized into normal and abnormal levels, according to the reference ranges. Statistical analysis was carried out to assess the relations between variants (age groups, gender, and demographic regions) using the Chi-square test, and their correlations were assessed using Spearman’s test.

RESULTS: Among all patients, CEA, CA 125, and CA 15-3 levels were found to be significantly correlated with age (p=0.0001). The CEA and CA 15-3 levels increased in both males and females with age. The CA 125 was shown to have an abnormally increased level in males with age.

CONCLUSION: Increased levels of CEA, CA 125, and CA 15-3 TMs in the study population were significantly correlated with age. The CEA and CA 15-3 levels were within the normal range, while CA 125 levels were above the normal range in the older male population. These results suggest that the utilization of such TMs is age dependent and would have validity if applied with other parameters.

PMID:38830664 | DOI:10.15537/smj.2024.45.6.20230878

Saudi Med J. 2024 Jun;45(6):606-616. doi: 10.15537/smj.2024.45.6.20240102.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To assess the risk variables related to the types of candidemia for each patient, who was admitted into the intensive care unit regardless of the patient with or without complete diagnosis of COVID-19, during the period of March 2019 to December 2022.

METHODS: The evaluation comparison of demographic and clinical data of COVID-19 positive and negative patients with candidemia confirmed in blood, 113 cases were assessed. Variables such as gender, age, age of hospitalization, history of hospitalization, concurrently infection, The acute physiology and chronic health evaluation-II scores, comorbidity checking, intubation, central venous catheter use, parenteral nutrition use, steroid use, antibiotic use, lymphopenia, and laboratory variables were evaluated. Candida species distribution, antifungal susceptibility in blood culture were determined.

RESULTS: Coronavirus disease-19 was present in 62.8% of cases confirmed candidemia, and these cases were significantly different from COVID-19 negative cases. Significance was found in more intubation, central venous catheter use, parenteral nutrition, and steroid therapy in Group 2. There was no significance with species distribution and associated infection. In total, COVID-19 positive had higher hemoglobin, aspartate aminotransferase, alanine transaminase, and white blood cell levels, which may be associated with the possibility of revealing and controlling candidemia.

CONCLUSION: Candida albicans and Candida Parapsilosis (C. parapsilosis) are the species seen in infected COVID-19 patients, while C. parapsilosis and Candida tropicalis are found in non-COVID-19 ones. Risk factors were intubation, parenteral nutrition, central venous catheter, and steroid in the COVID-19 group.

PMID:38830660 | DOI:10.15537/smj.2024.45.6.20240102