Tag: statistics

Zhonghua Wei Zhong Bing Ji Jiu Yi Xue. 2023 Dec;35(12):1281-1285. doi: 10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20230829-00711.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the high risk factors of failure of autologous arteriovenous fistula (AVF) in hemodialysis patients.

METHODS: A retrospective study was conducted, patients with maintenance hemodialysis (MHD) undergoing AVF admitted to General Hospital of Western Theater Command from January 2021 to December 2022 were enrolled, including 107 patients with normal AVF and 168 patients with AVF dysfanction. According to the causes of AVF failure, the patients were divided into AVF stenosis group (n = 103) and AVF thrombosis group (n = 65). Age, gender, body mass index (BMI) and comorbidities (hypertension, diabetes, coronary heart disease) and other clinical data of all patients were collected. Hemoglobin, hematocrit, white blood cell count, neutrophil count, lymphocyte count, platelet count, C-reactive protein (CRP), high density lipoprotein, low density lipoprotein, neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet/lymphocyte ratio (PLR) within 1 month of AVF use in normal dialysis patients and 1 week before AVF failure. Multivariate Logistic regression was used to analyze the independent risk factors of AVF dysfuction in MHD patients. The receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) was drawn to evaluate the predictive value of risk factors on AVF dysfuction in MHD patients.

RESULTS: (1) There were significant differences in age, BMI, hypertension, hemoglobin, hematocrit, PLR and CRP [age (years): 56.94±14.32, 58.83±14.05, 51.57±13.19; BMI (kg/m²): 22.83±3.10, 21.27±4.98, 23.35±2.72; hypertension: 93.20%, 64.62%, 86.92%; hemoglobin (g/L): 110.82±22.16, 88.70±24.00, 87.95±23.45; hematocrit: 0.350±0.069, 0.282±0.076, 0.275±0.071; PLR: 197.35±113.59, 192.55±138.25, 162.12±73.25; CRP (mg/L): 10.01±4.02, 8.18±5.42, 3.17±1.30, all P < 0.05], among AVF stenosis group, AVF thrombosis group and AVF normal group, there were statistically significant differences no statistically significant difference was found in other indexes among three groups. (2) Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that hypertension [odds ratio (OR) = 4.849, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 1.278-18.397, P = 0.020], elevated CRP levels (OR = 2.104, 95%CI was 1.533-2.888, P = 0.000) were associated with AVF stenosis. Elevated CRP levels (OR = 1.984, 95%CI was 1.442-2.730, P = 0.000) was an independent risk factor for AVF thrombosis. Analysis of ROC curve showed that the area under the curve (AUC) of AVF dysfunction predicted by CRP was 0.712, 95%CI was 0.637-0.786, P = 0.000; CRP cut-off value was 1.8 mg/L, the sensitivity was 67.0%, the specificity was 83.7%.

CONCLUSIONS: Elevated CRP is an independent risk factor for AVF failure in hemodialysis patients, which can be used to predict the occurrence of AVF failure.

PMID:38149390 | DOI:10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20230829-00711

Zhonghua Wei Zhong Bing Ji Jiu Yi Xue. 2023 Dec;35(12):1255-1261. doi: 10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20230813-00621.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To explore the risk factors for poor prognosis in sepsis-associated acute kidney injury (SA-AKI) and establish a nomogram predictive model.

METHODS: The clinical data of patients with SA-AKI admitted to the department of critical care medicine of Shandong Provincial Hospital Affiliated to Shandong First Medical University from January 2019 to September 2022 were retrospectively analyzed, including demographic information, worst values of blood cell counts and biochemical indicators within 24 hours of SA-AKI diagnosis, whether the patient received renal replacement therapy (RRT), mechanical ventilation, vasopressor therapy during hospitalization, acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II), sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA), fibrinogen-to-albumin ratio (FAR) within 24 hours of diagnosis, acute kidney injury (AKI) staging, total length of hospital stay, length of intensive care unit (ICU) stay, and others. According to the 28-day outcome, the patients were divided into survival group and death group, and the indicators between the two groups were compared. Univariate and multivariate Logistic regression analyses were used to screen for risk factors associated with mortality in SA-AKI patients. A nomogram predictive model for SA-AKI prognosis was constructed based on the identified risk factors. Receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) and calibration plots were generated to evaluate the predictive value of the nomogram model for SA-AKI prognosis.

RESULTS: A total of 113 SA-AKI patients were included, with 67 in the survival group and 46 in the death group. The 28-day mortality among SA-AKI patients was 40.7%. The comparison between the two groups showed that there were statistically significant differences in age ≥ 65 years, AKI stage, mechanical ventilation, vasopressors, RRT, length of ICU stay, and laboratory indicators cystatin C (Cys C), fibrinogen (Fib), and FAR. Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that age ≥ 65 years [odds ratio (OR) = 7.967, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 1.803-35.203, P = 0.006], cystatin C (OR = 7.202, 95%CI was 1.756-29.534, P = 0.006), FAR (OR = 2.444, 95%CI was 1.506-3.968, P < 0.001), and RRT (OR = 7.639, 95%CI was 1.391-41.951, P = 0.019) were independent risk factors for mortality in SA-AKI patients. ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the ROC curve (AUC) for age ≥ 65 years, cystatin C, FAR, and RRT in predicting SA-AKI patient mortality were 0.713, 0.856, 0.911, and 0.701, respectively. A nomogram predictive model for SA-AKI patient prognosis was constructed based on age ≥ 65 years, cystatin C, FAR, and RRT, with an AUC of 0.967 (95%CI was 0.932-1.000) according to ROC curve analysis. The calibration plot indicated good consistency between predicted and actual probabilities.

CONCLUSIONS: Age ≥ 65 years, cystatin C, FAR, and RRT are independent risk factors for mortality in SA-AKI patients. The nomogram predictive model based on these four factors can accurately predict SA-AKI patient prognosis, helping physicians adjust treatment strategies in a timely manner and improve patient outcomes.

PMID:38149386 | DOI:10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20230813-00621

Zhonghua Wei Zhong Bing Ji Jiu Yi Xue. 2023 Dec;35(12):1250-1254. doi: 10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20230818-00660.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To observe the expression level of cytokines in patients with sepsis and its effect on prognosis.

METHODS: The clinical data of sepsis patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) of the First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University from January 2020 to December 2022 were analyzed retrospectively, including gender, age, and acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II), blood routine, procalcitonin (PCT), C-reactive protein (CRP), and cytokines levels [interleukins (IL-2, IL-4, IL-6, IL-10, IL-17), tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α), and interferon-γ (IFN-γ)] within 24 hours of admission to ICU. The 28-day prognosis of the patients was followed up. The patients were divided into survival group and death group according to the prognosis. The clinical data between the two groups of sepsis patients with different prognosis were compared. Binary Logistic regression analysis was used to analyze the independent risk factors affecting the prognosis of patients with sepsis, and the receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) was drawn to evaluate the predictive value of each risk factor for the prognosis of patients with sepsis.

RESULTS: (1) A total of 227 patients with sepsis were enrolled, including 168 patients in the survival group (survival rate 74.0%) and 59 patients in the death group (mortality 26.0%). There were no significant differences in age (years old: 55.97±2.13 vs. 54.67±1.11) and gender (male: 71.2% vs. 57.1%) between the death group and the survival group (both P > 0.05), indicating that the baseline data of the two groups were comparable. (2) The APACHE II (19.37±0.99 vs. 14.88±0.61, P < 0.001) and PCT (μg/L: 12.39±2.94 vs. 4.14±0.90, P < 0.001) in the death group were significantly higher than those in the survival group, while the platelet count [PLT (×10⁹/L): 144.75±12.50 vs. 215.99±11.26, P = 0.001] and thrombocytocrit [(0.14±0.01)% vs. (0.19±0.01)%, P = 0.001] were significantly lower than those in the survival group. (3) The level of IL-6 in the death group was significantly higher than that in the survival group (ng/L: 577.66±143.16 vs. 99.74±33.84, P < 0.001). There were no statistically significant differences in other cytokines, IL-2, IL-4, IL-10, TNF-α, IFN-γ and IL-17 between the death group and the survival group [IL-2 (ng/L): 2.44±0.38 vs. 2.63±0.27, P = 0.708; IL-4 (ng/L): 3.26±0.67 vs. 3.18±0.34, P = 0.913; IL-10 (ng/L): 33.22±5.13 vs. 39.43±2.85, P = 0.262; TNF-α (ng/L): 59.33±19.21 vs. 48.79±29.87, P = 0.839; IFN-γ (ng/L): 6.69±5.18 vs. 1.81±0.16, P = 0.100; IL-17 (ng/L): 2.05±0.29 vs. 2.58±0.33, P = 0.369]. (4) Binary Logistic regression analysis showed that APACHE II and IL-6 were independent risk factors affecting the prognosis of patients with sepsis [odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (95%CI) were 1.050 (1.008-1.093) and 1.001 (1.000-1.002), P values were 0.019 and 0.026, respectively]. (5) ROC curve analysis showed that APACHE II and IL-6 had certain predictive value for the prognosis of patients with sepsis, the area under the ROC curve (AUC) was 0.754 (95%CI was 0.681-0.827) and 0.592 (95%CI was 0.511-0.673), P values were < 0.001 and 0.035, respectively. When the optimal cut-off value of APACHE II was 16.50 score, the sensitivity was 72.6% and the specificity was 69.9%. When the optimal cut-off value of IL-6 was 27.87 ng/L, the sensitivity was 67.2% and the specificity was 52.8%.

CONCLUSIONS: APACHE II score and IL-6 level have certain predictive value for the prognosis of patients with sepsis, the higher APACHE II score and IL-6 level, the greater the probability of death in patients with sepsis.

PMID:38149385 | DOI:10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20230818-00660

Zhonghua Wei Zhong Bing Ji Jiu Yi Xue. 2023 Dec;35(12):1233-1240. doi: 10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20230717-00528.

ABSTRACT

Phosgene is not only a dangerous asphyxiating chemical warfare agent, but also an important chemical raw material, which is widely used in chemical production. According to statistics, there are more than 1 000 phosgene production enterprises in China, with an annual production volume of more than 3 million tons and hundreds of thousands of employees. Therefore, once the leakage accident occurs during production, storage and transportation, it often causes a large number of casualties. In the past 20 years, phosgene poisoning accidents in China have occurred from time to time, and due to the weak irritation, high density, and high concentration of phosgene at the scene of the accident, it often results in acute high-concentration inhalation of the exposed, triggering acute lung injury (ALI), and is very likely to progress to acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), with a mortality rate up to 40%-50%. In view of the characteristics of sudden, mass, concealed, rapid and highly fatal phosgene, and the mechanism of its toxicity and pathogenicity is still not clear, there is no effective treatment and standardized guidance for the sudden group phosgene poisoning. In order to improve the efficiency of clinical treatment and reduce the mortality, this paper has summarized the pathophysiological mechanism of phosgene poisoning, clinical manifestations, on-site treatment, research progress, and innovative clinical therapies by combining the extensive basic research on phosgene over the years with the abundant experience in the on-site treatment of sudden mass phosgene poisoning. This consensus aims to provide guidance for the clinical rescue and treatment of patients with sudden mass phosgene poisoning, and to improve the level of treatment.

PMID:38149382 | DOI:10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20230717-00528

Pediatr Transplant. 2023 Dec 27:e14664. doi: 10.1111/petr.14664. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Pediatric heart transplant patients are routinely followed in dermatology clinics due to elevated risk of cutaneous malignancy. However, transplant patients may experience other, non-cancer-related dermatologic conditions including skin infections, inflammatory diseases, and drug eruptions that can cause significant medical and psychosocial comorbidity.

METHODS: A retrospective chart review of all pediatric heart transplant patients at Mayo Clinic Children’s Center in Rochester, MN, was performed to determine the prevalence and spectrum of non-cancer dermatologic conditions. Statistical analysis was conducted to look for associations between episodes of rejection and skin condition development.

RESULTS: Of the 65 patients who received heart transplants under the age of 18 and were followed at Mayo Clinic, 69% (N = 45) were diagnosed with at least one skin condition between transplant and the time of most recent follow-up. Sixty-two percent (N = 40) of patients were diagnosed with an inflammatory skin condition (most commonly acne and atopic dermatitis), 45% (N = 29) with an infectious skin condition (most commonly warts and dermatophyte infection), and 32% (N = 21) with a drug eruption (most commonly unspecified rash and urticaria). No association was found between presence of skin disease and number of rejection episodes.

CONCLUSIONS: Non-cancer dermatologic conditions are prevalent within pediatric heart transplant recipients and may directly impact their medical needs and quality of life. Dermatologist involvement in the care of post-transplant pediatric patients is important, not only for cancer screening but also for diagnosis and treatment of common infectious and inflammatory skin conditions.

PMID:38149373 | DOI:10.1111/petr.14664

Intern Med J. 2023 Dec 27. doi: 10.1111/imj.16306. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Eosinophilic oesophagitis (EOE) is a known cause of food bolus obstruction (FBO) with rising incidence and prevalence.

AIMS: To assess the rates of EOE in adult cases presenting with an FBO via prospective biopsy collection during index endoscopy.

METHODS: Oesophageal FBO cases requiring gastroscopy between February 2014 and January 2021 at a single institution with a unified policy to perform biopsies on FBO cases were analysed using medical records, endoscopy and histology. Statistical analysis was undertaken to compare those with and without EOE as their final diagnosis, including the timing of oesophageal biopsy and the season that cases presented.

RESULTS: One hundred ninety FBO presentations were analysed, 15 patients presented twice and one patient presented four times within the 7-year study period. Men represented 72% of cases. A total of 78% of cases had biopsies collected at an index or scheduled follow-up endoscopy. EOE was the cause of the FBO in 28% (53/190) of presentations. FBO secondary to EOE was more likely to occur in the spring and summer months (Australian September to March), with 39% (19 of 49) of cases presenting in spring attributable to EOE.

CONCLUSION: EOE affects a significant proportion of patients presenting with FBO (28%); a high biopsy rate of 78% in FBO cases provides an opportunity for prompt diagnosis and treatment.

PMID:38149363 | DOI:10.1111/imj.16306

Turk J Anaesthesiol Reanim. 2023 Dec 27;51(6):477-484. doi: 10.4274/TJAR.2023.231328.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Numerous studies performed worldwide indicate that the public has limited knowledge of anaesthesia practices and anaesthetists’ duties and responsibilities. This study aimed to identify the level of knowledge about anaesthetists and anaesthesia practices, and to assess the reasons for anxiety about anaesthesia of the population admitted to our hospital, which is tertiary in Turkey. The secondary aim was to analyze their differences according to sex, education level, and acquired anaesthesia experience.

METHODS: A survey comprising 23 questions was administered to 400 patients and/or their relatives, aged 18-85 years, who presented to our clinic for preoperative anaesthesia evaluation and for whom elective surgery was planned from March through October 2017.

RESULTS: Of the 400 participants, 213 were women and 187 were men. Of all participants in the survey, 51.2% were patients and 48.8% were patient relatives; 64.2% had anaesthesia experience and 35.8% had never had anaesthesia before. The survey group’s level of knowledge about anaesthesia was generally low. According to education level, there was a statistically significant difference in the anaesthesia recognition level. However, the acquired anaesthesia experience did not affect the anaesthesia recognition level.

CONCLUSION: To raise the level of knowledge about this topic, anaesthetists must provide patients with more detailed information during preoperative and postoperative visits, which would significantly reduce their anxiety levels. Further, we determined that increasing the use of methods such as media-based brochures, booklets, and videos to inform patients may increase knowledge levels and reduce anxiety levels.

PMID:38149358 | DOI:10.4274/TJAR.2023.231328

Microsurgery. 2023 Dec 27. doi: 10.1002/micr.31139. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Chronic osteomyelitis is an invalidating disease, and its severity grows according to the infection’s particular features. The Cierny-Maiden criteria classify it according to the anatomical aspects (I to IV) and also by physiological class (A host being in good immune condition and B hosts being locally (L) or systemically (S) compromised). The surgical approach to chronic osteomyelitis involves radical debridement and dead space reconstruction. Two-stage management with delayed reconstruction is the most common surgical management, while one-stage treatment with concomitant reconstruction is a more aggressive approach with less available literature. Which method gives the best results is unclear. The purpose of this study is to compare single and two-stage techniques.

METHODS: The authors carried out a retrospective multicentric cohort study to compare two primary outcomes (bone union and infection healing) in one versus two-stage reconstructions with vascularized bone flaps in 23 cases of limb osteomyelitis (22 patients, 23 extremities). Thirteen subjects (56.5%) sustained a single-stage treatment consisting of a single surgery of radical debridement, concomitant soft tissue coverage, and bone reconstruction. Ten cases (43.5%) sustained a two-stage approach: radical debridement, simultaneous primary soft tissue closure, and antibiotic PMMA spacers implanted in 7 patients.

RESULTS: No statistical differences were observed between one- and two-stage approaches in bone union rate and infection recurrence risk. Even though bone union seems to be higher and faster in the two-stage than in the one-stage group, and all infection relapses occurred in the one-stage group, data did not statistically confirm these differences. Two of the six cases (33.3%) of bone nonunion occurred in compromised hosts (representing only 17.4% of our sample). The B-hosts bone union rate was 50.0%, while it reached 78.9% in A-hosts, but the difference was not statistically significant (p = .5392). Infection recurrence was higher in B-hosts than in A-hosts (p = .0086) and in Pseudomonas aeruginosa sustained infections (p = .0208), but in the latter case, the treatment strategy did not influence the outcome (p = .4000).

CONCLUSIONS: Bone union and infection healing rates are comparable between one and two-stage approaches. Pseudomonas aeruginosa infections have a higher risk of infection relapse, with similar effectiveness of one- and two-stage strategies. B-hosts have a higher infection recurrence rate without comparable data between the two approaches. Further studies with a larger sample size are required to confirm our results and define B-hosts’ best strategy.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level III of evidence, retrospective cohort study investigating the results of treatments.

PMID:38149353 | DOI:10.1002/micr.31139

Stat Med. 2023 Dec 27. doi: 10.1002/sim.9982. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Nearly 300,000 older adults experience a hip fracture every year, the majority of which occur following a fall. Unfortunately, recovery after fall-related trauma such as hip fracture is poor, where older adults diagnosed with Alzheimer’s disease and related dementia (ADRD) spend a particularly long time in hospitals or rehabilitation facilities during the post-operative recuperation period. Because older adults value functional recovery and spending time at home versus facilities as key outcomes after hospitalization, identifying factors that influence days spent at home after hospitalization is imperative. While several individual-level factors have been identified, the characteristics of the treating hospital have recently been identified as contributors. However, few methodological rigorous approaches are available to help overcome potential sources of bias such as hospital-level unmeasured confounders, informative hospital size, and loss to follow-up due to death. This article develops a useful tool equipped with unsupervised learning to simultaneously handle statistical complexities that are often encountered in health services research, especially when using large administrative claims databases. The proposed estimator has a closed form, thus only requiring light computation load in a large-scale study. We further develop its asymptotic properties with stabilized inference assisted by unsupervised clustering. Extensive simulation studies demonstrate superiority of the proposed estimator compared to existing estimators.

PMID:38149345 | DOI:10.1002/sim.9982

Cardiol Young. 2023 Dec 27:1-7. doi: 10.1017/S1047951123004195. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: The present study aimed to investigate the relationship between unexplained chest pain in children with parents’ mental problems, parental attitudes, family functionality, and the child’s mental problems.

MATERIAL AND METHOD: A total of 433 children (between 11 and 18 years of age) applied to the Pediatric Cardiology Outpatient Clinic due to chest pain in the last year. A clinical interview was conducted by a child psychiatrist with 43 patients and 33 controls included in the study due to unexplained chest pain.

RESULTS: Family history of physical illness was significantly higher in the chest pain group. When evaluated in terms of psychosocial risk factors, life events causing difficulties, derangement in the family, loss of a close person, and exposure to violence were statistically significantly higher in the group with chest pain. Mental disorders were observed in 67.4% of the children in the chest pain group as a result of the clinical interview. The total score of the DSM-5 somatic symptoms scale, which evaluates other somatic complaints in the chest pain group, was also significantly higher. When the family functions of both groups were evaluated, communication, emotional response, behaviour control, and general functions sub-dimensions were statistically significantly higher in families in the chest pain group.

CONCLUSION: We recommend that psychiatric evaluation be included in diagnostic research to prevent unnecessary medical diagnostic procedures in children describing unexplained chest pain, as well as to prevent the potential for diagnosing mental disorders in both children and adults.

PMID:38149344 | DOI:10.1017/S1047951123004195