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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Definitions, acceptability, limitations, and guidance in the use and reporting of surrogate endpoints in trials: A scoping review

J Clin Epidemiol. 2023 Jun 26:S0895-4356(23)00160-9. doi: 10.1016/j.jclinepi.2023.06.013. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To synthesise the current literature on the use of surrogate endpoints, including definitions, acceptability, and limitations of surrogate endpoints, and guidance for their design/reporting, into trial reporting items.

STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: Literature was identified through searching bibliographic databases (until March 1st, 2022) and grey literature sources (until May 27th, 2022). Data were thematically analysed into four categories: (1) definitions, (2) acceptability, (3) limitations and challenges, and (4) guidance, and synthesised into reporting guidance items.

RESULTS: After screening, 90 documents were included: 79% (n=71) had data on definitions, 77% (n=69) on acceptability, 72% (n=65) on limitations and challenges, and 61% (n=55) on guidance. Data were synthesised into 17 potential trial reporting items: explicit statements on the use of surrogate endpoint(s) and justification for their use (items 1-6); methodological considerations, including whether sample size calculations were informed by surrogate validity (items 7-9); reporting of results for composite outcomes containing a surrogate endpoint (item 10); discussion and interpretation of findings (items 11-14); plans for confirmatory studies, collecting data on the surrogate endpoint and target outcome, and data sharing (items 15-16); and informing trial participants about using surrogate endpoints (item 17).

CONCLUSION: The review identified and synthesised items on the use of surrogate endpoints in trials; these will inform the development of the SPIRIT-SURROGATE and CONSORT-SURROGATE extensions.

PMID:37380118 | DOI:10.1016/j.jclinepi.2023.06.013

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Deficits in sustained attention in adolescents with bipolar disorder during their first manic episode

J Affect Disord. 2023 Jun 26:S0165-0327(23)00796-6. doi: 10.1016/j.jad.2023.06.030. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Evaluate differences in sustained attention (SAT) and associated neurofunctional profiles between bipolar disorder type I (BD), attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD), and healthy comparison (HC) youth.

METHODS: Adolescent participants, aged 12-17 years, with BD (n = 30) and ADHD (n = 28) and HC adolescents (n = 26) underwent structural and functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) while completing a modified Continuous Performance Task-Identical Pairs task. Attentional load was modifying in this task using three levels of image distortion (0 %, 25 % and 50 % image distortion). Task related fMRI activation and performance measures: perceptual sensitivity index (PSI); response bias (RB) and response time (RT); were calculated and compared between groups.

RESULTS: BD participants displayed lower perceptual sensitivity index (0 % p = 0.012; 25 % p = 0.015; 50 % p = 0.036) and higher values of response bias across levels of distortion (0 % p = 0.002, 25 % p = 0.001, and 50 % p = 0.008) as compared to HC. No statistically significant differences were observed for PSI and RB between BD and ADHD groups. No difference in RT were detected. Between-group and within-group differences in task related fMRI measures were detected in several clusters. In a region of interest (ROI) analysis of these clusters comparing BD and ADHD confirmed differences between these two groups.

CONCLUSIONS: Compared with HC, BD participants displayed SAT deficits. Increased attentional load revealed that BD participants had lower activation in brain regions associated with performance and integration of neural processes in SAT. ROI analysis between BD and ADHD participants shows that the differences were likely not attributable to ADHD comorbidity, suggesting SAT deficits were distinct to the BD group.

PMID:37380109 | DOI:10.1016/j.jad.2023.06.030

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Adverse events after left ventricular assist device implantation linked to psychosocial risk in women and men

J Heart Lung Transplant. 2023 Jun 26:S1053-2498(23)01920-4. doi: 10.1016/j.healun.2023.06.013. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Reasons for women’s increased probability to experience adverse events (AEs) after left ventricular assist device (LVAD) implantation compared with men’s remain uncertain. We explored the role of psychosocial risk in the experience of AEs in women and men.

METHODS: INTERMACS patients receiving a primary continuous-flow LVAD between 7/2006 and 12/2017, median follow-up 13.6 months, were included (n=20123, 21.3% women). Time-to-event was calculated with cumulative incidence functions for 10 types of AEs separately (e.g., infection, device malfunction), each time accounting for the competing outcomes death, heart transplant and device explant due to recovery. Event-specific Cox proportional hazard models were run with a binary psychosocial risk variable (including: substance abuse, psychiatric diagnoses, limited social support, limited cognition, repeated noncompliance), controlled for covariates.

RESULTS: Psychosocial risk was more prevalent in men than in women (21.4% vs. 17.5%, p <.001). Seven out of ten AEs were more likely in women than in men (e.g., infection 44.5% vs. 39.2%, p <.001). The association of psychosocial risk with each AE was either stronger in women than in men (e.g., device malfunction HRadj 1.29, 95% CI [1.06-1.56] vs. HRadj 1.10, 95% CI [0.97-1.25]; rehospitalization HRadj 1.15, 95% CI [1.02-1.29] vs. HRadj 1.03, 95% CI [0.97-1.10]) or similar between sexes.

CONCLUSIONS: Independent of clinical parameters, the presence of psychosocial risk is associated with increases in AEs. This suggests that early modification of psychosocial risk factors may have the potential to lower the risk for AEs in this patient population.

PMID:37380090 | DOI:10.1016/j.healun.2023.06.013

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Previous Incarceration, Health Insurance, and the Affordable Care Act in the US

Am J Prev Med. 2023 Jun 26:S0749-3797(23)00277-5. doi: 10.1016/j.amepre.2023.06.014. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: This study examines the association between prior incarceration and health insurance status and whether living in a state adopting the Affordable Care Act (ACA) Medicaid expansion moderates this relationship.

METHODS: Data are from the National Longitudinal Study of Adolescent to Adult Health (Wave I [1993-1994]; Wave IV [2008] and Wave V [2016-2018]; n = 8,965). Multiple logistic regression with multiplicative interaction terms were performed to assess the relationship between previous incarceration and ACA Medicaid expansion on (a) being insured and (b) being on public health insurance. Analyses were performed in 2023.

RESULTS: Findings demonstrate a positive and statistically significant interaction in the association between previous incarceration and living in a state with ACA Medicaid expansion on having public health insurance (OR = 2.402; 95% CI = 1.257, 4.588).

CONCLUSIONS: The ACA Medicaid expansion was associated with a greater likelihood of public health insurance coverage for formerly incarcerated persons in the United States. These findings suggest that Medicaid expansion could be critical in improving health insurance coverage among formerly incarcerated individuals who are a population that is more likely to be uninsured.

PMID:37380089 | DOI:10.1016/j.amepre.2023.06.014

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Androgen receptor transcriptional activity is required for heregulin-1β-mediated nuclear localization of the HER3/ErbB3 receptor tyrosine kinase

J Biol Chem. 2023 Jun 26:104973. doi: 10.1016/j.jbc.2023.104973. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Prostate cancer (PCa) is initially regulated by the androgen receptor (AR), a ligand-activated, transcription factor (hormone-sensitive PCa (HSPC)), but eventually become androgen-refractory or castration-resistant (CRPC) because of mechanisms that bypass the AR, including ErbB3, a member of the epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) family. ErbB3 is synthesized in the cytoplasm and transported to the plasma membrane for ligand binding and dimerization, where it regulates downstream signaling, but nuclear forms are reported. Here, we demonstrate in prostatectomy samples that ErbB3 nuclear localization is observed in malignant, but not benign prostate. and that cytoplasmic (but not nuclear) ErbB3 correlated positively with AR expression but negatively with AR transcriptional activity. In support of the latter, androgen depletion upregulated cytoplasmic, but not nuclear ErbB3, while in vivo studies showed that castration suppressed ErbB3 nuclear localization in HSPC, but not CRPC tumors. In vitro treatment with the ErbB3 ligand heregulin-1β (HRG) induced ErbB3 nuclear localization, which was androgen-regulated in HSPC but not in CRPC. In turn, HRG upregulated AR transcriptional activity in CRPC but not in HSPC cells. Positive correlation between ErbB3 and AR expression was demonstrated in AR-null PC-3 cells where stable transfection of AR restored HRG-induced ErbB3 nuclear transport, while AR knockdown in LNCaP reduced cytoplasmic ErbB3. Mutations of ErbB3’s kinase domain did not affect its localization but was responsible for cell viability in CRPC cells. Taken together, we conclude that AR expression regulated ErbB3 expression, its transcriptional activity suppressed ErbB3 nuclear translocation, and HRG binding to ErbB3 promoted it.

PMID:37380074 | DOI:10.1016/j.jbc.2023.104973

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Clinical outcomes of intravenous Iron therapy in patients with heart failure and Iron deficiency: Meta-analysis and trial sequential analysis of randomized clinical trials

J Cardiol. 2023 Jun 26:S0914-5087(23)00157-0. doi: 10.1016/j.jjcc.2023.06.012. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Iron deficiency in patients with heart failure (HF) is underdiagnosed and undertreated. The role of intravenous (IV) iron is well-established to improve quality of life measures. Emerging evidence also supports its role in preventing cardiovascular events in patients with HF.

METHODOLOGY: We conducted a literature search of multiple electronic databases. Randomized controlled trials that compared IV iron to usual care among patients with HF and reported cardiovascular (CV) outcomes were included. Primary outcome was the composite of first heart failure hospitalization (HFH) or CV death. Secondary outcomes included HFH (first or recurrent), CV death, all-cause mortality, hospitalization for any cause, gastrointestinal (GI) side effects, or any infection. We performed trial sequential and cumulative meta-analyses to evaluate the effect of IV iron on the primary endpoint, and on HFH.

RESULTS: Nine trials enrolling 3337 patients were included. Adding IV iron to usual care significantly reduced the risk of first HFH or CV death [risk ratio (RR) 0.84; 95 % confidence interval (CI) 0.75-0.93; I2 = 0 %; number needed to treat (NNT) 18], which was primarily driven by a reduction in the risk of HFH of 25 %. IV iron also reduced the risk of the composite of hospitalization for any cause or death (RR 0.92; 95 % CI 0.85-0.99; I2 = 0 %; NNT 19). There was no significant difference in the risk of CV death, all-cause mortality, adverse GI events, or any infection among patients receiving IV iron compared to usual care. The observed benefits of IV iron were directionally consistent across trials and crossed both the statistical and trial sequential boundaries of benefit.

CONCLUSION: In patients with HF and iron deficiency, the addition of IV iron to usual care reduces the risk of HFH without affecting the risk of CV or all-cause mortality.

PMID:37380069 | DOI:10.1016/j.jjcc.2023.06.012

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Association between sleep disordered breathing and neonatal outcomes in nulliparous individuals

Am J Perinatol. 2023 Jun 28. doi: 10.1055/a-2115-0147. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: To determine whether objectively measured Sleep-Disordered Breathing (SDB) during pregnancy is associated with an increased risk of adverse neonatal outcomes in a cohort of nulliparous individuals.

METHODS: Secondary analysis of the nuMom2b- sleep disordered breathing substudy was performed. Individuals underwent in-home sleep studies for SDB assessment in early- (6-15 weeks’ gestation) and mid-pregnancy (22-31 weeks’ gestation). SDB was defined as an apnea-hypopnea index ≥5 events/hour at either time point. Primary outcome was a composite outcome of respiratory distress syndrome, transient tachypnea of the newborn, or receipt of respiratory support, treated hyperbilirubinemia or hypoglycemia, large-for-gestational age (LGA), seizures treated with medications or confirmed by electroencephalography, confirmed sepsis, or neonatal death. Individuals were categorized into 1) early pregnancy SDB (6-15 weeks’ gestation), 2) new onset mid-pregnancy SDB (22-31 weeks’ gestation), and 3) no SDB. Log-binomial regression was used to calculate adjusted risk ratios (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) representing the association. Adjustments were made for maternal age, chronic hypertension, pregestational diabetes, progesterone use and Body Mass Index (BMI), new onset mid-pregnancy SDB to establish if a relationship was still present.

RESULTS: Among 2,106 participants, 3% percent (n=75) had early pregnancy SDB and 5.7% (n=119) developed new onset mid-pregnancy SDB. The incidence of the primary outcome was higher in offspring of individuals with early- (29.3%) and new onset mid- pregnancy SDB (30.3%) compared to individuals with no SDB (17.8%). After adjustment for maternal age, chronic hypertension, pregestational diabetes, progesterone use and BMI, new onset mid-pregnancy SDB conferred increased risk (RR=1.42, 95% CI: 1.05, 1.92), where there was no longer statistically significant association between early pregnancy SDB and the primary outcome.

CONCLUSION: New Onset, Mid- pregnancy SDB is independently associated with neonatal morbidity.

PMID:37380034 | DOI:10.1055/a-2115-0147

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Defining shoulder function and dysplasia in patients with longitudinal deficiencies of the upper limb

J Shoulder Elbow Surg. 2023 Jun 26:S1058-2746(23)00485-8. doi: 10.1016/j.jse.2023.05.025. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Phenotypic differences and functional limitations in children with congenital radial and ulnar longitudinal deficiencies (RLD/ULD) are well understood for the forearm and hand. However, anatomical features of shoulder elements in these pathologies have only been scarcely reported. Moreover, shoulder function has not been assessed in this patient population. Therefore, we aimed to define radiologic features and shoulder function of these patients at a large tertiary referral center.

METHODS: We prospectively enrolled all patients with RLD and ULD (minimum age: 7 years) for this study. Eighteen patients (12 RLD, 6 ULD) with a mean age of 17.9 years (range, 8.5-32.5) were evaluated using clinical examination (shoulder motion and stability), patient-reported outcome measures (Visual Analogue Scale [VAS], Pediatric/Adolescent Shoulder Survey [PASS], Pediatric Outcomes Data Collection Instrument [PODCI]), and radiologic grading of shoulder dysplasia (including length and width discrepancy of the humerus, glenoid dysplasia in the anteroposterior and axial view [Waters classification], and scapular and acromioclavicular dysplasia assessment). Descriptive statistics and Spearman correlation analyses were performed.

RESULTS: Despite five (28%) cases having anterioposterior shoulder instability and five (28%) cases with decreased motion, outcome scores indicated an overall excellent function of the shoulder girdle, with mean VAS of 0.3 (range, 0-5), mean PASS of 97 (range, 75-100), and mean PODCI Global Functioning Scale of 93 (range, 76-100). The humerus was, on average, 15 mm shorter (range, 0-75), and metaphyseal and diaphyseal diameters both reached 94% of the contralateral side. Glenoid dysplasia was detected in nine (50%) cases, with increased retroversion evident in 10 (56%) cases. However, scapular (n=2) and acromioclavicular (n=1) dysplasia were rare. Based on radiographic findings, a radiologic classification system for dysplasia types IA, IB, and II was developed.

CONCLUSIONS: Adolescent and adult patients with longitudinal deficiencies exhibit various mild-to-severe radiologic abnormalities around the shoulder girdle. Nevertheless, these findings did not seem to negatively affect shoulder function as the overall outcome scores were excellent.

PMID:37379966 | DOI:10.1016/j.jse.2023.05.025

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Cells at early and late stages of infection with Senecavirus A: Comparative analysis of N6-methyladenosine modification on mRNAs

Virology. 2023 Jun 15;585:186-195. doi: 10.1016/j.virol.2023.06.006. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Infection with Senecavirus A (SVA) causes differential phenotypes in cells. In this study, cells were inoculated with SVA for culture. At 12 and 72 h post infection, cells were independently harvested for high-throughput RNA sequencing, and further methylated RNA immunoprecipitation sequencing. The resultant data were comprehensively analyzed for mapping N6-methyladenosine (m6A)-modified profiles of SVA-infected cells. More importantly, m6A-modified regions were identified in the SVA genome. A dataset of m6A-modified mRNAs was generated for screening out differentially m6A-modified mRNAs, further subjected to a series of in-depth analyses. This study not only showed statistical differentiation of m6A-modified sites between two SVA-infected groups, but also demonstrated that SVA genome, as a positive-sense, single-stranded mRNA, itself could be modified through the m6A pattern. Out of the six samples of SVA mRNAs, only three were identified to be m6A-modified, implying that the epigenetic effect might not be a crucial driving force for SVA evolution.

PMID:37379620 | DOI:10.1016/j.virol.2023.06.006

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Trends in acute myocardial infarction mortality in the European Union, 2012-2020

Eur J Prev Cardiol. 2023 Jun 28:zwad214. doi: 10.1093/eurjpc/zwad214. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

AIMS: To assess the sex- and age- specific trends in acute myocardial infarction (AMI) mortality in the modern European Union (EU-27) member states between years 2012 and 2020.

METHODS AND RESULTS: Data on cause-specific deaths and population numbers by sex for each country of the EU-27 were retrieved through publicly available European Statistical Office (EUROSTAT) dataset for the years 2012 to 2020. AMI-related deaths were ascertained when codes for AMI (ICD-10 codes I21.0-I22.0) were listed as the underlying cause of death in the medical death certificate. Deaths occurring before the age of 65 years were defined as premature deaths. To calculate annual trends, we assessed the average (AAPC) annual percent change with relative 95% confidence intervals (CIs) using Joinpoint regression. During the study period, 1,793,314 deaths (1,048,044 males and 745,270 females) occurred in the EU-27 due to of AMI. The proportion of AMI-related deaths per 1,000 total deaths decline from 5.0% to 3.5% both in the entire population (p for trend <0.001) and in males or females, separately. Joinpoint regression analysis revealed a continuous linear decrease in age-adjusted AMI-related mortality from 2012 to 2020 among EU-27 members [AAPC: -4.6% (95% CI: -5.1 to -4.0), p < 0.001]. The age-adjusted mortality rate showed a plateau in some Eastern European countries and was more pronounced in EU-27 females and in subjects aged ≥ 65 years old.

CONCLUSIONS: Over the last decade, the age-adjusted AMI-related mortality has been continuously declining in most of the in EU-27 Member States. However, some disparities still exist between western and eastern European countries.

PMID:37379577 | DOI:10.1093/eurjpc/zwad214