Tag: statistics

JMIR Public Health Surveill. 2023 Apr 27;9:e42820. doi: 10.2196/42820.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: China is the most populous country globally and has made significant achievements in the control of infectious diseases over the last decades. The 2003 SARS epidemic triggered the initiation of the China Information System for Disease Control and Prevention (CISDCP). Since then, numerous studies have investigated the epidemiological features and trends of individual infectious diseases in China; however, few considered the changing spatiotemporal trends and seasonality of these infectious diseases over time.

OBJECTIVE: This study aims to systematically review the spatiotemporal trends and seasonal characteristics of class A and class B notifiable infectious diseases in China during 2005-2020.

METHODS: We extracted the incidence and mortality data of 8 types (27 diseases) of notifiable infectious diseases from the CISDCP. We used the Mann-Kendall and Sen’s methods to investigate the diseases’ temporal trends, Moran I statistic for their geographical distribution, and circular distribution analysis for their seasonality.

RESULTS: Between January 2005 and December 2020, 51,028,733 incident cases and 261,851 attributable deaths were recorded. Pertussis (P=.03), dengue fever (P=.01), brucellosis (P=.001), scarlet fever (P=.02), AIDS (P<.001), syphilis (P<.001), hepatitis C (P<.001) and hepatitis E (P=.04) exhibited significant upward trends. Furthermore, measles (P<.001), bacillary and amebic dysentery (P<.001), malaria (P=.04), dengue fever (P=.006), brucellosis (P=.03), and tuberculosis (P=.003) exhibited significant seasonal patterns. We observed marked disease burden-related geographic disparities and heterogeneities. Notably, high-risk areas for various infectious diseases have remained relatively unchanged since 2005. In particular, hemorrhagic fever and brucellosis were largely concentrated in Northeast China; neonatal tetanus, typhoid and paratyphoid, Japanese encephalitis, leptospirosis, and AIDS in Southwest China; BAD in North China; schistosomiasis in Central China; anthrax, tuberculosis, and hepatitis A in Northwest China; rabies in South China; and gonorrhea in East China. However, the geographical distribution of syphilis, scarlet fever, and hepatitis E drifted from coastal to inland provinces during 2005-2020.

CONCLUSIONS: The overall infectious disease burden in China is declining; however, hepatitis C and E, bacterial infections, and sexually transmitted infections continue to multiply, many of which have spread from coastal to inland provinces.

PMID:37103994 | DOI:10.2196/42820

J Med Internet Res. 2023 Apr 27;25:e44256. doi: 10.2196/44256.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Long-term daily health monitoring and management play a more significant role in telehealth management systems nowadays, which require evaluation indicators to present patients’ general health conditions and become applicable to multiple chronic diseases.

OBJECTIVE: This study aims to evaluate the effectiveness of subjective indicators of telehealth chronic disease management system (TCDMS).

METHODS: We selected Web of Science, ScienceDirect, Scopus, Cochrane library, IEEE, and Chinese National Knowledge Infrastructure and Wanfang, a Chinese medical database, and searched papers published from January 1, 2015, to July 1, 2022, regarding randomized controlled trials on the effectiveness of the telehealth system on patients with chronic diseases. The narrative review summarized the questionnaire indicators presented in the selected studies. In the meta-analysis, Mean Difference (MD) and Standardized Mean Difference (SMD) with a 95% CI were pooled depending on whether the measurements were the same. Subgroup analysis was conducted if the heterogeneity was significant, and the number of studies was sufficient.

RESULTS: Twenty RCTs with 4153 patients were included in the qualitative review. Seventeen different questionnaire-based outcomes were found, within which quality of life, psychological well-being (including depression, anxiety, and fatigue), self-management, self-efficacy, and medical adherence were most frequently used. Ten RCTs with 2095 patients remained in meta-analysis. Compared to usual care, telehealth system can significantly improve the quality of life (SMD 0.44; 95% CI 0.16-0.73; P=.002), whereas no significant effects were found on depression (SMD -0.25; 95% CI -0.72 to 0.23; P=.30), anxiety (SMD -0.10; 95% CI -0.27 to 0.07; P=.71), fatigue (SMD -0.36; 95% CI -1.06 to 0.34; P<.001), and self-care (SMD 0.77; 95% CI -0.28-1.81; P<.001). In the subdomains of quality of life, telehealth statistically significantly improved physical functioning (SMD 0.15; 95% CI 0.02 to 0.29; P=.03), mental functioning (SMD 0.37; 95% CI 0.13-0.60; P=.002), and social functioning (SMD 0.64; 95% CI 0.00-1.29; P=.05), while there was no difference on cognitive functioning (MD 8.31; 95% CI -7.33 to 23.95; P=.30) and role functioning (MD 5.30; 95% CI -7.80 to 18.39; P=.43).

CONCLUSIONS: TCDMS positively affected patients’ physical, mental, and social quality of life across multiple chronic diseases. However, no significant difference was found in depression, anxiety, fatigue, and self-care. Subjective questionnaires had the potential ability to evaluate the effectiveness of long-term telehealth monitoring and management. However, further well-designed experiments are warranted to validate TCDMS’s effects on subjective outcomes, especially when tested among different chronically ill groups.

PMID:37103993 | DOI:10.2196/44256

Hum Vaccin Immunother. 2023 Dec 31;19(1):2206774. doi: 10.1080/21645515.2023.2206774.

ABSTRACT

Universal infant hepatitis B vaccination has been implemented more than three decades. This study aimed to determine the prevalence of antibodies to hepatitis B surface antigen (anti-HBs) and to hepatitis B core antigen (anti-HBc) in qualified blood donors in Nanjing, China. Plasmas of 815 qualified blood donors, collected from February through May 2019, were measured for anti-HBs and anti-HBc by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. There were 449 (55.1%) male and 366 (44.9%) female blood donors, with a median age of 28.9 years (18-60). The seroprevalence of anti-HBs was 58.8%, with no significant difference in different genders and different age groups. The overall prevalence of anti-HBc was 7.0%, with an increasing trend with age, from 0% in 18-20 years old group to 17.9% in 51-60 years old group (χ² = 46.7965, p < .0001). The prevalence of anti-HBc in donors born after the implementation of universal hepatitis B vaccination was significantly lower than that in donors born before (1.0% vs 15.5%; χ² = 63.6033, p < .0001). Our data suggest that more than half of the blood donors in Nanjing are anti-HBs positive. Since a blood recipient usually receives more than one unit of red blood cells or plasma, passively acquired anti-HBs in blood recipients may neutralize hepatitis B virus potentially presented in blood donors with occult hepatitis B infection. In addition, the presence of anti-HBs and/or anti-HBc in blood donors may cause unique hepatitis B serological profile in blood recipients.

PMID:37103976 | DOI:10.1080/21645515.2023.2206774

JAMA Ophthalmol. 2023 Apr 27. doi: 10.1001/jamaophthalmol.2023.1007. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

IMPORTANCE: Racial and ethnic differences in the association between myopia and primary open-angle glaucoma (POAG) are not well understood.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the association between myopia and POAG in the 2019 California Medicare population and to investigate whether there was evidence of effect measure modification of this association by race and ethnicity.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This cross-sectional study used administrative claims data from 2019 California Medicare beneficiaries 65 years or older with California residence and active coverage with Medicare parts A and B. Analysis took place between October 2021 and October 2023.

EXPOSURES: The primary exposure was myopia, which was defined by International Statistical Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-10-CM) diagnosis codes.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: The outcome of interest was POAG, which was defined by ICD-10-CM code.

RESULTS: Of 2 717 346 California Medicare beneficiaries in 2019, 1 440 769 (53.0%) were aged 65 to 74 years, 1 544 479 (56.8%) identified as female, 60 211 (2.2%) had myopia, and 171 988 (6.3%) had POAG. Overall, 346 723 individuals (12.8%) identified as Asian, 117 856 (4.3%) as Black, 430 597 (15.8%) as Hispanic, 1 705 807 (62.8%) as White, and 115 363 (4.2%) as other race and ethnicity. In adjusted logistic regression analyses, beneficiaries with myopia had higher odds of POAG compared with beneficiaries without myopia (odds ratio [OR], 2.41; 95% CI, 2.35-2.47). In multivariable models stratified by race and ethnicity, the association between myopia and POAG was stronger in Asian (OR, 2.74; 95% CI, 2.57-2.92), Black (OR, 2.60; 95% CI, 2.31-2.94), and Hispanic (OR, 3.28; 95% CI, 3.08-3.48) beneficiaries compared with non-Hispanic White beneficiaries (OR, 2.14; 95% CI, 2.08-2.21).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In the 2019 California Medicare population, myopia was associated with greater adjusted odds of POAG. This association was stronger among Asian, Black, and Hispanic beneficiaries compared with non-Hispanic White beneficiaries. These findings suggest possible disparities in glaucoma risk by race and ethnicity in individuals with myopia and may indicate greater need for glaucoma screening in individuals with myopia from racial and ethnic minority backgrounds.

PMID:37103940 | DOI:10.1001/jamaophthalmol.2023.1007

JAMA Oncol. 2023 Apr 27. doi: 10.1001/jamaoncol.2023.0768. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

IMPORTANCE: While the characteristics of COVID-19 infection and mortality among patients with a malignant neoplasm have previously been examined, little data are available for gender-specific COVID-19 mortality.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the gender-specific COVID-19 case fatality risks among patients with a malignant neoplasm.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: In this cohort study using the Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project’s National Inpatient Sample, patients admitted to the hospital from April to December 2020 with a diagnosis of COVID-19 infection were identified by the World Health Organization’s International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, Tenth Revision code U07.1. Data analysis was performed from November 2022 to January 2023.

EXPOSURE: Diagnosis of malignant neoplasm, identified and classified according to the National Cancer Institute’s definition.

MAIN OUTCOME AND MEASURE: COVID-19 in-hospital case fatality rate, defined as the number of deaths that occurred during index hospital admissions.

RESULTS: There were 1 622 755 patients who were admitted to the hospital from April 1 to December 31, 2020, with a diagnosis of COVID-19. The cohort-level COVID-19 in-hospital case fatality rate was 12.9% with a median time to death of 5 days (IQR, 2-11 days). Frequently reported morbidities among the patients with COVID-19 included pneumonia (74.3%), respiratory failure (52.9%), cardiac arrythmia or cardiac arrest (29.3%), acute kidney injury (28.0%), sepsis (24.6%), shock (8.6%), cerebrovascular accident (5.2%), and venous thromboembolism or pulmonary embolism (5.0%). In a multivariable analysis, gender (male vs female, 14.5% vs 11.2%; adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.28; 95% CI, 1.27-1.30) and malignant neoplasm (17.9% vs 12.7%; aOR, 1.29; 95% CI, 1.27-1.32) were both associated with increased COVID-19 in-hospital case fatality risk at the cohort level. Among the group of female patients, there were 5 malignant neoplasms in which the COVID-19 in-hospital case fatality risk was greater than 2-fold higher. These included anal cancer (23.8%; aOR, 2.94; 95% CI, 1.84-4.69), Hodgkin lymphoma (19.5%; aOR, 2.79; 95% CI, 1.90-4.08), non-Hodgkin lymphoma (22.4%; aOR, 2.23; 95% CI, 2.02-2.47), lung cancer (24.3%; aOR, 2.21; 95% CI, 2.03-2.39), and ovarian cancer (19.4%; aOR, 2.15; 95% CI, 1.79-2.59). Among the group of male patients, Kaposi sarcoma (33.3%; aOR, 2.08; 95% CI, 1.18-3.66) and malignant neoplasm in the small intestine (28.6%; aOR, 2.04; 95% CI, 1.18-3.53) had a greater than 2-fold increased COVID-19 in-hospital case mortality risk.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: The results of this cohort study confirmed the substantial case fatality rate among patients with COVID-19 in the early pandemic experience in 2020 in the US. While COVID-19 in-hospital case fatality risks were lower among women compared with men, the associations of a concurrent malignant neoplasm with the COVID-19 case fatality were overall more substantial for women than for men.

PMID:37103920 | DOI:10.1001/jamaoncol.2023.0768

JAMA Oncol. 2023 Apr 27. doi: 10.1001/jamaoncol.2023.0187. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

IMPORTANCE: Biomarkers to guide the use of pertuzumab in the treatment of early-stage ERBB2 (formerly HER2)-positive breast cancer beyond simple ERBB2 status are needed.

OBJECTIVE: To determine if use of the HER2DX genomic assay (Reveal Genomics) in pretreatment baseline tissue samples of patients with ERBB2-positive breast cancer is associated with response to neoadjuvant trastuzumab-based chemotherapy with or without pertuzumab.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This is a retrospective diagnostic/prognostic analysis of a multicenter academic observational study in Spain performed during 2018 to 2022 (GOM-HGUGM-2018-05). In addition, a combined analysis with 2 previously reported trials of neoadjuvant cohorts with results from the assay (DAPHNe and I-SPY2) was performed. All patients had stage I to III ERBB2-positive breast cancer, signed informed consent, and had available formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded tumor specimens obtained prior to starting therapy.

EXPOSURES: Patients received intravenous trastuzumab, 8 mg/kg, loading dose, followed by 6 mg/kg every 3 weeks in combination with intravenous docetaxel, 75 mg/m2, every 3 weeks and intravenous carboplatin area under the curve of 6 every 3 weeks for 6 cycles, or this regimen plus intravenous pertuzumab, 840 mg, loading dose, followed by an intravenous 420-mg dose every 3 weeks for 6 cycles.

MAIN OUTCOME AND MEASURES: Association of baseline assay-reported pathologic complete response (pCR) score with pCR in the breast and axilla, as well as association of baseline assay-reported pCR score with response to pertuzumab.

RESULTS: The assay was evaluated in 155 patients with ERBB2-positive breast cancer (mean [range] age, 50.3 [26-78] years). Clinical T1 to T2 and node-positive disease was present in 113 (72.9%) and 99 (63.9%) patients, respectively, and 105 (67.7%) tumors were hormone receptor positive. The overall pCR rate was 57.4% (95% CI, 49.2%-65.2%). The proportion of patients in the assay-reported pCR-low, pCR-medium, and pCR-high groups was 53 (34.2%), 54 (34.8%), and 48 (31.0%), respectively. In the multivariable analysis, the assay-reported pCR score (as a continuous variable from 0-100) showed a statistically significant association with pCR (odds ratio [OR] per 10-unit increase, 1.43; 95% CI, 1.22-1.70; P < .001). The pCR rates in the assay-reported pCR-high and pCR-low groups were 75.0% and 28.3%, respectively (OR, 7.85; 95% CI, 2.67-24.91; P < .001). In the combined analysis (n = 282), an increase in pCR rate due to pertuzumab was found in the assay-reported pCR-high tumors (OR, 5.36; 95% CI, 1.89-15.20; P < .001) but not in the assay-reported pCR-low tumors (OR, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.30-2.46; P = .77). A statistically significant interaction between the assay-reported pCR score and the effect of pertuzumab in pCR was observed.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: This diagnostic/prognostic study demonstrated that the genomic assay predicted pCR following neoadjuvant trastuzumab-based chemotherapy with or without pertuzumab. This assay could guide therapeutic decisions regarding the use of neoadjuvant pertuzumab.

PMID:37103916 | DOI:10.1001/jamaoncol.2023.0187

J Clin Psychiatry. 2023 Apr 24;84(3):22m14739. doi: 10.4088/JCP.22m14739.

ABSTRACT

Objective: A post hoc analysis of a phase 3, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled outpatient study investigated efficacy of lumateperone 42 mg in patients with bipolar I or bipolar II disorder and experiencing a major depressive episode (MDE) stratified by the presence of mixed features.

Methods: Adults (18-75 years) with bipolar I or bipolar II disorder experiencing an MDE, defined by Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, Fifth Edition, criteria, were randomized 1:1 to 6-week oral lumateperone 42 mg/d or placebo (conducted November 2017-March 2019). Montgomery-Asberg Depression Rating Scale (MADRS) total score, Clinical Global Impression Scale-Bipolar Version-Severity (CGI-BP-S) total score, and Quality of Life Enjoyment and Satisfaction Questionnaire-Short Form (Q-LES-Q-SF) were analyzed in patients (N = 376) categorized as having mixed features (Young Mania Rating Scale [YMRS] score ≥ 4 and ≤ 12, 41.5%) or not having mixed features (YMRS < 4, 58.5%) at baseline. Treatment-emergent adverse events (TEAEs) including mania/hypomania were assessed.

Results: At day 43, lumateperone significantly improved MADRS and CGI-BP-S total scores change from baseline compared with placebo for patients with mixed features (MADRS least squares mean difference [LSMD] = -4.4, P < .01; CGI-BP-S LSMD = -0.7, P < .05) and without mixed features (MADRS LSMD = -4.2, P < .001, CGI-BP-S LSMD = -1.0, P < .001). Q-LES-Q-SF percent score significantly improved at day 43 with lumateperone vs placebo in patients with mixed features (LSMD = 5.9, P < .05), with numerical improvements in patients without mixed features (LSMD = 2.6, P = .27). TEAEs of mania/hypomania were rare.

Conclusions: Lumateperone 42 mg significantly improved symptoms of depression and disease severity in patients with an MDE associated with bipolar I or bipolar II disorder, with or without mixed features.

Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT03249376.

PMID:37103915 | DOI:10.4088/JCP.22m14739

J Robot Surg. 2023 Apr 27. doi: 10.1007/s11701-023-01604-z. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Da Vinci three-dimensional (3D) system has been increasingly used in customary surgical settings, gaining fundamental relevance for abdominal, urological, and gynecological laparoscopic surgery. The aim of this research is to evaluate the degree of discomfort and potential changes in the binocular vision and ocular motility of surgical operators, who employ 3D vision systems during Da Vinci robotic surgery. Twenty-four surgeons were enrolled in the study, including twelve who typically use the 3D Da Vinci system and twelve who routinely employ 2D system. Routine general ophthalmological and orthoptic examinations were conducted at baseline (T0), the day before surgery, and 30 min after the 3D or 2D surgery (T1). In addition, surgeons were interviewed using a questionnaire of 18 symptoms, with each item containing three questions regarding the frequency, severity, and bothersomeness of the symptoms, in order to evaluate the degree of discomfort. Mean age at evaluation was 45.28 ± 8.71 years (range 33-63 years). Cover test, uncover test, and fusional amplitude showed no statistically significant difference. After surgery, no statistical difference was observed in the Da Vinci group on the TNO stereotest (p > 0.9999). However, the difference in the 2D group resulted statistically significant (p = 0.0156). Comparing participants (p 0.0001) and time (T0-T1; p = 0.0137), the difference between the two groups was statistically significant. Surgeons using 2D systems reported more discomfort than those using 3D systems. The absence of short-term consequences following surgery with the Da Vinci 3D system is a promising conclusion, considering the numerous advantages of this technology. Nonetheless, multicenter investigations and more studies are required to verify and interpret our findings.

PMID:37103772 | DOI:10.1007/s11701-023-01604-z

Indian J Gastroenterol. 2023 Apr 27. doi: 10.1007/s12664-022-01330-8. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Due to the increasing prevalence of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), there was a need to establish non-invasive tests for its detection. Mean platelet volume (MPV) is an inexpensive, practical and easily accessible marker of inflammation in many disorders. Our study was aimed at investigating the relationship between MPV and both NAFLD and liver histology.

METHODS: Total 290 patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD (n = 124) and 108 control patients were included in the study. To exclude the effect of other diseases on MPV, we included 156 patient controls in our study. Those whohave liver-related diseases and those who use drugs that may cause fatty liver were not included in the study. Liver biopsy was performed for those whose alanine aminotransferase level persisted for >6 months above the upper limits.

RESULTS/CONCLUSION: We found that MPV was significantly higher in the NAFLD group compared with the control group, and MPV had an independent predictive value for the development of NAFLD. We determined that the number of platelets was significantly lower in the NAFLD group compared with that in the control group. We compared MPV values histologically with both stage and grade in all patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD and found that MPV had a significant positive correlation with stage. We observed a positive correlation between MPV and non-alcoholic steatohepatitis grade, but this was not statistically significant. MPV can be useful because it is simple, easy to measure, cost-effective, and routinely tested in daily practice. MPV can be used as a simple marker of NAFLD and an indicator of fibrosis-stage in NAFLD.

PMID:37103751 | DOI:10.1007/s12664-022-01330-8

Breast Cancer. 2023 Apr 27. doi: 10.1007/s12282-023-01459-0. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: We aim to use the SEER database to discuss the effect of various surgical methods of primary foci and other influencing factors on the nonregional lymph node (NRLN) metastasis in invasive ductal carcinoma (IDC) patients.

METHODS: Clinical information of IDC patients used in this study was obtained from the SEER database. The statistical analyses used included a multivariate logistic regression model, the chi-squared test, log-rank test and propensity score matching (PSM).

RESULTS: 243,533 patients were included in the analysis. 94.3% of NRLN patients had a high N positivity (N3) but an equal distribution in T status. The proportion of operation type, especially BCM and MRM, differed significantly between the N0-N1 and N2-N3 groups in the NRLN metastasis group and nonmetastasis group. Age > 80 years, positive PR, modified radical mastectomy (MRM)/radical mastectomy (RM) and radiotherapy for primary tumor were shown to be protective factors for NRLN metastasis, and higher N positivity was the most significant risk factors. N2-N3 patients receiving MRM had a lower metastasis to NRLN than those receiving BCM (1.4% vs 3.7%, P < 0.001), while this relevance was not discovered in N0-N1 patients. In N2-N3 patients, a better OS was observed in MRM group than BCM group (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION: MRM exerted a protective effect on NRLN metastasis compared to BCM in N2-N3 patients but not N0-N1 patients. This implies the need for more consideration when choosing the operation methods of primary foci in patients with high N positivity.

PMID:37103742 | DOI:10.1007/s12282-023-01459-0