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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Disease burden and attributable risk factors of neonatal disorders and their specific causes in China from 1990 to 2019 and its prediction to 2024

BMC Public Health. 2023 Jan 18;23(1):122. doi: 10.1186/s12889-023-15050-x.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Neonatal health is a cornerstone for the healthy development of the next generation and a driving force for the progress of population and society in the future. Updated information on the burden of neonatal disorders (NDs) are of great importance for evidence-based health care planning in China, whereas such an estimate has been lacking at national level. This study aims to estimate the temporal trends and the attributable burdens of selected risk factors of NDs and their specific causes in China from 1990 to 2019, and to predict the possible trends between 2020 and 2024.

METHODS: Data was explored from the Global Burden of Disease study (GBD) 2019. Six measures were used: incidence, mortality, prevalence, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), years lived with disability (YLDs), and years of life lost (YLLs). Absolute numbers and age-standardized rates (with 95% uncertainty intervals) were calculated. The specific causes of NDs mainly included neonatal preterm birth (NPB), neonatal encephalopathy due to birth asphyxia and trauma (NE), neonatal sepsis and other neonatal infections (NS), and hemolytic disease and other neonatal jaundice (HD). An autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model was used to forecast disease burden from 2020 to 2024.

RESULTS: There were notable decreasing trends in the number of deaths (84.3%), incidence (30.3%), DALYs (73.5%) and YLLs (84.3%), while increasing trends in the number of prevalence (102.3%) and YLDs (172.7%) from 1990 to 2019, respectively. The corresponding age-standardized rates changed by -74.9%, 0.1%, -65.8%, -74.9%, 86.8% and 155.1%, respectively. Four specific causes of NDs followed some similar and different patterns. The prediction results of the ARIMA model shown that all measures still maintained the original trends in the next five years. Low birth weight, short gestation, ambient particulate matter pollution and household air pollution from solid fuels were the four leading risk factors.

CONCLUSION: The health burden due to NDs is declining and is likely to continue to decline in the future in China. Delaying the increasing burden of disability may be the next target of concern. Targeted prevention and control strategies for specific causes of NDs are urgently needed to reduce the disease burden.

PMID:36650483 | DOI:10.1186/s12889-023-15050-x

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Individual and Community-level factors associated with early marriage in Zambia: a mixed effect analysis

BMC Womens Health. 2023 Jan 17;23(1):21. doi: 10.1186/s12905-023-02168-8.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Child marriage has long been a public health concern around the world, because it has the potential to deprive adolescent girls of their sexual reproductive health rights and limits their ability to reach their full potential in life. The prevalence of child marriage has been consistently higher in sub-Saharan Africa than elsewhere. However, fewer studies have explored the influence of both individual and community-level influences on early marriage in sub-Saharan Africa. This study, therefore, examined individual and community-level factors associated with child marriages in Zambia.

METHODS: Data came from the Zambia Demographic and Health Surveys (ZDHS) conducted in 2007, 2013-14 and 2018. A pooled weighted sample of 9990 women aged 20-29 years was used in the analysis. Stata software version 17 was used to perform statistical analysis, taking into account complex survey design. The association between individual- and community- level factors and early marital behavior was assessed using multilevel logistic regression models.

RESULTS: The prevalence of child marriage among women aged 20-29 was 44.4 percent (95% CI: 42.1, 46.7) in 2018, declining from 51.5 percent (95% CI: 48.9, 54.0) in 2007. Women with secondary or higher level of education [aOR = 0.36, 95% CI = 0.26-0.49] and [aOR = 0.07, 95% CI = 0.03-0.18] and those whose age at first birth was (15-19 year) or (20-29 years) were associated with less likelihood of experiencing child marriage. Communities with a high percentage of women who gave birth at a young age [aOR = 1.36, 95% CI = 1.15-1.62] were more likely to experience child marriage. Individual and community-level characteristics accounted for 35% of the overall variations in communities’ likelihood of experiencing early marriage. Even after controlling for both individual and community-level influences, the intra-class correlation revealed that around 4.5 percent of the overall variations remained unexplained.

CONCLUSION: Prevalence of child marriage has reduced over the years but is still high in Zambia. Both individual and community- level factors influenced child marriage in Zambia. There is a need to strengthen strategies that keep girls in school to delay their exposure to early sexual debut and child marriage. Designing of reproductive health interventions in the country should consider integration of community factors such as economic insecurity and access to reproductive health information.

PMID:36650478 | DOI:10.1186/s12905-023-02168-8

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Influence of past advanced behavior guidance experience on parental acceptance for autistic individuals in the dental setting

BMC Oral Health. 2023 Jan 17;23(1):23. doi: 10.1186/s12903-023-02716-6.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Autism is a lifelong neurodevelopmental disorder that poses challenges during dental treatment. Advanced behavior guidance techniques (BGTs) have been used to provide dental care for autistic people who have specific characteristics and complex dental treatment. This study was conducted to evaluate parental acceptance and analyze parents’ opinions of advanced BGTs during dental treatment in autistic people.

METHODS: This cross-sectional study was conducted on 141 parents of autistic people from the Mahidol Dental Hospital and the Autism online community. Informed consent was obtained before enrolling participants in the study. All parents were asked to rate their acceptance after watching VDO clips: passive restraint by device (PRBD), oral sedation (OS), and general anesthesia (GA) to evaluate parental acceptance of advanced BGTs through an online questionnaire survey. The online questionnaire included a visual analog scale (VAS) and open-ended questions to collect their opinions on each advanced BGT. Participants were categorized into two subgroups as follows: 81 in the “Experience group” and 60 in the “No experience group” according to their autistic people’ advanced BGT experience. Friedman’s two-way analysis of variance and the Mann-Whitney U test were used for statistical analyses. Open-ended questions were analyzed using quantitative content analysis.

RESULTS: PRBD was ranked the highest, followed by GA and OS. Parents in the “Experience group” rated significantly higher acceptance of their BGT experience than parents in the “No experience group” in all the three advanced BGTs.

CONCLUSIONS: All advanced BGTs were particularly accepted in this study. Previous experience of advanced BGTs had an influence on parental acceptance. Parents commented on their opinions toward each advanced BGT with a variety of perspectives.

TRIAL REGISTRATION: The protocol was approved by the ethical committee of the Faculty of Dentistry/Faculty of Pharmacy, Mahidol University (COA.No.MU-DT/PY-IRB 2021/022.1702) and was registered with Thai Clinical Trials Registry (TCTR20220521001).

PMID:36650476 | DOI:10.1186/s12903-023-02716-6

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

ROBOT-ASSISTED VS. NAVIGATED TRANSPEDICULAR SPINE FUSION

Int J Med Robot. 2023 Jan 17:e2500. doi: 10.1002/rcs.2500. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to compare intraoperative and postoperative outcome between a robot-assisted vs. a navigated transpedicular fusion technique.

METHODS: This retrospective analysis included patients who underwent transpedicular posterior fusion of the spine due to trauma, pyogenic spondylodiscitis and osteoporosis. Surgery was done either with a robot-assisted or a percutaneous navigated transpedicular fusion technique. The outcome analysis included the duration of surgery, the radiation exposure, the postoperative screw position and complications.

RESULTS: Sixty patients were operated and 491 screws were analysed in total. No statistical difference was seen in the applied cumulative effective radiation dose per patient. Radiological assessment revealed a more accurate screw placement with robot-assistance. A learning curve could be observed in the robot-assisted fusion.

CONCLUSIONS: Robot-assisted and navigated transpedicular fusion techniques are both effective and safe. Robot-assisted transpedicular spine fusion goes along with higher placement accuracy but its implementation needs an adequate learning curve. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.

PMID:36649651 | DOI:10.1002/rcs.2500

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

INSTITUTIONAL OUTCOMES OF BLUNT LIVER & SPLENIC INJURY IN THE ATOMAC ERA

J Trauma Acute Care Surg. 2023 Jan 16. doi: 10.1097/TA.0000000000003870. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The Arizona-Texas-Oklahoma-Memphis-Arkansas Consortium (ATOMAC) practice management guideline was created to standardize management of blunt liver or spleen injury across pediatric trauma centers. We describe our outcomes since guideline adoption at our institution and hypothesize that blunt liver or spleen injury may be managed more expeditiously than currently reported without compromising safety.

METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted on patients <18 years presenting with BLSI from March 2016 to March 2021 at one participating center.

RESULTS: 199 patients were included. There were no clinically relevant differences for age, body mass index (BMI), or sex among the cohort. Isolated splenic injuries (46%, n = 91), and motor vehicle collisions (MVC) (41%, n = 82) were the most common injury and mechanism, respectively. The overall median length of stay (LOS) was 1.2 days (IQR 0.45, 3.3). Intensive Care Unit (ICU) utilization was 23% (n = 46). There was no statistically significant difference in median LOS among patients with isolated solid organ injuries, regardless of injury grade. There were no readmissions associated with non-operative management.

CONCLUSION: The ATOMAC guideline fosters high rates of non-operative management with low ICU utilization and LOS, while demonstrating safety in implementation, irrespective of injury grade.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: IV, Therapeutic/Care management.

PMID:36649594 | DOI:10.1097/TA.0000000000003870

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Lanthony D15 for Occupational Testing: Short-term Repeatability

Optom Vis Sci. 2023 Jan 18. doi: 10.1097/OPX.0000000000001991. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

SIGNIFICANCE: The Lanthony D15 has been reported to have poorer repeatability than the Farnsworth D15. This study found that two trials of the test provide high short-term repeatability and can be administered this way for occupational testing.

PURPOSE: To determine the short-term repeatability of the Lanthony D15 in patients with color vision deficiency. Repeated trials were used to examine if learning effects occur and to determine how many trials would be necessary to ensure the highest short-term repeatability for occupational testing.

METHODS: Twenty male subjects (mean/SD age = 27.2/4.3 years) with congenital color vision deficiency, ranging from mild to severe, participated in this single-visit study. Visual acuity, color vision book screening, Farnsworth D15, and anomaloscope testing were performed for classification purposes. Ten trials of the Lanthony D15 were performed. Color confusion index scores from each trial were determined and a repeated measures ANOVA was used to compare the scores across trials. Orthogonal polynomial analysis was performed to detect any trends across trials through the third order. The intraclass correlation coefficient was calculated.

RESULTS: No differences in color confusion index (mean/SEM = 3.57/0.04) were found across the ten trials (P = .18). Legendre polynomials showed no statistical significance (all P > .39). The intraclass correlation coefficient was 0.81 (95% CI: 0.70-0.90). Based on the method of Shrout and Fleiss, intraclass correlation coefficients of 0.7, 0.8, and 0.9 could be achieved with an average of 1, 2, and 4 trials of the test, respectively. However, empirically, 0.9 was not achievable.

CONCLUSIONS: The Lanthony D15 test has fairly high short-term repeatability. Thus, while more trials would likely improve clinical certainty, the mean result of two trials appear sufficient for occupational testing.

PMID:36649587 | DOI:10.1097/OPX.0000000000001991

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Evaluation of the Sensitivity to Endocrine Therapy Index and 21-Gene Breast Recurrence Score in the SWOG S8814 Trial

J Clin Oncol. 2023 Jan 17:JCO2201499. doi: 10.1200/JCO.22.01499. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Chemotherapy has not demonstrated benefit over adjuvant endocrine therapy alone for postmenopausal patients with node-positive breast cancer with a 21-gene breast recurrence score (RS) of 25 or below (RS ≤ 25). We tested whether combined results from RS and the sensitivity to endocrine therapy (SET2,3) index of endocrine-related transcription (SETER/PR) adjusted for baseline prognostic index (BPI) improve prognostic assessment, and whether SET2,3 predicted benefit from anthracycline-based chemotherapy.

METHODS: A blinded retrospective clinical validation of SET2,3 in two randomized treatment arms from the SWOG S8814 trial comparing adjuvant anthracycline-based chemotherapy followed by tamoxifen endocrine therapy for 5 years, versus tamoxifen alone. SET2,3 assay was calibrated and measured using whole-transcriptome RNA sequence of tumor samples already tested for RS. The primary end point was disease-free survival (DFS).

RESULTS: There were 106 events in 283 patients over a median follow-up of 8.99 years. Proportional hazards assumptions were met during the first 5 years only. SET2,3 index and RS were not correlated (r = -0.04) and were independently prognostic (SET2,3: hazard ratio [HR], 0.48 per unit; 95% CI, 0.34 to 0.68; P < .001; RS: HR, 1.28 per 10 units; 95% CI, 1.14 to 1.44; P < .001). SET2,3 index did not predict chemotherapy benefit (interaction P = .77). SET2,3 was high in 93/175 (53%) patients with RS ≤ 25 (concordant low-risk), with 5-year DFS 97%. SET2,3 was low in 55/108 (51%) patients with RS > 25 (concordant high-risk), with 5-year DFS 53%. Both components of SET2,3 index were prognostic after adjustment for RS: SETER/PR (HR, 0.65; 95% CI, 0.46 to 0.92) and BPI (HR, 0.45; 95% CI, 0.31 to 0.64).

CONCLUSION: SET2,3 index was not correlated with RS, demonstrated additive prognostic performance, and was not chemopredictive in this subset of patients from S8814. The SETER/PR and BPI components of SET2,3 each added prognostic information to RS.

PMID:36649570 | DOI:10.1200/JCO.22.01499

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Analysis of the Status of Radiation-generating Medical Devices in Mainland China

Health Phys. 2023 Jan 17. doi: 10.1097/HP.0000000000001669. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

The purpose of this paper is to describe the status of radiation-generating medical devices in mainland China. The number of diagnostic radiology and interventional radiology devices was collected from the national medical radiation protection monitoring information system, while the number of radiation therapy and nuclear medicine devices was from the published articles. Statistical analysis of the correlation was used to assess the relationship between the number of high technology medical devices and GDP per capita. A total of 143,064 radiation-generating medical devices were identified in mainland China, and diagnostic radiology devices accounted for 94% of those. The number of CTs was 14.84 per million, an increase by a factor of 1.45 compared to 2009. But the distribution of CTs was imbalanced among different areas: the highest number of CT per million population was 27.70 in Tibet, and the lowest was 8.55 per million population in Guangxi province. Statistical analysis of the correlation showed that the number of PET scanners per million population was positively correlated with GDP per capita, and similarly for medical accelerators. The number of mammographic devices per million population was much lower than that in other countries. The investment of radiation-generating medical devices in China was far from enough, especially for mammographic devices. More efforts should be taken to bring medical resources to regions with greater population areas in the future.Health Phys. 124(0):000-000; 2023.

PMID:36649541 | DOI:10.1097/HP.0000000000001669

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Investigation of Obesity-Related HAdV-36 in NAFLD Patients: a Case-Control Study

Clin Lab. 2023 Jan 1;69(1). doi: 10.7754/Clin.Lab.2022.221031.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: HAdV-36 leads to adipocyte proliferation of adipose tissue through E4orf1 gene, leading to the development of obesity and related diseases. We aimed to investigate the presence and any association of HAdV-36 in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) patients Methods: The patient group was composed of 116 patients; 30 obese patients with NAFLD (BMI > 30 kg/m2), 30 patients with Diabetes Mellitus (DM)+NAFLD (BMI > 30 kg/m2), 16 patients with NAFLD (BMI < 30 kg/m2), and operated obese group with NAFLD (BMI > 30 kg/m2). The control group comprised 81 non-obese healthy adults. Liver adipose tissue samples were obtained in 30 operated NAFLD patients. HAdV-36-DNA, HAdV-36 neutralizing antibodies, serum lipid, and adipokine levels were analyzed.

RESULTS: HAdV-36 neutralizing antibodies (HAdV-36 Ab-positive) were detected in 10/116 and 2/81 participants in the study and control groups, respectively; the difference was statistically significant (p < 0.005). LDL, total cholesterol but not adipokine levels were found to be significantly higher in HadV-36 Ab-positive patients (p < 0.05). While HAdV-36 was identified as a risk factor with OR = 4.11 in univariate analyses, there was no significant difference in binary logistic regression analysis. HAdV-36-DNA was detected in the adipose tissue samples of two patients.

CONCLUSIONS: We suggest that the presence of HAdV-36 may lead to the development of obesity with the increase in adipose tissue, and diseases such as hyperlipidemia, NAFLD, DM, and metabolic syndrome may develop on the basis of chronic inflammation caused by obesity. Thus, HAdV-36 may be a plausible risk factor for the development of NAFLD.

PMID:36649529 | DOI:10.7754/Clin.Lab.2022.221031

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Procalcitonin (PCT) Improves the Accuracy and Sensitivity of CURB-65 Score in Predicting CAP Patients Admission to ICU

Clin Lab. 2023 Jan 1;69(1). doi: 10.7754/Clin.Lab.2022.220342.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The CURB-65 scoring system is a simple tool for assessment and prognosis prediction for community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) patients. However, the variations in the performance of CURB-65 in young and elderly patients, underestimation, or overestimation of the severity have often been reported. It is worth noting that the application of biomarkers is helpful for improving the accuracy of the scoring system. In recent years, more and more reports and studies paid attention to procalcitonin (PCT) in respiratory infectious diseases, and its clinical value has attracted increasing attention. The study aimed at investigating the effectiveness of the CURB-65 score combined with PCT in predicting admission of CAP patients to intensive care units (ICU).

METHODS: We conducted a retrospective study. We analyzed data from 520 non-immune individuals over the age of 18 in this study. All patients received blood indicators measurement and CURB-65 score calculation on admission. The primary outcome used to assess the probability of a CAP patient was who would get a bed in general ward or ICU. Receiver operating characteristic curves (ROC) were used to evaluate the sensitivity and specificity of the CURB-65 model and PCT combined CURB-65 augmented model in predicting the main outcomes.

RESULTS: After analyzing the data from 520 patients, we found that the probability of entering the ICU was 22.1% (115/520). The AUC of Combination 1 (PCT&CURB-65 scores), Combination 2 (WBC&CURB-65 scores), Combination 3 (hs-CRP&CURB-65 scores) and Combination 4 (D-dimer&CURB-65 scores) for predicting CAP patients entering the ICU was 0.92 (95% CI 0.88 – 0.95), 0.91 (95% CI 0.87 – 0.94), 0.89 (95% CI 0.85 – 0.92), and 0.90 (95% CI 0.87 – 0.94), respectively, with statistically significant differences (p = 0.00); the sensitivities were 0.83, 0.82, 0.77 and 0.77, respectively, and the specificities were 0.92, 0.84, 0.90 and 0.91, respectively. PCT was superior to other indexes to improve the sensitivity and specificity of the CURB-65 score.

CONCLUSIONS: Procalcitonin improves the accuracy and sensitivity of the CURB-65 score in predicting the probability of CAP patients entering the ICU, and PCT was superior to other indexes to improve the sensitivity and specificity of the CURB-65 score.

PMID:36649520 | DOI:10.7754/Clin.Lab.2022.220342