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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Inferring the differences in incubation-period and generation-interval distributions of the Delta and Omicron variants of SARS-CoV-2

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2023 May 30;120(22):e2221887120. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2221887120. Epub 2023 May 22.

ABSTRACT

Estimating the differences in the incubation-period, serial-interval, and generation-interval distributions of SARS-CoV-2 variants is critical to understanding their transmission. However, the impact of epidemic dynamics is often neglected in estimating the timing of infection-for example, when an epidemic is growing exponentially, a cohort of infected individuals who developed symptoms at the same time are more likely to have been infected recently. Here, we reanalyze incubation-period and serial-interval data describing transmissions of the Delta and Omicron variants from the Netherlands at the end of December 2021. Previous analysis of the same dataset reported shorter mean observed incubation period (3.2 d vs. 4.4 d) and serial interval (3.5 d vs. 4.1 d) for the Omicron variant, but the number of infections caused by the Delta variant decreased during this period as the number of Omicron infections increased. When we account for growth-rate differences of two variants during the study period, we estimate similar mean incubation periods (3.8 to 4.5 d) for both variants but a shorter mean generation interval for the Omicron variant (3.0 d; 95% CI: 2.7 to 3.2 d) than for the Delta variant (3.8 d; 95% CI: 3.7 to 4.0 d). The differences in estimated generation intervals may be driven by the “network effect”-higher effective transmissibility of the Omicron variant can cause faster susceptible depletion among contact networks, which in turn prevents late transmission (therefore shortening realized generation intervals). Using up-to-date generation-interval distributions is critical to accurately estimating the reproduction advantage of the Omicron variant.

PMID:37216529 | DOI:10.1073/pnas.2221887120

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Lung aerosol particle emission increases with age at rest and during exercise

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2023 May 30;120(22):e2301145120. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2301145120. Epub 2023 May 22.

ABSTRACT

Airborne respiratory aerosol particle transmission of pathogens such as severe acute respiratory syndrome-coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2), influenza, or rhinoviruses plays a major role in the spread of infectious diseases. The infection risk is increased during indoor exercise, as aerosol particle emission can increase by more than 100-fold from rest to maximal exercise. Earlier studies have investigated the effect of factors such as age, sex, and body mass index (BMI), but only at rest and without taking ventilation into account. Here, we report that during both rest and exercise, subjects aged 60 to 76 y emit on average more than twice as many aerosol particles per minute than subjects aged 20 to 39 y. In terms of volume, older subjects emit on average five times as much dry volume (i.e., the residue of dried aerosol particles) than younger subjects. There was no statistically significant effect of sex or BMI within the test group. Together, this suggests that aging of the lung and respiratory tract is associated with an increased generation of aerosol particles irrespective of ventilation. Our findings demonstrate that age and exercise increase aerosol particle emission. In contrast, sex or BMI only have minor effects.

PMID:37216504 | DOI:10.1073/pnas.2301145120

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The Prevalence and Associated Factors of Attention Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder Among Primary School Children in Amman, Jordan

Cureus. 2023 Apr 19;15(4):e37856. doi: 10.7759/cureus.37856. eCollection 2023 Apr.

ABSTRACT

Objective Attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) is a common neurodevelopmental disorder characterized by impaired levels of inattention, disorganization and/or hyperactivity-impulsivity. The aim of this study was to estimate the prevalence of ADHD among primary school children in Jordan and assess the potential risk factors. Method A cross-sectional study was conducted in 2022-2023 on 1563 school children aged six to 12 years. ADHD was assessed using parent and teacher versions of the Conners Rating scale. Risk factors were evaluated through a sociodemographic questionnaire. A p-value set at <.05 was considered statistically significant. Results ADHD prevalence based on parents’ and teachers’ perspectives was 27.7% and 22.5%, respectively. Males, smoking during pregnancy, low birth weight, low parental education and unemployment, and public schools had increased ADHD rates. Conclusion ADHD presents a major problem among primary school children in Jordan. Early detection, prevention, and management of this disease require parents’ and teachers’ awareness and risk factor control.

PMID:37214023 | PMC:PMC10199271 | DOI:10.7759/cureus.37856

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Impact of Implant Diameter on the Early Survival Rate of Dental Implants in the Saudi Population: A One-Year Retrospective Study

Cureus. 2023 Apr 18;15(4):e37765. doi: 10.7759/cureus.37765. eCollection 2023 Apr.

ABSTRACT

Introduction The use of dental implants provides a revolutionary solution to the problem of missing teeth in the oral cavity. The aim of this study was to assess the early implant survival rate in relation to implant diameter and site of placement. Methods The data were collected from 186 patients treated between January 2019 and June 2021. All the implants were evaluated and restored after three months of implant placement. The early implant survival was calculated for different implant diameters with the odds ratio (OR). Results A total of 373 implants were placed. Implants were placed in the following areas: upper posterior area (UPA), n = 123, upper anterior area (UAA), n = 49, lower posterior area (LPA), n = 184, and lower anterior area (LAA), n = 17. Implants of the following diameters were placed: 3.5 mm (n = 129), 4.3 mm (n = 166), and 5 mm (n = 78). The overall early survival rate was 97.32% after three months of placement. The highest early survival rate was at LAA (100%) and the lowest early survival rate was at UAA (95.9%). The implants 5 mm in diameter had the highest early survival rate (98.72%), while the implants 3.5 mm in diameter had the lowest early survival rate (94.57%). The ORs of the early implant survival were 4.7 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.96-23.05)] and 4.42 (95% CI: 0.53-36.61) for the 4.3 mm and 5 mm implants, respectively, with no statistical significance. Conclusions The implants placed in the oral cavity had acceptable survival rates regardless of implant diameter or site of placement.

PMID:37214022 | PMC:PMC10194036 | DOI:10.7759/cureus.37765

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

A Study to Analyze Refractive Errors in Relation to Age and Sex

Cureus. 2023 Apr 19;15(4):e37834. doi: 10.7759/cureus.37834. eCollection 2023 Apr.

ABSTRACT

Background and objective Refractive defects should be detected and treated early to avoid irreversible vision loss and other potential problems in the future. In this study, we aimed to analyze the refractive errors (REs) and their relationship with gender and age. Methods This study was conducted at the Northern Border University Health Center, Arar, Saudi Arabia. REs were analyzed using spherical equivalents (SEs), cylinders, and their orientations. SEs of REs were taken as half the cylinder plus the spherical component. Emmetropia was defined as SE between -0.50 and +0.50 diopter sphere (DS), myopia as SE ≤0.50 DS, and hyperopia as SE ≥0.50 DS for adults and SE ≥1.0 for children (up to 10 years). Statistical analysis was performed using the IBM SPSS Statistics software package (IBM, Armonk, NY). Qualitative data were presented as frequency and percentage while quantitative data were presented as mean and standard deviation (SD). Chi-square was used as a significant test and a p-value <0.05 was considered statistically significant. Results A total of 240 patients were included in the study. There were 138 men and 102 females aged 3-60 years (57.5 and 42.5%, respectively). The mean age of males was 24.4 years and that of females was 25.5 years. The p-value was statistically significant in terms of analysis with age. The study found an association between age and RE magnitude and variability. Conclusion Based on our findings, RE is a common problem that affects individuals of all ages. Regular screenings are advised for individuals in order to detect REs early.

PMID:37214009 | PMC:PMC10198299 | DOI:10.7759/cureus.37834

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

COVID-19 and Its Impact on Healthcare Workers: Understanding Stigma, Stress, and Quality of Life

Cureus. 2023 Apr 19;15(4):e37846. doi: 10.7759/cureus.37846. eCollection 2023 Apr.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has negatively impacted public health systems worldwide and created anxiety and stress among communities, resulting in the stigmatization of patients infected with the virus. Stigmatization of individuals who are sick or thought to be infected has a long history and can lead to discrimination and prejudice. This study aims to evaluate the prevalence of COVID-19-related stigma in Jordan, assess the relationship between stigma and the quality of life (QoL) in healthcare workers, and identify possible measures to decrease stressful events. Understanding the psychological effects of healthcare workers’ jobs and reducing their burden is essential to improving medical outcomes and the QoL of patients.

METHODOLOGY: This cross-sectional study was conducted in three primary hospitals in Amman, Jordan, from July to December 2021. Healthcare workers were recruited through convenience sampling and completed a self-administered questionnaire, which included demographic information, a validated COVID-19 stigma questionnaire, work conditions during the pandemic, the Depression, Anxiety and Stress Scale – 21 Items (DASS-21) questionnaire to measure depression, anxiety, and stress, and the EUROHIS-QOL questionnaire to assess the QoL. Data were analyzed using descriptive and inferential statistics, including chi-square tests and post hoc analysis. The study was approved by the institutional review board, and participation was voluntary and confidential.

RESULTS: The study was conducted among 683 healthcare workers in Jordan, with 77.7% based in the capital city, Amman. Most of the participants were between 18 and 30 years of age, and slightly more than half were female. The study found that 38.1% of healthcare workers would not take the COVID-19 vaccine once it became available. More than half (56%) reported experiencing stress, 61% reported anxiety, and 65% reported depression during the pandemic. Internal medicine specialties and frontline nurses reported the highest levels of stress, and healthcare workers with greater exposure to COVID-19 patients reported higher levels of anxiety and stress. Only 3% of participants reported experiencing stigmatization (p=0.043), with low-income participants reporting it more frequently. Stigmatization was significantly correlated with feelings of depression, anxiety, and stress (p<0.001).

CONCLUSION: Healthcare workers’ mental well-being has been affected negatively by the COVID-19 pandemic, resulting in depression, anxiety, and stress. Widespread mental surveillance for healthcare workers is crucial to protect healthcare workers from psychological issues and to improve the healthcare service provided to patients. Stigma among healthcare workers can be a major factor that may increase depression, anxiety, and stress.

PMID:37214008 | PMC:PMC10198658 | DOI:10.7759/cureus.37846

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Knowledge Assessment Regarding the Differences Between Hypothyroidism and Hyperthyroidism Among Saudi Arabia’s Adult Population

Cureus. 2023 Apr 19;15(4):e37830. doi: 10.7759/cureus.37830. eCollection 2023 Apr.

ABSTRACT

Introduction Worldwide, thyroid diseases are among the most prevalent endocrine disorders. According to the Saudi Arabian Ministry of Health (MOH), many thyroid disease cases remain undiagnosed and, as a result, are not treated because the patient has no symptoms or is unaware of them. Hence, this study aims to assess the knowledge about hypothyroidism and hyperthyroidism among Saudi Arabia’s population. Methodology A cross-sectional survey was conducted among Saudi adults in five randomly selected regions in Saudi Arabia from December 2022 – January 2023. An Arabic self-administered questionnaire was sent to randomly selected participants via an online link. The questionnaire was composed of four parts: Sociodemographic; knowledge related to hypothyroidism and hyperthyroidism diseases and their differences; knowledge about the thyroid gland in terms of functions and causes of thyroid dysfunction. The Statistical Package for Social Sciences was used for data analysis. Results Out of 996 participants (66.2% women), 70.1% knew the function of the thyroid gland, 66.4% knew that women are more susceptible to thyroid disease, and 49.5% knew the association between thyroid dysfunction and heart disease. Female sex, higher education, and old age were associated with good knowledge, and no differences were evident regarding nationality and residence. The results showed inadequate awareness regarding thyroid diseases in Saudi Arabia, with some parts of this population being very clearly below average. Conclusion Knowledge regarding thyroid disorders was sub-optimal in Saudi Arabia; older women with higher education had the best knowledge. With even larger samples, we recommend that future studies be made to develop clear and decisive public health strategies that can be implemented at once.

PMID:37214007 | PMC:PMC10198238 | DOI:10.7759/cureus.37830

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The Role of Cytomorphometric Image Analysis in the Diagnosis of Thyroid Nodules

Cureus. 2023 Apr 20;15(4):e37872. doi: 10.7759/cureus.37872. eCollection 2023 Apr.

ABSTRACT

Introduction Fine needle aspiration cytology (FNAC) plays a vital role in the diagnosis of thyroid nodules. However, it is challenging due to the heterogeneity of thyroid nodules, overlapping cytomorphological features, and interobserver variability. Cytomorphometric analysis turns subjective observations into quantitative values. In this study, we performed cytomorphometric image analysis on cytological smears of thyroid nodules, classified according to The Bethesda System for Reporting Thyroid Cytopathology (TBSRTC). Materials and methods A retrospective analysis of Papanicolaou (PAP) and Hematoxylin & Eosin (H&E) stained fine needle aspirate smears from 50 patients with thyroid nodules with available follow-up histopathology was performed for a period of two years (March 2021 – March 2023), after obtaining approval from the institutional human ethical committee (IHEC-LOP/2020/IM0355). The nodules were categorized according to TBSRTC and were then subjected to cytomorphometric image analysis. Each nucleus was analyzed for 14 parameters, including aspect ratio, intensity, diameter, perimeter, roundness, area, fractal dimension, feret diameter, circularity, radii, fournier description, and chromatin texture parameters such as heterogeneity and clumpiness. The data obtained was analyzed through relevant statistical methods using SPSS version 23 (IBM Inc., Armonk, New York) and was compared by using the analysis of variance (ANOVA) test and post hoc test. Results Our results revealed that cytomorphometric image analysis not only distinguishes benign and malignant thyroid nodules but also can aid in categorizing thyroid nodules with predominant follicular patterns, such as follicular variant of papillary carcinoma, follicular adenoma and follicular carcinoma (p<0.001). Conclusions Morphometric analysis of cytological smears combined with cytomorphology has the potential to be an important tool in the diagnosis of thyroid nodules. It can improve diagnostic accuracy for better treatment and improved prognosis.

PMID:37214005 | PMC:PMC10199653 | DOI:10.7759/cureus.37872

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Prescribing Trends in Psychotropic Medications Among Outpatients of a Latin American Healthcare Setting: A Five-Year Retrospective Study

Cureus. 2023 Apr 19;15(4):e37832. doi: 10.7759/cureus.37832. eCollection 2023 Apr.

ABSTRACT

Introduction Mental health problems affect millions worldwide, and the prescription of psychotropic drugs is increasing globally. The World Health Organization (WHO) has emphasized the need for proper monitoring of psychotropic drug prescriptions. This study aims to characterize and find trends in the prescription of psychotropics in a Latin American General Hospital. Methods The study analyzed the dispensation of psychotropic prescriptions to outpatients at three pharmacies in the central headquarters of Hospital Clínica Bíblica in San José, Costa Rica, from 2017 to 2021. Psychotropic drugs were classified by the Anatomical Therapeutic Chemical (ATC) code, and the amount of each medication dispensed was standardized using the defined daily dose per 10,000 population per day metric. Patients’ ages were categorized into four groups: under 18 years, 18 to 39 years, 40 to 64 years, and 65 years and above. The prescriptions were categorized according to medical specialty. Regression analyses were performed to determine the significance of trends observed in the data Results A total of 5793 psychotropic prescriptions were recorded. The average age of the patients was 58 years. The total consumption of psychotropics decreased by 33.94% from 2017 to 2021, with the most significant decline until 2020. However, there was an increase in consumption in 2021. Clonazepam was the most consumed medication, followed by bromazepam and alprazolam, which was the sole drug to exhibit an escalation in usage between 2017 and 2021. Regression analysis showed that only alprazolam and zopiclone had statistically significant trends. The highest number of prescriptions was dispensed to patients aged between 40 and 64 years, followed by those aged over 65 years. Anxiolytics were also the most commonly prescribed group of drugs. General medicine (20.22%), psychiatry (19.95%), and internal medicine (12.73%) were the primary specialties that prescribed psychotropic; 38.6% of prescriptions were associated with the 10th decile of patients, and 44.9% of prescriptions were issued by the 10th decile of physicians. Conclusion The consumption of psychotropic drugs decreased from 2017 to 2020 but increased in 2021, with alprazolam being the only drug that showed an increase in consumption throughout the entire period. General practitioners and psychiatrists were found to be the specialties that most commonly prescribe these medications. The study found significant trends only for the consumption of alprazolam and zopiclone and for prescription patterns among psychiatrists and internal medicine physicians.

PMID:37213996 | PMC:PMC10198243 | DOI:10.7759/cureus.37832

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Primary Total Knee Replacement: A Recipe for Dry Dressing

Cureus. 2023 Apr 19;15(4):e37820. doi: 10.7759/cureus.37820. eCollection 2023 Apr.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate surgical outcomes using sets of techniques to achieve single dry dressing for two weeks post total knee replacement (TKR) at Dr. Sulaiman Al-Habib Hospital, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

MATERIAL AND METHODS: A prospective study comprised of 110 consecutive unilateral total knee replacements was conducted at the orthopedic department of Dr. Sulaiman Al-Habib Hospital, Suwaidi, Riyadh, KSA. Patients of both genders underwent knee replacement surgery due to primary knee osteoarthritis, Kellgren-Lawrence grades 3 and 4. Routine investigations and fitness evaluations of patients were carried out preoperatively. Preoperative minimal use of a tourniquet and release prior to arthrotomy closure; intravenous tranexamic acid, no drains; capsule infiltration with local anesthetics without adrenaline; tight closure with barbed sutures up to the skin in three layers; skin glue; Aquacel dressing; adductor canal block; and continuation of oral anticoagulant for four weeks.

RESULTS: A total of 110 cases were included, of which 81 (73.6%) were females and 29 (26.4%) were males. The mean age of the study population was 60.5+10.3 years (48 to 88 years). The mean BMI in our patients was 30.57+10.5 kg/m2. Most patients were morbidly obese 13 (30.95%). The mean preoperative Hb% was 13.07+1.6 g/dl, while the mean postoperative Hb% was 12.58+1.9 mg/dl with a p-value of 0.28, which was non-significant statistically. Only two patients needed a change of Aquacel wound dressing for ooze. None of our patients developed deep venous thrombosis (DVT) or an infection.

CONCLUSION: A sequential use of sets of techniques is observed to be associated with improved outcomes in terms of blood loss, wound infection, mobility, and patient satisfaction, leading to the ultimate end point of dry Aquacel wound dressing.

PMID:37213992 | PMC:PMC10197911 | DOI:10.7759/cureus.37820