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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Key Population Size Estimation to Guide HIV Epidemic Responses in Nigeria: Bayesian Analysis of 3-Source Capture-Recapture Data

JMIR Public Health Surveill. 2022 Oct 26;8(10):e34555. doi: 10.2196/34555.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Nigeria has the fourth largest burden of HIV globally. Key populations, including female sex workers, men who have sex with men, and people who inject drugs, are more vulnerable to HIV than the general population due to stigmatized and criminalized behaviors. Reliable key population size estimates are needed to guide HIV epidemic response efforts.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of our study was to use empirical methods for sampling and analysis to improve the quality of population size estimates of female sex workers, men who have sex with men, and people who inject drugs in 7 states (Akwa Ibom, Benue, Cross River, Lagos, Nasarawa, Rivers, and the Federal Capital Territory) of Nigeria for program planning and to demonstrate improved statistical estimation methods.

METHODS: From October to December 2018, we used 3-source capture-recapture to produce population size estimates in 7 states in Nigeria. Hotspots were mapped before 3-source capture-recapture started. We sampled female sex workers, men who have sex with men, and people who inject drugs during 3 independent captures about one week apart. During hotspot encounters, key population members were offered inexpensive, memorable objects unique to each capture round. In subsequent rounds, key population members were offered an object and asked to identify objects received during previous rounds (if any). Correct responses were tallied and recorded on tablets. Data were aggregated by key population and state for analysis. Median population size estimates were derived using Bayesian nonparametric latent-class models with 80% highest density intervals.

RESULTS: Overall, we sampled approximately 310,000 persons at 9015 hotspots during 3 independent captures. Population size estimates for female sex workers ranged from 14,500 to 64,300; population size estimates for men who have sex with men ranged from 3200 to 41,400; and population size estimates for people who inject drugs ranged from 3400 to 30,400.

CONCLUSIONS: This was the first implementation of these 3-source capture-recapture methods in Nigeria. Our population size estimates were larger than previously documented for each key population in all states. The Bayesian models account for factors, such as social visibility, that influence heterogeneous capture probabilities, resulting in more reliable population size estimates. The larger population size estimates suggest a need for programmatic scale-up to reach these populations, which are at highest risk for HIV.

PMID:36287587 | DOI:10.2196/34555

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Evaluation of a Web-Based Culturally Sensitive Educational Video to Facilitate Informed Cervical Cancer Screening Decisions Among Turkish- and Moroccan-Dutch Women Aged 30 to 60 Years: Randomized Intervention Study

J Med Internet Res. 2022 Oct 26;24(10):e35962. doi: 10.2196/35962.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: In the Netherlands, since 1996, a national cervical cancer (CC) screening program has been implemented for women aged 30 to 60 years. Regional screening organizations send an invitation letter and information brochure in Dutch to the home addresses of targeted women every 5 years. Although this screening is free of charge, Turkish- and Moroccan-Dutch women, especially, show low screening participation and limited informed decision-making (IDM). As Turkish- and Moroccan-Dutch women indicated their need for information on the practical, emotional, cultural, and religious aspects of CC screening, we developed a culturally sensitive educational video (CSEV) as an addition to the current information brochure.

OBJECTIVE: In this study, we aimed to evaluate the added effect of the CSEV on IDM regarding CC screening participation among Turkish and Moroccan women aged 30 to 60 years in the Netherlands through a randomized intervention study.

METHODS: Initial respondents were recruited via several social media platforms and invited to complete a web-based questionnaire. Following respondent-driven sampling, respondents were asked to recruit a number of peers from their social networks to complete the same questionnaire. Respondents were randomly assigned to the control (current information brochure) or intervention condition (brochure and CSEV). We measured respondents’ knowledge and attitude regarding CC screening and their intention to participate in the next CC screening round before and after the control or intervention condition. We evaluated the added effect of the CSEV (above the brochure) on their knowledge, attitude, intention, and IDM using intention-to-treat analyses.

RESULTS: The final sample (n=1564) included 686 (43.86%) Turkish and 878 (56.14%) Moroccan-Dutch women. Of this sample, 50.7% (793/1564) were randomized to the control group (350/793, 44.1% Turkish and 443/793, 55.9% Moroccan) and 49.3% (771/1564) to the intervention group (336/771, 43.6% Turkish and 435/771, 56.4% Moroccan). Among the Turkish-Dutch women, 33.1% (116/350) of the control respondents and 40.5% (136/336) of the intervention respondents consulted the brochure (not statistically significant). Among Moroccan-Dutch women, these percentages were 28.2% (125/443) and 37.9% (165/435), respectively (P=.003). Of all intervention respondents, 96.1% (323/336; Turkish) and 84.4% (367/435; Moroccan) consulted the CSEV. The CSEV resulted in more positive screening attitudes among Moroccan-Dutch women than the brochure (323/435, 74.3% vs 303/443, 68.4%; P=.07). Women, who had never participated in CC screening before, showed significantly more often a positive attitude toward CC screening compared with the control group (P=.01).

CONCLUSIONS: Our short and easily implementable CSEV resulted in more positive screening attitudes, especially in Moroccan-Dutch women. As the CSEV was also watched far more often than the current brochure was read, this intervention can contribute to better reach and more informed CC screening decisions among Turkish- and Moroccan-Dutch women.

TRIAL REGISTRATION: International Clinical Trial Registry Platform NL8453; https://tinyurl.com/2dvbjxvc.

PMID:36287585 | DOI:10.2196/35962

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

How sedentary are Canadian adults? It depends on the measure

Health Rep. 2022 Oct 19;33(10):14-27. doi: 10.25318/82-003-x202201000002-eng.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: The new Canadian 24-Hour Movement Guidelines for Adults aged 18-64 years and Adults aged 65 years and older recommend that adults limit daily sedentary time to eight hours or less, including three hours or less of recreational screen time. The eight-hour recommendation was centred between the evidence from research using self-reported sitting time (threshold: seven hours or less per day) and accelerometer-measured sedentary time (threshold: nine hours or less per day). The purpose of this study is to compare the percentages of Canadians meeting three different sedentary thresholds (three hours or less per day of screen time, seven hours or less per day of self-reported sitting time and nine hours or less per day of accelerometer-measured sedentary time).

METHODS: This analysis is based on 2,511 adults (aged 18 to 79 years) from Cycle 3 of the Canadian Health Measures Survey, in 2012 and 2013. Screen time and sitting time were assessed via self-report, and average daily sedentary time was assessed using a hip-worn Actical accelerometer.

RESULTS: Adults self-reported an average daily screen time of 3.2 hours (95% confidence interval [CI]: 3.0 to 3.5) and an average daily sitting time of 5.7 hours (95% CI: 5.4 to 6.0). According to accelerometry data, adults accumulated an average of 9.8 hours per day (95% CI: 9.7 to 9.9) of sedentary time. Adherence varied, with 57.7% meeting the self-reported recreational screen time threshold of three hours or less per day, 71.7% meeting the self-reported sitting time threshold of seven hours or less per day and 26.5% meeting the accelerometer-measured sedentary time threshold of nine hours or less per day.

INTERPRETATION: The percentage of Canadian adults meeting the three different sedentary behaviour thresholds varied widely. The findings in this article highlight the difference in sedentary time between what Canadians report versus what is measured by an accelerometer.

PMID:36287575 | DOI:10.25318/82-003-x202201000002-eng

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Association of Exposure to Wildfire Air Pollution With Exacerbations of Atopic Dermatitis and Itch Among Older Adults

JAMA Netw Open. 2022 Oct 3;5(10):e2238594. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2022.38594.

NO ABSTRACT

PMID:36287569 | DOI:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2022.38594

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Association of Finerenone Use With Reduction in Treatment-Emergent Pneumonia and COVID-19 Adverse Events Among Patients With Type 2 Diabetes and Chronic Kidney Disease: A FIDELITY Pooled Secondary Analysis

JAMA Netw Open. 2022 Oct 3;5(10):e2236123. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2022.36123.

ABSTRACT

IMPORTANCE: Patients with chronic kidney disease and type 2 diabetes have a higher risk of developing pneumonia as well as an increased risk of severe COVID-19-associated adverse events and mortality. Therefore, the anti-inflammatory effects of mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists via blockade of the mineralocorticoid receptor may alter the risk of pneumonia and COVID-19-associated adverse events in patients with chronic kidney disease and type 2 diabetes.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate whether the selective, nonsteroidal mineralocorticoid receptor antagonist finerenone is associated with protection against pneumonia and COVID-19 adverse events in patients with type 2 diabetes and chronic kidney disease.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This secondary analysis used patient-level data from FIDELITY, a prespecified pooled analysis of 2 multicenter, double-blind, placebo-controlled, event-driven, phase 3 randomized clinical trials: FIDELIO-DKD and FIGARO-DKD, conducted between September 2015 and February 2021. Patients in FIDELIO-DKD or FIGARO-DKD with type 2 diabetes and chronic kidney disease (urine albumin to creatine ratio, 30-5000 mg/g, estimated glomerular filtration rate ≥25 mL/min/1.73 m2) were assessed. Data were analyzed from May 15, 2021, to July 28, 2022.

EXPOSURE: Patients were randomized to finerenone (10 or 20 mg once daily) or matching placebo.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: The main outcomes were investigator-reported incidences of treatment-emergent infective pneumonia adverse events and serious adverse events (during and up to 3 days after treatment) and any COVID-19 adverse events.

RESULTS: Of 13 026 randomized patients (mean [SD] age, 64.8 [9.5] years; 9088 [69.8%] men), 12 999 were included in the FIDELITY safety population (6510 patients receiving finerenone; 6489 patients receiving placebo). Over a median (range) treatment duration of 2.6 (0-5.1) years, finerenone was consistently associated with reduced risk of pneumonia and serious pneumonia vs placebo. Overall, 307 patients (4.7%) treated with finerenone and 434 patients (6.7%) treated with placebo experienced pneumonia (hazard ratio [HR], 0.71; 95% CI, 0.64-0.79; P < .001). Serious pneumonia occurred in 171 patients (2.6%) treated with finerenone and 250 patients (3.9%) treated with placebo (HR, 0.69; 95% CI, 0.60-0.79; P < .001). Incidence proportions of COVID-19 adverse events were 86 patients (1.3%) in the finerenone group and 118 patients (1.8%) in the placebo group (HR, 0.73; 95% CI, 0.60-0.89; P = .002).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: These findings suggest that mineralocorticoid receptor blockade with finerenone was associated with protection against pneumonia and COVID-19 adverse events in patients with type 2 diabetes and chronic kidney disease. Further clinical studies may be warranted.

TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov identifiers: FIDELIO-DKD: NCT02540993; FIGARO-DKD: NCT02545049.

PMID:36287567 | DOI:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2022.36123

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Current Communication Practices Between Obstetrics and Gynecology Residency Applicants and Program Directors

JAMA Netw Open. 2022 Oct 3;5(10):e2238655. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2022.38655.

ABSTRACT

IMPORTANCE: In order to equitably improve the residency application process, it is essential to understand the problems we need to address.

OBJECTIVE: To determine how obstetrics and gynecology (OBGYN) applicants and faculty communicate applicants’ interest to residency programs, and how program directors report being influenced by these communications.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This survey study was conducted with email surveys of OBGYN application stakeholders in 2022. Included participants were OBGYN applicants, clerkship directors, and residency program directors in medical education associations’ email listservs.

EXPOSURES: Surveys sent by the American Association of Medical Colleges, Association of Professors of Gynecology and Obstetrics, and Council on Resident Education in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Whether applicants themselves, or faculty on their behalf, communicated to residency programs, and the influence program directors reported placing on these communications for their decision-making. Descriptive statistics and χ2 tests were used to analyze differences.

RESULTS: A total 726 of 2781 applicants (26.1%) responded to the survey and were included in analysis (79 of 249 [31.7%] clerkship directors; 200 of 280 [71.4%] program directors). The self-reported racial and ethnic demographics of the 726 applicant respondents were 86 Asian (11.8%), 54 Black (7.4%), 41 Latinx (5.6%), 1 Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander (0.1%), 369 White (52.2%), 45 with multiple racial identities (6.2%), and 91 (21.5%) preferring not to answer. The majority of applicants (590 [82.9%]) sent communications at some point in the application process. Applicants who identified as White (336 [88.7%]) or Asian (75 [87.2%]) were more likely than those who identified as Black (40 [74.1%]) or Latinx (33 [80.5%]) to reach out to programs (P = .02). There were also differences in type of medical school, with 377 of 427 MD applicants (88.3%), 109 of 125 DO applicants (87.2%), and 67 of 87 International Medical Graduate applicants (77.7%) reporting sending communications (P = .02). Approximately one-third (254 applicants [35.7%]) had faculty reach out to programs on their behalf. White (152 [40.1%]) and Asian (37 [43.0%]) applicants were more likely to have faculty reach out compared with Black (6 [11.1%]) and Latinx (12 [29.3%]) applicants (P = .01). Program directors reported that preinterview communications from faculty they knew (64 [32.2%]) and other program directors (25 [12.6%]) strongly influenced their decisions, and otherwise rarely reported that communications strongly influenced their decisions.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: The current state of communications may increase inequities in residency application processes; differences between faculty communications for applicants from different racial and ethnic backgrounds are particularly concerning given that program directors are more likely to weigh communications from faculty in their decision-making. A centralized, equitable means for applicants to signal their interest to programs is urgently needed.

PMID:36287561 | DOI:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2022.38655

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Practical Guide to Designing a Clinical Trial in Surgery

JAMA Surg. 2022 Oct 26. doi: 10.1001/jamasurg.2022.4883. Online ahead of print.

NO ABSTRACT

PMID:36287556 | DOI:10.1001/jamasurg.2022.4883

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Practical Guide to Recruitment of Participants for Surgical Clinical Trials

JAMA Surg. 2022 Oct 26. doi: 10.1001/jamasurg.2022.4886. Online ahead of print.

NO ABSTRACT

PMID:36287552 | DOI:10.1001/jamasurg.2022.4886

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Practical Guide to Budgeting and Funding a Clinical Trial in Surgery

JAMA Surg. 2022 Oct 26. doi: 10.1001/jamasurg.2022.4907. Online ahead of print.

NO ABSTRACT

PMID:36287548 | DOI:10.1001/jamasurg.2022.4907

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Practical Guide to Design Choice of Randomized Clinical Trials in Surgery

JAMA Surg. 2022 Oct 26. doi: 10.1001/jamasurg.2022.4889. Online ahead of print.

NO ABSTRACT

PMID:36287547 | DOI:10.1001/jamasurg.2022.4889