Tag: statistics

J Obstet Gynaecol. 2022 Aug 18:1-6. doi: 10.1080/01443615.2022.2109407. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

We aimed to identify whether IL-1β (rs1143627, rs1143634 and rs16944), IL-6 (rs1800796), IL-10(rs1800872 and rs1800896), and vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) (rs1570360) gene polymorphisms were risk factors for recurrent pregnancy loss (RPL) in a population of women in northwestern China. A total of 150 women with a history of two or more unexplained and consecutive spontaneous abortions before their 24th gestational week and 150 age-matched women with at least two normal pregnancies and no history of pregnancy loss were included in the present study as cases and controls, respectively. We extracted genomic DNA from peripheral blood, and executed genotyping with the SNaPshot technique. Logistic regression analysis was conducted to determine the odds ratios (ORs) of the associations between the polymorphisms and RPL. Of the seven polymorphisms we studied, only IL-6 rs1800796 showed a statistically significant association with RPL, as we noted an elevated risk of RPL with the G allele (OR = 1.57; 95% CI, 1.10-2.24; p = .01). The risk of RPL in women with the GG + CG genotype (OR = 1.96; 95% CI, 1.19-3.21; p = .01) was also higher than that in women with the CC genotype. The present study thus indicated that the IL-6 gene rs1800796 polymorphism may serve as an important risk factor for RPL in this group of women from northwestern China.IMPACT STATEMENTWhat is already known on this subject? Cytokine and vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) gene polymorphisms may affect the risk of recurrent pregnancy loss (RPL) by modulating cytokine and VEGF expression.What do the results of this study add? The study results showed that the IL-6 rs1800796 single-nucleotide polymorphism constituted a risk factor for RPL in a population of women in northwestern China.What are the implications of these findings for clinical practice and/or further research? This study clearly reflects clinical significance as it provides a theoretical basis for the early screening of RPL by revealing that the IL-6 gene rs1800796 polymorphism increased the risk of RPL in women in northwestern China.

PMID:35980661 | DOI:10.1080/01443615.2022.2109407

Int J Cosmet Sci. 2022 Aug 18. doi: 10.1111/ics.12814. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to compare data of conductance and capacitance measurements of facial skin hydration and to evaluate and discuss the advantages and disadvantages of the different approaches.

METHODS: We measured skin capacitance (Corneometer® CM 825) and skin conductance (Skicon-200EX®) on 30 predefined facial sites of 125 Chinese women, resulting in 3750 readings per device. The data were analysed and compared, and continuous colour maps were generated on a 3D avatar for capacitance, conductance, relative difference (Δ%) and correlation (R-value) by interpolating between the individual readings and converting the values to colours. This visualisation allows a better interpretation of the results.

RESULTS: The complexity of facial skin hydration is revealed by this approach. The similarities and discrepancies in the facial hydration maps are clearly apparent. Due to the superiority of the Skicon in measuring high hydration levels, differences in skin hydration were evident on the forehead compared with the Corneometer maps, which may be related to the more superficial measurement of hydration within the stratum corneum. Conversely, a greater understanding of the complexity of facial skin hydration in the nasolabial fold was obvious when using the Corneometer. The best congruence between the instruments was found at two specific but separated facial areas, one around the inner eye region and the other one on a line between the nasolabial sulcus and the oblique, lateral jaw. Interestingly, the data was not normally distributed for both instruments and they had opposite skews. All facial clusters were statistically different from each other (p<0.001), except the cheek and jaw for the Skicon. Larger than expected percentage coefficients of variance were found for the Corneometer on some facial sites that might be explainable by differences in stratum corneum physiology and biochemistry. Corneometer values of 48 AU and Skicon values of 132 μS were taken as the cut off for normally hydrated facial skin.

CONCLUSIONS: Both devices have their advantages and disadvantages suggesting that bio-instrumental measurement of skin hydration is actually more complicated than commonly thought and that the different facial zones and the use of multiple instrumentation have not been adequately considered.

PMID:35980652 | DOI:10.1111/ics.12814

JAMA Netw Open. 2022 Aug 1;5(8):e2225964. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2022.25964.

ABSTRACT

IMPORTANCE: Instrumental variables can control for selection bias in observational research. However, valid instruments are challenging to identify.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate regional variation in sleeve gastrectomy following insurance coverage implementation as an instrumental variable in comparative effectiveness research.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This serial cross-sectional study included adult patients in a national Medicare claims database who underwent sleeve gastrectomy or Roux-en-Y gastric bypass from 2012 to 2017. Data analysis was performed from January to June 2021.

EXPOSURES: Laparoscopic sleeve gastrectomy and Roux-en-Y gastric bypass.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: The association of the instrumental variable with treatment (ie, undergoing sleeve gastrectomy), as well as mortality, complications, emergency department visits, hospitalization, reinterventions, and surgical revision.

RESULTS: A total of 76 077 patients underwent bariatric surgery, of whom 44 367 underwent sleeve gastrectomy (mean [SD] age, 56.9 [11.9] years; 32 559 [73.5%] women) and 31 710 underwent gastric bypass (mean (SD) age, 55.9 (11.8) years; 23 750 [74.9%] women). After insurance coverage initiation, there was substantial regional and temporal variation in adoption of sleeve gastrectomy. Prior-year state-level utilization of sleeve gastrectomy was highly associated with undergoing sleeve gastrectomy (Kleibergen-Paap Wald F statistic, 910.3). All but 2 patient characteristics (race and diagnosis of depression) were well-balanced between the top and bottom quartiles of the instrumental variable. Regarding 1-year outcomes, compared with patients undergoing gastric bypass, patients undergoing sleeve gastrectomy had a lower 1-year risk of mortality (0.9%; 95% CI, 0.8%-1.1% vs 1.7%; 95% CI, 1.3%-2.0%), complications (11.6%; 95% CI, 10.9%-12.3% vs 14.1%; 95% CI, 13.0%-15.3%), emergency department visits (48.3%; 95% CI, 46.9%-49.8% vs 53.6%; 95% CI, 52.3%-55.0%), hospitalization (23.4%; 95% CI, 22.4%-24.4% vs 26.5%; 95% CI, 25.1%-28.0%), and reinterventions (8.7%; 95% CI, 8.0%-9.4% vs 12.2%; 95% CI, 11.2%-13.3%). The risk of revision was not different between groups (0.6%; 95% CI, 0.3%-0.8% vs 0.4%; 95% CI, 0.3%-0.6%).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this cross-sectional study of patients undergoing bariatric surgery, there was significant geographic variation in the use of sleeve gastrectomy following initiation of insurance coverage, which served as a strong instrument to compare 2 bariatric surgical procedures. This approach could be applied to other areas of health services research to serve as a complement to clinical trials.

PMID:35980640 | DOI:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2022.25964

JAMA Netw Open. 2022 Aug 1;5(8):e2227443. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2022.27443.

ABSTRACT

IMPORTANCE: The COVID-19 pandemic is associated with decreased surgical procedure volumes, but existing studies have not investigated this association beyond the end of 2020, analyzed changes during the post-vaccine release period, or quantified these changes by patient acuity.

OBJECTIVE: To quantify changes in the volume of surgical procedures at a 1017-bed academic quaternary care center from January 6, 2019, to December 31, 2021.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: In this cohort study, 129 596 surgical procedure volumes were retrospectively analyzed during 4 periods: pre-COVID-19 (January 6, 2019, to January 4, 2020), COVID-19 peak (March 15, 2020, to May 2, 2020), post-COVID-19 peak (May 3, 2020, to January 2, 2021), and post-vaccine release (January 3, 2021, to December 31, 2021). Surgery volumes were analyzed by subspecialty and case class (elective, emergent, nonurgent, urgent). Statistical analysis was by autoregressive integrated moving average modeling.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: The primary outcome of this study was the change in weekly surgical procedure volume across the 4 COVID-19 periods.

RESULTS: A total of 129 596 records of surgical procedures were reviewed. During the COVID-19 peak, overall weekly surgical procedure volumes (mean [SD] procedures per week, 406.00 [171.45]; 95% CI, 234.56-577.46) declined 44.6% from pre-COVID-19 levels (mean [SD] procedures per week, 732.37 [12.70]; 95% CI, 719.67-745.08; P < .001). This weekly volume decrease occurred across all surgical subspecialties. During the post-COVID peak period, overall weekly surgical volumes (mean [SD] procedures per week, 624.31 [142.45]; 95% CI, 481.85-766.76) recovered to only 85.8% of pre-COVID peak volumes (P < .001). This insufficient recovery was inconsistent across subspecialties and case classes. During the post-vaccine release period, although some subspecialties experienced recovery to pre-COVID-19 volumes, others continued to experience declines.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: This quaternary care institution effectively responded to the pressures of the COVID-19 pandemic by substantially decreasing surgical procedure volumes during the peak of the pandemic. However, overall surgical procedure volumes did not fully recover to pre-COVID-19 levels well into 2021, with inconsistent recovery rates across subspecialties and case classes. These declines suggest that delays in surgical procedures may result in potentially higher morbidity rates in the future. The differential recovery rates across subspecialties may inform institutional focus for future operational recovery.

PMID:35980636 | DOI:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2022.27443

JAMA Intern Med. 2022 Aug 18. doi: 10.1001/jamainternmed.2022.3858. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

IMPORTANCE: The risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE) in ambulatory COVID-19 is controversial. In addition, the association of vaccination with COVID-19-related VTE and relevant clinical and genetic risk factors remain to be elucidated.

OBJECTIVE: To quantify the association between ambulatory COVID-19 and short-term risk of VTE, study the potential protective role of vaccination, and investigate clinical and genetic risk factors for post-COVID-19 VTE.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This population-based cohort study of patients with COVID-19 from UK Biobank included participants with SARS-CoV-2 infection that was confirmed by a positive polymerase chain test reaction result between March 1, 2020, and September 3, 2021, who were then propensity score matched to COVID-19-naive people during the same period. Participants with a history of VTE who used antithrombotic drugs (1 year before index dates) or tested positive in hospital were excluded.

EXPOSURES: First infection with SARS-CoV-2, age, sex, ethnicity, socioeconomic status, obesity, vaccination status, and inherited thrombophilia.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: The primary outcome was a composite VTE, including deep vein thrombosis or pulmonary embolism, which occurred 30 days after the infection. Hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% CIs were calculated using cause-specific Cox models.

RESULTS: In 18 818 outpatients with COVID-19 (10 580 women [56.2%]; mean [SD] age, 64.3 [8.0] years) and 93 179 matched uninfected participants (52 177 women [56.0%]; mean [SD] age, 64.3 [7.9] years), the infection was associated with an increased risk of VTE in 30 days (incidence rate of 50.99 and 2.37 per 1000 person-years for infected and uninfected people, respectively; HR, 21.42; 95% CI, 12.63-36.31). However, risk was substantially attenuated among the fully vaccinated (HR, 5.95; 95% CI, 1.82-19.5; interaction P = .02). In patients with COVID-19, older age, male sex, and obesity were independently associated with higher risk, with adjusted HRs of 1.87 (95% CI, 1.50-2.33) per 10 years, 1.69 (95% CI, 1.30-2.19), and 1.83 (95% CI, 1.28-2.61), respectively. Further, inherited thrombophilia was associated with an HR of 2.05 (95% CI, 1.15-3.66) for post-COVID-19 VTE.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this population-based cohort study of patients with COVID-19, ambulatory COVID-19 was associated with a substantially increased risk of incident VTE, but this risk was greatly reduced in fully vaccinated people with breakthrough infection. Older age, male sex, and obesity were clinical risk factors for post-COVID-19 VTE; factor V Leiden thrombophilia was additionally associated with double the risk, comparable with the risk of 10-year aging. These findings may reinforce the need for vaccination, inform VTE risk stratification, and call for targeted VTE prophylaxis strategies for unvaccinated outpatients with COVID-19.

PMID:35980616 | DOI:10.1001/jamainternmed.2022.3858

J Obstet Gynaecol. 2022 Aug 18:1-8. doi: 10.1080/01443615.2022.2109130. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

This study aimed to investigate the protective effect of ozone therapy on ovarian reserve, number of ovarian follicles, ovarian morphology in a rat ischaemia reperfusion (IR) injury model. Twenty-four, Wistar Hannover rats were included. The rats were divided into three groups as control, detorsion-only, and ozone therapy + detorsion groups. There was a statistically significant difference in the follicular damage and inflammation scores between the study groups (p = .019, p = .002, respectively). The highest AMH decrease was observed in the detorsion-only group (p = .012). The total damage score was higher in the detorsion-only group than the ozone therapy + detorsion group. Preantral, small and large antral follicle numbers were less in the detorsion-only group than the ozone therapy + detorsion group. The highest postoperative day 7 TAS level was in the ozone therapy + detorsion group. TOS levels did not differ significantly between the study groups. The combination of the ozone therapy with ovarian detorsion is more effective in protecting the ovarian reserve than ovarian detorsion-only.Impact StatementWhat is already known on this subject? Adnexal torsion is a common gynecological emergency in reproductive-age women. The recommended management is the detorsion of the adnexal pedicle in patients with fertility desire.What do the results of this study add? The combination of the medical ozone therapy with conventional surgical ovarian detorsion is more effective in the protection of the ovarian reserve compared to surgical ovarian detorsion.What are the implications of these findings for clinical practice and/or further research? This study speculates that medical ozone therapy in addition to conventional surgical ovarian detorsion could preserve ovarian reserve and function if confirmed in further clinical studies.

PMID:35980609 | DOI:10.1080/01443615.2022.2109130

Endocrine. 2022 Aug 18. doi: 10.1007/s12020-022-03157-x. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Controlled attenuation parameter (CAP) has been suggested as a new non-invasive measurement performed during transient elastography (TE) to assess liver steatosis. The aim of this study was to evaluate CAP values head to head with ultrasound (US) as reference standard.

METHODS: A consecutive cohort of patients attending abdominal US in an outpatient liver unit was included in this study with simultaneous CAP determination using the FibroScan^® M probe and fibrosis scored by TE. Patients were subdivided in four groups on the basis of risk factors for Metabolically Associated Fatty Liver Disease (MAFLD).

RESULTS: Four hundred thirty-five patients were included in the analysis: 221 (51%) were male; 117 (26.9%) were in control group, 144 (33.1%) in group 2 with inactive HCV or HBV infection and at low-risk for MAFLD, 134 (30.8%) in group 3 at high-risk of MAFLD, 40 (9.2%) in group 4 at high-risk of MAFLD and concomitant inactive HCV or HBV infection. Liver steatosis detected with US evaluation was observed in the 41% of the entire cohort; in particular in the 3.4%, 20.1%, 83.6% and 87.4% of the group 1, 2, 3 and 4, respectively (p < 0.001). In patients at high-risk factor for MAFLD (group 3 and 4), CAP median levels were found statistically different among the severity-grading groups for US steatosis (S0 [n.27], ≥S1 [n.59], ≥S2 + S3 [n.89]), observing higher CAP levels in patients with a higher steatosis grade (≥S2 + S3 327.5 [±40.6] vs ≥S1 277.7 [±45.6] vs S0 245.1 [±47.4]; p < 0.001 for the whole cohort analysis) (p < 0.001 between ≥S2 + S3 and ≥S1) (p < 0.001 between ≥S2 + S3 and S0) (p = 0.004 between ≥S1 and S0). ROC analysis showed that the global performance of the CAP median level ≥ 258 to predict liver steatosis (S0 vs S1-3), was excellent with an Area Under the Curve (AUC) value of 0.87 [CI 95% 0. 835-0.904] with an 84% of sensitivity and a 78% of specificity, and a positive predictive value (PPV) of 73% and negative predictive value (NPV) of 88%. A TE-kPa median value <8.0 was detected in the 100%, 84%, 83.6% and 60% of patients in group 1, 2, 3 and 4, respectively. A TE-kPa median value >13.0 was detected in the 0%, 4.2%, 5.2% and 17.5% of patients in group 1, 2, 3 and 4, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS: CAP values are strongly associated with the standard US criteria for different degree of steatosis. Integrating TE up to 5% of patients may be identified at risk for advanced fibrosis.

PMID:35980569 | DOI:10.1007/s12020-022-03157-x

Oncol Ther. 2022 Aug 18. doi: 10.1007/s40487-022-00205-4. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Today, colon cancer is one of the most common types of gastrointestinal cancer worldwide. CD133 as a known cancer stem cell marker has been found effective in cell proliferation and differentiation in various cancers, including colon cancer. We aimed to investigate the relationship between CD133 expression in colon cancer with prognostic factors and survival rate of patients with colon cancer by immunohistochemistry.

METHODS: Formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded (FFPE) tissue was taken from patients with colon cancer. Histopathology examination was done using hematoxylin and eosin staining. Immunohistochemistry was performed to determine CD133 expression. Association between CD133 expression and clinicopathological profile was then assessed.

RESULTS: There was a statistically significant association between CD133 protein expression and sex , cancer stage, and lymphatic invasion (p = 0.044, p = 0.131, and p = 0.002, respectively). However, no significant correlation was identified between CD133 expression and other factors, including age of patients with colorectal cancer (CRC) (p = 0.267), tumor location (p = 0.494), tumor differentiation grade (p = 0.263), neural tissue invasion, and 5-year survival (p = 0.054).

CONCLUSION: CD133 is a useful predictive or prognostic biomarker for CRC in clinical assessment and may serve as a potential therapeutic target for CRC.

PMID:35980560 | DOI:10.1007/s40487-022-00205-4

Ann Surg Oncol. 2022 Aug 18. doi: 10.1245/s10434-022-12368-5. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Surgical management of liver metastases of uveal melanoma (LMUM) is associated with the best survival rates, especially for patients with a low tumor burden in the liver. The aim was to determine whether the tumor growth rate (TGR₀) before liver resection helps predict survival in patients with resectable LMUM.

METHODS: This retrospective study included 99 patients with LMUM treated with liver resection between November 2007 and November 2020. TGR₀ was expressed as the percentage change in tumor volume over 1 month according to two pretreatment imaging scans. Multivariate Cox analyses identified independent predictors of disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS).

RESULTS: DFS and OS had a statistically significant positive linear relationship (Spearman correlation r = 0.68, p < 0.001). A disease-free interval (DFI) > 24 months and a TGR₀ ≤ 50%/month were independent factors associated with better DFS and OS. The 2-component model including TGR₀ and DFI had a mean time-dependent area under the curve (AUC) of 0.81 (95% CI, 0.75-0.86) and 0.77 (95% CI, 0.67-0.87), respectively, for predicting DFS and OS. DFI with TGR₀ defined three kinetic risk groups that had distinct DFS and OS outcomes (p < 0.001). Cytogenetic alterations at baseline were partially predictive factors of the kinetic risk score based on TGR₀ and DFI.

DISCUSSION: The assessment of TGR₀ improves prognostic stratification by identifying patients at high risk of recurrence and poor survival after liver resection. TGR₀ and DFI, reflecting tumor aggressivity, have the potential to be important markers for systemic adjuvant decisions.

PMID:35980554 | DOI:10.1245/s10434-022-12368-5

Ann Surg Oncol. 2022 Aug 18. doi: 10.1245/s10434-022-12363-w. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: The revision of the N descriptor in non-small-cell lung cancer has been widely discussed in the past few years. Many different subclassification methods based on number or location of lymph nodes have been proposed for better distinguishing different N patients. This study aimed to systematically collect them and provide a comprehensive comparison among different subclassification methods in a large cohort.

METHOD: Pathological N1 or N2 non-small-cell lung cancer patients undergoing surgical resection between 2005 and 2016 in the Western China Lung Cancer Database were retrospectively reviewed. A literature review was conducted to collect previous subclassification methods. Kaplan-Meier and multivariable Cox analyses were used to examine the prognostic performance of subclassification methods. Decision curve analysis, Akaike’s information criterion, and area under the receiver operating curve concordance were also performed to evaluate the standardized net benefit of the subclassification methods.

RESULTS: A total of 1625 patients were identified in our cohort. Eight subclassification methods were collected from previous articles and further grouped into subclassification based on number categories (node number or station number), location categories (lymph node zone or chain) or combination of number and location categories. Subclassification based on combination of lymph node location and number tended to have better discrimination ability in multivariable Cox analysis. No significant superiority among the different subclassification methods was observed in the three statistical models.

CONCLUSION: Subclassification based on the combination of location and number could be used to provide a more accurate prognostic stratification in surgically resected NSCLC and is worth further validation.

PMID:35980551 | DOI:10.1245/s10434-022-12363-w