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Nevin Manimala Statistics

A computational Monte Carlo simulation strategy to determine the temporal ordering of abnormal age onset among biomarkers of Alzheimers disease

IEEE/ACM Trans Comput Biol Bioinform. 2021 Aug 24;PP. doi: 10.1109/TCBB.2021.3106939. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

To quantitatively determining the temporal ordering of abnormal age onsets (AAO) among various biomarkers for Alzheimers disease (AD), we introduced a computational Monte-Carlo simulation (CMCS) to statistically examine such ordering of an AAO pair or over all AAOs. The CMCS 1) simulates longitudinal data, estimates AAO for each iteration, and finally assesses the type-I error of an AAO pair or all AAO ordering. Using hippocampus volume (VHC), cerebral glucose hypometabolic convergence index (HCI), plasma neurofilament light (NfL), mini-mental state exam (MMSE), the auditory verbal learning test-long term memory (AVLT-LTM), short term memory (AVLT-STM) and clinical-dementia rating sum of box scale (CDR-SOB) from 382 mild cognitive impairment converters and non-converters, the CMCS estimated type-I error for the earlier AAO of VHC, AVLT_STM and AVLT_LTM each than MMSE was significant (p<0.002). The type-I error for the overall AAO temporal ordering of VHC AVLT_STM AVLT_LTM < HCI MMSE CDR-SOB NfL was p = 0.012. These findings showed that our CMCS is capable of providing statistical inferences for quantifying AAO ordering which has important implications in advancing our understanding of AD.

PMID:34428151 | DOI:10.1109/TCBB.2021.3106939

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Hospital staff at most psychiatric clinics in Stockholm experience that patients who self-harm have too long hospital stays, with ensuing detrimental effects

Nord J Psychiatry. 2021 Aug 24:1-8. doi: 10.1080/08039488.2021.1965213. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Previous research on patients who self-harm has indicated potential negative effects from long hospital stays. Yet, such care has been reported to occur regularly. We conducted this questionnaire study to investigate how hospital staff, who treat self-harming patients, experience the relation between lengths of stay and self-harm behaviour, and the motives for non-beneficial hospital stays.

METHODS: The respondents of the questionnaire were nurses and mental health workers employed at public inpatient wards in Stockholm, treating patients who self-harm. The questionnaire contained questions with fixed answers and room for comments. A total of 304 questionnaires were distributed to 13 wards at five clinics, and the response rate was 63%. The data were analysed with descriptive statistics and qualitative descriptive content analysis.

RESULTS: The results show that most staff experienced that more than a week’s stay either increased (57%) or had no effect (33%) on self-harm behaviour. Most respondents at most clinics considered the stays to be too long at their wards, and that the stays could be reduced. The respondents recognized several reasons for non-beneficial hospital stays, like fear of suicidal behaviour and doctors’ fear of complaints. Patients appearing as demanding or fragile were thought to be given more care than others. The respondents’ comments confirmed the majority’s experience of detrimental effects from longer hospital stays.

CONCLUSIONS: A majority of the health care staff experienced that patients who self-harm often receive too long hospital stays, with detrimental effects, and they had experienced several non-medical reasons for such care.

PMID:34428119 | DOI:10.1080/08039488.2021.1965213

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Statistics say large pandemics are more likely than we thought

The COVID-19 pandemic may be the deadliest viral outbreak the world has seen in more than a century. But statistically, such extreme events aren’t as rare as we may think, asserts a new analysis of novel disease outbreaks over the past 400 years. A newly assembled record of past outbreaks was used to estimate the probability of a pandemic with similar impact to COVID-19 is about 2 percent in any year. And that probability is growing.
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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Longitudinal CT and MRI Characteristics of Unilocular Thymic Cysts

Radiology. 2021 Aug 24:203593. doi: 10.1148/radiol.2021203593. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Background Isoattenuating and hyperattenuating thymic cysts at CT are often misinterpreted as lymphadenopathy or thymic epithelial neoplasms. Purpose To evaluate the longitudinal change in thymic cyst appearance at CT and MRI. Materials and Methods All chest MRI studies showing thymic cysts between July 2008 and December 2019, identified from a retrospective search of a quality assurance database, were included in this study if initial CT depicted a thymic lesion, the patient was referred for follow-up MRI for characterization, and the baseline (ie, index) MRI indicated a cystic lesion. Follow-up CT scans and/or MRI scans were identified through July 2020. Thymic cyst characteristics, such as size, location, and morphologic features, as well as CT and MRI characteristics, were recorded. Change in size, attenuation, and T1-weighted MRI signal was assessed longitudinally. Descriptive statistics of longitudinal change were tabulated. Results A total of 244 chest MRI studies in 140 patients with 142 unique cysts and 392 CT examinations (636 total examinations and 645 thymic cysts-nine examinations with two cysts each) were evaluated. The median follow-up duration was 2.2 years. Thirty-three patients with 34 unique cysts (34 of 142 cysts [24%]) underwent imaging follow-up for more than 5 years. Thymic cysts followed up for more than 5 years were most commonly saccular (189 of 274 cysts [69% axially]) and retrosternal (14 of 34 cysts [41%]). Craniocaudal dimension was larger than transverse and anteroposterior dimensions in 223 of 274 cysts (81%). Mean thymic cyst attenuation was 25 HU (range, 15-100 HU). Five of 31 cysts (16%) exhibited wall calcification. The median cyst wall thickness was 2.0 mm (range, 0.9-3.0 mm). Most thymic cysts changed in volume (31 of 34 cysts [91%]), CT attenuation (15 of 35 cysts [43%]), and T1-weighted MRI signal (12 of 18 cysts [67%]) over time. None developed mural irregularity, nodularity, or septations. Conclusion Unilocular thymic cysts, defined at index MRI, never developed irregular wall thickening, mural nodularity, or septations that would raise concern for malignant transformation. However, these cysts showed mural calcification and change in size, CT attenuation, and MRI signal over more than 5 years of follow-up. © RSNA, 2021 Online supplemental material is available for this article.

PMID:34427460 | DOI:10.1148/radiol.2021203593

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Exploring the Alternative Model for Personality Disorders Using SCORS-G Ratings on Thematic Apperception Test Narratives

J Pers Disord. 2021 Aug 24:1-16. doi: 10.1521/pedi_2021_35_535. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

The Alternative Model for Personality Disorders (AMPD) in Section III of the fifth edition of the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders (DSM-5; American Psychiatric Association, 2013) conceptualizes personality pathology as a combination of impairment (Criterion A) and traits (Criterion B). One measure used to develop Criterion A was the Social Cognition and Object Relations Scale – Global Rating Method (SCORS-G), which is a multidimensional, object-relational clinician-rated measure of personality functioning. Although there are conceptual links between the AMPD and SCORS-G dimensions, there exists no research examining the relationship. To address this, we examined associations between the SCORS-G dimensions and measures of the AMPD constructs in a large, archival dataset of outpatients and inpatients. More pathological scores on SCORS-G dimensions reflecting self- and interpersonal functioning were associated with greater pathological traits and impairment. Overall, results support further investigation into SCORS-G as a useful measure in AMPD research and assessment.

PMID:34427493 | DOI:10.1521/pedi_2021_35_535

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Diagnostic accuracy of optical coherence tomography for surgical margin assessment of feline injection-site sarcoma

Vet Comp Oncol. 2021 Aug 24. doi: 10.1111/vco.12766. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

The invasive, locally aggressive nature of feline injection-site sarcomas (FISS) pose a unique challenge for surgeons to obtain complete margins with surgical excision. Optical coherence tomography (OCT), an imaging technology that uses light waves to generate real-time views of tissue architecture, provides an emerging solution to this dilemma by allowing fast, high-resolution scanning of surgical margins. The purpose of this study was to use OCT to assess surgical margins of FISS and to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of OCT for detecting residual cancer using six evaluators of varying experience. Five FISS were imaged with OCT to create a training set of OCT images that were compared with histopathology. Next, 25 FISS were imaged with OCT prior to histopathology. Six evaluators of varying experience participated in a training session on OCT imaging after which each of the evaluators was given a dataset that included OCT images and videos to score on a scale from cancerous to non-cancerous. Diagnostic accuracy statistics were calculated. The overall sensitivity and specificity for classification of OCT images by evaluators was 78.9% and 77.6%, respectively. Correct classification rate of OCT images was associated with experience, while individual sensitivities and specificities had more variation between experience groups. This study demonstrates the ability of evaluators to correctly classify OCT images with overall low levels of experience and training, and also illustrates areas where increased training can improve accuracy of evaluators in interpretation of OCT surgical margin images.

PMID:34427379 | DOI:10.1111/vco.12766

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Structure-Based Pharmacophore Screening Coupled with QSAR Analysis Identified Potent Natural-Product-Derived IRAK-4 Inhibitors

Mol Inform. 2021 Aug 24:e2100025. doi: 10.1002/minf.202100025. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Interleukin-1 Receptor-Associated Kinase 4 (IRAK-4) has crucial functions in inflammation, innate immunity, and malignancy. Structure-based pharmacophore modeling integrated with validated QSAR analysis was implemented to discover structurally novel IRAK-4 inhibitors from natural products database. The QSAR model combined molecular descriptors with structure-based pharmacophore capable of explaining bioactivity variation of structurally diverse IRAK-4 inhibitors. Manually built pharmacophore model, validated with receiver operating characteristic curve, and selected using the statistically optimum QSAR equation, was applied as a 3D-search query to mine AnalytiCon Discovery database of natural products. Experimental in vitro testing of highest-ranked hits identified uvaretin, saucerneol, and salvianolic acid B as active IRAK-4 inhibitors with IC50 values in low micromolar range.

PMID:34427398 | DOI:10.1002/minf.202100025

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Socioeconomic factors and substances involved in poisoning-related emergency department visits in British Columbia, Canada

Health Promot Chronic Dis Prev Can. 2021 Jul-Aug;41(7-8):211-221. doi: 10.24095/hpcdp.41.7/8.02.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Canada’s opioid crisis has taken thousands of lives, increasing awareness of poisoning-related injuries as an important public health issue. However, in British Columbia (BC), where overdose mortality rates are the highest in Canada, studies have not yet identified which demographic populations most often visit emergency departments (ED) due to all poisonings, nor which substances are most commonly involved. The aim of this study was to explore these gaps, after developing a methodology for calculating ED visit rates in BC.

METHODS: Poisoning-related ED visit rates during fiscal years 2012/13 to 2016/17, inclusive, were calculated by sex, age group, poisoning substance and socioeconomic status, using a novel methodology developed in this study. ED data were sourced from the National Ambulatory Care Reporting System and population data from Statistics Canada’s 2016 (or 2011) census profiles.

RESULTS: During the study period, there were an estimated 81 463 poisoning-related ED visits (351.2 per 100 000 population). Infants, toddlers, youth and those aged 20-64 years had elevated risks of poisoning-related ED visits. Rates were highest among those in neighbourhoods with the greatest material (607.8 per 100 000 population) or social (484.2 per 100 000 population) deprivation. Over time, narcotics and psychodysleptics became increasingly common poisoning agents, while alcohol remained problematic.

CONCLUSION: A methodology for estimating ED visit rates in BC was developed and applied to determine poisoning-related ED visit rates among various demographic groups within BC. British Columbians most vulnerable to poisoning have been identified, emphasizing the need for efforts to limit drug overdoses and excessive alcohol intoxication to reduce rates of these preventable injuries.

PMID:34427419 | DOI:10.24095/hpcdp.41.7/8.02

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Application of Multiparametric Magnetic Resonance Imaging to Monitor the Early Antitumor Effect of CuS@GOD Nanoparticles in a 4 T1 Breast Cancer Xenograft Model

J Magn Reson Imaging. 2021 Aug 24. doi: 10.1002/jmri.27867. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: We have developed hybrid nanoparticles (NPs) by co-loading copper sulfide (CuS) NPs and glucose oxidase (GOD) (CuS@GOD NPs) to explore their antitumor properties.

PURPOSE: To investigate the feasibility of using multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) including intravoxel incoherent motion diffusion-weighted imaging (IVIM-DWI) and R2 * mapping to quantitatively assess the early antitumor effect of CuS@GOD NPs.

STUDY TYPE: Prospective.

ANIMAL MODEL: The orthotopic BALB/c mice 4 T1 breast cancer model. The 4 T1 xenografts in group 1 mice received normal saline, group 2 received CuS@GOD NPs, group 3 received CuS NPs plus laser, and group 4 received CuS@GOD NPs plus laser (n = 28 for each group).

FIELD STRENGTH/SEQUENCE: A 3.0 T/IVIM-DWI MRI single-shot echo-planar imaging, R2 * mapping spoiled gradient recalled echo (SPGR) sequence, T2-weighted images (T2WI) and T1-weighted images (T1WI) fast spin echo (FSE) sequence.

ASSESSMENT: The IVIM-DWI and R2 * mapping were performed before and after treatment at 0 hour, 0.5 hour, 1 hour, 2 hours, 4 hours, and 24 hours in four groups and the MRI parameters were obtained. Correlation analysis between the MRI parameters and histological analyses was conducted.

STATISTICAL TESTS: One-way ANOVA, Pearson’s correlation analysis, two independent samples t test, intraclass correlation coefficient. P < 0.05 was considered to be statistically significant.

RESULTS: In group 4, the tumoral D value was significantly higher than that of group 2 at 24 hours (0.541 ± 0.065 vs. 0.492 ± 0.051). The f value of group 4 was significantly lower than that of groups 1 and 2 at 2 hours (10.83 ± 2.16 vs. 14.28 ± 1.86, 16.67 ± 3.53, respectively). The R2 * value was significantly increased at 0 hour in group 4 compared to that of groups 1 and 2 (64.552 ± 4.663 vs. 42.441 ± 1.516, 43.165 ± 1.709, respectively). D, f, and R2 * were correlated with the histological staining results (r = 0.695-0.970).

DATA CONCLUSION: The IVIM-DWI-derived D and f and R2 * mapping-derived R2 * could monitor early response to CuS@GOD NPs treatment in vivo.

EVIDENCE LEVEL: 2 TECHNICAL EFFICACY: Stage 2.

PMID:34427359 | DOI:10.1002/jmri.27867

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Cross-Country Differences in Pain Medication Before and After Spinal Cord Stimulation: A Pooled Analysis of Individual Patient Data From Two Prospective Studies in the United Kingdom and Belgium

Neuromodulation. 2021 Aug 24. doi: 10.1111/ner.13524. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Spinal cord stimulation (SCS) can reduce the need for opioids; however, the influence on the full spectrum of pain medication is less known. The aims of this study were to explore general prescription practices for patients scheduled for SCS, potential differences in prescriptions between Belgium and United Kingdom, and the influence of SCS on pain medication.

MATERIALS AND METHODS: Individual patient data from the TRIAL-STIM study in the United Kingdom and DISCOVER in Belgium were pooled. Medication use was collected before SCS and three months after SCS from 180 chronic pain patients. The Medication Quantification Scale III (MQS) was used to calculate a total score for medication use, as well as subscores for several classes. Differences in prescription practices between United Kingdom and Belgium were evaluated with two-sided Wilcoxon tests. To evaluate differences in medication use after three months of SCS between United Kingdom and Belgium, Tweedie-generalized linear models were calculated.

RESULTS: There was a statistically significant difference (-6.40 [95% CI from -3.40 to -9.10]) between the median total MQS score in United Kingdom and Belgium before SCS. Additionally, a significant difference was found for nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) (-3.40 [95% CI -3.40 to -6.80]), neuropathic agents (-2.30 [95% CI -0.40 to -3.80]), and benzodiazepines (1.83e-05 [95% CI 2.64-05 to 7.45-05 ]) between United Kingdom and Belgium, before SCS. Tweedie-generalized models revealed a statistically significant interaction between country and time for MQS, neuropathic agents, and opioids.

CONCLUSIONS: Our combined analysis revealed differences in prescription practice in patients scheduled for SCS implantation between Belgium and United Kingdom. NSAIDs and neuropathic mood agents are more frequently used in the United Kingdom, presumably due to easier access to repeat prescriptions and over the counter medications. After three months of SCS, a decrease in medication use is observed in both countries, with higher reductions in Belgium, presumably due to strict regulations concerning reimbursement criteria.

PMID:34427369 | DOI:10.1111/ner.13524