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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Effects of trust, risk perception, and health behavior on COVID-19 disease burden: Evidence from a multi-state US survey

PLoS One. 2022 May 20;17(5):e0268302. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0268302. eCollection 2022.

ABSTRACT

Early public health strategies to prevent the spread of COVID-19 in the United States relied on non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) as vaccines and therapeutic treatments were not yet available. Implementation of NPIs, primarily social distancing and mask wearing, varied widely between communities within the US due to variable government mandates, as well as differences in attitudes and opinions. To understand the interplay of trust, risk perception, behavioral intention, and disease burden, we developed a survey instrument to study attitudes concerning COVID-19 and pandemic behavioral change in three states: Idaho, Texas, and Vermont. We designed our survey (n = 1034) to detect whether these relationships were significantly different in rural populations. The best fitting structural equation models show that trust indirectly affects protective pandemic behaviors via health and economic risk perception. We explore two different variations of this social cognitive model: the first assumes behavioral intention affects future disease burden while the second assumes that observed disease burden affects behavioral intention. In our models we include several exogenous variables to control for demographic and geographic effects. Notably, political ideology is the only exogenous variable which significantly affects all aspects of the social cognitive model (trust, risk perception, and behavioral intention). While there is a direct negative effect associated with rurality on disease burden, likely due to the protective effect of low population density in the early pandemic waves, we found a marginally significant, positive, indirect effect of rurality on disease burden via decreased trust (p = 0.095). This trust deficit creates additional vulnerabilities to COVID-19 in rural communities which also have reduced healthcare capacity. Increasing trust by methods such as in-group messaging could potentially remove some of the disparities inferred by our models and increase NPI effectiveness.

PMID:35594254 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0268302

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Preinduction Serum Vitamin D3 Levels and Induction Chemotherapy Remission Rates in Patients with Acute Leukemia

Nutr Cancer. 2022 May 20:1-6. doi: 10.1080/01635581.2022.2077389. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Vitamin D deficiency(<20 ng/mL) is a common condition, associated with an inferior prognosis in some cancers. However, the prognostic significance of vitamin D deficiency in acute leukemia is largely unknown. The present study aimed to assess the baseline status of vitamin D [25-(OH) D3] and find its association with induction remission rate and mortality using standard chemotherapy in patients with acute leukemia. In this prospective observational study, blood samples were collected from 73 newly diagnosed patients before starting induction chemotherapy to measure serum vitamin D [25(OH)D] levels along with routine investigations.44/73 (60.3%) patients were acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL), and 29/77 (39.7%) were acute myeloid leukemia (AML) patients. Descriptive statistics and frequency distribution were used in SPSS software, and Pearson’s chi-squared test compared the categorical variables. Post-induction remission status (complete and incomplete remission) and induction-related mortality were correlated with vitamin D levels. 44/73 patients (60.3%) included in this study were males, and the remaining were females. The mean age of the participants was 30.32 ± 14.95 years. The mean serum vitamin D level in the cohort was 15.74 ± 28.14 ng/mL. Vitamin D deficiency was observed in 59/73 (80.8%) patients, whereas 14/73 (19.2%) had normal levels (≥20ng/mL) of the vitamin. Vitamin D deficiency is common among acute leukemia patients. Herein, we observed that low vitamin D level is associated with higher rates of incomplete remission in acute leukemia patients (P = 0.016). Vitamin D deficiency is common among acute leukemia patients and is associated with poor short-term outcomes.

PMID:35594251 | DOI:10.1080/01635581.2022.2077389

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Motivations for Online Expression, Willingness of Online Help-Seeking, and the Risk of Suicide Among Hong Kong Youths: A Mixed-Methods Study

Cyberpsychol Behav Soc Netw. 2022 May 20. doi: 10.1089/cyber.2022.0007. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Despite widespread interest in social media use, little is known about the heterogeneity of underlying motivations for online engagement among at-risk adolescents. This study adopted a mixed-methods approach to evaluate the motives of online expression among Hong Kong youths aged 15-19, as well as their relationships to online help-seeking willingness and suicide risks. In total, 6 focus groups and 12 individual interviews were conducted (N = 40) to elicit information regarding online expression purposes and to construct questionnaire items. The cross-sectional survey (N = 1,676) was undertaken subsequently to determine the prevalence of motives, and their correlations with online help-seeking willingness and suicide risks. Qualitative interviews revealed two key themes: major motivations for online expression, and features of online expression and help-seeking among suicidal youths. Quantitative analyses demonstrated the prevalence of each online expression purpose, with most reporting on “emotional expression” and “life sharing and documentation,” but variations identified by gender, school academic banding, and suicide-related experience. Notably, an ordinal logistic regression model revealed that motives of “emotional expression” and “image building” were associated with increased suicide risks, while the purpose of “life sharing” was associated with decreased suicide risks. Those who expressed online for “self-expression” and “friend making” showed a stronger willingness for online help-seeking. These findings provide a more holistic overview of the purposes of online expression, which suggested the likelihood of mental health issues and the need for support. Such insight may facilitate the development of more effective suicide prevention strategies and online intervention services.

PMID:35594242 | DOI:10.1089/cyber.2022.0007

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Implementation of Virtual Reality to Parent-Child Interaction Therapy for Enhancement of Positive Parenting Skills: Study Protocol for Single-Case Experimental Design With Multiple Baselines

JMIR Res Protoc. 2022 May 20;11(5):e34120. doi: 10.2196/34120.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Disruptive behavior is a common reason for young children to be referred to mental health care services worldwide. Research indicates that treatments for child disruptive behavior where parents are the primary agents of change are most impactful. Parent-Child Interaction Therapy (PCIT) is an effective parent management training program currently implemented in therapeutic settings within the Netherlands. Ongoing research into improving the effectiveness of PCIT is being done within these settings. To further promote the key elements of PCIT, this study focuses on creating the opportunity for parents to practice positive parenting skills more outside of the clinical setting by adding virtual reality (VR) as an additional homework element. PCIT has shown to make impactful long-term improvements in parental warmth, responsiveness, and the parent-child relationship. Through VR, parents practice the taught parenting skills out loud in the comfort of their own homes in VR scenarios. We expect that VR addition will innovatively increase the effectiveness of PCIT.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to evaluate the added value of VR to PCIT by using a multiple baseline single-case experimental design (SCED). We expect to find that PCIT-VR will ameliorate positive parenting skills. By implementing the VR element, we secondarily expected that meeting the skill criteria will be achieved sooner, treatment completion rates will increase, and the parent-child relationship will be better, whereas parental stress and child disruptive behavior will decrease.

METHODS: A total of 15 children (aged 2-7 years) with disruptive behavior and their parents will be followed throughout the PCIT-VR treatment. Using a multiple baseline SCED with 3 phases, 15 families will fill out questionnaires weekly, in addition to having pre- and posttreatment and follow-up measurements to monitor their positive parenting skills, child disruptive behavior, parenting stress, and VR progress. Moreover, quantitative information and qualitative interviews will be analyzed visually and statistically and summarized to provide a complete picture of experiences.

RESULTS: As of February 2021, 6 families have been enrolled in the study at the moment of submission. Data collection is projected to be completed in 2023. Quantitative and qualitative results are planned to be published in peer-reviewed journals, as well as being presented at national and international conferences.

CONCLUSIONS: The SCED-with its phased design, randomization, and the opportunity to replicate and assess both individual and group treatment effects-and adaptability of the VR technology are the strengths of the study. The risks of increased type I errors, maturation effects, or technological failure will be mitigated with the right statistical support. This study aims to magnify the scope of the treatment through additional skill training, ultimately in support of routinely implementing VR within PCIT.

INTERNATIONAL REGISTERED REPORT IDENTIFIER (IRRID): DERR1-10.2196/34120.

PMID:35594138 | DOI:10.2196/34120

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Screening Depressive Symptoms and Incident Major Depressive Disorder Among Chinese Community Residents Using a Mobile App-Based Integrated Mental Health Care Model: Cohort Study

J Med Internet Res. 2022 May 20;24(5):e30907. doi: 10.2196/30907.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Depression is associated with significant morbidity and human capital costs globally. Early screening for depressive symptoms and timely depressive disorder case identification and intervention may improve health outcomes and cost-effectiveness among affected individuals. China’s public and academic communities have reached a consensus on the need to improve access to early screening, diagnosis, and treatment of depression.

OBJECTIVE: This study aims to estimate the screening prevalence and associated factors of subthreshold depressive symptoms among Chinese residents enrolled in the cohort study using a mobile app-based integrated mental health care model and investigate the 12-month incidence rate and related factors of major depressive disorder (MDD) among those with subthreshold depressive symptoms.

METHODS: Data were drawn from the Depression Cohort in China (DCC) study. A total of 4243 community residents aged 18 to 64 years living in Nanshan district, Shenzhen city, in Guangdong province, China, were encouraged to participate in the DCC study when visiting the participating primary health care centers, and 4066 (95.83%) residents who met the DCC study criteria were screened for subthreshold depressive symptoms using the Patient Health Questionnaire-9 at baseline. Of the 4066 screened residents, 3168 (77.91%) with subthreshold depressive symptoms were referred to hospitals to receive a psychiatric diagnosis of MDD within 12 months. Sleep duration, anxiety symptoms, well-being, insomnia symptoms, and resilience were also investigated. The diagnosis of MDD was provided by trained psychiatrists using the Mini-International Neuropsychiatric Interview. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression models were performed to explore the potential factors related to subthreshold depressive symptoms at baseline, and Cox proportional hazards models were performed to explore the potential factors related to incident MDD.

RESULTS: Anxiety symptoms (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] 1.63, 95% CI 1.42-1.87) and insomnia symptoms (AOR 1.13, 95% CI 1.05-1.22) were associated with an increased risk of subthreshold depressive symptoms, whereas well-being (AOR 0.93, 95% CI 0.87-0.99) was negatively associated with depressive symptoms. During the follow-up period, the 12-month incidence rate of MDD among participants with subthreshold depressive symptoms was 5.97% (189/3168). After incorporating all significant variables from the univariate analyses, the multivariate Cox proportional hazards model reported that a history of comorbidities (adjusted hazard ratio [AHR] 1.49, 95% CI 1.04-2.14) and anxiety symptoms (AHR 1.13, 95% CI 1.09-1.17) were independently associated with an increased risk of incident MDD. The 5-item World Health Organization Well-Being Index was associated with a decreased risk of incident MDD (AHR 0.90, 95% CI 0.86-0.94).

CONCLUSIONS: Elevated anxiety symptoms and unfavorable general well-being were significantly associated with subthreshold depressive symptoms and incident MDD among Chinese residents in Shenzhen. Early screening for subthreshold depressive symptoms and related factors may be helpful for identifying populations at high risk of incident MDD.

PMID:35594137 | DOI:10.2196/30907

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Development and Feasibility of a Mobile Asthma App for Children and Their Caregivers: Mixed Methods Study

JMIR Form Res. 2022 May 20;6(5):e34509. doi: 10.2196/34509.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Mobile health apps can support the self-management of pediatric asthma. Previous studies on mobile apps for children aged >7 years with asthma are limited, and most reports on asthma apps do not consider interactions between the children and their caregivers. Therefore, we developed an asthma app for children aged 0-12 years and their caregivers based on the results of our previous study regarding user needs.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to evaluate the feasibility of a developed mobile app for children with asthma and their caregivers and to modify and complete the app according to the feasibility results.

METHODS: We recruited children diagnosed with persistent asthma by an allergy specialist at 2 children’s hospitals, 1 university hospital, 2 general hospitals, and 1 pediatric clinic. Thereafter, the app usage was assessed, and questionnaires were administered. This study used convergent mixed methods, including providing user feedback about the pediatric asthma app, completing questionnaire surveys regarding preferences, and obtaining quantitative data about app usage. Quantitative data were analyzed based on the ratings provided for the app features used by the participants, and the usage of the app features was analyzed using descriptive statistics. Qualitative data were analyzed via a descriptive qualitative research analysis and were used to identify codes from the content-characteristic words.

RESULTS: In total, 30 pairs of children aged 2-12 years and their caregivers responded to the 3-month survey, and 20 pairs of children aged 4-12 years and their caregivers responded to the 6-month survey. In the 3- and 6-month surveys, “record” was the most commonly used feature by both caregivers and children. The average access logs per month among the 20 pairs ranged from 50 to 79 in the 6-month survey. The number of access logs decreased over time. In the qualitative results, app utilization difficulties were identified for 6 categories: record, preparing, alert settings, change settings, mobile phone owner, and display and motivation. Regarding app feasibility, 60% (12/20) of the caregivers strongly agreed or agreed for all evaluation items, while 63% (7/11) of the children strongly agreed or agreed for 6 items, excluding satisfaction. In the qualitative results, feasibility evaluation of the app was classified into 3 categories: high feasibility of the app, improvement points for the app, and personal factors preventing app utilization. Based on the results of the feasibility analysis, the final version of the app was modified and completed.

CONCLUSIONS: The app feasibility among children with asthma and their caregivers was generally good. Children aged 7-12 years used elements such as record, quiz, and manga. This app can support the continuous self-management of pediatric asthma. However, efforts must be taken to maintain and improve the app quality.

TRIAL REGISTRATION: UMIN Clinical Trials Registry UMIN000039058; https://tinyurl.com/3na9zyf8.

PMID:35594073 | DOI:10.2196/34509

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Fractional Integrable Nonlinear Soliton Equations

Phys Rev Lett. 2022 May 6;128(18):184101. doi: 10.1103/PhysRevLett.128.184101.

ABSTRACT

Nonlinear integrable equations serve as a foundation for nonlinear dynamics, and fractional equations are well known in anomalous diffusion. We connect these two fields by presenting the discovery of a new class of integrable fractional nonlinear evolution equations describing dispersive transport in fractional media. These equations can be constructed from nonlinear integrable equations using a widely generalizable mathematical process utilizing completeness relations, dispersion relations, and inverse scattering transform techniques. As examples, this general method is used to characterize fractional extensions to two physically relevant, pervasive integrable nonlinear equations: the Korteweg-deVries and nonlinear Schrödinger equations. These equations are shown to predict superdispersive transport of nondissipative solitons in fractional media.

PMID:35594099 | DOI:10.1103/PhysRevLett.128.184101

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

How We Can Reap the Full Benefit of Teleconsultations: Economic Evaluation Combined With a Performance Evaluation Through a Discrete-Event Simulation

J Med Internet Res. 2022 May 20;24(5):e32002. doi: 10.2196/32002.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: In recent years, the rapid development of information and communications technology enabled by innovations in videoconferencing solutions and the emergence of connected medical devices has contributed to expanding the scope of application and expediting the development of telemedicine.

OBJECTIVE: This study evaluates the use of teleconsultations (TCs) for specialist consultations at hospitals in terms of costs, resource consumption, and patient travel time. The key feature of our evaluation framework is the combination of an economic evaluation through a cost analysis and a performance evaluation through a discrete-event simulation (DES) approach.

METHODS: Three data sets were used to obtain detailed information on the characteristics of patients, characteristics of patients’ residential locations, and usage of telehealth stations. A total of 532 patients who received at least one TC and 18,559 patients who received solely physical consultations (CSs) were included in the initial sample. The TC patients were recruited during a 7-month period (ie, 2020 data) versus 19 months for the CS patients (ie, 2019 and 2020 data). A propensity score matching procedure was applied in the economic evaluation. To identify the best scenarios for reaping the full benefits of TCs, various scenarios depicting different population types and deployment strategies were explored in the DES model. Associated break-even levels were calculated.

RESULTS: The results of the cost evaluation reveal a higher cost for the TC group, mainly induced by higher volumes of (tele)consultations per patient and the substantial initial investment required for TC equipment. On average, the total cost per patient over 298 days of follow-up was €356.37 (US $392) per TC patient and €305.18 (US $336) per CS patient. However, the incremental cost of TCs was not statistically significant: €356.37 – €305.18 = €51.19 or US $392 – US $336 = US $56 (95% CI -35.99 to 114.25; P=.18). Sensitivity analysis suggested heterogeneous economic profitability levels within subpopulations and based on the intensity of use of TC solutions. In fact, the DES model results show that TCs could be a cost-saving strategy in some cases, depending on population characteristics, the amortization speed of telehealth equipment, and the locations of telehealth stations.

CONCLUSIONS: The use of TCs has the potential to lead to a major organizational change in the health care system in the near future. Nevertheless, TC performance is strongly related to the context and deployment strategy involved.

PMID:35594065 | DOI:10.2196/32002

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The Sign 4 Big Feelings Intervention to Improve Early Years Outcomes in Preschool Children: Outcome Evaluation

JMIR Pediatr Parent. 2022 May 20;5(2):e25086. doi: 10.2196/25086.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Any delays in language development may affect learning, profoundly influencing personal, social, and professional trajectories. The effectiveness of the Sign 4 Big Feelings (S4BF) intervention was investigated by measuring changes in early years outcomes (EYOs) after a 3-month period.

OBJECTIVE: This study aims to determine whether children’s well-being and EYOs significantly improve (beyond typical, expected development) after the S4BF intervention period and whether there are differences between boys and girls in progress achieved.

METHODS: An evaluation of the S4BF intervention was conducted with 111 preschool-age children in early years settings in Luton, United Kingdom. Listening, speaking, understanding, and managing feelings and behavior, in addition to the Leuven well-being scale, were assessed in a quasi-experimental study design to measure pre- and postintervention outcomes.

RESULTS: Statistically and clinically significant differences were found for each of the 7 pre- and postmeasures evaluated: words understood and spoken, well-being scores, and the 4 EYO domains. Gender differences were negligible in all analyses.

CONCLUSIONS: Children of all abilities may benefit considerably from S4BF, but a language-based intervention of this nature may be transformational for children who are behind developmentally, with English as an additional language, or of lower socioeconomic status.

TRIAL REGISTRATION: ISRCTN Registry ISRCTN42025531; https://doi.org/10.1186/ISRCTN42025531.

PMID:35594062 | DOI:10.2196/25086

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Incidence and Progression of Alcohol-Associated Liver Disease After Medical Therapy for Alcohol Use Disorder

JAMA Netw Open. 2022 May 2;5(5):e2213014. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2022.13014.

ABSTRACT

IMPORTANCE: Alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) is one of the most devastating complications of alcohol use disorder (AUD), an increasingly prevalent condition. Medical addiction therapy for AUD may play a role in protecting against the development and progression of ALD.

OBJECTIVE: To ascertain whether medical addiction therapy was associated with an altered risk of developing ALD in patients with AUD.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This retrospective cohort study used the Mass General Brigham Biobank, an ongoing research initiative that had recruited 127 480 patients between its start in 2010 and August 17, 2021, when data for the present study were retrieved. The mean follow-up duration from AUD diagnosis was 9.2 years. International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, Tenth Revision diagnosis codes were used to identify ALD and AUD diagnoses.

EXPOSURES: Medical addiction therapy was defined as the documented use of disulfiram, acamprosate, naltrexone, gabapentin, topiramate, or baclofen. Patients were considered to be treated if they initiated medical addiction therapy before the relevant outcome.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Adjusted odds ratios (aORs) for the development of ALD and hepatic decompensation were calculated and adjusted for multiple risk factors.

RESULTS: The cohort comprised 9635 patients with AUD, of whom 5821 were male individuals (60.4%), and the mean (SD) age was 54.8 (16.5) years. A total of 1135 patients (11.8%) had ALD and 3906 patients (40.5%) were treated with medical addiction therapy. In multivariable analyses, medical addiction therapy for AUD was associated with decreased incidence of ALD (aOR, 0.37; 95% CI, 0.31-0.43; P < .001). This association was evident for naltrexone (aOR, 0.67; 95% CI, 0.46-0.95; P = .03), gabapentin (aOR, 0.36; 95% CI, 0.30-0.43; P < .001), topiramate (aOR, 0.47; 95% CI, 0.32-0.66; P < .001), and baclofen (aOR, 0.57; 95% CI, 0.36-0.88; P = .01). In addition, pharmacotherapy for AUD was associated with lower incidence of hepatic decompensation in patients with cirrhosis (aOR, 0.35; 95% CI, 0.23-0.53, P < .001), including naltrexone (aOR, 0.27; 95% CI, 0.10-0.64; P = .005) and gabapentin (aOR, 0.36; 95% CI, 0.23-0.56; P < .001). This association persisted even when medical addiction therapy was initiated only after the diagnosis of cirrhosis (aOR, 0.41; 95% CI, 0.23-0.71; P = .002).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Results of this study showed that receipt of medical addiction therapy for AUD was associated with reduced incidence and progression of ALD. The associations of individual pharmacotherapy with the outcomes of ALD and hepatic decompensation varied widely.

PMID:35594048 | DOI:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2022.13014