Tag: statistics

Eur Radiol. 2021 Mar 17. doi: 10.1007/s00330-021-07800-5. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To assess interobserver agreement in Lung CT Screening Reporting and Data System (Lung-RADS) categorisation in subsolid nodule-enriched low-dose screening CTs.

METHODS: A retrospective review of low-dose screening CT reports from 2013 to 2017 using keyword searches for subsolid nodules identified 54 baseline CT scans. With an additional 108 negative screening CT scans, a total of 162 CT scans were categorised according to the Lung-RADS by two fellowship-trained thoracic radiologists in consensus. We randomly selected 20, 20, 10, and 10 scans from categories 1/2, 3, 4A, and 4B CT scans, respectively, to ensure balanced category representation. Five radiologists classified the 60 CT scans into Lung-RADS categories. The frequencies of concordance and minor and major discordance were calculated, with major discordance defined as at least 6 months of management discrepancy. We used Cohen’s κ statistics to analyse reader agreement.

RESULTS: An average of 60.3% (181 of 300) of all cases and 45.0% (90 of 200) of positive screens were correctly categorised. The minor and major discordance rates were 12.3% and 27.3% overall and 18.5% and 36.5% in positive screens, respectively. The concordance rate was significantly higher among experienced thoracic radiologists. Overall, the interobserver agreement was moderate (mean κ, 0.45; 95% confidence interval: 0.40-0.51). The proportion of part-solid risk-dominant nodules was significantly higher in cases with low rates of accurate categorisation.

CONCLUSION: This retrospective study observed variable accuracy and moderate interobserver agreement in radiologist categorisation of subsolid nodules in screening CTs. This inconsistency may affect management recommendations for lung cancer screening.

KEY POINTS: • Diagnostic performance for Lung-RADS categorisation is variable among radiologists with fair to moderate interobserver agreement in subsolid nodule-enriched CT scans. • Experienced thoracic radiologists showed more accurate and consistent Lung-RADS categorisation than radiology residents. • The relative abundance of part-solid nodules was a potential factor related to increased disagreement in Lung-RADS categorisation.

PMID:33733688 | DOI:10.1007/s00330-021-07800-5

Childs Nerv Syst. 2021 Mar 17. doi: 10.1007/s00381-021-05116-9. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: In this study, the effectiveness of intraventricular (IVT) antibiotic administration was evaluated in the treatment of ventriculo-peritoneal (VP) shunt infection by comparing patients who received only systemic antibiotic treatment with patients who received antibiotics added to systemic therapy by IVT route.

METHODS: From July 2009 to July 2019, 78 shunt infection episodes of 74 pediatric patients with bacterial growth in cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) culture who were treated with the diagnosis of VP shunt infection were retrospectively analyzed. The demographic data, clinical and laboratory parameters, antimicrobial management, and treatment outcomes of patients with VP shunt infections were recorded.

RESULTS: Thirty-eight of 78 shunt episodes received only systemic antibiotic treatment, and 40 had received IV plus IVT treatment. The mean age of the entire patient group was 16.7±21.3 months (range, 1 to 95 months). There was no significant difference between the two treatment groups in terms of mean age. The most common microorganism grown in CSF culture was coagulase-negative Staphylococcus. However, in the group that received IV plus IVT treatment, gram-negative bacteria were predominant (42.1% versus 20%), and this group had carbapenem-resistant and ESBL positive gram-negative bacteria growth. In the duration of CSF sterilization, hospital stay was statistically significantly shorter in the group receiving IV plus IVT treatment (p=0.000, p=0.000, respectively).

CONCLUSION: Our study shows that IVT administration of antibiotics shortens the duration of CSF sterilization, duration of antibiotic use, and the duration of hospital stay. For the treatment of VP shunt infection, the usage of IVT treatment in a particular group of a pediatric age is promising. However, further efforts should be done for supporting the current results by randomized controlled studies.

PMID:33733692 | DOI:10.1007/s00381-021-05116-9

Geospat Health. 2021 Mar 12;16(1). doi: 10.4081/gh.2021.873.

ABSTRACT

Bone tumours are rarely found in children and adolescents (0- 19 years old), but there are reports from some provinces in Iraq indicating possible increases in the incidence of childhood bone cancer. Since counts are very low and often zero, or near zero, we fitted zero-inflated Poisson, zero-inflated negative binomial, Poisson hurdle, and negative binomial hurdle regression models to investigate these changes. We used data covering the 2000-2015 period taking age, gender and province into account with the aim of identifying potential health disparities. The results indicate that the zero-inflated Poisson is the most appropriate approach. We also found that, the incidence rate ratio of bone tumours for age groups of 5-9, 10-14 and 15-19 years were 134%, 490% and 723% higher, respectively, compared to the 0-4 year olds. The incidence rate was higher by 49% higher in males compared to females. Compared to 2000-2004, the rate was higher during 2005-2009 and 2010-2015 by 23% and 50%, respectively. In addition, the provinces Al-Muthana and Al-Diwaniyah in the South were found to have a higher incidence rate than other provinces. Join point analysis showed that the age-adjusted incidence rate had a significant, increasing trend, with an average percentage change of 3.1% during 2000-2015. The study suggests that further research into childhood tumours, bone tumours in particular, is needed. Reference to the effect of environmental factors in this group of medical disorders would be of special interest.

PMID:33733648 | DOI:10.4081/gh.2021.873

Geospat Health. 2021 Mar 12;16(1). doi: 10.4081/gh.2021.948.

ABSTRACT

The aim of this study was to assess the role of climate variability on the incidence of dengue fever (DF), an endemic arboviral infection existing in Jakarta, Indonesia. The work carried out included analysis of the spatial distribution of confirmed DF cases from January 2007 to December 2018 characterising the sociodemographical and ecological factors in DF high-risk areas. Spearman’s rank correlation was used to examine the relationship between DF incidence and climatic factors. Spatial clustering and hotspots of DF were examined using global Moran’s I statistic and the local indicator for spatial association analysis. Classification and regression tree (CART) analysis was performed to compare and identify demographical and socio-ecological characteristics of the identified hotspots and low-risk clusters. The seasonality of DF incidence was correlated with precipitation (r=0.254, P<0.01), humidity (r=0.340, P<0.01), dipole mode index (r= -0.459, P<0.01) and Tmin (r= -0.181, P<0.05). DF incidence was spatially clustered at the village level (I=0.294, P<0.001) and 22 hotspots were identified with a concentration in the central and eastern parts of Jakarta. CART analysis showed that age and occupation were the most important factors explaining DF clustering. Areaspecific and population-targeted interventions are needed to improve the situation among those living in the identified DF high-risk areas in Jakarta.

PMID:33733650 | DOI:10.4081/gh.2021.948

Ann Work Expo Health. 2021 Mar 18:wxaa145. doi: 10.1093/annweh/wxaa145. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

A common chemical exposure in alumina refining is caustic mist. Although recognized as a strong airways irritant, little is known of the chronic respiratory effects of caustic mist in alumina refining. A suitable metric for caustic mist exposure assessment in alumina refining for epidemiological purposes has not been identified. Peak exposure is likely to be important, but is difficult to assess in epidemiological studies. In this study, we investigate the respiratory effects of caustic mist in an inception cohort (n = 416) of alumina refinery workers and describe the development and use of a peak exposure metric for caustic mist. We then compare the results with a metric based on duration of exposure. Participants were interviewed annually about respiratory symptoms and had a lung function test. Job history data were collected from each interview and levels of caustic mist were measured periodically by air monitoring. We found a weak association between the caustic mist peak exposure metric and reported cough (P for linear trend = 0.079) with the highest peak exposure group odds ratio = 2.32 (95% confidence interval: 1.27, 4.22). For lung function, we found declines in the forced expiratory volume in 1 second and forced vital capacity for changes in annual and absolute lung function for both metrics of exposure, but only the ratio of absolute lung function was statistically associated with an increasing duration of caustic exposure (P for linear trend = 0.011). In this cohort, we did not observe an association with respiratory symptoms or consistent decrements in lung function. There was little difference between the exposure metrics used for investigation of the chronic effects from caustic mist.

PMID:33733676 | DOI:10.1093/annweh/wxaa145

Allergy Asthma Immunol Res. 2021 May;13(3):420-434. doi: 10.4168/aair.2021.13.3.420.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Minimizing the future risk of asthma exacerbation (AE) is one of the main goals of asthma management. We investigated prognostic factors for risk of severe AE (SAE) in a real-world clinical setting.

METHODS: This is an observational study evaluating subjects who were diagnosed with asthma and treated with anti-asthmatic medications from January 1995 to June 2018. Risk factors for SAE were analyzed in 2 treatment periods (during the initial 2 years and the following 3-10 years of treatment) using the big data of electronic medical records.

RESULTS: In this study, 5,058 adult asthmatics were enrolled; 1,335 (28.64%) experienced ≥ 1 SAE during the initial 2 years of treatment. Female sex, higher peripheral eosinophil/basophil counts, and lower levels of forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1; %) were factors predicting the risk of SAEs (P < 0.001 for all). Higher serum total immunoglobulin E levels increased the risk of SAEs among the patients having ≤ 2 SAEs (P = 0.025). Patients with more frequent SAEs during the initial 2 years of treatment had significantly higher risks of SAEs during the following years of treatment (P < 0.001, for all) (patients with ≥ 4 SAEs, odds ratio [OR], 29.147; those with 3 SAEs, OR, 14.819; those with 2 SAEs, OR, 9.867; those with 1 SAE, OR, 5.116), had higher maintenance doses of systemic steroids, and showed more gradual decline in FEV1 (%) and FEV1/forced vital capacity levels maintained during the following years of treatment (P < 0.001 for all).

CONCLUSIONS: Asthmatics having risk factors for SAEs (female sex, higher peripheral eosinophil/basophil counts, and lower FEV1) should be strictly monitored to prevent future risk and improve clinical outcomes.

PMID:33733637 | DOI:10.4168/aair.2021.13.3.420

Allergy Asthma Immunol Res. 2021 May;13(3):468-478. doi: 10.4168/aair.2021.13.3.468.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Evidence supporting a link between indoor formaldehyde exposure and atopic dermatitis (AD) in humans is limited. The purpose of this longitudinal study was to investigate whether AD symptoms in children could be affected by indoor formaldehyde levels in ordinary households.

METHODS: Fifty-five children with moderate-to-severe AD aged under 18 years were enrolled as a panel. They were followed up from February 2019 through February 2020. Indoor formaldehyde levels of patients’ houses and their AD symptoms were repeatedly measured on a daily basis. The generalized linear mixed model was utilized for statistical analysis. Subdivision analysis was performed by stratifying patients by sex, body mass index, presence of parental allergy, and indoor environments including mold/dampness, temperature, and relative humidity (RH).

RESULTS: A total of 4,789 person-days of AD symptom data were collected. The average concentration of formaldehyde was 13.6 ± 16.4 ppb, with the highest value found in spring (18.1 ± 20.6 ppb). Higher levels of formaldehyde were observed when there was parental smoking, increased indoor temperature over 25.5°C, or RH over 60% (P < 0.0001). When the effect size was compared between each season after controlling for ambient particulate matter, temperature, and RH, an increase in 10 ppb of formaldehyde increased AD symptoms by 79.2% (95% confidence interval [CI], 19.6-168.4) in spring and by 39.9% (95% CI, 14.3-71.2) in summer. AD symptoms in children aged 6-18 years appeared to increase significantly, whereas there was no significant increase in children under 6 years. When indoor temperature was over 25.5°C, an increase in formaldehyde by 10 ppb increased AD symptoms by 17.8% (95% CI, 3.9-33.6).

CONCLUSIONS: Indoor formaldehyde can exacerbate AD symptom in children with moderate-to-severe AD, particularly in spring and summer, even at allowable levels. Thus, minimizing exposure to indoor formaldehyde may be needed for the proper management of AD in children.

PMID:33733640 | DOI:10.4168/aair.2021.13.3.468

ESC Heart Fail. 2021 Mar 17. doi: 10.1002/ehf2.13306. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

AIMS: We applied the restricted mean survival time (RMST) to analyse the survival data reported in the PARADIGM-HT trial in which sacubitril + valsartan was studied in comparison with enalapril in patients with heart failure. The estimates of this parameter were compared with the published values of hazard ratio (HR).

METHODS: Two endpoints were evaluated: a composite of death or hospitalization and cardiovascular death. Our analyses were performed by considering the original follow-up of 41.4 months and on the basis of a lifetime perspective. All statistical calculations were carried out using specific packages developed under the R-platform.

RESULTS: According to our RMST analysis, the results for the composite endpoint in the comparison of sacubitril + valsartan vs. enalapril showed an improvement from 32.9 to 34.2 months (gain of 1.25 months). This result is based on a time horizon of 41.4 months. The results for the cardiovascular mortality endpoint showed a RMST of 37.2 months for sacubitril + valsartan vs. 36.2 for enalapril (gain of 0.96 months). In the two lifetime analyses, the improvements were much more relevant and yielded a gain of 25.8 months for the composite endpoint and 27.6 months for survival free from cardiovascular death.

CONCLUSIONS: Using the data of the PARADIGM-HT trial, our analysis confirmed that the RMST has documented advantages over the HR, particularly when the clinical study is characterized by a long follow-up. The number needed to treat (NNT) has a more specific methodological role and cannot be replaced by the RMST.

PMID:33733623 | DOI:10.1002/ehf2.13306

Int Wound J. 2021 Mar 17. doi: 10.1111/iwj.13583. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

This study aimed to explore the treatment effect of Z-plasty on a non-healing wound. A total of 72 patients diagnosed with a chronic non-healing wound in Peking University Third Hospital from November 2009 to August 2019 were retrospectively analysed. Among them, 27 patients were treated with Z-plasty, and 45 patients were treated with the general method. Detailed patient information was retrieved from medical records, including age, gender, body mass index (BMI), alcohol, smoking, and comorbidities (diabetes mellitus, hypertension, heart disease). Surgical parameters included operation time and intraoperative blood loss. Wound swelling, epidermal blisters, wound edge colour, and skin temperature at 1 day after surgery were assessed to evaluate the blood supply of the wound. Surgical complications included infection, haematoma, dehiscence, and non-healing within 2 weeks postoperatively. Student t test (for continuous data) and Chi-square test (for categorical data) were conducted to determine the statistical difference. We found no significant differences in age, gender, BMI, alcohol, smoking, and comorbidities between the two groups. Z-plasty did not show any advantages in the surgical time, invasive blood loss, hospital days, and hospitalisation expenses. The incidence of abnormal wound edge colour with Z-plasty was significantly lower than that with the general treatment (P < .05), and the Z-plasty enables better healing of the patient’s wound (P < .05). Z-plasty promoted better recovery of chronic non-healing wounds than direct suturing.

PMID:33733609 | DOI:10.1111/iwj.13583

Matern Child Nutr. 2021 Mar 17:e13165. doi: 10.1111/mcn.13165. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Rapid household food insecurity (HFI) tracking has been identified as a priority in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic and its aftermath. We report the validation of the Latin American and Caribbean Food Security Scale (Escala Latinoamericana y Caribena de Seguridad Alimentaria [ELCSA]) among pregnant women in Sri Lanka. The eight-item adult version of the ELCSA was translated from English to Sinhala and Tamil. Cognitive testing (on 10 pregnant women and five local experts) and psychometric validation of the self-administered HFI tool were conducted among pregnant women (n = 269) attending the special clinics of the Rajarata Pregnancy Cohort (RaPCo) in Anuradhapura in February 2020. We assessed the psychometric properties and fit using a one parameter logistic model (Rasch model analysis) using STATA Version 14 and WINSTEP software Version 4.3.4. Concurrent validity was tested using psychological distress. The scale was internally consistent (Cronbach’s alpha = 0.79) and had a good model fit (Rasch items infit statistic range: 0.85 to 1.07). Item 8 (‘did not eat for the whole day’) was removed from the model fit analysis, as it was not affirmed by respondent. Item severity scores ranged from -2.15 for ‘not eating a diverse diet’ to 4.43 for ‘not eating during the whole day’. Concurrent validity between HFI and psychological distress was confirmed (r = 0.15, p < 0.05). The self-applied version of ELCSA-pregnancy in Sri Lanka (ELCSA-P-SL) is a valid and feasible valid tool. We recommend it to track HFI among pregnant women in lower income countries during the COVID-19 pandemic.

PMID:33733618 | DOI:10.1111/mcn.13165