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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Identification and management of frail patients in English primary care: an analysis of the General Medical Services 2018/2019 contract dataset

BMJ Open. 2021 Aug 18;11(8):e041091. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2020-041091.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to explore the extent of implementation of the General Medical Services 2018/2019 ‘frailty identification and management’ contract in general practitioner (GP) practices in England, and link implementation outcomes to a range of practice and Clinical Commissioning Group (CCG) factors.

DESIGN: A cross-sectional study design using publicly available datasets relating to the year 2018 for all GP practices in England.

SETTINGS: English general practices.

DATA: The analysis was conducted across 6632 practices in 193 CCGs with 9 995 558 patients aged 65 years or older.

OUTCOMES: Frailty assessment rates, frailty coding rates and frailty prevalence rates, plus rates of medication reviews, falls assessments and enriched Summary Care Records (SCRs).

ANALYSIS: Summary statistics were calculated and multilevel negative binomial regression analysis was used to investigate relationships of the six outcomes with explanatory factors.

RESULTS: 14.3% of people aged 65 years or older were assessed for frailty, with 35.4% of these-totalling 5% of the eligible population-coded moderately or severely frail. 59.2% received a medications review, but rates of falls assessments (3.7%) and enriched SCRs (21%) were low. However, percentages varied widely across practices and CCGs. Practice differences in contract implementation were most strongly accounted for by their grouping within CCGs, with weaker but still important associations with some practice and CCG factors, particularly healthcare demand-related factors of chronic caseload and (negatively) % of patients aged 65 years or older.

CONCLUSION: CCG appears the strongest determinant of practice engagement with the frailty contract, and fuller implementation may depend on greater engagement of CCGs themselves, particularly in commissioning suitable interventions. Practices understandably targeted frailty assessments at patients more likely to be found severely frail, resulting in probable underidentification of moderately frail individuals who might benefit most from early interventions. Frailty prevalence estimates based on the contract data may not reflect actual rates.

PMID:34408025 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2020-041091

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Are we able to predict airway dimensional changes in isolated mandibular setback?

Int J Oral Maxillofac Surg. 2021 Aug 15:S0901-5027(21)00265-4. doi: 10.1016/j.ijom.2021.07.015. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

The goal of this study was to determine whether a relationship exists between the amount of mandibular setback and the amount of airway dimensional changes. Records and cone beam computed tomography (CBCT) of patients who had undergone isolated bilateral sagittal split osteotomy setback between January 1, 2013 and March 16, 2020 at a single institution were reviewed retrospectively. The primary outcome variable was upper airway volume dimension change, and the predictor variable was the magnitude of mandibular setback as measured by six different methods. Thirty-one patients were included in the study, with a mean mandibular setback ranging from 1.41 mm to 6.11 mm. None of the predictor variables showed an association with oropharyngeal (P = 0.54) or hypopharyngeal (P = 0.33) volume. Stepwise regression analysis failed to show any significant relationships. Similarly, there was no statistically significant association between any of the predictor variables and oropharyngeal (P = 0.44) or hypopharyngeal (P = 0.74) minimum axial area. The results showed that no correlation exists between the magnitude of mandibular setback and the amount of static airway dimensional changes; therefore, it may not be possible to predict whether obstructive sleep apnea will develop following mild to moderate mandibular setback based upon CBCT measurements.

PMID:34407912 | DOI:10.1016/j.ijom.2021.07.015

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Very low prevalence of ultrasound-detected tenosynovial abnormalities in healthy subjects throughout the age range: OMERACT ultrasound minimal disease study

Ann Rheum Dis. 2021 Aug 18:annrheumdis-2021-219931. doi: 10.1136/annrheumdis-2021-219931. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to determine the prevalence of ultrasound-detected tendon abnormalities in healthy subjects (HS) across the age range.

METHODS: Adult HS (age 18-80 years) were recruited in 23 international Outcome Measures in Rheumatology ultrasound centres and were clinically assessed to exclude inflammatory diseases or overt osteoarthritis before undergoing a bilateral ultrasound examination of digit flexors (DFs) 1-5 and extensor carpi ulnaris (ECU) tendons to detect the presence of tenosynovial hypertrophy (TSH), tenosynovial power Doppler (TPD) and tenosynovial effusion (TEF), usually considered ultrasound signs of inflammatory diseases. A comparison cohort of patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) was taken from the Birmingham Early Arthritis early arthritis inception cohort.

RESULTS: 939 HS and 144 patients with RA were included. The majority of HS (85%) had grade 0 for TSH, TPD and TEF in all DF and ECU tendons examined. There was a statistically significant difference in the proportion of TSH and TPD involvement between HS and subjects with RA (HS vs RA p<0.001). In HS, there was no difference in the presence of ultrasound abnormalities between age groups.

CONCLUSIONS: Ultrasound-detected TSH and TPD abnormalities are rare in HS and can be regarded as markers of active inflammatory disease, especially in newly presenting RA.

PMID:34407928 | DOI:10.1136/annrheumdis-2021-219931

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Parents’ decision-making for their foetus or neonate with a severe congenital heart defect

Cardiol Young. 2021 Aug 19:1-8. doi: 10.1017/S1047951121003218. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Parents who receive a diagnosis of a severe, life-threatening CHD for their foetus or neonate face a complex and stressful decision between termination, palliative care, or surgery. Understanding how parents make this initial treatment decision is critical for developing interventions to improve counselling for these families.

METHODS: We conducted focus groups in four academic medical centres across the United States of America with a purposive sample of parents who chose termination, palliative care, or surgery for their foetus or neonate diagnosed with severe CHD.

RESULTS: Ten focus groups were conducted with 56 parents (Mage = 34 years; 80% female; 89% White). Results were constructed around three domains: decision-making approaches; values and beliefs; and decision-making challenges. Parents discussed varying approaches to making the decision, ranging from relying on their “gut feeling” to desiring statistics and probabilities. Religious and spiritual beliefs often guided the decision to not terminate the pregnancy. Quality of life was an important consideration, including how each option would impact the child (e.g., pain or discomfort, cognitive and physical abilities) and their family (e.g., care for other children, marriage, and career). Parents reported inconsistent communication of options by clinicians and challenges related to time constraints for making a decision and difficulty in processing information when distressed.

CONCLUSION: This study offers important insights that can be used to design interventions to improve decision support and family-centred care in clinical practice.

PMID:34407894 | DOI:10.1017/S1047951121003218

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Determinants of energy intake in Central African populations experiencing nutrition transition

Br J Nutr. 2021 Aug 19:1-26. doi: 10.1017/S0007114521003159. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Central Africa is experiencing rapid urbanization and this situation comes along with changes in food habits and an increased prevalence of obesity and associated health risks. Factors influencing dietary intake among the diverse African populations are not well understood. Our objective was to characterize the dietary intake and their determinants in the two main ethnic groups experiencing nutrition transition in Cameroon, the Bamiléké and the Béti. We sampled Bamiléké (381) and Béti (347) adults living in both rural and urban, collected sociodemographic variables, assessed dietary patterns by using a food portion photographs book to administrate a food frequency questionnaire (FFQ) and a 24-hour dietary recall technique, and derived their Body Mass Index (BMI) from measured weight and height. The dietary patterns of Bamiléké people were comprised of more energy-dense foods than the Béti people, regardless of the living area. The energy intake (13·8 (SD 4·6)-15·4 (SD 4·8) MJ vs 9·7 (SD 3·5)-11·2 (SD 3·9 MJ) and the obesity (15-29 % vs 5-8 %) were therefore higher in Bamiléké than in Béti respectively. Multivariable linear regression analyses showed strong associations of both ethnicities (4·02 MJ; P <0·001), living area (0·21 MJ; P <0·001), and education (0·59 MJ; P <0·048) with energy intake (EI), independently of each other and other sociodemographic factors. The ethnicity factor has been characterized as the more important determinant of diet. Our findings provide new insights and perspectives highlighting the importance of anthropological factors when building prevention campaigns against obesity in Central Africa.

PMID:34407901 | DOI:10.1017/S0007114521003159

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Intriguing New Faces Of Covid-19: Persisting Clinical Symptoms And Cardiac Effects in Children

Cardiol Young. 2021 Aug 19:1-27. doi: 10.1017/S1047951121003693. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: This study was conducted to evaluate the persisting Covid-19-related symptoms of the cases included in our study and to assess their cardiac findings in order to determine the impact of Covid-19 on children’s cardiovascular health.

METHODS: In this study, 121 children between the ages of 0-18 with Covid-19 were evaluated based on their history, blood pressure values, and electrocardiography and echocardiography results. These findings were compared with the findings of the control group which consisted of 95 healthy cases who were in the same age range as the study group and did not have Covid-19. The results were evaluated using the statistics program, SPSS 21.

RESULTS: There was no significant difference between the study group and the control group in terms of age, weight, and body mass index. The clinical symptoms (chest and back pain, dizziness, headache, palpitation, fatigue, shortness of breath, loss of balance, coughing) of 37.2% of the cases persisted at least 1 month after Covid-19 recovery. Statistically significant differences were found in systolic blood pressure, left ventricular ejection fraction, relative wall thickness, and tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion.

CONCLUSION: The continuation of some cases’ clinical symptoms post-recovery indicates that long Covid infection can be observed in children. The fact that statistically significant differences were observed between the echocardiographic parameters of the study and control groups suggests that Covid-19 may have effects on the cardiovascular system. To shed light on the long Covid cases among children and the infection’s cardiac impacts, it would be beneficial to conduct more comprehensive studies on this matter.

PMID:34407902 | DOI:10.1017/S1047951121003693

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Intraocular lens power calculation formulas accuracy in combined phacovitrectomy: an 8-formulas comparison study

Int J Retina Vitreous. 2021 Aug 18;7(1):47. doi: 10.1186/s40942-021-00315-7.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Our study aimed to assess and compare the accuracy of 8 intraocular lens (IOL) power calculation formulas (Barrett Universal II, EVO 2.0, Haigis, Hoffer Q, Holladay 1, Kane and PEARL-DGS) in patients submitted to combined phacovitrectomy for vitreomacular (VM) interface disorders.

METHODS: Retrospective chart review study including axial-length matched patients submitted to phacoemulsification alone (Group 1) and combined phacovitrectomy (Group 2). Using optimized constants in both groups, refraction prediction error of each formula was calculated for each eye. The optimised constants from Group 1 were also applied to patients of Group 2 – Group 3. Outcome measures included the mean prediction error (ME) and its standard deviation (SD), mean (MAE) and median (MedAE) absolute errors, in diopters (D), and the percentage of eyes within ± 0.25D, ± 0.50D and ± 1.00D.

RESULTS: A total of 220 eyes were included (Group 1: 100; Group 2: 120). In Group 1, the difference in formulas absolute error was significative (p = 0.005). The Kane Formula had the lowest MAE (0.306) and MedAE (0.264). In Group 2, Kane had the overall best performance, followed by PEARL-DGS, EVO 2.0 and Barrett Universal II. The ME of all formulas in both Groups 1 and 2 were 0.000 (p = 0.934; p = 0.971, respectively). In Group 3, a statistically significant myopic shift was observed for each formula (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION: Surgeons must be careful regarding IOL power selection in phacovitrectomy considering the systematic myopic shift evidenced-constant optimization may help eliminating such error. Moreover, newly introduced formulas and calculation methods may help us achieving increasingly better refractive outcomes both in cataract surgery alone and phacovitrectomy.

PMID:34407889 | DOI:10.1186/s40942-021-00315-7

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Evaluation of a mosquito home system for controlling Aedes aegypti

Parasit Vectors. 2021 Aug 18;14(1):413. doi: 10.1186/s13071-021-04918-9.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Dengue is a significant public health issue that is caused by Aedes spp. mosquitoes. The current vector control methods are unable to effectively reduce Aedes populations and thus fail to decrease dengue transmission. Hence, there is an urgent need for new tools and strategies to reduce dengue transmission in a wide range of settings. In this study, the Mosquito Home System (MHS) and Mosquito Home Aqua (MHAQ) formulations were assessed as commercial autodissemination traps in laboratory and small-scale field trials.

METHOD: Multiple series of laboratory and small-scale field trials were performed to assess the efficacy of MHS and MHAQ exposed to Ae. aegypti. In the laboratory trials, various parameters such as fecundity, fertility, wing size, oviposition preferences, residual effects, and MHAQ transference to other containers through controlled experiments were tested. For small-scale field trials, the efficacy of the MHS and MHAQ approaches was determined to ascertain whether wild mosquitoes could transfer the MHAQ formulation from MHS stations to ovitraps.

RESULTS: The data revealed that Ae. aegypti was highly susceptible to low concentrations of MHAQ formulations and had a residual effect of up to 3 months, with MHAQ exposure affecting fecundity, fertility, and mosquito wing size. In the oviposition studies, gravid females strongly preferred the hay infusion compared to tap water and MHAQ during egg-laying in the laboratory. Nevertheless, the use of commercial MHAQ by MHS was highly attractive in field settings compared to conventional ovitraps among local Aedes spp. mosquitoes. In addition, MHAQ horizontal transfer activities in the laboratory and small-scale field trials were demonstrated through larval bioassays. These findings demonstrated the potential of MHAQ to be transferred to new containers in each study site.

CONCLUSION: This study provided proof of principle for the autodissemination of MHAQ. Through further refinement, this technique and device could become an effective oviposition trap and offer an alternative preventive tool for vector control management.

PMID:34407881 | DOI:10.1186/s13071-021-04918-9

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

X-CNV: genome-wide prediction of the pathogenicity of copy number variations

Genome Med. 2021 Aug 18;13(1):132. doi: 10.1186/s13073-021-00945-4.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Gene copy number variations (CNVs) contribute to genetic diversity and disease prevalence across populations. Substantial efforts have been made to decipher the relationship between CNVs and pathogenesis but with limited success.

RESULTS: We have developed a novel computational framework X-CNV ( www.unimd.org/XCNV ), to predict the pathogenicity of CNVs by integrating more than 30 informative features such as allele frequency (AF), CNV length, CNV type, and some deleterious scores. Notably, over 14 million CNVs across various ethnic groups, covering nearly 93% of the human genome, were unified to calculate the AF. X-CNV, which yielded area under curve (AUC) values of 0.96 and 0.94 in training and validation sets, was demonstrated to outperform other available tools in terms of CNV pathogenicity prediction. A meta-voting prediction (MVP) score was developed to quantitively measure the pathogenic effect, which is based on the probabilistic value generated from the XGBoost algorithm. The proposed MVP score demonstrated a high discriminative power in determining pathogenetic CNVs for inherited traits/diseases in different ethnic groups.

CONCLUSIONS: The ability of the X-CNV framework to quantitatively prioritize functional, deleterious, and disease-causing CNV on a genome-wide basis outperformed current CNV-annotation tools and will have broad utility in population genetics, disease-association studies, and diagnostic screening.

PMID:34407882 | DOI:10.1186/s13073-021-00945-4

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Feasibility of Comparative Health Research Outcome of Novel Surgery in prostate cancer (IP4-CHRONOS): statistical analysis plan for the randomised feasibility phase of the CHRONOS study

Trials. 2021 Aug 18;22(1):547. doi: 10.1186/s13063-021-05509-w.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Randomised controlled trials (RCTs) for surgical interventions have often proven difficult with calls for innovative approaches. The Imperial Prostate (IP4) Comparative Health Research Outcomes of Novel Surgery in prostate cancer (IP4-CHRONOS) study aims to deliver level 1 evidence on outcomes following focal therapy which involves treating just the tumour rather than whole-gland surgery or radiotherapy. Our aim is to test the feasibility of two parallel RCTs within an overarching strategy that fits with existing patient and physician equipoise and maximises the chances of success and potential benefit to patients and healthcare services.

METHODS AND DESIGN: IP4-CHRONOS is a randomised, unblinded multi-centre study, including two parallel randomised controlled trials targeting the same patient population: IP4-CHRONOS-A and IP4-CHRONOS-B. IP4-CHRONOS-A is a 1:1 RCT and the other is a multi-arm, multi-stage (MAMS) RCT starting with three arms and a 1:1:1 randomisation. The two linked RCTs are discussed with patients at the time of consent and the choice of A or B is dependent on physician and patient equipoise. The primary outcome is the feasibility of recruitment, acceptance of randomisation and compliance to allocated arm.

RESULTS: This paper describes the statistical analysis plan (SAP) for the feasibility study within IP4-CHRONOS given its innovative approach. Version 1.0 of the SAP has been reviewed by the Trial Steering Committee (TSC), Chief Investigator (CI), Senior Statistician and Trial Statistician and signed off. The study is ongoing and recruiting. Recruitment is scheduled to finish later in 2021. The SAP documents approved methods and analyses that will be conducted. Since this is written in advance of the analysis, we avoid bias arising from prior knowledge of the study data and findings.

DISCUSSION: Our feasibility analysis will demonstrate if IP4-CHRONOS is feasible in terms of recruitment, randomisation and compliance, and whether to continue both A and B or just one to the main stage.

TRIAL REGISTRATION: ISRCTN ISRCTN17796995 . Registered on 08 October 2019.

PMID:34407860 | DOI:10.1186/s13063-021-05509-w